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Top 10 trends for 2016
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Top 10 trends for 2016
But these are complex times, and the dairy farmer protests at Anuga 2015
illustrated the growing discontent at the supply level. 2015 was a year
dominated by geopolitical turbulence, with increased uncertainty in the
Middle East and Ukraine, and the political stand-offs that have occurred
between Russia and the West as a result. The ongoing trade embargo with
Russia, coupled with the ending of milk quotas have meant a complete
oversupply of milk in the EU, with prices falling off a cliff.
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But the issue is not limited to dairy products, with commodity food prices
hitting low levels in most staple categories. While prices rose a bit towards
the end of the year on weather concerns for palm oil in particular,
commodity prices are still very low when compared to more standard
times. With little opportunity available in terms of margin, suppliers and
manufacturers are instead looking towards adding value in traditionally
staple categories – with a focus on the artisanal nature of certain goods or
a highlighting of the sourcing, which is a running theme throughout our
2016 trends, as well meeting the demands of millennial consumers and
“free from” foods. “Marketing to Millennials” was a key trend in our 2015
list and has now become part of a comprehensive strategy for
manufacturers.
Again for this year’s trends, there is less of a focus on health per se, as
this is such an overarching theme, that it rightly or wrongly holds
marketing grounds on anything from an “organic” positioning through to a
focus on “high protein.” Other key areas that the industry is heavily
involved in are perhaps more driven by policy and red tape than
consumers, which is why they don’t appear specifically on the list. But
reducing waste, sustainability in general and cutting down on sugar and
partially hydrogenated oils do deserve some attention, before discussing in
depth the trends themselves.
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The European Commission recently published the results of the first Flash
Eurobarometer survey on food waste and date marking. Key findings
confirm that date marking (“use by” and “best before”) is poorly
understood by Europeans. Just under half (47%) of Europeans understand
the meaning of “best before” labeling and somewhat fewer (40%) are
aware of the meaning of “use by.” The study confirms the need to pursue
targeted information and educational initiatives on date marking taking
into account the level of understanding and information needs of different
consumer groups in EU countries. The Commission will propose initiatives
against food waste as part of the new circular economy package to be
presented by the end of 2015.
Strategies are underway at both a policy and industry level. For example,
a new EU funded multinational research project that will help reduce food
waste by 30% by 2025 has also been initiated, including the UK’s Institute
of Food Research (IFR) as a key partner. Resource Efficient Food and Drink
for the Entire Supply Chain (REFRESH) is an EU Horizon 2020 project,
which runs from 2015 to 2019, involving partners across the EU, as well as
in China. “With 100 million tons of food waste each year, it’s imperative
that we take an EU-wide, comprehensive approach to reducing avoidable
waste, and finding better uses for what can’t be avoided,” says Prof. Keith
Waldron, Director of the IFR Biorefinery Centre.
In the summer of 2015, the Consumer Goods Forum (the CGF), which
includes major manufacturers Nestlé and Unilever, announced its
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Retailers are being criticized for waste too, with Morrison’s supermarket
coming under attack on a recent BBC program about tackling food waste,
for claiming that its consumers were unwilling to buy “wonky” looking
vegetables; leading to their disposal. In an apparent move to save face,
the retailer has now rolled out an initiative that aims to end the waste of
edible food in its 500 supermarkets. Across the UK, unsold food that is still
safe to eat will be made available and donated to local community
organizations.
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Sustainability concerns
The discussion around food waste comes as part of another key theme
around sustainability, which does make business sense, if cleverly
employed. A recent Nielsen global online survey of 30,000 consumers in
60 countries across the globe, found that consumers are increasingly
willing to pay more for socially responsible products. In fact, 66% of
respondents say they’re willing to pay more for products and services that
come from companies who are committed to positive social and
environmental impact, up from 55% in 2014 and 50% in 2013. As
concerns about the environment and corporate sustainability continue to
build momentum around the world, understanding the connection between
sentiment and purchasing actions has never been more important. In fact,
a 2014 Nielsen retail sales analysis showed that brands with a
demonstrated commitment to sustainability grew over 4%, while those
without experienced less than 1% growth.
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Regulatory pressure
Sugar intake has been an important topic for years, but 2015 was yet
another major year with anti-sugar movements increasing.
In the US, the big regulatory news of 2015 was the FDA’s final
determination on partially hydrogenated oils (PHOs), which requires
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Trans-fats are also on the agenda in Europe, where Denmark was the first
to outlaw them in 2003. Major international food companies and health
NGOs have joined forces with EU consumer watchdog BEUC in a letter
calling on the European Commission to act and bridle the use of harmful
industrial trans fats. Committed companies are Nestlé, Mars, Kellogg’s and
Mondelez. Pastries, fries and margarine are among the foodstuffs most
loaded with these artery-clogging fats. BEUC applauded the co-signing
companies’ move to echo its call for an EU-wide legal limit of 2 grams of
trans fat per 100 grams of fat and encourages others to follow suit.
Jo Bruce, Research & Development Manager at ADM Oils & Fats also notes
the rise of this trend towards removal of hydrogenated vegetable fats.
“Although a number of major European retailers were early adopters and
have already eliminated trans fats from all their home brand ingredient
lists, we can see this trend gaining further momentum over the next year
as the European Commission reviews intakes of trans-fatty acid and
evaluates possible ways to reduce intake levels in the EU food supply.
Although, so far only Austria, Denmark, Norway, Iceland, Switzerland and
Hungary have taken legislative measures to reduce trans-fat consumption,
an increasing number of countries are adopting self-regulatory
mechanisms,” Bruce notes.
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While policy around food waste, sustainability, sugar and trans fat are not
listed in our top ten trends, these are themes that product developers are
keeping in mind and do form part of their new product development
strategies. The mainstreaming of sports nutrition could be seen to be the
only health related trend per se that we have listed for 2016, but it is
important to note that health is a running theme throughout this list. You
could even argue that the concept of permissible indulgence is a health
trend, in the creation of an “indulgence alibi.” What is clear from our list is
that clear label and free from foods have now truly entered the
mainstream, while consumers who are regularly reduce their meat
consumption rather than forgoing it altogether are also shaping new
product development efforts.
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US food and beverage product launches with monk fruit have nearly
doubled in the first four months of 2015 compared to the same period last
year, and this builds on strong growth in 2014 when new product launches
increased by 75% from 2013. Monk fruit
has recently been included as an ingredient
in product launches from a number of
global brands including Starbucks, Yoplait,
and Nestlé. Monk Fruit Corp., the world’s
leading monk fruit company, announced
plans to double its supply of monk fruit
from the 2015 harvest, in order to meet
rapidly growing demand for natural fruit
sweeteners.
“There is still growing demand for cheaper foods, targeting consumers who
pay less attention to the ingredient list and health claims than to the price
ticket. As clear label grows as a category in its own right it may well lead
to greater fragmentation of the sector and polarization of clean/clear label
and cheaper, often own brand lines designed for smaller budgets,” Short
added.
The major manufacturers are involved in this charge. General Mills plans
to have more than 90 percent of its portfolio free of artificial flavors and
colors by the end of 2016. Reports suggest that it will be the first major
cereals company to replace artificial colors with natural fruits, vegetables
and spices such as tomatoes, purple carrots and turmeric.
Kellogg’s also announced plans to cut out artificial colors and flavors from
some of its range. The announcement confirmed that 75% of its cereals in
North America were already being made without artificial colors and more
than half without artificial flavors, but that by the end of 2018, all artificial
ingredients would be removed. A Kellogg’s spokesperson told Innova
Market Insights in a statement: “Our new colors and flavors will come from
a variety of sources, including fruits, vegetables and spices, such as
turmeric and paprika. Some recipe changes may take longer to complete
than others because we will not sacrifice the great taste and quality
consumers expect from their favorite Kellogg’s products.”
formula without aspartame during the summer, the first time the drink,
which has been available for over 30 years, has been sold without the
artificial sweetener. Aspartame has been replaced with sucralose and
acesulfame potassium, also artificial sweeteners, but with less controversy
surrounding them. The product has faced waves of consumer complaints
about the taste, however.
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Colorful concerns
The food colors space is a key area of
concern, particularly due to the perceived
link between several artificial colors and
hyperactivity in children. A Kalsec
consumer study presented at IFT 15 in
Chicago, found that more than 80 percent
of UK and US parents with a child
between the ages of 3 and 12, indicated
they are more likely to purchase a food
product for their children, if it contains a
naturally-sourced color instead of a
synthetic color. Seven of every 10 parents surveyed would be willing to
pay a premium for food products containing naturally-sourced colors
instead of synthetic colors.
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Certainly for some, organic has become a way of living. Some people see
these products as being tastier or healthier than those coming from
conventional agriculture, while others appreciate them because of the
good practices towards the environment or the labor force employed on
organic farms. Honorary professor Donald Otter from the University of
Auckland, New Zealand says: “When you talk to people who choose
organic products, they do so for different reasons. For one group, the
hormones and pesticides play a major role, whereas for others, animal
welfare is key.”
Prof. Dr. Ir. Saskia van Ruth from the University of Wageningen in the
Netherlands agrees, but notes: “It is true that perception plays a big role,
however, it is questionable whether organic is better or safer.”
“It’s not feasible to feed the whole world using organic farming,” says van
Ruth. “Non-organic farming is still needed to meet the demands for
enough food. Animal welfare will improve and less synthetic fertilizer will
be used, however.” Organic farming delivers just 5 percent less yield in
rain watered legume crops, such as beans, and in perennial crops, such as
fruit trees. But when it comes to major cereal crops, like corn,
conventional methods delivered more than 25 percent more yield.
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The big US retail player in organic is Whole Foods, but the company is now
coming under more pressure, due to its high prices and organic
competition from other retailers, with stock reportedly down 41 percent
this year. Whole Foods has announced it will be opening a chain of lower-
priced organic stores under a new brand, “365,” likely aimed at competing
with Trader Joe's. But the move doesn't address the
image problem that Whole Foods is currently fighting
over its high prices. “365” effectively just provides a
new potential competitor from within, leading to
cannibalization which could lower future Whole Foods
earnings even more. The high cost of “Whole Foods”
products is regularly mocked in the US media as
being “whole pay packet.”
A GM-free surge
Another clean/clear label trend that is clearly on the rise is “GM-free,” the
benefits of which are again a topic for debate. In terms of product activity,
launches featuring GMO-free claims and labeling remain relatively limited
on a global scale. Just 4% of launches recorded by Innova Market Insights
in the 12 months to the end of June 2015 used GMO-free labeling,
although this was a significant rise year-on-year, driven mainly by rising
levels of interest in the US. Over the 12-month period, the US accounted
for 43% of global launches using GMO-free claims, moving ahead of the
EU on 39%, despite the much larger number of countries involved in the
latter region.
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“Organic” and “GMO-free” are both clearly on the rise – the biggest
question will be just how high the glass ceiling is for expansion and
whether major manufacturers can source enough ingredients in order to
make them plausible mainstream propositions. More likely is that many
manufacturers will instead opt for high cost/high margin organic lines, as
one part of a diverse product portfolio. Clear label is clearly here to stay
however, and consumer calls for transparency will only rise.
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platforms such as dairy free or egg free will be other major platforms to
watch, as well as vegan [see trend #3].
The interesting issue with gluten free is how consumers with a gluten
intolerance or sensitivity are no longer the only target group. A large
proportion of consumers buys gluten free because it is “better for me”
(US: 13%) or for weight management (US: 6%), according to HealthFocus
data. While there is still virtually no evidence that gluten free is actually
better for you, consumer perception is the manufacturer’s reality, and
many have simply jumped on the bandwagon. Of course there is a
potential market for entire households, whereby
one family member suffers from celiac disease,
and other family members will also eat gluten
free.
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Many other areas of the food and drinks market are also seeing rising
levels of interest in gluten free reformulations, or just in emphasizing the
gluten free nature of existing lines.
Ingredient development
Gluten free bakery solutions were a key trend at IBA 2015 in Munich,
where Bakels presented its first consumer brand – Gluten Free Multiseed
Bread Mix. Aimed at celiacs, who like to bake, along with health conscious
consumers, looking to cut down on gluten, the product line is now
available to the UK baker through national wholesalers BAKO and BFP
Wholesale. The company has launched a standard white bread, a gluten
free version of multiseed and an artisan product, which allows for the
creation of ciabatta style products and crusty breads.
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guarantee “real food safety for people who have to follow a gluten free
diet.”
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At the recent Fine Foods Australia Show, Maximum Protein was launched
as new a protein jerky-style snack with the tagline "steak in a bag,"
backed up by its high protein content (64.4/ 100g), and is low carb, low
fat, salt reduced, soy free, wheat free & gluten free. With special appeal
for Paleo diet followers, Maximum Protein is available in 3 flavors: Original
Paleo, Cracked Pepper Paleo and Mild Chilli Paleo.
Also positioned for Paleo diet followers, The Goods Bone Broths are full of
amino acids and are cooked long and slow to develop maximum depth of
flavor. These products are fresh, carry a “perfect for paleo” claim and
come in Free Range Chicken and Grass Fed Free Range Beef flavors.
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In the dairy category, lactose free jumped 1.5% in the first half of 2015
reaching 5.9%, and it is not only small players filling this segment. Coca-
Cola’s Fairlife is lactose-free, while at the recent Anuga Show in Cologne,
Valio launched a full range of lactose free alternatives, from powder to
barista milk.
the share of products marketed as lactose free was over 40%. Creamers,
many of which also have non-dairy ingredients, such as vegetable fats,
can also relatively easily be formulated as lactose free. This type of
product accounted for over 10% of introductions in the creams and
creamers sub-sector. In more traditional dairy markets, such as milk
drinks, the penetration of lactose free launches was 5.5%, while in cheese
it was just over 4% and in yogurts 3.7%.
“Free from” has entered the mainstream and for clever industry players,
the opportunity offers a true free for all. Just how far things go before
consumers become highly skeptical of the claims being made remains to
be seen.
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If history repeats itself, the study will have little impact on the
consumption of these foods, according to a report from The NPD Group.
The report found that a 2002 American Cancer Society report
recommending a limiting of processed and red meats made no discernible
long term difference in consumption. But it somehow seems a bit different
this time, also because of the mainstream headlines that the study has
attracted. For example, a Time magazine cover in November 2015,
following the study featured the headline “The War on Delicious,” with two
strips of bacon laid down in an “X,” in the similar form that the magazine
has famously used in the past, following the removal of the likes of Adolf
Hitler, Saddam Hussein and Osama Bin Laden. The report was balanced,
calling for moderation, but it also noted the confusion that subsequent
newspaper headlines like “Hot Dogs as Bad for you as Cigarettes” has
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caused. But it did warn: “the link between meat and cancer has always
been hedged, but it’s growing more certain.”
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Sustainability from
an animal welfare
perspective is a
key message being
pushed by
manufacturers in
recent months. For
example, as part of
its ongoing
dedication to
corporate
responsibility,
Kellogg Company
recently announced
that it plans to
build on its commitment to animal welfare by sourcing only cage free eggs
for its foods and eliminating gestation stalls from its pork supply chain by
the end of 2025. In addition, Kellogg will consider the “Five Freedoms” of
animal welfare, an internationally recognized set of humane treatment
principles: “as part of its process to continuously improve its supply chain
in the future.”
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Jo Bruce, Research & Development Manager, ADM Oils & Fats says: “The
rise of flexitarian, vegetarian and vegan diets and the recent spotlight on
food security has certainly increased interest in sustainable plant-based
protein sources. More and more consumers are seeking alternative protein
sources which put significantly less demand on the environment and which
can also cater to the needs of vegetarian or vegan diets. Responsibly-
sourced, plant-based protein is now seen as a viable alternative, creating
new opportunities for product innovation and helping manufacturers to
boost their ‘green’ credentials.”
But even these products may still not trick the true meat eater, who will
still opt for the “real” thing anyway, despite their internal struggle about
the impact of their continued meat consumption on the environment. Just
two years after his team’s US$250,000 artificial meat hamburger was
presented to the world’s media to much hype, the technology has entered
a new stage, with commercial viability moving significantly closer. In fact,
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The process for creating cultured beef relies on taking muscle cells from a
cow, which are cultured in a laboratory by scientists, who place them in a
nutrient solution to create muscle tissue. The tissue is grown by placing
the cells in a ring, like a donut, around a hub of gel. The muscle cells grow
into small strands of meat. Some 20,000 such strands are need to make
one 140g (approx. five ounce) burger.
Shaping NPD
The “flexitarian” is shaping NPD and the meat products that we eat/won’t
eat in the future will be created with this burgeoning demographic in mind.
In terms of meat substitutes specifically, what is most interesting is the
breadth of products now available, providing consumers with a lot more
choice and convenience.
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Claims such as “vegan friendly” or “suitable for vegans” are being used to
differentiate from regular vegetarian product lines. Innova Market Insights
reports a 60% increase in product launches with a vegan claim in 2013
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from 2012, and a further 52% increase in 2014 from 2013, indicating that
food manufacturers are indeed accommodating this lifestyle trend. In
2008, 1.1% of all tracked global launches featured this word, while in
2014 this had more than doubled, with 2.6% of all launches tracked
carrying a claim such as “suitable for vegans.” The leading market sub-
categories in 2014 for vegan claims on a global basis were juice & juice
drinks (5.4%), cereal & energy bars (5%) and savory/salty snacks (4.9%).
Veganism could also be considered to be a driver for the increase in other
animal friendly “free from” claims, such as gelatin free, dairy free and egg
free.
But it is important to note how vegan diets partly became recently trendy
on the back of endorsement by Hollywood celebrities. But many, including
Angelina Jolie switched back, with one headline reading: “The Vegan Diet
that Almost Killed Her.” There is a likely natural tipping point for this
extreme eating trend, with only the most dedicated consumers actually
sticking to it.
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German meat company Windau noted that in Germany there are already
nearly 8 million vegetarians, nearly 1 million vegans and approximately
9.6 million flexitarians, with the trend only rising. The majorities of these
consumers appreciate the familiar taste of sausage and do not want to go
without. To address these demands, the company has created a wide
range of vegetarian [with pea protein and egg protein from organic eggs]
and vegan products [with pea protein), where pork protein is substituted
with vegetarian alternatives.
Poultry Group Wiesenhof introduced vegan products for the first time, with
the launch of: “Veggie Crispy Cutlet,” “Crispy Veggie Sticks” and “Veggie
Sticks,” which are pure vegetable meat alternatives, based on vegetables
and wheat protein. The latest additions to the company’s range are deli
meat alternatives, including a vegetarian mortadella sausage.
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Some of the recent launches in the German market include a new line of
frozen pizzas from Dr. Oetker called Veggie Pizza; a new frozen pizza,
topped with vegetarian meat alternatives to offer: “full, juicy pizza
pleasure.” The innovative range, which was launched in September 2015,
includes three different flavors.
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Vegan launches were a key trend on display at the 2015 ISM trade show in
Cologne, where three innovative vegan milk chocolate creations were
presented [dark chocolate is inherently vegan]. iChoc (Vivina) is promoted
for responsibility, naturalness and taste, united in an 80g dairy free
chocolate that has been created with rice milk. “Each variety is a small,
vegan gem, with which you can reward yourself with a clear conscience.”
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At the 2015 IFT Food Expo, Innova Market Insights reported the progress
of protein on four different platforms:
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Two of the most innovative ingredients on display at this year’s IFT Food
Expo were based on duckweed, from suppliers Parabel (US) and Hinoman
(Israel).
Lemnoideae, which, with its high levels of protein combined with other
macro and micro nutrients, has been described as the world’s most
sustainable and complete food source. Hinoman recently launched Mankai,
a vegetable whole-protein ingredient with high nutritional value. The
company was recently granted self-affirmed GRAS (Generally Recognized
as Safe). Mankai is an aqua cultured source of vegetable protein with
exceptional nutritional value.
One of the other new sources that is worth looking out for is fruit protein,
which is extracted from byproducts such as seeds, shells/hulls or stems.
For Henk Hoogenkamp, the author of the new
book “Plant Protein Vision: Rice Bran Protein, Pea
Protein, Soy Protein,” this category has all the
necessary elements to become the “poster child”
of all plant protein ingredients. “For starters, the
name association with the word ‘fruit’ can launch
this protein straight to the top of the protein
pyramid. The mild nutty aromas of the fruit seeds
and well-balanced essential amino acid profile has
good market potential to position ‘fruitein’ for a
variety of culinary applications. Additionally, this
would facilitate formulation of texturized fruit-only
foods, such as breakfast cereals and calorie
restricted fruit protein diets,” he claims.
Another interesting story highlighted in 2015, was the news that a Mexican
researcher is working on a project that seeks to exploit the oil and protein
of insects. PhD Daylan Tzompa-Sosa, postdoctoral fellow at the University
of Wageningen in the Netherlands, says that this particular research has
turned the team into a world leader on the field. The idea of such
companies, she adds, was to produce protein alternatives to red meat,
because cattle breeding generates a lot of pollutants, while insects can be
grown in a responsible manner with the environment.
But while duckweed, microalgae, insect and above all cultured meat
protein sources are still quite forward looking, the biggest rise in actual
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Consumers are demanding the use of clean label ingredients [see trend
#1] and this means new opportunities for fermented ingredients with a
natural perception, such as vinegar. For example, Corbion has launched a
new range of natural, multifunctional ingredients for meat and poultry
based on vinegar that ensures food safety and enhances shelf life, yield,
taste, texture and appearance. Available as a convenient powder, these
new vinegar blends are ready to use, easy to dose and have been
developed to respond to specific challenges, including listeria control in
cured meats and shelf life extension in fresh sausages. Corbion’s Verdad
N8 and Verdad N9 ingredients can be labeled simply as “vinegar” and are
produced by the fermentation of corn sugar with specifically selected food
cultures.
A fermented advantage
Suppliers are eyeing new opportunities in
fermented foods, including Lesaffre, who as
part of its ongoing expansion strategy in
nutrition and health, announced a majority
participation in Gnosis, an Italian company
specializing in the development, production
and sale of fermentation ingredients for the
pharmaceutical, nutraceutical, cosmetic and
veterinary industries. “In Human Nutrition &
Health, we have been developing yeast and
bacteria based ingredients for nutritional
supplements and also for some drug
products. The acquisition of Gnosis fits
exactly within this strategy. It is a
manufacturer of fermentation based
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The main mechanism for acrylamide formation involves the amino acid
asparagine. Through a cascade of reactions, the amino acid asparagine is
converted into acrylamide during a process called the Maillard reaction
that is responsible for color and flavor developments. As Acrylaway
specifically modifies asparagine, the other amino acids and sugars remain
active to contribute to the Maillard reaction, preserving the great taste and
appearance of the final product.
Dehydration benefit
There is a clear resurgence in improved freeze-dried
snacks, while healthier products are being creating by
baking rather than frying. There is also a return to basics
with popped snacks and popcorn on the rise. New
technologies are helping the development of this trend.
One new technology on the rise where the benefit is clear
is Radiant Energy Vacuum (REV) dehydration technology.
EnWave claims to be introducing REV technology as a
new dehydration standard in the food and biological
material sectors, with benefits including, but not limited
to, a faster and cheaper method compared to freeze
drying, with better end product quality than air drying or
spray drying. To date, EnWave Corporation has signed
fifteen royalty-bearing commercial licenses with various
companies, thereby opening up eight distinct market sectors for
commercialization. In addition to these fifteen licenses, EnWave has
formed a Limited Liability Partnership, NutraDried LLP, to develop,
manufacture, market and sell all-natural cheese snack products within the
United States of America under the Moon Cheese brand. EnWave
Corporation recently confirmed that the company has extended the
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Paula (Poland) offers the Crispy Natural range of dried fruit snacks, which
are produced in an innovative drying technology, in which no added fats or
salt are added it happens during frying or baking. The technology is based
on the use of low temperature (below 40°C), thanks to which Crispy
Natural retain high levels of nutrients. The products are promoted as
crunchy and tasty, and do not contain preservatives.
Cold-brewed coffee
The use of cold-brewed coffee or cold-brewed coffee concentrate is an
increasingly popular way of distinguishing a brand in the category of RTD
coffee. Innova Market Insights tracked 35 “cold brewed coffee” products in
the first 10 months of 2015, with 38 tracked in 2014. Just 2 launches with
these words were tracked in the whole of 2012. Also known as cold press,
cold-brewed coffee is brewed without heat for a long period of time. Cold
brewing, at a local, often artisan level, is paving the way for an entire new
category within the RTD coffee beverage segment.
Starbucks notes how traditional iced coffee is made by brewing hot coffee
at double-strength and pouring over ice, while iced espresso beverages
such as an Iced Americano are made by combining espresso shots with
water and ice. The Cold Brew crafting method – which never comes in
contact with heat – creates a naturally sweet, smooth iced coffee. Just
before summer, Starbucks expanded its popular small-batch Cold Brew
iced coffee as a core menu item in participating stores across the US and
Canada. Starbucks baristas freshly grind Starbucks Cold Brew Blend
coffee, created specifically for the cold brewing method, and then steep it
in a container of cool water for 20 hours. This artisanal process results in
cold coffee concentrate that baristas measure and top with water and ice
and serve unsweetened.
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Cloning for food purposes will likely be off the agenda for years, but
consumers and regulators hold a much greater preference for age-old
technologies with tradition and clearly recognizable benefits. Fermented
foods will be one platform to look out for in NPD in the months ahead.
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the following: +74% juice & juice drinks +32% savory biscuits/crackers
+29% main dishes +20% pizza and +13% ready meals.
A broadening of focus
Initiatives in recent years have mainly
focused on getting more vegetables into
our children’s diets, but this is now
broadening out to focus on adults and the
whole family.
Also at Anuga, McCarter extended its Rio Fresh cold aseptic juice range,
with the launch of new vegetable products in 200ml and 500ml PET
packaging. From April 2015, Rio Fresh
Green Smoothie Spinach has been offered in
200ml PET and 500ml PET and in August
2015, two new SKUs were added: Violet
Carrot and Green Smoothie with Broccoli.
Hidden vegetables
Children can be very resistant to eating their
vegetables, and there is now a wide range
of children’s meals featuring “hidden
vegetables,” where they are pureed and
blended with other ingredients, so that their
inclusion is not immediately obvious. Some
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But moving away from the children’s market, Orkla of Denmark launched
its Pastella Vegetable Pasta range of fresh pasta with a 40% vegetable
content, featuring Carrot, Broccoli & Peas and Cauliflower options. Claimed
to be a category innovation, the three styles of pasta feature the taste and
texture of standard fresh pasta, but with the high vegetable content.
color, texture and taste of standard lines. Muellers, for example, has a
range of spaghetti and pasta shapes with added vegetables such as
carrots, sweetcorn and squash, making up one full serving of the daily
requirement of vegetables per portion.
Trending vegetables
One vegetable that is certainly on the rise is cauliflower; with a 22%
increase reported in global product launch activity tracked containing it
(2014 vs. 2013). Recently tracked products with cauliflower include Cauli
Rice Mediterranean Lower Calorie
Rice Alternative (UK), a lower
calorie rice alternative made
from fresh cauliflower grains with
sun dried tomatoes, green olives,
Mediterranean vegetables, herbs
and spices, in a microwaveable
plastic pouch. Woolworths
Carbclever Cauliflower Salad
(South Africa) is made with
cauliflower instead of potato, and
is tangy and creamy with a
pleasant crunch. The product is
promoted as: “a great potato
salad substitute.”
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The key target group for these types of products is Millennials, i.e. those
consumers born between the early 1980s and 2000s. Paul Janthial, Food &
Beverage Business unit director at Naturex notes that millennials are
expected to account for more than 75% of growth within the food market
over the next decade
(Source: Goldman
Sachs equity
research, April 19,
2015).
According to AC
Nielsen, Millennials
comprise about one-
third of “Opinion
Elites,” an influential
subset of the public
who are highly
informed, engaged
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and active when it comes to social and business issues. Around the world,
Opinion Elites of all ages are increasingly inquisitive and knowledgeable
about the companies they choose to buy from. However, just as
Millennials' shopping, dietary and financial decisions differ from those of
older generations, younger Opinion Elites (aged 18-34) focus on different
qualities than their older peers when assessing a corporate reputation. The
good news for organizations, is that these Millennials are more receptive
toward and give greater credit to companies across different locations and
industries – provided their other priorities are met.
The downside of the excessive use of such certifications is that they lose
their power of differentiation, but also criticism on the institute behind the
certification can damage the credibility of all brands. This is an opportunity
for brands that have a unique ethical story that goes beyond certification
alone and gets to the heart of the product’s creation. For example, the
“slave-free” chocolate brand Tony Chocolonely, which has enjoyed strong
success in the Netherlands, is not only creative in new product concepts,
but its core identity and story of origin makes them stand-out among
other chocolate brands.
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According to the
company: “It is the first
energy drink in the
world that contains no
sugar and no artificial
sweeteners.” Guampa is
enriched with vitamin B
and caffeine, but this
“Real Stevia” marketing
is interesting, as it
offers some marketing
benefit over the use of a
generic stevia product
from China.
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Back to reality
There is a belief among consumers that products that are as close as
possible to nature are preferable or healthier. We noted in our 2015 trends
list, how products such as natural butter are enjoying resurgence as a
result, at the expense of industrially created products like margarine.
Consumers want a real link with the past – in terms of diets/eating habits,
with the type of products that grandma would have made.
The issue of real food is also about reestablishing a link to old staples like
pasta that have fallen out of favor through the rise of modern trends, such
as “free from” [see trend #2]. Consumers are increasingly perceiving
pasta to be a low nutrient, high calorie carrier for tasty sauces and are
replacing it by spiralizing vegetables at home (e.g. sweet potato, zucchini),
which has been a clear trend in markets like the UK.
The Guardian recently reported how Massimo Bottura, the chef behind the
three Michelin starred Osteria Francescana in Modena, is an active part of
a campaign aimed at rehabilitating the Italian favorite. Bottura is teaming
up with food experts to hail a sensibly-sized portion of pasta as a
sustainable and healthy meal. The effort is part of a drive to counter the
messages of paleo and gluten free diets. Bottura advocates a new way of
thinking about pasta which calls on chefs to work with farmers and the
industry to make good-tasting pasta using alternative grains such as
quinoa. Bottura said the key to maintaining a healthy lifestyle was not only
to eat pasta, but also to eliminate as many animal fats as possible and to
use more olive oil, fresh herbs and seasonal fruit and vegetables.
Insights in the 12 months to the end of June 2015, rising to 4.8% in North
America and over 9% in Australia/New Zealand, but falling to about 2% in
Asia.
As manufacturers
launch new
products to meet
demand in the
functional
beverage
category, fiber is
rising to the top
of their ingredient
lists, notes Heidi
Cullip, Marketing
Manager, EMEA,
Innovation & Commercial Development, Tate & Lyle PLC, which offers
adverse fiber portfolio. “In fact, there was a 56% increase in beverages
launched containing fiber globally from 2010 to 2014. And while there are
many fiber ingredients that may be appropriate for this category, oat beta
glucan is an ideal option because of the many nutritional benefits it
provides,” she explains.
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Clearly fiber claims can be associated with many types of food and drinks
products, but two-thirds of US launches featuring this type of positioning
were in one of four categories – cereals, bakery products, snacks and
ready meals/prepared foods. Cereals used the highest number of fiber
related claims overall with about a quarter of the total and, as a result of
the relatively low numbers of launches in the category, these accounted
for over one-third of total cereals introductions, featuring both breakfast
cereals and cereal bars, many of which are also marketed on a
wholegrains platform.
Amid the real and high fiber trend, one of the most interesting launches of
2015 was the introduction of Kellogg’s Origins; a line of six cereals,
granolas and muesli. The lineup features blends of ancient and traditional
grains – oats, barley, spelt, quinoa, and KAMUT Brand Khorasan wheat.
Their ingredient supplier Kamut International notes how KAMUT wheat is
an organic, non-GMO ancient grain that has never been modified or
altered in any way. It is high in fiber, protein and lipids, and offers higher
amounts of nutrients compared to modern wheat, including a high content
of antioxidants. It has been found to reduce inflammation and improve
conditions of those suffering from IBS (irritable bowel syndrome) and
heart disease.
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In the US, Pepsi launched a new brand called Caleb's Kola in late 2014,
which is made from cane sugar, kola nuts from Africa, spices and a hint of
citrus. The cola is named for Pepsi inventor Caleb Bradham. Now the
company is set to launch a new soda brand called 1893, which is an
apparent reference to the birth year of a predecessor to Pepsi-Cola known
as “Brad's Drink.” Few details about the launch are available so far, but
the company filed a trademark application for the phrase “1893 From the
makers of Pepsi-Cola” in August 2015.
In the UK, Walkers held a vote to revive a retro flavor from their back
catalogue of favorite crisps, called the “Bring It Back” campaign.
Consumers could vote to bring back one of five retired flavors, which were
all returned for a period: Beef and Onion, Cheese and Chive, Barbecue,
Lamb and Mint and Toasted Cheese. Walkers unveiled Beef and Onion as
the winner, receiving almost 480,000 votes from a staggering 1.3 million
in total.
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A foodservice shift
The foodservice sector has seen a particularly
major shift in recent times, with millennial
consumers shunning the traditional fast food
big boys for smaller players with more
artisanal quality products. From salads to
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Specialty stores do only one thing, but they do it very well and are
enjoying success as a result. The popularity of specialty stores and
restaurants is closely related to a couple of consumer sentiments: the
desire for real, quality food, at affordable prices, mixed with a sense of
nostalgia. Globally, there is a rise in the number of chicken or meat only
restaurants, smokehouse restaurants, burger bars, and now even
breakfast cereal bars, sandwich only bars. A great example
of this is the Five Guys fast-casual restaurant chain, which
rules the US “better burger” category (hamburgers in the
US$8 range).
The anticipated backlash against the moves from these
small players is now occurring. McDonald’s is struggling to
regroup in the wake of several disappointing quarters, but
the burger giant appears to have conceded that following
the small guys is the way forward. McDonald’s recently
announced the introduction of the Signature Collection in
the UK, a line of new premium burgers available in three
flavors: The Classic, The BBQ and The Spicy. The Signature
Collection was created by McDonald’s team of food
specialists and their prestigious Chefs Council. This range
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of premium burgers features a thicker beef patty made from 100% British
& Irish beef and served in a brioche-style bun.
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Sometimes it is a matter of “if you can’t beat them, join them,” but on
other occasions a suitable strategy could be “if you can’t beat them, buy
them.”
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an in-between snack.
Sports products are truly becoming suitable for all, and innovators will do
well to exploit this burgeoning market.
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and dessert brands overall. Other leading confectionery brands with strong
positions include Nestlé’s Aero and Rolo.
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A coconut surge
Another angle can be to switch oils and use healthier fat claims. For
example, one product category that is on the rise in premium positioned
products is coconut oil. The use of coconut oil is trending, whether applied
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Zach Bluemer of Vita Coco says: “you see that not only coconut water, but
coconut in general is becoming a much bigger trend, as a beverage and as
an ingredient. We saw what was happening, also in terms of a lot of other
coconut oils, and realized a great opportunity to build on our current
supply chain.”
Beef jerky products are a classic indulgence product, but here the category
has enjoyed somewhat of a renaissance on the back of the high protein
trend; with the protein content serving as the alibi. In fact, when analyzing
the meat snacks market, a protein claim featured on nearly 15% of global
launches, rising to over 50% in the US in the 12 months to the end of April
2015.
A wholesome experience
It is also a matter of marketing wholesomeness,
with a significant rise in the use of the word
“wholesome,” which is +64% in 2014 compared
to 2011. For example, Uncle Toby’s (Australia)
has launched a new range of Muesli Bars that
have been created with lots of premium &
wholesome ingredients. “They have all been made
with oats that have been rolled in our mill on the
banks of the Murray River in rural Victoria.” Three
different ingredient blends are available in 5
packs: Almond & Blueberry, Roasted Macadamia
& Almond and Fig & Apricot.
Other strategies can simply involve creating very high quality products in
smaller portions than you would typically associate with something. It is a
matter of marketing. These types of products may be premium in nature,
but do offer some sort of healthy justification for consuming them;
whether it is their sourcing, quality or naturalness. This provides a sort of
alibi.
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from 2013 to 2014, you can see some interesting examples: +57% “pulled
meat,” +27% “slow cooked”/”slow baked,” +21% “smashed” and +19%
“inspired.”
spicy-hot or not.
Supplier innovation
Flavor suppliers are ramping up innovation to
address the demands of discernible palates.
Firmenich recently announced an investment
to further develop it’s AFFIRM technology and
therefore create more consumer preference
for its strategic partners. The investment is
aimed at helping the company understand
more complex flavor systems, by measuring
more volatiles in real time, with higher
precision, greater sensitivity and better
discrimination than ever before. Improved
accuracy will also allow Firmenich to create
consumer preferred flavors faster and more
cost-efficiently. With this knowledge, the company will be able to move
from analyzing the performance of the flavors to predicting the
performance of the flavors. Firmenich began by developing its (MS-NOSE),
in collaboration with the University of Nottingham several years ago.
Even more daring is the company’s eyeing of the hybrid trend through the
highly unusual Australian launch of Cadbury’s Vegemite-flavored
chocolate, which Innova Market Insights sampled at FiE 2015 in Paris.
Cadbury and Kraft, which produce Dairy Milk and Vegemite respectively,
are both owned by Mondelez, which has been combining unusual flavors
before e.g. Kraft Philadelphia and Cadbury chocolate. Cadbury Australia
described the chocolate bar as being filled with caramel with a hint of
Vegemite taste, similar to salted caramel, rather than filled entirely with
the salty, yeasty spread.”
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