Market & Credit Risk Model

Development &Validation
Bank BNI
21-22 October 2014

prepared by
Benny K. Yudiaatmaja, FRM
www.variskindo.com & http://apps.variskindo.com
m
Credit Scoring
Characteristic Min ML Max
Age 20 35 60
Income 1 5 50 175
Calculate
47%
Borrower Random Age Random Income Age Income Default
1 0.1165 28 0.0844 5 65 53 1
2 0.2850 33 0.5229 18 82 94 0
3 0.8398 47 0.1674 7 99 60 1 100%
4 0.8610 48 0.4395 15 99 85 0 90%
5 0.0285 24 0.2929 11 44 71 1
6 0.9915 57 0.4140 14 81 83 1 80%
7 0.6906 42 0.8406 31 99 139 0
8 0.4635 37 0.9012 35 91 152 0 70%
9 0.0951 28 0.3114 11 61 73 1 60%

Percent of Default
10 0.7101 43 0.8099 30 99 133 0
11 0.7312 44 0.5330 18 100 95 0 50%
12 0.1231 29 0.0723 5 66 52 1
13 0.8968 50 0.8244 30 97 136 0 40%
14 0.0612 26 0.3226 11 54 74 1 30%
15 0.7848 45 0.3368 12 100 75 0
16 0.5163 38 0.1752 7 94 61 1 20%
17 0.4208 36 0.2453 9 89 67 1
10%
18 0.9388 52 0.6586 23 93 110 0
19 0.9802 56 0.7370 26 86 121 0 0%
20 0.1434 29 0.8894 34 68 149 0
21 0.6044 40 0.2676 10 97 69 1 2%4%6%8%10% %%
1 2 14 1
22 0.1288 29 0.1735 7 66 61 1
23 0.5771 39 0.2489 9 96 67 1
24 0.7778 45 0.0311 3 100 48 1
25 0.8807 49 0.3575 12 98 77 1
26 0.1202 28 0.2540 9 65 68 1
27 0.3959 35 0.1319 6 88 57 1 25
28 0.3531 35 0.8331 31 86 137 0 82%
29 0.3851 35 0.5047 17 88 92 0
30 0.2392 32 0.3146 11 78 73 1 PD By
31 0.1140 28 0.9923 46 64 187 0 10
32 0.9455 53 0.1297 6 93 57 1 100%
33 0.5030 38 0.8630 33 93 143 0
34 0.4035 36 0.2303 9 89 65 1 Age
35 0.3381 34 0.5738 19 85 100 0 25-40
36 0.3152 34 0.5082 17 84 92 0 40-50
37 0.4735 37 0.2360 9 92 66 1 >50
38 0.9543 53 0.6253 21 91 106 0
39 0.0204 23 0.3474 12 41 76 1 Income
40 0.8691 49 0.4419 15 98 85 0 <=20
41 0.8353 47 0.3026 11 99 72 1 >20
42 0.9679 54 0.3996 14 89 81 1
43 0.8509 48 0.9752 43 99 176 0 %Data
44 0.4848 37 0.8145 30 92 134 0 2%
45 0.1839 31 0.1426 7 73 58 1 4%
46 0.0309 24 0.3618 12 45 78 1 6%
47 0.8161 46 0.1046 6 100 55 1 8%
48 0.4988 38 0.6216 21 93 106 0 10%
49 0.5053 38 0.7901 28 93 130 0 12%
50 0.7554 44 0.8232 30 100 136 0 14%
51 0.7789 45 0.6460 22 100 109 0 16%
52 0.9500 53 0.3038 11 92 72 1 18%
53 0.1051 28 0.8642 33 63 143 0 20%
54 0.7832 45 0.9833 44 100 180 0 22%
55 0.0052 22 0.6607 23 31 111 1 24%
56 0.8392 47 0.8817 34 99 147 0 26%
57 0.0492 25 0.1851 8 51 62 1 28%
58 0.2368 32 0.2518 9 78 67 1 30%
59 0.5375 38 0.7633 27 95 125 0 32%
60 0.3124 34 0.5112 17 84 93 0 34%
61 0.9310 52 0.1609 7 94 60 1 36%
62 0.1151 28 0.5689 19 64 99 1 38%
63 0.4440 36 0.3549 12 91 77 1 40%
64 0.9496 53 0.7370 26 92 121 0 42%
65 0.1753 30 0.9188 37 72 156 0 44%
66 0.9386 52 0.7674 27 93 126 0 46%
67 0.5910 40 0.0425 4 97 49 1 48%
68 0.2129 31 0.3126 11 76 73 1 50%
69 0.1866 31 0.0828 5 73 53 1 52%
70 0.3770 35 0.1133 6 87 56 1 54%
71 0.1793 30 0.2844 10 73 70 1 56%
72 0.8341 47 0.8403 31 99 139 0 58%
73 0.8057 46 0.0640 5 100 52 1 60%
74 0.0808 27 0.2929 11 58 71 1 62%
75 0.4163 36 0.3511 12 89 76 1 64%
76 0.6597 42 0.1730 7 98 61 1 66%
77 0.0502 25 0.8257 30 51 136 0 68%
78 0.9734 55 0.3591 12 88 77 1 70%
79 0.0449 25 0.2395 9 50 66 1 72%
80 0.0344 25 0.9544 40 46 167 0 74%
81 0.4003 36 0.6111 21 88 104 0 76%
82 0.8121 46 0.0140 3 100 45 1 78%
83 0.3639 35 0.6719 23 87 112 0 80%
84 0.3903 35 0.4949 17 88 91 0 82%
85 0.1115 28 0.5633 19 64 99 1 84%
86 0.1158 28 0.9853 44 64 181 0 86%
87 0.1116 28 0.7265 25 64 120 0 88%
88 0.0648 26 0.6374 22 55 108 1 90%
89 0.4173 36 0.3243 11 89 74 1 92%
90 0.7266 43 0.6847 24 100 114 0 94%
91 0.8982 50 0.5347 18 97 95 0 96%
92 0.7367 44 0.9470 39 100 165 0 98%
93 0.8479 48 0.1717 7 99 60 1 100%
94 0.6299 41 0.2503 9 98 67 1
95 0.2387 32 0.2919 10 78 71 1
96 0.2773 33 0.8976 35 81 151 0
97 0.6657 42 0.5409 18 99 96 0
98 0.1996 31 0.6487 22 75 109 0 700
99 0.6904 42 0.6141 21 99 105 0
100 0.4413 36 0.5233 18 90 94 0
600
101 0.2455 32 0.9941 46 79 188 0
102 0.5528 39 0.9225 37 95 157 0
103 0.4437 36 0.1331 6 91 57 1 500
104 0.0864 27 0.6270 21 59 106 1

Score Distribution
105 0.2085 31 0.8597 32 76 143 0
400
106 0.6466 41 0.0417 4 98 49 1
107 0.1786 30 0.5433 18 73 96 1
108 0.3053 34 0.3352 12 83 75 1 300
109 0.0254 24 0.3599 12 43 77 1
110 0.4260 36 0.3709 13 90 78 1 200
111 0.2173 31 0.2661 10 76 69 1
112 0.2095 31 0.9476 39 76 165 0
100
113 0.5316 38 0.3519 12 94 77 1
114 0.7602 45 0.0179 3 100 46 1
115 0.9589 54 0.2169 8 91 64 1 0
116 0.4260 36 0.1550 7 90 59 1 72-91
117 0.1728 30 0.0444 4 72 50 1
118 0.2921 33 0.8946 35 82 150 0
119 0.2122 31 0.4591 15 76 87 1
120 0.5038 38 0.4915 17 93 91 0 Score
121 0.0810 27 0.3265 11 58 74 1 72-91
122 0.8383 47 0.6995 24 99 116 0 91-110
123 0.2292 32 0.0649 5 77 52 1 110-129
124 0.5582 39 0.9894 45 95 184 0 129-148
125 0.6486 41 0.9156 36 98 155 0 148-167
126 0.6866 42 0.9749 43 99 176 0 167-186
127 0.0864 27 0.6698 23 59 112 1
128 0.3374 34 0.6356 22 85 107 0
129 0.1827 30 0.4086 14 73 82 1
130 0.2751 33 0.2494 9 81 67 1
131 0.5528 39 0.3961 14 95 81 0
132 0.9977 58 0.4256 14 77 84 1
133 0.6926 42 0.0118 3 99 45 1
134 0.4775 37 0.3030 11 92 72 1
135 0.4820 37 0.7302 26 92 120 0
136 0.9374 52 0.4436 15 94 86 0
137 0.6638 42 0.4302 15 99 84 0
138 0.7017 43 0.5981 20 99 103 0
139 0.1414 29 0.1737 7 68 61 1
140 0.9482 53 0.1248 6 92 57 1
141 0.2644 33 0.9695 42 80 173 0
142 0.0663 26 0.0162 3 55 46 1
143 0.0001 20 0.9045 35 22 153 1
144 0.5995 40 0.8939 35 97 150 0
145 0.3597 35 0.8638 33 86 143 0
146 0.3304 34 0.7574 27 85 124 0
147 0.4434 36 0.5286 18 91 95 0
148 0.1490 29 0.0874 5 69 54 1
149 0.2825 33 0.0813 5 82 53 1
150 0.2196 31 0.7621 27 77 125 0
151 0.0782 27 0.8737 33 58 146 0
152 0.3062 34 0.3676 13 83 78 1
153 0.5202 38 0.5122 17 94 93 0
154 0.2039 31 0.5210 18 75 94 1
155 0.6285 41 0.8230 30 98 135 0
156 0.2614 33 0.6482 22 80 109 0
157 0.5343 38 0.2475 9 94 67 1
158 0.1671 30 0.8503 32 71 141 0
159 0.8928 50 0.6991 24 97 116 0
160 0.1714 30 0.8858 34 72 148 0
161 0.1930 31 0.2706 10 74 69 1
162 0.6362 41 0.7311 26 98 120 0
163 0.3831 35 0.4926 17 88 91 0
164 0.3283 34 0.0584 4 85 51 1
165 0.7822 45 0.3798 13 100 79 0
166 0.9549 53 0.8748 33 91 146 0
167 0.3805 35 0.6457 22 87 109 0
168 0.9678 54 0.0668 5 89 52 1
169 0.7226 43 0.6977 24 100 116 0
170 0.2696 33 0.5133 17 81 93 1
171 0.2758 33 0.1441 7 81 58 1
172 0.2806 33 0.0997 5 81 55 1
173 0.4675 37 0.3610 12 92 77 1
174 0.4583 37 0.6715 23 91 112 0
175 0.7819 45 0.0779 5 100 53 1
176 0.9656 54 0.1789 7 89 61 1
177 0.8712 49 0.0223 3 98 47 1
178 0.2987 33 0.8413 31 83 139 0
179 0.7882 45 0.2837 10 100 70 1
180 0.1059 28 0.8901 34 63 149 0
181 0.8170 46 0.1610 7 100 60 1
182 0.7113 43 0.5456 18 99 97 0
183 0.9262 51 0.0161 3 95 46 1
184 0.0080 22 0.2010 8 33 63 1
185 0.2119 31 0.7689 27 76 126 0
186 0.5976 40 0.0132 3 97 45 1
187 0.4685 37 0.1725 7 92 61 1
188 0.9783 55 0.7665 27 86 126 0
189 0.0423 25 0.5417 18 49 96 1
190 0.0280 24 0.8954 35 44 150 0
191 0.7734 45 0.5312 18 100 95 0
192 0.0499 25 0.0964 5 51 54 1
193 0.1601 30 0.3744 13 70 79 1
194 0.7913 46 0.7655 27 100 126 0
195 0.7636 45 0.8661 33 100 144 0
196 0.9021 50 0.7243 25 97 119 0
197 0.9888 57 0.7163 25 83 118 0
198 0.1664 30 0.6826 24 71 114 0
199 0.0882 27 0.1907 8 60 62 1
200 0.0613 26 0.8451 32 54 140 0
201 0.4937 37 0.4512 15 93 86 0
202 0.9978 59 0.7279 26 77 120 0
203 0.4193 36 0.4692 16 89 88 0
204 0.4559 37 0.7356 26 91 121 0
205 0.7255 43 0.7966 29 100 131 0
206 0.2308 32 0.5913 20 78 102 0
207 0.2591 32 0.7632 27 80 125 0
208 0.3798 35 0.4473 15 87 86 1
209 0.0282 24 0.6513 22 44 109 1
210 0.3395 34 0.6424 22 85 108 0
211 0.9862 56 0.2263 9 84 65 1
212 0.4325 36 0.1943 8 90 62 1
213 0.2136 31 0.6240 21 76 106 0
214 0.9380 52 0.3411 12 93 76 1
215 0.6403 41 0.9994 49 98 196 0
216 0.2263 32 0.4386 15 77 85 1
217 0.0292 24 0.4653 16 45 88 1
218 0.4689 37 0.4846 16 92 90 0
219 0.3366 34 0.8173 30 85 134 0
220 0.3432 34 0.6542 22 85 110 0
221 0.0416 25 0.8359 31 49 138 0
222 0.1170 28 0.7396 26 65 122 0
223 0.0937 27 0.5553 19 61 98 1
224 0.3564 35 0.2314 9 86 66 1
225 0.8252 47 0.1278 6 100 57 1
226 0.5397 39 0.8021 29 95 132 0
227 0.4682 37 0.7071 25 92 117 0
228 0.0256 24 0.8472 32 43 140 0
229 0.6650 42 0.8688 33 99 144 0
230 0.5420 39 0.8876 34 95 149 0
231 0.5520 39 0.8046 29 95 132 0
232 0.7116 43 0.6502 22 99 109 0
233 0.1964 31 0.6532 22 74 110 0
234 0.0659 26 0.2666 10 55 69 1
235 0.8346 47 0.4262 14 99 84 0
236 0.8380 47 0.2308 9 99 66 1
237 0.9687 54 0.7508 27 89 123 0
238 0.9478 53 0.2950 11 92 71 1
239 0.3505 35 0.4027 14 86 81 1
240 0.7441 44 0.6692 23 100 112 0
241 0.7799 45 0.2461 9 100 67 1
242 0.2559 32 0.8636 33 80 143 0
243 0.3006 33 0.4347 15 83 85 1
244 0.9283 52 0.9156 36 95 155 0
245 0.6842 42 0.3536 12 99 77 0
246 0.0300 24 0.4576 15 45 87 1
247 0.1098 28 0.6082 21 64 104 1
248 0.1657 30 0.5136 17 71 93 1
249 0.1564 30 0.3541 12 70 77 1
250 0.9951 58 0.7402 26 79 122 0
251 0.4143 36 0.7105 25 89 117 0
252 0.2484 32 0.9559 40 79 168 0
253 0.6983 43 0.3859 13 99 80 0
254 0.3245 34 0.6520 22 84 110 0
255 0.1369 29 0.5993 20 67 103 1
256 0.8083 46 0.1793 7 100 61 1
257 0.1795 30 0.5206 17 73 94 1
258 0.8860 49 0.1021 6 98 55 1
259 0.6221 41 0.1145 6 97 56 1
260 0.5898 40 0.6148 21 96 105 0
261 0.5523 39 0.1763 7 95 61 1
262 0.5048 38 0.9051 36 93 153 0
263 0.8576 48 0.7811 28 99 128 0
264 0.7757 45 0.5110 17 100 93 0
265 0.7235 43 0.3828 13 100 80 0
266 0.9388 52 0.6291 21 93 107 0
267 0.7499 44 0.2277 9 100 65 1
268 0.9008 50 0.2199 9 97 65 1
269 0.4323 36 0.7402 26 90 122 0
270 0.4212 36 0.2983 11 89 72 1
271 0.7041 43 0.1412 6 99 58 1
272 0.9306 52 0.6226 21 94 106 0
273 0.9941 58 0.8661 33 80 144 0
274 0.4845 37 0.6780 23 92 113 0
275 0.4639 37 0.0491 4 91 50 1
276 0.5361 38 0.7430 26 95 122 0
277 0.9826 56 0.2371 9 85 66 1
278 0.7567 44 0.0865 5 100 53 1
279 0.4614 37 0.3663 13 91 78 1
280 0.4361 36 0.7371 26 90 121 0
281 0.5787 39 0.4996 17 96 92 0
282 0.3989 35 0.6148 21 88 105 0
283 0.0731 27 0.5772 19 57 100 1
284 0.3650 35 0.9384 38 87 162 0
285 0.7371 44 0.4807 16 100 90 0
286 0.9634 54 0.9551 40 90 167 0
287 0.7051 43 0.8611 32 99 143 0
288 0.4923 37 0.6161 21 93 105 0
289 0.2347 32 0.3531 12 78 77 1
290 0.4312 36 0.8130 30 90 134 0
291 0.9337 52 0.7809 28 94 128 0
292 0.5856 40 0.2781 10 96 70 1
293 0.6422 41 0.5223 18 98 94 0
294 0.2284 32 0.5474 18 77 97 1
295 0.9158 51 0.0001 1 96 41 1
296 0.7239 43 0.1039 6 100 55 1
297 0.4147 36 0.9132 36 89 155 0
298 0.7612 45 0.2046 8 100 63 1
299 0.9402 52 0.7018 24 93 116 0
300 0.8786 49 0.7724 28 98 127 0
301 0.1890 31 0.0750 5 74 53 1
302 0.6561 41 0.5633 19 98 99 0
303 0.3221 34 0.6972 24 84 116 0
304 0.4119 36 0.2605 10 89 68 1
305 0.7433 44 0.9819 44 100 179 0
306 0.4122 36 0.1944 8 89 62 1
307 0.6240 41 0.6164 21 98 105 0
308 0.3218 34 0.0837 5 84 53 1
309 0.9244 51 0.4145 14 95 83 0
310 0.4593 37 0.2966 11 91 71 1
311 0.6435 41 0.8895 34 98 149 0
312 0.1974 31 0.0732 5 74 52 1
313 0.1011 28 0.9446 39 62 164 0
314 0.2421 32 0.6126 21 79 105 0
315 0.4226 36 0.0889 5 90 54 1
316 0.5907 40 0.1216 6 96 56 1
317 0.0907 27 0.0380 4 60 49 1
318 0.2323 32 0.8820 34 78 147 0
319 0.9574 53 0.5672 19 91 99 0
320 0.8270 47 0.2926 11 100 71 1
321 0.9209 51 0.4947 17 95 91 0
322 0.6957 43 0.3012 11 99 72 1
323 0.6456 41 0.3674 13 98 78 0
324 0.6358 41 0.7724 28 98 127 0
325 0.3128 34 0.8177 30 84 135 0
326 0.8829 49 0.1449 7 98 58 1
327 0.8725 49 0.3373 12 98 75 1
328 0.6749 42 0.4521 15 99 87 0
329 0.7036 43 0.2714 10 99 69 1
330 0.7168 43 0.5950 20 100 102 0
331 0.6966 43 0.6452 22 99 109 0
332 0.5677 39 0.9598 41 96 169 0
333 0.7148 43 0.8302 31 100 137 0
334 0.5513 39 0.5111 17 95 93 0
335 0.6036 40 0.5741 19 97 100 0
336 0.3475 34 0.2695 10 86 69 1
337 0.6789 42 0.5156 17 99 93 0
338 0.8762 49 0.4344 15 98 85 0
339 0.2766 33 0.3963 14 81 81 1
340 0.2957 33 0.9694 42 83 173 0
341 0.0138 23 0.2116 8 37 64 1
342 0.8002 46 0.0204 3 100 47 1
343 0.4180 36 0.6877 24 89 114 0
344 0.3202 34 0.0600 4 84 51 1
345 0.8541 48 0.1410 6 99 58 1
346 0.7122 43 0.9423 39 100 163 0
347 0.0903 27 0.5898 20 60 102 1
348 0.3923 35 0.8807 34 88 147 0
349 0.0434 25 0.7687 27 49 126 0
350 0.7053 43 0.8527 32 99 141 0
351 0.9738 55 0.3750 13 87 79 1
352 0.8785 49 0.1131 6 98 56 1
353 0.9162 51 0.2123 8 96 64 1
354 0.8349 47 0.6543 22 99 110 0
355 0.7240 43 0.8706 33 100 145 0
356 0.5826 40 0.4196 14 96 83 0
357 0.3959 35 0.5264 18 88 94 0
358 0.7635 45 0.7803 28 100 128 0
359 0.0067 22 0.4991 17 32 91 1
360 0.5015 38 0.9397 38 93 162 0
361 0.2167 31 0.3271 11 76 74 1
362 0.1264 29 0.4376 15 66 85 1
363 0.7700 45 0.0723 5 100 52 1
364 0.7670 45 0.3078 11 100 72 1
365 0.3991 35 0.1963 8 88 63 1
366 0.9079 50 0.8442 31 96 139 0
367 0.9056 50 0.6902 24 96 115 0
368 0.5912 40 0.1150 6 97 56 1
369 0.4043 36 0.4312 15 89 84 1
370 0.3370 34 0.8631 33 85 143 0
371 0.7736 45 0.4301 15 100 84 0
372 0.5931 40 0.3486 12 97 76 1
373 0.1413 29 0.0936 5 68 54 1
374 0.3711 35 0.5345 18 87 95 0
375 0.8068 46 0.1472 7 100 58 1
376 0.7726 45 0.8374 31 100 138 0
377 0.6562 41 0.8210 30 98 135 0
378 0.4220 36 0.2933 11 90 71 1
379 0.3764 35 0.9123 36 87 155 0
380 0.6960 43 0.4492 15 99 86 0
381 0.1294 29 0.0428 4 66 49 1
382 0.5434 39 0.9507 40 95 166 0
383 0.1651 30 0.9530 40 71 167 0
384 0.5472 39 0.4421 15 95 85 0
385 0.5975 40 0.6502 22 97 109 0
386 0.8692 49 0.9440 39 98 164 0
387 0.4612 37 0.2142 8 91 64 1
388 0.5663 39 0.8420 31 96 139 0
389 0.8746 49 0.0268 3 98 47 1
390 0.1447 29 0.7051 24 69 117 0
391 0.6161 40 0.6094 21 97 104 0
392 0.1249 29 0.9525 40 66 167 0
393 0.2054 31 0.2361 9 75 66 1
394 0.2999 33 0.3959 14 83 81 1
395 0.2480 32 0.9412 39 79 163 0
396 0.2951 33 0.6618 23 82 111 0
397 0.2400 32 0.7524 27 78 124 0
398 0.4151 36 0.0449 4 89 50 1
399 0.6524 41 0.6119 21 98 104 0
400 0.0318 24 0.2356 9 46 66 1
401 0.8302 47 0.3684 13 100 78 0
402 0.5985 40 0.9802 43 97 178 0
403 0.3728 35 0.9180 37 87 156 0
404 0.5678 39 0.6517 22 96 110 0
405 0.4461 36 0.0863 5 91 53 1
406 0.5008 38 0.8743 33 93 146 0
407 0.0441 25 0.1404 6 50 58 1
408 0.7144 43 0.7657 27 100 126 0
409 0.8991 50 0.7096 25 97 117 0
410 0.3891 35 0.2144 8 88 64 1
411 0.8476 48 0.8936 35 99 150 0
412 0.1469 29 0.3939 13 69 81 1
413 0.8577 48 0.9771 43 99 177 0
414 0.1265 29 0.5922 20 66 102 1
415 0.2618 33 0.6875 24 80 114 0
416 0.0114 23 0.1212 6 36 56 1
417 0.9052 50 0.5808 20 96 101 0
418 0.3895 35 0.8635 33 88 143 0
419 0.7570 44 0.5546 19 100 98 0
420 0.2941 33 0.7413 26 82 122 0
421 0.2273 32 0.2048 8 77 63 1
422 0.0053 22 0.2962 11 31 71 1
423 0.5630 39 0.8091 29 96 133 0
424 0.0163 23 0.6042 20 39 104 1
425 0.0289 24 0.1208 6 44 56 1
426 0.2831 33 0.9805 43 82 179 0
427 0.6183 40 0.6702 23 97 112 0
428 0.5835 40 0.1862 8 96 62 1
429 0.0030 21 0.6128 21 28 105 1
430 0.1441 29 0.1414 6 68 58 1
431 0.1450 29 0.0850 5 69 53 1
432 0.0253 24 0.2892 10 43 71 1
433 0.9235 51 0.0299 3 95 48 1
434 0.5693 39 0.1976 8 96 63 1
435 0.4604 37 0.9123 36 91 155 0
436 0.4487 37 0.0419 4 91 49 1
437 0.0429 25 0.3934 13 49 81 1
438 0.4380 36 0.2502 9 90 67 1
439 0.3257 34 0.7127 25 84 118 0
440 0.1487 29 0.9365 38 69 161 0
441 0.0935 27 0.9677 42 61 172 0
442 0.2730 33 0.0954 5 81 54 1
443 0.8818 49 0.3483 12 98 76 1
444 0.0364 25 0.5947 20 47 102 1
445 0.4323 36 0.4111 14 90 82 1
446 0.3450 34 0.1314 6 86 57 1
447 0.8629 48 0.3452 12 99 76 1
448 0.5568 39 0.6027 20 95 103 0
449 0.1711 30 0.0431 4 72 49 1
450 0.4341 36 0.7093 25 90 117 0
451 0.6607 42 0.7054 25 99 117 0
452 0.6670 42 0.1569 7 99 59 1
453 0.9145 51 0.9768 43 96 177 0
454 0.3026 33 0.0053 2 83 43 1
455 0.5966 40 0.1342 6 97 57 1
456 0.9014 50 0.1314 6 97 57 1
457 0.5838 40 0.4325 15 96 84 0
458 0.4016 36 0.2367 9 89 66 1
459 0.7199 43 0.2180 8 100 64 1
460 0.3695 35 0.1006 5 87 55 1
461 0.7616 45 0.8425 31 100 139 0
462 0.2619 33 0.2780 10 80 70 1
463 0.3433 34 0.1871 8 85 62 1
464 0.5335 38 0.0194 3 94 46 1
465 0.4002 36 0.3027 11 88 72 1
466 0.1950 31 0.0050 2 74 43 1
467 0.9617 54 0.5624 19 90 99 0
468 0.6460 41 0.0048 2 98 43 1
469 0.7095 43 0.2111 8 99 64 1
470 0.8253 47 0.7783 28 100 128 0
471 0.6470 41 0.5276 18 98 95 0
472 0.8271 47 0.2817 10 100 70 1
473 0.6055 40 0.8586 32 97 142 0
474 0.7380 44 0.6629 23 100 111 0
475 0.9235 51 0.1323 6 95 57 1
476 0.3378 34 0.2513 9 85 67 1
477 0.1792 30 0.8632 33 73 143 0
478 0.2225 32 0.0650 5 77 52 1
479 0.0592 26 0.2566 10 54 68 1
480 0.4216 36 0.3298 12 90 74 1
481 0.8328 47 0.9634 41 99 171 0
482 0.6043 40 0.7145 25 97 118 0
483 0.3595 35 0.3417 12 86 76 1
484 0.4246 36 0.7681 27 90 126 0
485 0.7019 43 0.6767 23 99 113 0
486 0.9290 52 0.9362 38 94 161 0
487 0.5724 39 0.0580 4 96 51 1
488 0.1928 31 0.0749 5 74 53 1
489 0.2402 32 0.3898 13 78 80 1
490 0.0156 23 0.1511 7 38 59 1
491 0.6734 42 0.2625 10 99 68 1
492 0.1734 30 0.6168 21 72 105 0
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1521 0.6833 42 0.7289 26 99 120 0
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1523 0.8012 46 0.1068 6 100 55 1
1524 0.9354 52 0.6765 23 94 113 0
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1542 0.7169 43 0.3844 13 100 80 0
1543 0.1000 28 0.9481 39 62 165 0
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1545 0.3430 34 0.3013 11 85 72 1
1546 0.0917 27 0.1555 7 60 59 1
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1549 0.7696 45 0.5148 17 100 93 0
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1551 0.6596 42 0.4159 14 98 83 0
1552 0.4435 36 0.9814 44 91 179 0
1553 0.4377 36 0.7334 26 90 121 0
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1555 0.0180 23 0.4303 15 40 84 1
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1570 0.9295 52 0.2733 10 94 69 1
1571 0.6662 42 0.0784 5 99 53 1
1572 0.8863 49 0.3185 11 98 73 1
1573 0.5292 38 0.0125 3 94 45 1
1574 0.2807 33 0.0535 4 81 51 1
1575 0.2292 32 0.6354 22 77 107 0
1576 0.5589 39 0.2751 10 95 69 1
1577 0.1321 29 0.1772 7 67 61 1
1578 0.3421 34 0.5756 19 85 100 0
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1581 0.7572 44 0.6000 20 100 103 0
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1583 0.9161 51 0.4228 14 96 84 0
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1600 0.2465 32 0.4222 14 79 83 1
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1603 0.9199 51 0.2360 9 95 66 1
1604 0.8727 49 0.2608 10 98 68 1
1605 0.0227 24 0.9455 39 42 164 0
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1607 0.0438 25 0.2018 8 49 63 1
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1609 0.8615 48 0.2716 10 99 69 1
1610 0.2024 31 0.6710 23 75 112 0
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1614 0.0233 24 0.9343 38 42 161 0
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1616 0.5169 38 0.3340 12 94 75 1
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1622 0.5108 38 0.9247 37 94 158 0
1623 0.0964 28 0.2098 8 61 64 1
1624 0.8647 48 0.7111 25 99 118 0
1625 0.4034 36 0.5793 20 89 101 0
1626 0.3274 34 0.2072 8 85 63 1
1627 0.9483 53 0.5113 17 92 93 0
1628 0.3168 34 0.7195 25 84 119 0
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1645 0.3432 34 0.6257 21 85 106 0
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1647 0.0731 27 0.8256 30 57 136 0
1648 0.5722 39 0.8729 33 96 145 0
1649 0.0972 28 0.6958 24 61 115 0
1650 0.8014 46 0.9752 43 100 176 0
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1652 0.8921 50 0.1212 6 97 56 1
1653 0.0244 24 0.1848 8 43 62 1
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1655 0.0533 26 0.2716 10 52 69 1
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1669 0.3406 34 0.7076 25 85 117 0
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1678 0.8122 46 0.3950 13 100 81 0
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1689 0.8971 50 0.1414 6 97 58 1
1690 0.0953 28 0.1839 8 61 61 1
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1692 0.9420 52 0.7022 24 93 116 0
1693 0.5130 38 0.0343 4 94 48 1
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1695 0.3605 35 0.3925 13 86 80 1
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1700 0.2929 33 0.6641 23 82 111 0
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1702 0.6617 42 0.7302 26 99 120 0
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1706 0.7071 43 0.3269 11 99 74 1
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1720 0.5446 39 0.0731 5 95 52 1
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1723 0.1817 30 0.9239 37 73 158 0
1724 0.1736 30 0.4090 14 72 82 1
1725 0.9833 56 0.8724 33 85 145 0
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1727 0.1474 29 0.7850 28 69 129 0
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1733 0.8449 48 0.8679 33 99 144 0
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1735 0.1639 30 0.3704 13 71 78 1
1736 0.8220 47 0.6636 23 100 111 0
1737 0.9997 59 0.0594 4 73 51 1
1738 0.2057 31 0.7465 26 75 123 0
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1743 0.8211 47 0.0849 5 100 53 1
1744 0.0316 24 0.8518 32 45 141 0
1745 0.0555 26 0.2617 10 53 68 1
1746 0.4987 38 0.7904 29 93 130 0
1747 0.6362 41 0.7710 28 98 127 0
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1755 0.1185 28 0.8052 29 65 132 0
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1778 0.0332 24 0.7935 29 46 130 0
1779 0.2621 33 0.2174 8 80 64 1
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1782 0.3339 34 0.5643 19 85 99 0
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1786 0.7805 45 0.3727 13 100 79 0
1787 0.2071 31 0.7972 29 75 131 0
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1796 0.1972 31 0.9676 42 74 172 0
1797 0.3877 35 0.5121 17 88 93 0
1798 0.9602 54 0.4788 16 90 89 0
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1800 0.7809 45 0.8337 31 100 137 0
1801 0.6409 41 0.9048 36 98 153 0
1802 0.8793 49 0.4641 16 98 88 0
1803 0.9770 55 0.8945 35 87 150 0
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1806 0.2573 32 0.2574 10 80 68 1
1807 0.6494 41 0.2812 10 98 70 1
1808 0.8996 50 0.9797 43 97 178 0
1809 0.4309 36 0.2141 8 90 64 1
1810 0.8089 46 0.2702 10 100 69 1
1811 0.3953 35 0.5410 18 88 96 0
1812 0.0336 24 0.6864 24 46 114 1
1813 0.5509 39 0.3551 12 95 77 1
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1816 0.8428 47 0.9455 39 99 164 0
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1823 0.2550 32 0.6794 23 80 113 0
1824 0.9100 51 0.2659 10 96 69 1
1825 0.9314 52 0.7675 27 94 126 0
1826 0.8348 47 0.2985 11 99 72 1
1827 0.7211 43 0.4420 15 100 85 0
1828 0.9880 57 0.5920 20 83 102 0
1829 0.4930 37 0.1156 6 93 56 1
1830 0.6400 41 0.5021 17 98 92 0
1831 0.3910 35 0.7485 26 88 123 0
1832 0.9594 54 0.4227 14 90 84 1
1833 0.2442 32 0.8072 29 79 133 0
1834 0.0967 28 0.1024 6 61 55 1
1835 0.7002 43 0.5820 20 99 101 0
1836 0.1719 30 0.6255 21 72 106 0
1837 0.8606 48 0.4415 15 99 85 0
1838 0.1645 30 0.8884 34 71 149 0
1839 0.6456 41 0.0728 5 98 52 1
1840 0.3787 35 0.8497 32 87 141 0
1841 0.6199 41 0.1537 7 97 59 1
1842 0.0859 27 0.2539 9 59 68 1
1843 0.3295 34 0.2436 9 85 67 1
1844 0.5928 40 0.2605 10 97 68 1
1845 0.6583 42 0.0426 4 98 49 1
1846 0.7582 44 0.7724 28 100 127 0
1847 0.3692 35 0.7082 25 87 117 0
1848 0.4720 37 0.6944 24 92 115 0
1849 0.9129 51 0.1859 8 96 62 1
1850 0.8028 46 0.5728 19 100 100 0
1851 0.8330 47 0.7926 29 99 130 0
1852 0.4584 37 0.4320 15 91 84 0
1853 0.7765 45 0.7974 29 100 131 0
1854 0.5400 39 0.2028 8 95 63 1
1855 0.4803 37 0.5109 17 92 93 0
1856 0.1099 28 0.5264 18 64 94 1
1857 0.8558 48 0.8865 34 99 148 0
1858 0.7566 44 0.9585 40 100 169 0
1859 0.3578 35 0.4403 15 86 85 1
1860 0.7536 44 0.3797 13 100 79 0
1861 0.8149 46 0.2441 9 100 67 1
1862 0.8306 47 0.1235 6 99 56 1
1863 0.5292 38 0.8919 35 94 150 0
1864 0.2206 32 0.5042 17 77 92 1
1865 0.9731 55 0.2959 11 88 71 1
1866 0.8406 47 0.7790 28 99 128 0
1867 0.0732 27 0.8129 30 57 134 0
1868 0.2011 31 0.5173 17 75 93 1
1869 0.8518 48 0.6154 21 99 105 0
1870 0.6867 42 0.5183 17 99 94 0
1871 0.7535 44 0.6238 21 100 106 0
1872 0.3751 35 0.3792 13 87 79 1
1873 0.2745 33 0.2092 8 81 64 1
1874 0.2091 31 0.8553 32 76 142 0
1875 0.5869 40 0.5070 17 96 92 0
1876 0.6460 41 0.2350 9 98 66 1
1877 0.4531 37 0.2811 10 91 70 1
1878 0.1718 30 0.2265 9 72 65 1
1879 0.8743 49 0.1006 5 98 55 1
1880 0.8032 46 0.7017 24 100 116 0
1881 0.5726 39 0.7129 25 96 118 0
1882 0.9850 56 0.3293 12 84 74 1
1883 0.2127 31 0.1660 7 76 60 1
1884 0.9690 54 0.3874 13 89 80 1
1885 0.9653 54 0.7248 25 89 120 0
1886 0.1781 30 0.8595 32 72 143 0
1887 0.5472 39 0.3608 12 95 77 1
1888 0.0696 26 0.9537 40 56 167 0
1889 0.3793 35 0.9819 44 87 179 0
1890 0.9236 51 0.7077 25 95 117 0
1891 0.7970 46 0.5748 19 100 100 0
1892 0.5960 40 0.0311 3 97 48 1
1893 0.3976 35 0.5040 17 88 92 0
1894 0.4602 37 0.6057 21 91 104 0
1895 0.8015 46 0.9915 46 100 186 0
1896 0.2252 32 0.8877 34 77 149 0
1897 0.9801 56 0.3036 11 86 72 1
1898 0.3543 35 0.2230 9 86 65 1
1899 0.3209 34 0.3149 11 84 73 1
1900 0.2347 32 0.3344 12 78 75 1
1901 0.3838 35 0.1733 7 88 61 1
1902 0.8423 47 0.0018 2 99 42 1
1903 0.4654 37 0.6963 24 92 115 0
1904 0.8564 48 0.5834 20 99 101 0
1905 0.6156 40 0.4998 17 97 92 0
1906 0.5033 38 0.0880 5 93 54 1
1907 0.0168 23 0.6218 21 39 106 1
1908 0.5892 40 0.7630 27 96 125 0
1909 0.3310 34 0.3537 12 85 77 1
1910 0.0449 25 0.1037 6 50 55 1
1911 0.3875 35 0.0199 3 88 46 1
1912 0.0313 24 0.3784 13 45 79 1
1913 0.7693 45 0.5457 18 100 97 0
1914 0.9778 55 0.6523 22 86 110 0
1915 0.3654 35 0.1158 6 87 56 1
1916 0.4895 37 0.4816 16 93 90 0
1917 0.3556 35 0.7563 27 86 124 0
1918 0.0322 24 0.5756 19 46 100 1
1919 0.5998 40 0.9096 36 97 154 0
1920 0.8829 49 0.2097 8 98 64 1
1921 0.8954 50 0.7546 27 97 124 0
1922 0.3236 34 0.1036 6 84 55 1
1923 0.1740 30 0.1676 7 72 60 1
1924 0.5121 38 0.9556 40 94 168 0
1925 0.0695 26 0.1623 7 56 60 1
1926 0.8506 48 0.1818 8 99 61 1
1927 0.7220 43 0.1177 6 100 56 1
1928 0.0018 21 0.4332 15 26 85 1
1929 0.0317 24 0.3333 12 45 75 1
1930 0.9160 51 0.1358 6 96 57 1
1931 0.3835 35 0.7064 25 88 117 0
1932 0.9419 52 0.9805 43 93 179 0
1933 0.1536 30 0.0077 2 70 44 1
1934 0.7819 45 0.1271 6 100 57 1
1935 0.6757 42 0.3174 11 99 73 1
1936 0.7115 43 0.3744 13 99 79 0
1937 0.2031 31 0.5434 18 75 96 1
1938 0.9148 51 0.3656 13 96 78 1
1939 0.2467 32 0.5079 17 79 92 1
1940 0.1554 30 0.2335 9 70 66 1
1941 0.0683 26 0.3174 11 56 73 1
1942 0.3695 35 0.8385 31 87 138 0
1943 0.0738 27 0.3315 12 57 75 1
1944 0.6843 42 0.3783 13 99 79 0
1945 0.3772 35 0.2112 8 87 64 1
1946 0.7318 44 0.4284 14 100 84 0
1947 0.2701 33 0.2457 9 81 67 1
1948 0.3066 34 0.9747 43 83 176 0
1949 0.6450 41 0.8597 32 98 143 0
1950 0.9562 53 0.3766 13 91 79 1
1951 0.3499 34 0.7327 26 86 121 0
1952 0.1289 29 0.7806 28 66 128 0
1953 0.7329 44 0.6487 22 100 109 0
1954 0.7157 43 0.2368 9 100 66 1
1955 0.8186 47 0.7254 25 100 120 0
1956 0.3615 35 0.5263 18 86 94 0
1957 0.8032 46 0.4970 17 100 91 0
1958 0.8737 49 0.1620 7 98 60 1
1959 0.7991 46 0.3811 13 100 79 0
1960 0.0361 25 0.3773 13 47 79 1
1961 0.8672 48 0.6724 23 98 112 0
1962 0.5301 38 0.9166 36 94 156 0
1963 0.8963 50 0.7073 25 97 117 0
1964 0.6321 41 0.6427 22 98 108 0
1965 0.2529 32 0.8584 32 79 142 0
1966 0.2550 32 0.1625 7 80 60 1
1967 0.9632 54 0.9588 40 90 169 0
1968 0.7521 44 0.6588 23 100 110 0
1969 0.2081 31 0.8328 31 76 137 0
1970 0.1678 30 0.4945 17 71 91 1
1971 0.8803 49 0.3229 11 98 74 1
1972 0.4314 36 0.1781 7 90 61 1
1973 0.6631 42 0.3379 12 99 75 1
1974 0.8451 48 0.5681 19 99 99 0
1975 0.2711 33 0.2948 11 81 71 1
1976 0.4306 36 0.3163 11 90 73 1
1977 0.6064 40 0.9732 42 97 175 0
1978 0.5403 39 0.7745 28 95 127 0
1979 0.2439 32 0.4130 14 79 83 1
1980 0.4862 37 0.1106 6 92 55 1
1981 0.1075 28 0.2022 8 63 63 1
1982 0.5634 39 0.3292 12 96 74 1
1983 0.0183 23 0.6868 24 40 114 1
1984 0.0544 26 0.2211 9 52 65 1
1985 0.1275 29 0.0248 3 66 47 1
1986 0.8218 47 0.4093 14 100 82 0
1987 0.5726 39 0.2301 9 96 65 1
1988 0.9155 51 0.1303 6 96 57 1
1989 0.6228 41 0.7034 24 97 116 0
1990 0.1371 29 0.7040 24 68 117 0
1991 0.7478 44 0.3304 12 100 75 1
1992 0.4592 37 0.7993 29 91 131 0
1993 0.6140 40 0.9681 42 97 173 0
1994 0.1571 30 0.0265 3 70 47 1
1995 0.6381 41 0.4161 14 98 83 0
1996 0.4157 36 0.4066 14 89 82 1
1997 0.7103 43 0.8791 34 99 147 0
1998 0.3178 34 0.2524 9 84 67 1
1999 0.4174 36 0.7001 24 89 116 0
2000 0.6246 41 0.9494 39 98 166 0
Calculate

Power Curve
100%

90%

80%

70%

60%
Percent of Default

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%

2%4%6%8%10%12%14%16% %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98100

Percent of Data

PD By Age
30 35 40 45 50 55 61
67% 49% 44% 29% 40% 49% 46%

PD By Income
15 20 25 51
77% 29% 11% 2%

PD Score1 Score2 Score3 Value

60.59% 40 66 63 40
34.32% 90 90 9 50
47.35% 66 40 30

PD Score1 Score2 Score3 Value

68.71% 32 95 3 20
6.62% 95 32 4

Model 1 Model 2 Model 3

 3.51% 0.00% 2.02%
7.12% 0.00% 3.83%
10.84% 0.53% 6.16%
14.67% 0.85% 8.40%
18.28% 1.17% 10.63%
21.47% 1.70% 12.86%
25.08% 2.02% 14.56%
28.80% 2.34% 16.15%
32.84% 2.98% 17.96%
36.66% 3.08% 19.45%
40.38% 3.19% 21.36%
44.00% 3.51% 23.06%
47.61% 3.93% 25.29%
51.33% 4.14% 27.63%
55.05% 4.36% 29.86%
58.66% 4.36% 31.35%
62.49% 4.36% 34.01%
65.99% 4.36% 36.24%
69.29% 4.36% 38.58%
72.79% 4.36% 40.91%
75.98% 4.36% 43.68%
78.43% 7.65% 45.48%
80.87% 10.84% 47.08%
83.32% 14.56% 48.88%
85.55% 18.17% 51.12%
88.42% 21.79% 53.24%
91.07% 25.40% 55.69%
93.52% 29.22% 57.81%
95.64% 32.84% 60.04%
96.17% 36.13% 61.96%
96.49% 39.74% 64.08%
96.92% 43.46% 66.84%
97.34% 47.40% 68.44%
97.66% 51.22% 70.14%
97.98% 54.94% 72.69%
98.62% 58.55% 74.71%
98.83% 62.27% 76.51%
98.83% 65.89% 78.21%
99.15% 69.61% 79.91%
99.57% 73.22% 81.83%
99.79% 77.05% 83.74%
100.00% 80.34% 85.55%
100.00% 82.78% 87.14%
100.00% 85.12% 89.16%
100.00% 87.57% 90.75%
100.00% 89.80% 92.45%
100.00% 92.77% 94.05%
100.00% 95.32% 96.49%
100.00% 97.77% 98.30%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
 Score Distribution & Good/Bad Ratio
700 1200%

600
1000%

500
800%
Score Distribution

400
600%
300

400%
200

200%
100

0 0%
72-91 91-110 110-129 129-148 148-167 167-186

Score

Good Bad Good/Bad Model

92 598 15% 1
23 99 23%
144 203 71%
459 41 1120%
83 0 1120%
258 0 1120%
Score Default
3 0
3 0
5 0
5 1
5 0
5 1
7 1
7 1
8 0
9 1
10 1
10 0
11 0
11 1
11 1
12 0
12 1
13 1
13 1
13 1
15 1
15 0
16 0
16 0
16 0
16 0
16 1
16 0
17 1
17 0
17 1
17 0
18 1
18 0
18 1
18 0
18 0
18 0
18 0
19 1
19 1
19 0
19 0
20 0
20 1
20 0
20 0
20 0
20 0
20 1
21 0
22 1
22 0
22 1
22 1
23 1
24 0
24 1
24 1
24 1
24 0
24 0
25 0
25 1
25 1
25 1
26 0
26 1
26 0
26 1
26 0
26 0
27 0
27 0
27 0
27 1
28 0
28 0
28 0
28 1
28 0
28 1
29 1
29 1
29 1
30 1
31 0
31 0
31 0
31 1
31 0
31 1
31 0
31 0
31 1
31 0
31 1
32 0
32 1
32 1
32 0
32 1
32 0
32 0
32 1
32 0
32 1
32 0
32 1
33 1
33 1
33 1
33 1
33 0
33 0
33 1
33 0
34 1
34 0
34 1
34 1
34 1
34 1
34 1
34 0
35 0
35 0
35 0
35 0
35 0
35 0
35 0
35 0
36 1
36 1
36 0
36 1
36 0
36 1
37 0
37 1
37 1
37 0
37 1
37 1
37 1
37 0
37 0
37 0
37 0
37 1
37 0
38 1
38 1
38 1
38 1
38 1
39 0
39 1
39 1
39 1
39 1
39 0
39 0
39 1
39 1
39 1
39 0
40 0
40 1
40 0
40 1
40 0
40 1
40 0
40 0
40 1
40 1
40 0
41 0
41 0
41 0
41 0
41 1
41 1
41 1
41 1
41 0
41 0
42 1
42 1
42 1
42 0
42 0
42 1
42 1
43 1
43 0
43 0
43 1
43 1
43 0
43 0
44 0
44 1
44 0
44 1
44 0
44 0
44 0
44 1
44 1
44 1
44 1
44 1
45 0
45 1
45 0
45 0
45 1
45 0
45 1
46 1
46 1
46 1
46 0
47 0
47 0
47 1
47 1
47 1
47 0
47 0
47 1
48 0
48 0
48 1
48 1
48 0
48 1
48 1
48 1
49 1
49 0
49 1
49 0
49 0
49 0
49 0
49 1
49 0
49 1
50 0
50 1
50 1
50 0
50 0
50 1
51 1
51 0
51 1
51 0
51 0
51 0
51 0
51 0
51 0
52 1
52 0
52 0
52 0
52 1
52 0
53 0
53 1
53 0
53 1
53 1
53 0
53 0
53 1
53 0
54 0
54 0
54 0
54 1
54 0
54 0
54 1
54 1
54 1
54 0
54 0
54 1
54 0
55 0
55 0
55 0
55 0
55 0
55 0
55 1
55 0
56 1
56 0
56 0
56 0
56 0
56 1
56 1
56 1
56 0
56 0
56 0
56 1
56 0
57 0
57 1
57 1
57 1
57 1
57 0
57 1
57 1
58 1
58 1
58 0
58 0
58 1
58 0
58 1
58 0
58 1
58 0
59 1
59 1
59 0
59 0
59 0
59 1
59 1
59 0
59 1
59 0
59 0
59 1
59 0
59 0
60 0
60 0
60 1
60 0
60 1
60 0
60 0
60 0
60 0
60 1
60 0
61 0
61 1
61 0
61 1
61 0
61 1
61 0
61 0
61 1
61 1
61 0
61 0
61 0
62 1
62 0
62 1
62 0
62 1
62 0
62 0
62 0
62 0
62 0
63 0
63 0
63 0
63 0
63 0
63 1
63 0
63 0
63 0
63 1
63 0
63 1
63 0
63 1
64 1
64 0
64 1
64 0
64 0
64 1
64 0
64 0
64 1
64 1
64 0
64 0
64 1
64 1
64 0
65 0
65 1
65 1
65 1
65 0
65 0
65 0
66 0
66 0
66 1
66 0
66 1
66 1
66 1
66 1
66 1
66 0
66 0
66 0
66 0
66 0
66 1
66 0
66 1
66 1
67 0
67 0
67 0
67 1
67 0
67 1
67 0
67 0
67 0
67 1
67 0
67 0
67 1
67 1
67 0
67 1
67 0
68 0
68 0
68 0
68 0
68 0
68 1
68 1
68 1
68 0
68 1
68 0
68 0
68 0
68 0
68 0
68 0
68 1
68 0
68 1
69 0
69 1
69 0
69 0
69 1
69 1
69 1
69 1
69 0
69 1
69 1
69 0
69 0
69 0
69 0
69 1
69 1
69 1
69 0
69 1
69 1
69 0
69 1
70 1
70 0
70 1
70 1
70 0
70 1
70 0
70 1
71 0
71 0
71 0
71 0
71 1
71 0
71 1
71 1
71 1
71 0
71 0
72 1
72 0
72 0
72 1
72 1
72 1
72 0
72 0
72 0
72 1
73 1
73 1
73 0
73 0
73 1
73 0
73 1
73 0
73 1
73 0
73 1
73 1
73 1
73 0
73 1
74 0
74 0
74 0
74 0
74 1
74 1
74 0
74 0
74 1
74 1
74 1
74 0
74 1
74 1
74 1
74 0
74 1
74 1
74 1
74 1
74 0
74 0
75 0
75 1
75 1
75 0
75 0
75 1
75 0
75 1
75 1
75 0
75 0
75 1
75 1
75 1
75 1
75 1
75 1
75 1
75 0
75 0
75 0
75 1
75 0
76 0
76 1
76 0
76 1
76 0
76 0
76 1
76 1
77 1
77 1
77 0
77 1
77 0
77 0
77 0
77 1
77 0
77 0
77 1
77 1
77 0
77 0
77 0
77 1
77 0
78 0
78 1
78 0
78 1
78 1
78 0
78 1
78 1
78 0
79 0
79 0
79 0
79 1
79 0
79 1
79 0
79 0
79 0
79 0
79 1
79 0
79 1
79 0
79 1
79 0
79 0
79 0
79 0
79 0
79 1
79 0
80 1
80 1
80 1
80 1
80 1
80 1
80 1
80 0
80 1
80 1
80 0
80 0
80 0
80 0
80 0
81 1
81 1
81 0
81 0
81 0
81 1
81 1
81 1
81 1
81 0
81 1
81 1
81 1
81 1
81 0
82 0
82 1
82 0
82 0
82 0
82 1
82 1
82 1
82 1
82 1
82 0
82 1
82 1
82 0
82 1
82 1
82 0
82 1
82 1
82 0
83 0
83 0
83 1
83 1
83 0
83 0
83 1
83 0
83 0
83 0
83 0
83 1
83 1
83 0
83 0
83 1
84 0
84 1
84 0
84 1
84 1
84 1
84 1
84 0
84 1
84 1
84 1
84 1
84 0
84 0
84 1
84 1
84 1
85 1
85 1
85 1
85 0
85 1
85 1
85 0
85 1
85 1
85 0
85 0
86 0
86 1
86 0
86 0
86 0
86 0
86 1
86 0
86 1
86 0
86 1
86 1
86 1
86 1
86 0
86 1
86 0
86 1
86 0
86 1
86 0
86 0
86 0
86 0
86 1
86 1
86 0
86 1
87 1
87 1
87 0
87 0
87 1
87 1
87 0
87 1
87 0
87 1
87 1
87 0
87 1
87 1
87 0
87 1
87 1
87 0
87 1
88 1
88 1
88 1
88 0
88 1
88 0
88 0
88 0
88 0
88 0
89 1
89 1
89 1
89 0
89 1
89 1
89 0
89 0
89 0
89 1
89 0
89 0
90 1
90 0
90 1
90 1
90 1
90 1
90 0
90 1
90 0
90 1
90 0
90 1
90 1
90 0
91 0
91 1
91 0
91 1
91 1
91 1
91 1
91 1
91 0
91 1
91 1
91 0
91 0
91 0
91 1
91 1
91 1
91 1
92 1
92 0
92 1
92 1
92 1
92 0
92 0
92 1
92 0
92 1
92 1
92 0
92 0
92 1
93 0
93 0
93 0
93 0
93 0
93 0
93 1
93 0
93 1
93 0
93 0
93 1
93 1
93 1
93 0
94 1
94 1
94 0
94 0
94 0
94 0
94 0
94 1
94 1
94 1
94 0
94 1
94 0
94 1
94 0
94 1
94 1
94 0
94 0
94 1
94 0
94 0
94 1
94 0
94 1
94 0
95 1
95 1
95 0
95 1
95 0
95 1
95 1
95 1
95 0
95 0
95 0
95 0
95 0
95 0
95 0
95 0
95 0
95 0
95 0
96 0
96 1
96 0
96 1
96 0
96 0
96 1
96 0
96 0
96 1
96 1
96 1
96 0
96 1
96 0
96 0
96 0
96 1
96 0
96 0
96 1
96 1
97 1
97 0
97 0
97 0
97 1
97 0
97 1
97 0
97 1
97 1
97 1
97 0
97 0
97 0
97 1
97 1
98 0
98 1
98 0
98 1
98 0
98 0
98 0
98 0
98 0
98 1
98 1
98 0
98 0
98 1
 98 0
98 1
98 1
98 1
98 0
99 1
99 1
99 0
99 0
99 1
99 0
99 1
99 0
99 1
99 1
99 1
99 1
99 1
99 1
99 0
99 0
99 0
99 0
99 0
100 1
100 0
100 0
100 0
100 1
100 1
100 0
100 1
100 0
100 1
100 1
100 0
100 0
100 1
101 0
101 0
101 1
101 1
101 1
101 1
101 0
101 0
101 1
101 1
101 0
101 0
101 1
101 0
101 0
102 1
102 1
102 1
102 1
102 0
102 0
102 1
102 0
102 1
102 1
102 0
102 0
102 1
102 1
102 0
102 0
102 0
103 1
103 1
103 0
103 0
103 1
103 0
103 1
103 0
103 0
103 0
103 1
103 1
104 1
104 1
104 0
104 0
104 1
104 1
104 0
104 1
104 0
104 1
104 0
104 1
104 1
104 1
104 1
104 0
104 0
104 1
104 1
104 0
105 1
105 1
105 0
105 0
105 0
105 0
105 1
105 0
105 1
105 1
105 0
105 1
105 1
105 1
105 0
105 1
105 0
105 0
106 0
106 1
106 0
106 1
106 1
106 1
106 0
106 0
106 1
106 1
106 1
106 1
106 0
106 1
106 0
106 0
106 1
106 1
106 1
106 1
106 0
107 0
107 0
107 0
107 1
107 0
107 0
107 1
107 0
107 0
107 1
107 1
107 0
107 1
107 0
107 0
107 0
107 1
108 1
108 1
108 0
108 1
108 0
108 0
108 0
108 1
108 1
108 1
108 0
108 1
108 0
108 0
108 0
108 1
109 0
109 0
109 1
109 0
109 0
109 1
109 0
109 1
109 1
109 1
109 0
110 0
110 0
110 1
110 1
110 1
110 1
110 1
110 1
110 0
110 0
110 1
110 1
110 0
110 1
110 0
110 0
110 1
110 1
110 0
110 0
110 1
111 0
111 0
111 0
111 0
111 1
111 0
111 1
111 0
111 1
111 0
111 1
111 1
111 1
111 0
111 1
111 1
111 0
111 0
111 0
112 0
112 1
112 0
112 0
112 1
112 1
112 0
112 0
112 1
112 1
112 0
112 0
112 1
112 1
112 1
112 0
112 1
112 0
113 1
113 1
113 1
113 1
113 0
113 1
113 0
113 0
113 0
113 0
113 0
113 0
113 0
113 1
113 0
113 0
113 0
114 0
114 0
114 1
114 1
114 0
114 1
114 1
114 1
114 1
114 1
114 1
114 1
114 0
114 0
114 1
114 0
114 0
114 1
114 1
115 1
115 0
115 1
115 0
115 0
115 1
115 0
115 0
115 1
115 1
115 1
115 1
115 1
115 1
115 0
115 0
115 0
115 1
115 1
115 1
116 0
116 1
116 1
116 1
116 1
116 1
116 1
116 1
116 0
116 0
116 1
116 1
116 1
116 0
116 1
116 0
116 1
116 1
116 1
117 0
117 0
117 1
117 1
117 1
117 1
117 0
117 0
117 0
117 1
117 0
117 0
117 0
117 0
117 0
117 1
117 0
117 0
117 0
117 0
117 0
117 1
117 0
117 0
118 0
118 1
118 1
118 0
118 1
118 0
118 1
118 1
118 0
118 0
118 1
118 0
118 1
118 1
118 0
118 0
118 0
118 0
118 1
119 1
119 0
119 0
119 0
119 0
119 1
119 0
119 0
119 0
119 1
119 0
119 0
119 0
120 0
120 0
120 0
120 1
120 0
120 0
120 0
120 1
120 1
120 1
120 1
120 0
120 0
121 1
121 0
121 1
121 0
121 1
121 0
121 1
121 1
121 0
121 0
121 1
121 1
121 1
121 1
121 1
122 0
122 0
122 1
122 0
122 1
122 1
122 1
122 1
122 0
122 1
122 1
122 1
122 0
122 1
122 0
122 1
122 1
122 1
123 1
123 1
123 0
123 1
123 1
123 0
123 0
123 0
123 0
123 0
123 0
123 0
123 1
123 1
123 1
123 0
124 1
124 0
124 1
124 0
124 0
124 1
124 1
124 0
124 1
124 1
124 0
124 1
124 1
124 0
124 1
124 1
125 1
125 1
125 0
125 0
125 1
125 0
125 0
125 0
125 1
125 1
125 0
125 1
125 0
125 0
125 1
125 0
125 0
125 1
125 1
126 0
126 0
126 0
126 1
126 0
126 1
126 0
126 0
126 0
126 1
126 1
126 0
126 0
126 0
126 0
127 1
127 0
127 0
127 0
127 0
127 0
127 1
127 1
127 0
127 0
127 1
127 0
127 0
128 0
128 1
128 1
128 0
128 1
128 1
128 1
128 1
128 1
128 1
128 0
128 0
128 0
128 1
128 0
128 1
128 0
129 1
129 0
129 0
129 1
129 1
129 0
129 0
129 0
129 0
129 0
129 1
129 0
129 0
129 0
130 1
130 0
130 1
130 0
130 0
130 1
130 0
130 1
130 1
130 1
130 0
131 1
131 0
131 0
131 0
131 1
131 1
131 0
131 1
131 0
131 0
131 1
131 0
131 0
131 0
131 1
131 0
131 1
131 0
132 0
132 0
132 0
132 0
132 0
132 0
132 1
132 0
132 0
132 0
132 1
132 0
132 0
132 1
132 0
132 0
132 1
132 1
132 0
132 0
133 1
133 0
133 1
133 0
133 1
133 1
133 0
133 0
133 0
133 1
133 0
133 1
133 1
133 1
133 0
133 1
134 0
134 1
134 1
134 0
134 1
134 1
134 1
134 0
134 0
134 0
134 0
134 1
134 1
135 1
135 1
135 0
135 1
135 0
135 1
135 1
135 0
135 1
135 1
135 0
135 0
135 0
135 0
135 0
136 1
136 0
136 0
136 0
136 0
136 0
136 0
136 0
136 1
136 1
137 0
137 1
137 1
137 0
137 1
137 0
137 1
137 0
137 1
137 0
137 1
138 0
138 1
138 1
138 1
138 1
138 1
138 1
138 0
138 1
138 0
138 0
139 1
139 0
139 1
139 0
139 0
139 1
139 1
139 0
139 0
139 0
139 0
140 1
140 1
140 0
140 0
140 0
140 1
141 0
141 0
141 1
141 0
141 0
141 0
141 0
141 1
141 0
141 0
141 0
141 0
141 0
141 1
141 0
141 1
142 1
142 0
142 1
142 1
142 0
142 0
142 0
142 0
142 1
142 0
142 0
143 1
143 0
143 0
143 0
143 0
143 0
143 1
143 1
143 1
143 0
143 1
143 1
144 0
144 1
144 1
144 1
144 1
144 0
144 0
144 0
144 0
145 0
145 1
145 0
145 0
145 1
145 1
145 1
145 0
145 1
145 0
145 0
145 0
146 1
146 0
146 1
146 0
146 0
146 1
146 0
146 1
146 0
146 1
146 1
147 1
147 0
147 0
147 0
147 0
147 0
147 0
147 0
147 0
147 1
147 0
147 0
147 1
148 1
148 0
148 0
148 1
148 1
148 1
148 1
148 0
149 1
149 0
149 1
149 0
149 0
149 1
149 1
149 1
149 0
149 1
150 1
150 1
150 0
150 0
150 0
150 0
150 1
150 0
150 0
150 1
150 1
151 0
151 0
151 0
151 0
151 1
151 0
151 1
151 0
151 1
151 1
151 0
152 0
152 0
152 0
152 0
152 0
152 1
152 0
152 0
152 1
152 0
152 1
152 0
152 0
152 1
152 0
152 0
153 1
153 0
153 1
153 0
153 0
153 0
153 0
153 1
153 0
153 0
153 0
153 1
154 1
154 0
154 1
154 0
154 0
154 0
154 0
154 0
154 0
154 1
154 1
154 1
154 0
155 1
155 1
155 1
156 0
156 1
156 0
156 0
156 0
156 1
156 0
156 0
156 0
156 1
157 0
157 0
157 0
157 0
157 0
157 1
157 1
157 0
157 1
157 1
157 1
157 1
157 1
158 0
158 0
158 0
158 1
158 0
158 0
158 1
158 0
158 1
159 0
159 1
159 0
159 1
159 0
159 0
159 0
159 1
159 0
160 0
160 0
160 0
160 0
160 0
160 0
160 1
160 1
161 1
161 0
161 0
161 0
162 0
162 1
162 1
162 0
162 1
162 1
163 1
163 1
163 0
163 1
163 0
163 0
163 0
163 0
163 1
164 0
164 1
164 1
164 0
164 0
164 1
164 0
165 0
165 0
165 0
165 0
165 1
165 1
165 0
165 1
165 1
166 1
166 1
166 1
166 0
166 1
166 0
166 1
166 0
166 0
167 1
167 1
167 1
167 1
167 0
167 1
167 1
167 0
167 0
167 0
168 0
168 1
168 0
168 1
168 0
168 0
168 0
168 1
169 0
169 0
169 1
169 1
169 1
170 0
170 1
170 1
170 1
170 1
171 0
171 1
171 0
171 0
172 0
172 0
172 0
172 1
173 0
173 1
173 1
173 0
174 0
174 1
174 0
174 1
174 1
175 0
175 0
175 0
175 1
175 0
176 1
177 1
177 0
177 0
177 0
177 1
177 1
178 0
178 1
178 0
178 1
178 0
178 0
178 0
178 0
179 1
179 0
179 0
179 1
180 0
180 0
180 0
181 1
181 1
181 1
182 1
182 0
182 1
183 0
184 0
184 1
185 1
185 0
185 0
186 0
186 0
187 0
187 0
187 1
187 0
187 0
188 0
188 0
189 0
189 1
189 0
189 1
190 1
190 1
191 0
193 1
194 0
195 1
196 1
197 0
198 0
Linear Discriminant Analysis
Mean & Variance
All Age Income Good Age Income Bad Age Income
Count 2000 2000 Count 1037 1037 Count 963 963
Mean 37.9326 18.7341 Mean 39.6491 27.0249 Mean 36.0841 9.8063
Variance 67.4033 127.9874 Variance 57.5768 81.0945 Variance 71.4591 24.7364

Variance-Covariance Matrix (VAR / COVAR)

All Age Income Good Age Income Bad Age Income
Age 67.4033 1.8154 Age 57.5768 (11.8504) Age 71.4591 (15.3267)
Income 1.8154 127.9874 Income (11.8504) 81.0945 Income (15.3267) 24.7364

Weighted variance/covariance matrix - S Inverse of the variance / covariance matrix - S-1

Age Income Age Income
Age 64.2609 (13.5242) Age 0.0164 0.0041
Income (13.5242) 53.9591 Income 0.0041 0.0196

Difference between the group means Gamma coefficients

Age 3.5650 Age 0.1295
Income 17.2186 Income 0.3516

Sum of the group means Priors

Age 75.7333 Good 51.85%
Income 36.8312 Bad 48.15%

Cut-off 11.3764 Age 50 Score 15.2620

Income 25 PD 1.87%