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e-ISSN 2176-9109
Article received on June 9, 2019, final version accepted on March 19, 2020, published on June, 16, 2020.
ABSTRACT: Recurrently drought, high food prices, conflict, and market distortions are some of the mutually reinforcing
factors of vulnerability and instability affecting the building of sustainable development pathways in the
world. In this regard, the linkages between Climate Change, Risk Reduction, and Sustainable Development
are cross-cutting and complex. Through a situational analysis, the paper seeks a correlation between the
observed impacts of climate change and disaster events on the development levels of a Sahelian Archipelagic
Country —Cabo Verde —in recent decades (1970 to present). It seeks to demonstrate policymakers and
civil society the crucial role of combined Disaster Risk Management (DRM) methodologies, National risk
profile analysis, and Human Development Index (HDI) methodology and development policies as mutually
supportive tools to build resilience. In its core components, the study seeks the understanding of emerging
causes of risks by addressing resource gaps in the development of Caboverdian context-based DRR solutions
and approaches to increase capacity to build Climate-Resilient Pathways in similar circumstances.
Keywords: Mainstreaming Adaptation and Disaster Reduction into Development Program Methodology
(MADRiD); Index for Risk Management Methodology (INFORM); situational analysis; transition studies;
Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR); the Sahel.
RESUMO: Secas recorrentes, altas nos preços dos alimentos, conflitos e distorções de mercado são alguns dos fatores
de vulnerabilidade e instabilidade que se reforçam mutuamente, afetando a construção de caminhos de
desenvolvimento sustentável no mundo. Nesse sentido, os vínculos entre mudanças climáticas, redução de
risco, e desenvolvimento sustentável são transversais e complexos. Através de uma análise situacional, este
Desenvolv. e Meio Ambiente usa uma Licença Creative Commons - Atribuição-NãoComercial-SemDerivações 4.0 Internacional 250
artigo busca correlacionar os impactos observados das mudanças climáticas e eventos de desastres nos níveis
de desenvolvimento de um país arquipelágico do Sahel —Cabo Verde —nas últimas décadas (1970 até o
presente). O estudo busca demonstrar aos formuladores de políticas e à sociedade civil o papel crucial das
metodologias combinadas de Gerenciamento de Riscos de Desastres (GRD), análise do perfil de risco, em
nível nacional, o Índice de Desenvolvimento Humano (IDH) e políticas de desenvolvimento como ferramentas
de apoio mútuo na construção de resiliência. Em seus componentes principais, o estudo busca entender as
causas emergentes dos riscos, abordando as lacunas de recursos no desenvolvimento de soluções e abordagens
de Redução de Risco de Desastres (RRD) baseadas no contexto Caboverdiano para aumentar a capacidade de
alcançar caminhos resilientes ao clima em circunstâncias similares.
251 FERREIRA COSTA, C. G. Disaster risk management as a process to forge climate-resiliant pathways...
social (Wilhite, 2003). While the economic impacts The paper has a view of supplying learning lessons
of drought include increased commodity prices, that could be translatable to other contexts. Due to
demand for water, and credit, the social impacts in- the complex nature of the drought, the paper only
clude unplanned migration, poverty, reduced quality investigated certain aspects in-depth, namely the
of life, and increased political conflicts (Zarafshani governance process, including the role of some of
et al., 2016). the actors and institutional arrangements. At the
Even though the paper conceptualizes risks same time, the paper expects to contribute to the
as a product of hazard, exposure, and vulnerability, DRM knowledge base by capturing issues that have
multiple studies often do not incorporate both hazard emerged from national efforts making sure they in-
and vulnerability factors when evaluating drought form the Sahel regional/international development
risk (Rajsekhar et al., 2015). As such, the primary context and risk reduction processes.
objective of this study is to contextualize the crucial
role of climate change-related risk reduction into 2. Material and methods
development as a tool to induce Climate-Resilient
Pathways in the Sahel, based on the risk profile and
2.1. Data and method
Human Development levels (Human Development
Index –HDI) of a Sahelian Archipelagic Country
–Cabo Verde. The paper assesses the observed im- This study presents analysis and discussion in
pacts of historical hydrometeorological events and the global, regional, and continental perspectives,
disasters during the beginning of the 21st century targeting a Small Island Developing States (SIDS)
and a compact characterization of natural hazard in the Sahel, Cabo Verde. The paper aims to provide
events in Cabo Verde from 1900 to 2018, against policymakers and civil society with an up-to-date
national and regional Human Development Index. outline about the usefulness of combined Disaster
It seeks to provide policymakers and civil society Risk Management (DRM) methodologies to unders-
with an up-to-date outline about the usefulness of tand what kind of risk management is necessary and
combined DRM methodologies to understand what what kind of governance improvement it needs, by
kind of risk management is necessary and what kind discussing the observed impacts of climate change
of governance improvement can be achieved to fill on development. Therefore, three sections structure
DRR knowledge gaps based on the Caboverdian the paper. Initially, it discusses and makes a corre-
situational analysis by understanding the govern- lation of national risk profile with human develo-
ment’s capabilities, capacities, and business envi- pment levels based on the Human Development
ronment. As the measurement of multidimensional Index (HDI) inside the Sahel. Putting the political
vulnerability remains immature; systematic effort situation of Cabo Verde in context, the research
and sustained development of a more coherent, adopted an approach to understanding the historical
high-resolution understanding of vulnerability in patterns of risks, vulnerability, and development.
society can enrich the operational and political The paper assessed the observed impacts of the most
dimensions of risk management (UNDRR, 2019). current disaster event in the country —droughts
253 FERREIRA COSTA, C. G. Disaster risk management as a process to forge climate-resiliant pathways...
aspects of climate sustainability, risk reduction, advocate for action for people affected by forgotten
and development in the country responding to or unrecognized crises. The paper used a concept
the cascading and interlinked nature of risk and of risk that is equivalent to that of vulnerability. In
vulnerability. this work, exposure and vulnerability —equivalent
Methodologically, the paper relies on the to sensitivity —, and coping capacity —equivalent
method of data and text analysis as an essential to adaptive capacity —have been adopted to support
approach comparing data and information from the correlation of concepts of risk, vulnerability,
various sources related to disaster management and and exposure with human development levels. In
emergency response. Moreover, the paper is funda- this regard, to address vulnerability adequately,
mentally built around the integration of the Compo- the paper provided a framework for identifying
nents 1 and 2 of the Mainstreaming Adaptation and the social, economic, and environmental causes of
Disaster Reduction into Development (MADRiD) a disaster based on recognized international meth-
program methodology, and data collection from a odologies. This combination of methodologies is
global, open-source risk assessment for humanitar- innovative because it helps in the harmonization
ian crises and disasters database —the 2019 Index and linking of policy, planning, and programming
for Risk Management (INFORM) (http://www. frameworks for DRR and CCA within the broader
inform-index.org/). The primary responsibility of context of poverty reduction and sustainable devel-
INFORM is to fill knowledge gaps regarding disas- opment agendas. At the same time, it is useful to
ter events in Cabo Verde, being supported by data bridge DRM knowledge gaps between historically
collected from the EM-DAT website (http://www. incomplete disaster impact assessments and ill-in-
emdat.be/database) —average 21st century —to formed policy formulation by re-directing policy
contextualize country/regional/continental´s risk attention to the underlying causes of vulnerability
profile, based on level estimates on disaster events rather than to its results and negative impacts that
(especially droughts), people killed and affected, as follow triggering events such as drought (WDCC,
well as economic damage (based on available data). 1998). Furthermore, the study paid considerable
The INFORM Index and the EM-DAT inte- attention to the emergence of a general corporate
grated a massive amount of information about risk social responsibility framework for all emergency
and vulnerability. The analysis envisaged three operations in the country, according to the nature
dimensions of risk: (i) hazards and exposure, (ii) and urgency of the recent drought event, generating
vulnerability; and, (iii) the coping capacity dimen- the potential of envisage the alignment of coherent
sions, allowing the graphic visualization of the natural and social systems in the design of policies
country at the regional level, which contributed and investments at all scales.
to a shared understanding of risk in its context.
The research approach reflected the UNISDR´s
definition of risk and disasters to draw reliable
information on the risk profile to support adequate
decision-making analysis, as well as to justify and
255 FERREIRA COSTA, C. G. Disaster risk management as a process to forge climate-resiliant pathways...
temperatures, which is expected to increase by 0.7 to little, if any, reduction in risk, indicating that reactive
2.5o C by the 2060s, and by 1.2 to 3.7o C by the 2090s crisis management usually defines the management
(McSweeney, 2010; IPCC, 2013). pattern of droughts historically (Karami, 2009). On
Human-generated greenhouse gases and atmo- this subject, disaster and recurrent drought events
spheric particles were affecting global drought risk as have multiple impacts on socio-economic sectors and
far back as the early 20th century, connecting human- development. These impacts are expected to increase
generated emissions and drought at near-global in the coming years due to the non-stationary nature
scales (Marvel et al., 2019), reducing agricultural of climate variability and change (Dabanli, 2018).
productivity, and generating food crises over the 20th In this context, drought risk can be understood
century and at the beginning of the 21st century. In as a common effect of drought hazard (likelihood)
the specific case of Cabo Verde. It might have acted and drought consequence (vulnerability). Often,
synergically to an acceleration of rural exodus and droughts have their frequency, duration, and severity
migration (both among islands and internationally). determining drought hazard as drought impacts on
Despite the commotion food crisis in the Sahel often different levels, ecosystems, society, and the economy
causes in the Western world. Often, Caboverdian food according to their correlation on the vulnerability of
national crisis usually goes unnoticed due to several the affected system (GWP CEE, 2014). In this respect,
factors related to limited appeal and influence in re- the paper admits that drought vulnerability and risk
gional and international terms. Also, due to the high assessments are essential parts of a better understand-
frequency of drought events and the erratic nature of ing of the drought phenomenon. The paper adopts a
disaster management in the country, local society has linkage of vulnerability and risk based on hydro-me-
generally moved from one disaster to another with teorological and actual socio-economic data for Cabo
257 FERREIRA COSTA, C. G. Disaster risk management as a process to forge climate-resiliant pathways...
FIGURE 1 – Cabo Verde risk profile (2018), and 2009-2018 trends for selected hazard and exposure, vulnerability, and coping capacity indicators.
SOURCE: Adapted from INFORM (2019).
TABLE 2 – Total number of people affected by hydrometeorological disasters (average 21st century and 2018).
Table 3 – Death toll by hydrometeorological disasters (average 21st century and 2018).
Event Average (2000-2017) 2018
Drought 1,361 0
Extreme Temperature 10,414 536
Flood 5,424 2,859
Storm 12,722 1,593
Total 29,921 4,988
SOURCE: Adapted from EM-DAT (2018): the emergency events database -Université Catholique de Louvain (UCL) -CRED (2018), D. Guha-
-Sapir -www.emdat.be, Brussels, Belgium, 2018.
259 FERREIRA COSTA, C. G. Disaster risk management as a process to forge climate-resiliant pathways...
FIGURE 2 – Map of Sahel.
SOURCE: Adapted from blankmap-africa2.png (WC, 2018). Modifications made by Dr. Ferreira Costa. Sahelian African land is shown in orange
on the lines of 200mm (north), and 600mm (south) mean 20th-century annual rainfall. It includes the islands of Cabo Verde, but not includes
other areas in Africa with the same rainfall statistics.
On this matter, the location of Sahel corres- CCAPS, 2014; Porkka et al., 2016; FAO et al., 2018).
ponds to the geographic area occupying the southern All recent decades commenced in the early 1970s,
belt of the Sahara Desert and Tuareg settlements have witnessed reports on drought, which is seen by
(FES, 2011; STRATFOR, 2012). Even though the many authors to be both widespread and persistent,
limits of Sahel are a subject of some dispute (EU, having a significant and long-lasting negative impact
2012), in this research, we adopt a broad definition. on human development (Agnew & Chappel, 2000;
The paper refers to the Sahel as the space delimited Hall et al., 2014; Masih et al., 2014; Miyan, 2015).
by the Sahara in the north, the Atlantic Ocean in Besides, a combination of factors including violent
the west, the Red Sea Basin in the east and extreme extremism, abject poverty, demographic explosion,
north of Nigeria/Cameroon in the south, as the ‘bro- high food prices, low agricultural production, as well
ader Sahara’ geopolitical region within which that as the inability of affected households to recover from
inserts the Sahel. In this regard, the Sahel region of the incessant food and nutrition crisis, exacerbated
West Africa is well known as a region of conflict, the region’s vulnerability posing immense challenges
environmental degradation, food insecurity, water for 150 million people across the Sahel (WB, 2011;
scarcity, drought, and desertification (Algamal, 2011; Porkka et al., 2016; OCHA, 2013; 2017; 2018). In
WB, 2011; EU, 2012; Couttenier & Soubeyran, 2013; this sense, conflict and drought remain at the pri-
261 FERREIRA COSTA, C. G. Disaster risk management as a process to forge climate-resiliant pathways...
risk from humanitarian crises and disasters that could for disaster and emergency response represented
overwhelm national response capability. From the 12 a situation that started to change in 2017 (GoCV,
countries in the world with the highest overall risk, 2017a) when the International Community started
six states are part of the Sahel Cluster (Chad, Ethio- to invest massively in risk reduction in the country.
pia, Nigeria, Sudan, and South Sudan presenting Very Historical limited institutional capacity, as well as
High risk, and Mali at a High Risk), according to the a strong focus on reactive response to disasters,
INFORM Global Crisis Severity Index. exarcebated the underlying factors driving risk ma-
nagement at the national level — especially those
3.1.3. The current disaster risk management related to climate change (WB, 2018a). Since then,
and climate-resilient development strategies the country has sought to strengthen its institutional
in the caboverdian context and legal DRM/DRR and CCA frameworks to ensu-
re risk-informed sectoral policy and infrastructure
Despite the history of natural hazards in the (ACP-EU, 2019), and territorial planning, as well as
country. Until recently, there was no clear mandate increasing the financial capacity to manage impacts
for Disaster Risk Management (DRM) in Cabo associated with disaster and climate-related shocks.
Verde. An almost complete absence of adequate Di- Politics in Cabo Verde have been consensus-
saster Risk Reduction (DRR) financial instruments -oriented since its independence from Portugal in
FIGURE 3 – Human development index for selected sahelian countries compared to the sahel cluster and the world 2018 index values (values
of 2017).
SOURCE: Adapted from HDI, 2018; Human Development Index (HDI) values: (i) very high human development -0.894; (ii) high human
development -0.757; (iii) medium human development -0.645; low human development -0.504.
263 FERREIRA COSTA, C. G. Disaster risk management as a process to forge climate-resiliant pathways...
1975. Besides, Cabo Verde has not experienced a and proximity to Europe and Latin American cou-
single coup d’état since then. Parties in power al- ntries (WB, 2019).
ternate regularly through free and fair elections. In As a result, the country graduated recently
recent years, policy reforms included attention to from the Least Developed Country category (LDC)
increase long-term resilience and ability to recover in 2007, due to broad government development
from the adverse impacts of disasters including ef- interventions in non-agricultural sectors. Particu-
forts to make the country more resilient to climate larly on this matter, the graduation from the LDC
change following its Sustainable Development category further raised a new set of challenges to
Strategic Plan 2017-2021, and adopting concepts of finance sustainable development in the country. The
DRM and CCA integration in its National Disaster graduation coincided with the global financial crisis
Risk Reduction Strategy. (2008), driving Cabo Verde into the middle-income
Despite the challenges associated with being a trap (UNDESA, 2015, 2018a, 2018b; OECD, 2019).
SIDS economy, Cabo Verde witnessed spectacular From 2009 through 2015, economic growth decele-
social and economic progress between 1990 and rated significantly, a result of the protracted impact
2008, driven mainly by the rapid development of of the global financial crisis. Countercyclical fiscal
all-inclusive tourist resorts (WB, 2019). Between measures did not restore growth and instead led to
2001 and 2015, the country experienced an essential a sharp increase in the stock of debt (WB, 2019).
reduction in poverty rates, driven by the economic As poverty both in the country and in the
growth of the service sector —according to the Sahel subregion has usually been defined in abso-
national poverty line, the poverty headcount de- lute terms, and these countries have been marked
creased from 57.9% to 35%, and extreme poverty by persistent inequality, as measured by relatively
dropped from 30.2% to 10.6%. Although poverty high food, water, and socioeconomic insecurity.
rates in urban areas were 27.7%, and 48.3% in rural The mismanagement of the transition, not targeting
areas and income inequality remained high in 2015 ample country priorities, being limited to specific
(Gini of 47.2, in 2007) (WB, 2019). Currently, the sectors, certainly added further risks to development
Government of Cabo Verde (GoCV) enhanced a go- setbacks in the country (OECD, 2019).
vernance framework for the tourism sector to carry Moreover, the Caboverdian characteristics
out the country’s tourism diversification agenda. of insularity and geographical disparity, as well
Aimed at better attract, facilitate, retain, and grow as disperse small populations, amplifies national
investment by diversifying tourism sector and in- vulnerability. Even though Human Development in
creasing the inclusiveness of tourism-led growth by Cabo Verde has made great strides, rising regional
strengthening the competitiveness of local Micro, inequalities and poverty across islands show the
Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) to benefit need for further actions, and the importance of
from tourism growth (WB, 2016). Tourism remains ensuring that growth is both sustainable, inclusive,
the primary driver of Cabo Verde´s economy, being and risk-informed (UNDESA, 2018a). The coun-
grounded in sunny year-round weather, beautiful try’s small population is spread across nine islands
beaches, stable democracy, limited security risks, that are scattered within a large water area, which
265 FERREIRA COSTA, C. G. Disaster risk management as a process to forge climate-resiliant pathways...
creation of a permanent Technical Steering Team the primary concern is responding to the negative
(ETP) —an Inter-Ministerial Task Force —respon- impacts of climate change, taking both short- and
sible for the management and the implementation long-term approaches to managing adaptation in
of the EP. The ETP counted with clear orientations the face of the changing climate even though there
about coordination and responsibilities to fill public is no one-size-fits-all approach to adapt (ODI &
governance gaps by exploring related society-stake- CDKN, 2014).
holders-government interactions for risk reduction, The magnitude of the drought crisis, and
emergency response, and future climate resilience financial and economic limitations raised by the
building. The government approach adopted a ge- graduation from the LDC category, along with the
neral corporate social responsibility framework for stock of public debt that rose from 126 to 129.1
all emergency operations. It included the analysis of percent of GDP in 2018, maintains the country at
different institutional articulation and cooperation a high risk of external debt distress —although the
between involved actors, institutional cooperation current account deficit fell to 4.9% of GDP in 2018
with specialized development agencies, as well as (WB, 2019). Nonetheless, the grand ambitions in
the design of participatory approaches involving the the Government Drought Emergency Plan, were
beneficiaries, the central and local administration not followed by the design and implementation of
authorities, the private sector, and civil society innovative financial strategies and mechanisms to
organizations (GoCV, 2017b). In this sense, the support interventions. Without fiscal space to deal
usefulness of this approach in the long run, as well with the drought crisis, the country was forced to
as its replicability to other contexts, is going to be pledged resources of the order of US$ 8,225,806
subject to further analysis in additional research. among international partners, as well as ask for
The intervention strategy also included the other forms of foreign technical assistance. Un-
phasing out of actions according to their nature fortunately, the proportion of resources devoted to
and urgency guided by the adoption of spatial stra- strengthening the institutional capacity of the central
tegies to conduct data and information collected and local governments to respond to drought events
in the field, assessment analysis, dissemination of was marginal, limited to 1,31% of the total expected
information, and the implementation of awareness- budget (US$ 107,527).
-raising campaigns through official communication The phases of the Government Drought Emer-
channels. The approach tried to ensure consisten- gency Plan (EP), with national coverage, were de-
cy of actions and to reconfigure resource access, signed to run for 18 months, began in March 2018.
control, and crisis management (GoCV, 2017b). The proposed actions were targeted to mitigate the
Although climate change responses can contribute effects of the drought event in the country, being
significantly to climate-resilient development pa- implemented by the Government of Cabo Verde
thways, some of the critical elements of resilience (GoCV), and supported by FAO, based on three
lie in sustainable development implementation cor- pillars: (i) livestock rescue; (ii) management of
relating benefits from individual indicator progress water scarcity; and, (iii) creation of jobs for affected
with the others (Denton et al., 2014). In this regard, families. In its first design, the drought management
267 FERREIRA COSTA, C. G. Disaster risk management as a process to forge climate-resiliant pathways...
climate-related risks. Besides, it aims to develop integrated with the establishment of participatory
channels to drive investment for the safety and re- approaches involving the beneficiaries, is central to
silience of existing public and private infrastructure local administration authorities, the private sector,
and redesigning its territorial planning instruments and civil society organizations achieve climate-re-
to address the ongoing urbanization and land use silient pathways.
challenges. This approach could open doors for
future policy reforms aimed at increasing long-term 4.2. Bottlenecks
resilience and ability to recover from the adverse
impacts of disasters, thereby helping support risk
Historic inefficiency of crisis management
reduction aligned with national development pro-
strategies had led to the development of insuffi-
grams and the government’s efforts to eliminate ex-
cient risk management approaches, which still
treme poverty and boost climate-resilient pathways
must evolve to support the people in vulnerable
in agricultural and non-agricultural sectors.
areas to cope with drought or different disasters
before they struck. In this regard, the persistence
4. Lessons learned: the process of building of actions over time, and the proper allocation of
climate change-related risk reduction aimed already available resources seems to rise as funda-
at achieving climate-resilient pathways mental issues. Furthermore, foreign dependency
appears to be still acting as a shaping factor both
4.1. Benefits in the country and in the Sahel, limiting ambition
and the adoption of local solutions and keeping the
Disaster Risk Reduction and Climate Change affected livelihoods more vulnerable to the next
Adaptation mainstreaming are continuous processes disaster event. Policymakers and civil society need
that many times evolve unsteadily as the awareness to take an honest look at its disaster preparedness
of vulnerabilities and risks in society are built, and and development choices, trying to balance often
new uncertainties and opportunities arise. The awa- contested development goals —which in many
reness regarding DRR and CCA and their integration cases are not adequately integrated into relevant
into territorial planning offer the opportunity to push contexts where Human Development is unequal.
forward the development agenda through policy, The recent drought event highlighted the challenge
legislative, and institutional reforms by allowing the of acquiring bridging DRM and climate finance to
development of a DRM sensitive approach-based support preparedness, as the urgency of the impacts
that recognizes both local and regional needs and of disasters, especially drought, usually requires
common planning strategies for uncertainty. The visioning, resources, anticipated planning, and
embedded an improved institutional articulation adequate management of time.
that can emerge from the synergy created between
design thinking and decision-making processes
among involved actors, institutional cooperation,
269 FERREIRA COSTA, C. G. Disaster risk management as a process to forge climate-resiliant pathways...
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