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Cash Kings:
Three Top Dividend Stocks
to Help Your Portfolio Prosper
in 2017 and Beyond
Winter 2017
Cash Kings: Three Top Dividend Stocks to Help Your
Portfolio Prosper in 2017 and Beyond
by Bryan White
We believe superior long-term returns are driven by a company’s ability to earn an above-average return on the capital invested in
the business. The beauty of a fundamentally strong company that pays a dividend to investors is the quarterly capital outlay forces
discipline upon the management team.
Companies that return a significant portion of their cash flow to investors in the form of a dividend must be disciplined with the
cash flow they choose to reinvest in the business. There’s simply less room for error than your average company that retains all of
its cash flow.
The three stocks ideas we’re presenting to you today exhibit strong business fundamentals and healthy returns on invested capital.
They also offer investors attractive dividend yields with the prospect of increasing their dividend payouts well into the future.
All of us here at Motley Fool Canada hope you enjoy our special report and wish you all the best on your way to achieving market
beating investment returns well into the future.
To your wealth,
Bryan White
Analyst, Motley Fool Canada
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While there are several entities to choose from within the of role. These assets typically operate with long-life contracts
Brookfield family, Brookfield Infrastructure Partners with credit-worthy counterparties and offer a built-in inflation
(TSX:BIP.UN)(NYSE:BIP)—which we’ll refer to as BIP from hedge, which ensures their returns are at least consistent from
here on out—is the one that has us most intrigued. An estab- year to year. About 70% of the company’s cash flows are
lished portfolio of unique infrastructure assets that generate indexed to inflation.
some of the world’s most reliable cash flows and an opportunity
At the moment, the company’s cash flows support the
to grow as the privatization of this asset class gathers steam pro-
vide a one-two punch that your portfolio is likely to appreciate nearly-5% dividend yield offered by the stock. However, this
for many years to come. company is well known for increasing that dividend thanks to
the reliability of the underlying stream of cash its assets pro-
Should things work out as planned, with a world-class duce. We expect this trend will continue, leaving the potential
management team that Brookfield is renowned for at the helm, for an effective yield on our cost base that’s much higher in five
we foresee that this might be one of the most relaxing ways to years’ time.
earn a market-beating return that we’ve recommended thus far.
Sit back, relax, and let the dividends and potential for capital
appreciation roll.
Just getting warmed up
The current portfolio of cash-generating, unique assets is
The business but phase one of the BIP opportunity, however. While the
cash that these assets generate provides a base line, there are
BIP is a spin-out from big brother Brookfield Asset two more phases that are just as, if not more, enticing for
Management (TSX:BAM.A)(NYSE:BAM), which still owns long-term investors.
a 30% stake in the business. This is a common occurrence at
BAM, and it has several publicly traded subsidiaries, all associ- One of these phases is BIP’s opportunity to put new capital to
ated with “real assets.” work. BIP is in the envious position of not only having access
to a deep pool of capital (thanks in part to its affiliation with
As alluded to, BIP owns a unique set of infrastructure assets
BAM), but it operates in an asset class that allows this capital
that generate substantial cash flows and, in most cases, require
to be invested at highly attractive rates—especially when we
minimal maintenance capital expenditures. We’re talking
consider the current low interest rate environment.
things like transmission towers, toll roads, railroads, ports,
and pipelines that are virtually essential to day-to-day life, Specific opportunities that stand to provide ample returns on
even though they do tend to play a behind-the-scenes kind new capital for years to come include:
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Few sectors in the market are as well-suited to paying a healthy The company operates with three divisions: Wireless,
dividend as the telecommunications sector. One key difference Residential and Small Business, and Enterprise. Wireless is the
we’d like to highlight with regards to Verizon Communications big dog, representing nearly 70% of the company’s revenues
(NYSE: VZ) versus, say, Rogers Communications (TSX: and nearly all of its operating profit. The company’s 4G LTE
RCI.B) is that U.S. dividends flow into an RRSP account wireless network is the most comprehensive in the U.S. and
without being subjected to withholding tax; that’s not the case reaches over 300 million Americans.
when U.S. dividends flow into non-registered accounts, as well Its legacy landline telephone business is in decline, as you
as TFSAs and RESPs. So, be aware of your individual situation might suspect, but in 2005 Verizon introduced a fibre-optic cable
when examining U.S. dividend payers. offering by the name of FiOS that now dominates this segment
Now, enough with the logistics. Let’s meet this behemoth! of the business, representing ~35% of wireline revenues. The
introduction of this cable offering allowed Verizon to bundle a
Background collection of services, thus bolstering its competitive position.
Aside from its healthy yield, the thing that jumps off the
page for me about Verizon is its size. Its $206 billion market
Lots to Like
cap ranks among the top 10% of U.S.-listed companies. Things When it comes to telecom companies, big is beautiful, and
get even more interesting when we start stacking up the size of Verizon is the biggest and most beautiful of the bunch. It has the
Canada’s “Big 3” telecoms against this U.S. giant. best network in the U.S. It’s the leader in terms of profitability.
And it features the lowest subscriber churn. But don’t take my
With revenue over the past 12 months of $127 billion, word for it—none other than Warren Buffett recognized these
Verizon’s top line is 3.5 times bigger than the top line of BCE, same virtues by plunking down more than half a billion dollars
Telus, and Rogers … combined! In my view, this size differ- to acquire a chunk of Verizon back in 2014.
ence was a big reason Verizon turned its nose at the Canadian
And just like Rogers, it’s the company’s network that is
wireless business, which it reportedly explored a while back.
really at the heart of the story. Not only does it provide society
Simply, our market is too small to matter.
with the connections we crave, it underscores a really cool busi-
Though it’s incredibly large, Verizon was only born at ness model. As these networks are prohibitively expensive to
the turn of the century when a merger between Bell South establish, new ones aren’t just cropping up every day. Network
and GTE was consummated. In addition, prior to 2014, owners have very sizeable competitive advantages and moats
U.K.-based telecom giant Vodafone owned 45% of Verizon surrounding their business. In addition, because fixed costs are
Wireless. Verizon took advantage of the current low-rate high, adding new customers is virtually free. The more the mer-
environment and borrowed heavily to buy out Vodafone’s rier, and though Verizon’s absolute customer growth may slow,
position (for a mere $130 billion). network usage is expected to continue to march higher.
$2.0
Section from Paul Chi, Analyst, Million Dollar Portfolio
$1.5
Verizon Communications has been in the news most recently
for its pursuit of Yahoo (NASDAQ: YHOO), which it intends
$1.0
to acquire for $4.8 billion. The proposed deal adds another 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015e
layer to Verizon’s strategy of improving its content and adver-
tising capabilities. A year ago, Verizon’s $4.4 billion acquisition
of AOL gave a jump-start to that strategy. Here’s what CEO
Risk and Considerations
Lowell McAdam said about the acquisition: The market tends to focus on the entire telecom sector for its
income-generating capabilities. It’s a sector that is particularly
“Just over a year ago we acquired AOL to enhance our susceptible to interest rate moves. As rates can’t really go any
strategy of providing a cross-screen connection for lower, at some point, a move higher will have a negative impact
consumers, creators and advertisers. The acquisition of on this stock. It’s anyone’s guess where Verizon’s stock will be
Yahoo will put Verizon in a highly competitive position as when that day arrives.
a top global mobile media company, and help accelerate The other impact that higher rates may have is on the consid-
our revenue stream in digital advertising.” erable load of debt that Verizon carries. Because of its stable,
Assuming the Yahoo deal closes successfully, that’s now recurring cash flows, it can handle this load, and its maturity
$9.2 billion that Verizon has committed to its digital advertising schedule is nicely balanced. Still, this story is not without at
strategy. That’s a lot of money, but it’s peanuts compared to least a hint of financial risk.
Verizon’s total valuation. The real moneymaker continues to be It’s also important to emphasize that even though Verizon has
the company’s wireless business. well-established networks, both wireless and fixed, the sands
Moving forward, we’re going to look for Verizon to continue are constantly shifting under the telecommunications world.
making moves to protect its turf on the wireless network front. Consumption patterns are changing, the old landline business is
Wireless data traffic usage is growing rapidly and Verizon is one eroding, and competition—both on pricing and for investments
of the companies in prime position to get its fair share of profits like spectrum—continues to evolve. Though there’s no indica-
from this trend. As the owner of the best network in the United tion of this occurring, the company cannot become stagnant.
States, Verizon boasts bigger cash flow and deeper pockets with Resting on its laurels could result in a comeuppance.
which it can reinvest in the technologies of the future. Managed
correctly, Verizon could be a cash cow for many years to come.
Bottom Line
Digital advertising revenue is nice, but we want to see a focus First and foremost, this is a dividend stock, and should be
on the network, first and foremost. treated as such. In our mind, it’s one that can be socked away—
again, possibly in an RRSP—and essentially forget about for
Valuation the next 10 or more years. Harvest that 4.6% yield for now, and
when all is said and done, as the dividend grows over the next
Though the network stands to become more valuable over
decade as we expect that it will, the effective yield should be
the course of time, the sanctity of the dividend is probably the
considerably higher than that.
most prominent feature of Verizon as an investment. Because
of this, we can apply an old valuation technique known as the Dividend hikes are likely to result in a higher stock price,
“Gordon Growth Model” to assess the expectations and as- but that’s not the only way we see some capital appreciation
sumptions baked into Verizon’s stock at current levels. working its way into the mix. Verizon’s network could become
more valuable than anyone expects, and with an assortment of
At $2.31 per share and the stock priced at around $50 per
high-tech offerings in the stable, we could all be very pleasantly
share, according to the model and the reasonable assumptions surprised on this front. While there are risks associated with
we’ve made, the market does not appear to be pricing in any every company, based on its competitive position and the assets
future dividend growth. under its control, Verizon is better positioned than most to
Analysts expect 7% to 8% earnings growth out of Verizon handle whatever comes its way.
$30
Recent Price CAD$12.17
Yield 2.7%
$20
TTM = Trailing 12 Months
$10
Dollar amounts in millions except recent price.
$0 Data as of November 25, 2016
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For long-term investors like us at Motley Fool Canada some- old steel tanks due to concerns surrounding the internal cor-
times boring businesses can make for great investments. This rosion of steel tanks. In fact, the U.S. EPA recently issued a
is especially true for those operating in niche industries with notice highlighting the risk associated with this corrosion. This
little in the way of competition. As investors we know boring provides ZCL a healthy replacement opportunity over the next
businesses have a way of flying under-the-radar in the market, 3 to 5 years. The company estimates that 15% to 20% of the
but they also can find themselves free of fierce competition. retail fuel tanks installed today are more than 30 years old and
This can result in solid long-term investment opportunities for 50% to 60% are older than 20 years.
Foolish investors. ZCL Composites (TSX:ZCL) is a good old
fashioned boring business offering investors a nice balance of Competition
upside potential and dividend yield.
As you’ll see in the graph below ZCL enjoys a distinct
ZCL Composites makes fiberglass reinforced storage tanks competitive advantage as the largest player in the market
used for underground fluid containment. The company’s core in North America. The company is the clear market leader
business involves the replacement of legacy steel fuel tanks for underground storage tanks in Canada with approx. 85%
at gas stations, convenience stores and truck stops. They also market share. In the U.S., ZCL is one of the top 2 manufac-
have a faster growing segment that serves the underground turers with around 50% market share. CSI Denali is the only
water storage market. Demand for its underground water tanks other fiberglass tank manufacturer of scale serving the North
typically comes from a diverse set of industries and is tied to American markets.
general construction activity. Estimated North American Petroleum UST Market Share
60%
Risks
ZCL is a small hardware company without any meaningful
sources of recurring, consumables revenue. This means busi-
ness can be lumpy from quarter-to-quarter as customer orders
have the potential to get pushed into future periods. As many of
you already know the stock market can punish companies that
exhibit volatility from quarter-to-quarter. While the volatility
Dear Reader,
I hope you enjoyed the free report that my good friend and long-time colleague, Bryan
White, has put together for you -- and that you’ll be able to put this valuable information
to good use in your own portfolio going forward.
Speaking of which… in a recent survey, an astounding 98.9% of our Motley Fool
Canada readers and members told us they would like more guidance on which dividend-
paying stocks to buy and when.
(And given the incredible statistics Bryan shared in his introduction it’s certainly not hard to see why!)
If you count yourself among that vast majority, then I’d like you to know that while this free report is obviously our first
step toward providing you with exactly the kind of dividend-focused solutions you want... it’s most definitely not the last.
In fact, in the coming weeks you’ll be hearing more about everything we’re busy working on behind the scenes in order
to meet investors like you on your own terms…
Including an exciting new resource designed specifically for those investors who want to be able to harness the awesome
wealth-building power of dividend-paying stocks -- without having to spend an extraordinary amount of time and effort in
the process.
Everyone here is extremely excited about what we have to offer you, and we’ll be in touch the moment we have more
details to share.
Until then, please enjoy this report and have a great holiday season and prosperous New Year!
To making 2017 your most profitable year yet,
Brian Richards
General Manager
Motley Fool Global