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8 International Aspect of FM - Jan 2012
8 International Aspect of FM - Jan 2012
1. Background
The motivation to invest capital in a foreign country is to provide a return in excess of that
required. There may be gaps in foreign market where excess returns can be earned.
Domestically, competitive pressures may be such that only a normal rate of return can be
earned. Although expansion into foreign market is the reason for most investment abroad, there
are other reasons. Some firm invest in order to produce more efficiently. Another country may
offer lower labor and other lower costs, thus a company will chose to locate production
facilities there in the quest for lower operating costs. Some companies invest abroad to secure
necessary raw materials. All these pursuit – markets, production facilities, and raw materials –
are in keeping with the objective of securing a higher rate of return than is possible through
domestic operations alone.
ii. Compute home currency equivalent at expected exchange rate (exchange rate is
the number of unit of one currency that may be purchased with one unit of
another currency)
iii. Determine the Net Present Value of the project using home required rate of
return, with the rate adjusted for any risk premium effect associated with the
foreign investment.
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8. INTERNATIONAL ASPECT OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
Because political risk has a serious influence on the overall risk of an investment project, it
must be realistically assessed. Essentially, the job is one of forecasting political instability
by answering below questions:
Answers to these questions should give considerable insight into the political risk involved
in an investment. Some companies have categorized countries according to their political
risk. If a country is classified in the undesirable category, probably no investment will be
permitted, no matter how high its expected return.
Once a company decides to invest in a foreign country, it should take steps to protect itself.
By cooperating with the host country in hiring local nationals, making the right type of
investment, and acting responsibly in other ways political risk can be reduced. A joint
venture with a company in host country can improve the public image of the operations.
Indeed, in some countries a joint venture may be the only way to do business, because
direct ownership, particularly of manufacturing is prohibited. The risk of expropriation also
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8. INTERNATIONAL ASPECT OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
can be reduced by making the subsidiary dependent on the parent for technology, market
and/or supplies. A foreign government is reluctant to expropriate if the enterprise is not self
–sustaining. In addition, political risk insurance may be warranted. Insurance or guarantee
against various political risk can be purchased from number of private insurance
companies, like Llyoids of London, and various international and governmental agencies
such as Multinational Insurance Guarantee Agency (MIGA), Agency for International
Development (AID), The Export-Import Bank of United State (Eximbank), and Overseas
Private Investment Corporation (OPIC). The political risk covered may include
expropriation, currency inconvertibility, war and revolution. In any e vent, the time to look
hardest at political risk is before the investment is made.
In this regard, the spot exchange rate represents the number of units of one currency that can be
exchanged for another for immediately delivery. The currencies of major countries are traded
in active market, where rates are determined by forces of supply and demand. Quotation can be
in terms of domestic currency or in terms of foreign currency.
Currency risk can be brought of as the volatility of the exchange rate of one currency for
another.
Spot exchange rate is distinguished from the forward exchange rate. Forward transactions
involve an agreement today for settlement in future. It might be the delivery of 1000 USD 120
days hence, where the settlement rate is 1,400 TZS per US Dollar. The forward exchange rate
usually differs from the spot exchange rate.
There are three types of exchange rate risk exposure with which we are concerned:
- Translation exposure
- Transactions exposure
- Economic exposure
Translation Exposure
Relate to change in accounting income and financial position caused by changes in
exchange rates on converting financial statements from one currency to another.
Transactions Exposure
Involve the gain or loss that occurs when settling a specific foreign transaction. The
transaction might be the purchase or sale of a product, the lending or borrowing of funds,
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8. INTERNATIONAL ASPECT OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
Economic Exposure
Is the change in value of a company that accompanies an unanticipated change in exchange
rates. We distinguish anticipated from unanticipated. Anticipated changes in exchange rates
are already reflected in the market value of the firm.
Globally Domestically
Determined Determined
Scenario 1*
Pricing X
Cost X
Scenario 2*
Pricing X
Cost X
Scenario 3
Pricing X
Cost X
Scenario 4
Pricing X
Cost X
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8. INTERNATIONAL ASPECT OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
A key concern for the financial manager is the degree of exchange rate risk exposure
that remains after any natural hedging. This remaining exposure then can be hedged
using operating or currency market hedges.
If the currency were going to appreciate in value, opposite steps should be undertaken.
However, without knowledge of the future direction of currency value movements,
aggressive policies in either direction are inappropriate. Under most circumstances we
are unable to predict the future, so the best policy may be one of balancing monetary
assets against liabilities to neutralize the effect of exchange rate fluctuations,
A company with multiple foreign operations can protect itself against exchange rate
risk by adjusting its commitment to transfer funds among companies. Accelerating the
timing of payment made or received in foreign currencies is called leading, and
decelerating the timing is called lagging.
Generally the re-invoicing center is billed in the selling unit’s home currency and, in
turn bills the purchasing unit in that unit’s home currency. In this way the re-invoicing
center can then centralize and manage all intercompany transactions exposure. The
centralized positions also facilitate inter-unit netting of obligations so as to reduce the
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8. INTERNATIONAL ASPECT OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
necessary volume of actual foreign exchange transactions. Also this system allows for
more control over any leading or lagging arrangements between affiliates.
Example:
A TZ company sold coffee to a US customer for USD 1000 with credit terms of ‘net
90”. Upon payment, TZ Company intends to convert the USD into TZS. The spot and
forward rates for TZS were the following.
If a TZ company wishes to avoid exchange rate risk, it should sell USD 1000 forward
90 days. When it delivers the USD 90 days hence, it will receive 1,250,000 TZS. If spot
rate stays at TZS 1,300, of course, TZ Company would have been better off not having
sold the USD forward.
Currency Futures
Currency future market exists for major currencies of the world (USD, GBP, EUR
AUS$ etc). A future contract is a standardized agreement that calls for delivery of
currency at some specified future date, either the third Wednesday of March, June,
September or December. Contracts are traded on an exchange, and the clearinghouse of
the exchange interposes itself between the buyer and the seller. This means that all
transactions are with the clearinghouse, not made directly between two parties. Very
few contracts involve actual delivery at expiration. Rather, a buyer and a seller of
contract independently take offsetting positions to close out a contract. The seller
cancels contract by buying another contract, while the buyer can cancel a contract by
selling another contract.
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8. INTERNATIONAL ASPECT OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
Currency Options
Is a contract that a gives the holder a right to buy (call) or sell (put) a specific amount of
a foreign currency at some specified price until a certain expiration date. Currency
option enables the hedging of one sided risk contrast to forward and future contracts.
Only adverse currency movements are hedged, either with a call option to buy the
foreign currency or with a put option to sell it. The holder has a right, but not
obligation, to buy or sell the currency over the life of the contract. If not exercised, of
course the option expires. For this protection, one pays a premium.
Currency Swaps
In currency swap two parties exchange debt obligations denominated in different
currencies. Each part agrees to pay the other’s interest obligation. At maturity, principal
amounts are exchanged, usually at a rate of exchange agreed to in advance. The
exchange is notional in that only the cash flow difference is paid. If one part should
default, there is no loss of principal per se. There is however, the opportunity cost
associated with currency movements after the swap’s initiation.
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8. INTERNATIONAL ASPECT OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
Example:
Given the following Bid-Ask rates:
US$ 1.4419 - 1.4436 /£
US$ 0.6250 - 0.6267 /CHF
Steps to follow:
a. Write the required rate in terms of the given rates,
b. Bid price: Going from bottom to top, use bottom currency to buy common
currency, then use obtained common currency to buy top currency,
c. Ask price: Go from top to bottom, use top currency to buy common
currency, then use obtained common currency to buy bottom currency.
d. Present results in terms of bid-ask quotation.
+ For example if rates are per unit common currency or common currency per unit
other two currencies, then you will have to divide the rates somehow and you
will be matching bids with asks.
+ Or if the rates are in different forms (common currency in different places) then
you will be multiplying and you will match bid with bid and ask with ask.
Arbitrage process involves buying and selling currencies to benefit from inefficiencies
existing in the foreign exchange market. Here, arbitrager knows from the beginning
what is going to earn from the process.
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8. INTERNATIONAL ASPECT OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
The synthetic cross rate between TZS and GBP is obtained from calculation as:
Triangular Arbitrage:
The above diagram demonstrates how Tanzanian investors having one million TZS benefit
from exchange market inefficiencies.
Steps:
a. Convert 1Million TZS into common currency, i.e buy US$ in spot
market at spot exchange market. The transaction will lead to 747.74US$.
i.e 1
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8. INTERNATIONAL ASPECT OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
b. Buy GPB in spot market using proceeds (in common currency) from (a),
investor will get 459.63 GBP (747.74 US$ x 0.6205GBP/US$)
c. Buy TZS in spot market using GBP proceeds from (b), investor will get
TZS 1,027,272 (459.63GBP x 2,235 TZS/GBP)
The profit made is TZS 27,272. This is possible only when the market of for
foreign exchange is inefficient.
Arbitrage process may not continue for long time. It will carry on until when market
equilibrium is re-established i.e. when calculated cross rate is equal to actual quotation.
The larger the difference between the actual rate and calculated cross rate the larger the
profit.
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