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Journal of Banking & Finance 36 (2012) 2949–2959

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Journal of Banking & Finance


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Foreign bank entry, credit allocation and lending rates in emerging markets:
Empirical evidence from Poland
Hans Degryse a, Olena Havrylchyk b, Emilia Jurzyk c,⇑, Sylwester Kozak d
a
University of Leuven, Tilburg University and CEPR, Department of Accounting, Finance and Insurance, Naamsestraat 69, 3000 Leuven, Belgium
b
CEPII, 113, rue de Grenelle, 75015 Paris, France
c
International Monetary Fund, 700 19th Street NW, Washington, DC 20431, USA
d
National Bank of Poland, ul. Swietokrzyska 11/21, 00-919 Warsaw, Poland

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: Earlier studies have documented that foreign banks charge lower lending rates and interest spreads than
Received 4 November 2010 domestic banks. We hypothesize that this may stem from the superior efficiency of foreign entrants that
Accepted 6 December 2011 they decide to pass onto borrowers (‘‘performance hypothesis’’), but could also reflect a different loan allo-
Available online 13 December 2011
cation with respect to borrower transparency, loan maturity and currency (‘‘portfolio composition hypoth-
esis’’). We are able to differentiate between the above hypotheses thanks to a novel dataset containing
JEL classification: detailed bank-specific information for the Polish banking industry. Our findings demonstrate that banks
G21
differ significantly in terms of portfolio composition and we attest to the ‘‘portfolio composition hypothe-
G28
G34
sis’’ by showing that, having controlled for portfolio composition, there are no differences in lending rates
L11 between banks.
Ó 2012 International Monetary Fund. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Keywords:
Banks
Ownership
Credit allocation

1. Introduction The empirical findings quoted above can have two plausible
explanations. On the one hand, foreign banks could charge lower
High foreign participation in the emerging banking markets has lending rates because they have lower operating costs. There is a
led to a heated debate on the benefits and costs of foreign bank en- considerable evidence that foreign institutions are able to over-
try for the stability and efficiency of the banking systems, as well as come cross-border disadvantages (distance, monitoring costs, dif-
for borrowers. In this paper we focus on lending rates, which re- ferences in institutional environment, language and culture) and
flect the costs of using the financial system by borrowers. High operate more efficiently than their domestic competitors in emerg-
lending rates can become prohibitive to many safe customers, ing economies (see e.g. Berger et al., 2000; Bonin et al., 2005; Chen
blocking access to finance and hindering economic growth. Most and Liao, 2011; Havrylchyk and Jurzyk, 2011; Weill, 2003). If for-
empirical studies find that foreign banks on average charge lower eign banks choose to pass on their higher efficiency to borrowers
lending rates and have lower spreads than domestic banks. For in- in order to gain market share, this ‘‘performance’’ effect is expected
stance, Martinez Peria and Mody (2004) study Latin American to be identical for all borrowers (‘‘performance hypothesis’’).1 It
countries during the late 1990s and find that foreign banks have should be stressed that if foreign banks are more efficient than other
lower spreads than domestic banks and takeover banks have high- banks but rely on this cost advantage to extract rents from borrow-
er spreads than greenfield banks. Claeys and Hainz (2007) argue
that foreign banks can undercut domestic banks’ lending rates ow- 1
This hypothesis is related to the Berger et al. (2000) global advantage hypothesis.
ing to their better screening skills. Foreign entrants may also raise revenues through superior investment or risk
management skills, by providing better service quality/variety that some customers
prefer, or by obtaining diversification of risks that allows them to undertake higher
risk-higher expected return investments. Further, foreign banks in transition and
developing economies additionally benefit from their better access to international
⇑ Corresponding author. Tel.: +1 202 623 4223; fax: +1 202 589 4223. capital markets and funding from their parent companies. This diminishes their cost
E-mail addresses: hans.degryse@econ.kuleuven.be (H. Degryse), olena.havryl- of funds, which in turn should be translated into lower lending rates, benefiting
chyk@cepii.fr (O. Havrylchyk), ejurzyk@imf.org (E. Jurzyk), Sylwester.Kozak@- borrowers. Moreover, foreign banks might enjoy lower cost of deposits due to their
mail.nbp.pl (S. Kozak). superior reputation.

0378-4266/$ - see front matter Ó 2012 International Monetary Fund. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.jbankfin.2011.12.006
2950 H. Degryse et al. / Journal of Banking & Finance 36 (2012) 2949–2959

ers instead of charging lower lending rates, we would interpret this environment of Poland is close to the average of other emerging
as the rejection of the ‘‘performance hypothesis’’. markets, and can therefore be considered as representative.
Alternatively, foreign banks could charge lower lending rates if We differentiate between greenfield banks (foreign banks that
they supply credit to more transparent and less risky borrowers. enter via greenfield investment) and takeover banks (foreign banks
Dell’Ariccia and Marquez (2004) argue that foreign banks face large that acquire an existing domestic institution), because theory sug-
information disadvantages and, thus, prefer to target more trans- gests that the impact of foreign banks’ behavior depends on their
parent clients (relying on transactions-based lending), whereas mode of entry (see e.g., Claeys and Hainz, 2007). Indeed, both
domestic banks are better placed to lend to firms based on soft hypotheses, ‘‘performance’’ and ‘‘portfolio allocation’’, could be
information (relationship lending) (see also Althammer and strongest for greenfield banks, because they have a larger effi-
Haselmann, 2011; Detragiache et al., 2008; Gormley, 2011). Seng- ciency advantage and a larger informational disadvantage relative
upta (2007) shows that foreign entrants exploit their cost advan- to domestic and foreign takeover banks. The latter inherit ineffi-
tage by offering collateralized loans to large transparent firms cient and non-transparent organizational structure and could be
whereas incumbent banks retain more risky borrowers. Even if for- burdened by nonperforming loans, but they also obtain the person-
eign banks are able to collect soft information, they might have nel and access to loan information that may help them overcome
more difficulties or be less willing to communicate it to their head- informational asymmetries.
quarters. Stein (2002) argues that organizations with more hierar- Our findings can be summarized as follows. We find that port-
chical structures are more likely to rely on hard information as folio composition of banks in terms of borrower opacity, loan
opposed to organizations with flatter structures. The reason is that maturity and currency differs significantly depending on bank
flatter organizations have better control and information on their ownership and mode of entry. Most importantly, having controlled
managers, and thus can afford to give them more discretion, which for these differences, foreign banks do not charge lower lending
allows them to use soft information. This modeling has been ex- rates than their domestic counterparts. This result contrasts with
tended to large banks by Berger et al. (2005) and can further be ap- Martinez Peria and Mody (2004) and Claeys and Hainz (2007) that
plied to foreign banks, which belong to large multinational banking suffered from omitted variable bias and, thus, were not able to con-
groups, and where communication of soft information is trol for the portfolio composition of banks. Finally, we confirm the-
obstructed not only by the hierarchy, but also by cultural, oretical predictions of Dell’Ariccia and Marquez (2004) that the
institutional and linguistic barriers. Numerous empirical studies entry of foreign banks via greenfield investment leads to the real-
support these theories and find that foreign bank lend less to location of lending by domestic banks to more opaque borrowers
opaque borrowers, such as small and medium enterprises, than increasing the riskiness of their portfolios.
domestic banks (Clarke et al., 2005, 2006 for Latin America; The rest of this paper is organized as follows. Section 2 presents
Berger et al., 2001, Gormley, 2010 for India; Giannetti and Ongena, our data. Sections 3 and 4 describe our empirical findings on port-
2009, 2012 for Central and Eastern Europe; Mian, 2006 for folio allocation and loan rates, respectively. Section 5 deals with
Pakistan). the impacts of foreign entry on domestic banks. Section 6
Credit allocation can also differ in other dimensions. Foreign concludes.
banks could extend more short-term loans to solve asymmetric
information problems as wells as to secure ‘‘hot’’ money that is 2. Polish banking industry and data
readily retracted during crises (Rodrik and Velasco, 2000; Popov
and Udell, 2010).2 In addition, foreign banks could supply more for- We test our hypotheses using a novel dataset that was kindly
eign currency loans because they rely less on domestic deposits and provided by the National Bank of Poland. It contains quarterly
have better access to the international capital markets and financing information on 110 Polish banks4 between December 1996 and
from the parent banks (see Brown et al., 2008; Beer et al., 2010; ECB, December 2006. In addition to standard information from balance
2006; Farnoux et al., 2004; Sorsa et al., 2007). Since loans to trans- sheets and income statements, it contains data on interest income,
parent borrowers and in foreign currency have lower interest rates amount of granted loans, and nonperforming loans for two borrower
than other types of loans, the observed lower lending rate of foreign types: private firms and individual entrepreneurs.5 This allows us to
banks could be easily explained by a different loan allocation (‘‘port- examine lending volumes and lending rates that banks with differ-
folio composition’’ hypothesis).3 ent ownership structure charge their transparent and non-transpar-
In our paper, we distinguish between the ‘‘performance’’ and the ent borrowers.6 Our data gives us a unique opportunity to construct
‘‘portfolio composition’’ hypotheses and, to the best of our knowl- banks’ portfolio shares, interest rates, market shares, bank concen-
edge, this is the first to attempt to do this. We are able to differen- tration measures, and nonperforming loans for each borrower type
tiate between the two hypotheses thanks to a unique database on separately.
all Polish commercial banks that includes detailed information on In principle, transparent firms should have reliable financial
several dimensions of credit allocation – lending rates, amounts statements, long credit history, and good collateral, all of which
of loans, and amounts of nonperforming loans to different borrower helps the bank to evaluate borrower’s creditworthiness. Private
types and in different currencies and maturities. We think that Po-
land provides an excellent testing ground for our hypotheses be- 4
We define a bank as Polish if it is registered in Poland and the National Bank of
cause it has the largest banking sector in Central and Eastern Poland collects information on it.
Europe. Since the share of foreign investors in Polish banks amounts 5
The distinction between private firms and individual entrepreneurs is grounded
to 74%, this provides us with a large number of foreign banks and at in Polish law. A borrower is classified as a ‘‘private firm’’ if the firm is owned by
the same time leaves us with a much higher number of domestic private investors (either entirely, or where the private share exceeds 50%), and is
either subject to commercial law or is subject to civil law and employs more than 9
banks than in most other Central and Eastern European countries
workers. Additionally, such firms have to comply with accounting regulations that
(CEECs). Furthermore, as we will argue below, the institutional require full bookkeeping. ‘‘Individual entrepreneurs (for short, entrepreneurs)’’, in
contrast, are small firms employing up to 9 workers, subject to civil law, and using
simplified accounting procedures.
6
We also have information on three other groups of borrowers: state-owned
2
For example, Dooley and Shin (2000) argue that foreign creditors’ run from enterprises, farmers and households. We decided not to use these three groups
Korean banks triggered the crisis in Korea in 1997. because they cannot be unambiguously ranked in terms of transparency and, hence,
3
Our two hypotheses are not mutually exclusive. Lower lending rates of foreign we have opted to rely on data for only two groups – large private firms and individual
banks might reflect both performance and portfolio composition effects. entrepreneurs.
H. Degryse et al. / Journal of Banking & Finance 36 (2012) 2949–2959 2951

firms in our sample are closer to this definition than entrepreneurs Tables 1 and 2 report variable definitions and summary statistics,
and, thus, we label them as transparent borrowers. Even though respectively. First, we compare rates on loans to different types of
they include all private firms with more than 9 employees, most borrowers. Lending rates offered to private firms—the most trans-
of them are rather large, and average statistics are driven by large parent borrowers—are significantly lower than lending rates
private firms. We classify entrepreneurs as opaque because they charged to entrepreneurs. The difference between them is 0.6%
are small, young entities with little available accounting informa- points per quarter or 2.4% points per year. This is in line with the the-
tion, and that makes it more challenging for a bank to judge their oretical considerations that lending rates in the competitive markets
capacity and willingness to repay. Evaluating small firms presents with the smallest informational asymmetries should be the lowest
a particularly acute problem in emerging markets, where many whereas lending rates for opaque borrowers are the highest due to
entrepreneurs do not properly report their profits and losses. It im- high switching costs stemming from informational asymmetries.8
plies that a firm might have larger turnover and assets than it de- The share of large private firms (transparent borrowers) and
clares officially, but it also implies that the firm has unrecorded, small entrepreneurs (opaque borrowers) amount on average to
contingent senior liabilities to its employees (de la Torre et al., 48% and 11% of banks’ portfolios, respectively. It should be men-
2010). tioned, however, that this average figure hides a large heterogene-
The Polish banking sector provides a good testing ground for ity between banks: loans to transparent borrowers constitute 67%
our hypotheses because, similar to other CEECs, it experienced of greenfield banks’ portfolios, while domestic private banks de-
massive foreign direct investments into the banking sector (see vote one and a half times more of their portfolio to opaque borrow-
Farnoux et al., 2004). At the end of 2006, the share of foreign inves- ers than other banks. The summary statistics reveal that short-
tors in Polish banking constituted 74%. This is less, however, than term loans amount to 41% of banks’ portfolios. Once again, loan
in other major CEECs – for example in Hungary more than 80% of maturity differs according to bank ownership and mode of foreign
banking assets is in foreign hands, and in the Czech Republic and entry. Greenfield banks issue more short-term loans while take-
Slovakia foreign banks control more than 95% of assets. The rela- over banks issue less short-term loans than domestic private banks
tively smaller presence of foreign banks in Poland gives us addi- (53%, 36% and 41%, respectively).
tional strong argument to use Poland as a case study, since there One of the characteristics of many CEECs is the high proportion
are still local private and state-owned banks present on the market of loans in foreign currency. Their share ranges from around 10–
that can serve as a benchmark. 20% in Czech Republic and Slovakia, to 60–70% in the Baltic States
The institutional environment of Poland is representative of (see ECB, 2006). Our dataset shows that Polish banks extended 20%
many other emerging markets. For example, the restrictions on of their loans in foreign currency, which is not very high in com-
FDI in the financial sector are close to the average of other emerg- parison to other countries. Still, this poses significant risks for the
ing markets (Poland has a score of 0.33 versus an average of 0.3 for banking sector, as many borrowers, especially the SMEs, are not
the developing countries; see e.g. Koyama and Golub, 2006), and hedged against currency and interest rate risk.9 Foreign banks, par-
the restrictions on permissible banking activities in Poland is close ticularly greenfield institutions, give more loans in foreign currency
to the OECD average (see e.g. Barth et al., 2004). Between 1992 and than domestic banks, which is likely to be due to their better access
1998, conditional licensing was applied to foreign banks, meaning to international capital markets and parent companies. This appears
that a foreign bank could obtain a license only after agreeing to to be supported by disparities in average cross-border interbank lia-
rehabilitate a distressed Polish bank. The privatization process bilities. Even though, on average, 12% of liabilities stem from foreign
started in 1993. Even though foreign investors were allowed to banks, this figure is much higher for greenfield banks (15%) and
participate, they were entitled only to minority shares. Restrictions rather low for private and state-owned domestic banks (2%).
on foreign banks were removed in 1998 after the passing of new
laws on banking, which were in line with EU legislation. The high 3. Empirical analysis: Portfolio allocation
minimum capital requirement of ECU 5 million accelerated the
involvement of foreign banks, since domestic banks faced difficul- 3.1. Empirical model and strategy
ties in raising these amounts on the local market. Banking supervi-
sion in Poland is executed by the Commission for Banking We first study the impact of foreign bank ownership on the
Supervision and the National Bank of Poland. According to Barth allocation of loans with respect to borrower type, maturity and
et al. (2004), their independence is high. Finally, the corporate currency. We model banks’ portfolio shares as a function of bank
bond market was quite underdeveloped during our sample period. ownership and mode of entry, as well as controls for bank charac-
While the corporate bond market was liberalized in 2000, the mar- teristics, and macroeconomic environment. In particular, we esti-
ket is still small compared with other important emerging markets. mate the following model:
Poland has a credit registry since 1997 but only for individuals.  
During 1996–2006, there were a number of domestic mergers
Pit
ln ¼ a0 þ a1 Ownershipit1
and acquisitions in the Polish banking sector, hence we treat 1  Pit
merged institutions as two before the merger and as one after- þ a2 Bankcharacteristicsit1 þ a3 Macrot1
wards.7 For our estimations we have deleted the first four quarters þ Quartert þ eit ; ð1Þ
of operations for both greenfield and takeover banks in order to ex-
clude the initial setting-up and transformation period. Finally, dur-
ing our sample period, there was no greenfield domestic entry.
8
While there was a general trend for all lending rates to decrease over 1996–2006,
the spread between lending rates to private firms and entrepreneurs has not changed
in a significant way.
9
A substantial fraction of foreign currency loans are extended in Swiss Francs, on
7
We also investigated the effect of domestic mergers on banks’ lending rates by which lending rates are lower than on Euro loans (see ECB, 2006). This characteristic
including a dummy that takes a value of one if the bank had undergone a domestic is shared by other countries in CEECs, such as Hungary and Slovenia. This trend comes
merger, and zero otherwise. Our estimations revealed that this merger dummy was from Austria where most of loans in foreign currency are denominated in Swiss Franc.
never statistically significant and, therefore, we decided to exclude it from our final Originally this was constrained to regions bordering Switzerland where firms and
results. Most of domestic mergers included either a merger of two domestic banks or individuals had a natural hedge against currency risk since their income was often in
an acquisition of the domestic bank by a foreign bank. There were also a few cases of Swiss Franc. However, lending in Swiss Francs is now extended to other parts of
mergers of two foreign banks which belonged to the same foreign financial group. Austria and to CEECs where Austrian banks are active.
2952 H. Degryse et al. / Journal of Banking & Finance 36 (2012) 2949–2959

Table 1
Definition of variables.

Variable Definition
State-owned A dummy variable which takes the value of one if more than 50% of the bank is owned by the state, zero otherwise
Takeover A dummy variable which takes the value of one if more than 50% of the bank has been acquired by foreign investors. Before 2001 is a dummy
variable that equals one for years up to 2001, and zero otherwise
Greenfield A dummy variable which takes the value of one if foreign bank entered via greenfield investment and more than 50% of the bank is owned by
the foreign investor
Lending ratea The ratio of interest income to total loans. Calculated on a quarterly basis, unless explicitly stated otherwise
NPLa The ratio of nonperforming loans to total loans, measured as a deviation from the annual median for all banks divided by this median
Market sharea Share of loans of a bank in the total loans of banking sector in host country
Capitalization The ratio of risk adjusted capital
Costs The ratio of personnel and administrative costs to total assets
Herfindahl indexa Herfindahl index, calculated as the sum of the squared banks’ market shares of loans
Share privatea The ratio of loans to private firms (entrepreneurs) in bank’s portfolio
(entrepreneur)
Share greenfield The ratio of loans granted by greenfield (takeover) banks to total loans granted by all banks in quarter t
(takeover)
FX loansa The ratio of loans in foreign currency in bank’s loan portfolio
Interbank liabilities The ratio of foreign interbank liabilities in bank’s total liabilities
Short-term loansa The ratio of loans with maturity less than 1 year in a bank’s loan portfolio
Long-term loansa The ratio of loans with maturity over 5 years in a bank’s loan portfolio
GDP Real quarterly growth rate of GDP
Inflation Quarterly inflation rate
Real interest rate Quarterly real short-term interest rate, calculated using 3 month WIBOR (Warsaw interbank offered rate) interest rate and inflation rate by
Fisher equation
Trend A variable that varies from 1 to 41 depending on the quarter and is intended to capture a time trend. 1 refers to December 1996 and 41 to
December 2006
a
This variable is computed for all borrowers and for private corporations and entrepreneurs separately.

Table 2
Summary statistics.

Obs. Mean Std. dev. Min. Max.


Lending rate 2272 0.043 0.031 0.004 0.559
Private firms 2233 0.042 0.035 0 0.551
Entrepreneurs 1903 0.048 0.041 0 0.547
State-owned 2272 0.135 0.341 0 1
Takeover 2272 0.316 0.465 0 1
Greenfield 2272 0.315 0.464 0 1
Costs 2272 0.011 0.007 0.001 0.110
Capitalization 2272 0.188 0.263 3.569 4.189
GDP growth 2272 0.015 0.087 0.150 0.128
Inflation 2272 0.014 0.014 0.009 0.056
Real interest rate 2272 0.017 0.012 0.005 0.049
NPL 2272 0.356 1.233 1 10.110
Private firms 2233 0.416 1.410 1 10.800
Entrepreneurs 1903 0.394 1.426 1 9.012
Herfindahl index 2272 0.072 0.008 0.053 0.085
Private firms 2233 0.066 0.008 0.051 0.084
Entrepreneurs 1903 0.070 0.012 0.053 0.095
Market share 2272 0.017 0.030 0 0.184
Private firms 2233 0.017 0.029 0 0.225
Entrepreneurs 1903 0.020 0.032 0 0.218
Share private 2269 0.485 0.306 0 1
Share entrepreneurs 2269 0.113 0.115 0 0.640
FX loans 2272 0.203 0.214 0 0.999
Private firms 2233 0.198 0.205 0 1
Entrepreneurs 1903 0.157 0.218 0 1
Short-term loans 2272 0.415 0.255 0 1
Private firms 2233 0.523 0.254 0 1
Entrepreneurs 1903 0.408 0.254 0 1
Long-term loans 2272 0.232 0.212 0 1
Private firms 2233 0.179 0.193 0 1
Entrepreneurs 1903 0.136 0.154 0 1
Share greenfield 837 0.080 0.020 0.044 0.116
Share takeover 837 0.360 0.268 0.102 0.710
Interbank liabilities 617 0.124 0.177 0 0.972

where Pit is the share of loans (by borrower type, by maturity, or by for Capitalization, Costs, the share of nonperforming loans (NPL) and
currency in loan portfolio of bank i at time t, respectively); Owner- Market Share; Macrot —variables that control for Inflation, real short-
shipit—dummy variables that capture the effect of bank ownership term interest rate (Real interest rate) and real GDP growth (GDP). We
(State-owned) and mode of foreign bank entry (Takeover and Green- lag all explanatory variables by one period and also include quar-
field) for bank i at time t; Bankcharacteristicsit —variables that control terly dummies.
H. Degryse et al. / Journal of Banking & Finance 36 (2012) 2949–2959 2953

Following Berger et al. (1998) and Clarke et al. (2006) we esti- Contrary to the above hypothesis, failing banks might ‘‘gamble
mate all share equations in log-odds logit form which allows us for resurrection’’ and lend to riskier borrowers, such as SMEs
to get around the problem that shares by definition are bounded (Clarke et al., 2006). Moreover, large firms could be less willing
between 0 and 1. Since our data set is in panel version, initially to continue their relationship with such banks, whereas opaque
we have to choose between fixed and random effects estimation clients face more difficulties switching to other lenders, and dis-
methods. The former, however, presents significant problems be- tressed banks might benefit from their ‘‘captured’’ clients. They
cause it does not allow us to estimate coefficients for one of our might also be more willing to lend in foreign currency disregarding
variables of interest – time-invariant dummy for greenfield banks. currency risk considerations.
Consequently, we opt for Hausman and Taylor (1981) estimation While our bank-level variables, such as Costs and Capitalization
technique that allows some of the explanatory variables to be are calculated at the bank level, nonperforming loans (NPL) and
correlated with the unobserved individual-level random effect Market Share are calculated both at a bank and at a bank-portfolio
(hence, controlling for endogeneity of explanatory variables), level, i.e., separately for entrepreneurs and private firms. In the first
but also permits estimation of coefficients for exogenous time- case, we control for the general health and market power of the
invariant variables.10 We treat State-owned and Takeover dummies, bank, whereas in the second case the health and market power
as well as bank variables as time-variant and endogenous, a Green- in the particular part of a loan portfolio is controlled for. Since
field dummy as time-invariant and exogenous, and country level the definition of NPL has been subject to changes during the ana-
variables as time-variant and exogenous. Since these estimators lyzed period, we rely on a deviation of NPL from its annual median
are based on instrumental variables, we compute Sargan-Hansen for all banks divided by this median. To control for the macroeco-
test of overidentifying restrictions where the null hypothesis states nomic environment and the cost of capital, we include real short-
that the excluded instruments are valid instruments, i.e., uncorre- term interest rate (Real interest rate), inflation rate (Inflation) and
lated with the error term and correctly excluded from the esti- real GDP growth (GDP). In general, we expect that periods of high
mated equation. economic growth should be more beneficial for riskier and opaque
Our main variables of interest are two dummy variables that clients, such as small entrepreneurs. Benign economic conditions
correspond to modes of foreign bank entry (greenfield and take- should also increase lending in domestic currency and at longer
over), while private domestic banks serve the role of benchmark maturity.
for our estimation. To investigate convergence over time, we
interact each of our mode of entry variables (takeover and green-
field) with a time trend. We presume that the time period in 3.2. Portfolio allocation: results for borrower type
which foreign banks operates is more important than banks’
age. For example, a foreign bank that enters Poland in the later The results of estimating Eq. (1) are reported in Table 3: col-
period is likely to have already been present in another CEEC, umns 1–2 present findings with the share of private firms in
and hence already has a lot of experience in operating in a tran- the bank portfolios, and columns 3–4 with the share of entrepre-
sition economy. Indeed, banks that were the first ones to enter neurs as dependant variables. Our findings show that, controlling
Polish banking markets in the early 1990s are also those that lend for other factors, foreign banks that entered via greenfield invest-
most to large firms, which reflects the fact that they came to Po- ment devote 14% less of their portfolios to entrepreneurs (column
land following their clients and were not interested in the local 3) while they lend over 84% more to private firms (column 1)
market. than domestic private banks. This result points to a comparative
As bank-level characteristics, we include Capitalization, Costs, disadvantage of greenfield banks in lending to opaque clients
Market share and NPLs to capture financial health, market power and is in line with earlier findings for other developing and
and performance of banks, which might be correlated with bank transition economies (Clarke et al., 2005, 2006; Berger et al.,
strategies. The expected signs for these bank controls are unclear 2001; Giannetti and Ongena, 2009, 2012; Gormley, 2010; Mian,
because of conflicting hypotheses. Healthier banks with higher 2006).
profits, better loan quality and higher capitalization might be The results for takeover banks do not indicate a clear bias in
able to grow faster over time and to expand to areas where it terms of borrower transparency, as these banks have relatively
takes time and effort to acquire know-how of the business, like less both large firms and entrepreneurs in their portfolios. As
lending to SMEs. Similarly, healthier banks should be able to ex- it was mentioned earlier, this study does not consider lending
tend more foreign currency loans and loans at longer maturity, to state-owned firms, farmers and households, because they
because they have better access to foreign and long-term fund- are not easily classified in terms of transparency. Nevertheless,
ing. On the other hand, banks that suffer from financial distress it is important to mention that the above result is possible
can be required by government supervisors, depositors, and cap- because takeover foreign banks extend a lot of loans to
ital market investors to reduce their risk profile. This would lead households.
to a decrease in relationship lending to informationally opaque To investigate convergence, we interact each of our takeover
small businesses because the risk of these loans cannot be easily and greenfield variables with a time trend (columns 2 and 4).
verified (Berger et al., 2001). Hainz (2005) additionally argues We find that there is some convergence between banks in terms
that firms can more easily switch from distressed banks as of portfolio composition as differences between greenfield and
asymmetric information problems are lowered. Similarly, regula- domestic private banks in lending to opaque clients (column 4)
tors might ask distressed banks to reduce their lending in for- diminish with time. These findings reflect growing interest of
eign currency to reduce their currency risk. All these greenfield banks in lending to SME, brought by two main devel-
arguments lead us to suppose a positive relationship between opments: 1) fierce competition in the credit market for large cor-
bank health and the share of loans to opaque clients, at longer porations and 2) improved ability of foreign banks’ subsidiaries to
maturity and in foreign currency. finance relatively opaque SMEs (De Haas and Naaborg, 2006).
Even though greenfield banks were still less able and less willing
to engage in relationship lending, they developed other technolo-
10
We also check the robustness of results by applying the fixed effect vector
gies that helped them to overcome opaqueness of entrepreneurs,
decomposition procedure using three stage fixed effects methodology of Pluemper such as small business credit scoring, asset-based lending, or
and Troeger (2007) and our coefficients of interest remain robust. fixed assets lending. They were able to do this in the later period,
2954 H. Degryse et al. / Journal of Banking & Finance 36 (2012) 2949–2959

Table 3 3.3. Portfolio allocation: results for loans at different maturities


Borrower type: share of loans to private firms and entrepreneurs.

Private firms Private firms Entrepreneurs Entrepreneurs The results of share regressions for loan portfolios at different
(transparent) (transparent) (opaque) (3) (opaque) (4) maturities are reported in Table 4. We find that, controlling for
(1) (2) other factors, greenfield banks lend 68% more at short-term (up
Greenfield 1.644*** 1.676*** 1.802*** 2.654*** to 1 year) than domestic private banks, and this result is stable over
(0.579) (0.591) (0.547) (0.568) time. Interestingly, takeover banks grant more loans with a matu-
Takeover 0.615*** 0.092 0.743*** 0.601***
(0.111) (0.151) (0.111) (0.154)
rity of over 5 years than domestic banks, which might be due to sta-
Greenfield*trend 0.006 0.031*** ble and long-term funding due to well-developed depositor
(0.006) (0.008) network that they have inherited. This difference however becomes
Takeover*trend 0.028*** 0.005 less important as the negative coefficient on ‘‘takeover⁄trend’’ in
(0.006) (0.006)
the last column reveals. As to bank characteristics, we notice that
State-owned 0.336** 0.397** 0.549*** 0.581***
(0.155) (0.155) (0.155) (0.154) banks with a higher market share and healthy banks (measured
Costs 18.284*** 17.792*** 2.119 5.535 by capital ratios and nonperforming loan ratios) are also those that
(3.248) (3.269) (3.632) (3.686) lend long-term.
Capitalization 0.610*** 0.598*** 0.678*** 0.711***
(0.131) (0.131) (0.195) (0.195)
GDP growth 0.237 0.118 1.934* 1.655 3.4. Portfolio allocation: results for loans in foreign currency
(1.068) (1.062) (1.145) (1.141)
Inflation 2.028 1.819 14.410* 13.467*
Table 5 reports the results of our portfolio share regressions for
(6.869) (6.833) (7.495) (7.462)
Real interest 1.519 1.153 15.614** 14.729* loans in foreign currency. We find that greenfield banks offer a
rate higher share of loans in foreign currency, but there is a conver-
(7.373) (7.333) (7.895) (7.861) gence with domestic banks so that, in terms of statistical signifi-
Market share 11.126*** 11.175*** 14.767*** 12.429*** cance, the difference disappears after 2002 (model 2). There is no
(2.299) (2.301) (2.213) (2.255)
Herfindahl 11.148 10.513 0.129 0.677
difference between foreign takeover and domestic banks in their
index propensity to extend loans in foreign currency.
(7.646) (7.605) (5.738) (5.718) The higher share of foreign currency loans granted by greenfield
NPL 0.154*** 0.149*** 0.170*** 0.178*** banks might reflect their better access to international capital mar-
(0.020) (0.020) (0.023) (0.023)
kets either directly or via their parent banks. We test this hypoth-
Observations 2221 2221 1923 1923
Number of 107 107 101 101 esis by including the share of interbank liabilities with nonresident
banks banks to capture foreign funding (model 3).12 The share of inter-
Sargan-Hansen 0.643 0.639 0.231 0.215 bank liabilities is significantly positive, indicating that banks of
(p-value) any type that have higher share of their funding from nonresident
Table presents the results of Eq. (1). The dependent variable is the log-odds ratio of banks grant more loans in foreign currency as well. Importantly,
the share of loans to private firms and entrepreneurs in banks’ portfolios. The table the inclusion of this variable removes the significance of the green-
lists coefficients and standard errors (in parentheses) from a Hausman and Taylor field dummy, which suggests that greenfield banks grant more for-
(1981) regression. All independent variables except for ownership dummies are
eign currency loans only to the extent that they have a higher
lagged by one quarter. Regressions include seasonal dummies. Definitions of vari-
ables are provided in Table 1. share of foreign interbank liabilities.
*
Significance at 10% level. Among other variables, market share is significant in the share
**
Significance at 5% level. regressions, showing that larger banks have on average better ac-
***
Significance at 1% level.
cess to foreign currency liabilities, which they lend onto borrowers.
The decrease in the inflation and interest rates made lending in for-
eign currency less attractive for borrowers, diminishing the growth
as legal and accounting systems have improved, making some in these loans on average.
SMEs more transparent. 11
As to other bank-specific variables, we find that a bank de-
creases the share of loans to a specific borrower type if nonper- 4. Empirical analysis: loan rates
forming loans (NPL) in its loan portfolio for that particular
borrower type increase. Importantly, this effect is not found for 4.1. Empirical model and strategy
loans to private firms if we replace portfolio level NPLs with bank
level NPLs (for brevity, these results are not presented in the pa- Section 3 has clearly shown that the portfolio composition dif-
per). Thus, the result is driven not by the overall bank health, but fers across bank types. Therefore, we now look at the determinants
by the health of its different loan portfolios. Banks with a higher of bank lending rates to test whether there remain differences be-
market share in the Polish banking market allocate a larger fraction tween interest rates charged by banks with different ownership
of their portfolio to private firms and entrepreneurs. structure when we control for portfolio composition. Our strategy
to show that the portfolio composition effect is at work involves
three steps. First, we establish that greenfield foreign banks appear
11
New studies question the argument that large and foreign banks are not capable to charge lower lending rates if we do not control for portfolio
to lend to SMEs (Berger and Udell, 2006; de la Torre et al., 2010). The reasoning is that composition. Second, we show that Greenfield foreign banks do
latest advances in credit scoring methodologies coupled with enhanced computer
not charge different interest rates than domestic private banks
power and increased data availability make transaction lending technologies to be
well suited for funding small firms (Mester, 1997; Petersen and Rajan, 2002). This is once we control for portfolio composition. Third, we investigate
especially true when credit scores are based on the owner’s personal consumer data whether interest rates charged by Greenfield foreign banks differ
obtained from consumer credit bureaus, which is combined with data on the SME from domestic private banks within a more homogeneous set of
collected by the financial institutions. These studies still agree that small domestic borrowers, i.e. private firms and entrepreneurs.
banks have an advantage to gather and process soft information, but they argue that
large and foreign banks are also able to lend to SMEs, but using ‘‘hard’’ information-
12
based technologies. In this case, we should not observe differences in portfolio We can test this hypothesis only for a limited time period, as the data on
allocations of loans between different types of banks. interbank liabilities is reported only after 2001.
H. Degryse et al. / Journal of Banking & Finance 36 (2012) 2949–2959 2955

Table 4 ter (or 4.8% points on an annual basis), whereas takeover banks do
Loan maturity: share of loans by maturity in banks’ portfolios. not charge less than domestic banks, which serve as a benchmark.
Up to Up to Over Over Among bank specific variables, the deviation from the median non-
1 year (1) 1 year (2) 5 years (3) 5 years (4) performing loans and market share are significant and have the ex-
Greenfield 0.781** 0.585 0.692 0.701 pected signs. Banks with higher market power and higher credit
(0.382) (0.398) (0.509) (0.525) risk are more likely to charge higher lending rates.
Takeover 0.176** 0.270** 0.290** 0.725*** In line with the literature that analyzes whether benefits of for-
(0.083) (0.116) (0.129) (0.181)
Greenfield*trend 0.004 0.005
eign ownership are constant over time, we interact our takeover and
(0.004) (0.007) greenfield variables with a time trend. Our findings (column 2)
Takeover*trend 0.021*** 0.024*** show that the impact of greenfield diminishes over time, which is
(0.004) (0.007) usually interpreted as convergence between banks of different
State-owned 0.265** 0.228* 0.604*** 0.633***
types of ownership due to competition or changes in portfolio com-
(0.119) (0.118) (0.179) (0.179)
Costs 2.112 3.316 5.278 5.003 position.13 Our results corroborate previous finding in the literature
(2.467) (2.488) (4.620) (4.674) and, hence, we are confident that our data reflect the situation in
Capitalization 0.499*** 0.497*** 0.843*** 0.844*** developing and transition countries and do not just deal with a partic-
(0.094) (0.094) (0.145) (0.146) ular Polish case (Martinez Peria and Mody, 2004; Claeys and Hainz,
GDP growth 1.105 1.255 1.440 1.332
2007).
(0.809) (0.803) (1.284) (1.281)
Inflation 2.729 3.297 9.174 8.715 As mentioned earlier, the disadvantage of the above empirical
(5.284) (5.241) (8.214) (8.195) specification is the possibility of an omitted variable due to the
Real interest rate 4.325 5.178 10.866 10.010 non-inclusion of information on borrower type. Such bias does
(5.642) (5.597) (8.775) (8.756)
not allow us to pinpoint the real reasons for lower lending rates
Market share 6.263** 7.801*** 20.020*** 18.079***
(2.504) (2.512) (3.718) (3.739) of greenfield banks, i.e., their superior performance or their portfo-
Herfindahl index 3.666 4.114 3.381 3.947 lio composition targeted to more transparent borrowers. Our first
(5.426) (5.383) (8.457) (8.439) step to remedy this omitted variable problem is to augment model
NPL 0.071*** 0.069*** 0.135*** 0.138*** (2) by the share of transparent and opaque borrowers in banks’
(0.018) (0.018) (0.028) (0.028)
portfolio into our baseline regression. We further control for matu-
Observations 2241 2241 2100 2100
Number of banks 108 108 108 108 rity and currency composition of banks’ portfolios as those may
Sargan–Hansen (p- 0.764 0.616 0.943 0.801 also determine average lending rates. The results, presented in col-
value) umn 3 of Table 6, clearly indicate that the impact of bank owner-
Table presents the results of Eq. (1). The dependent variable is the log-odds ratio of ship and foreign banks’ mode of entry disappears: average
the share of loans with maturity up to 1 year (models 1 and 2) and over 5 years lending rates between banks are no longer statistically different.
(models 3 and 4) in banks’ portfolios. The table lists coefficients and standard errors It seems, therefore, that the previous findings suffered from the
(in parentheses) from a Hausman and Taylor (1981) regression. All independent omitted variable bias, which rendered some of the ownership vari-
variables except for ownership dummies are lagged by one quarter. Regressions
include seasonal dummies. Definitions of variables are provided in Table 1.
ables significant.
*
Significance at 10% level. As expected, banks with a higher share of transparent borrow-
**
Significance at 5% level. ers and a lower share of opaque borrowers exhibit lower lending
***
Significance at 1% level. rates. Banks with a higher share of foreign currency loans also
demonstrate, on average, lower interest rates, whereas loans at
longer maturities are priced more expensively.14,15 Thus, the ob-
We expect to find that the lower loan rates of foreign banks, re- served earlier lower lending rates of greenfield banks are rather ex-
ported in Martinez Peria and Mody (2004) and Claeys and Hainz plained by their propensity to extend loans to transparent firms, in
(2007), are driven by the portfolio composition. To identify the
importance of portfolio composition on lending rates, and for com-
parability with previous studies, we first estimate a baseline lend- 13
We also use a Koyck transformation that allows computing long-term coefficients
ing rate model with specification similar to these earlier studies. In by assuming that in the distributed lag model that the effect of explanatory variable
this specification, we use lending rate for all borrowers as a depen- diminishes as the lag gets larger. The obtained result is that the long-term effect of
greenfield and takeover dummy variables is zero which is compatible with our
dent variable and examine the effect of bank ownership and mode results.
of entry on the lending rate for an average borrower, controlling for 14
The theoretical impact of loan maturity on cost of credit is ambiguous as it
bank characteristics, macroeconomic environment and market reflects two opposite effects. A borrower that issues short-term debt can face costly
structure. liquidations at expiration which motivates it to opt for longer-term debt. At the same
time, lenders prefer to give short term loans because of agency problems, such as
To be more formal, we estimate the following empirical model:
asset substitution and underinvestment. As a result, borrowers are willing to incur
and lenders demand higher lending rates for loans with longer maturity. Alterna-
Lit ¼ a0 þ a1 Ownershipit1 þ a2 Bankcharacteristicsit1 tively, lenders might ration credit to risky borrowers and force them to take short-
þ a3 Macrot1 þ a4 MarketStructureit1 þ Seasont þ eit ; ð2Þ term loans, which would decrease average lending rates on long-term loans.
Empirical evidence supports both hypotheses for corporate loans and bonds
(Gottesman and Roberts, 2004; Helwege and Turner, 1999). For an individual firm,
where the variables are as defined before (see Tables 1 and 2) ex-
the spread typically increases with maturity, reflecting greater uncertainty. At the
cept for Lit , the lending rate of bank i during quarter t, and same time, safer firms tend to issue longer-dated bonds or have access to long-term
MarketStructureit , which includes variables that control for market bank credit, which causes the average spread to decline with maturity.
15
concentration and market power (Herfindahl Index and Market Other explanatory variables have the expected sign. Riskier loans are more
Share). expensive, banks with a higher market share charge higher lending rates, macroeco-
nomic environment with higher inflation and interest rates leads to higher lending
rates. Banks with higher costs charge lower lending rates which appears to contradict
4.2. Results for the average bank lending rate earlier studies that find a positive impact of higher costs. It should be noted that
earlier studies considered cost-ratio to be exogenous, while we treat it as an
endogenous variable. If we consider cost-ratio to be exogenous, its impact is no longer
The results of estimating model (2) applied to the entire bank’s statistically significant. Thus, the previously found positive association is likely due to
portfolio are presented in the first column of Table 6. We find that the fact that loans with higher interest rates are also those that demand more
greenfield banks charge their borrowers 1.2% points less per quar- administrative costs.
2956 H. Degryse et al. / Journal of Banking & Finance 36 (2012) 2949–2959

Table 5 foreign banks is not an important determinant of lending rates


Foreign currency: share of loan portfolio in foreign currency. for both groups of borrowers. We additionally find that state-
Share of Share of Share of Share of owned banks offer lower lending rates to private firms and
foreign foreign foreign foreign entrepreneurs (columns 1 and 3). Annualized, the difference
currency currency currency currency amounts to 3.2% points, and is both statistically and economi-
loans (1) loans (2) loans (3) loans (4)
cally significant.16 Lower lending rates of state-owned banks are
Greenfield 0.985* 1.825*** 1.008 0.344 consistent with the idea that these banks are less influenced by
(0.519) (0.535) (2.569) (1.778)
Takeover 0.089 0.067 1.854 1.372
profit considerations than private banks and provide subsidized
(0.148) (0.194) (2.895) (1.939) loans. In line with our previous results, a higher share of foreign
Greenfield*trend 0.042*** 0.024 currency loans has a negative impact on average lending rates
(0.006) (0.019) for both private firms and entrepreneurs, whereas long-term loans
Takeover*trend 0.008 0.057***
are more expensive.
(0.007) (0.020)
State-owned 0.184 0.148 2.355 0.113 Our findings show that time does not play an important role
(0.191) (0.190) (2.907) (1.837) and even after many years of operations lending rates of foreign
Costs 15.881*** 20.793*** 9.321 4.980 banks are not different from those of domestic private banks. Our
(5.203) (5.189) (8.523) (8.620) results are robust to different specifications of variables accounting
Capitalization 0.538*** 0.400*** 0.808*** 0.830***
for time dynamics. For example, to check the stability of our results
(0.138) (0.138) (0.189) (0.189)
GDP growth 0.868 1.145 5.002* 4.723* we split the sample into early and later period, use bank age and an
(1.267) (1.250) (2.741) (2.821) interaction variable between age and foreign bank dummies. Our
Inflation 17.771** 16.892** 18.905 21.574 results remain the same and we do not find any age or time dy-
(8.194) (8.085) (12.575) (14.056)
namic effects. These results are not reported in the paper for brev-
Real interest 16.584* 15.778* 30.863** 33.155**
rate ity, but are available upon request.
(8.782) (8.665) (13.210) (13.882) Our results are contrary to the existing literature, which
Market share 12.283*** 11.974*** 9.266** 13.749*** shows that lending rates of greenfield banks converge in time
(3.380) (3.409) (4.419) (4.671) with lending rates of other banks, interpreted as convergence
Herfindahl 17.541** 18.139** 91.685*** 78.350***
in performance. In contrast, we attest to the changing portfolio
index
(8.480) (8.368) (21.600) (28.201) composition of foreign banks. As greenfield banks increase the
NPL 0.060** 0.080*** 0.038 0.029 share of their loans to entrepreneurs and domestic banks extend
(0.025) (0.025) (0.042) (0.044) more loans in foreign currency, we observe a convergence in
Interbank 1.539*** 1.465***
portfolio composition. Consequently, this has contributed to the
liabilities
(0.458) (0.455)
convergence in interest rates over the analyzed period, but this
Observations 1730 1730 617 617 is purely a portfolio composition effect. It should be noted that
Number of 92 92 47 47 we do not argue that greenfield banks have the same level of
banks efficiency as other types of banks. In fact, greenfield banks ap-
Sargan–Hansen 0.113 0.125 0.339 0.152
pear to be more efficient than other banks even after controlling
(p-value)
for portfolio composition (results not reported in the paper due
Table presents the results of Eq. (1). The dependent variable is the log-odds ratio of to space constraints). However, their superior efficiency is not
the share of loans in foreign currency in banks’ portfolios. The table lists coefficients
passed onto customers but rather gives these banks larger scope
and standard errors (in parentheses) from a Hausman and Taylor (1981) regression.
All independent variables except for ownership dummies are lagged by one quarter. to extract rents from borrowers, contributing to higher
Regressions include seasonal dummies. Definitions of variables are provided in profitability.
Table 1.
*
Significance at 10% level.
**
Significance at 5% level. 5. Findings for domestic banks
***
Significance at 1% level.
We have seen so far that foreign banks have a different portfolio
composition than domestic private institutions. However, the en-
foreign currency and their unwillingness to lend long-term. Our re- try of foreign banks influences the supply of loans not only directly
sults also hold if we account for the dynamic effects (column 4): we via lending by these banks, but also indirectly by influencing the
find no evidence of convergence in foreign bank’s interest rates. We behavior of domestic institutions. For example, higher competition
presume that convergence in lending rates observed in earlier stud- in the market for transparent borrowers would induce domestic
ies and in column 2 of Table 6 stems from convergence in portfolio banks to lend more to opaque clients. At the same time, if green-
composition. field banks cherry pick the best borrowers, the quality of loan port-
folios of domestic banks could deteriorate.
From the perspective of public policy, it is not important if for-
4.3. Lending rate: results for borrower types
eign banks prefer to target more transparent clients as long as
domestic banks continue to lend to SMEs (Detragiache et al.,
To further test the impact of portfolio composition on loan
2008). Dell’Ariccia and Marquez (2004) predict that the entry of
rates, we estimate model (2) separately for bank’s portfolios of pri-
foreign banks leads to a segregation, where foreign bank lend to
vate firms and entrepreneurs. This allows us to remove from our
transparent borrowers whereas domestic banks increase their sup-
estimations all portfolio composition effects and to observe the
ply of loans to opaque and risky clients in the wake of foreign bank
pure effect of bank ownership and mode of entry on lending rates
entry.
to those two groups of borrower types.
We present our results for transparent borrowers—private
16
firms—in columns 1 and 2 of Table 7 and for opaque The results presented in Table 6 show that the difference between lending rates
charged by state-owned banks and domestic private banks is even larger if portfolio
ones—entrepreneurs—in columns 3 and 4 of Table 7. We also composition is not accounted for. This earlier result is explained by a much larger
control for potential effects of maturity and foreign currency. propensity of state-owned banks to grant loans to state-owned firms at very low
Our results (columns 1 and 3) show that the mode of entry of interest rates.
H. Degryse et al. / Journal of Banking & Finance 36 (2012) 2949–2959 2957

Table 6 Table 7
Average bank lending rate. Loan rates to borrower types – private firms and entrepreneurs.

Lending Lending Lending Lending Private firms Private firms Entrepreneurs Entrepreneurs
rate (1) rate (2) rate (3) rate (4) (transparent) (transparent) (opaque) (3) (opaque) (4)
(1) (2)
Greenfield 0.012* 0.015** 0.001 0.006
(0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.008) Greenfield 0.007 0.009 0.002 0.015
Takeover 0.003 0.004 0.002 0.002 (0.007) (0.007) (0.006) (0.010)
(0.002) (0.003) (0.002) (0.003) Takeover 0.005 0.008 0.006 0.004
Greenfield*trend 0.000*** 0.000 (0.003) (0.007) (0.004) (0.006)
(0.000) (0.000) Greenfield*trend 0.000 0.000
Takeover*trend 0.000** 0.000 (0.000) (0.000)
(0.000) (0.000) Takeover*trend 0.000 0.000
State-owned 0.027*** 0.028*** 0.026*** 0.027*** (0.000) (0.000)
(0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) State-owned 0.008* 0.007** 0.008* 0.016***
Costs 0.181** 0.250*** 0.288*** 0.338*** (0.004) (0.003) (0.005) (0.005)
(0.088) (0.089) (0.064) (0.064) Costs 0.031 0.022 0.145 0.015
Capitalization 0.019*** 0.018*** 0.021*** 0.017*** (0.094) (0.083) (0.119) (0.133)
(0.002) (0.002) (0.003) (0.002) Capitalization 0.010*** 0.009*** 0.028*** 0.026***
GDP growth 0.023 0.002 0.025 0.000 (0.003) (0.001) (0.006) (0.007)
(0.022) (0.022) (0.022) (0.021) GDP growth 0.005 0.006 0.014 0.034
Inflation 0.337*** 0.156*** 0.330*** 0.114** (0.028) (0.026) (0.038) (0.042)
(0.043) (0.047) (0.042) (0.045) Inflation 0.634*** 0.643*** 0.187 0.367
Real interest rate 0.441*** 0.282*** 0.525*** 0.338*** (0.182) (0.181) (0.248) (0.275)
(0.045) (0.048) (0.045) (0.047) Real interest 0.723*** 0.730*** 0.203 0.360
Market share 0.208*** 0.227*** 0.135* 0.140** rate
(0.074) (0.072) (0.072) (0.069) (0.195) (0.194) (0.261) (0.290)
Herfindahl index 0.153** 0.095 0.225*** 0.050 Market share 0.035 0.045 0.043 0.001
(0.065) (0.070) (0.063) (0.067) (0.064) (0.064) (0.071) (0.080)
NPL 0.012*** 0.013*** 0.011*** 0.011*** Herfindahl 0.130 0.125 0.115 0.128
(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) index
FX loans 0.024*** 0.031*** (0.202) (0.202) (0.189) (0.211)
(0.004) (0.004) NPL 0.007*** 0.007*** 0.010*** 0.008***
Short-term loans 0.002 0.005 (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001)
(0.004) (0.004) FX loans 0.027*** 0.027*** 0.028*** 0.030***
Long-term loans 0.044*** 0.056*** (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.006)
(0.005) (0.005) Short-term 0.006 0.006 0.012** 0.019***
Share private 0.017*** 0.016*** loans
(0.005) (0.005) (0.004) (0.004) (0.005) (0.006)
Share entrepreneur 0.032*** 0.016** Long-term loans 0.010* 0.008 0.034*** 0.031***
(0.008) (0.008) (0.006) (0.006) (0.008) (0.009)
Observations 2271 2271 2271 2271 Observations 2233 2233 1903 1903
Number of banks 110 110 110 110 Number of 108 108 102 102
Sargan–Hansen (p- 0.419 0.524 0.135 0.156 banks
value) Sargan–Hansen 0.135 0.157 0.456 0.463
(p-value)
Table presents the results of Eq. (2). The dependent variable is the bank-specific
average lending rate. The table lists coefficients and standard errors (in parenthe- Table presents the results of Eq. (2). The dependent variable is the bank-specific
ses) from Hausman and Taylor (1981) regression. All independent variables except interest rate on loans to private firms (columns 1 and 2) and entrepreneurs (col-
for ownership dummies are lagged by one quarter. Regressions include seasonal umns 3 and 4). The table lists coefficients and standard errors (in parentheses) from
dummies. Definitions of variables are provided in Table 1. Hausman and Taylor (1981) regression. Herfindahl Index, Market Share, FX loans,
*
Significance at 10% level. Short-term loans and Long-term loans are calculated for each borrower type. All
**
Significance at 5% level. independent variables except for ownership dummies are lagged by one quarter.
***
Significance at 1% level. Regressions include seasonal dummies. Definitions of variables are provided in
Table 1.
*
Significance at 10% level.
**
Significance at 5% level.
***
Significance at 1% level.
Even though the above theoretical model does not account for
the mode of foreign bank entry, it implies that the above segrega-
tion effect should be present in the wake of greenfield bank entry.  
Pit
The results for takeover banks are more ambiguous and depend on ln ¼ d0 þ d1 Stateit1 þ d2 Sharegreenfieldt1
the fact whether inheriting existing loan portfolios and personnel 1  Pit
allows them to enjoy information advantages similar to domestic þ d3 Sharetakeov ert1
banks or whether their willingness to rely on ‘‘soft’’ information þ d4 Bankcharacteristicsit1 þ d5 Macrot1
decreases. In the first case, takeover and domestic private banks
become direct competitors, which might have negative effects þ Seasont þ eit ; ð3Þ
(since they would compete in the same markets but foreign banks
Then we look at the nonperforming loans:
would have a cost advantage) but also positive spillover effects. In
the second case, acquisition of banks by foreign investors should NPLit ¼ c0 þ c1 stateit1 þ c2 Share greenfieldt1
have a segregation effect similar to the entry of greenfield banks
and induce the remaining domestic banks to lend more to opaque þ c3 Share takeov er t1 þ c4 Bank characteristicst1
borrowers. þ c5 Macrot1 þ Seasont þ eit ; ð4Þ
To test these hypotheses, we analyze the impact of foreign bank
entry on the supply of loans and portfolio quality of domestic where in all regressions Share greenfieldt is the share of greenfield
banks. To this end, we estimate two models on the subsample of and Share takeovert is the share of takeover banks in the total bank-
domestic banks. First, we analyze the portfolio shares: ing loans at quarter t, and the other variables are as defined above.
2958 H. Degryse et al. / Journal of Banking & Finance 36 (2012) 2949–2959

Table 8
Domestic banks: share of loans to private firms and entrepreneurs.

Share private (1) Share entrepreneurs (2) NPL private (3) NPL entrepreneurs (4)
*** **
Share greenfield 4.808 3.189 13.672 11.223***
(3.425) (1.207) (5.771) (2.185)
Share takeover 0.617*** 0.635*** 0.693** 0.155
(0.169) (0.191) (0.289) (0.351)
State-owned 0.142 0.283** 0.809*** 0.648**
(0.164) (0.143) (0.279) (0.262)
Costs 16.474** 30.464*** 46.719*** 7.637
(7.728) (5.982) (12.391) (11.007)
Capitalization 1.721*** 0.551** 0.450 0.194
(0.253) (0.223) (0.427) (0.410)
GDP growth 1.122 3.723*** 4.813** 1.194
(1.346) (1.133) (2.250) (2.085)
Inflation 14.122*** 6.997*** 10.642** 0.750
(2.706) (2.343) (4.623) (4.309)
Real interest rate 14.760*** 10.077*** 9.643* 3.167
(3.106) (2.535) (5.282) (4.665)
Market share 13.594*** 12.913*** 1.486 21.063***
(2.331) (3.879) (3.989) (7.091)
Herfindahl index 11.913* 1.651 20.771* 1.215
(6.726) (2.913) (11.374) (5.360)
NPL 0.145*** 0.077***
(0.022) (0.021)
Observations 837 837 837 837
Number of banks 56 56 56 56
R-squared 0.20 0.18 0.06 0.06

Table presents the results of Eq. (3).The dependent variable is the log-odds ratio of the share of loans to private firms (column 1) and entrepreneurs (column 2) in domestic
banks’ portfolios, and the ratio of nonperforming loans to total loans for private firms (column 3) and entrepreneurs (column 4), calculated as a deviation from the median.
The table lists coefficients and standard errors (in parentheses) from regressions estimated with bank fixed effects with robust standard errors clustered on banks. All
independent variables except for ownership dummy are lagged by one quarter. Regressions include seasonal dummies. Definitions of variables are provided in Table 1.
*
Significance at 10% level.
**
Significance at 5% level.
***
Significance at 1% level.

These regressions are estimated relying on fixed effect estima- controlling for the loan allocation to borrowers with different de-
tion which becomes possible because all explanatory variables grees of informational transparency, as well as by maturities and
are time-variant. Results presented in Table 8 show that the entry currencies. Earlier studies have documented lower lending rates
of greenfield foreign banks encourages domestic banks to increase and spreads of foreign entrants, which might stem from their supe-
the share of entrepreneurs in their portfolios. Moreover, their port- rior efficiency (‘‘performance hypothesis’’), but also reflect borrower
folios become riskier for both transparent and opaque borrowers. informational capture (‘‘portfolio composition hypothesis’’). Our re-
Such results suggest that greenfield banks are able to attract safest sults are in line with the theoretical models underpinning the port-
borrowers, forcing domestic banks to refocus their lending to risk- folio composition hypothesis, showing that informational capture
ier firms, which were probably turned down by foreign lenders determines bank credit allocation and lending rates (see e.g.,
who possess superior screening techniques (Claeys and Hainz, Dell’Ariccia and Marquez, 2004; Sengupta, 2007).
2007). This is consistent with a segregation effect of Dell’Ariccia Our main results can be summarized as follows. First, we show
and Marquez (2004). that the mode of entry is a very important determinant of foreign
The effect of foreign bank entry via acquisition of domestic banks’ portfolio composition. Greenfield banks devote a smaller
banks has a distinctly different effect. First, they induce the share of their loan portfolio to opaque firms than domestic banks,
remaining domestic banks to lend less to both large firms and whereas this effect is not found for foreign banks that have ac-
entrepreneurs. Having shown earlier that takeover banks them- quired existing domestic banks. We further find that over time
selves devote a smaller share their portfolios to these borrowers, greenfield banks shifted towards more opaque borrowers. These
we can conclude that we observe a certain convergence between results are consistent with theories arguing that greenfield banks
these banks. At the same time, the entry of foreign takeover banks have comparative disadvantages in lending to opaque borrowers
decreases the riskiness of domestic banks’ portfolios, which can be using soft information initially, but over time they also become pri-
interpreted as positive spillovers with respect to lending tech- vately informed and start servicing small enterprises.
niques, loan monitoring or risk management. The fact that the ob- Second, greenfield banks extend more loans in foreign currency,
served improvement concerns only loans to private firms suggests even though this effect disappears after controlling for their better
that domestic banks lending to entrepreneurs might rely mostly on access to foreign currency funding in international capital markets.
relationship lending. Moreover, greenfield banks extend less loans at longer maturities,
which may reflect their short-term commitment to host econo-
6. Conclusions mies. Furthermore, we provide some evidence of convergence be-
tween greenfield and private banks in terms of currency
Using a unique dataset with detailed information on banks’ composition but not in terms of loan maturity. There is no robust
portfolios, we explore how foreign bank entry determines credit evidence that foreign banks that have entered via acquisitions pre-
allocation and lending rates in emerging markets. In particular, fer to lend short-term or in foreign currency.
using a dataset from Poland, we investigate the impact of the mode Having controlled for these portfolio composition effects, lend-
of foreign entry—greenfield and takeover—on banks’ lending rates ing rates charged by foreign entrants – greenfield and takeover – to
H. Degryse et al. / Journal of Banking & Finance 36 (2012) 2949–2959 2959

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