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CONSUMPTION
BEHAVIOR AND TRENDS:
Understanding the shift required towards healthy,
sustainable and enjoyable diets
Food Reform for Sustainability and Health (FReSH) thanks the following companies for their contributions to this
insight report on consumption behavior and trends.
FReSH would also like to thank the following organizations for sharing their case studies in this report:
2. Introduction
The changing food landscape demands urgent adaptation 12
FReSH as a driving force behind transformation 13
6. Acknowledgements 46
Peter Bakker,
President and CEO,
World Business Council for Sustainable Development
1
Business and Sustainable Development Commission, 2017. Better Business Better World. Available at: https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/
index.php?page=view&type=400&nr=2399&menu=1515
66%
Population and economic growth neighborhoods and communities.
brings an increased use of these While the world is wealthier than it
natural resources, creating has ever been, with people in the
greater pressure on food systems middle-income bracket making of the world’s
and the land, water, and energy between US$ 10 and US$ 20 per
required to grow food. Since the day doubling in the last 15 years4,
population
world’s population is projected to income inequality remains one expected to live
reach 9.2 billion people by 20503, of the biggest social challenges
sustainable solutions need to we face, with 56% of the world’s in cities by 2030
be found. In addition, 66% of the population in the low-income
world’s population is expected to bracket5. In addition, the cost of
live in cities by 2030. The increase living is increasing faster than
of diverse cultural backgrounds income for many people, impacting
and skill sets in big cities is creating their consumption power and the
an emerging middle class that foods they are able to buy.
demands a greater choice of foods This is especially critical since food
and flavors. prices are expected to double
Consumer choice
over the next two decades6, mostly greatly influenced
by social
Convenience will also be a major affecting the emerging middle
driver of food consumption in classes living in cities who are
cities, since time is a scarce
resource. As people become more
dependent on cash from jobs in
a vulnerable job market threatened
media
urbanized, their food selection is by increased robotization.
increasingly determined by what is
quick, available, and ready-to-go.
All in all, the changing food
Therefore, hyper-convenient digital landscape is presenting
shopping will play a big role, since it is serious challenges that
making food accessible everywhere need to be addressed by
at any time. all players involved.
2
Food and Agriculture Organization of United Nations, 2017. The Future of Food and Agriculture
3
https://www.un.org/development/desa/en/news/population/world-population-prospects-2017.html
4
http://www.pewglobal.org/2015/07/08/a-global-middle-class-is-more-promise-than-reality/
5
http://www.pewglobal.org/interactives/global-population-by-income/
6
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2011/may/31/oxfam-food-prices-double-2030
Convenience
healthy, enjoyable diets for all-diets
Digital shopping that are produced responsibly
as major driver making food within planetary boundaries.
56%
behavior and trends since its
Food prices launch in mid-2016. With currently
expected around 40 member companies,
of the world’s
to double
FReSH is trying to catalyze change
across food systems, now focusing
population in
over the next on a number of transformational
low-income goals, specifically dietary shifts,
two decades food loss and waste, the true cost
bracket of food, and addressing hunger
in supply chains, along with
measuring and reporting.
13
FReSH insight report 13
3. Understanding consumers
and future trends
We have evaluated the main The heat map in Figure 2 provides The original research conducted
influencers of food selection, a consolidated overview of the by the consumption workstream
assessed the main barriers, and relevance of global behaviors analyzed eight regions of the world.
identified the major trends shaping based on the “food consumption” This report provides a high-level
future food consumption. workstream’s research findings. summary of this work by focusing
It also includes consumption on the aggregated global findings;
The objective of this work has been
behavior barriers and enablers, the detailed findings would go
to highlight the food consumption
as well as future trends across beyond the scope of this report
trends and behaviors that need to
eight different regions, and shows but are available to FReSH member
be accelerated, and conversely
the relative importance of a topic companies upon request.
those that need to be decelerated
across regions, from insignificant
and eventually reversed, in order
to highly relevant.
to identify concrete steps to
improve the food system and to
subsequently support a healthy and
sustainable diets within planetary
boundaries.
behaviors stand out globally today: Convenience and on-the- go Speed and ease as a key purchase factor
Food as a treat Food as a reward or stress relief towards instant satisfaction
Food as self-expression Food as a reward or stress relief towards instant satisfaction
• Convenience and on-the-go: Food as an experience Desire to discover new products or features and add
them to one’s diet
Search for healthier eating Demand for natural, organic, simple, and less processed foods;
The time investment required to strongly driven by Millennials
access a meal can be as influential 2. FOOD PREFERENCES
in the food selection process AND SELECTION
as nutrition or ingredient claims. Simple, real, natural Search for minimally processed and more natural or organic foods
Low in sugar, fat, lactose, etc. Low in sugar, fat, caffeine, and components leading to intolerances
Less formal meals, up to six, are Ethical Ethical attributes in foods such as fair trade, organic, portion
replacing the traditional three meals control, and fortification certifications
Adoption of a flexitarian diet, one that is plant-based with the
Flexitarian
a day. Complete meals are being occasional inclusion of meat
substituted with quick mini-meals and Smaller portions Consumption of smaller portions of food in general and of
indulgence treats in particular
snackification, both at home and on Processed foods Desire for convenient processed foods as a result of an urban
the go, to adapt to people’s lifestyles, lifestyle
High animal protein consumption, mainly meat
especially in cities. In the UK, The Animal protein
3. BARRIERS
Telegraph called millennials the Availability Sufficiency of the national food supply, the risk of supply
“takeaway generation,” with research disruption, national capacity to disseminate food, and research
efforts to expand agricultural output
showing that they are ordering up Affordability Ability of consumers to purchase food, their vulnerability to price
to 10 pizzas a month. This growing shocks, and the presence of programs and policies to support
customers when shocks occur
trend is linked to the ease of ordering Food safety Variety and nutritional quality of average diets, as well as the
meals with an increase in the number safety of food
of services such UberEats, Deliveroo, 4. INFLUENCERS
and Amazon. In Southeast Asia, there Social media Celebrity endorsements, Instagram, Facebook, online advertising,
and company websites’ influence on eating behaviors
was a 133%7 increase in the number Friends, family, etc. Recommendation from a friend or family member
of food and drink launches with on- Traditional media
Educational system
TV, radio, and newspaper advertising
School influence through food education and eating habits
the-go claims in 2016 compared to Regulatory Government initiatives to influence food selection towards better
2012. In Australia, Mintel shows a 55% choices
7
https://foodindustry.asia/a-look-at-food-and-drink-trends-in-southeast-asia
Foodie-ism
Food as a treat
Ethical
Flexitarian
Small Portions
Desire driven
Empty Calories
Processed Foods
Animal Protein
Barriers
Availability
Affordability
Food Safety
Influencers
Educational System
Social Media
Traditional Media
Regulatory
Trends Trends
Tradition
Adventure
Hyper Convenience
Plant Based
257%
Survey, 40% of Millennials have have increased
25%
posted photos of their food on
social media channels. This trend by
raises awareness and appetite
for adventure and gourmet eating
and influences the food culture
among young people.
8
https://www.r-trends.ru/netcat_files/526/459/global_food_and_drink_trends_2017_mentel.pdf
9
https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/food-access-research-atlas/documentation/
10
http://www.who.int/bulletin/volumes/91/1/12-106955/en/
11
Nielsen, 2013, “Why retailers are keeping it fresh”
12
http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/releases/2015/foodborne-disease-estimates/en/
The most important influencing • From childhood into influencers. Bloggers and other
factors are described in more adulthood, social context cultural food influencers are
detail below: strongly influences eating important stakeholders to engage
behavior. We eat differently in in reshaping the food narrative
• Parents play a critical role in
a social setting than when we and what constitutes a healthy
shaping their children’s food
are alone. Moreover, our dietary and sustainable diet relevant to
choices based on their own
choices tend to converge towards the local culture. This holds true
beliefs on what foods support a
those of close social connections. especially within the group of
healthy child.
Millennials, 40% of whom have
• Social media posted photos of their food on
• The school system and media recommendations received social media, according to a 2016
also influence a child’s eating from food influencers and BBC Good Food Nation Survey.
culture. Ingrained food beliefs close networks of friends and
or paradigms are shaped by the colleagues through the internet
child’s social context and have a or in apps can have a greater These influencers, as well as
direct impact on his or her food ability to reshape food narratives, people’s eating behaviors,
choices in the short and long e.g., gluten-free or GMOs, than preferences, and barriers
term. For example, today’s eating science-based narratives. The have created a food culture
culture makes it acceptable and success of the social media
even preferable for many families food influencers builds on the
and set of trends that will
to switch from daily home-cooked trust that people place on the continue to drive the food
meals to packaged foods and social media channel and the system in the future.
food services. voices of other citizens and social
13
https://foodindustry.asia/a-look-at-food-and-drink-trends-in-southeast-asia
13
https://foodindustry.asia/a-look-at-food-and-drink-trends-in-southeast-asia
North America
• Convenience & on-the-go
• Foodie-ism
• Search for healthier eating
• Adventure
Latin America
• Search for healthier eating
• Food as a treat
• Adventure
Emerging Asia
• Food as a treat
• Tradition
• Adventure
• Hyper convenience
• Plant-based
• Accessible nutrition
Developed Asia-Pacific
• Convenience & on the go
• Search for healthier eating
Middle East • Tradition
• Foodie-ism • Plant-based
• Food as a treat • Accessible nutrition
• Hyper convenience
Africa
• Convenience & on-the-go
• Tradition
• Accessible nutrition
Company
Examples Danone Reduction of World > Progressive
sugar content reduction of sugar
MorningStar > Nature healthy
Kellogg Farms intentions into
Company America
Vegucation delicious food
KEY Rooted in Food Adventure Hyper-convenience Proactive Plant Based Food Waste Accessible
TRENDS culture and Shared with health Foods elimination nutrition
tradition Technology
KEY IMPACT
AREA Health Environment Social
# OF PEOPLE
IMPACTED < 1000 1000 - 1 M >1M
15
Danone has an operational definition for “healthy categories” that regroups products for the general population that are intended and suitable
for daily consumption in line with the food-based dietary guidelines (water, yogurts, milks and other daily dairy products, milks, and sugar-free
beverages) - products for early life nutrition (children below 3 years) and advanced medical nutrition products ; these products have a nutritional
composition that is tailored to the needs of their specific targets; and they comply to very demanding regulations
16
Economic Research Service from the United States Department of Agriculture https://www.ers.usda.gov/amber-waves/2017/ januaryfebruary/
us-per-capita-availability-of-red-meat-poultry-and-fish-lowest-since-1983/
17
http://www.fao.org/news/story/en/item/197623/icode/
18
https://www.morningstarfarms.com/just_what_the_world_ordered/what-we-do.html#calculator
19
Nielsen P52W Rolling 10/08/16; Veggie Demand Landscape
20
Nielsen SCAN Data US xAOC Calendar Year 2017
time enjoy the taste and physical The advertising campaign was
characteristics of the products measured and obtained a level
they are used to buy. While the fat of awareness of 50% among the
reduction varies from one product Spanish population during its first
category to another, the sodium three years since its launch; around
reduction was around 25% in all 11% of households have bought at
of them. least one product from the Cuida-t+
at one point in time.
Less sodium and fat In order to grow awareness on
consumer minds of this new line, With the success of this product line
in packaged meat Campofrio launched a three phase in Spain, Cuida-t+ was eventually
campaign, which began with a placed in other Sigma business
strong media mix of TV, print, units in Europe, such as NOBRE
Sigma, a global food company outdoor, and digital ads, aiming in Portugal and Fiorucci in Italy.
dedicated to bringing local favorite to inform consumers about the Moreover, in 2017 Sigma Mexico
foods to communities everywhere. innovative product line availability adapted the concept and introduced
Within 18 countries, Sigma offers in stores. Later on, the campaign Cuida-t+ under its flagship brand
quality branded foods at a range focused on being part of important FUD.
of price points and across diverse sports events such as cycling races,
categories. Campofrío, Sigma’s Overall, today Cuida-t+line has been
etc., through sponsorships, looking
Spanish subsidiary introduced successfully launched in more than
to address the target market. On
in 2013, as part of its health and ten countries, and is one of the
the last phase, collaborations were
wellness strategy, a variety of strong pillar product lines in Sigma’s
made with different organizations
packaged meat products with low fat health and wellness innovation
whose work is to promote healthy
and low sodium content, under the platform. This is only one example of
lifestyles, associations such as
new sub-brand Cuida-t +. how global companies can provide
the Spanish Heart Disease and the
The mentioned brand portfolio was healthier and more sustainable
Spanish Foundation of Nutritionists.
designed for consumers looking for solutions to the needs of their
healthier options, who at the same consumers.
Reuse: Communicate:
Assigning a different use to the Generate awareness for food
products by donating products that waste by participating in TV shows,
no longer have any commercial value publishing reports and news
but are still fit for consumption to articles, and distributing about half
around 1,000 social institutions and a million “good practices” guides at
Transformar.te - make them available in social areas
of the stores or warehouses, to be
Continente stores.
21
Estimated average value of products at consumer prices that have been given to employees
22
KNBS and ICF Macro, 2015
22
Business and Sustainable Development Commission, 2017. Better Business Better World. Available at: https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/
index.php?page=view&type=400&nr=2399&menu=1515