Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Nguyen Duy Anh, Le Dao Mai Trang & Nguyen Quynh Anh
To cite this article: Nguyen Duy Anh, Le Dao Mai Trang & Nguyen Quynh Anh (2020): First-
trimester screening versus non-invasive prenatal testing for Down syndrome at high-risk pregnant
women in Hanoi Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital, Vietnam: A cost-utility analysis, International
Journal of Healthcare Management, DOI: 10.1080/20479700.2020.1758893
Article views: 8
a
Hanoi Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital, Hanoi, Vietnam; bDepartment of Health Economics, Hanoi University of Public Health, Hanoi,
Vietnam
CONTACT Nguyen Quynh Anh nqa@huph.edu.vn Department of Health Economics, Hanoi University of Public Health, 1A Duc Thang Road, North Tu
Liem District, Hanoi 10000, Vietnam
© 2020 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group
2 N. D. ANH ET AL.
millions higher than FTS for the model population. FTS. Although taking NIPT scenarios was lower in cost
However, the total cost of amniocentesis in case of taking of amniocentesis as well as cost of birth delivery, the total
NIPT was USD 1.139 millions lower than FTS as a result cost of NIPT scenario was USD 2.688 millions higher
of much lower in false-positive of NIPT compared with than FTS for the model population.
4 N. D. ANH ET AL.
Table 1. Detailed cost estimates including cost elements, cost value and data sources.
Cost elements Value Data sources
Direct medical cost
Cost of NIPT 1,500,000 (USD 65) Announced price list of Hanoi Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital
Cost of FTS 5,000,000 (USD 215) Announced price list of Hanoi Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital
Cost of amniocentesis 9,800,000 (USD 420) Announced price list of Hanoi Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital
Cost of spontaneous miscarriage 877,000 (USD 38) Announced price list of Hanoi Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital
Cost of birth delivery 3,244,000 (USD 140) Announced price list of Hanoi Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital
Direct non-medical cost
Cost of traveling 143,458 (USD 6) Interviewed 223 Pregnant women at Hanoi Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital
Cost of meals 64,335 (USD 3) Interviewed 223 Pregnant women at Hanoi Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital
Discount rate for cost 0%
Discount rate for effectiveness 3%
Note: unit: VND and USD.
Table 3. Total cost of screening methods for Down syndrome for high-risk pregnant women (23,191 women 35–39 years old and
4041 women ≥ 40 years old).
FTS NIPT Difference
Cost items (1) (2) (2) – (1)
Total cost of screening/test method 1,753,119.85 5,843,732.83 4,090,612.98
Total cost of amniocentesis 1,139,089.42 0 −1,139,089.42
Total cost of pregnancy suspension 6557.09 7,578.25 1021.16
Total cost of birth delivery 3,739,042 3,736,478.08 −2564.13
Total of direct medical cost 6,637,808.56 9,587,789.16 2,949,980.59
Total of direct non-medical cost 775,052.20 513,085.01 −261,967.19
Total costs 7,412,860.76 10,100,874.17 2,688,013.41
Note: Unit: USD.
Table 4. Total effectiveness of screening methods for Down syndrome for high-risk pregnant women (23,191 women 35–39 years
old and 4,041 women ≥ 40 years old).
FTS NIPT Difference
Effectiveness (1) (2) (2) – (1)
Number of cases of Down syndrome detected 218.5 247.2 28.8
Number of cases of false-positive 1464.8 80.9 −1383.9
Number of cases of false-negative 36.4 7.6 −28.8
Number of cases of miscarriage due to amniocentesis 21.9 13.2 −8.7
Number of cases of birth delivery with Down syndrome 77.5 50.1 −27.4
Total of QALYs (not discounted) 1,177,603.5 1,178,038.0 434.5
Total of QALYs (discounted) 670,284.5 670,991.6 707.1
Table 5. Results of cost-effectiveness analysis of screening options in high-risk populations of 23,191 pregnant women.
FTS NIPT Difference
(1) (2) (2) – (1)
Total costs (USD) 7,412,860.76 10,100,874.17 2,688,013.41
Number of cases of Down syndrome detected 218.5 247.2 28.8
Number of cases of birth delivery with Down syndrome 77.5 50.1 −27.4
Total of QALYs (discounted) 670,284.5 670,991.6 707.1
ICER (total costs/QALYs discounted) 3,800
ICER (total costs/1 case of birth delivery with Down syndrome averted) 98,222
Cost-effectiveness threshold 1 × GDP = USD 1,960 3 × GDP = USD 5,880
Cost-effectiveness? Yes
for high-risk pregnant women. The results of the study women over 35 years old, the sensitivity and
are similar to studies evaluating the cost-effectiveness specificity of FTS were 85.71% (95% CI:
of NIPT and FTS in prenatal screening of Song et al. 63.63% to 96.78%) and 94.57% (95% CI:
in the USA in 2013 [15], study of Neyt et al. in Belgium 93.64% to 95.4%), respectively [5]. The effectiveness
in 2014 [9]. of FTS used in this study was similar to the cost-
effective study of NIPT and FTS by Morris et al.
done in the UK in 2013, Song et al. conducted
Uncertainty analysis in 2013 in the USA and Okun’s study done in
In order to control uncertainty due to input par- Canada (85% sensitivity) [15–17]. However, the
ameters, probabilistic sensitivity analysis using effectiveness of FTS in this study was higher than
Monte Carlo simulation techniques were adopted that of some other cost-effective studies, such as
and the average value both in terms of cost and the Belgian study by Neyt et al. [9] (72.5% sensi-
effectiveness for 1,000 simulations were estimated, tivity and 95% specificity), research conducted in
specifically. Australia by Garfield et al. (81% sensitivity and
As presented in the north-east quadrant of the cost- 94.1% specificity) [18].
effectiveness plane, high-risk pregnant women using The effectiveness of NIPT in this study was based
NIPT was more effective but also more costly than on data from a systematic review and meta-analysis
FTS with incremental total costs run from a low of of 41 clinical trials of Sian Taylor-Phillips conducted
USD 2,582,930.81 to a high of USD 2,793,096.00 and in 2015 [6]. The sensitivity and specificity of NIPT
incremental QALYs (discounted) run from a low of for high-risk pregnant women were 97% and 99.7%.
695.77 to a high of 718.47. Thus, incremental cost-uti- This effectiveness was lower than the NIPT effec-
lity ratios when comparing NIPT with FTS was USD tiveness used in Neyt et al.’ cost-effective study,
3,800/1 additional discounted QALYs (95% CI: Garfield’s study and Peter O’Leary’s (100%
3520.75 to 4081.94). The results of the simulation sensitivity and specificity), the study of Mika
analysis were not different from the deterministic Ohno et al. have 99% sensitivity and specificity
analysis (Figure 2). [9,17–19].
Simulation results of Incremental cost effectiveness of FTS and NIPT for high-risk pregnant
women
Deterministic result of Incremental cost effectiveness of FTS and NIPT for high-risk pregnant
women
Cost – Effectiveness threshold (one time and three times GDP/capita)
Figure 2. Graph of simulation results of Incremental cost-effectiveness of FTS and NIPT for high-risk pregnant women.
than FTS. The remaining, for pregnant women over of unnecessary invasive procedures due to false-posi-
40 years old, NIPT also detected more than 12% of tive results [20].
cases of Down syndrome, the number of false-posi-
tive cases was 94.3% lower than FTS. The study
Cost estimation
results showed that NIPT’s superior effect on FTS,
especially for high-risk women (over 35 years old). The study results showed that the cost for NIPT screen-
This result was similar to the research results of ing played a high proportion of the total cost, thus the
Susan Garfield et al. done in 2012 in the USA; average cost of detecting 1 case of Down syndrome was
research by Song et al. in 2013 for high-risk also higher than FTS. This result was different from
women in the USA and Okun et al.’s study in Okun et al.’s study based on data in Canada 2014, Beu-
2014 in Canada [15,17,18]. len et al. 2014 in The Netherlands, Song et al. in 2013
In the study of Garfield et al., the results showed that [15,17,21]. In Okun et al.’s study, the cost of NIPT
when performing NIPT for high-risk pregnant women, detecting a case of Down syndrome was lower than
66% reduction in invasive abortion cases and 38% FTS, this difference may be due to the perspective of
more detected cases of Down syndrome were detected identifying and calculating the total cost of Okun’s
[18]. The results of Song’s study of high-risk pregnant research, from the sponsor’s perspective for prenatal
women also showed that NIPT detected 28-43% more screening activities [17].
cases of Down syndrome, reducing 95% of invasive In Beulen et al.’s study, the cost of detecting a case of
procedures compared with FTS [15]. Okun et al.’s Down syndrome by NIPT was also lower than FTS, but
study based on data in Canada showed that NIPT this study also calculated the total cost from the provi-
found more than FTS 7 cases of Down syndrome der’s perspective [21]. However, in the study of Ayres
[17]. The study by Benn et al. showed that NIPT et al. conducted in 2014 with results similar to our
found 96.5% more cases of Down compared with results, the cost to detect a case of Down syndrome
85.9% of conventional screening and a 60% reduction with NIPT was higher than that of FTS (Au$
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT 7
1,094,608 equivalent to about VND 18,128,897,696) invasive prenatal test, the QALYs of different health
[22]. In our research, the cost of NIPT was higher states in the model. Next, the difference in pregnant
than FTS compared with almost other research, it women resulted in a difference in pregnancy character-
can be explained by the fact that NIPT was relatively istics, examination costs, birth delivery costs, and other
new high technology screening methods in Vietnam. expenses. Modeling the screening effectiveness on the
average case and the average cost may not be comple-
Cost-utility analysis tely accurate. The possible solution is to use micro-
simulation techniques; however, this technique
NIPT was dominant when compared to FTS in prena-
requires a lot of clinical and epidemiological infor-
tal Down syndrome screening, this result was similar to
mation of each individual that we cannot have. There-
other research results of Peter Benn, Stephen Morris,
fore, the use of decision tree model techniques with
Ken Song, Tony Yew Teck Tan [1,15,16,20]. The deter-
data sources for input parameters as in this study is
ministic analysis showed that the ICER of NIPT com-
the best solution in the current context. Lastly, NIPT
pared with FTS for over 35 years age pregnant women
is able to screen for other prenatal abnormalities such
was USD 3,800/1 additional QALY (discounted),
as Patau syndrome, Edward syndrome, and some sex-
which was lower than three times GDP/capita in Viet-
ual chromosomal abnormalities, but in this study, we
nam. Similar findings were reported by Lean Beulen.
only focus on prenatal screening for Down syndrome.
Specifically, NIPT detected 452 cases of Down syn-
Finally, health policymakers in Vietnam could rely
drome, FTS detected 294 cases; NIPT had 5 cases of
on this cost-utility analysis to tailor reproductive health
false-positive, and FTS had 52 cases. When using
plan for high-risk pregnant women (over 35-year-old),
NIPT, the total cost for each pregnant woman
for instant including NIPT in the standard care for tar-
increased by 157% compared to FTS, but ultimately,
get population or subsidy for NIPT in order to increase
NIPT was more cost-effective than FTS among preg-
the access to NIPT. Further research on the availability
nant women at high risk of developing fetus with
of the healthcare services as well as sustainability for
Down syndrome (i.e. over 35 years old) [21]. The
the health insurance fund, same approach as research
results of Song et al.’s research in 2013 in USA showed
by Afful-Dadzie et al. [13], should be done to provide
that NIPT was more cost-effective compared to FTS in
more evidence beforehand.
pregnant women over 35 years old [15].