FALSOS FALSOS

PROB POSITIVOS NEGATIVOS POSITIVOS NEGATIVOS ESPECIFICIDAD SENSIBILIDAD

0.96179441 96407 299524 45 221779 0.0% 30.3%
0.91996671 102086 299482 155 125364 0.1% 44.9%
0.87278716 103826 299372 473 119714 0.2% 46.4%
0.82848121 105875 299054 1054 117977 0.4% 47.3%
0.78639013 108621 298473 2037 115925 0.7% 48.4%
0.74520078 112088 297486 3408 113178 1.1% 49.8%
0.70485255 116065 296115 5368 109713 1.8% 51.4%
0.66487555 120512 294155 8008 105727 2.7% 53.3%
0.62522243 125441 291514 11020 101284 3.6% 55.3%
0.58542165 130665 288497 14747 96352 4.9% 57.6%
0.54594257 136140 284764 19320 91121 6.4% 59.9%
0.50669286 141594 280190 24652 85649 8.1% 62.3%
0.46748402 147404 274867 30826 80203 10.1% 64.8%
0.42857613 153325 268688 38234 74392 12.5% 67.3%
0.38957821 159545 261274 47630 68468 15.4% 70.0%
0.35087853 166166 251868 58897 62249 19.0% 72.7%
0.31231692 173322 240600 73424 55625 23.4% 75.7%
0.27374828 181313 226071 92302 48470 29.0% 78.9%
0.23541042 189635 207175 117136 40478 36.1% 82.4%
0.19704323 198419 182336 148766 32153 44.9% 86.1%
0.15881402 207107 150668 188340 23361 55.6% 89.9%
0.12063756 214538 111086 233071 14672 67.7% 93.6%
0.08232181 219509 66344 274223 7254 80.5% 96.8%
0.04371212 221328 25227 296390 2288 92.2% 99.0%
2.3634E-10 221807 3112 299527 475 99.0% 99.8%
 PARA
GRAFICO Simulacin ABCR
0.0% 0 1 0 1 0 0 0.68
0.1% 1 1 1 1 0 1
0.2% 1 1 0 0 0 0
0.4% 1 0 1 0 0 1
0.7% 0 1 0 1 0 1
1.1% 1 0 1 1 0 0
1.8% 0 0 0 1 0 1
2.7% 1 1 1 1 1 0
3.6% 1 1 1 0 1 1
4.9% 1 0 1 0 0 0
6.4% 1 1 1 0 1 1
8.1% 1 0 1 0 0 1
10.1% 0 0 1 1 1 0
12.5% 0 1 0 1 0 0
15.4% 1 1 1 1 1 0
19.0% 1 1 1 1 0 1
23.4% 1 0 1 1 0 1
29.0% 1 1 1 1 1 1
36.1% 1 1 1 1 1 1
44.9% 1 1 1 1 0 1
55.6% 1 0 1 0 1 1
67.7% 1 1 1 1 1 1
80.5% 1 1 0 1 0 1
92.2% 1 1 1 1 1 1
99.0% 1 1 1 1 1 1
10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Sensibilidad
Sensibilidad P(+Enf) 0.95 Falso+ P(+Sana) 0.11
Especificidad P( -San) 0.89 Falso- P(-Enf) 0.05
Prevalencia
P(Enf) P(+) P(-) VP+ FVPP VP- FVP-
0 0.11 0.89 0 1 1 0
0.01 0.1184 0.8816 0.08023649 0.91976351 0.99943285 0.00056715
0.02 0.1268 0.8732 0.14984227 0.85015773 0.99885479 1.2
0.00114521
0.03 0.1352 0.8648 0.21079882 0.78920118 0.99826549 0.00173451
0.04 0.1436 0.8564 0.26462396 0.73537604 0.99766464 0.00233536
1
0.05 0.152 0.848 0.3125 0.6875 0.99705189 0.00294811
0.06 0.1604 0.8396 0.3553616 0.6446384 0.99642687 0.8
0.00357313
0.07 0.1688 0.8312 0.39395735 0.60604265 0.99578922 0.00421078
0.08 0.1772 0.8228 0.42889391 0.57110609 0.99513855 0.6
0.00486145
0.09 0.1856 0.8144 0.4606681 0.5393319 0.99447446 0.00552554
0.1 0.194 0.806 0.48969072 0.51030928 0.99379653 0.4
0.00620347
0.11 0.2024 0.7976 0.51630435 0.48369565 0.99310431 0.00689569
0.12 0.2108 0.7892 0.54079696 0.45920304 0.99239736 0.2
0.00760264
0.13 0.2192 0.7808 0.56341241 0.43658759 0.9916752 0.0083248
0.14 0.2276 0.7724 0.58435852 0.41564148 0.99093734 0.00906266
0
0.15 0.236 0.764 0.60381356 0.39618644 0.99018325 0.00981675
0.16 0.2444 0.7556 0.62193126 0.37806874 0.98941239 0.01058761
0.17 0.2528 0.7472 0.63884494 0.36115506 0.9886242 0.0113758
0.18 0.2612 0.7388 0.65467075 0.34532925 0.98781808 0.01218192
0.19 0.2696 0.7304 0.66951039 0.33048961 0.98699343 0.01300657
0.2 0.278 0.722 0.68345324 0.31654676 0.98614958 0.01385042
0.21 0.2864 0.7136 0.69657821 0.30342179 0.98528587 0.01471413
0.22 0.2948 0.7052 0.70895522 0.29104478 0.98440159 0.01559841
0.23 0.3032 0.6968 0.72064644 0.27935356 0.98349598 0.01650402
0.24 0.3116 0.6884 0.73170732 0.26829268 0.98256827 0.01743173
0.25 0.32 0.68 0.7421875 0.2578125 0.98161765 0.01838235
0.26 0.3284 0.6716 0.75213155 0.24786845 0.98064324 0.01935676
0.27 0.3368 0.6632 0.76157957 0.23842043 0.97964415 0.02035585
0.28 0.3452 0.6548 0.77056779 0.22943221 0.97861943 0.02138057
0.29 0.3536 0.6464 0.77912896 0.22087104 0.97756807 0.02243193
0.3 0.362 0.638 0.78729282 0.21270718 0.97648903 0.02351097
0.31 0.3704 0.6296 0.79508639 0.20491361 0.97538119 0.02461881
0.32 0.3788 0.6212 0.80253432 0.19746568 0.9742434 0.0257566
0.33 0.3872 0.6128 0.80965909 0.19034091 0.97307441 0.02692559
0.34 0.3956 0.6044 0.81648129 0.18351871 0.97187293 0.02812707
0.35 0.404 0.596 0.8230198 0.1769802 0.97063758 0.02936242
0.36 0.4124 0.5876 0.82929195 0.17070805 0.96936692 0.03063308
0.37 0.4208 0.5792 0.83531369 0.16468631 0.96805939 0.03194061
0.38 0.4292 0.5708 0.84109972 0.15890028 0.96671338 0.03328662
0.39 0.4376 0.5624 0.84666362 0.15333638 0.96532717 0.03467283
0.4 0.446 0.554 0.85201794 0.14798206 0.96389892 0.03610108
0.41 0.4544 0.5456 0.8571743 0.1428257 0.96242669 0.03757331
0.42 0.4628 0.5372 0.86214347 0.13785653 0.96090841 0.03909159
0.43 0.4712 0.5288 0.86693548 0.13306452 0.95934191 0.04065809
0.44 0.4796 0.5204 0.87155963 0.12844037 0.95772483 0.04227517
0.45 0.488 0.512 0.87602459 0.12397541 0.95605469 0.04394531
0.46 0.4964 0.5036 0.88033844 0.11966156 0.95432883 0.04567117
0.47 0.5048 0.4952 0.88450872 0.11549128 0.95254443 0.04745557
0.48 0.5132 0.4868 0.88854248 0.11145752 0.95069844 0.04930156
0.49 0.5216 0.4784 0.89244632 0.10755368 0.94878763 0.05121237
0.5 0.53 0.47 0.89622642 0.10377358 0.94680851 0.05319149
0.51 0.5384 0.4616 0.89988856 0.10011144 0.94475737 0.05524263
0.52 0.5468 0.4532 0.90343819 0.09656181 0.94263019 0.05736981
0.53 0.5552 0.4448 0.9068804 0.0931196 0.94042266 0.05957734
0.54 0.5636 0.4364 0.91022001 0.08977999 0.93813016 0.06186984
0.55 0.572 0.428 0.91346154 0.08653846 0.93574766 0.06425234
0.56 0.5804 0.4196 0.91660924 0.08339076 0.93326978 0.06673022
0.57 0.5888 0.4112 0.91966712 0.08033288 0.93069066 0.06930934
0.58 0.5972 0.4028 0.92263898 0.07736102 0.92800397 0.07199603
0.59 0.6056 0.3944 0.9255284 0.0744716 0.92520284 0.07479716
0.6 0.614 0.386 0.92833876 0.07166124 0.92227979 0.07772021
0.61 0.6224 0.3776 0.93107326 0.06892674 0.91922669 0.08077331
0.62 0.6308 0.3692 0.93373494 0.06626506 0.91603467 0.08396533
0.63 0.6392 0.3608 0.93632666 0.06367334 0.91269401 0.08730599
0.64 0.6476 0.3524 0.93885114 0.06114886 0.9091941 0.0908059
0.65 0.656 0.344 0.94131098 0.05868902 0.90552326 0.09447674
0.66 0.6644 0.3356 0.94370861 0.05629139 0.90166865 0.09833135
0.67 0.6728 0.3272 0.94604637 0.05395363 0.89761614 0.10238386
0.68 0.6812 0.3188 0.94832648 0.05167352 0.89335006 0.10664994
0.69 0.6896 0.3104 0.95055104 0.04944896 0.88885309 0.11114691
0.7 0.698 0.302 0.95272206 0.04727794 0.88410596 0.11589404
0.71 0.7064 0.2936 0.95484145 0.04515855 0.87908719 0.12091281
0.72 0.7148 0.2852 0.95691102 0.04308898 0.87377279 0.12622721
0.73 0.7232 0.2768 0.95893252 0.04106748 0.86813584 0.13186416
0.74 0.7316 0.2684 0.9609076 0.0390924 0.86214605 0.13785395
0.75 0.74 0.26 0.96283784 0.03716216 0.85576923 0.14423077
0.76 0.7484 0.2516 0.96472475 0.03527525 0.84896661 0.15103339
0.77 0.7568 0.2432 0.96656977 0.03343023 0.84169408 0.15830592
0.78 0.7652 0.2348 0.96837428 0.03162572 0.83390119 0.16609881
0.79 0.7736 0.2264 0.97013961 0.02986039 0.82553004 0.17446996
0.8 0.782 0.218 0.97186701 0.02813299 0.81651376 0.18348624
0.81 0.7904 0.2096 0.97355769 0.02644231 0.80677481 0.19322519
0.82 0.7988 0.2012 0.97521282 0.02478718 0.79622266 0.20377734
0.83 0.8072 0.1928 0.9768335 0.0231665 0.78475104 0.21524896
0.84 0.8156 0.1844 0.97842079 0.02157921 0.77223427 0.22776573
0.85 0.824 0.176 0.97997573 0.02002427 0.75852273 0.24147727
0.86 0.8324 0.1676 0.98149928 0.01850072 0.74343675 0.25656325
0.87 0.8408 0.1592 0.98299239 0.01700761 0.72675879 0.27324121
0.88 0.8492 0.1508 0.98445596 0.01554404 0.70822281 0.29177719
0.89 0.8576 0.1424 0.98589086 0.01410914 0.6875 0.3125
0.9 0.866 0.134 0.98729792 0.01270208 0.6641791 0.3358209
0.91 0.8744 0.1256 0.98867795 0.01132205 0.63773885 0.36226115
0.92 0.8828 0.1172 0.99003172 0.00996828 0.60750853 0.39249147
0.93 0.8912 0.1088 0.99135996 0.00864004 0.57261029 0.42738971
0.94 0.8996 0.1004 0.99266341 0.00733659 0.53187251 0.46812749
0.95 0.908 0.092 0.99394273 0.00605727 0.48369565 0.51630435
 0.96 0.9164 0.0836 0.9951986 0.0048014 0.42583732 0.57416268
0.97 0.9248 0.0752 0.99643166 0.00356834 0.35505319 0.64494681
0.98 0.9332 0.0668 0.99764252 0.00235748 0.26646707 0.73353293
0.99 0.9416 0.0584 0.99883178 0.00116822 0.15239726 0.84760274
1 0.95 0.05 1 0 0 1

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NVSY1296mZM

Teoremas utilizados y adaptados

Probabilidad de un suceso contrario en un suceso condicionado

Teorema de Bayes

Teorema de la probabilidad total

2

6 VP+
FVPP
VP-
4
FVP-