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1893 Ginevicius Disertacija WEB
1893 Ginevicius Disertacija WEB
Adomas GINEVIČIUS
INCREASING ECONOMIC
EFFECTIVENESS
OF MARKETING
DOCTORAL DISSERTATION
SOCIAL SCIENCES,
ECONOMICS (04S)
Vilnius 2011
Doctoral dissertation was prepared at Vilnius Gediminas Technical University in
2007–2011.
Scientific Supervisor
Prof Dr Habil Aleksandras Vytautas RUTKAUSKAS
(Vilnius Gediminas Technical University,
Social Sciences, Economics – 04S).
ISBN 978-9955-28-891-6
Adomas GINEVIČIUS
RINKODAROS EKONOMINIO
EFEKTYVUMO DIDINIMAS
DAKTARO DISERTACIJA
SOCIALINIAI MOKSLAI,
EKONOMIKA (04S)
Vilnius 2011
Disertacija rengta 2007–2011 metais Vilniaus Gedimino technikos universitete.
Mokslinis vadovas
Prof. habil. dr. Aleksandras Vytautas RUTKAUSKAS
(Vilniaus Gedimino technikos universitetas, socialiniai mokslai,
ekonomika – 04S).
Abstract
The dissertation investigates the issues of increasing economic effective-
ness of marketing by using quantitative multicriteria methods of evaluation,
marketing portfolio management theory and integrated marketing risk and effi-
ciency management theory.
The main goal of the thesis is to provide a model (frame) of integrating the
main factors determining the capability of marketing, whose sustainable devel-
opment and management can considerably increase economic effectiveness of
marketing.
The present research was aimed at comprehensive analysis of the newest
literature for answering the question about the state of the problems making the
aim of the thesis, their solutions and the adequacy of the methods and ap-
proaches used for the solutions of these problems. When the level of the problem
solution is determined and the adequacy of the applied methods is checked, the
tasks of the present work may be formulated as follows: to suggest a priority
scheme of investigating the interaction between the marketing and other busi-
ness departments, realizing it till pragmatic (practical) statements are provided;
to adapt the methods of expert evaluation to the solution of marketing problems,
supplementing them with new and modified commonly used methods, to achie-
ve the aims stated in the thesis; to provide a novel formulation of the marketing
portfolio concept, which could embrace both the concept of marketing assets and
the requirement for defining the metrics of adequate measuring of marketing and
cost efficiency; to develop a scheme of marketing risk analysis and management,
allowing for objective determination of the need for financial expenses to de-
crease various types of risks and for solving the problem of optimal distribution
of the available financial resources among various risks so that avoided loss
would be the highest.
The dissertation consists of an introduction, four chapters, conclusions and
suggestions, and list of references.
The general attributes are presented in the introduction: the investigated
problem, importance of the thesis, the goal and tasks of the thesis, importance of
scientific novelty, practical significance of achieved results.
The first chapter analyzes content and functions of marketing, history, the-
ory and definitions of marketing, as well as the origin and evolution of the mar-
keting mix (4P), criticisms towards traditional marketing mix and suggested
alternatives, interaction between marketing and sales and other departments. The
first chapter ends with topics of marketing department’s influence on company’s
performance and optimal marketing structure’s influence on costs’ effectiveness
and competitiveness of an enterprise.
V
In the second chapter in order to solve the problems concerned with im-
provement of firm’s marketing activities, expert and multicriteria evaluation
methods are used. A hierarchical structure of the criteria describing enterprise
marketing system is shaped and presented. After performing expert evaluation
and quantitative multicriteria assessment, the results of expert valuations of the
effect obtained by unitary capital investment in the analyzed marketing complex
are presented.
In the third chapter author analyzes marketing as a medium, in which inte-
grated analysis of marketing assets can be accomplished by evaluating its’ inter-
action between each other as well as interaction with external environment. A
concept of marketing portfolio is chosen as a core of systematic marketing
analysis.
The fourth chapter analyzes integrated management of marketing risk and
efficiency. A portfolio of risks is taken as the main systematic tool of marketing
risk management.
Author has published 14 scientific articles on the topic of the dissertation: 1
in the reviewed scientific periodical publications included in Web of Science
data base; 4 in the reviewed scientific periodical publications; 2 in publications
of international conferences, included in ISI Proceedings data base; 7 in the re-
viewed scientific periodical publications of international conferences.
VI
Reziumė
Disertacijoje nagrinėjama rinkodaros efektyvumo didinimo problema, pasi-
telkiant daugiakriterinius kiekybinius vertinimo metodus, rinkodaros portfelio
valdymo teoriją bei integruoto rinkodaros rizikos ir efektyvumo valdymo teoriją.
Pagrindinis disertacinio darbo tikslas – parengti modelį (angl. frame), su-
jungsiantį pagrindinius rinkodaros galią nulemiančius veiksnius, kurių suderinta
plėtra ir valdymas ženkliai padidintų rinkodarinės veiklos efektyvumą.
Šiuo tyrimu buvo siekiama visapusiškai išnagrinėti naujausią mokslinę
literatūrą ir atsakyti į klausimą, kokioje pažinimo būsenoje yra darbo tikslą su-
darančių problemų sprendiniai ir kiek adekvatūs yra šias problemas sprendžian-
tys metodai bei priemonės. Atskleidus problemų išsprendimo lygį ir patikrinus
naudojamų metodų tinkamumą, tiriamojo darbo uždavinius galima įvardinti taip:
pasiūlyti sąveikos tarp rinkodaros ir kitų verslo departamentų prioritetinio paži-
nimo schemą, realizuojant ją iki pragmatinių nuostatų parengimo; adaptuoti
ekspertinio vertinimo metodiką rinkodaros problemoms spręsti, papildant ją nau-
jais metodais ar naudojamų metodų modifikacijomis tam, kad pasiekti suformu-
luotus darbo tikslus; inovatyviai suformuluoti rinkodaros portfelio sampratą,
kurioje įsitvirtintų tiek rinkodaros aktyvų suvokimas, tiek ir būtinumas suformu-
luoti adekvačias rinkodaros rezultatyvumo matavimo bei sąnaudų efektyvumo
nustatymo metrikas; suformuluoti rinkodaros rizikos analizės ir valdymo
schemą, leidžiančią objektyviai pamatuoti finansinių sąnaudų poreikį skirtingų
atmainų rizikoms mažinti ir kartu spręsti optimizacinį turimų finansinių išteklių
paskirstymo tarp atskirų rizikų uždavinį, siekiant, kad išvengtos netekties mastai
būtų didžiausi.
Darbą sudaro įvadas, keturi skyriai, išvados ir pasiūlymai, literatūros sąra-
šas.
Įvadas pateikia bendrus disertacijos bruožus – tai tiriamojo darbo aktualu-
mas, tyrimo tikslai ir uždaviniai, naudoti tyrimo metodai, mokslinis darbo nau-
jumas, praktinė vertė.
Pirmojoje daktaro disertacijos dalyje analizuojamas rinkodaros turinys ir
funkcijos. Atlikęs rinkodaros funkcijų apžvalgą, autorius analizuoja rinkodaros
komplekso atsiradimo ir raidos istoriją, paplitimą. Taip pat šioje dalyje apžvel-
giami literatūroje minimi 4P – arba „tradicinio“ – komplekso trūkumai, netin-
kamumas tam tikrose situacijose bei literatūroje siūlomos rinkodaros komplekso
alternatyvos. Toliau autorius nagrinėja rinkodaros ir kitų padalinių sąveiką, o
daugiausiai – rinkodaros ir pardavimų bei produktų vystymo departamentų. Pir-
moji darbo dalis baigiama rinkodaros įtakos bendrovės rezultatams bei efekty-
vios rinkodaros kaštų struktūros įtakos konkurencingumui temomis.
VII
Antrojoje dalyje problemoms, susijusioms su įmonės rinkodarinės veiklos
gerinimu, spręsti pritaikomi ekspertiniai ir daugiakriterinio vertinimo metodai.
Suformuojama įmonės rinkodarinės veiklos hierarchinė rodiklių sistema ir, atli-
kus ekspertines apklausas bei daugiakriterinį kiekybinį vertinimą, gaunamas
procentinis lėšų, skirtų įmonės rinkodarinei veiklai gerinti, paskirstymas tarp
keturių jos komponentų.
Trečiojoje dalyje autorius analizuoja rinkodarą kaip mediją, kurioje galima
vykdyti integruotą rinkodaros aktyvų (angl. assets) analizę, įvertinant jų tar-
pusavio sąveiką, o taip pat sąveiką su išorine aplinka. Rinkodaros sisteminės
analizės šerdimi pasirenkama rinkodaros portfelio koncepcija kaip portfelio
teorinių universalių teiginių ir praktinio kryptingumo visuma. Parodoma, kaip
galima, nuosekliai pasinaudojant Modernaus portfelio teorijos ir jos modifikaci-
jos – adekvataus portfelio – galimybėmis, sukurti įrankį rinkodarai aktualioms
problemoms ir situacijoms nagrinėti. Pasinaudojus adekvataus portfelio tech-
nikos teikiamomis galimybėmis, sprendinys nusakomas trimis parametrais:
galimybės pelningumo dydžiu, tolydžio garantija ir rizikos klase, kuriai pri-
klauso ši galimybė.
Ketvirtojoje dalyje kaip rinkodaros rizikos sprendinių loginė diagrama pa-
rinkta M. H. Green‘o 1969 metais Harvard Business Review atspausdinta sche-
ma. Tai didžiulę įtaką rinkodaros rizikos valdymo sprendimų tobulinimui turėjęs
darbas ir dabar vėl tapęs ypatingai populiarus bei atitinkantis šiandienos kelia-
mus reikalavimus rizikai valdyti. Atsižvelgiant į rinkodaros rizikų įvairovę ir
rizikos priežasčių bei jos pasekmių recipientų nesutapimą, disertacijoje pasi-
renkama sava rinkodaros rizikos valdymo centro schemą. Pagrindiniu rinkodaros
rizikų valdymo sisteminiu įrankiu imamas rizikų portfelis. Juo remiantis rizikai
valdyti numatyti ištekliai skirstomi siekiant išvengti tikėtinų netekčių dėl visų į
rizikų portfelį įtrauktų rizikų sumos maksimumo, kuomet netektis yra matuo-
jama atsižvelgiant į netekties dydį, garantiją ir riziką.
Disertacijos tema paskelbta 14 mokslinių publikacijų: 1 straipsnis periodi-
niuose recenzuojamuose moksliniuose leidiniuose, įtrauktuose į Web of Science
duomenų bazę; 4 straipsniai periodiniuose recenzuojamuose moksliniuose lei-
diniuose; 2 straipsniai tarptautinių konferencijų leidiniuose, įtrauktuose į ISI
Proceedings duomenų bazę; 7 Straipsniai tarptautinių konferencijų recenzuoja-
muose leidiniuose.
VIII
Contents
INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................................... 1
The Investigated Problem........................................................................................... 1
Importance of the Thesis ............................................................................................ 2
The Goal of the Thesis ............................................................................................... 4
The Tasks of the Thesis.............................................................................................. 4
Research Methodology............................................................................................... 5
Importance of Scientific Novelty ............................................................................... 5
Practical Significance of Achieved Results................................................................ 6
Approval of the Results.............................................................................................. 6
Structure of the Dissertation....................................................................................... 6
1. OPTIMIZATION OF MARKETING STRUCTURE – A MEASURE OF
INCREASING COMPETITIVENESS OF ENTERPRISES...................................... 7
1.1. Dialectics of marketing potential and business needs ........................................ 7
1.1.1. Content and functions of marketing ......................................................... 7
1.1.2. Interaction between marketing and sales and product development
departments...................................................................................................... 17
1.2. New enterpreneurship challenges for marketing. Optimal marketing
structure – postulate of marketing costs’ effectiveness and competitiveness .. 29
1.2.1. Marketing department’s influence on company’s performance ............ 29
1.2.2. Optimal marketing structure – postulate of marketing costs’
effectiveness and competitiveness ................................................................... 32
IX
2. QUANTITATIVE EVALUATION OF ENTERPRISE MARKETING.................. 45
2.1. The main tasks and objectives of enterprise marketing evaluation ................. 45
2.2. Methods and ways of quantitative evaluation of enterprise marketing
strategies based on 4P model ........................................................................... 47
2.3. Quantitative multicriteria evaluation of enterprise marketing ......................... 48
2.3.1. Developing a set of criteria describing enterprise marketing................ 48
2.3.2. Multicriteria evaluation of enterprise marketing activities .................... 52
2.4. Determining the influence of enterprise marketing efficiency on
the results of its commercial activities ............................................................. 74
3. MARKETING PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT AS CORE STRATEGY FOR
MARKETING RETURNS OPTIMIZATION ......................................................... 79
3.1. Marketing portfolio as a media for marketing assets interaction to
optimize marketing efficiency measured with adequate metric ....................... 80
3.2. Straight forward application of Modern Portfolio Theory ............................... 84
3.3. Adequate portfolio versus modern (Markowitz) investment portfolio............. 91
3.3.1. Adequate portfolio intended for the integration of profitability,
risk and reliability ............................................................................................ 91
3.3.2. The need to evaluate the reliability of possibilities................................ 93
3.3.3. The concept of iso-guarantee ................................................................. 93
3.3.4. Practical application of utility function to the set of possibilities
to find an optimal solution ............................................................................... 96
3.3.5. On the same problem with different view.............................................. 98
3.4. Optimization of the structure of marketing mix costs.................................... 100
3.4.1. The general concept of the problem..................................................... 100
3.4.2. Experimental exploitation of adequate portfolio.................................. 100
3.5. Marketing portfolio integrating different classes‘ marketing assets
return possibilities to maximize holder‘s utility............................................. 104
4. INTEGRATED MANAGEMENT OF MARKETING RISK AND
EFFICIENCY......................................................................................................... 107
4.1. Introduction.................................................................................................... 107
4.2. Marketing risk – where did it come from?..................................................... 108
4.3. A scheme of identification of marketing risk criteria, quantitative risk
evaluation and economic assessment ............................................................. 110
4.3.1. Marketing risks identification and management peculiarities............. 110
4.3.2. Marketing risks portfolio management ................................................ 113
4.4. Efficiency against or with risk ....................................................................... 118
Conclusions and Suggestions....................................................................................... 127
References.................................................................................................................... 131
The List of Scientific Author's Publications on the Subject of the Dissertation .......... 143
X
Turinys
ĮŽANGA .......................................................................................................................... 1
Tiriamoji problema..................................................................................................... 1
Darbo aktualumas....................................................................................................... 2
Darbo tikslas............................................................................................................... 4
Darbo uždaviniai ........................................................................................................ 4
Tyrimų metodika ........................................................................................................ 5
Darbo mokslinis naujumas ......................................................................................... 5
Darbo rezultatų praktinė reikšmė ............................................................................... 6
Darbo rezultatų aprobavimas...................................................................................... 6
Darbo struktūra........................................................................................................... 6
1. RINKODAROS STRUKTŪROS OPTIMIZAVIMAS – VERSLO
KONKURENCINGUMO DIDINIMO PRIEMONĖ ................................................. 7
1.1. Rinkodaros potencialo ir verslo poreikių dialektika .......................................... 7
1.1.1. Rinkodaros turinys ir funkcijos................................................................ 7
1.1.2. Rinkodaros ir pardavimų bei gamybos departamentų sąveika ............... 17
1.2. Nauji verslininkystės iššūkiai rinkodarai. Optimali rinkodaros struktūra –
rinkodaros sąnaudų efektyvumo ir konkurencingumo postulatas .................... 28
1.2.1. Rinkodaros departamento įtaka bendrovės rezultatams ......................... 28
1.2.2. Optimali rinkodaros struktūra – rinkodaros sąnaudų efektyvumo ir
konkurencingumo postulatas ........................................................................... 31
XI
2.3.1. Įmonės rinkodarinės veiklos rodiklių sistemos formavimas .................. 48
2.3.2. Įmonių rinkodarinės veiklos daugiakriterinis vertinimas ....................... 52
2.4. Įmonės rinkodarinės veiklos poveikio masto komerciniams rezultatams
nustatymas ....................................................................................................... 74
3. RINKODAROS PORTFELIO VALDYMAS KAIP PAGRINDINĖ
RINKODAROS PELNINGUMO OPTIMIZAVIMO STRATEGIJA .................... 79
3.1. Rinkodaros portfelis kaip rinkodaros aktyvų sąveikos priemonė, siekiant
optimizuoti rinkodaros efektyvumą, matuojant adekvačia metrika ................. 80
3.2. Paprastas moderniojo portfelio teorijos pritaikymas........................................ 84
3.3. Adekvatusis portfelis prieš modernųjį (Markowitzo) investavimo portfelį ..... 91
3.3.1. Adekvatusis portfelis, skirtas pelningumui, rizikai ir patikimumui
integruoti.......................................................................................................... 91
3.3.2. Poreikis įvertinti galimybių patikimumą................................................ 93
3.3.3. Izogarantės koncepcija........................................................................... 93
3.3.4. Praktinis naudingumo funkcijos pritaikymas galimybių rinkiniui,
siekiant optimalaus sprendimo........................................................................ 96
3.3.5. Apie tą pačią problemą kitu požiūriu ..................................................... 98
3.4. Rinkodaros komplekso sąnaudų struktūros optimizavimas ........................... 100
3.4.1. Bendras problemos suvokimas............................................................. 100
3.4.2. Eksperimentinis adekvačiojo portfelio panaudojimas.......................... 100
3.5. Rinkodaros portfelio, apjungiančio skirtingų klasių rinkodaros aktyvus,
grąžos galimybės maksimizuojant savininko naudą ...................................... 104
4. INTEGRUOTAS RINKODAROS RIZIKOS IR EFEKTYVUMO VALDYMAS 107
4.1. Įžanga............................................................................................................. 107
4.2. Rinkodaros rizika – iš kur ji atsirado? ........................................................... 108
4.3. Rinkodaros rizikos kriterijų, kiekybinio ir ekonominio rizikos
įvertinimo schema ......................................................................................... 110
4.3.1. Rinkodaros rizikos identifikavimo ir valdymo ypatumai..................... 110
4.3.2. Rinkodaros rizikos portfelio valdymas ................................................ 113
4.4. Efektyvumas – prieš ar kartu su rizika? ......................................................... 118
Išvados ir pasiūlymai ................................................................................................... 127
Literatūros sąrašas........................................................................................................ 131
Mokslinių publikacijų disertacijos tema sąrašas .......................................................... 143
XII
Introduction
1
2 INTRODUCTION
of the struggle can be seen in various surveys. According to the 2005 Marketing
ROI and Measurement Benchmark (Lenskold, 2005), only one in five marketers
uses marketing ROI, net present value, or another profitability measure for at
least some of their marketing work. More than half admit that their ability to
measure financial returns is “a long way from where it could be”. The situation
hasn’t changed much during the last half of a decade.
The need of measuring ROI of marketing is constantly growing. Especially
nowadays, as entrepreneurs become more comfortable with including social
networks and blogs as part of their integrated marketing communications, they
have naturally turned their attention to questions regarding the return on invest-
ment of social media. Internet marketing and online retailing conferences now
devote attention to ROI issues, and managers are asking themselves every day,
“What’s the ROI of [substitute social media application here]?” Blog posts,
white papers and case studies prepared by social media gurus, consultants and
industry analysts abound, yet the answer remains largely unsatisfying. That is
not good, especially when the CEO and CFO are demanding evidence of poten-
tial ROI before allocating dollars to marketing efforts (Hoffman and Fodor,
2010).
There is no shortage of opinions about how to determine marketing ROI.
First, there is the question of which ROI numbers to use. For example, one poll
found that marketers have almost 30 ways to define leads. There are few com-
pany-wide standards, let alone industry standards. It is not likely that any metrics
that marketing may possess will be in line with the CEO’s agenda. At the same
time, the proliferation of customer ‘‘touch points’’ increases the number of data
elements that must be monitored. In turn, the more data that is collected, the
greater are management’s expectations of being able to derive value from it.
There is also a tendency to track data only by individual product lines or across a
function, but not across several functions in the company.
There is also the perennial mismatch between long-term marketing goals
and shareholders’ short-term payback targets. It is very typical for the marketing
programs whose returns are more easily quantified to enter into a vicious cycle
of ever-increasing funding, regardless of their business impact. Recently,
though, some companies have found ways to isolate and quantify the factors that
influence customer behavior. They are deploying new marketing science tech-
niques to yield fact-based analyses that make it easier for managers to decide
where to invest.
These techniques fit into a hierarchical framework where the top levels fo-
cus on how well marketing investments stack up against other business invest-
ments. The next level down allows marketers to gauge one marketing investment
against another within well-defined categories. For example, they might com-
pare the ROI of direct mail versus telemarketing, or a corporate brand-building
4 INTRODUCTION
Research Methodology
The methods of mathematical statistics, multicriteria and expert evaluation, sta-
tistical modeling and other are used in the dissertation.
The principles suggested in the thesis, which underlie the realization of the
above-mentioned system, may be considered the examples of the scientific no-
velty of the work. They allow the author:
− to adapt and suggest innovative methods of generating expert data while
determining the priorities of marketing activities and storing the required
data for making and implementing marketing decisions, strategy;
− to apply the concept and technique of a novel and adequate portfolio to
the analysis and management of complicated marketing situations;
− to develop and implement the methods and techniques required for ma-
naging marketing risks portfolio.
Looking broadly at the marketing literature and practice, it appears that dur-
ing the last several decades there has been a movement toward thinking of mar-
keting less as a function and more as a set of value and processes that all
functions participate in implementing. In this view, marketing becomes every-
body’s job, which potentially diffuses the marketing function’s role but in-
creases marketing’s influence (Greyser, 1997). The empirical literature on
market orientation is the most profound indication of this change in perspective.
This change is also reflected in mutating of definitions of marketing from time
to time. So, what is marketing, its content and functions?
There are thousands of definitions of marketing. The most accepted is the
one that adopted by the American Marketing Association (n.d.): “Marketing is
the activity, set of institutions, and processes for creating, communicating, deliv-
ering, and exchanging offerings that have value for customers, clients, partners,
and society at large” (Approved October 2007). In accordance with its bylaws,
American Marketing Association has established a policy for a periodic review
of the definition of marketing and update the Associations view of its field. Pre-
vious definition (est. in 2004): “Marketing is an organizational function and a set
of processes for creating, communicating, and delivering value to customers and
for managing customer relationships in ways that benefit the organization and its
stakeholders”.
The new definition takes into account input from a broad cross-section of
the Association membership. As we can see, marketing now is described as an
'activity' and no longer regarded as a 'function'. The definition positions market-
ing as a broader activity in a company/organization, and not just a department.
The new definition also positions marketing as providing long term value rather
than narrowly as an exchange of money (short-term) for the benefit of the share-
holder/organization.
The Chartered Institute of Marketing (n.d.) defines marketing as "the man-
agement process responsible for identifying, anticipating and satisfying cus-
tomer requirements profitably". A different concept is the value-based marketing
which states the role of marketing to contribute to increasing shareholder value.
In this context, marketing is defined as "the management process that seeks to
maximize returns to shareholders by developing relationships with valued cus-
tomers and creating a competitive advantage" (Paliwoda, Ryans, 2008).
Philip Kotler gives another definition of marketing: “Marketing is a social
and managerial process by which individuals and groups obtain what they need
and want through creating and exchanging products and value with others”
(P.Kotler et al., 2008). A previous definition the Kotler gave (1980): “Marketing
is the human activity directed at satisfying human needs and wants through an
exchange process”.
1. OPTIMIZATION OF MARKETING STRUCTURE ... 9
Long ago Peter Drucker, the father of business consulting and marketing
guru, made a very profound observation that reveals importance and meaning of
marketing: “Because the purpose of business is to create a customer, the busi-
ness enterprise has two – and only two – basic functions: marketing and innova-
tion. Marketing and innovation produce results; all the rest are costs. Marketing
is the distinguishing, unique function of the business” (J.Trout, 2006). He also
noted: “The aim of marketing is to know and understand the customer so well
the product or service fits him and sells itself”; “The aim of marketing is to
make selling unnecessary”.
There are hundreds of other definitions of marketing and all of them are
true in a certain way. Here are just some of them:
− “Marketing is the process of planning and executing the conception,
pricing, promotion, and distribution of ideas, goods, and services to cre-
ate exchanges that satisfy individual and organizational goals” (previous
definition adopted by the American Marketing Association, n.d.).
− “The right product, in the right place, at the right time, and at the right
price”. “Marketing is the study of exchange processes especially those
associated with the provision of goods and services” (D.Adcock, 2001).
− “Marketing is essentially about marshalling the resources of an organi-
zation so that they meet the changing needs of the customer on whom
the organization depends” (Palmer, 2000).
− “Marketing is the process whereby society, to supply its consumption
needs, evolves distributive systems composed of participants, who, in-
teracting under constraints – technical (economic) and ethical (social) –
create the transactions or flows which resolve market separations and re-
sult in exchange and consumption” (R. Bartels, 1968).
− “Marketing is not only much broader than selling, it is not a specialized
activity at all It encompasses the entire business. It is the whole business
seen from the point of view of the final result, that is, from the cus-
tomer’s point of view. Concern and responsibility for marketing must
therefore permeate all areas of the enterprise” (Drucker, 1954).
− “The achievement of corporate goals through meeting and exceeding
customer needs better than the competition” (D. Jobber, 2010).
− “The process of developing, promoting and distributing products in or-
der to satisfy customer needs/wants” (R. Johnston, 2011).
− financing – banks and other financial institutions provide money for the
production and marketing of products;
− risk taking – insurance companies provide coverage to protect producers
and marketers from loss due to fire, theft, or natural disasters;
− storage – products must be stored and protect ed until they are needed.
This function is especially important for perishable products such as
fruits and vegetables;
− processing – processing involves turning a raw product, like wheat, into
something the consumer can use –for example, bread
− research (marketing information management) – information from
around the world about market conditions, weather, price movements,
and political changes, can affect the marketing process. Market informa-
tion is provided by all forms of telecommunication, such as television,
the internet, and phone.
mulation of an earlier idea by his associate, James Culliton, who in 1948 de-
scribed the role of the marketing manager as a "mixer of ingredients", who
sometimes follows recipes prepared by others, sometimes prepares his own rec-
ipe as he goes along, sometimes adapts a recipe from immediately available in-
gredients, and at other times invents new ingredients no one else has tried
(Wikipedia, n.d.). Jerome McCarthy (1964) reduced Borden’s factors to a simple
four-element framework: Product, Price, Promotion and Place. Practitioners and
academics alike promptly embraced the marketing mix paradigm that soon be-
came the prevalent and indispensable element of marketing theory and opera-
tional marketing management (Möller, 2006).
The marketing mix was designed as a simple way to focus on the main ele-
ments of marketing and to create a marketing strategy either at business, product
or campaign level. One wants to sell the right product (that customers want) at
the right price (which customers can afford and are willing to pay) at a conven-
ient place using effective promotions. Each element of the marketing mix should
be consistent, fit together and reinforce the other elements.
Möller (2006) notes, that the wide appreciation of the marketing mix among
field marketers is the result of their profound exposure to this concept during the
years of studies, since most introductory marketing manuals define it as “the
heart of their structure” (Cowell, 1984) and identify the 4Ps as the controllable
parameters likely to influence the consumer’s buying process and decisions
(Kotler, 2003; Brassington and Pettitt, 2003). He also points, that another sig-
nificant asset of the mix is the fact that it is a concept easy to memorise and ap-
ply. David Jobber (2001) noted: “The strength of the 4Ps approach is that it
represents a memorable and practical framework for marketing decision-making
and has proved useful for case study analysis in business schools for many
years”. Enjoying large-scale appreciation, it is not surprising that the 4Ps be-
came even synonymous to the very term Marketing, as this was formulated by
the American Marketing Association (Bennet, 1995).
Grönroos (1994) notes, that the main reasons the marketing mix is a power-
ful concept are: it makes marketing seem easy to handle, allows the separation of
marketing from other activities of the firm and the delegation of marketing tasks
to specialists; and – the components of the marketing mix can change a firm’s
competitive position.
The marketing mix management paradigm has dominated marketing
thought, practice and research (Grönroos, 1994) and has been a mainstay of
teaching marketing to students and professionals for almost fifty years. Al-
though, like any well established idea, it is also criticized, academics have at
times expressed doubts and objections to the value and the future of the market-
ing mix, proposing alternatives that range from minor modifications to total re-
jection (Möller, 2006). Analysis of the academic literature and marketing
1. OPTIMIZATION OF MARKETING STRUCTURE ... 13
textbooks on the shortcomings of marketing shows that the mix is often consid-
ered by many researchers and writers as inadequate to address specific market-
ing situations like the marketing of services, the management of relationships or
the marketing of industrial products (Möller, 2006). A number of critics even go
as far as rejecting the 4Ps altogether, proposing their own alternative frame-
works.
Development of marketing mix has received considerable academic and in-
dustry attention. Numerous modifications to the 4Ps framework have been pro-
posed, the most concerted criticism has come from the services marketing area
(Rafiq and Ahmed, 1995). A study by Rafiq and Ahmed (1995) suggested that
there is a high degree of dissatisfaction with the 4Ps framework. These results
provide fairly strong support to Booms and Bitner’s (1981) suggestion that 7P
framework should be used instead of McCarthy’s 4Ps framework as the generic
marketing mix. They added three more Ps to the marketing mix: People, Process
and Physical Evidence. This marketing mix is known as Extended Marketing
Mix or Service Marketing Mix:
− People: all people involved with consumption of a service are important.
For example workers, management, consumers etc
− Process: procedure, mechanism and flow of activities by which services
are used.
− Physical evidence: The environment in which the service or product is
delivered, tangible are the one which helps to communicate and intangi-
ble is the knowledge of the people around us.
ponents. Building on the interactive nature of the model, Grönroos (1984) pro-
poses the concept of interactive marketing, where interface between the em-
ployee and the customer is a key factor in successful market making. This
approach goes in line with Kotler’s (1991) suggestions, who argues that the em-
ployee-customer relationship is an important factor in the success of the mar-
ketmaking process. In authors opinion, it can enable the marketing planner to
develop a sharper understanding of how and why buyers buy, and ultimately to a
more individually tailored strategic customer focus.
Anthony R. Bennett (1997) notes, that all the models, suggested by various
authors, for the most part begin from a premise “that buyers can be regarded as a
collective – a group of people (or organizations) who demonstrate common buy-
ing behavior. Organizations target customers. Resources and capabilities are
organized in a way that satisfies the needs of the customer”. He also debates,
whether the potential customer views the situation in the same way prior to mak-
ing a reasoned and rational choice about the benefits of a particular product or
service. Bennett analyses targeting and marketing process from the buyer’s per-
spective and suggests five dimensions (criteria) that buyer disposition has: value,
viability, volume, variety and virtue, – or the 5Vs. He also creates a two-
dimensional matrix, which indicates an integrated approach to marketing and a
direct relationship between the disposition of a buyer towards a product or ser-
vice, the five Vs, and the marketing mix, the four Ps.
Möller (2006) reviewed consumer marketing theory, relationship market-
ing, services marketing, retail marketing and industrial marketing literature and
highlighted quite a few criticisms against the Marketing Mix framework:
− Internal Orientation – a frequent criticism of the 4Ps model is the lack
of customer orientation.
− Product Orientation rather than customer orientation and focus – the ex-
plicit focus of the mix on internal processes undermines the elements of
customer feedback and interaction as a basis for building up relation-
ships and retention e.g. in the context of relationship building the 4Ps
model fails to address individual customer needs.
− The ‘Offensive’ Orientation – the 4Ps framework is perceived as having
a product push nature rather than ‘collaborative’ character.
− One-way Orientation – given the mass marketing character of the 4Ps,
no interactivity and personalised communication is supported.
− Absence of the Human Element – a key factor distinguishing the services
marketing of physical products is the human element – the human factor
underlines the personal nature of services marketing; service providers
play a double role in the marketing process as service delivery factors;
personnel are a powerful element in customer persuasion and a major
1. OPTIMIZATION OF MARKETING STRUCTURE ... 15
− The mix does not mention relationship building which has become a ma-
jor marketing focus, or the experiences that consumers buy.
− The conceptualisation of the mix has implied marketers are the central
element. This is not the case. Marketing is meant to be ‘customer-
focused management”.
He also notes, that despite the number of criticisms on 4Ps, it, however, has been
extremely influential in informing the development of both marketing theory and
practice, and today the marketing mix most commonly remains based on the 4
P’s. Möller (2006) notes, that “a clear and undisputed answer to the question
whether the mix will survive as the marketing tool of the 21st century requires
further research and debate”.
Author of this paper believes that 4Ps still covers the biggest part of new
entrepreneurial challenges. However, this does not mean the criticisms of the
traditional marketing mix should be ignored. Contrary, shortcomings of 4Ps,
proposals of new Ps and Cs should be taken into account when forming com-
pany’s marketing strategy and, if necessary, used as suppletory elements of the
marketing mix. Author of this paper has also performed an analysis and discov-
ered that most of Eastern and Central European companies (even the most suc-
cessful ones) are still using the traditional marketing mix of 4Ps. That is why the
marketing mix consisting of product, price, place and promotion will be ana-
lyzed further in the paper. Nevertheless, research results and findings can also be
applied to a marketing mix consisting of different elements or number of ele-
ments.
This is crucial, since the delivered functions throughout the organization can
predetermine company’s successes in terms of performance and satisfaction of
customers.
Poor quality of the internal business processes of a company can lead to
various difficulties, such as: unmet customer requirements, additional costs re-
lated to change, rework, delays, longer lead times and long time-to-market. This
is the reason companies need to optimize their processes performed locally by
organizational functions and at the same time ensure good cross-functional con-
nections between the different departments (Bergman & Klefsjö, 2007). There-
fore, companies recognize the need to invest into IS/IT that will maintain and
develop the integration by not only supporting existing communication channels,
but also create new connections between employees, especially in the most re-
mote and dispersed departments of an organization. Thus, enabling sharing of
information in a timely manner and uniform format in order to assist decision
making by all employees connected through the computerized IS.
Investments in IS/IT infrastructure, however, very often are unable to de-
liver expected value to the business by failing to reach intended level of interac-
tion with users or not meeting stakeholders' expectations (Yeo, 2002). There are
many theories concerning the reasons of such frequent failures of Information
Systems. Firstly, there is a disproportion between investments made into infra-
structure designated to run the business and investments designated to facilitate
creation of the environment in which a change is possible. The figures by
KPMG estimate imbalance equal to 70–90 percent in favor of investments to run
the business (Information Age, 2008). Another reason is inability of manage-
ment to identify and evaluate the business requirements that the system must
meet and then fit in the currently owned IT infrastructure and application portfo-
lio. The main factor of success is alignment of the investment along three di-
mensions: business strategy, organizational strategy and information strategy
(Pearlson & Saunders, 2010). As a result, this requires a careful process of plan-
ning, evaluation, and assessment of the present situation, and later, based on it,
develop business requirements for the IS/IT.
A Product development department is an organizational function where
new products or product improvements are designed. It is done based on the
information delivered by other functions, such as: Marketing and Sales, Produc-
tion, Technology development and other. Together all of these functions deter-
mine the success of a product development process in terms of performance
dimensions – product cost and quality; development time, cost; capability (Ul-
rich & Eppinger, 2008). Therefore, the integration between these functions ap-
pears to be one of the most fundamental factors for success of New Product
Development (NPD) process (Kahn, 1996; Maltz et al., 2001). In addition,
Bergman and Klefsjö (2007) emphasize the importance of quality of communi-
1. OPTIMIZATION OF MARKETING STRUCTURE ... 19
reduced. Hart et al. (1999) is in line with this statement and support that a major-
ity of uncertainties is related to customers’ needs and expectations.
Managing development of new products requires the company to investi-
gate several strategic questions (Tang, 2010), most of which cover the elements
of marketing mix:
1. When should the new products be launched?
2. What is the expected performance of the product within dynamic mar-
ket?
3. How should the introduction of new products to the market be managed?
4. What is the appropriate price for the new product?
5. What are the channels for selling the new product?
simplify and reduce the confusion concerning the names of phases, their organi-
zation and content, Gupta’s et al. (1985) explanation of the product development
process will be used since it is on a more general level, and thus is perceived as a
mix of categorizations developed by Bergman and Klefsjö (2007) and Ulrich
and Eppinger (2008).
During the planning phase the marketing function is used for setting the
goals of product development project, while the product development function
has a valuable contribution to defining future marketing goals. The product de-
velopment input comprises information which articulate newly developed tech-
nologies or new applications of existing technologies (Gupta et al., 1985). Gupta
et al. (1985), Ulrich and Eppinger (2008), Bergman and Klefsjö (2007) stress on
early involvement of the M&S department into the new product development
process. The authors emphasize the fact that product opportunities need to be
identified not only by the product development department, but also by the mar-
keting and sales department. Marketing function plays an important role in de-
fining new product opportunities by investigating customers’ complains,
customers’ suggestions, lead users’ desires, as well as study of competitors in
certain markets (Table 1.1). The above mentioned academics realize the need for
development of a database by the marketing function that incorporates all prom-
ising ideas. Gupta et al. (1986) argue that the right product launch and resource
allocation is a result of combined efforts of both marketing and product devel-
opment functions which are characterized with opposite perspectives for the
product development time.
During the idea generation phase a high extent of marketing and product
development functions’ integration contributes to identification the most impor-
tant needs and also the needs that are not apparent to the customer (Gupta et al.,
1986; Ulrich & Eppinger, 2008).
During the idea screening phase inputs of marketing and product develop-
ment functions are required since the product under development is primarily
evaluated on the basis of two factors: the technical and market feasibility.
Evaluation of the market feasibility requires information about the market size
and growth, product risk analysis and product fit with existing regulations
(Gupta et al., 1986; Ulrich & Eppinger, 2008) (Table 1.1). During this phase the
most promising ideas are assessed. Further, the marketing function is responsible
for identifying the benefits for the customers regarding the new product idea
(Ulrich & Eppinger, 2008).
The physical product development phase requires information by the mar-
keting function which is mainly concerned with the price range, marketing per-
ception of the product quality, beneficial product features for the customer,
usage and disposal of the product by the customer, product safety. Therefore, the
need of benchmarking company’s competitors by the marketing and sales
22
Table 1.1. Responsibilities of the Marketing function within PD (Based on: Ulrich & Eppinger, 2008)
1. OPTIMIZATION OF MARKETING STRUCTURE ...
1. OPTIMIZATION OF MARKETING STRUCTURE ... 23
department is clear. Generally, it can be observed that the Marketing and sales
department’s responsibilities include defining the most desired and valuable
product attributes for the customer, while the responsibilities of the Product de-
velopment department comprise making decisions concerning the best technical
solutions to meet specified customer requirements (Gupta et al., 1986). During
this phase the marketing function is involved in development of the product con-
cept. This phase implies identification and afterwards communication of cus-
tomer needs to the other functions involved in the process of product
development. In addition, the marketing function is primary concerned with set-
ting the target product specifications (Table 1.1). Moreover, the marketing func-
tion helps in identifying the most promising concepts and identifying
weaknesses in various newly developed concepts (Ulrich & Eppinger, 2008).
The marketing function is also involved in making decisions concerning the
product functions. Bergman and Klefsjö (2007) add that after the decision re-
garding the product concept is made, the marketing function starts with prepara-
tion of the marketing campaign for the new product.
During the tests and product commercialization phase the product develop-
ment function supplies the marketing function with information concerning prod-
uct specifications, product attributes, product usage and disposal. Accordingly, the
marketing function uses this information to promote the unique features of the
new product (Gupta et al., 1986). Maltz et al. (2001) states, that high level of inte-
gration between Marketing and sales and Product development departments can
be achieved when representatives from both functions visit customers to obtain
insights about customers’ reactions to the newly developed product.
During the test and product commercialization phase Gupta et al. (1985)
recommend involvement of the product development function in the marketing
campaign. This involvement is beneficial if it is greatly involved in preparation
of marketing materials, technical manuals, and to a less involved in consultation,
advertising and sales promotions. The Marketing and sales department, in turn,
renders the information about how customers evaluate the product. Post com-
mercialization phase requires analysis of the product development results. The
analysis is addresses the following issues (Gupta et al., 1985):
− the level of satisfaction by achieved market share and profit targets;
− the extent to which the product is used in a way that it was intended;
− how customer suggestions can be incorporated into new products;
− how competitors react to the new product;
− the extent to which customers’ complains are communicated to the
Product development department;
− the extent to which the customer has been delivered with the right in-
formation about the product features.
24 1. OPTIMIZATION OF MARKETING STRUCTURE ...
Checklist outlining areas for the product development and marketing inte-
gration in the New product defelopment process is presented in the Table 1.2.
This table was developed on the basis of the available literature in the field of
Product development management.
Table 1.2. Areas of the marketing and product development function integration during
the Product development process (Source: Gupta et al., 1985, p. 293)
The factor of product newness determines the utility of the marketing in-
formation in reduction of uncertainties within the New product development
process. It is important to include the experience obtained from the previous
projects in the “knowledge memory” of an organization. The organizational
knowledge is developed over time and it concerns the rules of acquisition, dis-
semination and interpretation of the market information that are created by the
company. It is a recognized connection between the newness of a product and
the possibility to use organizational experience (successive generations of prod-
ucts) (Hart et al., 1999; Turban et al., 2008).
Cross-functional communication
The cross-functional communication can be discussed as an important and
indispensible mechanism for realization of the above mentioned factors and thus
realize the two basic elements of the integration: interaction and collaboration.
The cross-functional communication favours mechanisms of integration, such
as: establishing meetings on a regular basis and developing of information net-
works for routing the standardized documentation. The primary objective is
creation of an environment which fosters information transactions between de-
partments and overcomes barriers related to physical distance (Kahn, 1996).
Further, communication as a substantial element of the integration between the
studied departments helps to achieve market orientation in each function con-
cerned with the new product development process (Gupta et al., 1985; Hart et
al., 1999; Parry & Song, 1993). That is why this mechanism is a fundamential
determinant that can assure that employees of product development have pro-
found understanding and expertise in technical issues and can “excel in translat-
ing market needs into valuable products and gearing for anticipated needs”
(Gupta et al., 1985). Keeping this in mind, it can be concluded that communica-
tion is a prerequisite for achievement of coordination and cooperation (Maltz et
al., 2001; Porras & Robertson, 1992).
In addition, communication can be characterized with three dimensions:
communication frequency, bidirectional communication and quality of commu-
nication.
For successful New product development process not only internal commu-
nication is an important factor, but also how the studied functions manage the
communication with external customers. One of the most critical factors is col-
laboration between the product development function and the marketing func-
tion. Employees from the Product development department together with
marketing and sales employees visit potential customers and try to understand to
what extent customers are satisfied with existing products; how a product can be
modified to better meet customer requirements; are there any additional needs
that customers want to be addressed (Horovitz & Jurgens-Panak, 1994).
ous relations and not just transactions between departments. Thus the internal
environment is cooperation, not competition. Collaboration requires change in
the organizational climate and culture (Gupta et al., 1985).
Gupta et al. (1985) emphasizes the importance of collaboration–based inte-
gration. Top management should promote and encourage programs that help to
achieve understanding, informal relations, ascribe to the same vision and share
ideas/resources. These activities are strategic in nature, and thus any developed
program should include both: modifications of a company’s strategic planning
process and the company’s strategic planning implementation process. It is im-
portant to understand the collaboration issue when crossfunctional teams are
established. However, the existence of a network does not mean all the product
development problems are solved. One possible reason is that cross-functional
teams are temporary. That is why there is a need for initiatives that encourage
not only team collaboration, but also cross-functional collaboration (Hart et al.,
1999). Maltz et al. (2001) argue that some elements of interaction such as meet-
ings and reports have positive effects, but the managers do not have to increase
the number of meeting and the flow of reports for the sake of improving per-
formance. It is suggested that the managers can use interaction to establish con-
tact and familiarity between the departments and then use collaboration to drive
the interaction process.
To conclude it can be said that creating conditions which enable informa-
tion exchange between the studied departments do not guarantee usage of the
marketing information for the decision making purposes within the actual prod-
uct development process. The reasons are associated with the inter-functional
rivalry which hinders the work within the studied interface. This is because of
the fact that the level of rivalry has inverse correlation to the level of trust and
the quality of perceived information. From these considerations it is easy to ob-
serve the dependency between the level of rivalry and the number of innovations
introduced into a company.
In addition, by creating work environment where the information exchange
and use is enhanced, the quality of the internal customer service will increase.
Moreover, as a result of increased quality of internal service the quality of per-
formed work will be better. This is due to the fact that employees’ needs for
information will be recognized and satisfied, as well as the working condition
will be better. Thus, the employees will make the right decisions in a timely
manner. The authors state that by increasing the quality of performed work the
internal customer satisfaction will be greater.
1. OPTIMIZATION OF MARKETING STRUCTURE ... 29
tion but taking it into consideration that the most nowadays entrepreneurship and
marketing projects become adequate entrepreneurship and marketing managing
models for long term existential. That is almost the only one possibility to inves-
tigate the interaction of the entrepreneurship projecting and marketing normally.
Whatever the chosen entrepreneurship development strategies and that
caused marketing strategies are, the means of operational marketing mix remain
one of the most important instruments which helps to influence the formation of
the strategies and, on the other hand, to estimate the costs needed to the realiza-
tion of those means. Furthermore, some objects of the influence and research of
these means (product, price) are just entrepreneurship development or economi-
cal relations objects and this may be informative during the benefit-cost analysis.
In the future text we will offer the idea of the algorithm of the rational mar-
keting mix means structure requested by adequate inventive portfolio conception
and the idea of the decision (Rutkauskas, Stankeviciene 2003) and together in
response to the benefit (effect) and costs of the marketing (see Table 1.4).
The combination of the marketing mix must be determined by the custom-
ers and the end users and, of course, by the distribution channels. Product, price,
promotion, place (4P) as the components of the marketing mix have to be inves-
tigated as the related marketing means which have to be optimally matched in
order to achieve marketing purposes. For the determination of the structure of
the marketing mix it is very important to understand the connection existing in
each market between the participants of the market (customers, competitors,
sellers). When we project the structure of the costs of the marketing mix it is
very important to estimate the competitive environment and other possible re-
flected actions of the customers and competitors. The optimal combination of
the expenses or the structure of the costs of the marketing mix will be deter-
mined by the characteristics of the market or the selected marketing strategy.
Probably, the structure of the marketing mix in the price leader strategy will
differ from the structure of the complex in the differentiation strategy, which has
to be selected totally different for the same market, price, product quality, super-
vision service, time for the realization of the order.
In this paper we will try to characterize the separate elements of the mix ac-
cording to their possibilities to increase the volume of the market (in this case –
to increase the total received profit) if the certain sum of money is given to that
element. Of course, this is a stochastic measure, i.e. indicators that define the
possibilities and probabilities of the effect (see Table 1.4). Also, in the table
there are defined detailed elements of the marketing mix. Here we need to give
the attention to the fact that the distribution of the effectiveness of marketing
means possibilities and probabilities defined by the experts has the same direc-
tion growth of the effectiveness and risk.
1. OPTIMIZATION OF MARKETING STRUCTURE ... 35
e α1 ⋅ g α 2
U (e, g, r) = α o (1.3)
r α3
or
lnU(e, g, r) = lnαo + α1lne + α1lng – α3lnr (1.4)
where αo, α1, α2, α3 – parameters of utility function.
the use of marginal resources: a is the average of the total profit marginal growth
possibilities which is the most probable value in this case and σ is the standard
deflection of total profit marginal growth possibilities which is the whole possi-
bilities risk (inconstancy) measure.
Table 1.4. The means of aggregated and disaggregated marketing mix 4 P and their
financial effects
In this situation the natural task is to choose such structure of marginal fi-
nancial means distribution between separate marketing means, which guarantee
the most useful result of total profit growth according to the possibilities of the
effect and their guarantees and subject’s (investor) beneficial function. The most
suitable mean for the decision of such task is imitation technologies (Rut-
kauskas, 2006; Rutkauskas, 2003; Stankevičiene, 2007, Ginevičius et al., 2007;
Zavadskas, 2008), which allow solve that difficult stochastic programming task
in needed precision.
1. OPTIMIZATION OF MARKETING STRUCTURE ... 37
Fig. 1.2. Scheme of Marketing Mix Optimization Parameters’ Expert Valuation and
Tasks’ Analytical Solution
Together with four marketing mix elements (product, price, promotion, and
place), there are analyzed the elements which detail them and show total profit
marginal growth possibilities probability distribution. The parameters of aggre-
gated marketing elements effectiveness possibilities probability distribution ex-
pressed by the total profit growth are the average meanings of part
(disaggregated) elements possibilities probability distribution, and it is the in-
38 1. OPTIMIZATION OF MARKETING STRUCTURE ...
Fig 1.3. Is analyzed the effective surface of main marketing means (4P) marginal effect
possibilities (a); the projection of effective surface in possibilities-risk set (b);
the effective “5 quantiles” zone set (c)
40 1. OPTIMIZATION OF MARKETING STRUCTURE ...
Fig. 1.4. The views of marketing mix 12 disaggregated means effective surface (a),
efficiency zones (b) and the "5 quantiles" set views (c)
1. OPTIMIZATION OF MARKETING STRUCTURE ... 41
Fig. 1.5. The projection of the 12 disaggregated marketing mix means “5 quantile” in
profit-risk set: a) when the distribution of marginal costs is not limited,
b) when the distribution is limited
In picture 1.6a section there is given the effective surface of marketing mix
marginal costs profit possibilities. The essence of the surface efficiency is such
that in that part of the sphere the projections of izoguarantee are effective lines
and for the effective surface points are characteristic the optimal Paret condi-
tions (Fabozzi and Markowitz 2002). In picture 1.6b section there is given the
effective surface of marginal profit of concrete marketing mix means 4P. Here
are given 4 points – A1, A2, A3, A4, which can be the optimal decisions accord-
ing certain criteria’s (target functions).
Each of them has these coordinates and generates such 4 structures (see Ta-
ble 1.5).
1. OPTIMIZATION OF MARKETING STRUCTURE ... 43
Fig. 1.6. The moment of decision making: a) the total view which illustrate the effective
surface and utility function touch point finding process, b) Optimal decisions meanings –
A1, A2, A3, A4 in marketing mix 4P elements effective surface
Structures (portfolios), which give those decisions, are: S1, S2, S3, S4.
The result S3 = S1, o S4 = S2 is natural because points A1, A3 A2, A4 are the
quantiles of the same survival functions shown in trust levels.
means with certain resources to the growth of total profit with wanted (chosen)
guarantee. That is the necessary presumption for projecting and realization of
sustained entrepreneurship development strategies.
Also, as emphasized in the article mentioned literature that there is the pos-
sibility (Show and Merriek, 2005) to reveal the quantitative dependences be-
tween marketing costs and it’s created effect. Here are needed modern
experimental systems, which could homogenize the profitableness, riskiness and
reliability in concrete situations.
To sum up, such conclusions regarding this research can be made:
1. Entrepreneurship marketing management involves almost all existing
marketing problems. The most important of them could be classified as
marketing mix decisions making under risk and uncertainty, when such
criteria as profitability possibilities of marketing instruments, guaranty
of possibilities and riskiness are taken into consideration.
2. The management of marketing mix means marginal costs stochastic
gives a presumption to project entrepreneurship development according
to the growth scale, its riskiness and reliability.
3. The idea of adequate investment portfolio is applied directly to the op-
timization of the marketing mix structure. The imitational technologies
give possibilities to solve the difficult stochastic programming tasks in
real time and wanted precision.
4. To concrete the entrepreneurship development and sustained market
processes interaction and quantitative dependency are needed up-to-date
expert systems, which allows make a like-minded the indexes of effi-
ciency, riskiness and reliability.
5. It is purposive to create the informative systems established by the con-
ceptual researches about the marketing costs and entrepreneurship re-
sults dependency addresses and forms which allows to find out the
accountability and calculation elements which together with generated
information about the apriori expected regularities allows to reveal the
totality of complicated connections between entrepreneurship develop-
ment and marketing means costs.
6. Entrepreneurship and marketing projects should be analyzed together,
reflecting all previous mentioned and other main entrepreneurship for-
mation and marketing possibilities interaction moments.
7. Entrepreneurship and marketing projects should be prepared so that they
become a mean of real management of projected entrepreneurship and it ac-
companied marketing system. It is necessary to realize the task “projects for
all entrepreneurship and marketing life period” as full as it is possible.
2
Quantitative Evaluation of Enterprise
Marketing
45
46 2. QUANTITATIVE EVALUATION OF ENTERPRISE MARKETING
tion with the existence of many different classifications makes sense? To answer
this question, the aim of systems’ classification should be determined first. Sys-
tems’ analysis is aimed at obtaining deep knowledge about them for the purpose
of creating the effective system management. Systems are large, complex struc-
tures. Researchers have not developed yet the methods of their comprehensive
analysis, therefore, some investigators select and try to classify systems accord-
ing to one particular aspect which is relevant to them, e.g. size, aim, relationship
with the environment, etc. In this case, classifications based on various qualities
allow us to select one of them, which is most suitable for the analysis of a par-
ticular problem.
From the perspective of the analysis presented in this work, the classifica-
tion of the systems into real (material) and theoretical (abstract) ones seems to be
most relevant. The systems of the first group include the inorganic (i.e. physical,
chemical, etc.) objects and organic or animated nature (e.g. biological, social,
economic, etc.) systems.
Theoretical (abstract) systems are hypotheses, theories, formalized models,
etc. (Lydeka 1998). In other words, they represent our knowledge about the state
of the real (material) systems. This division is relevant for evaluating the state of
these systems. It becomes clear when the interrelationships between the real
(material) and theoretical (abstract) systems are investigated. In fact, the systems
of the second group are deducted from the systems of the first group, i.e. the aim
of the theoretical (abstract) systems is to reflect the real (material) systems.
Therefore, the statement that theoretical (abstract) systems are formalized mod-
els makes sense. It should only be added that these are the formalized models of
the real (material) systems.
The abstract theoretical model reflecting the considered enterprise market-
ing as a real (material) system is the 4P model.
mean only the growth of its economic level. There may be a region with a highly
developed industry, though with high environmental pollution. In this case, it
can hardly be considered a highly developed region. Therefore, the cases, when
one criterion adequately reflects the aim of the system, make an exception
(Перегудов, Тарасенко, 1989). In real life, large systems are multifaceted, i.e.
have many various aspects and subaspects, which are oriented to the achieve-
ment of a general aim of the system. These aspects and subaspects are described
by various criteria. This is the basis of quantitative multicriteria evaluation of the
state of the considered systems. Multicriteria evaluation is considered to be a
universal method of quantitative evaluation of social-economic systems. How-
ever, many problems arise in its practical research implementation. First, the
number of criteria, describing the research object and its various aspects, or a
socio-economic system and its aspects, may be very large, and the problem of
the accuracy of evaluation arises. Second, the criteria describing various aspects
of the research objects (RO) may be of various dimensions, i.e. they can hardly
be compared. In this case, a problem of their integration into a single generaliz-
ing criterion arises. Third, the directions of their effect may be different, e.g.
when the increase of the value of one criterion means that the situation is getting
better, while the same growth of another criterion’s value shows a worsening
situation. However, the currently used multicriteria evaluation methods allow us
to eliminate all these difficulties, and, therefore, they are successfully used for
solving various problems (Figueira et al., 2005).
, (2.1)
ri
ωi =
m
∑ ri
i =1
where wi is the j-th criterion weight; r is the mean rank of the j-th criterion, as-
signed by all experts, m is the number of criteria.
As shown by formula (2.1), the highest rank is assigned to the most signifi-
cant criterion, while the lowest rank is given to the least significant one.
It can be stated that the considered approach is worthless because it does
not provide a possibility even to approach the desired accuracy of the criteria
weights. First, it is difficult to determine, for example, the appropriate ranks of
dozens of the considered criteria. Second, the weights of all less significant crite-
ria obtained from formula (2.1) are so small that they can hardly have any effect
on the result of multicriteria evaluation. However, when the number of the
evaluation criteria is so large, any expert evaluation method will yield similar
results because the determination of the criteria weights by expert obeys the fol-
right way to obtaining the objective results of its multicriteria evaluation, be-
cause it may decrease the evaluation accuracy.
The solution to the problem is to analyze more thoroughly the nature and
the interaction of the considered criteria. The smaller the number of the criteria
used to describe the research object, which, according to its nature, is a complex
system, the wider aspects they reflect. This means that each criterion left in the
set integrates the effect produced by other less significant criteria on the research
object. Thus, the reduction of the number of criteria poses another problem asso-
ciated with the determination of their weight – an expert should accurately de-
termine the weight of the criteria integrating the weight of a number of less
important criteria (subcriteria).
It is clear that, in this case, the evaluation accuracy will be lower and it may
be inadequate to the actual situation.
The qualities of any considered phenomenon, which are described by a
number of criteria, are associated with the RO as a whole. The analysis has
shown that, in this case, all the criteria are interrelated as the elements of a sys-
tem (Saaty, 1980; Ginevičius, 2006a,b). A currently widely used approach to
these criteria as unrelated issues emerged because the methods of simultaneous
evaluation of a number of criteria were not known.
The interrelationship between the criteria means their interaction. In some
cases, this means the coordination of the actions aimed at achieving a common
aim, while, in other cases, it implies subordination (Ginevičius, 2007). The sub-
ordination relationships suggested the ways for reducing the number of the con-
sidered criteria.
If there is a subordination relationship between two criteria of the set, they
differently affect the considered object. The criterion affecting by some other
criterion is more significant with respect to the research object. The subordinate
criterion affects the research object indirectly, i.e. through the criterion to which
it is subject to, and, therefore, its significance to the considered object is smaller.
When the criteria of a set are arranged according to the principle of subor-
dination, their hierarchical structure is obtained. The criterion position at a par-
ticular level of this structure depends on how many less significant criteria it
integrated (Ginevičius, 2007).
The above structure shows either all or only the most essential qualities of
the considered object, while a particular criterion of the set cannot do it, i.e. it
cannot describe a particular aspect or the whole research object. Therefore,
grouping of the criteria describing the research object into sets is a very impor-
tant operation in developing the structure of the criteria (Ginevičius, 2007).
When this is made according to the suggested methods, the hierarchical structure
of the criteria describing enterprise marketing, which is shown in Fig. 2.1, is
obtained.
2. QUANTITATIVE EVALUATION OF ENTERPRISE MARKETING 51
Fig 2.1. The hierarchical structure of the criteria describing enterprise marketing system
52 2. QUANTITATIVE EVALUATION OF ENTERPRISE MARKETING
2003, 2007; Ginevičius et al., 2005; Бешелев, Гурвич, 1974; Yevlanov, 1984;
Yevlanov, Kutuzov, 1978; Fan, Ma, Tian, 1997; Завадскас, 1991; Ustinovičius,
2001; Hwang, Yoon, 1981; Saaty, 1980; Brans, Vincke, Mareschal, 1986; Brans,
Mareschal, 2005; Opricovič, Tzeng, 2004; Roy, 1996; Zavadskas, Kaklauskas,
1996; Zavadskas et al., 2001; Kaklauskas, et al. 2006; 2007, 2008; Larichev,
Moshkovich, 1977; Liaudanskienė et al., 2009; Mickaitytė et al., 2008; Šlio-
gerienė et al., 2009). Quantitative methods can evaluate quantitatively every
alternative and determine the differences in the obtained values among the alter-
natives being evaluated. The meaning of multicriteria evaluation methods is de-
fined by the so-called method SAW (Simple Additive Weighting):
S j = ∑ ωi rij ,
m
(2.2)
i =1
(2.3)
rij
rij =
∑ rij
n
,
j =1
The method SAW also provides for the following type of maximizing crite-
ria normalization (Завадскас, 1991; Ustinovičius, 2001; Hwang, Yoon, 1981):
(2.4)
rij
rij = ,
max rij
j
S – min ∑ S – j
n
(2.5)
j =1
K j = S+ j +
S – j ∑ – min
n
S
,
j =1
S– j
∑ r+ij
m
S+ j = is the sum of the weighted values r+ ij of all maximizing criteria
i =1
∑ r−ij
m
(whose best value is the largest value) of j-th alternative; S− j = is the
i =1
same for all minimizing j-th alternative‘s criteria (whose best value is the small-
est value).
. (2.6)
rij wi
rij = n
∑ ijr
j =1
(2.9)
ωi rij
ωi rij =
∑ rij2
n
.
j =1
As shown by formulas (2.3, 2.4, 2.6, 2.8, 2.9), in all cases, the normalized
value of i-th criterion’s j-th alternative is obtained from i-th criterion values of
all other alternatives. Therefore, the above normalization logic is suitable when
multicriteria evaluation is aimed at ranking the alternatives of the research ob-
ject. However, it does not fit, when the aim of evaluation is to assess a particular
alternative, based on a number of criteria, because, in this case, each criterion
value should be converted into a dimensionless quantity.
Such a problem would be rather complicated and it has not been completely
solved yet, except for one solution suggested in (Ginevičius, 2008) because the
criteria are expressed in various dimensions. In our case, the values relating to
four marketing subsystems and their components are expressed in the same
unit – percent. Moreover, the research object is only one, therefore, we have
only one alternative.
∑ eik
r
ei = (i = 1,..., m) , (2.10)
k =1
∑ ei ∑∑ eik
m m r
e= i =1
= i =1 k =1
, (2.11)
m m
and the square sum S of the deviation of the values ei from the mean value e :
∑ ( ei − e )
m
. (2.12)
2
S=
i =1
Expert
assigned
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sum of
ranks
Place
Criterion
Range of goods
1 8 1 1 1 5 1 8 5 5 8 4 47 4
(products)
2 Product design 3 7 5 7 6 4 4 4 3 3 6 52 5
3 Innovations 5 4 2 3 3 3 3 2 1 2 1 29 2
4 Quality 1 2 3 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 3 21 1
Brand / trade-
5 2 3 4 4 1 5 1 3 4 4 2 33 3
mark
Packing (form,
6 4 8 6 8 8 7 7 7 7 5 7 74 7
size, etc.)
7 Extra services 6 5 7 6 7 6 5 6 6 6 5 65 6
8 Warranties 7 6 8 5 4 8 6 8 8 7 8 75 8
Based on the data presented in Table 2.1, the square sum S = 3008 of the
deviations from the mean value, as well as the concordance coefficient
W = 0.592 , and chi square value χ 2 = 45.58 were calculated by the formulas
(2.10–2.14), while the critical value χ kr
2
, taken from the distribution table with
the degree of freedom v = 8 − 1 = 7 and the significance level α = 0.05 , was
equal to 14.07. The obtained χ 2 value is considerably larger than the critical
value, therefore, the estimates of experts are considered to be consistent.
The subcriteria describing the second main component of the marketing
model price were ranked in a similar way, and the consistency of experts’ esti-
mates was determined. The results obtained in the evaluation of subcriteria de-
scribing price are presented in Table 2.2.
58 2. QUANTITATIVE EVALUATION OF ENTERPRISE MARKETING
Expert
assigned
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sum of
ranks
Place
Criterion
1 Initial price 1 2 1 1 3 3 1 2 1 1 2 18 1
Special offers /
2 6 1 2 2 1 4 2 1 3 2 1 24 2
discounts
3 Terms of payment 4 6 6 6 7 7 5 6 4 6 5 62 7
4 Responsibilities 7 4 5 3 2 6 3 5 2 3 4 44 3
Price differentia-
5 3 5 4 4 5 1 6 4 7 4 6 49 5
tion
6 Pricing strategies 6 3 3 5 6 2 4 3 6 5 3 46 4
Crediting, payment
7 2 6 7 7 4 5 7 7 5 7 7 64 6
conditions
Based on the data presented in Table 2.2, the square sum S = 1828.9 of the
deviations from the mean value, as well as the concordance coefficient
W = 0.540 , and chi square value χ 2 = 35.63 were calculated by the formulas
(2.10–2.14), while the critical value χ kr
2
, taken from the distribution table with
the degree of freedom v = 7 − 1 = 6 and the significance level α = 0.05 , was
equal to 12.59. The obtained χ 2 value is considerably larger than the critical
value, therefore, the estimates of experts are considered to be consistent.
The estimates of the experts referring to subcriteria describing the third
main component of the marketing system, promotion, are given in Table 2.3.
Based on the data presented in Table 2.3, the square sum S = 2486.9 of the
deviations from the mean value, as well as the concordance coefficient
W = 0.734 , and chi square value χ 2 = 48.45 were calculated by the formulas
(2.10–2.14), while the critical value χ kr
2
, as mentioned above, was equal to
12.59. The obtained χ 2 value is considerably larger than the critical value, there-
fore, the estimates of experts are considered to be consistent.
The results of the expert evaluation of subcriteria describing the fourth main
component of the marketing system, place, are given in Table 2.4.
2. QUANTITATIVE EVALUATION OF ENTERPRISE MARKETING 59
Expert
assigned
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sum of
ranks
Place
Criterion
1 Advertising 2 2 3 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 2 19 1
Increase of sales,
2 1 3 2 2 4 3 1 1 1 2 1 21 2
promotion
Planning and organi-
3 sation of business 3 1 1 4 6 1 3 3 4 5 3 34 3
communication
Personal communica-
4 6 4 5 3 2 5 5 4 6 4 4 48 4–5
tion (relationships)
Brand (trademark)
5 5 5 4 6 3 4 4 5 3 3 6 48 4–5
management
6 Corporate identity 4 7 6 7 5 7 7 6 7 6 7 69 7
Information and com-
7 munication with the 7 6 7 5 7 6 6 7 5 7 5 68 6
public
Expert
assigned
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sum of
ranks
Place
Criterion
1 Place of sales 2 3 1 3 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 19 1
2 Direct sales 1 2 4 1 1 2 2 1 3 1 2 20 2
3 Indirect sales 4 1 3 2 4 6 4 3 4 3 5 39 4
4 Sales online 5 6 5 4 5 3 5 5 5 5 4 52 5
Channels of sales /
5 3 5 2 5 3 4 3 4 2 4 3 38 3
distribution, mediators
Storing of products
6 6 4 6 6 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 63 6
and equipment
Based on the data presented in Table 2.4, the square sum S = 1505.5 of the
deviations from the mean value, as well as the concordance coefficient
W = 0.711 , and chi square value χ 2 = 39.10 were calculated by the formulas
(2.10–2.14), while the critical value χ kr
2
, taken from the distribution table with
60 2. QUANTITATIVE EVALUATION OF ENTERPRISE MARKETING
( )
eik = eik (min) + eik (max) / 2 of evaluation intervals ( eik (min) , eik (max) ) correspond to
expert evaluation in points. In this case, quantitative evaluation (weight) of i-th
m
criterion significance ωi is obtained by the formula ∑ ωi = 1 :
i=1
∑ eik
r
ωi = k =1 , (2.15)
∑∑ eik
m r
i =1 k =1
The
Expert Mean r
values of sum ∑ eik
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 k =1
evaluation
Criterion and
intervals
weights ωi
Product (P1) 40;60 50;70 100;100 20;80 50;70 40;100 50;100 50;80 50.0;82.5 530
1
Mean value e1k 50 60 100 50 60 70 75 65 66.3 0.282
Price (P2) 20;30 50;70 100;100 50;50 25;40 30;90 20;100 50;80 43.1;70.0 452.5
2 Mean value e 2 k 25 60 100 50 32.5 60 60 65 56.6 0.240
Promotion (P3) 10;20 40;50 100;100 50;50 30;50 30;80 30;100 40;60 41.3;63.8 420
3 Mean value e3k 15 45 100 50 40 55 65 50 52.5 0.223
Place (P4) 40;60 40;50 100;100 50;50 30;50 30;100 40;100 40;80 46.3;73.8 480
4 Mean value e 4 k 50 45 100 50 40 65 70 60 60 0.255
2. QUANTITATIVE EVALUATION OF ENTERPRISE MARKETING
61
62
Mean r
Expert
values of The sum k∑=1eik
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
i
evaluation and weights ω
Criterion intervals
Range of goods
10;20 30;50 20;30 20;80 15;30 30;100 20;50 30;90 21.9;56.3 312.5
1 (products)
15 40 25 50 22.5 65 35 60 39.1 0.110
Mean value
Product design 10;20 30;50 10;30 50;50 5;25 20;100 20;100 20;100 20.6;59.4 320
2
Mean value 15 40 20 50 15 60 60 60 40.0 0.113
Innovations 20;40 30;50 10;25 10;90 15;30 40;100 30;100 40;100 24.4;66.9 365
3
Mean value 30 40 17.5 50 22.5 70 65 70 45.6 0.128
100;
Quality 30;50 90;100 0;100 50;80 60;100 40;100 50;90 52.5;90.0 570
4 100
Mean value 40 95 50 65 80 70 70 71.3 0.200
100
Brand / trademark 10;30 50;70 30;70 50;50 5;25 60;80 40;100 60;80 40.6;71.3 405
5
Mean value 20 60 50 50 15 70 70 70 60.6 0.142
Packing (form,
5;10 30;50 20;40 50;50 0;15 20;50 10;30 20;50 19.4;36.9 225
6 size, etc.)
7.5 40 30 50 7.5 35 20 35 28.1 0.079
Mean value
Extra services 5;5 0;10 10;25 20;8 25;30 40;90 10;40 40;90 18.8;46.3 260
7
Mean value 5 5 17.5 50 27.5 65 25 65 32.5 0.091
Warranties 10;20 90;100 20;40 10;90 20;40 30;100 5;70 30;100 26.9;70.0 387.5
8
Mean value 15 95 30 50 30 65 37.5 65 48.4 0.136
2. QUANTITATIVE EVALUATION OF ENTERPRISE MARKETING
Table 2.7. The estimates of the significance of subcriteria describing price
Mean r
Expert The sum ∑ eik
values of k =1
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
evaluation and weights ωi
Criterion intervals
Initial price 40;80 50;70 30;70 20;80 30;50 60;80 60;90 35;50 40.6;71.3 447.5
1
Mean value 60 60 50 50 40 70 75 42.5 55.9 0.187
Special offers /
40;60 50;70 20;50 50;50 50;80 30;50 40;100 50;85 41.3;68.1 437.5
2 discounts
50 60 35 50 65 40 70 67.5 54.7 0.182
Mean value
Terms of pay-
20;40 10;30 10;30 50;50 30;50 10;30 5;40 30;50 20.6;40.0 242.5
3 ment Mean
30 20 20 50 40 20 22.5 40 30.3 0.101
value
Responsibilities 20;40 50;70 25;40 20;80 30;50 40;80 30;65 30;50 30.6;59.4 360
4
Mean value 30 60 32.5 50 40 60 47.5 40 45.0 0.150
Price differentia-
10;20 50;70 30;60 50;50 25;40 40;70 10;40 20;40 29.4;48.8 312.5
2. QUANTITATIVE EVALUATION OF ENTERPRISE MARKETING
5 tion
15 60 45 50 32.5 55 25 30 39.1 0.130
Mean value
Pricing strategies 10;20 50;70 10;40 50;50 10;30 30;70 20;60 10;30 23.8;46.3 280
6
Mean value 15 60 25 50 20 50 40 20 35.0 0.117
Crediting, pay-
20;40 30;50 20;50 50;50 15;50 50;100 10;50 10;40 25.6;53.8 317.5
7 ment conditions
30 40 35 50 32.5 75 30 25 39.7 0.132
Mean value
63
64
Table 2.8. The estimates of the significance of subcriteria describing promotion
Mean r
Expert The sum ∑ eik
values of k =1
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
i
evaluation and weights ω
Criterion intervals
Advertising 40;60 30;50 30;60 10;90 25;60 20;60 30;100 30;55 26.9;66.9 375
1
Mean Value 50 40 45 50 42.5 40 65 42.5 46.9 0.178
Increase of sales,
40;60 30;50 10;20 10;90 25;80 30;70 40;90 20;50 25.6;63.8 357.5
2 promotion
50 40 15 50 52.5 50 65 35 44.7 0.169
Mean Value
Planning and
organisation of
20;25 30;50 5;15 20;80 20;40 20;80 20;40 30;50 20.6;47.5 272.5
3 business commu-
nication 22.5 40 10 50 30 50 30 40 34.1 0.129
Mean Value
Personal commu-
10;15 50;70 5;15 20;80 40;80 10;60 20;40 50;70 25.6;53.8 317.5
4 nication
12.5 60 10 50 60 35 30 60 39.7 0.150
Mean Value
Brand (trademark)
5;10 30;50 10;20 20;80 15;50 30;100 20;35 30;50 20.0;49.4 277.5
5 management
7.5 40 15 50 32.5 65 27.5 40 34.7 0.129
Mean Value
Corporate identity 5;10 30;50 20;50 20;80 25;50 30;80 5;30 30;50 20.6;50.0 282.5
6
Mean Value 7.5 40 35 50 37.5 55 17.5 40 35.3 0.134
Information and
communication 5;10 10;30 15;30 50;50 20;50 20;100 15;35 10;20 18.1;40.6 235
7
with the public 7.5 20 22.5 50 35 60 25 15 29.4 0.111
Mean Value
2. QUANTITATIVE EVALUATION OF ENTERPRISE MARKETING
Table 2.9 The estimates of the significance of subcriteria describing place
Mean The
Expert r
values of sum ∑ eik and
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
evaluation k =1
Criterion intervals weights ωi
Place of sales 20;40 10;30 20;40 50;50 10;30 40;100 40;100 20;65 26.3;56.9 332.5
1
Mean value 30 20 30 50 20 70 70 42.5 41.6 0.233
Direct sales 30;50 10;30 20;30 10;90 30;60 20;80 50;80 30;50 27.5;58.8 335
2
Mean value 40 20 25 50 45 50 65 40 41.9 0.234
Indirect sales 5;5 0;10 10;15 10;90 40;80 10;40 50;80 10;20 16.9;42.5 237.5
3
Mean value 5 5 12.5 50 60 25 65 15 29.7 0.166
Sales online 10;20 10;20 3;10 50;50 10;50 20;80 5;25 10;20 14.8;34.4 196.5
4
Mean value 15 15 6.5 50 30 50 15 15 24.6 0.138
Sales / distribution
30;50 10;20 30;60 40;60 5;20 20;80 40;100 30;60 25.6;56.3 327.5
5 channels, mediators
40 15 45 50 12.5 50 70 45 40.9 0.229
2. QUANTITATIVE EVALUATION OF ENTERPRISE MARKETING
Mean value
65
66
Table 2.10. The estimates of the significance of the main marketing criteria in the enterprise in 2010
2 Price (P2)
70;90 70;80 80;100 20;80 75;95 50;70 30;60 80;90 60;90 0.240
Mean value
e2k 80 75 90 50 85 60 45 85 75 71.7
3 Promotion
(P3) 60;90 75;85 50;80 20;80 85;95 70;90 20;60 80;90 70;90 0.223
Mean value 75 80 65 50 90 80 40 85 80 71.7
e3k
4 Place (P4)
70;90 70;80 60;80 20;80 55;75 80;100 20;40 90;100 70;90 0.255
Mean value
e4k 80 75 70 50 65 90 30 95 80 70.6
2. QUANTITATIVE EVALUATION OF ENTERPRISE MARKETING
2. QUANTITATIVE EVALUATION OF ENTERPRISE MARKETING 67
The experts ranked the highest two out seven subcriteria describing price,
i.e. the initial price and special offers/discounts. They were followed by respon-
sibilities as the next most important subcriterion.
In a similar way, the values of the estimates’ variation, their limits and
weights were calculated by formula (2.15) for the third main component of the
marketing model, promotion. The estimates of eight experts assigned to subcrite-
ria describing promotion and the calculation results are given in Table 2.8.
The experts ranked advertising and increase of sales, promotion as most
significant out of seven subcriteria describing promotion. They were followed by
the subcriterion personal communication (relationships).
In a similar way, the values of the estimates’ variation, their limits and
weights were calculated by formula (2.15) for the fourth main component of the
marketing model, place. The estimates of eight experts assigned to subcriteria
describing place and the calculation results are given in Table 2.9.
The experts ranked advertising and direct sales, place of sales and sales /
distribution channels, mediators, as most significant out of five subcriteria de-
scribing place. They were followed by other two less significant subcriteria.
When all calculations were performed, the weights of the components of
the marketing systems were obtained (see Fig. 2.2).
Given the weights of the criteria, describing the enterprise marketing sys-
tem, the quantitative evaluation of the state of this system may be continued at
some other levels, including the determination of the criteria weights. Then, the
appropriate multicriteria evaluation method may be chosen for the final evalua-
tion of the system.
Given the weights of the criteria describing enterprise marketing, we may un-
dertake the evaluation of its state at other stages, i.e. to determine the values of the
criteria and then to perform the evaluation by the selected multicriteria methods.
Enterprise marketing criteria values were obtained for two purposes. First,
it was necessary to perform multicriteria evaluation based only on the data of the
first level, i.e. 4P (product, price, promotion and place) values and weights. Sec-
ond, the same evaluation had to be performed, based on the hierarchical struc-
ture of the criteria (Fig. 2.2). This was necessary for us to be able to answer the
question how much the evaluation results, obtained in two cases, differ. The
latter, in turn, could confirm that multicriteria evaluation, based on the hierarchi-
cal structure of the criteria, really makes sense.
The initial data of one level of multicriteria evaluation are given in Table 2.10.
The calculation performed based on SAW yielded the following results:
4
M 2010 = ∑ ωi ei = 72.04. (2.16)
i =1
Table 2.11. The estimates of the significance of subcriteria describing Product in the enterprise in 2010
The results given below were obtained in calculating the considered enter-
prise activities in 2010 by using the method SAW:
7
R2010 = ∑ ωi ei = 63.72. (2.19)
i =1
penses. However, if the investments are made appropriately, the results of the
commercial activities of an enterprise are better.
In this case, the enterprise managers should know what the effect of the in-
vested money is. If it exceeds the expenses, it means that the measures taken to
improve enterprise marketing are effective. In the opposite case, the structure of
costs of marketing activities improvement should be improved. The whole proc-
ess may be graphically shown as follows (See Fig. 2.3):
Fig. 2.3. The dependence of the efficiency of enterprise performance on the costs of
measures and means used for marketing improvement
To determine Ikr (the limit of marketing improvement costs) and εkr (the
limit when investment into the improvement of marketing activities is still rea-
sonable), both IM and εe should be measured. Given these values, we can quanti-
tatively evaluate the effect of expenses on improving marketing activities on the
results of enterprise commercial activities by using the correlation-regression
analysis.
Taking into account that marketing activities may be divided into four sub-
systems (product, price, promotion and place of sale), their economic effect
largely depends on the distribution (proportions) of the total costs of marketing
improvement among these subsystems.
To answer the question about costs distribution, the economic effect from
cost per unit input into a particular marketing component should be determined.
This may be done only by highly qualified specialists, having the experi-
ence in the problems of enterprise marketing improvement.
Such a problem was presented to experts. Trying to evaluate the uncer-
tainty, they specified the variation intervals, i.e. the expected minimum and
maximum values. In further calculations, the average value of these estimates
was used (Table 2.15).
76
Table 2.15. The cost effect (in percents) of unitary capital invested in the main marketing criteria
Expert Mean
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Criterion values
1 Product (P1) 30;50 20;40 20;80 20;50 30;72 15;60 20;55 30;50 20;40 22,8;55,2
Mean value e1k 40 30 50 35 51 37,5 37,5 40 30 39,0
2 Price (P2)
Mean value 10;30 15;50 50;50 15;30 26;48 20;45 10;35 10;30 15;50 19,0;40,9
20 32,5 50 22,5 37 32,5 22,5 20 32,5 29,9
e2k
3 Promotion (P3) 20;30 15;30 20;80 10;20 16;63 15;40 20;55 10;30 15;30 15,7;42,0
Mean value e3k 25 22,5 50 15 39,5 27,5 37,5 20 22,5 28,8
4 Place (P4)
Mean value 30;50 10;25 50;50 5;20 14;37 5;25 5;30 30;50 10;25 17,7;34,7
40 17,5 50 12,5 25,5 15 17,5 40 17,5 26,2
e4k
2. QUANTITATIVE EVALUATION OF ENTERPRISE MARKETING
2. QUANTITATIVE EVALUATION OF ENTERPRISE MARKETING 77
The experts determined that cost per unit input (e.g. litas) into Product (P1)
gives from 0,228 to 0,552 units (litas), the mean value – 0,390; into Price (P2) –
from 0,190 to 0,409 units, the mean value – 0,229; into Promotion (P3) – from
0,157 to 0,420 units, the mean value – 0,288; into Place (Channels/Distribution)
(P4) – from 0,177 to 0,347 units, the mean value – 0,262. Cost per unit input
into all main marketing components – Product (P1), Price (P2), Promotion (P3)
and Place (Channels/Distribution) (P4) gives from 0,752 to 1,728 units, the
mean value – 1,239 units.
The normalized values of the main marketing criteria multicriteria evalua-
tion (the total is 123,9%) shows how cost per unit input should be distributed
among the main four components. The calculation results are presented in Ta-
ble 2.16.
Table 2.16 The results of expert valuations of the effect obtained by unitary capital in-
vestment in the analyzed marketing complex
The name of marketing The value of the effect obtained due to costs of
complex, which is assigned per unit input into the analyzed marketing
a unit of costs complex
Product (P1) 0.31
Price (P2) 0.24
Promotion (P3) 0.23
Place (P4) 0.21
The third part is intended for applying the developed methodology of marketing
portfolio for solving the problem of marketing returns optimization. This will be
done in the following sequence. The chapter 3.1 will present the origins of port-
folio conception and will provide a thorough discussion on what kinds of assets
can compose the portfolio. Then, in chapter 3.2 the perception of investment
portfolio will be disclosed, along with that the transition from modern (Marko-
witz) portfolio to adequate portfolio in three-dimensional space will be pre-
sented. And, finally, in chapter 3.3 problem of marketing complex costs
optimization will be solved applying the described methods of portfolio man-
agement. The solution of the original situation considering the taken part in the
market is presented.
79
80 3. MARKETING PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT AS CORE STRATEGY…
lowest possible risk (the targeted expected return cannot be more than the high-
est-returning available security, of course, unless negative holdings of assets are
possible.)
MPT is therefore a form of diversification. Under certain assumptions and
for specific quantitative definitions of risk and return, MPT explains how to
find the best possible diversification strategy.
MPT assumes that investors are risk averse, meaning that given two port-
folios that offer the same expected return, investors will prefer the less risky
one. Thus, an investor will take on increased risk only if compensated by higher
expected returns. Conversely, an investor who wants higher expected returns
must accept more risk. The exact trade-off will be the same for all investors, but
different investors will evaluate the trade-off differently based on individual
risk aversion characteristics. The implication is that a rational investor will not
invest in a portfolio if a second portfolio exists with a more favorable risk-
expected return profile – i.e., if for that level of risk an alternative portfolio
exists which has better expected returns.
Note that the theory uses standard deviation of return as a proxy for risk,
which is valid if asset returns are jointly normally distributed or otherwise ellip-
tically distributed. There are problems with this, however;
σ 2p = ∑∑ wi w j σi σ j ρij ,
i j
σ p = σ 2p .
− Portfolio variance:
σ 2p = w2Aσ 2A + wB2 σ 2B + 2 wA wB σ Aσ B ρ AB .
As expected, the risk-adjusted returns are higher for portfolios where the
correlation of returns between the two segments is lower. The highest Sharpe
ratio where the two segments are perfectly correlated is 1.429 (column 5); if the
two segments have a correlation of 0.6 the Sharpe ratio could be as high as
1.546 (column 8). Where the segments are perfectly correlated, the highest
Sharpe ratio is where 100% of marketing spend is concentrated on Segment B.
In the case where the segment returns have a correlation of 0.6, the highest risk-
adjusted returns are obtained by investing 60% of marketing spend in Segment
A and 40% in Segment B.
Fig. 3.7. The intersection (point E) of indifference curve family and efficiency
line – the optimal portfolio for the investor in “profitability-risk” plane
(Rutkauskas, Stasytytė, 2010)
p
U = exp ⋅ g , (3.1)
r
where U is the utility level of possibility, p denotes profitability, r is the risk
and g – the guarantee.
Indeed, when utility degree of utility function is decreasing, one of the sec-
tions of efficient surface, perpendicular to the abscissa axis OX and, passing
through certain survival function, is first to touch the utility function itself,
along with that touching one of iso-guarantees, while the respective sections of
the higher or lower risk levels do not reach their survival functions.
98 3. MARKETING PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT AS CORE STRATEGY…
a. section
b. section
the most useful result of total profit growth according to the possibilities of the
effect and their guarantees and subject’s (investor) beneficial function. The
most suitable mean for the decision of such task is imitation technologies,
which allow solve that difficult stochastic programming task in needed preci-
sion.
In Table 1.4 we see that together with four marketing mix elements (prod-
uct, price, promotion, and place) there are given the elements which detail them
and show total profit marginal growth possibilities probability distribution. We
need to give the attention to the fact that the parameters of aggregated market-
ing elements effectiveness possibilities probability distribution expressed by the
total profit growth are the average meanings of part (disaggregated) elements
possibilities probability distribution, and it is the information that disaggregated
marketing mix elements are independent accidental measure. That technically
makes the decision-making more ordinal but we need to watch properly the
impact of that presumption when the real statistic dependency exists. In spite of
this the practical decisions show that if there are the same purposes and limita-
tions of the tasks and no very big dependence between disaggregated main
marketing mix components and the decisions almost will not change entering
that dependency (see Rutkauskas, 2006).
Now we will analyze the case while we use only four main marketing
means (4P). Having each of four means distribution of the possibilities effec-
tiveness N(a1,s1), N(a2,s2), N(a3,s3), N(a4,s4) and, using the possibility of imita-
tional modeling, we generate 32.000 possible structures (portfolio) of marginal
recourses distribution and together the possible meanings of those portfolios in
“profit (x) – risk (y)” set. In Fig. 3.10 in b section we see the set of discreet
portfolio meanings, which cover the solid set of portfolio possibilities, if each
change of the elements of the structure is even (see Rutkauskas A. V., 2000;
Rutkauskas A. V., Rutkauskas V., 2000).
We can find the sufficient precise and the nearest meaning of criterion an-
swer in Fig. 3.10 where is given the set of discreet possibilities portfolio mean-
ings in b. section. According to the modern and Markowitz theory, the rational
subject searches the best answers in the effective line AB. It is necessary to
remind that in Fig. 3.10 in section a. we have the discreet for marketing set of
the expenses structure, in section b. we have the set of profit possibilities prob-
ability distribution portfolio meanings corresponding to these structures and
given means, and in section c. we have the effective line where all the optimal
(according Paret) answers are (see Fabozzi, Markowitz, 2002).
Using the same principle and Table 1.4 from paragraph 1.2.2 in Fig. 3.10
we have optimal investment distribution between four earlier mentioned assets:
N1(α1=1.032; S1=0.04), N2(α2=1.11; S2=0.09), N3(α3=1.17; S3=0.2),
N4(α4=1.22; S4=0.28)
102 3. MARKETING PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT AS CORE STRATEGY…
w1 w2 w3 w4
0,0 0,0 0,0 1
0,0 0,0 0,0001 0,9999
0,0 0,0001 0,0001 0,9998
-------------------- ----------------- ------------------------ ------------------------
0,9999 0,0001 0,0 0,0
1 0 0 0
c. Effective line
Fig. 3.10. The set of discreet marketing structures (portfolios), which are possible for
marginal expenses unit (a. section) and the set of possible portfolio means in double
dimension plane (b. section) and maximum and effective line of set means portfolios
(c. section)
3. MARKETING PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT AS CORE STRATEGY… 103
No doubt, when we form the task there are a great number of difficult
questions. First group of questions is related with the selection of criteria’s,
which will dictate the choice of certain structure (portfolio). How should we
make the structure of the historical data, which will let to evaluate the processes
and dependences analyzed in business project and marketing strategies? How
the chosen optimization criteria will match to general business and marketing
management purposes and principles? Those problems are not such which
could not be solved (see Behrens, Hawranek, 1991), but in most cases we need
significant efforts.
Additionally notice, that we have analysed the situation which practically
coincides with the one from the part 1.2.2, only here we accepted the additional
condition that portfolio profitability increase when increases the market share
and all other circumstances are the same.
Fig. 3.11. Investment efficiency maximization case: a. section – considering the market
share, b. section – do not taking into account the market share
104 3. MARKETING PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT AS CORE STRATEGY…
Each of them has these coordinates and them generate such 4 structures:
A1 (0,05; 1,03694; 0,75) S1 (0,6667; 0,1111; 0,2037; 0,0185)
A2 (0,1; 1,08328; 0,25) S2 (0,0741; 0,3519; 0,3333; 0,2407)
A3 (0,05; 1,10762; 0,75) S3 = S1
A4 (0,1; 1,21899; 0,25) S4 = S2
Structures (portfolios), which give those decisions, are: S1, S2, S3, S4.
The result S3 = S1, o S4 = S2 is natural because points A1, A3 A2, A4 are the
quantiles of the same survival functions shown in trust levels.
Resuming observation. The situation analysis reveals the possibilities how
to create dependences between the marketing marginal costs and the total prof-
itableness growth of the project and how to create the presumptions for market-
ing mix (costs) structure (portfolio) managing, and it shows the possibilities
how to choose such marketing development strategies which will guarantee the
wanted input of marketing means with certain resources to the growth of total
profit with wanted (chosen) guarantee. That is the necessary presumption for
projecting and realization of sustained business development strategies.
Also, (see 1st example) as emphasized in the article mentioned literature
that there is the possibility (see Show, Merriek, 1991) to reveal the quantitative
dependences between marketing costs and it’s created effect. Here are needed
modern experimental systems, which could homogenize the profitableness,
riskiness and reliability in concrete situations.
Meanwhile, in chapter 3.2 was solved the problem how to distribute sales
volume between A and B customers’ segments hoping to get the most effective
according to the return rate and risk return possibility, when the profitability
possibility in segment A is described by the Normal distribution – NA (m = 8%,
σ = 4%) and in segment B by Normal distribution – NB (m = 14%, σ = 8%).
Now we understand the task tackled in presented situation the following
way: how to distribute invested marginal unit between the elements of market-
ing structure and resulted additional product’s realization between segments A
and B to distribute the way to get the maximum utility measured by the ade-
e× g
quate utility function. Frequently is used function U = , where u – the
r
extent of utility, and e – level of profitability, g – guarantee of profitability and
r – possible risk, can be understood as improved Sharp ratio.
We have chosen an adequate portfolio optimization as decision methodol-
ogy, which is described in detail in chapter 3.3 and which here can be explained
as follows:
1. Four ways of investing – P1, P2, P3, P4, and two received additional
product’s realization segments A and B define eight “investment and
realization” ways, covering all possibilities of situation: P1∩A, P2∩A,
P3∩A, P4∩A, P1∩B, P2∩B, P3∩B, P4∩B.
The return possibilities of each invested unit for every mentioned way
can be described with random variable – Nj(ai, σi)*Nj(aj, σj), I = 1.2.3.4;
j = A, B.
2. Selecting all additionally invested capital division proportions between
“investment and realization” opportunities Wk>0:W1+W2+W3+W4+
W5+W6+W7+W8 = 1 we obtain effective surface of additionally in-
vested capital earned profitability, where each possibility is set out by
return rate, the guarantee of this rate and the risk linked to such possi-
bility.
3. According to the utility functions of the portfolio owner we determine,
∑ i Wi = 1
8
which possibility is the most effective and what Wi ≥ 0;
configuration ensures such possibility.
The graphical illustration of decision finding process is in Figure 3.12; in
section a we have 100 random units, additionally invested in the elements of
marketing structure – P1, P2, P3 Pn additionally created production which would
be realized in one or another segment of customers, effective surface of profit-
ability possibilities, where each possibility is described with its rate, the guaran-
tee and the risk group linked to such possibility.
106 3. MARKETING PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT AS CORE STRATEGY…
e× g
In Figure 3.12 section b section, we have utility function U = , where
r
u – the extent of utility, e – level of profitability, g – guarantee of profitability
and r – risk group that has such possibility.
In section c, we have a general geometric picture of effective surface of
profitability possibilities and general picture of utility surface.
Finally, using the characteristics and dynamics of possibilities effective
surface and utility function can be found that the optimal portfolio structure is
∑ i wi = 1 , utility U= 2,457, which is
8
w1=, w2=, w3=, w4=, w5=, w6=, w7=, w7=;
determined by e = profitability of possibilities, g = guarantee of possibilities
and risk r.
In Figure 3.12 we have a situation when is considered the fact that the lar-
ger market guarantees a certain increase in profitability.
4
Integrated Management of Marketing
Risk and Efficiency
4.1. Introduction
Every marketing professional or expert knows from his/her experience that
marketing is an ocean of various risks and swimming in this ocean is extremely
dangerous without having a universal theoretical approach to risk management
as well as proper risk identification, quantitative evaluation and economic as-
sessment technique (Suhobokov 2007; Vlasenko, Kozlov 2009). If it is true that
achieved the lowest risk management level helps to save useful resources by
10–15 percent in any kind of activities, then, these figures for marketing,
searching for ways of promoting goods and services, should be at least doubled.
However, there is the reverse of the medal, implying that the research into
marketing risk management requires high competence and vast expenses (Gi-
nevičius, Ginevičius 2008). There are many problems in marketing, which in
other areas of activity are addressed with standard methods, and in marketing
they require new theoretical approaches (Pennings 2004; Tikkanen et al. 2007;
Martinez-Lopez, Casillas 2009; Morgan et al. 2009; Sharma et al. 2009; Wat-
kins, Hill 2009; Corsaro, Snehota 2010). Management of marketing risk and
efficiency can also be treated as a multi-criteria problem and the methodology
of solving such problems in various related areas of economic research is prop-
107
108 4. INTEGRATED MANAGEMENT OF MARKETING RISK AND EFFICIENCY
Table 4.1. Environmental risk types and factors influencing their occurrence in retail
enterprise transnational marketing (Zhang et al., 2008a)
However this work, like many other studies of marketing risks, is restricted
to ranking various types of risk (possible harm made) according to certain
points (Zhang et al., 2008b; Zhou et al., 2006, Wang 2009, Wen-Fei, 2004).
Though for risk management decision-making usually a universal quantitative
evaluation is needed, allowing in parallel to determine the possible harm made
to recipients.
The paper of Greene (1969) ’How to rationalize your marketing risk’ con-
siders a hypothesis that ‘managers who estimate possible losses and honestly
evaluate the risk involved can vastly improve their marketing decisions’.
The paper also provides a logic flow chart for marketing risk decisions,
where 5 steps present marketing risks collectively, outlining major problems of
marketing risk analysis aimed at collecting the information required for making
risk management decisions (see Fig. 4.1). In fact, a profound risk concept is
described in this five- step analysis, and decision-making logic based on com-
bining risk and confidence is suggested.
Step 2 defining the extent of maximum loss and its probability which may
be used for integral evaluation of possibility and its confidence deserves special
attention. However we think that step 3, presenting risk (possible loss) as a
negative consequence of riskiness of a particular process (object) and the inter-
action of loss possibilities and abilities of a recipient (subject) is also very im-
portant. It may be stated that most of recent publications lack such profound
risk concepts.
It should also be noted that the authors do not just play with such impres-
sive terms as macroeconomic and microeconomic risk, currency exchange rate
risk, etc., which being powerful in expressing risk probability are still closely
related to the particular criteria describing marketing, as far as their possible
effects are concerned.
great variety of risks (Sabonienė, 2009). Taking it not seriously, we may say
that it is much easier to name risks that do not concern marketing than list all of
them.
Fig. 4.1. Logic flow chart for marketing risk decisions (Greene 1969)
112 4. INTEGRATED MANAGEMENT OF MARKETING RISK AND EFFICIENCY
wi : wi ≥ 0; ∑ wi = 1,,,
n
(4.2)
1
Fig. 4.3. Search for intersection of effectiveness zone (left side) and
utility function (right side) of general value at risk reduction effects
With the help of statistical data and experts valuations it was determined
that investment of 1 Lt into means of avoiding losses under separate risk types
(here – under separate components of structure) should guarantee effects, de-
scribed by Normal probability distributions of effect possibilities, namely:
116 4. INTEGRATED MANAGEMENT OF MARKETING RISK AND EFFICIENCY
In Fig. 4.4 section e the tangency point of efficiency zone (section c) and
utility function (section d) is presented. This point allows us to determine the
values of all the coordinates of the three-dimensional surface – extent of possi-
bility, reliability of possibility and risk class of the analysed possibility – and
also a structure of the respective portfolio.
Table 4.2. Marketing 4P structure of expert valuations according to the effect of unit
costs
PRODUCT PRICE
a1 = 1.4; s1 = 0.042 a5 = 1.2; s5 = 0.03
a2 = 1.3; s2 = 0.0165 a6 = 1.32; s6 = 0.03
a3 = 1.275; s3 = 0.038 a7 = 1.325; s7 = 0.045
a4 = 1.375; s4 = 0.043 a8 = 1.275; s8 = 0.039
PROMOTION PLACE
a9 = 1.25; s9 = 0.018 a13 = 1.41; s13 = 0.043
a10 = 1.22; s10 = 0.025 a14 = 1.17; s14 = 0.015
a11 = 1.225; s11 = 0.04 a15 = 1.15; s15 = 0.035
a12 = 1.375; s12 = 0.045 a16 = 1.125; s16 = 0.038
4. INTEGRATED MANAGEMENT OF MARKETING RISK AND EFFICIENCY 119
There is no doubt that both problems arise from the same objective – how
to use in the best manner the resources intended for marketing efficiency in-
crease, but it is necessary to notice that there is no courage to say that the result
of the solution would be the same, i.e. that in both cases the same investment
portfolio would be selected. However, attempting to compare the solutions of
both problems would encourage experts to take universally the evaluation of
probability distributions of possibilities.
Thus, having the unit values presented by the experts in Table 4.2 and the
pairs of parameters of probability distributions of investment possibilities for
every component of marketing structure, the problem can be formulated as fol-
lows:
To find such a distribution of resources intended for marketing efficiency
increase among separate components of marketing structure
wi : wi ≥ 0; ∑ wi = 1 .
n
(4.6)
1
Fig. 4.5. Visualization of (4)–(6) problem solving, when distributions D(ai, si) from
Table 2 were assumed to be not correlated Normal variables N(ai, si)
122 4. INTEGRATED MANAGEMENT OF MARKETING RISK AND EFFICIENCY
Fig. 4.7. Visualization of (4)–(6) problem solving, when initial distribution among P1,
P2, P3, and P4 is not balanced in equal parts, but according to proportion – 4:3:2:1
124 4. INTEGRATED MANAGEMENT OF MARKETING RISK AND EFFICIENCY
Fig. 4.6 presents the visualization of solution analogical to Fig. 4.5 only
with an assumption of correlation dependency between probability distribu-
tions, which is described by the conditional correlation matrix (4.9), where pre-
sented correlation coefficients describe average correlation dependencies
between sub-elements Pi.
1 0,5 0,4 0,3
1 0,3 0,2 (4.9)
C ij =
1 0,2
1
127
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143
144 THE LIST OF SCIENTIFIC AUTHOR'S PUBLICATIONS ON THE SUBJECT…
Adomas GINEVIČIUS
RINKODAROS EKONOMINIO EFEKTYVUMO
DIDINIMAS
Daktaro disertacija
Socialiniai mokslai,
ekonomika (04S)