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Introducing The Integrated Operating Concept
Introducing The Integrated Operating Concept
Integrated
Operating
Concept
Conditions of Release
of technological change.”
General Sir Nick Carter GCB CBE DSO ADC Gen, Chief of the Defence Staff
1
The Imperative
For Change
OPERATE
WAR FIGHT
The strategic context is increasingly from what we call peace to nuclear war.
complex, dynamic and competitive. Their strategy of ‘political warfare’ is
The UK, our allies and alliances, and the designed to undermine cohesion, to
multilateral system that has assured our erode economic, political and social
security and stability for several resilience, and to challenge our strategic
generations, all face diversifying, position in key regions of the world.
intensifying, persistent and proliferating Their goal is to win without fighting: to
threats, from resurgent and developing achieve their objectives by breaking our
powers, and from non-state actors such willpower, using attacks below the
as violent extremists. threshold that would prompt a war-
fighting response. These attacks on our
These threats blend old elements — way of life from authoritarian adversaries
competition for resources, territory and and extremist ideologies are remarkably
political power — with new approaches. difficult to defeat without undermining
Our adversaries and rivals engage in a the very freedoms we want to protect.
continuous struggle involving all of We are exposed through our
the instruments of statecraft, ranging openness.
3
“The UK faces threats
from resurgent and developing
powers, states and non-state actors,
And a continuing threat from
violent extremism”
FAKE NEWS
FAKE NEWS
4
The pervasiveness of information and previously considered merely as
the pace of technological change are ‘shaping’ can now be ‘decisive’. Russia’s
transforming the character of warfare. seizure of Crimea in 2014 provides a
Old distinctions between ‘peace’ and stark case study in which a fait accompli
‘war’, between ‘public’ and ‘private’, strategy changed facts on the ground
between ‘foreign’ and ‘domestic’ and below the threshold at which a war
between ‘state’ and ‘nonstate’ are fighting response would be triggered.
increasingly out of date.
The pace of technological change and
Our adversaries employ an expanding, proliferation is rapidly broadening and
diverse and largely unregulated set of deepening the threat spectrum. As
information tools to influence target evidenced in Syria and Iraq, commercial
audiences’ attitudes, beliefs and technologies have disrupted the
behaviours. These weapons are economics and character of warfare.
increasingly employed above and below They are — increasingly — cheaper,
the threshold of war. They challenge faster, lighter, smaller and stealthier.
international norms and restrict our They offer a persistent and pervasive
response options. They work in the presence in the battlespace. They are
seams of our institutions, exacerbate readily available in large numbers and at
societal divisions and prejudices, and low cost.
lead people to cooperate, wittingly or
unwittingly, in the undermining of Such capabilities sit alongside more
democracy. sophisticated traditional weapons
available to well-resourced states, as well
The triumph of the narrative as threats from cyber and space. These
increasingly determines defeat or victory high-end adversaries continue to
and hence the importance of information develop increasingly sophisticated
operations. They can be used to support military capabilities. Many have
conventional military operations and modernised and expanded their
those utilising proxies and deniable para- capability, as well as proliferating it to
military forces, military coercion, their proxies, to challenge us above and
offensive cyber operations, and of course below the threshold of war, looking to
lawfare. Established techniques, such as counter the advantages we have
assassination, deception, economic enjoyed for the last 30 years such as air
coercion, espionage, theft of intellectual superiority, strategic mobility and
property and subversion gain potency unconstrained use of the
through the clever use of cyber, digitized electromagnetic spectrum. Additionally,
information, and social media. the challenge to nuclear stability is
Psychological insights into how these growing. Existing nuclear states are
channels can be manipulated enhance modernising their strategic capabilities
their effectiveness. and limited tactical nuclear weapons are
a credible operational consideration for
The combined effect is designed to force some. Nor do weapons of mass effect
an adversary to become politically reside exclusively in the chemical,
cowed, thus achieving objectives biological, radiological and nuclear
without the need to escalate above spheres, but extend to the cyber and
the threshold of war. Operations electromagnetic Domain.
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As we look further ahead, into the next misinformation during the coronavirus
decade, the combination by then of crisis. ‘Home’ is no longer a secure
proven technologies such as pervasive sanctuary whence we may choose to
availability of data via enhanced cloud launch interventions unhindered. ‘Away’
connectivity, machine learning and is no longer a regional horizon but a
artificial intelligence, and quantum global one, involving space and the
computing will allow not just a new electromagnetic spectrum. Similarly, the
generation of weapons systems but an ‘front’ no longer lies in some distant
entirely new way of warfare. A mix of theatre of operations, but is within the
crewed, uncrewed and autonomous port, airfield, or barracks. It sits across
systems look set to make a step the electromagnetic spectrum; it is in
change in lethality and utility. The space and inside our networks; it is
pervasive nature of data — private, already loitering in our supply chains.
commercial, governmental and military Sub-threshold operations are
combined — gathered from continuously executed at reach by
constellations of sensors and crunched at malign actors who seek to undermine
speed by artificial intelligence, will make our military readiness, our critical
it extremely hard to hide today’s national infrastructure, our economy, our
military signature anywhere on the alliances and our way of life. This raises
globe. questions about military resilience,
particularly in our strategic base, and this
Expensive, crewed platforms that we has been brought sharply into focus by
cannot replace and can ill afford to lose the coronavirus.
will be increasingly vulnerable to swarms
of self-coordinating smart munitions — Our adversaries, in short, use an array of
perhaps arriving at hypersonic speeds or capabilities, including their militaries,
ballistically from space — designed to below the threshold of war and in ways
swamp defences already weakened by outside of our legal and political
pre-emptive cyber-attack. The norms. They have proven themselves
economics of warfare are changing the willing and increasingly able to confront
balance between platforms and us at home and away, and to operate
weapons, and between crewed and with freedom throughout the spectrum,
uncrewed systems. In short, we face an from peace up to the threshold of war. In
inflection point between the Industrial this highly dynamic and fluid security
Age and the Information Age - it is context we cannot remain reactive in our
one that Defence will need to respond to processes, capability development, or —
if it is to retain a competitive edge. most importantly — in our approach to
using the military instrument. And the
The old distinction between foreign threat of unwarranted escalation leading
and domestic defence is increasingly to miscalculation is clear and present.
irrelevant. When ‘fake news’ appears to We must acknowledge that we are in a
originate not abroad but at home it state of persistent competition, which
gains credibility and reach, stoking can veer to confrontation, and as the
confusion, disagreement, division and threats and opportunities continue to
doubt in our societies. This has been evolve, so too must we. More of the
particularly evident with the significant same will not be enough.
uptick in disinformation and
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How we Respond
Our response starts by recognising, and continuing to resource, our strengths.
The first of these is our people; their quality enables our conceptual edge, and by
moving beyond a ‘closed-loop, base-fed approach’ we will have a better chance of
accessing the best talent and skills. Second are our allies and partners; NATO
remains central to the pursuit of our strategic ends. It is the only alliance that can
generate sufficient mass and integrate the conventional and nuclear forces that can
credibly deter the most dangerous threats to our security. But the centrality of NATO
does not mean ‘NATO Only’. We must look beyond NATO to other alliances, giving
real meaning to interoperability and burden sharing and constructing our campaigns
with allies in mind. The third is innovation and experimentation, while we have
access to world-class science and technology capabilities, we must recognise that the
engine room for innovation often lies outside government. Fourth, our own respect
for the rules, conventions and protocols of war are a centre of gravity which must be
protected. But the pace of technological change and the blurring of ‘peace’ and ‘war’
means that our legal, ethical and moral framework needs updating to deny our
adversaries the opportunity to undermine our values.
Quality People
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Integrated
For Advantage
The central idea of the Integrated Operating Concept is to drive the conditions and
tempo of strategic activity, rather than responding to the actions of others
from a static, home-based posture of contingent response. A position of advantage
aims to offer a breadth of political choice, credible military options that can be
threatened or used to break the will of our adversaries, to deliver the military
instrument of statecraft, and underpin our national and alliance cohesion. But
maximising advantage will only be realised through being more integrated:
within the military instrument, vertically through the levels of war - Strategic,
Operational and Tactical, across government and with our allies, and in depth within
our societies. Cohesion, trust, shared values, social habits and behaviour all form vital
lines of defence against our adversaries’ sub-threshold attacks on our societies and
decision-making. On the new sub-threshold battlefield, assuring societal resilience
constitutes deterrence by denial.
Integrated Nationally
Engaged Internationally
Government
Allies Defence 9
We need to create multiple dilemmas our capacity to operate below the
that unhinge an adversary’s threshold of war. This will necessitate
understanding, decision-making and Defence actively exporting the UK ‘brand’
execution. This requires a different way to project global influence and promote
of thinking that shifts our behaviour, (and protect) prosperity. It also requires
processes and structures to become us to become ‘allied by design’ to
more dynamic and pre-emptive, improve interoperability and burden
information-led and selectively share more effectively, thus amplifying
ambiguous. In essence, a mindset and our weight and mass, particularly
posture of continuous campaigning in through NATO.
which all activity, including training and
exercising, will have an operational end. ➢ More assertive to profile our
This suggests our posture will be: Defence and national resilience globally;
to demonstrate our political will and
➢ Integrated across all five lethal and non-lethal capability to
Operational Domains - Space, Cyber, confront threats early and present our
Maritime, Air and Land. This ‘multi- adversaries with multiple dilemmas to
Domain integration’ will change the way enhance our deterrence posture. It will
we operate and war fight, and the way require greater investment in R&D and
we develop capability. We are moving exploitation of the UK’s science and
beyond ‘Joint’. Integration is now needed technology base with the deliberate
at the Tactical level of war – not just at energy previously reserved for ‘wartime’.
the Operational level where the term Key to all this is a renewed focus on the
‘Joint’ applies. Effective integration of resilience, readiness, reach and
maritime, land, air, space and cyber responsiveness that enables us to
achieves a multi-Domain effect that adds withstand shocks and assures our
up to far more than simply the sum of capacity to operate and war fight.
the parts – recognising that the overall
effect is only as powerful as the strength ➢ Continuously seeking
of the weakest Domain. information advantage because it is
central to how we operate and war fight.
➢ Integrated nationally as part of At the heart of this is the idea of
cross-Government and broader national Integrated Action, a doctrine that
integration. When this is requires commanders to think beyond
comprehensively fused, it force- the enemy and consider the additional
multiplies all of the instruments of effects that need to be applied to the
national power. We need a mindset that many other actors (particularly local
magnifies the employment of the military populations) who are relevant to the
instrument as part of a ‘total’ national achievement of the objective, before
enterprise involving industry, academia orchestrating the appropriate mix of
and civil society. physical, virtual and cognitive actions.
Importantly information advantage
➢ Engaged internationally to enables improved understanding,
enhance our understanding and help assessment, decision-making and
pre-empt strategic threats, to detect and execution.
attribute hostile state actors and to seize
strategic opportunities. This will enhance
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The Conceptual
Component
We recognise that the nature of the strategic context requires a strategic response
that integrates all of the instruments of statecraft - ideology, diplomacy, finance, and
trade policy and military power. And our ability to deter war remains central to our
military purpose. In an era of persistent competition our deterrent posture needs to
be more dynamically managed and modulated. Hence the Integrated Operating
Concept introduces a fifth ‘c’ – that of competition - to the traditional deterrence
model of comprehension, credibility, capability and communication. This recognises
the need to compete below the threshold of war in order to deter war, and to prevent
one’s adversaries from achieving their objectives in fait accompli strategies.
Protect
Engage
Constrain
War Fight
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Competing involves a campaign posture and assuring regional access. Building
that includes continuous operating on partner capacity through train, advise
our terms and in places of our and assist operations strengthens
choosing. It will also require actions to coalitions, enhances regional security and
be communicated in ways that may provides an alternative to the offers of
test the traditional limits of statecraft. our adversaries, by securing influence
The willingness to commit decisively and denying it to them. Engage also
hard capability with the credibility to involves developing appropriate channels
war fight is an essential part of the of communication with adversaries to
ability to operate and therefore of avoid miscalculation and to underscore
deterrence. They are not mutually credibility.
exclusive. Operating includes the
complementary functions of protect, ➢ Constrain offers the most
engage and constrain: proactive and assertive element of the
model. It will involve the use of force,
➢ Protect is the enduring for example by escalating beyond
foundation to operate, and it is training, advising and assisting to
fundamental to deterrence and denial. accompanying partners to enable them
It involves understanding the to act offensively; restricting an
vulnerabilities to the effective functioning adversary’s choice of action by deploying
of the UK and the Overseas Territories armed forces to demonstrate reach and
that modern threats will seek to exploit. responsiveness; shaping an adversary’s
It includes hardening Defence’s critical behaviour through covert and overt
infrastructure and contributing to the activity; contesting the cyber Domain to
resilience of critical national protect our networks; challenging
infrastructure; sustaining the Continuous assertions of sovereignty through
at Sea Deterrent; countering air, maritime deployments and freedom of navigation
and cyber incursions; and reinforcing and operations that aim to constrain fait
enabling civil authorities in countering accompli strategies; and prevent an
terrorism and in civil emergencies. adversary from achieving escalation
dominance. The potential level of
➢ Engage involves a posture that is intensity and violence encountered mean
forward deployed to assure influence, that constrain operations may well
to deter and to reassure. It also involve combat operations and require
describes Defence’s vital and enduring nuanced judgements about risk.
role in establishing and maintaining
human networks that are the foundation
on which posture is established. These
networks are demonstrations of
international and alliance resolve. They
are based on a military footprint around
the world including a mix of permanently
forward-based forces and stockpiles,
training and exercises, and command and
control nodes. Through persistent
engagement this global network
contributes to understanding and insight
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These functions of protect, engage and War fighting is an escalation from
constrain are not discrete, static or operating and is a tool of last resort.
linearly related, but are complementary However, for the reasons already
and symbiotic. They require a mindset described, war fighting in the Information
that thinks in several dimensions so that Age will look very different to warfare
escalation and de-escalation is today, and it requires a compelling
dynamically managed up and down ‘Theory of Winning’, and it is
multiple ‘ladders’. One might actively underpinned by the ability to generate a
constrain in the cyber Domain to protect physical component that can credibly
physical infrastructure in the space deliver it. Above all we must never lose
Domain. These effects must be sight of always being prepared to fight
dynamically modulated to identify and the war we might have to fight. History
apply offset strategies that present may not repeat itself, but it does have a
adversaries with multiple dilemmas and rhythm. And invariably the enemy
alter their decision making, recognising ensures that we don’t get a choice.
that the overall aim is deterrence and de-
escalation. The effective employment of
the operate model will be one of the
principal ways through which the military
instrument can more effectively
contribute in the context of persistent
competition.
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“Integrating across the Domains achieves a
STRATEGIC COMMS
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The Physical
Component
It is clearly not possible to immediately abandon the current force structure and
create a bespoke one from scratch. Important operations continue, legacy
programmes and platforms retain utility. There needs to be a North Star to help us
develop the modernised force needed beyond 2030. As we develop what will be the
Integrated Operating Concept 2030 for this force, trend analysis suggests that it will
involve an intense competition between hiding and finding, thus it will:
15
We might think of these as ‘sunrise’ capabilities, with the corollary being ‘sunset’
capabilities that could be used for a while in the emerging operating environment
but will increasingly become too vulnerable or redundant in the Information Age.
This modernisation will require us to embrace combinations of information-centric
technologies to achieve the disruptive effect we need. Predicting these combinations
will be challenging. We will have to take risk, accept some failure and place emphasis
on experimentation by allocating resources, force structure, training and exercise
activity to stimulate innovation in all lines of development, with a responsive
commercial function at the leading edge. This will enable adaptive exploitation as
opportunities become clear.
16
The Integrated
Operating Concept
Integrated Operating Concept calls into question the traditional approach that
structured to war fight and adapted for all other missions. We now need to
structure forces to operate that can be adapted at graduated readiness to war
fight while retaining some forces, including the Reserve, that are optimised to
war fight. Distinguishing in this way between operating and war fighting
represents a fundamental shift in military philosophy. It requires us to think very
differently about the employment of the military instrument as part of modern
deterrence; and it establishes the doctrine needed to compete decisively with
our adversaries who do not distinguish between peace and war.