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Unit 3 - Task 5 - Quiz

Started on Tuesday, May 4, 2021, 9:57 AM

State Finished
Completed on Tuesday, May 4, 2021, 10:26 AM
Time taken 29 mins 36 secs
Grade 30.0 out of 70.0 (43%)
Feedback There are still several concepts to recognize from the course

There are still several concepts to

recognize from the course


Question 1 This type of question consists of a statement, and four options. Only one of these
Correct options to correctly answer the question. The student must select the response and
mark it according to the think is correct.
10.0 points out of
10.0 Statement:
An insurance company charges its customers according to their accident history. If you
have not had accidents the last two years are charged US $ 780 (State 1); If you have
had an accident in each of the last two years you will be charged $ 880 (State 2). If you
had accidents the first of the last two years US $ 900 (State 3). The probabilities of the
state according to historical data of three years are:

STATE E1 E2 E3

E1 0,4 0,45 0,15

E2 0,25 0,35 0,4

E3 0,05 0,05 0,9

The probability that State 3 is present is:

Select one:
a. The probability that State 3 is present is 74% The correct answer is: The
probability that State 3 is present is 74%

b. The probability that State 3 is present is 75%

c. The probability that State 3 is present is 73%

d. The probability that State 3 is present is 72%


Your answer is correct.

The correct answer is: The probability that State 3 is present is 74%


Question 2 This type of question consists of a statement, problem or context from which four
Correct options are numbered from 1 to 4, you must select the combination of two options that
adequately answers the question and mark it on the answer sheet, according with the
10.0 points out of
following information:
10.0

1 and 2 are correct.

1 and 3 are correct.
2 and 4 are correct.
3 and 4 are correct.

Statement:

The Markov decision process consists of the application of dynamic programming to a

stochastic decision process, where the transition probabilities between states are
described by a Markov chain, transition matrices and rewards are aimed at determining
the optimal policy that maximizes income according to stages such as:

1. Finites.
2. Infinite.
3. Transient.
4. Stationary.

Select one:
a. 1 and 3 are correct

b. 1 and 2 are correct The correct answer is: 1 and 2 are correct
c. 3 and 4 are correct 
d. 2 and 4 are correct


Your answer is correct.

The correct answer is: 1 and 2 are correct
Question 3 This type of question consists of a statement, and four options. Only one of
Correct these options to correctly answer the question. The student must select the
response and mark it according to the think is correct.
10.0 points out of
10.0 Statement:
From a sample of 10,000 people, you get the data that 5,000 of them do
not smoke, 2,500 if they do one or less of a daily package and 2,500 smoke
more than one daily package. In one month there is a 5% chance that a non-
smoker will start with a daily pack, or less, and 2% of a non-smoker will
smoke more than one pack daily. For those who smoke a packet, or less,
there is a 10% chance that they will quit, and 10% that they will smoke more
than one pack daily. Among those who smoke more than one packet, there
is a 5% chance they will quit and 10% will smoke a pack, or less. How many
individuals will have to smoke one or less of a daily package ?, according to
the initial state data presented below:

Select one:
a. 2550 smokers of one or less of a pack a day.

b. 2600 smokers of one or less of a pack a day.

c. 2650 smokers of one or less of a pack a day.

d. 2500 smokers of one or less of a pack a day. The correct answer

is: 2500 smokers of one or less of a pack a day. 


Your answer is correct.

The correct answer is: 2500 smokers of one or less of a pack a day.
Question 4 This type of question consists of a statement, and four options. Only one of these
Incorrect options to correctly answer the question. The student must select the response and
mark it according to the think is correct.
0.0 points out of
10.0

Statement:
Consider the following matrix that represents a problem of investment decision:

States of Nature
Courses of No Low Medium High
action Change Growth Growth Growth
Investment
-1 12 17 22
Funds
Stock
3 7 18 22
purchases
certificates of
-3 12 16 24
deposit

Where:
States of nature: United of the economy during a year.
Courses of action: types of investment according to rates of return.

The probabilities of the states of nature are presented in the following table:
States of Nature Probability

High Growth 0,28
Medium Growth 0,32 
Low Growth 0,23

No Change 0,17

Based on the above information, the most probable state of nature to the problem of
investment decision is:

Select one:
a. High growth to invest in any of the courses of action.

b. High Growth for investing in certificates of deposit.

c. High growth to invest in investment funds. The correct answer is: High
Growth for investing in certificates of deposit.
d. Growth means to invest in the purchase of shares.

Your answer is incorrect.

The correct answer is: Growth means to invest in the purchase of shares.
Question 5 This type of question consists of a statement, and four options. Only one of these
Incorrect options to correctly answer the question. The student must select the response and
mark it according to the think is correct.
0.0 points out of
10.0 Statement:
Three cable companies, Azteca, Claro and Movistar (states), have the odds that the
customer will stay in the real operator or make the change of company. The current
percentages that each operator has in the current market are 0.25 for Azteca, 0.35 for
Claro and 0.4 for Movistar (initial states). The probabilities of change and / or
permanence are:

State Azteca Claro Movistar

Azteca 0,6 0,25 0,15

Claro 0,25 0,45 0,3

Movistar 0,15 0,35 0,5

Find the probability that the user will stay with the Movistar company in the following
period.

Select one:
a. The probability that each user stays with Movistar company is 34.25%

b. The probability that each user stays with Movistar company is 22.15%
The correct answer is: The probability that each user stays with Movistar
company is 34.25%

c. The probability that each user stays with Movistar company is 65.25% 
d. The probability that each user stays with Movistar company is 17.6%



Your answer is incorrect.
The correct answer is: The probability that each user stays with Movistar company is
34.25%
Question 6 This type of question consists of a statement, and four options. Only one of these
Incorrect options to correctly answer the question. The student must select the response and
mark it according to the think is correct.
0.0 points out of
10.0 Statement:
Following are the patterns of consumption of four brands of the same product with the
following probabilities of transition and initial market share:
Consumers are loyal to a brand but also change from one brand to another due to
advertising, special promotions, offers prices and discounts.

Based on the Markov analysis, we find that the transition probability in period 1 for the
C mark is:

Select one:
a. 0.275100

b. 0.272100 The correct answer is: 0.291600

c. 0.291600
d. 0.213100

Your answer is incorrect.

The correct answer is: 0.291600

Question 7 This type of question consists of a statement, and four options. Only one of these 
Incorrect options to correctly answer the question. The student must select the response and
mark it according to the think is correct. 
0.0 points out of
10.0 Statement:
Perform an analysis of the decision first must be defined:

Select one:
a. The deterministic quantities only. The correct answer is: The problem
and the structure of decision.

b. The quantities deterministic or probabilistic.

c. Only the structure of decision.

d. The problem and the structure of decision.

Your answer is incorrect.

The correct answer is: The problem and the structure of decision.
◄ Unit 3 - Task 4 - Solving problems of optimization models with Markov chains - Evaluation rubric and activity
submission

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Task 6 - Solving problems of decision and optimization of risk, uncertainty and Markov chains - Evaluation
rubric and activity submission ►