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Eastern Economic Journal, Vol. VIII, No. 3, July 1982
219
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220 EASTERN ECONOMIC JOURNAL
In the next section an essential feature of modern literature the DM is treated as the
the modern theory of the DM is contrasteddemand for an asset to hold and, as such, it is a
with a different concept which is referred to asstock concept.5 In this section we contrast the
the "demand for money" in many writings bytwo versions of the DM, present some repre-
19th century monetary economists. The stocksentative examples of earlier thinking, and
nature of the modern DM is shown to be show why the newer version is essential to an
important for explaining why good money explanation
is of GL.
removed from circulation and what quantityThe is earlier concept of money-demand as
used by many 19th and some early 20th
removed. In Section III 19th century and
early 20th century explanations of GLcentury
are economists can be defined as the sum
shown to be inadequate whenever the stock
of all things sold for money. By this definition,
the sale of anything for money is the seller's
concept of the demand for money is absent.
DM. The sale of labor services and IOUs
In the last part of the paper the "bad"
(consumer and mortgage debt) by households
money driven from circulation in GL is shown
constitutes much of their money demand. The
to be analytically similar to, in modern times,
a loss of international reserves (balance ofof (intermediate and final) goods by firms
sale
and the issuance of corporate debt is money
payments deficit) following an overly expan-
demand by firms. This concept is clearly a
sionary monetary policy. Since the stock con-
flow - the annual rate of money-demand is
ception of the DM is the heart of the modern
MABP (monetary approach to the balance twelve
of times money-demand per month. If
payments) while "bad" money driven from every increase in cash balances is summed
circulations is akin to a BOP deficit, the over all economic agents, the result is the
theory of G L is strikingly similar to the aggregate flow-DM.
MABP. Or, stated another way, the monetary The modern DM can be defined as the
approach to the balance of payments provides average inventory of cash balances that an
a theoretical framework for explaining Gre- economic agent desires to maintain.6 When a
sham's Law. firm issues debt to finance investment in capi-
tal equipment, its flow-DM rises but its stock-
II. Conceptions of Money-Demand and the
Operation of Gresham's Law
output) as a statement, not of the DM, but of aggregate
No attempt is made here to presentcommodity
a demand, which has (since the Keynesian
Revolution) usually been expressed as C + / + G. If,
comprehensive account of the evolution of the
following this line of argument, MV is identical to C +
demand-for-money concept. But it should be/ + G, V might depend inversely on interest rates (as does
clear from the examples cited below thatinvestment)
a rather than positively on interest rates (as
does the reciprocal of money-demand).
change has taken place over the last century.
5D.H. Robertson (1922) characterized the DM con-
In the 19th and early 20th centuries some
cepts as "money on the wing" and "money sitting." The
authors used the phrase, "demand for money"
distinction is frequently found in discussions of the trans-
to refer to a concept that we call, a "flow-
actions versus the Cambridge approach to the quantity
theory. See, for example, Eshag ( 1 963), Friedman ( 1 968)
DM." Other authors avoided using the ( 1 970), and Keynes ( 1 930, ch. 1 4).
phrase, "demand for money," altogether.4 In 6Theoretical work on the transactions DM by William
Baumöl (1952) and James Tobin (1956) characterizes
4Many readers will be quick to point out that the the DM as the average inventoryof money, and this is
DM is
captured by velocity. Although it is unquestionably what
truewe are calling the "stock-DM" for purposes of
that in the modern quantity theory V is regardedcontrast.
as The flow-DM, as used here, is not the time-
demand determined, some writers [e.g., Mill (1848, book
derivative of the stock DM. It is the sum of gross receipts
III, ch. 8), Keynes (1936, ch. 21) and (1979, ch.
of 4)]
money over time or the rate of gross receipts at a point
regarded the left-hand side of MV = Py (where yinistime.
real
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GRESHAM'S LAW AND THE MODERN THEORY OF THE DEMAND FOR MONEY 221
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222 EASTERN ECONOMIC JOURNAL
specialPatinkin
(1970). As indicated by case. As will be shown below, the
(1972), the
stock-DM isto
flow concept continued essential
beforused
determining
in the
whether
United States until the the demonetization
Keynesian of good money is
Revolution.
But the stock conception
equal to theof money-demand
introduction of bad money.
To show the role
was prevalent at Cambridge in of the
the stock-DM,
late it isnine-
useful toEshag
teenth century. Eprime construct a (1963)
simple model pointed
of Gre-
sham's Law.
out that it can be found in The model useswritings
early the same frame- of
Alfred Marshall (1887).
work of analysis which is the hall-mark of the
monetary approach
Our next task is to show why to the BOP
the [see, for
modern
example, Johnson (1972)]. Itis
stock conception of money-demand is arequired
simplified
version of the MABPof
in any adequate explanation since we abstract from
Gresham's
Law.8 It is useful to begin
the banking
with
system. Money
a representa-
is composed of a
"good" money, say,
tive statement of Gresham's gold (G)According
Law. and a "base" or
bad money
to Ralph Hawtrey (1923, (B).9 In179-80):
pp. symbols, M = Par -G + B
where Par represents the gold parity, the price
The increase in the circulating medium causes, in
of gold (in terms of the monetary unit) fixed
accordance with the quantity theory, a depreciation
of the monetary unit andby theamonetary
general authority.10
riseMonetary equi-
of prices.
librium can
This general rise of prices be expressedbut
would, as M/Pfor
= Lor Par«
the
bimetallic system, affect
G +the
B = PL less
where Lplentiful metal as
represents the stock-DM
much as other commodities, butIfas
in real terms. soon
we restrict ouras thetoprice
attention the
of this metal as bullion rises appreciably above its
price as the coins begin to be melted down or
long-run rather than the short-run and to
exported. non-hyperinflationary situations, the explana-
tory power of interest rates in the determina-
The monetization of "bad" money or paper tion of L is small compared to real income or
money will, according to the quantity theory wealth. Secular changes in real income and,
and as Hawtrey says, raise prices and this will
cause some of the internationally acceptable
9As late as the turn of this century, the term "base
money, say, gold, to be exported or melted. money" meant bad or debased money ([e.g., Breckinridge
But how much gold is displaced from domestic (1903)]. This should not be confused with the modern
circulation? The usual view is given by Simon terminology which uses "base money" for central bank
liabilities.
Newcomb:
l0The institutional arrangements underlying the deter-
mination of the price of gold at parity differ depending on
The equilibrium will be reached when the gold
whether the public holds gold coins or gold certificates
eliminated from the circulation is equal to the
convertible into gold. If the domestic currency price of
paper money which has been added. (1885, p. 413)
gold bullion is tending to rise above Par, either the cullers
of good coin will take gold coins to the bullion market or
This conclusion is an interesting but very
the public will take gold certificates to the government in
exchange for gold which is then taken to the bullion
8A distinction needs to be made between two different market. Both cases have the same economic effect - they
historical experiences which GL has been used to keep the price of gold builion from going above Par and
describe. One situation concerns a limited or governmentcause a dimunition of money. We will focus on the latter
controlled introduction of "inferior" money. Thiscase, but the analysis is fundamentally unaltered if we
occurred in debasements and, for example, with the were to consider the case of gold coin or some combination
limited monetization of silver money under the Bland- of gold coin and gojd certificates.
Allison Act of 1 878. A second situation concerns bimetal-Since the model will not concern gold flows between
lism. In a bimetallic standard, the quantity of "cheap"countires, it can be regarded as applying to all gold
money introduced is market determined. In order to countries on the gold standard taken together.
explain the change in the composition of the circulating The definition of M as Par-(/ + B is true only if Par
medium in either case requires a stock conception of thehas never changed. A more general definition of M would
DM. The model in the text centers around the first use of replace Par- G with the integral from minus infinity to the
GL for simplicity. present of Par(f) . G\t)dt.
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GRESHAM'S LAW AND THE MODERN THEORY OF THE DEMAND FOR MONEY 223
value
therefore, L, will be taken as exogenous of the physical material used in the
in our
analysis. fiduciary money, viz., the paper. The market
The theory of GL tends to reverse theratio is, therefore, nearly infinite when one
order
money
of causation associated with the quantity the-is 100% fiduciary and the other has
ory of money. Rather than focusing metallic
on the content. The "mint ratio" is easily
computed in this case as the official parity
influence of M on P, G L takes P as (approxi-
mately) determined outside the system value of
andgold divided by 1.0, the monetary
focuses on the influence of P (or its determi-
value of the monetary unit. Since the disparity
nants) on (the composition of) M. If authori-
between the market and mint ratios is so great
ties keep the money price of gold bullionin this case, it is obvious which is the "good"
fixed
money
at a value Par, the real value of gold, R, can bewithout resort to these categories.
expressed as R = Par/P. If, and we willWhat we have done is to show that the catego-
return
ries of
to this question below, the long-run value ofmint
R and market ratios can still be used
were independent of domestic money to distinguish
and between good and bad monies
when oneas
prices, P would be completely determined currency is 1 00% fiduciary. But the
categories
P = Par//?. Substituting this solution for Pare not as important as they are
under awe
into the monetary equilibrium equation bimetalic system since it is already
obtain obvious that the fiduciary money is the base
money. The good/bad distinction is already
Par.G = (Par//?).L- B. (1)
assumed in our model; consequently, the
stock-DM (L) plays no role in determining
This presents G as the endogenous variable
which currency is removed from circulation.
which is determined by R, L (or real income),
and /?, given the value of parity. There are
In order for equation ( 1 ) to be used alone to
several issues that must be faced if equation
explain the amount of gold (G) in the mone-
tary system, R must be autonomous to G. One
( 1 ) is to be regarded as useful to help explain
GL. particularly interesting case is the classical
Consider, first, the definition of "good" condition of constant costs. One can imagine,
versus "bad" money. The traditional criterion for example, a linear production frontier
is based on the comparison of the mint ratio to between gold and all other commodities with a
the market ratio. The mint ratio is the ratio of slope of (minus) R. This could be used as a
the two parities (e.g., the official dollar price long-run model which implies that the goods
of gold divided by the official dollar price of value of gold is determined independently of
silver) and the market ratio is the market demand conditions. In order for R to be
value of one bullion divided by the market treated as constant in the long-run, of course,
value of the other bullion.11 These ratios do we have to assume that the slope of the
not appear in the model explicitly since the production frontier is unaffected by techno-
base money being considered is assumed logical change.12 In this case,
100% fiduciary. In this limiting case the
- ÒG = ÔB/P2LT - ÔL/R (2)
"market ratio" can be computed as the mar-
ket value of gold bullion divided by the market where bB is the net increase in base money. A
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224 EASTERN ECONOMIC JOURNAL
Let us suppose, for example, that the whole circu- ... if there is not too much of the bad money it is
lating money of some particular country amounted just as good as the good money. (Frank A. Fetter
1905, p. 447)
l3Models of the gold standard in which the long-run
domestic price level is determined independently of the When the authors conclude that the volume of
domestic quantity of money have been developed by
Barro (1979) and by Roper and Warner (1981). The good money displaced might not equal the
"long-run" over which GL has been thought to operate volume of bad money introduced, they had
can be as short as a few years (as when silver was driven
some, at least implicit, conception of a stock-
from circulation in the United States after gold was
revalued from 15 to 16 in 1834 or as long as several DM even if they do not call it the "demand for
centuries [Watson (1967)]. money."
The model concerns the removal of good money only
through its transformation into bullion. The other avenue
for the elimination of good money is through exportation. l4Although Marshall (1923) did not, to our knowledge,
Good or internationally acceptable money was exported explicitly employ the Cambridge DM concept to explain
when the exchange rate between two countries' monies GL, he did employ analogies based on stock concepts.
deviated from the ratio of their parities by more than the Other writers who, at least implicitly recognized the need
cost of shipping and insurance. The stock-DM plays the for a stock DM include Frederick Bradford (1928, p. 89),
same role in this process as it does for the melting of good J.F. Johnson (1905, p. 195), James Magee (1926, p. 65),
coins. Taussig (191 1, p. 269), and J.R. Turner (1919, p. 255).
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GRESHAM'S LAW AND THE MODERN THEORY OF THE DEMAND FOR MONEY 225
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226 EASTERN ECONOMIC JOURNAL
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GRESHAM'S LAW AND THE MODERN THEORY OF THE DEMAND FOR MONEY 227
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228 EASTERN ECONOMIC JOURNAL
It is not to be understood that the mass of the Hoarding in the Flow Explanation:
people engage in this occupation of sifting the coin Further Considerations
to get out the heavier pieces. It is the dealer, and
The
concept of hoarding has a long and
especially the dealer in money, who, with his scales
always at hand and always adjusted, quickly
interesting history about which much could be
detects the least difference in weight . . . (Walker,
written. Our own doctrinal research of this
1878, p. 195)
concept is limited and we venture our general-
The mass of people do not follow the market values izations with some hesitation. But there are, it
of gold or silver bullion, nor calculate arithmeti- seems to us, logically distinct differences is the
cally when a profit can be made by buying up this uses of this term which shed light on the
or that coin. The general public knows little about
theory of GL. We will consider three distinct
such things, and if they did, a little arithmetic
would deter them. These matters are relegated by meanings of the hoarding concept.
common consent to the money-brokers, a class of When "hoarding" is used in modern, post-
men who, above all others, know the value of a WWII literature, it usually means or is syn-
small fraction and the gain to be derived from it. onymous with the stock-DM.21 According to
(Laughlin, 1886, p. 26) this modern use of the term, circulating
The great majority of people have no means practi-
money and non-circulating money are both
hoarded. We mention this modern use of the
cally of testing the coins which they receive . . .
(Joseph Nicholson, 1893, p. 44) term as a contrast to earlier uses.
In the GL-literature of the period with
The people, as a general rule, do not reject the which we are concerned, there are two mean-
better, but pass from hand to hand indifferently the
ings of the word "hoarding" which are inter-
heavy and the light coins, because their only use of
the coin is as a medium of exchange. It is those who esting for our study. We have already encoun-
are going to melt, export, hoard, or dissolve the tered one use of the term, as money with
coins of the realm . . . who carefully select for their (strictly speaking) zero velocity. A third use of
purposes the new heavy coins. (Jevons, 1875, p. the term, one which has a very modern ring,
82)
can be found in the writings of Simon New-
If one contrasts these quotations with those
comb (1885), Alfred Marshall (1887), Robert
given a few pages earlier, it becomes clear that
Giffen (1891), and Knut Wicksell (1898).
the flow explanation of GL frequently leads to
"Hoarding" as sometimes used by these
a contradiction. One cannot consistently
authors refers to a speculative demand for
argue both that the typical purchaser con-
capital gain. Like the modern stock-DM, this
sciously spends the worst coins and that he or
use of "hoarding" is a stock concept. It can
she cannot distinguish between the coins. The
flow theorists were concerned with the volume
explain, in at least one important situation,
why a particular money is taken from circula-
of money circulating versus the volume of tion. This situation arises when there is an
money hoarded in their monetary theory of
anticipated change in the mint ratio (when
price level and output determination. But, in
two monies are coined) or parity (when money
their flow explanation of GL, they implicitly
is backed by bullion). The anticipation that
proceeded from volumes to kinds of monies.
convertibility will be abandoned induces spec-
Even if the categories of hoarding and circu-
ulation that can be self-fulfilling. It is not
lating apply to good money and bad money,
necessary for bad money to be introduced, just
respectively, they explain only their differen-
the expectation that a sufficient quantity will
tial velocity. In order for one money to be
exported or melted, its quantity must push
21This use of "hoarding" is found, for example, in
against the stock-DM which serves as a con- Keynes (1936) and in several essays in Frenkel and
straint. Johnson (1976).
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GRESHAM'S LAW AND THE MODERN THEORY OF THE DEMAND FOR MONEY 229
be introduced can induce hoarding and domestic money. The mechanism that is based
deplete the reserves of the monetary authori- on the comparison of the value of a money as
ty. bullion to its value as money is due to the
This use of hoarding raises several ques- presence of intrinsic value in the commodity
tions. First, is this the type of situation to money - that it can be "consumed." When
which GL refers? Second, is this use of one considers financial assets with no intrinsic
"hoarding" logically equivalent to the stock-value, their relative demands depend only on
DM? We will begin with the latter question. anticipated yields. One could argue that
The speculative demand for a currency changes in relative demands (hoarding one
expected to suddenly appreciate is not equiva- money relative to another fiduciary money)
lent to (what we have called) the stock-DMexplains GL if the "good" money were
when the currency in question is a commodity defined as the money with the greater antic-
or, more generally, a nondeposit money. This ipated capital gain, not as the money whose
distinction is clearest when one reflects on the mint value is lower than its bullion value.
way that interest can be paid on a deposit While this notion of "hoarding" may explain
money. With money on deposit at, say, a bank, which money is taken from circulation
explicit pecuniary interest can be paid contin- through speculation, it does not explain the
uously (or occasionally on the average balance exportation and melting of undervalued cur-
held over time). While interest is accruing, the rency. In fact, the mechanism that takes
deposit is used as a medium of exchange - money out of circulation due to an anticipated
both receipts and expenditures go through the capital gain can, in principle, remove the
account. But with a commodity or paper mon- "bad" currency from circulation and thereby
ey, an interest payment or capital gain thatwork in the direction opposite that of GL.22
accrues at a point in time interferes with the The mechanism is so different from the mech-
medium-of-exchange property of the "mon-anism based on the intrinsic values of curren-
ey." A currency hoarded before an antic- cies that we take this notion of hoarding as not
ipated change in parity ceases to be money. If being an explanation of what is usually
there are two monies, say, gold and silver, thatregarded as GL.23
are good substitutes and there is an expecta-
22One money might be melted or exported if its value as
tion of a change in the mint ratio in favor of bullion tends to exceed its value as money (the usual
gold, speculation or gold hoarding will elimi- mechanism of GL) while, simultaneously, an anticipated
future capital gain due to a change in parity could induce
nate some gold money from circulation and
the public to hoard the other money. In this case, the
the (presumably unchanged) stock demand "bad" money would be hoarded. In practice this problem
for money will have to be fulfilled with more occurred rarely if at all. If, for example, the gold parity
were less than the market clearing price for gold bullion
silver money. Since non-deposit currency such that the authorities had to sell gold to support the
hoarded ceases to be a medium of exchange, official parity, expectations frequently developed that
this notion of hoarding is outside of or not partthey would have to revalue gold; hence, the anticipated
of the stock-DM. change in the mint ratio or parity would induce more gold
to be taken from circulation through hoarding. But the
Use of the stock-DM as distinguished from fact that both the hoarding and the exportation/ melting
hoarding of a physical asset expected to typically go in the same direction should not obscure the
two theoretically distinct mechanisms by which curren-
appreciate reveals two fundamentally dif- cies a taken from circulation.
ferent "driving out" mechanisms that can In much of the literature, "hoarding is placed on a
cause a money to cease circulating. The stock- par with exportation and melting as an avenue or channel
through which good money was driven from circulation.
DM is necessary to explain how much money
To take a typical quote, ". . .the three vents by which good
is driven out due to a divergence between the money escapes: in hoarding, in making payments abroad,
value of the money as bullion and its value as and in selling it by weight" (Gide, 1913, p. 298) The
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230 EASTERN ECONOMIC JOURNAL
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GRESHAM'S LAW AND THE MODERN THEORY OF THE DEMAND FOR MONEY 231
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232 EASTERN ECONOMIC JOURNAL
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GRESHAlvTS LAW AND THE MODERN THEORY OF THE DEMAND FOR MONEY 233
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234 EASTERN ECONOMIC JOURNAL
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