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International Journal of Healthcare Management

ISSN: 2047-9700 (Print) 2047-9719 (Online) Journal homepage: https://www.tandfonline.com/loi/yjhm20

First-trimester screening versus non-invasive


prenatal testing for Down syndrome at high-
risk pregnant women in Hanoi Obstetrics and
Gynecology Hospital, Vietnam: A cost-utility
analysis

Nguyen Duy Anh, Le Dao Mai Trang & Nguyen Quynh Anh

To cite this article: Nguyen Duy Anh, Le Dao Mai Trang & Nguyen Quynh Anh (2020): First-
trimester screening versus non-invasive prenatal testing for Down syndrome at high-risk pregnant
women in Hanoi Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital, Vietnam: A cost-utility analysis, International
Journal of Healthcare Management, DOI: 10.1080/20479700.2020.1758893

To link to this article: https://doi.org/10.1080/20479700.2020.1758893

Published online: 12 May 2020.

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INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT
https://doi.org/10.1080/20479700.2020.1758893

First-trimester screening versus non-invasive prenatal testing for Down


syndrome at high-risk pregnant women in Hanoi Obstetrics and Gynecology
Hospital, Vietnam: A cost-utility analysis
a
Nguyen Duy Anh , Le Dao Mai Tranga and Nguyen Quynh Anh b

a
Hanoi Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital, Hanoi, Vietnam; bDepartment of Health Economics, Hanoi University of Public Health, Hanoi,
Vietnam

ABSTRACT ARTICLE HISTORY


Background: Non-invasive prenatal testing (NIPT) is a relatively new technology for diagnosis of Received 31 January 2020
fetal aneuploidies in the context of a developing country like Vietnam. Currently, first-trimester Accepted 13 April 2020
screening (FTS) is more conventional in Vietnam. NIPT is assumed to be more accurate than
KEYWORDS
other maternal screening but is also more costly. The purpose of the study was to perform a Cost-utility analysis; Down
cost-utility analysis comparing the FTS and NIPT for Down syndrome for high-risk pregnant syndrome; first-trimester
women (over 35-year-old) in Vietnam. screening; non-invasive
Methods: Decision tree model and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were used. prenatal test; Hanoi
Results: With the modelling population of 27,232 over 35 years of age pregnant women, FTS obstetrics and gynecology
helps detect 218.5 cases of the fetus with Down syndrome compared with 247.2 cases when hospital
screening with NIPT. In addition, NIPT reduced 1384 false-positive cases compared to FTS.
From a societal perspective, NIPT-dominated FTS. Compared to FTS, adopting an NIPT would
cost an additional of USD 3,800 for each additional quality-adjusted life-year gained.
Conclusions: NIPT is a cost-effective alternative to FTS for prenatal screening for Down
syndrome with high-risk pregnant women. This is a very first attempt on cost-utility analysis
of prenatal screening methods for Down syndrome in Vietnam and recommendations are
made for future research to determine the most cost-effectiveness methods.

Introduction found a way to screen for Down syndrome with a


fetal DNA test in maternal blood, which is called a
According to the World Health Organization (WHO) non-invasive antenatal test (NIPT). NIPT is a relatively
statistics, the estimated rate of children with Down new screening method in the context of a developing
syndrome is 1/700–1/1100 births worldwide [1]. In country like Vietnam. NIPT is assumed to be more
Vietnam, there are currently no official statistics on accurate, with high accuracy (>98%), low false-positive
the rate of children with Down syndrome, but accord- rate (<1%) than other maternal screening but is also
ing to estimates of the General Department of Popu- more costly. Thus, NIPT minimizes the risk associated
lation and Family Planning, there are about 1400– with invasive diagnostic testing (amniocentesis, chorio-
1800 new-born children with the Down syndrome nic villus sampling). NIPT can be undertaken as early
each year. Hanoi Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital as the 10th week of pregnancy.
is the first-class specialized hospital of the city. In From the above reasons, we conducted the study
2018, the Hospital examined and treated 680,264 cost-utility analysis of combined screening in the first
turns of patients, the total number of births was 3 months of pregnancy versus non-invasive prenatal
56,425. Currently, the hospital is conducting screening test for Down syndrome for high-risk pregnant
for Down syndrome following the screening process women (> 35 years of age) at Hanoi Obstetrics and
issued by the Ministry of Health: combined screening Gynecology Hospital in 2019 from the societal perspec-
in the first-trimester of pregnancy (FTS) – this is the tive. Research results would provide health prac-
time to be evaluated by obstetric specialists as a ‘golden titioners comprehensive and accurate information
moment’ in screening for birth defects, with high-risk regarding both cost and effectiveness of different
detection advising and appointing amniocentesis to screening methods in order to assist pregnant women
determine whether the fetus has Down syndrome and their families get the right choice in accepting or
[2,3]. However, combined screening has a false-positive not accepting prenatal screening for Down syndrome
rate of 5–7%, amniocentesis has a miscarriage rate of to reduce the burden of disease, improve the quality
1–2%. Since 1997, researchers around the world have of life of the population.

CONTACT Nguyen Quynh Anh nqa@huph.edu.vn Department of Health Economics, Hanoi University of Public Health, 1A Duc Thang Road, North Tu
Liem District, Hanoi 10000, Vietnam
© 2020 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group
2 N. D. ANH ET AL.

Methods screening methods using for calculating the number


of cases of fetus with Down syndrome detected and
Research was conducted in two steps:
the number of cases of false-positive was taken from
Step 1 – Selection of screening or test to be analyzed:
the study of Li et al. [5] and Taylor-Phillips et al.
Screening or test was selected according to the criteria
[6]. The transition probabilities of different screening
(1) feasibility of implementation at Hanoi Obstetrics
methods were calculated based on national and inter-
and Gynecology Hospital, (2) relevance to the current
national data including a meta-analysis of Akoleka
concern of the hospital Board of Directors, (3) avail-
et al. [7], a systematic review of Natoli et al. [8], a
ability of evidence regarding the effectiveness of screen-
cohort study by Li et al. [5], a meta-analysis of Tay-
ing or test; (4) availability of information about the cost
lor-Phillips et al. [6]; a systematic review of Neyt
of screening or test. From those criteria, taken into
et al. [9]. The QALYs were adopted from the cost-uti-
comparison are FTS and NIPT.
lity analysis study of prenatal diagnosis performed by
Step 2 – Building models and analyzing.
Harris et al. [10], the study of surgical abortion and
Model building: Decision tree model was designed
the effects of living with Down syndrome by Kupper-
to calculate the cost and effectiveness of screening pro-
mann et al. [11]. The number of QALYs of people liv-
tocols for high-risk pregnant women (over 35 years of
ing with Down syndrome was taken from a study by
age). The model was built to simulate the shift between
Mok et al. [12]. In this study, the time was calculated
different conditions of screening options for high-risk
for the case of spontaneous miscarriage, abortion due
pregnant women. The probabilities of transitions
to amniocentesis was one year; the time duration for
among states were estimated based on national and
Down syndrome baby born was calculated based on
international data. We based the cost-utility analysis
the average age of people with Down syndrome is
upon a hypothetical cohort of pregnant women who
58 years [13]; the life-year time for a non-Down syn-
registered for screening and birth delivery at Hanoi
drome baby born was based on the average life
Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital in 2019, i.e.
expectancy of Vietnamese people is 76 [13]. Discount
23,191 women 35–39 years old and 4041 women over
rate of 3% was applied for QALYs.
40 years old from the total of 175,689 pregnant
Incremental cost-utility ratio (ICUR) calculation and
women of all age registered for screening and birth
uncertainty analysis: The results are presented as
delivery. Down syndrome prevalence for different age
an ICUR. ICUR was calculated according to the
groups was taken from the Morris et al.’s study [4].
formula:
The model was constructed using Microsoft Excel.
Decisions tree model for NIPT and FTS protocols are Cost2 − Cost1
ICUR =
provided in Figure 1. Utility2 − Utility1
Cost measurement: Cost of different scenarios was
(With Cost1 and Utility1 is FTS and Cost2 and
estimated from societal perspective. Cost data were
Utility2 is NIPT). ICUR means that in order to gain 1
collected in 2019, starting from the time the pregnant
more unit of effectiveness, it needs to add or save
woman started her pregnant cycle till giving birth
how many units of cost.
because the time in the model was short so no dis-
Because modeling techniques produced results in
count used. Costs include direct medical costs
uncertain conditions (due to input parameters and
(including the cost of FTS or NIPT, amniocentesis,
models), Monte Carlo simulation technique (1000
spontaneous miscarriage, pregnancy suspension, giv-
times) using the Excel built-in macros was undertaken
ing birth.) and direct non-medical costs (cost of tra-
for uncertainty analysis. During each iteration of the
veling and meals if needed). The data were collected
probabilistic sensitivity analysis, the model costs and
from the existing invoice of pregnant women at
probabilities were randomly drawn and a simulation
Hanoi Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital as well
was completed using the drawn values. Normally, the
as interviewed pregnant women and family members.
costs were drawn from gamma distributions while
The cost parameters, values, and data sources are
the probabilities are drawn from beta distributions
described in Table 1.
[14]. The input parameters and distributions were pro-
Effectiveness measurement: Health outcome of
vided in Table 2.
pregnant women taken NIPT when compared with
FTS was estimated by the difference in quality-
adjusted life years (QALYs). The difference in total Results
QALYs was measured by the changes in the number
Cost estimates
of cases of fetus with Down syndrome detected and
the number of cases of false-positive when pregnant The estimated cost results for each alternative are listed
women taken NIPT compared with FTS multiplied in Table 3.
with the difference in the QALYs for different health As NIPT is relatively expensive in comparison with
conditions. Specificity and sensitivity of each FTS, it made the total cost of NIPT was USD 4.09
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT 3

Figure 1. Decisions tree model for NIPT and FTS protocols.

millions higher than FTS for the model population. FTS. Although taking NIPT scenarios was lower in cost
However, the total cost of amniocentesis in case of taking of amniocentesis as well as cost of birth delivery, the total
NIPT was USD 1.139 millions lower than FTS as a result cost of NIPT scenario was USD 2.688 millions higher
of much lower in false-positive of NIPT compared with than FTS for the model population.
4 N. D. ANH ET AL.

Table 1. Detailed cost estimates including cost elements, cost value and data sources.
Cost elements Value Data sources
Direct medical cost
Cost of NIPT 1,500,000 (USD 65) Announced price list of Hanoi Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital
Cost of FTS 5,000,000 (USD 215) Announced price list of Hanoi Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital
Cost of amniocentesis 9,800,000 (USD 420) Announced price list of Hanoi Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital
Cost of spontaneous miscarriage 877,000 (USD 38) Announced price list of Hanoi Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital
Cost of birth delivery 3,244,000 (USD 140) Announced price list of Hanoi Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital
Direct non-medical cost
Cost of traveling 143,458 (USD 6) Interviewed 223 Pregnant women at Hanoi Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital
Cost of meals 64,335 (USD 3) Interviewed 223 Pregnant women at Hanoi Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital
Discount rate for cost 0%
Discount rate for effectiveness 3%
Note: unit: VND and USD.

Table 2. Input parameters, distributions used in uncertainty analyses and sources.


Parameter Value (Mean, 95% CI) Uncertainty distribution Data sources
Down syndrome prevalance
35–39 years old 0.00616888 Beta [4]
(0.0050831565; 0.0072546020)
≥40 years old 0.02767580 Beta [4]
(0.0223100819; 0.0330415137)
Effectiveness of the screening tests
Sensitivity of NIPT 97.0% Beta [6]
Specificity of NIPT 99.7% Beta [6]
Sensitivity of FTS 85.71% Beta [5]
Specificity of FTS 94.57% Beta [5]
Quality-adjusted life years of different health states
Amniocentesis 0.76 (0.68; 0.94) Beta [11]
Pregnancy suspension 0.836 (0.4, 1.0) Beta [10]
Spontaneous miscarriage /abortion 0.76 (0.68; 0.94) Beta [11]
Birth delivery (baby with Down syndrome) 0.69 (0.54; 0.88) Beta [11]
Birth delivery (baby without Down syndrome) 0.923 (0.62; 1) Beta [10]
Baby with Down syndrome 0.55 (0.28; 0.82) Beta [12]

Table 3. Total cost of screening methods for Down syndrome for high-risk pregnant women (23,191 women 35–39 years old and
4041 women ≥ 40 years old).
FTS NIPT Difference
Cost items (1) (2) (2) – (1)
Total cost of screening/test method 1,753,119.85 5,843,732.83 4,090,612.98
Total cost of amniocentesis 1,139,089.42 0 −1,139,089.42
Total cost of pregnancy suspension 6557.09 7,578.25 1021.16
Total cost of birth delivery 3,739,042 3,736,478.08 −2564.13
Total of direct medical cost 6,637,808.56 9,587,789.16 2,949,980.59
Total of direct non-medical cost 775,052.20 513,085.01 −261,967.19
Total costs 7,412,860.76 10,100,874.17 2,688,013.41
Note: Unit: USD.

Effectiveness estimates Cost-utility results


The estimated effectiveness of each alternative is listed The ICUR of the NIPT option and the FTS option for
in Table 4. prenatal screening of Down syndrome for high-risk
The number of cases of Down syndrome detected pregnant women was USD 3,800/1 additional dis-
when giving NIPT to all model population was 28.8 counted QALYs. It means that using NIPT method
cases higher than giving FTS. However, as a result of in comparison with FTS, in order to extend by 1
higher in both sensitivity and specificity, all other nega- QALYs for over 35 years of age pregnant women, we
tive – effectiveness criteria (for example, number of spend USD 3,800 (equivalent to VND 88,571,426.6)
cases of birth delivery with Down syndrome, number more than FTS (Table 5).
of cases of miscarriage due to amniocentesis) when giv- When comparing the results of the ICUR with the
ing NIPT were much lower than giving FTS to the effective cost threshold recommended by the WHO
model population. Consequently, the total QALYs (one time GDP/capita/year in Vietnam in 2019 was
even discounted or not discounted of taking NIPT USD 1,960 and three times GDP/capita/year was USD
were higher than taking FTS (i.e. 434.5 and 707.1 5,880), the NIPT option is more cost-effective than
QALYs, respectively). FTS option in prenatal screening for Down syndrome
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT 5

Table 4. Total effectiveness of screening methods for Down syndrome for high-risk pregnant women (23,191 women 35–39 years
old and 4,041 women ≥ 40 years old).
FTS NIPT Difference
Effectiveness (1) (2) (2) – (1)
Number of cases of Down syndrome detected 218.5 247.2 28.8
Number of cases of false-positive 1464.8 80.9 −1383.9
Number of cases of false-negative 36.4 7.6 −28.8
Number of cases of miscarriage due to amniocentesis 21.9 13.2 −8.7
Number of cases of birth delivery with Down syndrome 77.5 50.1 −27.4
Total of QALYs (not discounted) 1,177,603.5 1,178,038.0 434.5
Total of QALYs (discounted) 670,284.5 670,991.6 707.1

Table 5. Results of cost-effectiveness analysis of screening options in high-risk populations of 23,191 pregnant women.
FTS NIPT Difference
(1) (2) (2) – (1)
Total costs (USD) 7,412,860.76 10,100,874.17 2,688,013.41
Number of cases of Down syndrome detected 218.5 247.2 28.8
Number of cases of birth delivery with Down syndrome 77.5 50.1 −27.4
Total of QALYs (discounted) 670,284.5 670,991.6 707.1
ICER (total costs/QALYs discounted) 3,800
ICER (total costs/1 case of birth delivery with Down syndrome averted) 98,222
Cost-effectiveness threshold 1 × GDP = USD 1,960 3 × GDP = USD 5,880
Cost-effectiveness? Yes

for high-risk pregnant women. The results of the study women over 35 years old, the sensitivity and
are similar to studies evaluating the cost-effectiveness specificity of FTS were 85.71% (95% CI:
of NIPT and FTS in prenatal screening of Song et al. 63.63% to 96.78%) and 94.57% (95% CI:
in the USA in 2013 [15], study of Neyt et al. in Belgium 93.64% to 95.4%), respectively [5]. The effectiveness
in 2014 [9]. of FTS used in this study was similar to the cost-
effective study of NIPT and FTS by Morris et al.
done in the UK in 2013, Song et al. conducted
Uncertainty analysis in 2013 in the USA and Okun’s study done in
In order to control uncertainty due to input par- Canada (85% sensitivity) [15–17]. However, the
ameters, probabilistic sensitivity analysis using effectiveness of FTS in this study was higher than
Monte Carlo simulation techniques were adopted that of some other cost-effective studies, such as
and the average value both in terms of cost and the Belgian study by Neyt et al. [9] (72.5% sensi-
effectiveness for 1,000 simulations were estimated, tivity and 95% specificity), research conducted in
specifically. Australia by Garfield et al. (81% sensitivity and
As presented in the north-east quadrant of the cost- 94.1% specificity) [18].
effectiveness plane, high-risk pregnant women using The effectiveness of NIPT in this study was based
NIPT was more effective but also more costly than on data from a systematic review and meta-analysis
FTS with incremental total costs run from a low of of 41 clinical trials of Sian Taylor-Phillips conducted
USD 2,582,930.81 to a high of USD 2,793,096.00 and in 2015 [6]. The sensitivity and specificity of NIPT
incremental QALYs (discounted) run from a low of for high-risk pregnant women were 97% and 99.7%.
695.77 to a high of 718.47. Thus, incremental cost-uti- This effectiveness was lower than the NIPT effec-
lity ratios when comparing NIPT with FTS was USD tiveness used in Neyt et al.’ cost-effective study,
3,800/1 additional discounted QALYs (95% CI: Garfield’s study and Peter O’Leary’s (100%
3520.75 to 4081.94). The results of the simulation sensitivity and specificity), the study of Mika
analysis were not different from the deterministic Ohno et al. have 99% sensitivity and specificity
analysis (Figure 2). [9,17–19].

Effectiveness of different screening methods


Discussion
When comparing NIPT and FTS, NIPT was more
Input parameter in the model
effective than FTS, specifically, for pregnant women
The sensitivity and specificity of FTS in this study aged 35–39, this group of pregnant women were
were based on the results of the study ‘The assess- identified as high risk of having a child with
ment of combined first-trimester screening in Down syndrome, when NIPT was performed, it
women of advanced maternal age in an Asian detected 13.3% more cases of Down syndrome, the
cohort” by Li et al., specifically, for pregnant number of false-positive cases was 94.5% lower
6 N. D. ANH ET AL.

Simulation results of Incremental cost effectiveness of FTS and NIPT for high-risk pregnant
women
Deterministic result of Incremental cost effectiveness of FTS and NIPT for high-risk pregnant
women
Cost – Effectiveness threshold (one time and three times GDP/capita)

Figure 2. Graph of simulation results of Incremental cost-effectiveness of FTS and NIPT for high-risk pregnant women.

than FTS. The remaining, for pregnant women over of unnecessary invasive procedures due to false-posi-
40 years old, NIPT also detected more than 12% of tive results [20].
cases of Down syndrome, the number of false-posi-
tive cases was 94.3% lower than FTS. The study
Cost estimation
results showed that NIPT’s superior effect on FTS,
especially for high-risk women (over 35 years old). The study results showed that the cost for NIPT screen-
This result was similar to the research results of ing played a high proportion of the total cost, thus the
Susan Garfield et al. done in 2012 in the USA; average cost of detecting 1 case of Down syndrome was
research by Song et al. in 2013 for high-risk also higher than FTS. This result was different from
women in the USA and Okun et al.’s study in Okun et al.’s study based on data in Canada 2014, Beu-
2014 in Canada [15,17,18]. len et al. 2014 in The Netherlands, Song et al. in 2013
In the study of Garfield et al., the results showed that [15,17,21]. In Okun et al.’s study, the cost of NIPT
when performing NIPT for high-risk pregnant women, detecting a case of Down syndrome was lower than
66% reduction in invasive abortion cases and 38% FTS, this difference may be due to the perspective of
more detected cases of Down syndrome were detected identifying and calculating the total cost of Okun’s
[18]. The results of Song’s study of high-risk pregnant research, from the sponsor’s perspective for prenatal
women also showed that NIPT detected 28-43% more screening activities [17].
cases of Down syndrome, reducing 95% of invasive In Beulen et al.’s study, the cost of detecting a case of
procedures compared with FTS [15]. Okun et al.’s Down syndrome by NIPT was also lower than FTS, but
study based on data in Canada showed that NIPT this study also calculated the total cost from the provi-
found more than FTS 7 cases of Down syndrome der’s perspective [21]. However, in the study of Ayres
[17]. The study by Benn et al. showed that NIPT et al. conducted in 2014 with results similar to our
found 96.5% more cases of Down compared with results, the cost to detect a case of Down syndrome
85.9% of conventional screening and a 60% reduction with NIPT was higher than that of FTS (Au$
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT 7

1,094,608 equivalent to about VND 18,128,897,696) invasive prenatal test, the QALYs of different health
[22]. In our research, the cost of NIPT was higher states in the model. Next, the difference in pregnant
than FTS compared with almost other research, it women resulted in a difference in pregnancy character-
can be explained by the fact that NIPT was relatively istics, examination costs, birth delivery costs, and other
new high technology screening methods in Vietnam. expenses. Modeling the screening effectiveness on the
average case and the average cost may not be comple-
Cost-utility analysis tely accurate. The possible solution is to use micro-
simulation techniques; however, this technique
NIPT was dominant when compared to FTS in prena-
requires a lot of clinical and epidemiological infor-
tal Down syndrome screening, this result was similar to
mation of each individual that we cannot have. There-
other research results of Peter Benn, Stephen Morris,
fore, the use of decision tree model techniques with
Ken Song, Tony Yew Teck Tan [1,15,16,20]. The deter-
data sources for input parameters as in this study is
ministic analysis showed that the ICER of NIPT com-
the best solution in the current context. Lastly, NIPT
pared with FTS for over 35 years age pregnant women
is able to screen for other prenatal abnormalities such
was USD 3,800/1 additional QALY (discounted),
as Patau syndrome, Edward syndrome, and some sex-
which was lower than three times GDP/capita in Viet-
ual chromosomal abnormalities, but in this study, we
nam. Similar findings were reported by Lean Beulen.
only focus on prenatal screening for Down syndrome.
Specifically, NIPT detected 452 cases of Down syn-
Finally, health policymakers in Vietnam could rely
drome, FTS detected 294 cases; NIPT had 5 cases of
on this cost-utility analysis to tailor reproductive health
false-positive, and FTS had 52 cases. When using
plan for high-risk pregnant women (over 35-year-old),
NIPT, the total cost for each pregnant woman
for instant including NIPT in the standard care for tar-
increased by 157% compared to FTS, but ultimately,
get population or subsidy for NIPT in order to increase
NIPT was more cost-effective than FTS among preg-
the access to NIPT. Further research on the availability
nant women at high risk of developing fetus with
of the healthcare services as well as sustainability for
Down syndrome (i.e. over 35 years old) [21]. The
the health insurance fund, same approach as research
results of Song et al.’s research in 2013 in USA showed
by Afful-Dadzie et al. [13], should be done to provide
that NIPT was more cost-effective compared to FTS in
more evidence beforehand.
pregnant women over 35 years old [15].

Strengths and limitations Conclusion


To the best of our knowledge, we are the first to evaluate The results of the study allow to draw conclusions for
the cost-effectiveness of Down syndrome prenatal high-risk pregnant women (over 35-year-old), that pre-
screening with non-invasive prenatal testing and screen- natal screening for Down syndrome with NIPT should
ing results in the first 3 months of pregnancy using mod- be performed. Although some limitations exist, this is
eling techniques in the context of Hanoi Obstetrics and still one of the cost-utility analysis of prenatal screening
Gynecology Hospital. This study has certain strengths: for Down syndrome with FTS and NIPT, which is rela-
First, information used for the input parameters of the tively well implemented in Vietnam. Further medical
decision tree model was the best available and reliable and economic assessments should be done further to
source, including the input parameters, the effectiveness provide more evidence for policymaking regarding ante-
of screening, the probability of transitions in the model, natal screening. At the same time, the improvement of
the QALYs and cost corresponding for two screening the availability of secondary information sources for
methods. Second, to control the uncertainty of the health economic assessment of antenatal screening
input parameters, probabilistic sensitivity analysis tech- issues in Vietnam should also be emphasized.
niques were applied. Probability sensitivity analysis was
a Monte Carlo simulation for all input parameters of the
model performed to measure the impact of the input Disclosure statement
parameter uncertainty on the conclusion of the cost- No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).
effectiveness of screening methods. The results of 1000
simulations were presented in the incremental cost-
effectiveness plane. The results of probability sensitivity Notes on contributors
analysis showed that the result of the cost-effectiveness Nguyen Duy Anh, Ph.D., Associate Professor, Director,
analysis using a decision tree model was reliable. Hanoi Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital, Hanoi, Vietnam.
However, this study also has some limitations. First, Le Dao Mai Trang, MPH, Communication Department,
we used some information from randomized con- Hanoi Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital, Hanoi, Vietnam.
trolled trials and cost-effectiveness studies on the Nguyen Quynh Anh, M.Sc., Ph.D., Lecturer, Department of
same topic conducted in developed countries, not in Health Economics, Hanoi University of Public Health,
Vietnam, for example, the effectiveness of a non- Hanoi, Vietnam.
8 N. D. ANH ET AL.

ORCID on women’s preferences. Obstet Gynecol. 2000;96


(4):511–516.
Nguyen Duy Anh http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1205-7074 [12] Mok WKY, Wong WH-S, Mok GTK, et al.. Validation
Nguyen Quynh Anh http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2961- and application of health utilities index in Chinese sub-
7971 jects with down syndrome. Health Qual Life
Outcomes. 2014;12(1):144.
[13] Afful-Dadzie A, Afful-Dadzie E, Mensah S. Could cost
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