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Day 3-Thinking, Fast and Slow
Day 3-Thinking, Fast and Slow
Foreword
How well do you control your thoughts? What makes you think a certain
way? The behavior you exhibit is as a result of your thoughts, which is why
you need the tidbit contained in this book to help you think better. “Thinking
Fast and Slow” by Daniel Kahneman is a book written to help people
understand their brain and intuition. Daniel Kahneman is an economist and
a psychologist whose work on behavioral economics is one of the most
prescribed across the world.
Your brain is always looking for the most natural way out, and that could be
the death of your ethical judgment making. Your brain substitutes effort for
creativity, thanks to your System 1.
There are several factors like illusion, availability, and experience that
influence your decisions. These influences lead you to make biased
conclusions.
To find out how to switch from thinking slow to thinking fast, read further,
and follow this well-detailed summary of “Thinking Fast and Slow” by
Daniel Kahneman.
1. The two systems associated with your brain are
responsible for how and when you think
In a bid to balance the functions of the human mind, one of the primary
functions of System 2 is to control, monitor, and oversee suggestions and
actions that come from System 1. However, this action doesn’t rely much
on facts; it’s based on faith and intuition.
System 2 works hard to find an escape route for you, especially when you
are stuck with finding a solution to a problem. When you can’t find a good
answer to a question, System 1 automatically finds a similar question and
feeds you the answer instead.
Your brain makes judgments about people and situations — whether you
want to or not.
When System 1 faces a tough problem that it can’t find a solution for, it’ll
seek the help of System 2, calling it into action to find a way around the
problem immediately.
However, sometimes, your brain deceives you, and itself, into believing that
a task is simple. Due to this fact, System 1 pops up, thinking it can handle
it, but it can’t. As a result of this, you end up making mistakes.
Over and over again, your mind tricks you and itself into accepting that a
task is straightforward and simple.
You believe that samples that involve small numbers are drawn from a
small population. The moment you are told that five million people work in
the public sector in Bulgaria, you’re inclined to believe that Bulgaria’s
population is small, just because of the sample. These are some of the
things that shape how you view and evaluate your environment.
Amos and Daniel invented a fortune wheel that was rigged to stop at 10 or
65. They then gathered students of the University of Oregon as participants
for their experiment. After spinning the wheel which had been rigged to
stop at either 10 or 65, the participants were asked two questions.
The anchor for their number was determined mostly by the number they got
from the wheel. Those who had 10 chose lesser numbers for the African
nations, and those who had 65 chose higher numbers.
The ease with which you can come up with examples is often used to
determine the frequency of events. Immediately an example comes to
mind, your brain pieces together instances of a similar occurrence, and
you’re then tricked into believing that such a situation is frequent.
How fast you can think of situations is regularly used to decide the
recurrence of such occasions.
If not controlled, availability biases can cause problems. It’s not easy to
stop, but you can resist its dominance by training yourself to identify it. By
maintaining your vigilance against these biases, you can control your
thinking better.
There’s a belief that the worst scenario of an occurrence is the highest form
of it; therefore, the preventive measures that would be taken should be
examined against that scenario.
If, for example, a wall is being erected to stop a flood, the strength and
height of the wall will most likely be built according to the last heaviest
flood. Economist Howard Kunreunther believes that protective actions are
usually designed to be adequate to the worst disaster experienced.
No thanks to the media, there are several misconceptions about the true
extent of things, and how important or less important they are. Humans try
to simplify life by believing in a world that is perfect in their heads.
Your brain makes the next available conclusion for you in the absence of
precise data.
By examining the two (evidence and base rates), it’s known that humans
tend to put more focus on evidence than base rates. Base rates occur as a
result of small information. When the information produced is not specific or
detailed, base rates come into view, telling the brain to make a conclusion
based on assumptions.
The moment more specific information is provided, the brain changes its
focus, and concludes evidence, rather than the base rate.
When you come from a very peaceful place where humans don’t eat
animals, and then you’re told that humans are responsible for the death of
65% of animals across the world, you’ll find it hard to believe. Also,
regardless of existing facts and statistics, a situation is not bound always to
follow a regular pattern.
Real life instances give you more information than established facts and
statistics.
That a tall serial killer has terrorized a community for a year doesn’t mean
the next death is from the same serial killer. Existing facts help in the
absence of any other information.
Predictions and forecasts are a part of everyday life. Across all fields of
study, experts and professionals make predictions based on calculations
and facts available. Some predictions are intuitively based on recent
occurrence, experience, or familiarity; by seeing certain cues, you can
deduce what is bound to happen next. However, there are several other
things that you can’t predict or forecast without showing bias. To produce
unbiased predictions, you must start with the average information available,
and then gradually work toward getting more data from existing guidelines,
statistics, and facts.
The accounts of the past shape the present and the future.
As much as you believe you know your past, most of the stories you’ve
heard only talk about the event and neglect the preceding steps.
The validation of something by humans comes from belief most of the time.
Even though there’s little to no evidence, humans tend to validate what
they believe in because of influence, pressure, and blind faith.
The best-case scenario is not the only scenario worth studying. Humans
tend to plan, initiate, and execute projects based on facts and stories
available from the best-case scenario. To successfully plan, a lot of
scenarios should be evaluated by taking into account similar cases that
were successful or unsuccessful.
The things you own naturally have value to you because you own them.
The value you attach to whatever you own is greater than when you see
the same thing elsewhere.
In terms of taking a risk and examining loss, humans always look for the
safest possible bet regardless of the probable outcome. When it comes to
gambling, you are unwilling to take risks, because when the probability of a
loss is higher than that of a win, you instinctively want to avoid it. This is
why humans are always more particular about avoiding losses than
working hard to secure gains.
As long as there is a chance for a loss, the brain works towards avoiding it.
Adopting risk policies to guide you against loss is a brilliant thing to do, but
it should not be exaggerated. See a decision as one of the numerous
options available to you.
Assess all possible options before dismissing them. Don't naturally reject
an alternative because it contains risk or loss.
Since rewards and punishments mold your reaction and motivate your
actions, you should pay attention to it often.
These two selves work hand in hand to help you make decisions. The
experiencing self helps you make decisions based on whether you like an
experience or not, and the remembering self helps you make a decision
based on your reaction toward it when you first encountered it.
A lot of people don’t pay attention to their experiencing self; they are more
particular about the memories they’ve collected over time, and then base
their judgments on it.
Happiness is relative, and it has a wide range of definitions that can never
be ignored. Human judgments are different, and so is the definition of
happiness. The best way to live a good life is to understand that there’s no
limit to what can make you, or anyone, feel happy.
Conclusion
Your thoughts are a process of past, current, and future events that shape
your life. When you control the way you think and how well you think, you’ll
find it easy to make better decisions. Understanding your two systems and
training yourself to be able to control your thoughts gives you a better
advantage. You can make better judgments about life and people; all you
need to do is understand the way you think.