Professional Documents
Culture Documents
A Report on Albania
170201062
Lecturer:Dr.Dzenita Siljak
November/2020
Table of Contents
Introduction......................................................................................................................................2
Macroeconomic stability.................................................................................................................2
Trade..............................................................................................................................................10
Competitiveness.............................................................................................................................14
Conclusion.....................................................................................................................................16
Reference.......................................................................................................................................17
1 A REPORT ON ALBANIA
Introduction
Albania is a small country situated at the southeast part of the Europe. Previously, the
country belongs to the upper middle income group of countries (Mujataba, Jena &
Mukhopadhyay, 2020)1. The population of the country is low. The country is associated with
North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), Organization for Security and Cooperation in
Europe (OSCE), World Trade Organization (WTO) and Organization of the Black Sea Economic
from central economy to a more open market economy. This report discusses about the
broaden the trade sector and achieve higher macroeconomic stability. Therefore, from the other
index, FDI, ease of doing business, labour conditions and many more directly. Therefore, this
report would considers all the relevant factors of macroeconomic stability, trade and
competitiveness and provides a details study on Albania. Thus, the objective of the report is to
1
Mujtaba, A., Jena, P. K., & Mukhopadhyay, D. (2020). Determinants of CO 2 emissions in
upper middle-income group countries: an empirical investigation. Environmental Science and
Pollution Research, 27(30), 37745-37759.
Macroeconomic stability
economic indicators for a country are GDP growth rate, inflation rate, unemployment rate,
general government debt and budget deficit or surplus. The analysis of the above mentioned
3 A REPORT ON ALBANIA
From figure 1, it is evident that after the Global Financial Crisis in 2008 – 2009 the
economy of Albania faced severe contraction. The period of economic contraction continued for
3 years till 2013. However, after 2013, the economy of the country started to flourish and it
experienced consecutive growth (World Bank, 2020a)2. The reason behind this growth was
2
World Bank (2020a). GDP growth (annual %) - Albania | Data. (2020). Retrieved 10 November
2020, from https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?
end=2019&locations=AL&start=2010
improved economic conditions of the country which was mainly due to growth in number of new
businesses in the country (World Bank, 2020a). The economy of country is dependent on
production of hydroelectric. The decline in production of hydroelectric in the country caused the
fall in economic output of the country which is nothing but GDP (Wagner, Hauer & Habersack,
2019)3. Thus, due to this reason the GDP growth of the country declined significantly. The
current situation of the country’s economy is not well due the outbreak of COVID 19. However,
it can be said that the country experienced fluctuation in GDP growth but is not so frequent. It
can be inferred that in terms of GDP growth rate country is moderately stable.
Inflation rate
4 A REPORT ON ALBANIA
Figure 2:
Inflation rate
3
Wagner, B., Hauer, C., & Habersack, H. (2019). Current hydropower developments in
Europe. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 37, 41-49.
Inflation rate is a strong indicator of macroeconomic stability of a country (Vasulieva et
al., 2018)4. More the fluctuation of price of goods and services in a country more is the
instability in the economy. However, a low inflation rate is desirable for an economy to become
progressive and secure future growth (Grinin & Korotayev, 2018)5. From figure 2, it can be
observed that the inflation rate in Albania in the last ten years has fluctuated numerous times.
The number of fluctuations indicates that the economy of the country has faced several ups and
downs (World Bank, 2020b)6. However, if more closely observed it can be seen that Albania has
been successful to keep the inflation rate low for a longer period of time. It can be observed from
figure 2 that in 2010 the inflation rate was just over 3.5% whereas in 2019 the inflation rate
dropped below 1.5%. However, if the entire decade is observed then it can be said that in most of
the years the inflation rate was around 2% that makes the average inflation rate around 2% the
last ten years. Therefore, from this analysis of inflation rate it can be said that the country has
5 A REPORT ON ALBANIA
maintained the economy well and thus its economy quite stable. This economics stability is good
for its long term growth and economic competitiveness (Schwab, 2018)7.
Unemployment rate
4
Vasylieva, T. A., Lieonov, S. V., Liulov, O. V., & Kyrychenko, K. I. (2018). Macroeconomic
stability and its impact on the economic growth of the country.
5
Grinin, L. E., & Korotayev, A. V. (2018). The future of the global economy in the light of
inflationary and deflationary trends and long cycles theory. World Futures, 74(2), 84-103.
6
World Bank (2020b). Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) - Albania | Data. (2020). Retrieved
13 November 2020, from https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG?
end=2019&locations=AL&start=2010
7
Schwab, K. (2018). The global competitiveness report 2018. In World Economic Forum (pp. 9-
14).
Figure 3: Unemployment rate
Unemployment is not good for an economy if it is higher than the natural rate of
unemployment (Palley, 2018)8. High unemployment means there is not sufficient economic
welfare in a country (Ebbinghaus, 2020)9. High rate of unemployment means there is large
number of people who are looking for work but not getting any. This indicates that a large
6 A REPORT ON ALBANIA
number of people is there in the country without any income (Beirne et al., 2020) 10. It is nothing
but a burden on the economy of a country. In case of Albania, it has been observed that the
unemployment in the country is very high. Such an unemployment rate is definitely harmful for
the economy of the country (Singh, Gupta & Agarwal, 2020)11. Therefore, it can be said that the
government of Albania needs to consider the unemployment with prime cautiousness (World
Bank, 2020c)12. In figure 3, it can be observed that the in the last ten years the average
unemployment rate of the country is close to 15%. However, for last 4 years the unemployment
8
Palley, T. (2018). Recovering Keynesian Phillips curve theory: hysteresis of ideas and the
natural rate of unemployment. Review of Keynesian Economics, 6(4), 473-492.
9
Ebbinghaus, B. (2020). Changing work and welfare: unemployment and labour market policies.
In Handbook on Society and Social Policy. Edward Elgar Publishing.
10
Beirne, K., Doorley, K., Regan, M., Roantree, B., & Tuda, D. (2020). The potential costs and
distributional effect of Covid-19 related unemployment in Ireland. Budget Perspectives, 2021.
11
Singh, G., Gupta, R., & Agarwal, N. (2020). Economic Re-Engineering: Covid-19. Singh, G.,
Gupta, R. and Agarwal, (2020), 01-05.
of the country has been declining. It should be noted that in 2016 the unemployment rate in the
country was nearly 18%. This rate of unemployment declined continuously since then and
currently the rate is around 12%. Even though the unemployment rate has declined in Albania,
the government of the country need to take strong measures to lower the unemployment of the
country to natural level. Hence, from the unemployment condition of the country it can be said
that the country need to be more economically stable to achieve higher competitiveness.
General government debt is nothing but the amount of borrowings the government of a
country takes rom the private sector and other foreign countries (Yared, 2019)13. Higher the
government debt of a country higher is its inability to invest in the areas that will help the
country to grow at a faster rate (Jacob & Gokbel, 2018)14. Therefore, a country should always try
7 toAkeep
REPORT ON ALBANIA
its general government debt as low as possible, then only it can invest in the required
fields that would provide the necessary outcome that improves the economic condition of a
country (Hurley, Morris & Portelance, 2019)15. In case of Albania, it can be observed from figure
4, that the general government debt of the country is currently just over 60% which is not a
desirable value. The percentage of the debt increased continuously from 2010 to 2015 (IMF,
12
World Bank (2020c). Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (modeled ILO estimate) -
Albania | Data. (2020). Retrieved 13 November 2020, from
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS?end=2020&locations=AL&start=2010
13
Yared, P. (2019). Rising government debt: Causes and solutions for a decades-old
trend. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 33(2), 115-40.
14
Jacob, W. J., & Gokbel, V. (2018). Global higher education learning outcomes and financial trends:
Comparative and innovative approaches. International Journal of Educational Development, 58, 5-17.
15
Hurley, J., Morris, S., & Portelance, G. (2019). Examining the debt implications of the Belt
and Road Initiative from a policy perspective. Journal of Infrastructure, Policy and
Development, 3(1), 139-175.
2020)16. In 2015, the rate was the highest in the last ten years. However, the percentage of the
debt declined continuously after 2015 and in 2019, it was 65.9%. Hence, still the general
government debt is above 60%. Therefore, in terms of general government debt it can be said
that the economy of Albania requires much work to make it economic stable.
Figure 4: General
8 A REPORT ON ALBANIA
government debt
Budget
Budget of country is the amount of expenditure that the government plans to make in
different sectors of a country in a year (Moynihan & Beazly, 2016)17. During a normal year when
16
IMF (2020). Albania and the IMF. (2020). Retrieved 13 November 2020, from
https://www.imf.org/en/Countries/ALB#countrydata
17
Moynihan, D., & Beazley, I. (2016). Toward next-generation performance budgeting: Lessons
from the experiences of seven reforming countries. The World Bank.
there is no existence of significant external shock to the economy (Liu & Zhang, 2020) 18. Now if
the budget of a country is in surplus then it can be said that the government has earned much
more than its requirement to run the expenses of the country smoothly. However, if the budget of
a country is in deficit the government would not be able to make all the necessary expenses and
thus it would faces difficulties in growing in a smooth way (Trang & Hong, 2017) 19. The budget
of Albania has always in deficit in the last ten years. From 2010 to 2015, the budget deficit
condition was quite bad as it was above 3% during these years. The improvement of economic
condition of the country has improved the budget deficit condition of the country. After 2015,
the budget deficit of the country is well below 3% (Statista, 2020)20. Hence, it can be said that the
current macroeconomic condition of the country is much stable than initial previous years.
9 A REPORT ON ALBANIA
18
Liu, G., & Zhang, C. (2020). Economic policy uncertainty and firms' investment and financing
decisions in China. China Economic Review, 63, 101279.
19
Trang, N. T. N., & Hong, D. T. T. (2017). Nonlinear effects of oil prices on inflation, growth,
budget deficit, and unemployment. Journal of Economic Development, (JED, Vol. 24 (1)), 73-
89.
20
Statista, (2020). Albania - budget balance in relation to GDP 2009-2024 | Statista. (2020).
Retrieved 18 November 2020, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/444538/albania-budget-
balance-in-relation-to-gdp/#:~:text=Albania's%20budget%20balance%20in%20relation%20to
%20GDP%202024&text=In%202018%2C%20Albania's%20budget%20deficit,around
%201.35%20percent%20of%20GDP.
Figure 5: Budget deficit
Trade
Trade patterns
Albania is engaged in trade and export and imports goods and services to and from
different countries. The goods that are exported and imported by the country are vegetable, food
products, textile and clothing, footwear, minerals, animals and chemicals, hides, metals woods,
transportation, stones and glass (Wits.worldbank.org, 2020)21. With development of the country
and gaining relationship with more number of countries the export and import of Albania is
10 increasing
A REPORT (Radonshiqi,
ON ALBANIA2017)22. Therefore, goods that are exported and imported by the country
can be categorized into four broad heads such as raw materials, intermediate goods, consumer
goods and capital goods. Therefore, it can be said that the country is engaged in export of large
number of products. The most exported product of the country is leather footwear
(Wits.worldbank.org, 2020). On the other hand, the top import of the country is refined
petroleum (Wits.worldbank.org, 2020). This shows that the country has comparative advantage
in many products and thus it can be said that the competitiveness of the country should be
21
Wits.worldbank.org (2020). Albania Trade Summary | WITS Data. (2020). Retrieved 10
November 2020, from
https://wits.worldbank.org/CountryProfile/en/Country/ALB/Year/LTST/Summary
22
Radonshiqi, R. (2017). International Trade and Trade Relations in Albania. Noble International
Journal of Business and Management Research, 1(3), 68-73.
Trade partners
Albania shares trade relations with large number of countries. It should be noted that the
country might share trading relations with a large number of countries but it has few top trade
partners who generates most of the trade volume of the country (Wits.worldbank.org, 2020). The
major export partner of the country are Italy, Spain, Serbia, Greece and Germany. On the other
hand, the major import partners of Albania are Italy, Greece, Turkey, Germany and China
(Wits.worldbank.org, 2020)23. As per trade of Albania in 2018, it has been found that in the year
the top trading partner of Albania was Italy. With Italy, Albania made a trade of $1.29 billion
(Oec.world, 2020)24. Therefore, it can be said that Albania has good trade status in the world and
11 A REPORT ON ALBANIA
23
Wits.worldbank.org (2020). Albania trade balance, exports, imports by country 2018 | WITS
Data. (2020). Retrieved 10 November 2020, from
https://wits.worldbank.org/CountryProfile/en/Country/ALB/Year/LTST/TradeFlow/EXPIMP/Par
tner/by-country
24
Oec.world (2020). Albania (ALB) Exports, Imports, and Trade Partners. (2020). Retrieved 10
November 2020, from https://oec.world/en/profile/country/alb
Figure 6: Import (% GDP)
Albania is well engaged in export and import of various goods. It is known from theory
of economics that the when the value of export of a country is higher than its import then the
current account of the country will be positive (World Bank, 2020d)25. It indicates a strong trade
condition of a country. In figure 6 and 7, the import value as percentage of GDP and the value of
export as percentage of GDP respectively. From the figures, it has been observed the percentage
of import is larger than the percentage of export. However, it can be observed that export value is
increased and import is decreasing (World Bank, 2020e)26. It indicates that other countries are
becoming more dependent on Albania (World Bank, 2020e). Thus, it is a sign of rising
competitiveness of a country.
12 A REPORT ON ALBANIA
25
World Bank (2020d). Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) - Albania | Data. (2020).
Retrieved 10 November 2020, from https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NE.IMP.GNFS.ZS?
end=2019&locations=AL&start=2010&view=chart
26
World Bank (2020e). Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) - Albania | Data. (2020).
Retrieved 10 November 2020, from https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS?
end=2019&locations=AL&start=2010
Figure 7: Export (% GDP)
Albania has free trade agreement (FTA) with many countries. FTA is indicator of
positive relationship of one country with the other (Baeno – Rojas & Herrero – Olarte, 2020) 27.
The country that participates in FTA then the cost of production declines for a country due to
non – existence of price barriers. As a result, with more number of FTA a country becomes more
competitive. Albania has FTA with Montenegro, Kosovo, Serbia, North Macedonia, Moldova
and Bosnia and the Herzegovina. This FTA is signed under Central European Free Trade
Agreement (Privacyshield.gov, 2020)28. The other countries with whom Albania has FTA are
combined analysis of the competitiveness indexes such as ease of doing business, global
competitiveness index, tax rates, labor force, corruption, FDI and existence of informal
economy. From the aspect of ease of doing business, it has been found that the rank of Albania
27
Baena-Rojas, J. J., & Herrero-Olarte, S. (2020). From Preferential Trade Arrangements to Free
Trade Agreements: One of the Downturns of Cooperation in International Relations?. Social
Sciences, 9(8), 139.
28
Privacyshield.gov (2020). Albania - Trade Agreements | Privacy Shield. (2020). Retrieved 10
Agreements#:~:text=Albania%20is%20a%20member%20of,Serbia%2C%20and%20Bosnia
%20and%20Herzegovina.&text=Albania%20also%20has%20an%20FTA,entered%20into
%20force%20in%202008.
was 82 in 2019, which is moderately good but it should be noted that the rank of the country
Competitiveness Index of 2019, the rank of Albania was 81 which is five ranks lower than its
previous rank. It indicates that the competitiveness of the country has declined (Weforum.org,
2020)30. The FDI condition of the country is good as the amount of FDI is on the rise in Albania.
Therefore, it can be said that the foreign investors are finding the country competitive (World
Bank, 2020g)31. In Albania, presence of corruption is quite visible and that is why the rank of the
said that corruption is arch rival of industry and thus economic growth. Hence, corruption does
impact the competitiveness of a country adversely (Kaplan & Akçoraoğlu, 2017)33. Labor is
abundant in the country and it is evident from high unemployment rate (World Bank, 2020c).
Thus, the country needs more business to reduce its unemployment rate. The corporate tax rate is
14 A REPORT ON ALBANIA
15% in Albania for the companies that have annual revenue more than 5 million Albanian lek
(PWC, 2020)34. Any company that has revenue lower that the said amount is exempted from tax
29
World Bank (2020f). Ease of doing business index (1=most business-friendly regulations) |
Data. (2020). Retrieved 13 November 2020, from
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/IC.BUS.EASE.XQ
30
Weforum.org (2020). Retrieved 11 November 2020, from
http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_TheGlobalCompetitivenessReport2019.pdf
31
World Bank (2020g). Foreign direct investment, net inflows (BoP, current US$) - Albania |
Data. (2020). Retrieved 11 November 2020, from
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/BX.KLT.DINV.CD.WD?locations=AL
32
Transparency.org (2020). Albania. (2019). Retrieved 11 November 2020, from
https://www.transparency.org/en/countries/albania#
33
Kaplan, E. A., & Akçoraoğlu, A. (2017). Political instability, corruption, and economic
growth: Evidence from a panel of OECD countries. Business and Economics Research
Journal, 8(3), 363.
(PWC, 2020). Thus, it can be said that for new business Albania is good choice if other adverse
Conclusion
competitiveness of Albania, it can be inferred that the country is moderately stable and
prospering economically. In addition to that, the trade condition of the county is improving. The
rising FTA agreements are making the county more competitive. However, the country has few
drawbacks in terms of ease of doing business and corruption. These problems need to be solved
15 toAbecome
REPORTmore
ONcompetitive.
ALBANIA Overall, the condition of the country is good and the positive part is
that it is improving. The country might not be the most competitive county in the world but
considering it as the transition economy it can be said that the country is in good position.
34
PWC (2020). Albania - Corporate - Taxes on corporate income. (2020). Retrieved 11
November 2020, from https://taxsummaries.pwc.com/albania/corporate/taxes-on-corporate-
income
Reference
Baena-Rojas, J. J., & Herrero-Olarte, S. (2020). From Preferential Trade Arrangements to Free
Beirne, K., Doorley, K., Regan, M., Roantree, B., & Tuda, D. (2020). The potential costs and
16 Perspectives, 2021.
A REPORT ON ALBANIA
Ebbinghaus, B. (2020). Changing work and welfare: unemployment and labour market policies.
Grinin, L. E., & Korotayev, A. V. (2018). The future of the global economy in the light of
inflationary and deflationary trends and long cycles theory. World Futures, 74(2), 84-103.
Hurley, J., Morris, S., & Portelance, G. (2019). Examining the debt implications of the Belt and
Development, 3(1), 139-175.
IMF (2020). Albania and the IMF. (2020). Retrieved 13 November 2020, from
https://www.imf.org/en/Countries/ALB#countrydata
Jacob, W. J., & Gokbel, V. (2018). Global higher education learning outcomes and financial
Development, 58, 5-17.
Kaplan, E. A., & Akçoraoğlu, A. (2017). Political instability, corruption, and economic growth:
Journal, 8(3), 363.
Liu, G., & Zhang, C. (2020). Economic policy uncertainty and firms' investment and financing
Mujtaba, A., Jena, P. K., & Mukhopadhyay, D. (2020). Determinants of CO 2 emissions in upper
Oec.world (2020). Albania (ALB) Exports, Imports, and Trade Partners. (2020). Retrieved 10
Palley, T. (2018). Recovering Keynesian Phillips curve theory: hysteresis of ideas and the natural
%20Bosnia%20and%20Herzegovina.&text=Albania%20also%20has%20an
%20FTA,entered%20into%20force%20in%202008.
PWC (2020). Albania - Corporate - Taxes on corporate income. (2020). Retrieved 11 November
Schwab, K. (2018). The global competitiveness report 2018. In World Economic Forum (pp. 9-
14).
Singh, G., Gupta, R., & Agarwal, N. (2020). Economic Re-Engineering: Covid-19. Singh, G.,
Statista, (2020). Albania - budget balance in relation to GDP 2009-2024 | Statista. (2020).
Retrieved 18 November 2020, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/444538/albania-
budget-balance-in-relation-to-gdp/#:~:text=Albania's%20budget%20balance%20in
%20relation%20to%20GDP%202024&text=In%202018%2C%20Albania's%20budget
%20deficit,around%201.35%20percent%20of%20GDP.
Trang, N. T. N., & Hong, D. T. T. (2017). Nonlinear effects of oil prices on inflation, growth,
(1)), 73-89.
https://www.transparency.org/en/countries/albania#
Vasylieva, T. A., Lieonov, S. V., Liulov, O. V., & Kyrychenko, K. I. (2018). Macroeconomic
http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_TheGlobalCompetitivenessReport2019.pdf
Wits.worldbank.org (2020). Albania trade balance, exports, imports by country 2018 | WITS
https://wits.worldbank.org/CountryProfile/en/Country/ALB/Year/LTST/TradeFlow/EXPI
MP/Partner/by-country
https://wits.worldbank.org/CountryProfile/en/Country/ALB/Year/LTST/Summary
19 A REPORT ON ALBANIA
World Bank (2020a). GDP growth (annual %) - Albania | Data. (2020). Retrieved 10 November
end=2019&locations=AL&start=2010
World Bank (2020b). Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) - Albania | Data. (2020). Retrieved
end=2019&locations=AL&start=2010
World Bank (2020c). Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (modeled ILO estimate) -
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS?
end=2020&locations=AL&start=2010
World Bank (2020d). Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) - Albania | Data. (2020).
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NE.IMP.GNFS.ZS?
end=2019&locations=AL&start=2010&view=chart
World Bank (2020e). Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) - Albania | Data. (2020).
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS?
end=2019&locations=AL&start=2010
World Bank (2020f). Ease of doing business index (1=most business-friendly regulations) | Data.
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/IC.BUS.EASE.XQ
20 A REPORT ON ALBANIA
World Bank (2020g). Foreign direct investment, net inflows (BoP, current US$) - Albania | Data.
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/BX.KLT.DINV.CD.WD?locations=AL
Yared, P. (2019). Rising government debt: Causes and solutions for a decades-old trend. Journal