RUN OFF PROBABILITY

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DATA
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CATCHMENT AREA:- 11.5 Square Kilometres

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UNIT MEAN ANNUAL RUN OFF:- 60 Millimetres/annum
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COEFFICIENT OF VARIATION:- 1.10 in decimal form
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_
CALCULATION x = ((-Ln(1-P))^1/n)/x
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Catchment Mean Annual Run Off ( x) MAR = 690 Megalitres
Shape parameter n = 0.910298931 n/2 = 0.45514947
Scale parameter c = 1.5156E-3 (1/Ml.) = 1.5156E-6 (1/sq.m.)

PROBABILITY THAT RUN OFF WILL BE EQUAL TO OR LESS THAN THE TABULATED AMOUNT (IN MEGALITRES)

PROB. (P) | 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
------------- | ------------- ------------------ ---------------- --------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- --------------- ------------- -------------
0.00 | 0 4 9 14 20 25 31 37 43 49
0.10 | 56 62 69 76 83 90 97 104 112 119
0.20 | 127 135 143 151 159 168 177 185 194 203
0.30 | 213 222 232 241 251 262 272 283 293 304
0.40 | 315 327 339 350 363 375 388 401 414 427
0.50 | 441 455 470 485 500 515 531 548 564 582
0.60 | 599 618 636 656 676 696 717 739 762 785
0.70 | 809 834 860 887 915 945 975 1007 1041 1076
0.80 | 1113 1152 1193 1237 1284 1333 1387 1444 1507 1575
0.90 | 1649 1733 1826 1932 2056 2202 2383 2618 2953 3532
 RUN OFF PROBABILITY

1.20

1.00

0.80
PROBABILITY = OR <

0.60

0.40

0.20

0.00
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000

RUN OFF (cu.m./annum)