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Minimum Cost Design of Hydraulic Water Retaining Structure by using


Coupled Simulation Optimization Approach

Article  in  KSCE Journal of Civil Engineering · January 2019


DOI: 10.1007/s12205-019-1946-5

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KSCE Journal of Civil Engineering (0000) 00(0):1-13 Hydraulic Engineering
Copyright ⓒ2018 Korean Society of Civil Engineers
DOI pISSN 1226-7988, eISSN 1976-3808
www.springer.com/12205
TECHNICAL NOTE

Minimum Cost Design of Hydraulic Water Retaining Structure by


Using Coupled Simulation Optimization Approach
Muqdad Al-Juboori* and Bithin Datta**
Received December 12, 2017/Revised 1st: May 20, 2018, 2nd: July 30, 2018/Accepted August 1, 2018/Published Online

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Abstract

A linked Simulation-Optimization (S-O) model was developed to find the optimum design of Hydraulic Water Retaining Structure
(HWRS) constructed on permeable soils. The nonlinear relationship between seepage design variables can accurately and solely
simulated by numerical methods. To increase the computational efficiency of the S-O model, the seepage numerical model was
replaced by approximation simulator based on the Support Vector Machine (SVM) surrogate models. The surrogate models
incorporated and highlighted the effects of hydraulic conductivity (k) and anisotropy ratio (ky/kx) on the optimum design of HWRS.
The results revealed that reducing k and (ky/kx) values augments the optimum cost. The most effective seepage controller variables
were the depth and inclination angle of the last cut-off. Increasing these variables effectively reduced the exit gradient value to the
allowable limits. Also, the first and second last aprons (b9, b10) were important to provide a sufficient cross section for HWRS to
increase the stability of the HWRS against the overturning, flotation, sliding, etc. The evaluation of S-O technique demonstrated a
good agreement between the predicted and simulated seepage characteristics of the optimum HWRS design. Hence, the S-O
methodology is applicable to obtain an optimal and minimum cost HWRS design.
Keywords: simulation-optimization technique, support vector machine, genetic algorithm, water retaining structures, numerical
seepage analysis, hydraulic conductivity, anisotropy ratio
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1. Introduction a homogenous and isotropic system (Freeze, 1975; Lambe and


Whitman, 2008). The seepage characteristics, especially the exit
Seepage characteristics associated with Hydraulic Water Retaining gradient, are affected by soil properties (Al-Juboori and Datta,
Structures (HWRS), such as dams, weirs and regulators, are 2018a). Hence, the effect of different values of hydraulic conductivity
influenced by the foundation soil properties such as the hydraulic and its anisotropy must be considered in the optimum design of
conductivity. In addition to the direct hydrostatic and dynamic HWRS.
water pressure effects, the variation of seepage characteristics The precise values for the uplift pressure and exit gradient for
(the uplift pressure and exit gradient) plays a significant role in anisotropic and different hydraulic conductivities could be
the hydraulic design of HWRS. This study evaluates the effects determined by using numerical methods. Numerical seepage
of the permeability (hydraulic conductivity) on the optimum analysis based on Finite Element Method (FEM) provides accurate
hydraulic design of HWRS. The evaluation was carried out by solutions compared to analytical solutions and experimental
utilizing a computationally efficient linked simulation-optimization observations (Shahrbanozadeh et al., 2015). In the last few decades
(S-O) technique. and through the development of the high speed processors, many
Most of the previous theories, methods and closed form numerical simulation codes based on FEM were utilized to solve
seepage solutions (Bligh, 1915; Das, 2013; Harr, 2012; Khosla et and simulate a complex engineering problem such as those
al., 1936; Lane, 1935), which were applied to analyze seepage related to seepage under hydraulic structures (Alsenousi and
under HWRS, did not incorporate the effects of hydraulic Mohamed, 2008; Azizi et al., 2012; Lefebvre et al., 1981;
conductivity on the seepage characteristics. Also, these methods Mansuri et al., 2014; Moharrami et al., 2014; Shahrbanozadeh et
are only applicable for general soil properties and simple seepage al., 2015). The Geo-Studio/SEEPW (Krahn, 2012) software
flow conditions. However, in the real life soil properties vary based on FEM has been developed to simulate complex scenarios
with different locations and directions, and are rarely observed in for various soil properties and different boundary conditions. In

*Ph.D., Student at College of Science and Engineering, James Cook University, Townsville QLD 4811, Australia; Scholarship Holder Nominated by Col-
lege of Engineering, Wasit University, Wasit, Iraq, Phone (E-mail: muqdad.aljuboori@my.jcu.edu.au)
**Senior Lecturer, Discipline of Civil Engineering, College of Science and Engineering, James Cook University, Townsville QLD 4811, Australia (Corre-
sponding Author, E-mail: bithin.datta@jcu.edu.au)

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Muqdad Al-Juboori and Bithin Datta

this study, this software was utilized for numerical seepage function approximation and prediction tasks (Alpaydin, 2014).
modelling. For surrogate models training purpose, this numerical By utilizing the SVM, nonlinear and complex engineering
model was solved with random input data sets. These generated problems can be efficiently modelled. Moreover, the SVM has
data sets (input-output) are utilized to train the surrogate models as an ability to overcome noisy data in the training phase by
an approximate simulator of the numerical simulation model. integrating the most controllable support vectors (training data).
However, in addition to the seepage analysis accuracy, the Also, the SVM has the ability to overcome the over-training
economy of the design is a critical aspect in big construction phenomena. Lately, the SVM have been widely utilized in many
projects. The efficiency of the construction cost for HWRS must civil engineering researches (Deka, 2014; Fisher et al., 2017;
be integrated as a crucial factor in HWRS design because Mahani et al., 2015; Parsaie et al., 2015; Ranković et al., 2014;
constructing such projects needs significant amounts of construction Su et al., 2016). In all these researches, the SVM models were
material and engineering efforts. Moreover, the design safety developed to imitate specific responses for a particular engineering
factors of hydraulic structures are extremely conservative because problem or numerical model to enhance the understanding of the
any failure of HWRS leads to catastrophic events. Therefore, the input variables’ effects on the predicted responses. However, the
cost efficiency and the safety of HWRS design must be SVM surrogate models have been rarely linked with the
incorporated simultaneously with the accurate seepage analysis. optimization model in the civil engineering discipline. Furthermore,
Accordingly, the linked Simulation-Optimization (S-O) technique reported studies incorporating other regression machine learning
was adopted to incorporate accurate numerical seepage responses techniques in optimizing design of water retaining structure
considering the variation of hydraulic conductivity (kx) and founded on permeable soils have been limited (Al-Juboori and
anisotropy ratio (ky/kx) in the optimization model with the Datta, 2017; Al-Suhaili and Karim, 2014). Some aspects of the
minimum cost objective function. In many research studies and development of the optimum design model of HWRS using the
engineering applications such as engineering problems related to linked S-O optimization approach based on SVM technique
groundwater and seepage, the linked S-O technique has been were presented by Al-Juboori and Datta (2018a) disregarding the
efficiently utilized to find the optimum solution based on the effects of the soil conductivity variation.
numerical simulation responses (Al-Juboori and Datta, 2017; This study focuses on studying the effect of the hydraulic
Datta et al., 2011; Jha and Datta, 2011; Shourian et al., 2008; conductivity kx (for isotropic soil), and anisotropy ratio ky/kx on
Singh and Datta, 2006; Sreekanth and Datta, 2011; Sreekanth the optimum design of HWRS using linked S-O technique. A
and Datta, 2015). The majority of these studies concluded that constrained optimization model was developed based the
the S-O technique could be efficiently applied to solve different Genetic Algorithm (GA). The GA utilized the SVM surrogate
engineering problems, based on the incorporation of accurate models’ responses to evaluate the objective function and the
numerical responses. constraints to select the optimum decision variables' values. The
The linked S-O methodology integrates the numerical seepage SVM models were trained and tested using a large number of the
simulation model within the optimization algorithm, to determine numerically simulated data sets. Additionally, the optimum
seepage characteristics. The evolutionary optimization algorithms solutions obtained by the S-O model were evaluated by comparing
based on direct search technique, assesses the fitness function the seepage characteristics predicted by the S-O model with the
and constraints continuously based on the numerical model numerical solution results obtained by processing the optimal
responses. The optimization algorithm calls the numerical model design variables as the input data set for the numerical seepage
numerous times to evaluate the fitness value and constraints for a modelling. The significance of this study is represented by
large number of randomly generated candidate solutions. As a efficiently implementing the linked S-O methodology to incorporate
result, direct linking the optimization model to the numerical the numerical seepage responses and effects of hydraulic
simulation model is a time consuming and computationally conductivity on the optimum design of HWRS.
demanding task, even with a high speed processor unit. The The next section emphasises on the seepage conceptual model,
running time of direct linked S-O system to obtain optimal the SVM technique based the developed surrogate models and
solutions may be as long as weeks or even months (Dhar and the formulation of the linked S-O model. Section three discusses
Datta, 2009). Alternatively, the numerical model could be replaced the results, and then section four includes the main conclusions.
by a trained surrogate model, which provides expeditious and
precise responses for the S-O model. A high accuracy surrogate 2. Material and Methods
model, based on regression machine learning techniques, could be
trained and tested using many data sets simulated by a numerical 2.1 Conceptual Seepage Model and Training Data Gener-
model. The surrogate model can provide accurate prediction of ation
seepage characteristics within the S-O model, even for an unseen The most important advantages of using numerical modeling
or out of training data sets. for a complex engineering problem are the accuracy, cost and
In this study, the Support Vector Machine (SVM) was used to time efficiency. To extensively study and optimize all possible
build surrogate models. The SVM is considered a powerful design scenarios based optimum solutions related to seepage
machine learning technique, which is used in classification, characteristics of HWRS, a comprehensive conceptual model

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Minimum Cost Design of Hydraulic Water Retaining Structure by Using Coupled Simulation Optimization Approach

Fig. 1. Proposed Conceptual Model

was built, as shown in Fig. 1. The variables of comprehensive Table 1. Description of the Generated Data
model were processed through the optimization model to find the Input variable Unite Min Max Average Std.
most important design variables that provide a safe, economic 1 b , b , …. b
1 2 11 m 1 120 60.37 34.26
and optimum design. The attributes of the conceptual model 2 d , d , …. d
1 2 10 m 0 60 29.98 17.37
comprised ten sheet piles (cut-offs) S1, S2,…, S10 with varied 3 β ,β ,…β
1 2 10 degree 30 150 90.4 34.11
positions, lengths and orientations. Additionally, three subsoil 4 DL m 15 300 161.01 27.01
layers were assumed based on different values of hydraulic 5 k x m /day
3
0.01 20 10.04 5.78
conductivity, where k and ky/kx are varied for each layer for each 6 (k /k )
y x - 0.1 1.5 0.80 0.40
case. As a result, the contribution of each design variable in the
conceptual model to attain a safe and optimal design could be
explored by solving the optimization model based on the pressure in front (PE) and behind (PC) each single sheet pile, in
surrogate model responses. The surrogate models were trained addition to exit gradient (ie) at the end of the floor of the
based on the numerically simulated data sets. The direct linking of hydraulic structure (toe). All the input data sets (input variable)
a numerical model with an optimization model is a complex and and the related output data set (seepage characteristic) were
difficult task requiring enormous computation time. Therefore, utilized to train the surrogate models.
the surrogate model could be linked to the optimization solver
instead of the direct linking of the numerical model, while a 2.2 The Support Vector Machine and Developing the Sur-
highly acceptable accuracy and computational efficiency must rogate Models
be achieved for the developed surrogate models. The SVM is one of the most popular machine learning techniques,
Building a surrogate model includes randomly generating and recently has been implemented for different engineering
numerous different input data sets based on conceptual model problems. The SVM is a regression and classification technique
design variables, and solving each set by the numerical model to that provides generalized responses, and is less affected by the
obtain the output data sets. For each generated scenario, the input overfitting phenomena (Alpaydin, 2014). Lately, the SVM has
design variables, the hydraulic conductivity value and anisotropic been efficiently applied to many hydraulic and civil engineering
ratio are different from others scenarios. Input and output researches (Deka, 2014; Fisher et al., 2017; Mahani et al., 2015;
variables for each scenario represent one input data set. The input Parsaie et al., 2015; Ranković et al., 2014; Su et al., 2016).
variables of the numerical model are: the total upstream water Concisely, the SVM algorithm selects from the training data
head (H), the ten sheet pile depths (d1, d2,… d10), their inclination sets an efficient hyperplane, by which a good separation could be
angles (β1, β2,… β10), the width between the sheet piles (b1, b2,…. achieved. As long as the boundary (the margin) of the hyperplane is
b10), the three subsoil layers depths (LD1, LD2, LD3) and their far from the center of the hyperplane, a good prediction ability of
hydraulic conductivity in the horizontal direction (kx1, kx2, kx2) the SVM model could be attained (see Fig. 2). The multi-
with their anisotropy ratio (ky/kx)1, (ky/kx)2, (ky/kx)3, as shown in objective optimization task of the SVM algorithm concentrates
Fig. 1 and Table 1. Latin Hypercube Sampling method (LHS) on defining the best data sets that provide an efficient classification,
(Cox and Reid, 2000) was used to randomly generate data for the and maximizing the margin widths of the hyperplane. Therefore,
specified range. The input data and their corresponding simulated the SVM is less constrained by the training data, and the
responses (the output data) were utilized to train and build the prediction ability for unseen data set is robust (Alpaydin, 2014;
SVM models. The output data for each case was obtained by Kramer, 2016).
simulating and solving each input scenario using Geo-Studio/ A normal vector W = (w, .., wd)T∈ Rd and a point x0 on the
SEEPW code (Krahn, 2012). The most important seepage hyperplane could be used to describe the hyperplane A as:
d T
characteristics for each numerical seepage model are the uplift A = { x ∈ R :w x + w0 = 0 } . Then, assuming there is two classes

Vol. 00, No. 0 / 000 0000 −3−


Muqdad Al-Juboori and Bithin Datta

separating hyperplane that one which has the maximum margin


1 1 2 1 2
m = ------- + ------- = ------- or the minimum norm --- w ; therefore, the
w w w 2
optimization task could be formulated as shown in Eqs. (4a) and
(4b):
1
Minimize: --- w 2 we need to put this equation as (4a)
2

Subject to: rt ( WT xt + w0 ) ≥ +1, ∀t (4b)


This optimization problem could be solved by finding W and
w0 to define the optimal hyperplane having an efficient margin m
and the decision boundary, which called support vectors
(Alpaydin, 2014; Kramer, 2016). This optimization task could be
solved by using Lagrange multipliers as shown in Eq. (5).
1 T N N N
Fig. 2. Linear Separation Support Vector (two classes) T1 t t t t t t
Ld = – --- ( w w ) – w --- ∑ α r x – w0 ∑ α r + ∑ α (5)
2 2t = 1 t=1 t=1

+1/−1 and the sample X = {xt, rt}(Azizi et al., 2012), where rt = In this study, the SVM models were set up by utilizing the
+1 if x ∈ C1 and rt = −1 if xt ∈ C2 , as shown in Eqs. (1) and. (2): MATLAB programming language. 1500 input and output data
T t t sets were utilized to train and test the SVM surrogate models.
( W x + w0 ) ≥ +1 for r = +1 (1)
Twenty one models were trained to predict PEi and PCi for each
T t t sheet pile and ie near the toe of the HWRS model. For each SVM
( W x + w0 ) ≤ – 1 for r = –1 (2)
surrogate model, 90% of the source data sets was randomly
The Eq. (1) and (2) could be written as in Eq. (3): selected for training, and 10% was kept for testing. The efficiency of
t T t the developed SVM models was measured by calculating the
r ( W x + w0 ) ≥ +1 (3)
coefficient of determination (RSQ) and Mean Square Error
So, according to the Eq. (3), the instances must not be located (MSE) for both training and testing data sets. The MSE provides
on the hyperplane ( ≥ +0 ) only, but also must be at a distance a general idea on the robustness of the model prediction, and a
( ≥ +1 ) a way to provide better separation. Then the best value of MSE less than 10% is considered satisfactory. The RSQ

Table 2. Characteristics of the Developed SVM Models


Model RSQ TRAIN MSE TRAIN RSQ TEST MSE TEST Function ORDER Input variables
Exit gradient 0.95 0.1 0.91 0.17 polynomial 4 x x x x x x x x x x x AB
8 9 10 11 19 20 21 22 30 31 32
*

PC10 0.97 1.22 0.97 1.08 polynomial 4 x x x AB 11 21 32

PE10 0.96 4.57 0.97 3.64 polynomial 3 x AB 10

PC9 0.95 7.66 0.95 6.35 polynomial 3 x x AB 20 31

PE9 0.99 1.32 0.99 0.96 polynomial 3 x AB 9

PC8 0.98 3.74 0.98 2.93 polynomial 4 x x AB 19 30

PE8 0.99 0.82 0.99 0.97 polynomial 3 x AB 8

PC7 0.99 2.12 0.99 1.59 polynomial 3 x x AB 18 29

PE7 0.98 5.25 0.99 0.77 polynomial 2 x AB 7

PC6 0.99 1.74 0.99 1.46 polynomial 4 x x AB 17 28

PE6 0.99 1.08 0.99 0.65 polynomial 3 x x AB 6 22

PC5 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.13 polynomial 3 x x AB 16 27

PE5 0.99 0.63 0.99 0.54 polynomial 2 x AB 5

PC4 0.99 1.21 0.99 1.2 polynomial 3 x x AB 15 26

PE4 0.99 0.77 0.99 0.74 polynomial 2 x AB 4

PC3 0.99 0.95 0.99 0.94 polynomial 3 x x AB 14 25

PE3 0.99 0.94 0.99 0.93 polynomial 3 x AB 3

PC2 0.99 1.92 0.99 1.94 polynomial 4 x x AB 13 24

PE2 0.99 1.11 0.99 1.13 polynomial 3 x AB 2

PC1 0.99 2.75 0.99 3.2 polynomial 3 x x AB 12 23

PE1 0.99 3.2 0.99 2.8 polynomial 2 x AB 1

Note: AB equals to [DL , DL , DL , k , (k /k ) , k , (k /k ) , k , (k /k ) , H]


1 2 3 x1 y x 1 x2 y x 2 x3 y x 3

−4− KSCE Journal of Civil Engineering


Minimum Cost Design of Hydraulic Water Retaining Structure by Using Coupled Simulation Optimization Approach

represents the degree to which the variability in the given data is many engineering design problems, and economic applications
interpreted by the prediction data. Mathematically, RSQ is (Al-Juboori and Datta, 2017; Al-Juboori and Datta, 2018a;
represented by the ratio of the Model Sum Square (MSS) to the Bornschlegell et al., 2012; Cojocaru et al., 2013; Datta et al.,
actual or Total Sum Square (TSS) (Gail et al., 2007). The MSE 2011; Hassan, 2017; Housh et al., 2012; Innal et al., 2015; Islam
and RSQ could be determined using Eq. (6) to Eq. (9). et al., 2015; Rajper and Amin, 2012; Singh, 2010; Singh, 2011).
n 2 The GA may need to call the developed surrogate models’ and
∑ i = 1( ŷi – yi )
MSE = ------------------------------- (6) use the responses a huge number of times to evaluate the constraint
n
values and the fitness function. Furthermore, surrogate models’
responses vary each time with the new candidate solution presented
∑ difference of predicted value to by the optimization solver. Hence, the optimization model is
MSS 2 the mean
RSQ = R = ----------- = --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (7) considered a complex task. Therefore, the GA is appropriate to
TSS
∑ difference of actural value to solve such complex design optimization problem. MATLAB
the mean programing language was used to solve this optimization problem.
n
The utilized GA parameters were: Population Size 2000, Crossover
2
MSS = ∑ ( ŷi – y ) (8) Fraction 0.8, Elite Count 10, Objective Function Tolerance 1e-6,
i=1 Constraint Tolerance1e-3, and the rest of the GA parameters were
n same as the default MATLAB options.
2
TSS = ∑ ( yi – y ) (9) The decision vector (X) in the optimization model referred to
i=1 the same design variables mentioned in the conceptual model
Where ŷ is the predicted value, y refers to the mean of the and was integrated in the training of SVM models. These variables
target (actual) data and y is the target data. The SVM training include the sheet piles’ depths, locations and inclination angles.
parameters, such as kernel function and constraint box, etc., of The decision vector is listed as shown below and the optimization
each SVM model were prudently selected after several iterations problem is formulated as:
of trial and error to attain the best RSQ value, and to minimize
the MSE value. We found that the kernel function extensively ⎧ b1 ⎫
⎪b ⎪
influences the performance of SVM model, and the polynomial ⎪ 2⎪
kernel provided the best prediction. Furthermore, polynomial ⎪  ⎪
⎪ ⎪
kernel was the most suitable one comparable with the Gaussian, ⎪ b11 ⎪
⎧ x 1 ⎫⎪ ⎪
Radial Basis Function (RBF) and linear kernel. The attributes ⎪ ⎪⎪ b 1 ⎪
and the input variables in addition to the error measures (RSQ, ⎪ x 2 ⎪⎪ ⎪
⎪ ⎪⎪ b 2 ⎪
MSE) of training and testing phases for each SVM surrogate Find X = ⎨  ⎬⎨ ⎬
model are listed in Table 2. The design variables from x1 to x11 ⎪ ⎪⎪  ⎪
⎪  ⎪⎪ d ⎪
represent the width between sheet piles (b1, b2…b11), variables ⎪ x ⎪⎪ 10 ⎪
from x12 to x22 represent the depth of the sheet piles (d1, d2,…d10), ⎩ 32 ⎭⎪ β ⎪
⎪ 1⎪
and the variables from x23 to x32 represent the inclination angle ⎪ β2 ⎪
⎪ ⎪
for the cut-offs (β1, β2,…β10). These design variables were ⎪  ⎪
processed in a similar layout for the optimization model to ⎪ ⎪
⎩ β10 ⎭
identify the decision variable.
Which minimizes the cost objective function shown in Eq.
2.3 Optimization Model (10)
A constrained optimization model was formulated as a part of 11 21
S-O model to determine the optimum design of HWRS. The f ( X ) = cf ∑ Ti x i + c c tc ∑ x i (10)
safety factors and other hydraulic design requirements represented x=1 x = 12

the imposed constraints of the optimization model. The best Where Ti represents the average thickness of the floor between
value of each design/decision variable is selected by the two sheet piles(ti, ti+1), cf = The construction cost of the floor per
optimization algorithm to provide a safe and economic design. cubic meter ($500/m3), cc = The construction cost of the sheet
The optimization solver utilized in this study was the Genetic pile per cubic meter ($1000/m3), tc = the thickness of the sheet
Algorithm (GA) based on the direct search and natural selection pile, which is constant = 0.5 m.
principles. The GA is considered a computationally expensive The decision vector (X) is subjected to the following constraints:
optimization algorithm because it is based on a large number of Binding (surrogate models) constraints: the values PCi and
evaluations to the fitness value and constraints based on a big PEi for each sheet pile, and the ie value involved in the S-O model,
number of randomly generated individuals for many sequential were determined based on the surrogate models’ responses.
generations (Gen and Cheng, 2000; Haupt and Haupt, 2004). Consequently, each candidate solution (X) was processed by the
The GA have been efficiently applied to solve and optimize surrogate models to determine the seepage characteristic values.

Vol. 00, No. 0 / 000 0000 −5−


Muqdad Al-Juboori and Bithin Datta

by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (1987) and Bligh (1915).


PEi or PCi
ti ≥ 1.3 ⎛ ---------------------------⎞ , i = 1, 2, …, 10 (13)
⎝ Gc – 1 ⎠

Where; Gc is the specific gravity of the concrete, i refers to the


sequences of the sheet piles under the hydraulic structure.
Overturning safety factors: The HWRS must resist the
overturning forces. These forces are resulted from the external
load, such as the horizontal component of the hydrostatic
upstream water head. Besides, the vertical effects of the uplift
pressure on the HWRS foundation must to be incorporated in
overturning safety factor. Lj (2014) recommended that the safety
Fig. 3. Flow Chart for the Linked Simulation-Optimization Method- factor for overturning should be not less than 1.5 and could be
ology expressed by Eq. (14)
Mpas
Fsoverturning = ---------
- ≥ 1.5 (14)
Mact
As a result, the surrogate models within the optimization model
could be considered as the binding constraints, where the Where: Mpas refers to the summation of all passive moments,
decision vector must satisfy the surrogate model constraints in which enhance the stability of HWRS against the overturning
addition to others design and logical constraints. As shown in forces. All the moments were determined at the toe of the
Eq. (11) and Fig. 3, the PCi, PEi and ie values are interrelated HWRS. The Mpas mainly encompassed the moments resulted
with the objective function and other constraint. from the weight of the cross sections of HWRS between any
consecutive sheet piles. In contrast, the Mact represents the active
( PCi, PEi, ie ) = f ( X ), i = 1, 2, …, 10 (11)
moments which weaken the stability of HWRS. The uplift
The exit gradient (ie) constraint: The most critical design pressures for each point under HWRS and the upstream hydrostatic
variable directly affecting the safety of the HWRS is the exit head (horizontal component) are the main forces developing the
gradient value. Physically, the exit gradient value represents the Mact moments. Interestingly, each value of Mpas or Mact were
drop in the hydraulic gradient for the last square of the stream- varied with the new candidate decision vector, and their values
equipotential flow-net divided by the length of this square (ie = were directly based on the SVM surrogate models’ responses.
ΔH/L). Typically, the ie value is compared with the critical Furthermore, these responses were used to determine the
gradient (ic) value to ensure a safe exit gradient for the HWRS. thickness of the cross sections and the distribution of the uplift
γ
sub pressure along the width of HWRS.
The critical gradient could be determined by ic = ------- , where: γsub
γw Sliding safety factors: The sliding safety factor for HWRS
is the submerged soil density, and γw is the weight density of must be more than 1.5 (Lj, 2014). In addition to the external load
water. Normally, the ic value is around 1, in this study it was effects, the internal resistance friction factor (f) and cohesion
assumed as 1.15. If the value of ie is equal or more than ic, the factor (C) for the soil were incorporated in the expression of the
piping failure might happen. Consequently, the ie value must be sliding safety factor of HWRS as demonstrated in Eq. (15).
at least (3-5) times less than ic (Harr, 2012; Khosla et al., 1936).
TVL × f × C × B
The safety factor of the exit gradient was determined using Eq. Fssliding = ----------------------------------- ≥ 1.5 (15)
THL
(12). The numerical seepage modelling solution for ie value was
determined near the toe of the HWRS, at which the shortest Where; f = tanø = 0.7 and ø = internal friction angle, C = 20,
streamline and largest exit gradient value could be seen. TVL = the resultant of vertical load (abstraction the uplift forces
from the total weight of HWRS), B = Total width of HWRS and
i
F.S = ---c ≥ 5 (12) THL = total horizontal load.
ie
Eccentric load condition: Garg (1987) recommended that the
The flotation constraint: The uplift pressure on the foundation of resultant force location(e), which is obtained by Eq. (16), must be
HWRS produced by seeping water must be counterbalanced by a within the middle third of the total width. This constraint
sufficient cross section, and weight of HWRS. Therefore, the corroborates a full compression zone condition under HWRS and
values of PCi and PEi located near each sheet pile were balanced prevents non-uniform load distribution on the soil foundation. This
by the weight of the floor thickness (ti) at that location. Therefore, a situation might lead to a differential settlement and HWRS failure.
feasible GA solution must sufficiently increase the thickness of
Mpas – Mact
the floor to increase the HWRS floor weight, until a safe situation is e = ------------------------
-, 2B ⁄ 3 ≥ e ≥ B ⁄ 3 (16)
TVL
achieved. Therefore, the thickness of the HWRS design must
satisfy the imposed constraints shown in Eq. (13), as recommended Other constraints: Many other design requirements of HWRS

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Minimum Cost Design of Hydraulic Water Retaining Structure by Using Coupled Simulation Optimization Approach

were also integrated in the optimization model. Additionally, the (X) to be obtained by the optimization solver as an optimum
logical constraints were also included to prevent the optimization solution for each implemented case.
algorithm from returning unrealistic, negative values or illogical Generally, the results revealed that the increase of the (kx)1 and
solutions. (ky/kx)1 ratio significantly decreased the total cost of the HWRS,
as shown in Fig. 4. The reason is that, when kx1 increases with
3. Results and Discussion the constant anisotropy ratio ((ky/kx)1 = 1), the seeping water can
move relatively easily from the high pressure zone (upstream) to the
The constrained optimization model based on the GA algorithm low pressure zone (downstream). Consequently, the pore-water
was formulated, and successfully linked to the surrogate models. pressure underneath HWRS and the exit gradient values decrease.
The S-O model was implemented with different values of kx and Similarly, when the anisotropy ratio (ky/kx)1 is large with a specified
ky/kx ratio of the first soil layer. The first layer is the nearest layer hydraulic conductivity (kx1 = 5), the seeping water motion in the
to the foundation of HWRS (Fig. 1), and has a significant influence vertical direction becomes faster and the exit gradient value
on seepage characteristics. The effect of (ky/kx)1 was studied by becomes smaller compared to the exit gradient value obtained
assuming ten different values ranging from 0.1 to 1.4. Besides, for the small values of (ky/kx)1 ratio. Hence, for high values of
seventeen different values of kx1 ranging from 0.01 m/ day to 10 (kx)1 and (ky/kx)1, the optimum length d10 and the total width (B),
m/day were proposed and processed through S-O technique. The which are the most effective variables, decreased; consequently the
value of the other design variables and parameters were left optimal cost declined. The low anisotropy ratios (0.1 to 0.6)
constant; for example, k and ky/kx of the second and third layers drastically increased the construction cost, as shown in Fig. 4.
were 5 m/day and 1 respectively. The upstream head, i.e. H, The reason is that the optimum B for the HWRS and d10 values
value was 50 m and the depth of the three layers equaled to 50 m. were relatively larger to counterbalance the effect of the high
The rest of the variables were considered the decision variables uplift pressure, and to yield the exit gradient value to the safe

Fig. 4. Minimum Cost HWRS Optimum Design: (a) for Different Values (k ) , (b) for Different Values (k /k )
x 1 y x 1

Fig. 4. Minimum Cost HWRS Optimum Design: (a) for Different Values (k ) , (b) for Different Values (k /k )
x 1 y x 1

Vol. 00, No. 0 / 000 0000 −7−


Muqdad Al-Juboori and Bithin Datta

Table 3. Safety Factors for the Implemented Cases for Different (k ) x 1 Table 4. Safety Factors for the Implemented Cases for Different
Exit Eccentric (k /k )1 y x

Kx1 Sliding Overturning


gradient distance (m) Exit Eccentric
(K /K ) Sliding Overturning
0.01 0.22 43.58 1.84 3.45
y x 1
gradient distance (m)
0.05 0.23 45.14 1.89 3.33 0.1 0.23 121.64 2.14 6.53
0.1 0.23 44.11 1.85 3.43 0.2 0.23 119.20 2.14 6.43
0.2 0.23 43.39 1.83 3.45 0.3 0.23 78.63 2.08 4.94
0.3 0.23 45.13 1.89 3.34 0.4 0.22 81.11 2.08 4.95
0.4 0.22 43.71 1.84 3.48 0.6 0.23 47.53 1.98 3.24
0.5 0.23 55.15 1.98 3.69 0.8 0.23 33.48 1.85 2.49
0.6 0.15 43.90 1.86 3.32 1 0.16 30.90 1.79 2.58
0.7 0.23 44.46 1.87 3.37 1.2 0.23 30.28 1.80 2.34
0.8 0.23 42.45 1.86 3.25 1.4 0.23 27.46 1.74 2.31
0.9 0.23 43.62 1.86 3.35
1 0.22 43.56 1.85 3.38
2 0.23 43.98 1.89 3.30
The S-O results demonstrated that the contribution of b1 to b8
4 0.23 32.04 1.82 2.49
and d1 to d9 to the safety of HWRS was insignificant, as the
6 0.23 31.64 1.80 2.66 optimum value of those variables, shown in Figs. 6 and 7,
8 0.22 26.53 1.74 2.04 approached zero. Additionally, since the values of d1 to d9
10 0.21 22.53 1.68 1.90 approached to zero, the associated inclination angle for each
sheet pile (β1, β2,…β9) was inconsiderable. However, the
optimum solutions of HWRS were based on increasing the value
allowable value (0.23). Also, for the same reasons, there was a of b9, and b10 to counterbalance the uplift pressure values, and
high optimum construction cost of low kx1 values ranging based on augmenting the d10 and β10 to decrease the exit gradient
between 0.01 and 0.8 m/day value. This could be explained by the following reasons, the exit
The optimum design of HWRS for the implemented cases gradient value is the most critical safety factor for the obtained
satisfied all safety factors and design requirements. The exit optimum solutions because the optimum values were close to the
gradient safety factor and safe eccentric distance (Fig. 5), permissible maximum design values specified, as shown in
especially for the small values of (ky/kx) and (kx)1, played a more Tables 3 and 4. Additionally, the optimization solver particularly
crucial role in the optimum solution, compared to the other increased the d10 and β10 values, because these variables are more
safety factors. This is evident, as these safety factors reached the effective at reducing the exit gradient value. Also, increasing
maximum or minimum allowable limit to satisfy the design these value, particularly provides an effective and the minimum
requirements while the optimum design attaining the minimum cost alternative. The augmentations of these values lengthened
construction cost. Tables 3 and 4 demonstrate the safety factor the seeping water stream line; consequently the exit gradient
variations with different values of (ky/kx)1 and (kx)1,respectively. value decreased. Hence, the optimum value of β10 equalled 150
However, with augmentation of (ky/kx)1 and (kx)1, the exit gradient degrees, which was the maximum specified bound for this
and eccentric distance became less controllable. Consequently, variable. Simultaneously, the optimum width of HWRS required
the sliding and overturning safety factor approached the minimum to satisfy the overturning and the sliding safety factors was
allowable limits and became more controllable with the increase provided by b9 and b10. Furthermore, the sufficient width was
of (ky/kx)1 and (kx)1 values. also necessary to prevent the eccentric load condition of the

Fig. 6. Optimum Values for Distances between Sheet Piles (b to b ) of HWRS: (a) for Different Values (k ) , (b) for Different Values (k /k )
1 11 x 1 y x 1

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Minimum Cost Design of Hydraulic Water Retaining Structure by Using Coupled Simulation Optimization Approach

Fig. 7. Optimum Values for Sheet Piles Depths (d to d ) of HWRS: (a) for Different Values (k ) , (b) for Different Values (k /k )
1 10 x 1 y x 1

HWRS. Besides, the uplift pressure on the downstream side compared to the numerical solutions, which might be attributed
decreased with the total width augmentation, resulting in reduction to the imprecise learning of the exit gradient surrogate model
of the exit gradient value. Therefore, the values of b9 and b10 with many input variables (Table 2). Mainly, the performance of
mainly provide an efficient cross section and weight to resist the utilized surrogate models within S-O model was totally within
external loads and uplift pressure, and partially reduce the uplift acceptable ranges and the exit gradient safety factor for these
pressure and exit gradient value. cases were within the safe limits. Also, the evaluation process
Finally, the robustness of the developed methodology could be showed that the utilized SVM machine learning technique could
assessed by measuring the deviation of the predicted seepage build accurate and efficient surrogate model for complex
characteristics via S-O model to the numerical seepage modelling problems, while including many design variables. Some of the
solutions. For all implemented cases, the predicted seepage evaluation results are represented by the bar charts shown in
characteristics (PEi, PCi, exit gradient) for a certain optimum Figs. 8 and 9 including five (±2.5%) percentage error.
solution were compared to the numerical solution of the same
optimum solution. The evaluations demonstrated that the developed 4. Conclusions
surrogate models based on the SVM technique provided accurate
predictions of seepage characteristics within S-O model for the The main conclusion of this study was that the hydraulic
optimum solutions located within the training range. However, conductivity and-/or anisotropy ratio related to the seepage flow
the prediction accuracy of the surrogate models was slightly less domain have significant impacts on the optimum design of
for few extreme optimum solutions (out of the training rages). In HWRS. These effects have rarely been considered in the optimum
general, the percentages of the error of the predicted seepage design of HWRS because of the complexity of incorporating the
characteristics compared to the numerical seepage simulation hydraulic conductivity variation in the seepage analysis and the
solutions were less than −\+10%. The Mean Absolute Error related hydraulic design of HWRS. Furthermore, directly linking
(MAE) of the predicted uplift pressure under the HWRS at the numerical model to the direct search algorithms such as GA
specified locations for different values of (ky/kx)1 and (kx)1 is is a computationally expensive and time consuming task. The
presented in the Tables 5 and 6, respectively. Also, the MEA for linked S-O methodology was efficient in identifying the optimum
exit gradient value was (0.0272) of the implemented cases with solutions for minimum cost design of HWRS for different
different values of (kx)1, and was (0.0386) of the implemented combination of the hydraulic conductivity values and the anisotropy
cases with the diffident values of (ky/kx)1. However, there were ratio. This was achieved by linking the adequately-trained SVM
some noticeable deviations in the predicted exit gradient values surrogate models to the evolutionary optimization solver (GA).
The functions and parameters the SVM and GA were carefully
selected after many trial and error iterations to provide the best
Table 5. Mean Absolute Error for the Predicted Uplift Pressure at results.
the Specified Locations of HWRS for Different (k /k )1 y x
In general, the optimum solution consisted of the required
(k /k )
y x0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8
1 1 1.2 1.4 1.5 total width of the HWRS floor (b9, b10) to provide a sufficient
MAE(m) 0.74 5.85 5.37 2.03 2.28 2.25 1.71 0.62 0.80 2.27 cross section for resistance to the external hydrostatic and uplift

Table 6. Mean Absolute Error for the Predicted Uplift Pressure at the Specified Locations of HWRS for Different (k )1 x

Kx 1 0.01 0.05 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 2 4 6 8 10
MAE(m) 5.39 5.18 5.39 5.22 5.33 4.44 4.89 3.07 4.66 4.47 3.86 3.70 2.43 2.18 1.14 3.38 2.61

Vol. 00, No. 0 / 000 0000 −9−


Muqdad Al-Juboori and Bithin Datta

Fig. 8. Evaluation Results for Optimum Solution Seepage Characteristics: (a) Uplift Pressure (k /k ) = 0.1, (b) Uplift Pressure (k /k ) =
y x 1 y x 1

0.6, (c) Uplift Pressure (k /k ) = 1, (d) Uplift Pressure (k /k ) = 1.2, (e) Uplift Pressure (k /k ) = 1.4, (f) Exit Gradient
y x 1 y x 1 y x 1

pressures, and to partially decrease the uplift pressure and exit kx)1 are larger and more critical than those obtained for large
gradient impacts. Also, an efficient depth of the last sheet pile values of the (kx)1 or (ky/kx). Consequently, the optimization
(d10) with inclination angle (β10) up to150 degrees were indispensable solver increased d10 and (b9, b10) to provide a safe exit gradient
to provide a safe exit gradient. All HWRS safety factors and and to satisfy other design requirements at the minimum cost of
design requirements were satisfied as verified by numerical HWRS design (Fig. 7, Fig. 6).
simulation. For small (ky/kx)1 and (kx)1 value, the most critical The evaluation results proved that the SVM surrogate models
safety factors were the exit gradient safety factor and preventing based on polynomial kernel function presented a robust prediction
non-uniform (eccentric) load condition on the foundation of of the seepage characteristics for the HWRS design. This was
HWRS. also true when the optimum solutions were out of or, close to the
The S-O results showed that the decrease of (kx)1 or (ky/kx)1 training data ranges. Hence, the linked S-O was accurate and
augmented the optimal construction cost. This may be due to the computationally efficient to determine the minimum construction
fact that the seepage characteristics for low values of (kx)1 or (ky/ cost optimum design, satisfying all the hydraulic design

− 10 − KSCE Journal of Civil Engineering


Minimum Cost Design of Hydraulic Water Retaining Structure by Using Coupled Simulation Optimization Approach

Fig. 9. Evaluation Results for Optimum Solution Seepage Characteristics: (a) Uplift Pressure (k ) = 0.1, (b) Uplift Pressure (k ) = 0.4, (c)
x 1 x 1

Uplift Pressure (k ) = 0.8, (d) Uplift Pressure (k ) = 1, (e) Uplift Pressure (k ) = 6, (f) Exit Gradient
x 1 x 1 x 1

requirements and constraints. Therefore the proposed methodology Townsville, QLD, Australia. In 2011, he accomplished his M.Sc.
is potentially applicable for optimal design of the HWRS, degree, Civil Engineering Department, College of Engineering,
incorporating different scenarios of hydraulic conductivity of the Kufa University, Najaf, Iraq. In 2004, he completed his B.Sc.
underlying soil. degree, Civil Engineering Department, College of Engineering,
For futures studies, it is recommended to utilized different Kufa University, Najaf, Iraq.
machine learning techniques that can provide more accurate Dr. Bithin Datta graduated with a B.Tech. (Hons.) and then
responses compared with SVM models’ predictions. Also, the Masters degrees in Civil Engineering from IIT Kharagpur in
effects of the soil properties that maximize the safety of the India. Obtained his Ph.D. in Civil Engineering from Purdue
HWRS instead of only minimizing the construction cost might University, U.S.A. He worked in different positions at a number
be valuable to consider for the future research. of reputed Universities in U.S.A, including University of
California, Davis, University of Washington, Seattle. He then
Biography joined the Civil Engineering Department at IIT Kanpur in India,
Muqdad Al-Juboori is currently a Ph.D student enrolled in his and served in the position of Professor and Senior Professor. He
Ph.D. degree in 2015 at Civil and Environmental Engineering, also held the position of Professor and Head of Civil Engineering,
College of Science and Engineering, James Cook University, and Head of the Environmental Engineering and Management

Vol. 00, No. 0 / 000 0000 − 11 −


Muqdad Al-Juboori and Bithin Datta

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