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This Is A Spreadsheet To Backtest Portfolio Returns From 1972-2006 (1985-2006 If You Want To Include Sector/Tax-Exempt Funds)
This Is A Spreadsheet To Backtest Portfolio Returns From 1972-2006 (1985-2006 If You Want To Include Sector/Tax-Exempt Funds)
The worksheet Portfolio is a simple way to change the allocations of various funds. It provides the CAGR/total/Sharpe Ratio e
sample portfolios like Coffeehouse and draws charts to compare the growth.
The worksheet Returns_72_06 calculates portfolio returns (total/cagr/sharpe ratio/correlation etc) for funds from 1972-2006
The worksheet Returns_85_06 calculates portfolio returns (total/cagr/sharpe ratio/correlation etc) for funds[includes sector fun
The worksheet Data_72_06 includes the returns of various funds from 1972-2006
The worksheet Data_85_06 includes the returns of various funds from 1985-2006 (to include funds many funds that were start
The worksheet Data_Sources lists the sources of the various fund returns
The worksheet SP-72-06 includes some sample portfolios (CoffeeHouse) that's calculated for the time period of your portfolio
The worksheet SP-85-06 includes some sample portfolios (CoffeeHouse) that's calculated for the time period of your portfolio
Things you can change: (Cells that can be changed have pale blue background)
1 - %allocation of funds in worksheet Portfolio
2 - You can change the Starting Year in Cell B36/J36 in worksheet Portfolio
3 - You can change the Ending Year in Cell B37/J37 in worksheet Portfolio
4 - Initial investment for your portfolio
To calculate returns for a portfolio that includes sector funds (Health/P. Metals/Energy) or Windsor II funds from 1991-2000
Change your allocation to include the sector funds
change cell J36 to 1991 in worksheet Portfolio
change cell J37 to 2000 in worksheet Portfolio
The spreadsheet would return the porfolio return over the period 1991-2000.
I separated the 85-06 and 72-06 returns since some funds(sector) were started in 1984 and there was an interest in adding the
Please use this spreadsheet only for learning purposes and as a need for diversification. Don't change your AA purely based o
Past returns are not indicative of future returns.
Visit http://www.diehards.org
Regards,
Simba
6 if you want to include Sector/Tax-Exempt funds]
background)
Sharpe
Total CAGR Std.Dev Ratio C-US C-Intl
Portfolio Growth - Nominal 675432.98 12.79 12.20 0.61 0.81 0.74
Portfolio Growth - Real 145644.64 7.95 12.65 0.21 0.80 0.76
Coffee House Portfolio 481822.34 11.71 10.45 0.59 0.85 0.60
100000.00
200000.00
300000.00
400000.00
500000.00
600000.00
700000.00
800000.00
0.00
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
Your Portfolio
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
CHP
1994
Portfolio Growth (Nominal) 1972-2006
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
To calculate portfolio returns from 1985-2006, Enter the fund allocations here
Sharpe
Total CAGR Std.Dev Ratio C-US C-Intl
Portfolio Growth - Nominal 144689.31 12.91 11.41 0.65 0.74 0.75
Portfolio Growth - Real 78631.75 9.83 11.42 0.38 0.74 0.77
Coffee House Portfolio 109070.55 11.47 9.55 0.74 0.81 0.63
160000.00
Portfolio Growth (Nominal) 1985-2006
140000.00 Your Portfolio CHP
160000.00
Portfolio Growth (Nominal) 1985-2006
140000.00 Your Portfolio CHP
120000.00
100000.00
80000.00
60000.00
40000.00
20000.00
0.00
1985
1987
1988
1990
1991
1993
1997
1999
2002
2005
1986
1989
1992
1994
1995
1996
1998
2000
2001
2003
2004
2006
LCB-500
Year US Mkt LCV Idx LCG MCB SCV SCB SCG D10 REIT EAFE EM
VTSMX VIVAX VFINX VIGRX VIMSX VISVX NAESX VISGX BRSIX VGSIX VDMIX VEIEX
Allocation 10% 10% 0% 0% 0% 10% 10% 0% 0% 10% 10% 10%
Sharpe
Portfolio Total CAGR Std.Dev Ratio C-US C-Intl
Nominal 675432.98 12.79 12.20 0.61 0.81 0.74
Real 145644.64 7.95 12.65 0.21 0.80 0.76
0.86 -0.36
0.51 -0.57
1.05 0.78
1.25 2.46
1.76 -0.02
0.45 1.20
0.33 1.49
0.99 1.50
0.99 2.31
1.62 0.90
3.81 -1.14
1.23 2.57
2.15 2.37
2.70 1.34
1.97 3.33
0.17 1.26
1.10 2.84
2.05 0.92
1.30 0.93
2.29 2.39
1.07 1.13
1.45 2.36
-0.40 0.48
2.73 0.12
0.54 0.62
1.42 1.20
1.29 0.42
-0.11 1.19
1.71 0.72
1.26 1.14
1.24 2.49
0.60 1.20
0.64 1.24
0.36 0.39
0.64 0.06
EAFE/EM Pacific Europe Int.Val COMM LTGB 5 Yr T ITB TBILL TIPS Bal Bal Windsor
VGTSX VPACX VEURX VTRIX PCRIX VUSTX VFITX VBMFX VMPXX VIPSX VWELX VWINX VWNDX
0.76 0.59 0.65 0.75 -0.24 0.23 0.15 0.25 -0.03 0.38 0.83 0.64 0.88
Portfolio Total in
Portfolio Returns 1972
Returns Total Real dollars
10000 10000
14.68 11467.50 11.41 11140.50
-12.34 10052.41 -18.50 9079.51
-14.00 8645.07 -25.03 6806.91
33.92 11577.05 24.72 8489.23
25.65 14546.56 19.90 10178.59
15.20 16757.64 8.70 11064.13
17.08 19619.01 9.46 12110.24
19.02 23350.54 7.80 13054.84
22.79 28672.13 9.21 14257.19
4.93 30085.67 -5.42 13484.45
14.05 34312.70 7.89 14548.38
24.38 42676.43 21.16 17626.08
9.39 46681.61 5.09 18522.37
30.29 60819.13 26.74 23474.33
25.40 76264.15 23.49 28987.27
5.96 80810.26 2.30 29654.27
21.75 98384.47 17.67 34893.44
19.69 117757.35 14.86 40078.95
-8.23 108062.98 -13.62 34619.20
30.19 140689.89 25.94 43600.28
10.71 155752.15 7.68 46947.04
23.69 192656.07 20.73 56681.04
0.19 193022.12 -2.42 55309.36
18.32 228383.77 15.51 63887.84
15.14 262958.79 12.21 71687.90
14.74 301708.39 12.40 80574.33
3.17 311278.58 1.62 81881.25
15.84 360585.11 13.65 93058.04
2.38 369165.23 -1.00 92127.00
0.54 371173.49 -2.29 90020.97
-5.82 349584.19 -7.41 83353.57
29.63 453160.74 27.36 106157.86
16.72 528908.82 14.04 121057.64
9.13 577179.68 5.74 128002.11
17.02 675432.98 13.78 145644.64
LCB-500
Year US Mkt LCV Idx LCG MCB SCV SCB SCG D10 REIT EAFE EM
VTSMX VIVAX VFINX VIGRX VIMSX VISVX NAESX VISGX BRSIX VGSIX VDMIX VEIEX
Allocation 10% 10% 0% 0% 0% 10% 10% 0% 0% 10% 10% 10%
Sharpe
Portfolio Total CAGR Std.Dev Ratio C-US C-Intl
Nominal 144689.31 12.91 11.41 0.65 0.74 0.75
Real 78631.75 9.83 11.42 0.38 0.74 0.77
2.70 1.34
1.97 3.33
0.17 1.26
1.10 2.84
2.05 0.92
1.30 0.93
2.29 2.39
1.07 1.13
1.45 2.36
-0.40 0.48
2.73 0.12
0.54 0.62
1.42 1.20
1.29 0.42
-0.11 1.19
1.71 0.72
1.26 1.14
1.24 2.49
0.60 1.20
0.64 1.24
0.36 0.39
0.64 0.06
EAFE/
EM Pacific Europe Intl.Val COMM LTGB 5 Yr T ITB TBILL STIPS Bal Bal Energy
VGTSX VPACX VEURX VTRIX PCRIX VUSTX VFITX VBMFX VMPXX VIPSX VWELX VWINX VGENX
0.79 0.68 0.63 0.74 -0.03 0.34 0.21 0.36 0.06 0.32 0.81 0.58 0.87
Portfolio
Hi-Yld Portfolio Returns Total in
Health P.Metals Windsor WindsorII ST TE Inter TE LT TE Corp Returns Total Real 1985 dollars
VGHCX VGPMX VWNDX VWNFX VWSTX VWITX VWLTX VWEHX
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
10000 10000
30.29 13028.50 26.74 12673.50
25.40 16337.09 23.49 15649.87
5.96 17310.94 2.30 16009.98
21.75 21075.64 17.67 18838.54
19.69 25225.64 14.86 21638.13
-8.23 23148.94 -13.62 18690.48
30.19 30138.19 25.94 23539.26
10.71 33364.78 7.68 25346.13
23.69 41270.23 20.73 30601.39
0.19 41348.64 -2.42 29860.84
18.32 48923.72 15.51 34492.26
15.14 56330.28 12.21 38703.42
14.74 64631.11 12.40 43501.09
3.17 66681.20 1.62 44206.68
15.84 77243.51 13.65 50240.89
2.38 79081.52 -1.00 49738.23
0.54 79511.72 -2.29 48601.22
-5.82 74886.92 -7.41 45001.57
29.63 97074.79 27.36 57313.32
16.72 113301.33 14.04 65357.53
9.13 123641.78 5.74 69106.77
17.02 144689.31 13.78 78631.75
VTSMX VIVAX VFINX VIGRX VIMSX VISVX NAESX VISGX BRSIX VGSIX VDMIX
Average 12.66 14.77 12.48 11.89 15.26 16.78 15.32 12.98 16.81 15.14 13.39
StDEV 17.46 17.24 17.18 20.22 18.44 19.96 21.66 23.75 26.70 16.67 21.91
CAGR 11.24 13.46 11.10 10.00 13.72 15.00 13.23 10.43 13.64 13.88 11.31
Variance 304.68 297.29 295.01 408.68 339.99 398.27 469.17 564.11 713.10 277.78 480.16
Correlation
w/ US Mkt 1.00 0.92 0.99 0.96 0.90 0.71 0.82 0.83 0.69 0.53 0.59
Correlation
w/ Intl Mkt 0.59 0.55 0.58 0.53 0.48 0.35 0.44 0.46 0.36 0.29 1.00
Sharpe
Ratio 0.38 0.50 0.37 0.29 0.50 0.54 0.43 0.29 0.40 0.54 0.33
Correlations between different assets
VTSMX VIVAX VFINX VIGRX VIMSX VISVX NAESX VISGX BRSIX VGSIX VDMIX
VTSMX 1.00
VIVAX 0.92 1.00
VFINX 0.99 0.91 1.00
VIGRX 0.96 0.79 0.97 1.00
VIMSX 0.90 0.92 0.86 0.78 1.00
VISVX 0.71 0.80 0.64 0.52 0.90 1.00
NAESX 0.82 0.82 0.74 0.68 0.92 0.93 1.00
VISGX 0.83 0.80 0.76 0.73 0.93 0.87 0.96 1.00
BRSIX 0.69 0.70 0.60 0.54 0.83 0.89 0.92 0.89 1.00
VGSIX 0.53 0.62 0.46 0.33 0.71 0.83 0.75 0.69 0.70 1.00
VDMIX 0.59 0.55 0.58 0.53 0.48 0.35 0.44 0.46 0.36 0.29 1.00
VEIEX 0.47 0.41 0.43 0.39 0.42 0.35 0.47 0.47 0.42 0.30 0.79
EAFE/EM 0.58 0.54 0.57 0.52 0.49 0.36 0.46 0.48 0.38 0.30 0.99
VPACX 0.49 0.47 0.51 0.46 0.37 0.27 0.32 0.30 0.23 0.26 0.86
VEURX 0.50 0.44 0.48 0.46 0.41 0.26 0.43 0.47 0.36 0.16 0.83
VTRIX 0.59 0.56 0.58 0.52 0.51 0.38 0.48 0.51 0.42 0.31 0.96
PCRIX -0.25 -0.15 -0.24 -0.26 -0.24 -0.23 -0.21 -0.19 -0.23 -0.07 -0.14
VUSTX 0.25 0.31 0.28 0.21 0.31 0.23 0.12 0.13 0.09 0.18 0.09
VFITX 0.19 0.23 0.21 0.16 0.24 0.19 0.07 0.09 0.05 0.14 -0.04
VBMFX 0.29 0.32 0.31 0.25 0.34 0.29 0.19 0.19 0.12 0.22 -0.02
VMPXX 0.03 0.01 0.04 0.05 0.00 0.01 -0.01 0.00 -0.18 -0.09 -0.12
S-TIPS 0.13 0.10 0.09 0.07 0.21 0.21 0.19 0.24 0.23 0.18 0.37
VWELX 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.81 0.90 0.77 0.76 0.76 0.65 0.66 0.50
VWINX 0.66 0.72 0.67 0.56 0.71 0.65 0.54 0.53 0.44 0.56 0.30
VWNDX 0.81 0.91 0.77 0.64 0.92 0.91 0.87 0.81 0.80 0.76 0.49
EM EAFE85 Pacific Europe Intl Value COMM LTGB 5 Yr T ITB TBILL S-TIPS
VEIEX EM15 VPACX VEURX VTRIX PCRIX VUSTX VFITX VBMFX VMPXX VIPSX
50.2 38.39 107.55 15.6 36.95 30.6 5.7 5.2 5.7 3.8 -2.4
-13.8 -14.74 -20.95 -7.7 -14.58 102.1 -1.1 4.6 3.4 6.9 -3.8
-25.3 -23.52 -20.94 -22.8 -22.53 12.8 4.4 5.7 7 8 5.2
44.2 36.72 26.72 43.9 39 -11.2 9.2 7.8 8.3 5.8 16.4
7.3 3.22 21.64 -6.4 5.3 1.3 16.8 12.9 11.7 5.1 -0.1
50.6 22.98 13.69 23.9 24.1 1.3 -0.7 1.4 3 5.1 8
53.6 35.75 48.77 24.3 36.4 23 -1.2 3.5 2.2 7.2 9.9
2.6 4.47 -3.48 14.7 5.1 57.5 -1.2 4.1 6.6 10.4 10
26.8 23.23 36.38 14.5 21.1 -3.8 -4 3.9 6.6 11.3 15.4
4.6 -0.16 8.31 -10.4 7.4 -26.5 1.9 9.4 10.8 14.7 6
-1.1 -0.93 -6.26 5.7 0.4 -3.5 40.4 29.1 25.4 10.5 -7.6
32.6 25.80 26.42 22.4 26.9 17 0.7 7.4 8.2 8.8 17.1
10.3 8.26 13.48 1.3 -0.76 -9.4 15.5 14 14.3 9.8 15.8
60.9 57.33 39.39 79.8 40.33 3.3 31 20.3 18 7.37 8.9
62.7 68.82 93.82 44.5 50.71 -4.9 24.5 15.1 13.1 6 22.2
37.7 26.82 39.85 4.1 23.88 23 -2.93 2.9 1.14 6.12 8.4
40.4 30.37 35.19 16.4 18.78 16.7 9.15 6.1 7.35 7.18 18.9
65 18.93 2.68 29.1 25.97 1.9 17.93 13.3 13.64 8.87 6.1
-10.6 -21.31 -34.29 -3.4 -12.26 4.7 5.78 9.7 8.65 7.94 6.2
59.9 19.61 12.4 10.65 9.96 -1.6 17.43 15.3 15.25 5.73 15.9
11.4 -8.32 -3.32 -18.17 -8.72 -1.4 7.4 7.78 7.14 3.53 7.5
74.8 39.19 29.13 35.46 30.49 -2.5 16.79 11.43 9.68 2.86 15.7
-7.3 5.79 1.88 13.04 5.25 14 -7.03 -4.33 -2.66 3.81 3.2
0.56 9.94 22.28 2.75 9.65 11.1 30.11 20.44 18.18 5.49 0.8
15.83 7.81 21.26 -7.82 10.22 21.7 -1.25 1.92 3.58 5.09 4.1
-16.82 -0.74 24.23 -25.67 -4.58 4.4 13.9 8.96 9.44 5.12 8
-18.12 14.54 28.86 2.41 19.46 -27.6 13.05 10.61 8.58 5 2.8
61.57 32.44 16.62 57.05 21.81 7.2 -8.66 -3.52 -0.76 4.55 7.9
-27.56 -16.03 -8.18 -25.74 -7.48 42.4 19.72 14.03 11.39 5.8 4.8
-2.88 -19.17 -20.3 -26.34 -14.02 -31.7 4.31 7.55 8.43 3.99 7.61
-7.43 -14.46 -17.95 -9.32 -13.35 27.2 16.67 14.15 8.26 1.51 16.61
57.65 41.47 38.7 38.42 41.9 29.8 2.68 2.37 3.97 0.82 8
26.12 21.13 20.86 18.83 19.77 16.4 7.12 3.4 4.24 1 8.27
32.05 16.15 9.26 22.59 17.96 20.5 6.61 2.32 2.4 2.77 2.59
29.39 26.66 33.42 11.99 27.37 -3 1.74 3.14 4.27 4.55 0.43
EAFE /
VEIEX EM VPACX VEURX VTRIX PCRIX VUSTX VFITX VBMFX VMPXX S-TIPS
22.51 14.76 18.20 11.13 13.65 10.37 8.93 8.34 8.18 6.07 7.85
30.07 22.35 29.14 24.23 18.84 24.53 11.33 6.90 5.73 3.01 6.82
18.81 12.61 14.91 8.64 12.09 8.00 8.38 8.13 8.04 6.03 7.64
904.18 499.33 849.40 587.20 354.88 601.92 128.30 47.61 32.89 9.06 46.55
0.47 0.58 0.49 0.50 0.59 -0.25 0.25 0.19 0.29 0.03 0.13
0.79 0.99 0.86 0.83 0.96 -0.14 0.09 -0.04 -0.02 -0.12 0.37
0.55 0.39 0.42 0.21 0.40 0.18 0.25 0.33 0.37 0.00 0.26
VEIEX EAFE/EMVPACX VEURX VTRIX PCRIX VUSTX VFITX VBMFX VMPXX S-TIPS
1.00
0.86 1.00
0.61 0.84 1.00
0.81 0.86 0.50 1.00
0.83 0.96 0.82 0.82 1.00
-0.14 -0.14 -0.11 -0.06 -0.15 1.00
-0.02 0.07 0.05 0.06 0.01 -0.24 1.00
-0.11 -0.06 -0.06 -0.05 -0.11 -0.25 0.95 1.00
-0.07 -0.03 -0.05 -0.02 -0.08 -0.32 0.91 0.97 1.00
-0.15 -0.13 -0.13 -0.08 -0.12 -0.12 0.05 0.27 0.38 1.00
0.41 0.39 0.21 0.31 0.30 -0.22 -0.05 -0.04 -0.02 0.03 1.00
0.35 0.49 0.43 0.36 0.49 -0.29 0.51 0.46 0.55 0.08 0.14
0.19 0.29 0.28 0.17 0.27 -0.34 0.78 0.76 0.81 0.16 0.12
0.40 0.49 0.42 0.35 0.49 -0.31 0.27 0.22 0.34 0.08 0.23
Wellington Wellesley Windsor Inflation
VWELX VWINX VWNDX CPI-U
1.00
0.88 1.00
0.87 0.70 1.00
YEAR MKT-TSM LCV 500 Idx LCG MCB SCV SCB SCG D10 REIT EAFED
YEAR VTSMX VIVAX VFINX VIGRX VIMSX VISVX NAESX VISGX BRSIX VGSIX VDMIX
0.48 0.57 0.54 0.46 0.56 -0.17 0.26 0.17 0.34 0.23 -0.06
0.72 0.99 0.92 0.82 0.96 -0.05 0.21 0.06 0.10 0.06 0.34
0.61 0.48 0.47 0.27 0.51 0.17 0.50 0.51 0.55 0.00 0.61
VEIEX EAFE/EM VPACX VEURX VTRIX PCRIX VUSTX VFITX VBMFX VMPXX S-TIPS
1.00
0.81 1.00
0.54 0.88 1.00
0.80 0.86 0.54 1.00
0.78 0.97 0.85 0.83 1.00
-0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.01 -0.02 1.00
0.07 0.19 0.21 0.14 0.15 -0.10 1.00
0.00 0.05 0.07 0.02 0.00 -0.17 0.96 1.00
0.09 0.11 0.10 0.07 0.06 -0.24 0.94 0.97 1.00
0.07 0.06 0.05 0.08 0.05 -0.19 0.29 0.38 0.45 1.00
0.45 0.38 0.35 0.24 0.22 -0.02 0.29 0.28 0.25 0.01 1.00
0.36 0.49 0.53 0.31 0.48 -0.10 0.60 0.50 0.64 0.28 0.00
0.16 0.26 0.31 0.12 0.23 -0.17 0.88 0.83 0.91 0.38 0.14
0.47 0.53 0.56 0.31 0.50 0.05 0.27 0.15 0.32 0.09 0.07
0.00 0.19 0.21 0.14 0.22 0.12 0.58 0.52 0.61 0.47 -0.12
0.63 0.49 0.33 0.45 0.56 0.03 -0.06 -0.11 -0.16 -0.38 0.27
0.47 0.53 0.56 0.31 0.50 0.05 0.27 0.15 0.32 0.09 0.07
0.20 0.33 0.48 0.05 0.36 0.02 0.42 0.30 0.45 0.15 -0.04
0.15 0.09 0.10 0.05 0.03 -0.33 0.65 0.76 0.81 0.80 0.35
0.26 0.31 0.30 0.21 0.22 -0.18 0.91 0.91 0.93 0.41 0.47
0.19 0.26 0.29 0.16 0.19 -0.09 0.94 0.92 0.93 0.35 0.41
0.51 0.56 0.55 0.35 0.44 -0.16 0.51 0.44 0.53 -0.04 0.40
Wellington Wellesley Energy Health P.Metals Windsor Windsor II V ST TE V Int TE V LT TE
VWELX VWINX VGENX VGHCX VGPMX VWNDX VWNFX VWSTX VWITX VWLTX
28.53 27.41 28.03 45.76 -5.03 28.03 11.12 6.95 17.33 20.77
18.4 18.34 20.27 21.42 49.88 20.27 21.41 7.39 16.21 19.38
2.28 -1.92 1.23 -0.5 38.73 1.23 -2.14 4.11 1.64 -1.14
16.11 13.61 28.7 28.4 -14.19 28.7 24.72 5.61 10 12.24
21.6 20.93 15.02 32.95 30.4 15.02 27.83 7.08 10 11.54
-2.81 3.76 -15.5 16.79 -19.86 -15.5 -9.98 6.57 7.2 6.82
23.65 21.57 28.55 46.32 4.37 28.55 28.7 7.2 12.16 13.5
7.93 8.67 16.5 -1.57 -19.41 16.5 11.99 4.71 8.85 9.3
13.52 14.65 19.37 11.81 93.36 19.37 13.6 3.82 11.55 13.45
-0.49 -4.44 -0.15 9.54 -5.42 -0.15 -1.16 1.7 -2.12 -5.75
32.92 28.91 30.15 45.17 -4.48 30.15 38.83 5.92 13.65 18.72
16.19 9.42 26.36 21.36 -0.75 26.36 24.18 3.69 4.2 4.41
23.23 20.19 21.97 28.57 -38.92 21.97 32.37 4.07 7.08 9.29
12.06 11.84 0.81 40.8 -3.91 0.81 16.36 4.32 5.76 6.02
4.41 -4.14 11.57 7.05 28.82 11.57 -5.81 2.58 -0.5 -3.53
10.4 16.17 15.89 60.53 -7.34 15.89 16.86 4.91 9.24 13.32
4.19 7.39 5.72 -6.87 18.33 5.72 -3.4 4.75 5.05 4.54
-6.9 4.64 -22.25 -11.36 33.35 -22.25 -16.86 3.49 7.91 10.11
20.75 9.66 37.01 26.58 59.45 37.01 30.08 1.64 4.46 5.21
11.17 7.57 13.38 9.51 8.09 13.38 18.31 1.12 3.23 4.12
6.82 3.48 4.99 15.41 43.79 4.99 7.01 1.65 2.24 3.07
14.97 11.28 19.35 10.87 34.3 19.35 18.25 3.26 4.43 5.16
VWELX VWINX VGENX VGHCX VGPMX VWNDX VWNFX VWSTX VWITX VWLTX
12.68 11.32 13.95 20.84 14.71 13.95 13.74 4.39 7.25 8.21
10.26 9.26 14.83 18.98 31.24 14.83 14.99 1.94 5.07 6.98
12.23 10.95 12.95 19.43 10.78 12.95 12.75 4.37 7.14 7.99
105.24 85.84 219.83 360.40 975.86 219.83 224.60 3.77 25.73 48.76
0.86 0.58 0.77 0.54 -0.09 0.77 0.77 0.22 0.31 0.30
0.49 0.27 0.52 0.22 0.43 0.52 0.34 0.08 0.30 0.26
0.77 0.71 0.62 0.85 0.32 0.62 0.60 -0.20 0.49 0.49
VWELX VWINX VWNDX VWNFX VGHCX VWNDX VWNFX VWSTX VWITX VWLTX
1.00
0.87 1.00
0.86 0.61 1.00
0.70 0.71 0.53 1.00
-0.09 -0.17 0.01 -0.31 1.00
0.86 0.61 1.00 0.53 0.01 1.00
0.89 0.73 0.84 0.66 -0.12 0.84 1.00
0.40 0.65 0.16 0.45 -0.24 0.16 0.23 1.00
0.61 0.86 0.39 0.50 -0.04 0.39 0.42 0.80 1.00
0.64 0.89 0.41 0.55 -0.05 0.41 0.48 0.73 0.98 1.00
0.76 0.67 0.76 0.37 0.09 0.76 0.64 0.32 0.63 0.61
Hi-Yld C Inflation
VWEHX CPI-U
21.99 3.55
16.86 1.91
2.65 3.66
13.55 4.08
1.89 4.83
-5.85 5.39
29.01 4.25
14.24 3.03
18.24 2.96
-1.71 2.61
19.15 2.81
9.54 2.93
11.91 2.34
5.62 1.55
2.55 2.19
-0.88 3.38
2.9 2.83
1.73 1.59
17.2 2.27
8.52 2.68
2.77 3.39
8.24 3.24
VWEHX CPI-U
9.10 3.07
8.86 0.98
8.76 3.06
78.56 0.95
0.68 0.02
0.54 -0.21
0.49 -1.75
VWEHX
1.00
Portfolio
Year LCB LCV SCV SCB EAFE/EM REIT ITB Returns Total Year
VFINX VIVAX VISVX NAESX VGTSX VGSIX VBMFX
Allocation 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 40% Allocation
10000
1972 1.90 1.90 0.70 0.44 3.84 0.80 2.28 11.86 11185.85 1972
1973 -1.47 -0.36 -2.60 -3.09 -1.47 -1.55 1.36 -9.18 10158.60 1973
1974 -2.65 -2.31 -1.82 -1.99 -2.35 -2.14 2.80 -10.46 9095.86 1974
1975 3.72 5.72 5.45 5.28 3.67 1.93 3.32 29.09 11742.02 1975
1976 2.39 4.40 5.36 5.74 0.32 4.76 4.68 27.65 14988.93 1976
1977 -0.78 0.14 2.18 2.54 2.30 2.24 1.20 9.82 16460.46 1977
1978 0.59 0.33 2.18 2.35 3.58 1.03 0.88 10.94 18260.42 1978
1979 1.80 2.05 3.54 4.31 0.45 3.59 2.64 18.38 21616.13 1979
1980 3.19 2.44 2.54 3.86 2.32 2.44 2.64 19.43 25816.80 1980
1981 -0.52 0.13 1.49 0.20 -0.02 0.60 4.32 6.20 27418.47 1981
1982 2.09 2.00 2.85 2.49 -0.09 2.16 10.16 21.66 33356.49 1982
1983 2.13 2.83 3.86 2.91 2.58 3.06 3.28 20.65 40244.60 1983
1984 0.62 1.01 0.23 -0.73 0.83 2.09 5.72 9.77 44175.29 1984
1985 3.12 3.15 3.10 3.11 5.73 1.91 7.20 27.33 56246.63 1985
1986 1.81 2.00 0.74 0.57 6.88 1.92 5.24 19.16 67022.36 1986
1987 0.47 0.05 -0.71 -0.88 2.68 -0.36 0.46 1.71 68167.77 1987
1988 1.62 2.32 2.95 2.49 3.04 1.35 2.94 16.71 79557.93 1988
1989 3.14 2.52 1.24 1.62 1.89 0.88 5.46 16.75 92879.90 1989
1990 -0.33 -0.81 -2.18 -1.95 -2.13 -1.54 3.46 -5.48 87787.30 1990
1991 3.02 2.46 4.17 4.61 1.96 3.57 6.10 25.89 110518.06 1991
1992 0.74 1.38 2.91 1.82 -0.83 1.46 2.86 10.34 121941.21 1992
1993 0.99 1.84 2.38 1.87 3.92 1.97 3.87 16.83 142469.40 1993
1994 0.12 -0.07 -0.15 -0.05 0.58 0.32 -1.06 -0.32 142012.08 1994
1995 3.75 3.69 2.58 2.87 0.99 1.53 7.27 22.69 174233.76 1995
1996 2.29 2.19 2.14 1.81 0.78 3.53 1.43 14.17 198921.73 1996
1997 3.32 2.98 3.18 2.46 -0.07 1.88 3.78 17.51 233761.28 1997
1998 2.86 1.46 -0.65 -0.26 1.45 -1.63 3.43 6.67 249350.12 1998
1999 2.11 1.26 0.34 2.31 3.24 -0.40 -0.30 8.55 270664.69 1999
2000 -0.91 0.61 2.19 -0.27 -1.60 2.64 4.56 7.21 290181.24 2000
2001 -1.20 -1.19 1.37 0.31 -1.92 1.24 3.37 1.98 295927.99 2001
2002 -2.22 -2.09 -1.42 -2.00 -1.45 0.38 3.30 -5.49 279666.89 2002
2003 2.85 3.23 3.72 4.56 4.15 3.57 1.59 23.66 345826.57 2003
2004 1.07 1.53 2.36 1.99 2.11 3.08 1.70 13.83 393664.93 2004
2005 0.48 0.71 0.61 0.74 1.61 1.19 0.96 6.29 418436.89 2005
2006 1.56 2.22 1.92 1.56 2.67 3.51 1.71 15.15 481822.34 2006
Sharpe
Portfolio Total CAGR Std.Dev Ratio C-US C-Intl Portfolio
481822 11.708 10.45 0.59 0.85 0.60
Sharpe
Total CAGR Std.Dev Ratio C-US C-Intl
507633.9 11.874 13.32 0.50 0.90 0.78
Sharpe
Portfolio Total CAGR Std.Dev Ratio C-US C-Intl Portfolio
109070.55 11.47 9.55 0.74 0.81 0.63
Sharpe
Total Ratio C-US
156375.17 0.86 0.78
Folowing is the list of the Abbreviations and a summary of the data sources by year range.
Page 33
Data_Sources
EAFE
================================
MSCI EAFE Index 1972-2000 (Developed Only)
Vanguard Developed Mkts Idx (VDMIX) 2001-2006
EM
================================
MSCI EAFE Index 1972-1987 (Developed Only)
IFA website (added back expenses):1972-1987
(http://www.ifa.com/library/support/data/IFAindexdata.asp)
Allocated 50% IFA International Value Index and 50% IFA International Small Company Index
MSCI Emerging Mkts Index 1988-1994
Vanguard Emerging Mkts Idx - 1995-2006
EAFE/EM
INTLT - Total International:
============================
MSCI EAFE Index 1972-1987 (Developed Only)
85% EAFE Ind 15% Emerging Markets Index 1988-1996
Vanguards Total International Index Fund 1997-2006
Page 34
Data_Sources
this data from various sources.
Pacific
============================
MSCI Data 1972-1990
Vanguard Pacific Stock Index (VPACX) 1991-2006
Europe
============================
MSCI Data 1972-1984
Vanguard Europe Stock Index (VEURX) 1991-2006
International Value
============================
IFA Intl Value (ifa.com) 1972-1974
MSCI EAFA Value 1975-1983
Vanguard Intl Value (VTRIX) 1984-2006
Energy
============================
Vanguard Energy (VGENX) - 1985-2006
Health Care
============================
Vanguard Health (VGHCX) - 1985-2006
Commodities
============================
COMM - Commodities/Natural Resources
S&P Commodity Index 1972-2002
Pimco PCRIX 2003-2006
Precious Metals
============================
Vanguard Precious Metals (VGPMX) - 1985-2006
Page 35
Data_Sources
Risk Free Benchmark for Sharpe:
===============================
T-Bills 1972-1983
Vanguard Treasury Money Market Fund (VMPXX) 1984-2006
TIPS
===============================
Synthetic TIPS data provided by Cb (Data from Kothari's paper)
http://www.diehards.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=281
Vanguard Inflation-Protected Security Fund (VIPSX) 2001-2006)
Windsor
==================================
Vanguard Windsor (VWNDX) - 1985-2006
Windsor II
==================================
Vanguard Windsor II (VWNFX) 1985-2006
CPI-U (Inflation)
==================================
Consumer Price Index - Urban - 1972-2006
Compiled by Bureau of Labor and Statistics
Page 36