Professional Documents
Culture Documents
DECISION MAKING
By John B. Loomis1
ABSTRACT: Economic valuation of environmental uses of water resources has the potential to bring a more
balanced perspective to the allocation and management of water resources. Environmental valuation allows water
resource benefits received by nontraditional water users in society to be included in benefit-cost analyses. This
allows for a more formal consideration in the decision-making process that is on par with historic uses of water.
Some environmental valuation methods follow traditional economic approaches such as estimating the demand
curve for recreation as a function of water flow or water quality. Other environmental valuation approaches
utilize surveys to create simulated markets for public uses of water resources. These valuation methods are
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capable of monetizing the economic values of instream flow and water-based recreation as well as the value of
preserving habitat for endangered species. Government-agency use of these environmental values and techniques
in their resource analyses is presented. Several case studies illustrate how environmental valuation has been used
to evaluate hydropower regulation at Glen Canyon Dam, hydropower relicensing, dam removal, and public trust
benefits of water versus municipal uses.
INTRODUCTION Fish versus 28,000 People?’’ The implication was that provid-
ing water for fish in the tributary streams flowing into Mono
How valuable is the economic valuation work of economists Lake deprived people of benefits. In addition to being an un-
is a good question, and one frequently heard (Vatn and Brom- productive way to view the issue, surveys of the California
ley 1994). Posed a different way, ‘‘Are the benefits of these citizenry showed this was a false dichotomy. People cared
studies, in terms of more efficient use of water resources, about the fish and the birds as well as the Mono Lake eco-
worth the costs of these studies?’’ This is a tough question, system (Loomis 1987). Using the hypothetical market method
one asked in many fields including weather forecasting and described below, the dollar sacrifice these people would make
flood prediction. Given that policy decisions are (and should to provide water for fish and birds could be quantified and
be) affected by many concerns in addition to economic effi- compared to the replacement cost of water from other sources
ciency (e.g., distributional equity, sustainability, etc.), it is rare including agricultural and municipal water conservation.
to be able to point to any one information source in the policy The state of California’s Water Resources Control Board
process and say it was the definitive factor. Nonetheless, the was sufficiently impressed with the initial household survey
increased scrutiny that environmental valuation techniques measuring the existence values from just knowing Mono Lake
such as contingent valuation surveys have received by the oil would be preserved, that they required the contractor preparing
industry and politicians suggests the results of these methods the state’s Environmental Impact Report to perform a far more
must matter. But, lest one has the impression that environ- thorough hypothetical market analysis. The economic values
mental valuation is the exclusive tool of natural resource pro- from that survey were published in the Environmental Impact
tection advocates, industry uses environmental valuation when Report. These dollars of willingness to pay to protect the
it suits their needs as well. For example, large power compa- Mono Lake ecosystem were counted dollar for dollar as equiv-
nies such as Pacific Gas and Electric (PG&E) and Idaho Power alent to hydropower and water supply benefits and costs in the
have relied upon environmental valuation techniques to pro- economic analysis of the different water allocation alternatives
vide some balance to the unconstrained demands of state agen- (Jones and Stokes Associates 1993). In the end, the state or-
cies for greater instream flows. Although valuation is not all dered the flows into Mono Lake to be increased and Los An-
that should matter, valuation can contribute to improving so- geles’s water rights to be reduced by nearly half (Loomis
cial decision making by balancing one-sided recommendations 1995). While air and water quality concerns were the driving
by industry or public agencies. force in this decision, being able to show that such water real-
Environmental valuation techniques can also have a more locations were not uneconomic probably aided in making such
profound role in water resource debates; in many cases, these a dramatic change. This is one of the many examples of the
valuation studies have changed the nature of those debates. utility of environmental valuation in water resource decision
Perhaps the best example of this is in the public trust case making that will be provided in the remainder of the paper.
involving tributary water flows into Mono Lake in California However, a description of the economic techniques used to
versus diverting such flows for municipal and industrial uses produce the estimates of environmental values will be given.
in Los Angeles. These diversions were drying up tributary
streams and lowering the lake level. In 1983 the California What Is Environmental Valuation?
State Supreme Court required a reevaluation of the city of Los
Angeles’s 1941 water rights and required a balancing of the Environmental valuation attempts to estimate the economic
public trust uses of water. The Los Angeles Department of value, in dollar terms, that members of society receive from
Water and Power cast the reevaluation debate in terms of ‘‘300 uses of natural resources that cannot be efficiently allocated
through markets due to their public good characteristics such
1
Prof. and Economist, Dept. of Agric. and Resour. Economics, Colo- as being nonrival (one person’s use of instream flow does not
rado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO 80523. diminish another person’s use) and nonexcludable (once drink-
Note. Discussion open until May 1, 2001. To extend the closing date ing water quality is improved for one resident in a city, another
one month, a written request must be filed with the ASCE Manager of city resident cannot be precluded from enjoying this same im-
Journals. The manuscript for this paper was submitted for review and
possible publication on June 14, 2000. This paper is part of the Journal
proved level of water quality). Yet recreational fishing and
of Water Resources Planning and Management, Vol. 126, No. 6, No- boating at higher instream flows or improved water quality
vember/December, 2000. 䉷ASCE, ISSN 0733-9496/00/0006-0339– provide an economic benefit to its participants even if a formal
0344/$8.00 ⫹ $.50 per page. Paper No. 22293. market does not exist. It is a benefit for which they would, if
JOURNAL OF WATER RESOURCES PLANNING AND MANAGEMENT / NOVEMBER/DECEMBER 2000 / 339
visitors live different distances from the site, the analyst can that appear to allow calibration of stated WTP amounts to
observe how the number of trips taken varies with variations actual cash contributions (Champ et al. 1997). However, con-
in travel costs to the site. Essentially, spatially varying prices cerns with CVM WTP responses are not limited to only di-
are observed. Thus the demand curve can be estimated by vergence between actual cash and hypothetical WTP. Concerns
multiple regression using this cross section data on travel costs also exist as to whether the stated WTP is responsive to var-
(as proxies for price) and number of trips taken each season. iations in the amount of the public good provided (i.e., what
By observing how recreation visitation changes with increased is known as sensitivity to scope). There are also concerns re-
river flows, higher reservoir levels, and improved water qual- garding the discouraging result that stated WTP is often sen-
ity, economists can statistically estimate the demand shifts for sitive to the format of the WTP question (e.g., open-ended
improved water resource conditions. From these demand versus closed-ended formats) and to the temporal duration of
shifts, the additional dollar amount a typical visitor would pay payments (e.g., monthly versus annual versus lump sum). Thus
for the improved water resource condition can be calculated. it is not surprising that decision makers often use results from
These incremental benefits can be compared to the opportunity CVM surveys of the general public as indicative of their in-
costs to other water resource users or to government agencies tensity of preferences, but the exact dollar values may not be
for bringing about these improvements in water resource char- as heavily relied upon as they are in recreation analyses.
acteristics. There are dozens of applications of the TCM for The importance of existence values is evident in the fact
estimating the economic value of instream flow and hundreds that they often dwarf the recreation use values and the oppor-
of studies on the economic value of fishing [see Gillian and tunity costs of protecting water resources in valuation studies.
Brown (1997), Loomis and Walsh (1997), and Industrial Ec- For example, in the original Mono Lake CVM analysis
onomics Inc. (1999) for summaries]. (Loomis 1987), even the lower-bound estimate of the benefits
Recreation, however, is only part of the story. As mentioned exceeded the cost by far more than the hypothetical bias pos-
in the Mono Lake case, many individuals who may never fish sible in CVM (e.g., $1.525 billion in benefits versus
or boat still receive some benefits from just knowing that free $26,500,000 in costs). The phenomenon of large benefits is
flowing rivers exist (Sanders et al. 1990) or that salmon mi- partly a result of what economists call the public good nature
grations will continue as part of the cycle of life in that region of existence values. Small values per household of $30–$150/
(Olsen et al. 1991). The benefits realized by those that never year when multiplied by 10,000,000 households in California,
visit the natural environment or never actively participate in for example, result in substantial aggregate estimates of total
on-site use of the resource are known as existence values or benefits. Recent empirical analyses suggest that for many nat-
passive use values (U.S. District Court 1989; Olsen et al. ural resources, such as protection of salmon in the Pacific
1991). In these cases, many households would be willing to Northwest, the benefits extend nationally to nearly
pay (WTP) for protection of water resources. Today, these val- 100,000,000 households (Loomis 1996).
ues are quantified through a hypothetical referendum, where
households are asked if they would vote in favor of a particular AGENCY AND COURT ACCEPTANCE OF
resource protection action, if it cost their household $X. The NONMARKET VALUATION
amount of $X varies across households, so that a demandlike Federal agencies were among the first government agencies
relationship can be statistically estimated. From this statistical to adopt CVM for use in benefit-cost analysis of water resource
relationship, the sample average WTP is calculated. This ques- issues. Beginning in 1979, federal agencies such as the U.S.
tioning technique is one form of what is commonly referred Army Corps of Engineers (COE) and the U.S. Bureau of Rec-
to as the contingent valuation method (CVM). CVM is based lamation were required to use the TCM and CVMs to value
on surveys, not actual consumption choices, and can be used recreation benefits at projects with high visitation levels (U.S.
to value either recreation or existence values. Water Resources Council 1979, 1983). During the 1980s the
There is of course some skepticism regarding the reliability COE had its economists attend training courses on TCM and
of statements of WTP. As such, CVM has been subjected to CVM. In addition, the agency published manuals on how to
more testing and scrutiny than most empirical methods in ec- perform the CVM (Moser and Dunning 1986). Since the early
onomics. For example, nearly every feature of survey design 1990s, the U.S. Forest Service has conducted annual training
has been tested to determine which approach yields the most sessions for its fisheries/wildlife biologists in nonmarket val-
reliable results. For estimating the nonmarket benefits of rec- uation theory and techniques. Today, the U.S. Bureau of Rec-
reation, CVM results in estimates of WTP that are slightly less lamation maintains a staff of several economists who are
than estimates based on actual behavior using methods such trained in and publish in the area of environmental valuation.
as the TCM. This has been a fairly consistent finding over When Congress passed the Comprehensive Environmental
dozens of CVM studies covering fishing, rafting, hunting, Response, Compensation and Liability Act (CERCLA) of
camping, etc. (Carson et al. 1996). 1980, the U.S. Department of Interior adopted TCM and CVM
The validity of CVM derived estimates of WTP for exis- as two methods for valuing the loss in recreation and existence
tence values or passive use values is less encouraging. In part, values from toxic waste sites and hazardous materials spills
340 / JOURNAL OF WATER RESOURCES PLANNING AND MANAGEMENT / NOVEMBER/DECEMBER 2000
sive’ use, but they nonetheless reflect utility derived by humans et al. 1995). Although it is difficult to point to any one study
from a resource, and thus prima facie, ought to be included in as definitively affecting the management of Glen Canyon
a damage assessment’’ (U.S. District Court of Appeals 1989, Dam, the public support combined with concerns over endan-
p. 67). gered fish have resulted in substantial changes in the manage-
The Exxon Valdez oil spill of 1989 put CVM in the spot- ment of the dam. For example, large spills were made during
light. Fearing damage estimates of several billion dollars, the spring of 1995 to emulate the natural high spring flows.
Exxon spent heavily on economists, their studies, and a well-
orchestrated by invitation only workshop to try and discredit Maintaining Reservoir Levels for Recreation
CVM as a tool for measuring existence values. However, when
Congress passed the Oil Pollution Act of 1990, the responsible In the eastern United States, the Tennessee Valley Authority
agency, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration operates a large number of dams for hydropower, flood con-
(NOAA), recommended that CVM be used to measure the rec- trol, and recreation. Historic operation involved operating res-
reation and passive use values lost due to oil spills. Given the ervoirs primarily for hydropower and flood control. The result
controversy surrounding this recommendation, NOAA ap- was that reservoir levels typically peaked in the spring and
pointed a ‘‘blue ribbon’’ panel chaired by two Nobel laureates early summer and were drawn down to produce peaking power
to assess the reliability of the CVM for measuring passive use in the summer (Cordell and Bergstrom 1993). This resulted in
values. In its report in 1993, the panel concluded that carefully reservoir drawdowns of 11–28 ft and 6–24% less surface area
designed and implemented CVM studies could provide esti- during the mid- to late summer season. In addition to reducing
mates of passive use/existence values that would serve as a aesthetics of the reservoir for recreation and crowding existing
useful starting point for administrative and judicial decisions users into a smaller reservoir area, the drawdown made some
(Arrow et al. 1993). [See Jones (2000) for a more detailed boat ramp and marina facilities inaccessible. The Tennessee
discussion of the use of nonmarket valuation techniques and Valley Authority and North Carolina Division of Water Re-
CVM in the natural resource damage assessment arena.] sources commissioned a CVM study of the benefits of alter-
native water management levels in the reservoirs to provide
EXAMPLES OF NONMARKET VALUATIONS USED IN estimates comparable to foregone hydropower costs. The
WATER RESOURCE POLICY ANALYSES CVM survey was conducted using photosimulations of the
lake at alternative levels. Visitors were asked if they would
Glen Canyon Environmental Studies pay for an annual recreation pass that would result in higher
water levels for 1 additional month, 2 months, and 3 months
One of the most prominent uses of CVM, sponsored by the of the summer season. Annual WTP increased from $42/year
U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, occurred in an evaluation of the with current early season drawdown to $75 with higher water
economic effects of reregulating the flow releases from Glen levels maintained for the full 3-month summer season (Cordell
Canyon Dam on the Colorado River. Peaking power opera- and Bergstrom 1993, p. 255). Annual benefits to the four res-
tions at the dam were having a deleterious effect on down- ervoirs alone where the interviews were conducted was
stream fishing and rafting at Glen Canyon National Recreation $13,580,000. The authors concluded the gain in recreational
Area and Grand Canyon National Park. The central question benefits at the four reservoirs from holding higher water levels
was about the worth of the recreation compared to the market longer in the prime recreation season exceeded the hydro-
values of the peaking power. The first studies carried out used power generation losses but not the sum of these losses and
CVM to quantify how the value of fishing in Glen Canyon the costs of replacing the power generation capacity (Cordell
National Recreation Area and rafting in Grand Canyon Na- and Bergstrom 1993).
tional Park would change with more even base flows as com-
pared to peaking power flows. Visitors were surveyed in the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Relicensing
mid-1980s. The economic effects were substantial, represent- Decisions
ing changes of $2,000,000 annually (Bishop et al. 1989). But
the impact of this analysis was greater considering the way it Environmental valuation has also been used in the Federal
helped change the perspective of the management issue than Energy Regulatory Commission’s (FERC) deliberations over
for the numerical values it provided. Rather than recreation the level of minimum instream flow conditions to attach to 50-
versus hydropower, the report turned the discussion toward year operating licenses. One of the strongest indications of the
finding a release pattern that increased the economic value of difference that environmental valuation could make was in the
all the multiple purposes, hydropower as well as recreation. FERC case involving whether to permit construction of a dam
For a variety of reasons, even more releases were put in place at Kootenai Falls in Montana. The economist who performed
while the final environmental impact studies took place. Con- the CVM analysis and presented it before the administrative
gress formalized these flows when it passed the Grand Canyon law judge in the court case wrote this about the outcome: ‘‘The
Protection Act of 1992. judge’s decision turned on the aesthetics and recreation values.
The Glen Canyon recreation study also resulted in one of This is an interesting case in that not only was contingent
JOURNAL OF WATER RESOURCES PLANNING AND MANAGEMENT / NOVEMBER/DECEMBER 2000 / 341