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Four years into Mr Moon’s five-year term, such views are increasingly common. The
president’s approval rating is hovering around 35%, the lowest level since he took
office. His left-of-centre party is even less popular: Minjoo’s candidates are expected
to lose the mayoral by-elections next week in Seoul and Busan, the country’s two
biggest cities, by wide margins. If they do, it will not be because of inspired
campaigning by the opposition, which is barely more popular than Mr Moon himself.
The votes are widely considered a referendum on Mr Moon, and the overwhelming
mood is disappointment.
At one level, that reflects the usual fatigue towards the end of a government’s
tenure. Since presidents can serve only a single term, they inevitably become lame
ducks. But the disillusionment with Mr Moon and his party may be particularly acute
because he had promised to govern in a different way, says Kang Won-taek of Seoul
That by-elections are needed at all is a case in point. They became necessary
because Minjoo mayors in both Busan and Seoul were accused of sexual
harassment by female employees. Oh Keo-don, the former mayor of Busan, stepped
down last April. He admitted to some of the allegations and is awaiting trial on
related charges. Park Won-soon, the mayor of Seoul, committed suicide in July after
a female aide accused him of sexually harassing her for years.
Even those without feminist sensibilities have plenty of reasons for dismay. The
government’s failure to make housing more affordable has been compounded in
recent weeks by the revelation that officials from the agency in charge of new
housing developments had profited from inside information on big land deals. On
Monday Kim Sang-jo, Mr Moon’s top economic adviser and the architect of the
government’s flagship corporate-governance reforms, resigned after it emerged that
he had substantially raised the rent on a flat he owned two days before a new
tenant-protection law would have limited the increase. Covid-19 restrictions, a slow
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vaccine rollout and a sluggish economic recovery are eroding the goodwill the
government earned by managing the early stages of the pandemic well.
But voters are not enamoured5 with the conservative opposition, says Mr Kang
of snu. “If they win the mayoral elections,” he says, “it will not be the opposition’s
victory but the ruling party’s defeat.” That is mainly because the conservatives have
developed little in the way of new ideas or personalities since the previous president,
Park Geun-hye, was impeached for corruption four years ago. The voices of young
people and particularly of young women are woefully under-represented in both main
parties. Oh Se-hoon, the conservative candidate for mayor of Seoul, held the office
until ten years ago. “It says a lot that they haven’t found a better candidate in a
decade,” says Mr Kang. As the government stumbles and the opposition remains
stuck in its ways, disillusionment is likely only to deepen.
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