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The High Performance Specialties company attends the automotive market by offering their product at a sale price of 3 usd/kg.
HPS maked an investment to purchase of new assets who was financed a long-term debt $100MM through a bank loan amortized to 5 years
at a yearly interest rate of CETES + 5 Pts payed monthly.
The maximum asset capacity (MAC) operation is 7,500 tons / year. The company currently volume production is 70% from MAC.
The depreciation of these new assets is by a 10-year straight line with 15% of salvage value. The tax rate of ISR is 30% and 10% PTU.
The manufacturing units costs are shown in Table 1.
INVESTMENT= Long term debt + working capital WC= $20MM
Analysis
1) Fill the blank on next table HPS by projecting the income statement to 5 years. (2 pt.)
2 ) Calculate the NPV at a discount rate of 5 , 15, 25 , 35 and 45 %. Develop graphical and make correlational analysis. (2.5 pts)
3) Calculate Pay back at a discount rate of 5 , 15, 25 , 35 and 45 %. Develop graphical and make correlational analysis. (2.5 pts)
4) Perform risk analysis according to the current economic environment supporting their assumptions for the probability criteria. (3 points)
Advice: Table from critical variable change and estándar deviation needed.
Additional pBased on the financial position of the company HPS. Issue an advice and recommendations you would make
to recover the investment made by HPS in the shortest time possible. (1 point)
Table 1 Units: Pesos mn/kg
VARIABLES: 200Y Period
Main Raw Material 16.005
Other Commodities 0.313
packing 1.282
Material Operation 0.288
fuel 0.855
electricity 1.397
water 0.284
TOTAL VARIABLE: 20.424
FIXED:
Labor 0.634
Ind. Labor plant 0.401
Ind. Labor Complex 0.542
Total Labor 1.577
salaries 0.200
Ind Salaries Plant 0.329
Indirect Salaries Complex 0.625
Total Wages 1.154
operation 0.035
Ind.Operation Plant 0.015
Ind Operation Complex 0.068
Total Mat. Operation 0.118
maintenance 0.488
Ind. Maintenance Plant 0.039
Ind. Maintenance Complex 0.080
Total Maintenance 0.607
other Expenses 0.101
Other ind. Expenses Plant 0.034
Other ind. Expenses complex 0.136
Total Other Expenses 0.271
TOTAL FIXED: 3.727
GRAND TOTAL: 24.151
0
Programación de la amortización de préstamo
Especificar valores Resumen del préstamo
Importe del préstamo 100,000,000.00 € Pago programado 2,082,636.76 €
Tasa de interés anual 9.14 % Número de pagos programado 60
Plazo del préstamo en años 5 Número de pagos real 60
Número de pagos al año 12 Total de pagos anticipados 59.00 €
Fecha inicial del préstamo 1/1/2021 Interés total 24,958,189.73 €
Pagos adicionales opcionales 1.00 €
Nº Fecha de pago Saldo inicial Pago programado Pago adicional Pago total Capital Interés Saldo final Interés acumulativo
Pago
PAYBACK 5.00% 1
Cash Flow $ 116,163,072.52
Discount Factor 0.95
Present Value $ 110,631,497.64
-100,000,000 10,631,498
Pay Back 0.9 0.9
0.800
0.600
0.400
0.200
0.000
1.000
0.800
0.600
0.400
0.200
0.000
0% 10% 20% 30
income statement
2 3 4 5
61.56 61.56 61.56 61.56
5250000 5250000 5250000 5250000
20.424 20.424 20.424 20.424
$ 323,190,000.00 $ 323,190,000.00 $ 323,190,000.00 $ 323,190,000.00
$ 107,226,000.00 $ 107,226,000.00 $ 107,226,000.00 $ 107,226,000.00
$ 215,964,000.00 $ 215,964,000.00 $ 215,964,000.00 $ 215,964,000.00
$ 19,566,750.00 $ 19,566,750.00 $ 19,566,750.00 $ 19,566,750.00
$ 196,397,250.00 $ 196,397,250.00 $ 196,397,250.00 $ 196,397,250.00
2 3 4 5
$ 117,108,697.03 $ 118,144,465.84 $ 119,278,972.21 $ 120,521,628.57
0.91 0.86 0.82 0.78
$ 106,221,040.39 $ 102,057,631.65 $ 98,131,105.63 $ 94,431,849.61
116,852,538 218,910,170 317,041,275 411,473,125
- - - -
RISK ANALYSIS
STAGES IRR PROBABILITY
UP SIDE 163 0.4
DOWN SIDE 111 0.1
EXPECTED 148 0.4
SLOWLY GRO 109 0.1
TOTAL 1
$60,000,000.00
$50,000,000.00
$40,000,000.00
$30,000,000.00
$20,000,000.00
$10,000,000.00
$-
$60,000,000.00
$50,000,000.00
$40,000,000.00
$30,000,000.00
$20,000,000.00
$10,000,000.00
$-
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
RISK ANALYSIS
VARIABLE COFIXED COST INTEREST RATE
-4% -3% 7%
3% 5% 15%
0% -2% 10%
7% 10% 10%
RISK ANALYSIS
RENDIMIENT X X^2 X^2Y
65.2 16.6 275.56 110.224
11.1 -35.4 1253.16 125.316
59.2 1.6 2.56 1.024
10.9 -37.4 1398.76 139.876
146.4 VARIANZA 376.44
DESV. ESTAN 19.40
LIM SUP. 165.80
LIM INF. 127.00
Analysis
1) Fill the blank on next table HPS by projecting the income statement to 5 years. (2 pt.)
2 ) Calculate the NPV at a discount rate of 5 , 15, 25 , 35 and 45 %. Develop graphical and make correlational analysis. (2.5 pt
3) Calculate Pay back at a discount rate of 5 , 15, 25 , 35 and 45 %. Develop graphical and make correlational analysis. (2.5 pt
4) Perform risk analysis according to the current economic environment supporting their assumptions for the probability criteria
Advice: Table from critical variable change and estándar deviation needed.
RISK ANALYSIS
STAGES IRR PROBABILITY RENDIMIENTO X
UP SIDE 163 0.4 65.2 16.6
DOWN SIDE 111 0.1 11.1 -35.4
EXPECTED 148 0.4 59.2 1.6
SLOWLY GRO 109 0.1 10.9 -37.4
TOTAL 1 146.4
Additional poin Based on the financial position of the company HPS. Issue an advice and recommendations you would make
to recover the investment made by HPS in the shortest time possible. (1 point)
Period 4 Period 5 NET PRESENT VALUE
$ 196,397,250.00 $ 196,397,250.00 $100,000,000.00
$ 119,278,972.21 $ 120,521,628.57 $90,000,000.00
$80,000,000.00
$70,000,000.00 f(x) = − 165066067.18962 x + 90710426.986687
R² = 0.915934395743599
phical and make correlational analysis. (2.5 pts) $60,000,000.00
$50,000,000.00
$40,000,000.00
45% 50% $30,000,000.00
$20,000,000.00
$ 18,802,906.24 $ 15,871,160.96 $10,000,000.00
$-
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
phical and make correlational analysis. (2.5 pts)
45% 50%
1.3570490143742 1.4334041152419
PAYBACK
1.600
1.400
ng their assumptions for the probability criteria. (3 points)
1.200
1.000
0.800
0.600
0.400
X^2 X^2Y 0.200
275.56 110.224 0.000
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
1253.16 125.316
2.56 1.024
1398.76 139.876
VARIANZA 376.44
DESV. ESTAN 19.40
LIM SUP. 165.80
LIM INF. 127.00