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Replacement of Imus 83 MVA 110 kV-34.5 kV-13.8 kV Power Transformer with a new 100 MVA 110 kV-34.5 kV-13.8 kV, three-
Justification:
At the end of 2016, Imus Bank No.2 with an 83-MVA, 115 kV - 34.5 kV power transformer is forecasted to be critically loaded w
loading which can be attributed to the forecasted 4% small- area load growth in the areas served by this transformer bank. As
Owned Electric Distribution Utility Planning Manual, which prescribes the augmentation of substation capacity in the year in w
substation or interconnected substation group exceeds 70% of the maximum rated capacity under normal operating condition
transformers in service, Imus power transformer bank no. 2 has exceeded the 70% maximum normal loading limit. Currrently,
solution of Meralco is the installation of 34.5 kV metalclad switchgear at Dasmariñas 83 MVA power transformer bank no. 1 w
unload the critically loaded Imus Bank No. 2
SOURCE:
https://transformers-magazine.com/tm-news/erc-approves-8-2-m-meralco-projects/
ERC Case No. 2015-016 RC
COST OF THE PROJECT (Based on the costing of the same power transformer model in the pending ERC Case No. 2019-037 RC)
₱66,862,107.50
5.234658
n the EBIT or operating income before interest and tax.
or Expansion project. Provide a source, documentation, or calculation of the data you used.
enario analysis using the ‘new normal’ as the effect of the COVID-19. Incorporate any possible effect of inflation in the scenario analysis.
s Beta will be used as company’s beta. Use the PSEi as index.
ever using your project’s capital structure.
ct. Identify the project’s capital structure.
atch to your project life (i.e. use PH 5-yr treasury bond if your project or asset is until 5yrs). Use the closest year if it is not available.
x rate for your company. Make sure to source the data in a valid source (i.e. do not source from Bloomberg, use government sites if possible or internati
he asset at an additional of 5% per year (i.e. a 3-yr asset can be sold at 5% higher than SV/BV at the end of year 3. It can be sold at 10% h
have the same country) and use the International Parity conditions to forecast relevant exchange rates and calculate the NPV in Philippine p
scenario analysis.
not available.
year 3. It can be sold at 10% higher than SV(BV) if you will sell at end of year 2, and 15% higher if sold after year 1). Will you abandon the p
alculate the NPV in Philippine peso denomination. Justify your selected country. What are the factors that can affect your project’s cash flow
year 1). Will you abandon the project and at what year?
affect your project’s cash flow?
Manila Electric Co. (MER)
Source: Thomson Reuters Eikon
Income Statement
2019 2018 2017 NO.1
Revenue 318,315 304,454 282,556 Average sales growth r
Expected Sales
Cost of Revenue -247,669 -238,492 -220,491 Working Capital
Gross income 70,646 65,962 62,065
Selling/General/Admin. Expenses, Total -14,279 -13,810 -14,383 Average
Depreciation/Amortization -8,693 -7,804 -7,498 NO. 2
Interest/Investment Income - Operating -4 -5 -4 0.0949711 Average EBIT Margin
Other Operating Expenses, Total -16,431 -15,901 -13,802
EBIT(Operating Income) 31,239 28,442 26,378 NO. 3
EBIT Margin 0.0981386 0.0934197 0.0933549 Depreciation and amortization are
Interest Expense, Net Non-Operating -1,412 -1,437 -1,430 Asset Type
Interest/Invest Income - Non-Operating -1,994 3,194 2,339 Subtransmission and distribution
Interest Income(Exp), Net Non-Operating 3,269 Buildings and improvements
Other Non-Operating Income (Expense) 813 346 575 Communication equipment
EBT 31,915 30,545 27,862 Office furniture, fixtures and other
Provision for Income Taxes -8,543 -7,443 -7,363 Transportation equipment
After-tax Income 23,372 23,102 20,499 Others
Minority Interest -87 -85 -115
Net Income 23,285 23,017 20,384 NO. 4
25.85% Average effective tax ra
NO.16
2019
Retained ea 67,108
SOURCE:
https://www.accountingnotes.net/
NO.17
RISK FREE (Treasury Bon
SOURCE:
http://www.worldgovernmentbond
NO.18
CAPM/RRR
CAPM/RRR=Rf+(Rm-Rf)b
CAPM/RRR 0.0444625
NO.19
Lending rate as the pre
Tax Shield
Cost of Debt
SOURCE
https://data.worldbank.org/indicat
0.0455274 0.0774996815 0.0615135
337895.68
2019 2018 2017
-9,872 -173 -7,407
-5817.333 Average net working capital as to -1.7216
on and amortization are computed using the straight-line method over the following estimated useful lives:
Estimated Useful Lives
ission and distribution 10-40 years, depending on the life of the significant parts
nd improvements 15-40 years
ation equipment 5-10 years
ture, fixtures and other equipment 5-20 years
tion equipment 5-10 years
5-20 years
301,775
20%
cremental sales 60355
Position Paper states that the regulatory depreciation will be calculated on a straight line basis across the
fespan of assets. As for the estimated useful life used, other power companies like NGCP estimates that the
of power transformers is within 35-40 years but for a conservative result, MERALCO considered 30 years as the
sformer's asset life.
c.node1347.speedyrails.net/documents/2180
w.ngcp.ph/Attachment-Uploads/TDP%202016-2040%20Final%20Report%20Volume%201%20Major%20Network%20Development-2019-
w.erc.gov.ph/Files/Render/issuance/17835
66,182,107
5% Based on ERC's Position Paper
3,309,105
w.erc.gov.ph/Files/Render/issuance/17835
60355
54,623
5731.9803
n = Operating Margin
w.investopedia.com/terms/o/operatingmargin.asp#:~:text=When%20calculating%20an%20operating%20margin,business%2C%20excludi
e opportunity cost if the project is accepted would be the expected return on investment if the capital is invested in the stock market.
al is to be used to finance the project, it is expected that newer asset will increase production efficiency, leading to lower operational
nd a higher profit margin. It means that by investing in the business, you would forgo the opportunity to earn a high return on the stock
investing.com/equities/manila-electri-historical-data
investing.com/indices/psei-composite-historical-data
QUITY/CAPM
uity = Risk-free rate + Beta[levered at your firms desired leverage] * (Return on market - Risk-free rate)
ATE (PSEi CAGR 32 Years c 7.50%
Treasury Bond Rate 25 Ye 4.35%
QUITY/CAPM 4.45%
apital Structure
95% Cost of Equity 4.45%
5% Cost of Debt 5.26%
20.697949
olab.com/earn-stock-index-investing/
w.worldgovernmentbonds.com/country/philippines/
w.accountingnotes.net/financial-management/capital-structure/capital-structure-definition-assumptions-and-classification
4.35%
w.worldgovernmentbonds.com/country/philippines/
=Rf+(Rm-Rf)b
a.worldbank.org/indicator/FR.INR.LEND?end=2019&locations=PH&start=2014&view=chart
%20Development-2019-05-14-16-43-41.pdf?fbclid=IwAR2KEdriTd3J5a7u6VSrIOYk-VQyOsIqbHBE-z43F0ATRUvs76sn69pEYf0
business%2C%20excluding%20interest%20and%20taxes.
This includes the cost of new 100 MVA, 115 kV-34.5 kV, three-phase power transformer
and costs for transformer oil, taxes, duties, brokerage, trucking services and installation.
SOURCE:
ERC Case No. 2018-006 RC Urdaneta Power Transformer Replacement)
Date Price MERALCO Price PSEI y x y2
Jun 07, 2020 291 6,476.24 2.6 11.11 6.76
May 31, 2020 288.4 6,465.13 5.4 626.29 29.16
May 24, 2020 283 5,838.84 7 299.65 49
May 17, 2020 276 5,539.19 1.6 -2.76 2.56
May 10, 2020 274.4 5,541.95 22.4 -79.99 501.76
May 03, 2020 252 5,621.94 -2.4 -78.77 5.76
Apr 26, 2020 254.4 5,700.71 -1.6 235.73 2.56
Apr 19, 2020 256 5,464.98 -13 -324.99 169
Apr 12, 2020 269 5,789.97 2.8 279.14 7.84
Apr 05, 2020 266.2 5,510.83 26.2 163.86 686.44
Mar 29, 2020 240 5,346.97 20 80.35 400
Mar 22, 2020 220 5,266.62 20 487.86 400
Mar 15, 2020 200 4,778.76 -34.78 -1015.18 1209.6484
Mar 08, 2020 234.78 5,793.94 -28.37 -976.44 804.8569
Mar 01, 2020 263.15 6,770.38 -0.78 -17.53 0.6084
Feb 23, 2020 263.93 6,787.91 -0.2 -581.87 0.04
Feb 16, 2020 264.13 7,369.78 7.83 87.78 61.3089
Feb 09, 2020 256.3 7,282.00 -32.5 -225.2 1056.25
Feb 02, 2020 288.8 7,507.20 32.8 306.41 1075.84
Jan 26, 2020 256 7,200.79 -46.4 -422.62 2152.96
Jan 19, 2020 302.4 7,623.41 11.4 -99.17 129.96
Jan 12, 2020 291 7,722.58 -17 -54.19 289
Jan 05, 2020 308 7,776.77 -4.4 -63.02 19.36
Dec 29, 2019 312.4 7,839.79 -4.6 24.53 21.16
Dec 22, 2019 317 7,815.26 30.8 42.14 948.64
Dec 15, 2019 286.2 7,773.12 -31.8 -104.51 1011.24
Dec 08, 2019 318 7,877.63 -8 75.91 64
Dec 01, 2019 326 7,801.72 7 62.76 49
Nov 24, 2019 319 7,738.96 -11 -85.63 121
Nov 17, 2019 330 7,824.59 -8 -108.37 64
Nov 10, 2019 338 7,932.96 -11.8 -132.8 139.24
Nov 03, 2019 349.8 8,065.76 11.4 88.64 129.96
Oct 27, 2019 338.4 7,977.12 -17.8 54.62 316.84
Oct 20, 2019 356.2 7,922.50 -4.4 37.27 19.36
Oct 13, 2019 360.6 7,885.23 -4.6 35.29 21.16
Oct 06, 2019 365.2 7,849.94 -1.8 145.34 3.24
Sep 29, 2019 367 7,704.60 4 -114.62 16
Sep 22, 2019 363 7,819.22 -8 -51.89 64
Sep 15, 2019 371 7,871.11 4.6 -121.21 21.16
Sep 08, 2019 366.4 7,992.32 8.4 58.85 70.56
Sep 01, 2019 358 7,933.47 -7 -46.19 49
Aug 25, 2019 365 7,979.66 3 90.25 9
Aug 18, 2019 362 7,889.41 9 93.43 81
Aug 11, 2019 353 7,795.98 -7 -58.41 49
Aug 04, 2019 360 7,854.39 -12.6 -275.54 158.76
Jul 28, 2019 372.6 8,129.93 -2.4 -54.06 5.76
Jul 21, 2019 375 8,183.99 -8 -86.08 64
Jul 14, 2019 383 8,270.07 1.6 128.25 2.56
Jul 07, 2019 381.4 8,141.82 -4.6 23.88 21.16
Jun 30, 2019 386 8,117.94 -1 118.23 1
Jun 23, 2019 387 7,999.71 7 -55.76 49
Jun 16, 2019 380 8,055.47 -2.2 65.27 4.84
Jun 09, 2019 382.2 7,990.20 -6.6 6.22 43.56
Jun 02, 2019 388.8 7,983.98 3.8 13.96 14.44
May 26, 2019 385 7,970.02 7 222.93 49
May 19, 2019 378 7,747.09 18 163.27 324
May 12, 2019 360 7,583.82 -11.2 -158.38 125.44
May 05, 2019 371.2 7,742.20 -14.4 -225.78 207.36
Apr 28, 2019 385.6 7,967.98 1.6 99.7 2.56
Apr 21, 2019 384 7,868.28 5 33.13 25
Apr 14, 2019 379 7,835.15 0.6 -45.67 0.36
Apr 07, 2019 378.4 7,880.82 -0.4 7.64 0.16
Mar 31, 2019 378.8 7,873.18 -1.2 -47.75 1.44
Mar 24, 2019 380 7,920.93 -7 -92.49 49
Mar 17, 2019 387 8,013.42 17 215.14 289
Mar 10, 2019 370 7,798.28 -6 1.17 36
Mar 03, 2019 376 7,797.11 9 155.34 81
Feb 24, 2019 367 7,641.77 -8 -320.36 64
Feb 17, 2019 375 7,962.13 20 53.24 400
Feb 10, 2019 355 7,908.89 -12.2 -162 148.84
Feb 03, 2019 367.2 8,070.89 -3.4 -73.27 11.56
Jan 27, 2019 370.6 8,144.16 -1.4 90.96 1.96
Jan 20, 2019 372 8,053.20 2.8 6.08 7.84
Jan 13, 2019 369.2 8,047.12 -17.8 143.03 316.84
Jan 06, 2019 387 7,904.09 -7 142.98 49
Dec 30, 2018 394 7,761.11 14 295.09 196
Dec 23, 2018 380 7,466.02 -10 -13.69 100
Dec 16, 2018 390 7,479.71 0.2 -44.66 0.04
Dec 09, 2018 389.8 7,524.37 13.8 63.31 190.44
Dec 02, 2018 376 7,461.06 -8.2 93.21 67.24
Nov 25, 2018 384.2 7,367.85 -5.8 27.67 33.64
Nov 18, 2018 390 7,340.18 13.4 256.84 179.56
Nov 11, 2018 376.6 7,083.34 -4.2 114.52 17.64
Nov 04, 2018 380.8 6,968.82 13 -171.47 169
Oct 28, 2018 367.8 7,140.29 7.4 75.96 54.76
Oct 21, 2018 360.4 7,064.33 13.6 -87.19 184.96
Oct 14, 2018 346.8 7,151.52 -5 146.75 25
Oct 07, 2018 351.8 7,004.77 -4.2 -73.43 17.64
Sep 30, 2018 356 7,078.20 16 -198.62 256
Sep 23, 2018 340 7,276.82 -25 -106.18 625
Sep 16, 2018 365 7,383.00 -3 -30.15 9
Sep 09, 2018 368 7,413.15 -12 -185.49 144
Sep 02, 2018 380 7,598.64 6.6 -257.07 43.56
Aug 26, 2018 373.4 7,855.71 7.4 89.24 54.76
Aug 19, 2018 366 7,766.47 3 182.95 9
Aug 12, 2018 363 7,583.52 -5.2 -221.46 27.04
Aug 05, 2018 368.2 7,804.98 -1.8 -14.41 3.24
Jul 29, 2018 370 7,819.39 -8 118.01 64
Jul 22, 2018 378 7,701.38 20.8 301.77 432.64
Jul 15, 2018 357.2 7,399.61 1.2 0.43 1.44
Jul 08, 2018 356 7,399.18 -2 212.47 4
Jul 01, 2018 358 7,186.71 2.4 -6.97 5.76
Jun 24, 2018 355.6 7,193.68 20.8 130.48 432.64
Jun 17, 2018 334.8 7,063.20 -10.2 -466.34 104.04
Jun 10, 2018 345 7,529.54 7 -211.2 49
Jun 03, 2018 338 7,740.74 3.2 110.48 10.24
May 27, 2018 334.8 7,630.26 -0.2 -17.25 0.04
May 20, 2018 335 7,647.51 13 -24.77 169
May 13, 2018 322 7,672.28 -6 -79.83 36
May 06, 2018 328 7,752.11 1 205.92 1
Apr 29, 2018 327 7,546.19 12.8 -174.83 163.84
Apr 22, 2018 314.2 7,721.02 -7.4 -5.7 54.76
Apr 15, 2018 321.6 7,726.72 -0.2 -173.26 0.04
Apr 08, 2018 321.8 7,899.98 -0.8 -45.68 0.64
Apr 01, 2018 322.6 7,945.66 4.6 -34.17 21.16
Mar 25, 2018 318 7,979.83 -7 9.03 49
Mar 18, 2018 325 7,970.80 -6.36 -267.35 40.4496
Mar 11, 2018 331.36 8,238.15 7.72 -134.36 59.5984
Mar 04, 2018 323.64 8,372.51 -7.12 -86.06 50.6944
Feb 25, 2018 330.76 8,458.57 15.03 -8.99 225.9009
Feb 18, 2018 315.73 8,467.56 -2.77 -144.88 7.6729
Feb 11, 2018 318.5 8,612.44 0.5 108.75 0.25
Feb 04, 2018 318 8,503.69 -18.2 -307.06 331.24
Jan 28, 2018 336.2 8,810.75 1.2 -230.45 1.44
Jan 21, 2018 335 9,041.20 5 125.28 25
Jan 14, 2018 330 8,915.92 -1 101.3 1
Jan 07, 2018 331 8,814.62 1.8 44.62 3.24
Dec 31, 2017 329.2 8,770.00 0.6 211.58 0.36
Dec 24, 2017 328.6 8,558.42 7.8 126.11 60.84
Dec 17, 2017 320.8 8,432.31 -4.2 95.27 17.64
Dec 10, 2017 325 8,337.04 1.6 32.34 2.56
Dec 03, 2017 323.4 8,304.70 18 160.68 324
Nov 26, 2017 305.4 8,144.02 -13.6 -221.09 184.96
Nov 19, 2017 319 8,365.11 -3 54.03 9
Nov 12, 2017 322 8,311.08 27 -122.4 729
Nov 05, 2017 295 8,433.48 4.8 57.35 23.04
Oct 29, 2017 290.2 8,376.13 0.2 80.18 0.04
Oct 22, 2017 290 8,295.95 -0.6 -125 0.36
Oct 15, 2017 290.6 8,420.95 1 -26.99 1
Oct 08, 2017 289.6 8,447.94 4.4 137.06 19.36
Oct 01, 2017 285.2 8,310.88 2.2 139.45 4.84
Sep 24, 2017 283 8,171.43 3.2 -109.84 10.24
Sep 17, 2017 279.8 8,281.27 3.8 100.42 14.44
Sep 10, 2017 276 8,180.85 6.4 158.1 40.96
Sep 03, 2017 269.6 8,022.75 -1.4 64.18 1.96
Aug 27, 2017 271 7,958.57 0.4 -56.57 0.16
Aug 20, 2017 270.6 8,015.14 -2.36 -1.59 5.5696
Aug 13, 2017 272.96 8,016.73 0.4 88.3 0.16
Aug 06, 2017 272.56 7,928.43 -2.96 -4.39 8.7616
Jul 30, 2017 275.52 7,932.82 0 -138.65 0
Jul 23, 2017 275.52 8,071.47 2.96 81.74 8.7616
Jul 16, 2017 272.56 7,989.73 2.76 103.83 7.6176
Jul 09, 2017 269.8 7,885.90 3.2 -3.43 10.24
Jul 02, 2017 266.6 7,889.33 5.8 46.17 33.64
Jun 25, 2017 260.8 7,843.16 -0.2 28.99 0.04
Jun 18, 2017 261 7,814.17 SUMMATION 30 -1337.93 21157.4692
0.4573107079
0.0305570245 BETA
COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS TEMPLATE
Project Name:
Brief Description:
CASH OUTFLOW
Investment 66,182.11
Cash Operating Expense 54,270.42 57,608.81 61,152.56 64,914.30 68,907.44
Operating Margin (NET CASH FL - 66,182.11 5,731.98 6,084.58 6,458.86 6,856.17 7,277.93