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Road Safety in Pakistan
Road Safety in Pakistan
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Abstract Pakistan’s location provides economic advantage for freight transportation from
the Indian Ocean to Afghanistan, China, and the Central Asian States. In late 1970s,
Pakistan shifted focus from railway to roadway as the major mode of transportation. This
policy shift introduced heavy vehicles for which highways were not designed. In late
1990s, migration to urban areas increased congestion on Pakistan’s highways. In early
2000s, the economic sanctions on Pakistan were lifted in exchange for cooperation with the
war on terrorism. The global war on terrorism also increased freight transportation from
Pakistan to Afghanistan which supported ISAF forces. The military freight, urbanization,
motorization, and congestion increased risk to road users. The World Health Organization
reported 25,000–30,000 annual deaths on Pakistan’s roads. This paper reflects upon
strategic national issues including war on terrorism. To reduce road congestion, Pakistan
must revise national transportation policy and split traffic volume into different modes.
Introduction
The views expressed in this document are those of the authors and do not reflect the official policy or position
of the Department of Defense or the U.S. Government.
* Simon Véronneau
sveronne@nps.edu
1
Graduate School of Business and Public Policy, Naval Postgraduate School, 555 Dyer Road,
Monterey, CA 93943, USA
E. Nazir et al.
Low 18.3 1 1
Medium 20.1 2 52
High 8.7 47
Pakistan background
Pakistan, located in South Asia, borders India in the east, China in the north, Iran in the
southwest, Afghanistan in the west, and Indian Ocean in the south. Its geographic location
positions it at a strategic advantage for freight transportation from the Indian Ocean in the
south to the energy-rich Central Asian States, war torn Afghanistan, and China in the north.
Pakistan spreads over an area of 796,096 square kilometers (sq. kms). Table 2 shows
Pakistan’s population and its provinces. In 2013, Pakistan was the sixth most populous
country in the world with a population of 184 million (Statistics 2014). The country is
distinctly divided into urban and rural areas. Table 3 shows the Urban and Rural split in
Pakistan. People from rural areas often travel to urban cities in search of employment,
education, and medical facilities. Their travelling is dependent upon Pakistan’s multi-
modal transportation infrastructure.
Pakistan’s transportation infrastructure is comprised of 7,791 kms of railway line;
151 and 43 airports with paved and unpaved runways, respectively; 16,000 kms of gas
and refined oil pipelines; and 262,256 kms of roadways (The World Fact Book 2013).
The roadways’ main highways connecting major cities are National Highways (9,555
kms), Asian Highways (5,352 kms), and Motorways (1,930 kms) (Rafiq 2014).
Although Pakistan’s transportation network Pakistan seems extensive, road traffic
fatality statistics released by Pakistan Bureau of Statistics suggests the need for short-,
medium-, and long-term measures to make transportation of people and goods safe in
Pakistan. According to Pakistan’s Bureau of Statistics 2012–2013 report, between 2004
and 2013 there were a total of 38,056 fatalities and 49,157 nonfatal accidents in all
provinces of Pakistan in which 45,886 people were killed and 102,058 persons were
injured (Statistics 2012–2013). Details of persons killed and injured in traffic accidents
are shown in Figs. 1 and 2, respectively. The graphs show a downward trend of deaths
and injuries in Punjab and Sindh; whereas, the number of deaths and injuries seems to
be going upwards in Khyber Pukhtunkhwa and Baluchistan.
Table 4 shows Pakistan’s other road safety statistics based on the World Health
Organization’s 2013 report.
Source: http://www.pbs.gov.pk/sites/default/files/tables/AREA%20POPULATION%20DENSITY%20
AND%20URBAN%20RURAL%20PROPORTION.pdf
E. Nazir et al.
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13
Methodology
Literature review
Since the 1960s, the gradual deterioration of Pakistan’s transportation infrastructure has
been due to its focus away from reliance on railways as the major public and freight
transportation mode. Due to rapid motorization and urbanization in the late 1990s and
early 2000s, the deterioration crippled. Since the late 1990s, Pakistan’s road safety
issues have been highlighted in literature on road safety. Since then, different empirical,
analytical, and engineering studies have been conducted which focused on policy-
making and implementation issues, impact of motorization and urbanization, behav-
ioral and attitudinal issues, and issues related to transportation engineering. In subse-
quent sections, we attempt to limit ourselves to policy, urbanization and motorization,
and behavioral and attitudinal literature.
Imran (2009) reviewed Pakistan’s public transport policy from its pre-independence
era. Before its independence, the British government preferred railways over road
infrastructure as the public mode of transportation. In 1947 at the time of independence,
the railway was the only transportation source for inter-city travelers. Pakistan’s
E. Nazir et al.
railways remained as the focal transportation mode till the late 1950s. Since the 1960s,
policy-makers shifted their focus from railways to road transportation (Imran 2009).
Pakistan’s organizational structure of public transportation was then divided into road
organizations and Public Transport Authorities. Imran’s view is that the policy-makers
failed to plan public transportation due to inadequate governance structure; therefore, all
public transportation policies to run transportation through the public sector failed over
time. Resultantly, public transportation was privatized over time (Tiwari 2002). Pucher
and Korattyswaroopam (2004) consider privatization of public transportation an efficient
source to reduce government expenditure (transportation subsidies). In Kah’s (2001)
study of privatization of urban transportation in sub-Saharan Africa, private transporta-
tion fails because of the absence of significant government role in policy definition,
investment, and implementation. Imran (2009) sides with Kah (2001) and believes that
the lack of government control resulted in failed transportation policies in Pakistan.
The Association for Safe International Road Travel (ASIRT) mentioned in its 2005
report that common factors in road crashes in Pakistan include irresponsible behavior,
E. Nazir et al.
lack of knowledge of traffic laws, inadequate police enforcement, and poor road
conditions (ASIRT 2005). Many drivers have not taken formal driving lessons or to
not possess driving licenses. Bus drivers often compete for passengers on the road;
thereby, increasing the risk of road crashes. Luby et al. (1997) and Mirza et al. (1999)
identified in their studies that bus drivers on the roads of Karachi, a metropolitan city of
Pakistan, drive recklessly and buses that comprises 1.8 % of registered vehicles are
involved in 27 % of RTIs and 43 % of fatalities (Luby et al. 1997; Mirza et al. 1999).
Ahmed (2007) also deliberates on the attitudinal issues prevailing in Pakistan. He
wrote that pedestrians do not respect zebra crossings; rather, they prefer J-walking;
motorcyclists do not wear helmets due to warm weather and a constrained side view;
and drivers tend to not fasten their seat belts. Despite the existence of Pakistan’s seat
belt law, there is dearth of its execution except on motorways where police strictly
enforce the use of seat belts. Shakeel, an Assistant Inspector General of Pakistan’s
National Highway Police, informs that the non-fastening of seat belts is the major cause
of road deaths in motor vehicle accidents. On the basis of a random sampling study, he
informs that only one percent of commercial bus drivers fasten their seat belts while
driving and only two percent of bus passengers put on their seat belts. Besides the low
ratio of seat belt fastening, he also informs that commercial van drivers falsify wearing
seat belts by simply laying their seat belts over their shoulders and not actual locking
them (Ahmed n.d.).
Batool et al. (2012) found that irrespective of socio-economic and demographic
characteristics, all drivers indulge in offences like horn blowing, tailgating, or driving
Road safety challenges in Pakistan: an overview
unregistered vehicles. We also noted that driving under the influence of alcohol and
drugs are also causes of errant behavior on the road.
Findings
During the literature review, we found that Pakistan faces different strategic, tactical,
and operational issues. The details of a few important issues are discussed in subse-
quent subsections. For the last couple of decades, Pakistan’s road safety issues have
been significant. Its transportation strategic issues are addressable though it may take a
longer span of time to revert the prevailing situation. During the literature review, we
also found that Pakistan’s road safety issues can be categorized differently. They can be
categorized into Strategic, Tactical, and Operational levels. It does not need elaboration
that the strategic, tactical, and operational issues are interrelated and that any slack in
any one of them impacts the others over time. These issues can also be explored under
both proactive and reactive approaches. In the paper’s subsections, we will only look at
the strategic issues because we believe that the resolution of strategic issues will
devolve improvement to both the tactical and operational levels. When strategic
transportation is streamlined, it will prevent inefficiencies in the system. We leave the
exploration of Pakistan’s tactical and operations issues to future researchers.
Pakistan’s strategic issues are related to policy-making; its leaders’ vision of their
country’s transportation network; Pakistan’s national economy, and the external envi-
ronment. Coincidentally, when Pakistan was at the lowest ebb of its economic state in
the late 1990s, developments in its external environment in the after math of 9/11
complicated Pakistan’s transportation and road safety.
During the literature review, we found that Pakistan does not have a comprehensive
national transportation policy at the strategic level. Although tactically the Pakistan
government provided various 5-year transportation plans, these plans were neither
coherent nor complemented each other. For example: The first 5-year plan for 1955–
1960 reflected the government’s priority towards rail transportation. In the second 5-
year plan (1960–1965), the government encouraged public transportation by invest-
ment in public buses. In the third 5-year plan (1965–1970), public transport was
deregulated and private competition was embedded into road transportation. The modal
shift from railway to road transportation is irrational as railway is an efficient mode of
transportation compared to road transportation. In a major study (Ali 1994), 489 kms
was calculated as the breakeven distance for freight transportation between rail and
road. The majority of Pakistan’s freight is transported over 489 kms from the south to
the north, thereby making railway Pakistan’s economic mode of transportation. Kalam
(1991) identified that a 3,000 HP locomotive costing Rs 30 million can move 2,000
tons; whereas, a 300 HP truck costing 3 million can only move 20 tons—that is a ten to
one cost-effectiveness ratio. Kalam is of the view that a policy shift from railways to
road transportation was based on vested interests rather than technological improve-
ment. The strategic shift from railway to road introduced heavy transport on the road
network which gradually increased over time (discussed earlier). Resultantly, Pakistan
E. Nazir et al.
Infrastructure
In the late 1990s, Pakistan faced tough economic sanctions in the wake of the nuclear
explosions of 1998. People from rural areas, in search of employment, dwelled
temporarily or permanently in urban areas. The migration from rural to urban areas
expanded Pakistan’s major cities and transportation demands. International communi-
ties lifted economic sanctions in the aftermath of 9/11 in lieu of Pakistan’s support to
the war on terrorism. An era of economic revival began soon afterwards. The banking
sector reduced interest rates and offered leasing facilities at very attractive rates. Those
who shifted from rural areas to cities needed personal transport for commute to their
ancestral areas. This gave rise to motorization in Pakistan, which resulted in congestion
on roads and highways. Soon after the U.S. attacks on the Taliban government in
Afghanistan, Pakistan became a key regional player in providing logistics’ support to
international forces in Afghanistan. With these external and internal developments, we
say that motorization, urbanization, and the war on terrorism converged in Pakistan in
the same timeframe. The war on terrorism is relevant to this paper as it affects directly
and indirectly Pakistan’s transportation infrastructure. Pakistan is the cheapest freight
transportation route from the Indian Ocean to the International Security Assistance
Force (ISAF) bases in Afghanistan. The National Highway Authority—the agency
responsible for planning and maintenance of highways in Pakistan—planned and
executed expansion of its highways by constructing a network of motorways in the
1990s. The first motorway, M1, from Islamabad to Lahore was inaugurated in 1997.
The planning phase catered to only forecasted Pakistani traffic. The expansion planning
did not cater to the increased traffic volume that conveyed ISAF freight from Karachi to
Afghanistan. The existing highways did not sustain the enhanced traffic volume and
failed before the expiration of their stipulated lives. The war on terrorism effected
transportation in two ways. Firstly, the construction of new motorways slowed down.
Secondly, the maintenance of existing highways did not match the deterioration rate of
existing highways. As a result, the strategic planning of highway expansion to cater for
motorization and urbanization requirement failed to provide the desired results at the
operational level. According to GlobalPost, an average of 200 to 250 containers enter
into Afghanistan from Pakistan on a daily basis (Latif 2011).
Safety as a policy
Besides road accidents, there are many other reasons for deaths in Pakistan. South Asia
Terrorism Portal (www.satp.org) shows 55,000 plus people lost their lives in war on
terrorism since 2003. The details of Pakistan’s casualties are shown in Table 6. The
Pakistani Nation faces such a significant number of dead bodies that the policy-makers,
legislature, and society-at-large have become insensitive to these fatalities. Having said
that does not exempt those at the helm of policy from taking credible measures for the
Road safety challenges in Pakistan: an overview
Source: http://www.satp.org/satporgtp/countries/pakistan/database/casualties.htm
mitigation of road fatalities’ causes. Batool et al. (2012) are of the view that policy-
makers in Pakistan place a very low value on safety and do not take responsibility to
devise long-term transportation policies integrated with safety (Batool et al. 2012).
Additionally, the government lacks initiatives to embed safety into its transportation
infrastructure. The Association for Safe International Road Travel (ASIRT) mentioned
in its 2005 report that common causes of road crashes include drivers’ lack of
knowledge of traffic laws, regulations, education, and training (ASIRT 2005). The
report further mentioned that most of the highways are not well lit or painted for night
driving.
The World Health Organization (WHO) (2013) reported that according to Pakistan
Vehicle Regulations both front and rear seat belts are required in new and imported
vehicles but national seat belt laws do not apply to front and rear seat occupants. The
enforcement of seat belt laws on a scale from 1 to 10 is only 3. On the basis of data
obtained from Road Traffic Injury Research and Prevention Centre, Jinnah
Postgraduate Medical Centre, Karachi, that only four percent of drivers wear seat belts
while driving. Also, the law does not mandate child restraint systems in vehicles.
According to the WHO (2013) report, the national helmet law is applicable to both
driver and passenger on all types of roads and engines. Its enforcement is only 2 on a
scale of 1 to 10. Only 10 % of motorcycle riders wear helmets while riding motorcycles.
These statistics indicate that execution of available regulations at the operational
level is not proactive. Based on their interviews with experts, Batool et al. say that
experts in Pakistan are of the view that safety research in Pakistan is reactionary in
nature. There is no specific allocation of any department to carry out a sustained safety
audit of current and upcoming projects. Past studies also show that Pakistan does not
have a clear strategic direction because it is dependent on foreign funding for the
execution of projects. The foreign donors are so strong that they dictate their terms and
E. Nazir et al.
The main cause of Pakistan’s road safety issues lies in the flawed strategic vision of its
leadership. The policy shift from railways to roadways in the early 1970s resulted in
gradual and systematic degradation of the country’s transportation infrastructure.
According to Kalam (1991), the policy shift was based on vested interest of the road
transport mafia. The mafia remained so strong in Pakistan that it never let the
government revise its policy in favor of railways. The inefficient railway system shifted
commuters’ preferences to road transportation for inter- as well as intra-city travelling.
Peoples’ preferences to road transportation resulted in congestion on roads, thereby
increasing threat to public lives. The deaths on roads can be effectively curtailed by
changing strategic direction, splitting the freight transportation from road to railways,
and interconnecting different modes of transportation. The strategic planners of
Pakistan need to revive railways as the major transportation mode for freight and
people. The shift from road transportation to railways will depressurize roads and split
the traffic volume, which will help improve safety on Pakistan’s roads.
The implications of a policy shift from railways to roadways would have been much
less had policy-makers strategically employed enough resources to build a massive
road transportation infrastructure. Such kinds of measures were difficult as Pakistan’s
economy was subject to tough economic sanctions in the wake of its nuclear explosions
in 1998. Despite all odds, Pakistan continued its efforts to match the demand. The lack
of strategic vision, however, was evident when the first motorway (M1) was planned
and built between Lahore and Islamabad. The revenue-generation dynamics of this
motorway would have been different had it been constructed in the south, beginning
from the port city of Karachi.
The developments in Pakistan’s external environment further complicated road
safety issues. War on terrorism in Pakistan amplified traffic volume on Pakistan’s
already congested highways. The government lacked resources to maintain its already
dilapidated transportation infrastructure. The increased traffic from heavy vehicles
conveying cargo and fuel to Afghanistan taxed Pakistan’s worsening road conditions.
This heavy traffic not only crippled the road conditions, but also posed serious danger
to common user passenger vehicles. The developments in the external environment not
only increased traffic going to Afghanistan, but as the economic sanctions in lieu of
Pakistan’s support to the war on terrorism were lifted, vehicle registration increased in
local cities and economic wellbeing improved. To encourage investment into the
economy, the government reduced interest rates which facilitated provisioning of
personal vehicles on easy installments. The increase in motorization—especially two-
and three-wheeler vehicles—proved to be hazardous to road users. The extensive
motorization resulted in more casualties, congestion, and environmental degradation.
Pakistan’s low literacy rate and lack of awareness of rules, regulations, and safety
knowledge amongst drivers and pedestrians complicate road safety. The drivers on
Pakistan’s roads fail to fully appreciate the value of human life and the socio-economic
impacts on the victims’ families. There is no legal requirement of any educational
Road safety challenges in Pakistan: an overview
qualification, training, and skill level for drivers to acquire driving licenses of heavy
vehicles. People get driver’s licenses without much effort by taking a simple behind-
the-wheel test. The ease of acquiring licenses poses potential hazards towards road
rage. The deaths’ proportion on Pakistan’s roads can be significantly reduced, but it
may take a long time before new policies help improve literacy, awareness, and the
skills of road users.
The economic development of almost every country is dependent upon intercon-
nection of its markets with its transportation facilities. Pakistan is strategically located
at a geographic junction where it can tap economic activity through a sound transpor-
tation network between its south and north sections. The economic activity will not
only increase employment resources, but will also help reduce social differences
between urban and rural areas. This will reduce migration towards urban cities and
increase equilibration of social well-being and reduce deaths on roads due to more
limited transportation demand.
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