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Property and Capital Markets

BUIL1228

Tony McGough
Senior Lecturer, Property Investment
RMIT University, Melbourne
Module 1 Introduction to Property
and Investment

Course outline, Overview of assessments. Property


Characteristics. Three market principle: space,
property and capital markets.
RMIT Classification: Trusted

Introduction

– Introduction

– About me

– Expectations for how the course runs

– About the course

– Assessment

RMIT University 2021 BUIL 1228 Property and Capital Markets, RMIT Property and Valuation Discipline, PCPM 3
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How the course runs.


• Lecture notes and tutorial questions will be put up the weekend before lectures start
• Tutorial answers will be put up with a delay, a few weeks will come out every 3- 4
weeks
• Please read announcements
• If you email me a question which has been answered in announcements / the
lecture, I shall reply read the course notes
• I aim to answer emails in less than 48 hours, usually less than 24 hours – nudge me
if you get no response
• Keep on top of the course – do not start reading the notes in week 11
• Those people on-line during the live teaching class are expected to contribute to
tutorials we will see how this works

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About the Course


Aims of this course:
– To understand the reasons for investing in property and the role
of property in the wider economy from an investment perspective.

– To appraise the different property sectors and investment


products which comprise the property investment market.

– To evaluate the impact of equity and debt on the property


investment market (financing of property).

– To evaluate and analyse the roles and responsibilities of various


property stakeholders.

– To understand the capital markets (investment and finance


sectors of the economy).

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Assessment

– 2 x Multichoice tests in Canvas worth 20% in total

– Written Assignment on a REIT worth 30% in total

– Final exam worth 50% in total

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Week Module/Content Assessments
Module 1 Introduction to Property as an Investment
Course outline; Understand the different types of property. Detail the importance of diversification across the property sector. Identify the
characteristics of property as an investment class.
1

Explain the three market principle: space, property and capital markets.
Module 2 Property and Capital Markets

2 Detail the fundementals of investing and the importance of income in real estate. Identify property stakeholders.

Identify competing asset classes, detail why property offers unique opportunities.
3 Detail the property investment universe, local and international property.
Detail strategy to invest offshore and highlight benefits and issues with global property investment.
Module 4 Understanding the Property Investment Markets

Real Estate Investment Trusts – Understand the REIT structure and the difference between internal and external managed trusts. Examine TEST 1; REITs allocated for
4
REIT performance measures and discuss the role of property securitised funds. your assignment

Module 3 Introduction to Property Finance


Understand the various types of finance and when and why they are used. Identify the key factors and considerations in financing property
5
investments and developments.
Mid Semester Break
Hand in Part A of your
6 Property Financing, Examine of private and public debt structures and lending practices.
assignment

Analysis the impact of debt on property performance. Understand the concept of leverage on investor property returns.

Module 4 Understanding the Property Investment Markets - contd.


Wholesale Unlisted Property Trusts – Discuss structure and market participants. Examine performance benchmarks and compare to
7
alternative property asset classes.

Property Syndication – Investigate the structure and market participants. Analysis the features of a property syndicate prospectus.

8 Discuss the decision making process for investing in commercial property. Detail the various property investment vehicles.

Identify investor types and their portfolios strategies.


Module 5 Introduction to the Capital Markets

9 Explain investment concepts and associated process. Detail risk and return performance measures.

Discuss the Australian capital market structure and identify market participants. Understand key capital market determinants.

Understand the operation of the equity markets and the role of Australian Stock Exchange. Understand the operation of the bonds and cash TEST 2; Hand in Part B of
10
markets. your Assignment

Superannuation – Explain the concept of superannuation, Detail the structure of the Australian superannuation industry

11 Superannuation – Analysis the difference superannuation options. Consider superannuation allocation across investment classes

Superannuation – Discuss superannuation funds allocation to property. Understand the property investment framework.

12 Course review and exam revision.


Vac (week 13): Final Exam: TBC

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What is Property?

Property has 3 components:

– Property is an important part of society as property provides


shelter and a place for an economy to operate from.

– Property development is a key part of economy activity and


governments understand the importance of the property and
construction industry to employment and economic growth.

– Property forms a key investment asset class and competes


with alternative asset classes on performance and for funding.

RMIT University 2021 BUIL 1228 Property and Capital Markets, RMIT Property and Valuation Discipline, PCPM 8
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Types of Property

Residential Property Sector


Types
– Houses: Planned community living
with defined building styles
– Management logistics, relatively low income
returns

– Apartments: Multi-storey and High


rise developments offering facilities
(retail and entertainment) and public
infrastructure
– Major property companies are involved in
high rise apartments

908/60 Lorimer Steet, Docklands

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Residential

Affordability becoming strained. Risks if interest rates rise. Price outlook more subdued in the next twelve months.

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Types of Property

Core Property Sector

Property definitions are broadly related


to employment categories

Types

– Office: traditionally located in the


Central Business Districts and near
public infrastructure

(Source: Savills 2015)

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Offices

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Offices

Source: Gartner

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Types of Property

Core Property Sector -


continued
– Retail: Shopping centres with strong
catchments areas and good public
infrastructure

– Different shopping centre


categories:
– regional to neighbourhood

– New categories
– factory outlets How the new Chadstone will look after $580m expansion. (Herald Sun 2015)
– homemaker centres

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Types of Property
Case Study: Melbourne Central,
360 Elizabeth Street
The complex includes:
Retail precinct (160 specialty retail
outlets)

–46 floors of premium office space

–Carpark (1,600 vehicles)

–Access to underground railway station

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Retail

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Retail

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Types of Property

Core Property Sector -


continued

– Industrial:
Manufacturing,
Warehousing
HI-Tech supported by good
transport infrastructure
– Commonly developed for a
specific occupier

Source: Goodman Group


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Industrial

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Industrial

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Types of Property
Non Core Property
– Sector specific
- Community facilities: hospitals, prisons, retirement villages,
childcare centres
- Entertainment facilities: amusement parks, marinas, ten pin
bowling centres
- Hotels: Services the tourism industry. Location and hotel
management critical
- Sport facilities: golf courses, sport stadiums

– Asset pricing challenges


– Limited comparisons

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Types of Property
• Retail
–Shopping Centres
–High Street
• Office - usually CBD
• Industrial
• Secondary
–St Kilda in Melbourne
–Adelaide
• Tertiary
–Sunshine in Melbourne
–Hobart
• Non-core/Alternatives
–Retirement homes, student accommodation, prisons etc.

RMIT University 2021 BUIL 1228 Property and Capital Markets, RMIT Property and Valuation Discipline, PCPM 22
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Summary

– Property stakeholders can diversify across locations, and


property types

– Core property investment types have recently been


complemented by new non core property opportunities

– Property features unique characteristics which sets it apart


from alternative investment classes

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First Tutorial Break

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Property Market Structure

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Property Market Structure

Historical Perspective

– Property market was viewed as a single entity


– not related to other markets
– Buildings formed part of an organisations
operation requirements

– Characterised by ongoing influences from different


aspects of the economy

– Up to the late 1990s the favorite approach was a two


market model – space market (demand) and the asset
market (supply)
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An Economic Interruption

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The Law of Demand

• First Law of Demand


–What Does Law Of Demand Mean?
–all other factors being equal, as the
price of a good or service increases,
consumer demand for the good will
decrease and vice versa.

–http://www.investopedia.com/terms/l/la
wofdemand.asp

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Changes in Demand

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The Law of Supply

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Changes in Supply

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Equilibrium

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Markets NOT in Equilibrium

<Insert Figure 4.9 from Gans 5/e pg 82>

© 2011 Cengage Learning Australia Pty Ltd.

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The Cobweb Theorem

Price
(£)
S

11

D1
D
8 9 15 17 Quantity Bought and Sold
(millions)

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The Cobweb Theorem

• http://www.bized.co.uk/current/mind/2004_5/251004.ppt
• Hungarian-born economist Nicholas Kaldor (1908-1986)
• Simple dynamic model of cyclical demand with time lags
between the response of production and a change in price
(most often seen in agricultural sectors).
• Cobweb theory is the process of adjustment in markets
• Traces the path of prices and outputs in different equilibrium
situations. Path resembles a cobweb with the equilibrium point
at the center of the cobweb.
• Sometimes referred to as the hog-cycle (after the phenomenon
observed in American pig prices during the 1930s).
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Useful Websites

– Understanding differences between factors that cause shifts in demand or supply


– http://hspm.sph.sc.edu/COURSES/ECON/SD/SD.html
– Basics of demand and supply
– http://www.investopedia.com/university/economics/economics3.asp
– Cobweb theorem
– http://www.bized.co.uk/current/mind/2004_5/251004.ppt
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Back to
Property Market Structure

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Property Market Structure

Space market Property market Capital market

Demand Property Market


Economic markets conditions Financial
influences performance factors

Supply

Government
Central, Regional and Local

Adapted:Adapted:
Archer & Ling
Archer 1997
and Ling 2010

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Property Market Structure

Space Market

– Demand for space by occupiers

Property Market

– Supply and performance

Capital Market

– Investment platform (competes with alternative asset


classes)

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Property Market Structure

Space Market

– Space demand can be unpredictable and complex

– Relates to particular activities, locality and timeframe

– Space demand in varying degrees and forms mirrors


economic activity

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Property Market Structure


Government Controls and Policies

Space market (Demand)

– Population policies (quotas on overseas migration)


– Incentives
- First time home buyers
- Manufacturing tax incentives

– Opportunities for overseas owners to purchase properties


- Foreign Investment Review Board (FIRB)

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Property Market Structure

Property Market

– External parameter linked to space and capital markets

– Internal momentum
- as the supply of property can not adjust instantaneously
to changes in demand

– Income returns linked to lease structure (i.e. lease terms


and rent review process)

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Property Market Structure

Government Controls and Policies

Property market (property market conditions and supply)

– Release/rezoning of land

– Changes in planning policies (for example: housing


density)

– Building regulations (sustainability agenda)


Source: Higgins and Reddy 2010
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Property Market Structure

Capital Market (serve a variety of related functions)

– Allocating scarce capital amongst competing uses

– Establish required returns on investments

– Assess the risk of investments

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Property Market Structure


Government Controls and Policies

Capital market (Finance)

– Monetary policies (money supply, government bonds)

– Changes in property taxes (negative gearing, transaction


tax - stamp duty)

– Regulations that impact on alternative asset classes

– Changes in superannuation policies (in an indirect way)

RMIT University 2021 BUIL 1228 Property and Capital Markets, RMIT Property and Valuation Discipline, PCPM 45
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Summary

– Property stakeholders can diversify across locations, property


types, property investment structures and property tasks

– The market structure include: space market, property market


and capital market

– Property competes with alternative asset class for funding

RMIT University 2021 BUIL 1228 Property and Capital Markets, RMIT Property and Valuation Discipline, PCPM 46
RMIT Classification: Trusted

Readings

Key References

Archer W and Ling D. 1997, The Three Dimensions of Real


Estate Markets: Linking Space, Capital and Property Markets,
Journal of Real Estate Finance, Vol.3, No.2, pp. 7-14

Higgins, D 2001 “The Determinants of Commercial Property


Market Performance”, PhD Thesis, pp. 1-6.

Recommended
Geltner D and Miller N, 2007, Commercial real estate analysis and investments, 2nd edit,
Prentice Hall, New Jersey, p180-203
Higgins, D and Reddy, W 2010, 'The impact of political risk on Australian house prices',
Australian and New Zealand Property Journal, vol. 2, no. 7, pp. 413-422.

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Second Tutorial Break

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