Professional Documents
Culture Documents
i
Statistics and Probability
Grade 11 Quarter 4: Week 5 - Module 13: Solving Problems Involving
Test of Hypotheses on a Population Mean and Formulating Ho and H1 of
population Proportion
Copyright © 2021
La Union Schools Division
Region I
All rights reserved. No part of this module may be reproduced in any form
without written permission from the copyright owners.
Management Team:
population proportion(M11/12SP-IVe-2)
3. identifies the appropriate form of test when the Central Limit
Theorem is to be used(M11/12SP-IVe-3)
(M11/12SP-IVe-4)
Subtasks:
1. formulate the null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis in words and in
symbols.
2. identify the appropriate test statistic and the appropriate rejection region
for a given level of significance using the CLT.
3. apply the steps in solving problems involving hypothesis testing.
Before going on, check how much you know about this topic. Answer the
pretest on the next page in a separate sheet of paper.
Directions: Read each item carefully and write the letter of the correct
answer.
1. Which of the following refers to an intelligent guess about a population proportion?
A. Decision B. Hypothesis
C. Interpretation D. Test statistic
2. Which of the following serves as a guide in deciding whether to accept or
reject the null hypothesis?
A. Acceptance region B. Confidence level
C. Decision Rule D. Interpretation
3. Under the normal curve, what do you call the values that separate the
rejection region from the acceptance region?
A. Confidence coefficients B. z-values
C. Computed statistics D. t-values
4.What are the critical values if the level of significance is 0.01 and it is a
two-tailed hypothesis test?
A. ± 1.90 B. ± 1.96 C. ± 2.00 D. ± 2.58
5. How many samples are needed for the sample size to be considered large?
A. n>10 B. n > 30 C. n > 50 D. n > 100
6. What statistical test for hypothesis is used when sample size is more than
30 and standard deviation is unknown?
A. p B. r C. t D. z
7. If po = 0.67, what is qo?
A. 0.33 B. 0.35 C. 0.36 D. 0.37
8. When the null hypothesis is rejected, which of the following is true?
A. The conclusion is guaranteed.
B. The conclusion is not guaranteed.
C. There is a sufficient evidence to back up the decision.
D. There is no sufficient evidence to back up the decision.
9. In a z-test of proportion, what does it mean when the computed z lies in
the rejection region?
A. The sample proportion is equal to the population proportion
B. The sample proportion is equal to the hypothesized proportion.
C. The sample proportion is not equal to the population proportion.
D. The sample proportion is not equal to the hypothesized proportion.
10. What is the significance of the rejection region?
A. The rejection region has no significance.
B. If the test statistic lies outside the rejection region, we will accept the
null hypothesis.
C. If the test statistics lies inside the rejection region, we will accept the
null hypothesis.
D. If the test statistics lies outside the rejection region, we will reject the
null hypothesis.
11. A manufacturer of a certain brand of rice cereal claims that the average
saturated fat content does not exceed 1.5 grams per serving. What is the
parameter to be tested?
A. number of cereal brands B. amount of rice cereal
C. serving D. saturated fat content.
For items 12-13, use the problem below.
A manufacturer claims that the average lifetime of his light bulbs is 3
years or 36 months. The standard deviation is 8 months. Fifty bulbs are
selected, and the average lifetime is found to be 32 months. Should the
manufacturer’s statement be rejected at α = 0.01?
Jumpstart
Ho : ______
Ha : ______
𝑝̂ : ______
3. A large city’s Department of Motor Vehicles claimed that 80% of candidates
pass the driving test, but newspaper reports that out of 90 randomly selected
local teens who had taken the test, only 60 passed.
Ho : ______
Ha : ______
𝑝̂ : ______
Discover
In “Hypothesis Test for a Population Mean,” the claims are statements about
a population mean. But we will see that the steps and the logic of the hypothesis test
are the same.
The tables and figure below are provided for your quick reference.
Table 1. Type of Hypothesis Test
Type of Hypothesis Test Reject the Null Hypothesis if:
Left –Tailed The test statistic is located to the left of
( <) the critical value.
Right-tailed The test statistic is located to the right
( >) of the critical value.
Two-tailed The test is located to the left of the
( ≠) negative critical value or to the right of
the positive critical value.
Table 2. Level of Significance
Level of Significance (𝛼) One –tailed test Two-tailed test
Left ( < ) Right ( > )
Figure 1.
Example 1
A random sample of 12 babies born in a charity ward of Cee Family Hospital
was taken with a sample mean weight of 2.5083 kg. Assuming that this sample came
from a normal population, investigate the claim that the mean weight is greater than
2.5 kg. The population standard deviation is 0.2 kg. Use the level of significance 𝛼 =
0.05
Solution
Steps Answer
1. Formulate the Hypotheses: the The null hypothesis is the mean weight
null hypothesis and alternative of a born baby in a charity ward of Cee
hypothesis Family Hospital is 2.5 kg. In symbol, Ho
: 𝜇 = 2.5
The alternative hypothesis is the mean
weight of a born baby in a charity ward
of Cee Family Hospital is greater than
2.5 kg. In symbol, H1 : 𝜇 > 2.5
2. Determine the level of 𝛼 = 0.05
significance
One-tailed test as suggested by the
alternative hypothesis, right-tailed test
(> )
3. Calculate the test statistic and Claim: Sample mean, 𝑥̅ = 2.5083
identify the rejection area Hypothesized mean, 𝜇 = 2.5
Standard deviation,𝜎 = 0.2
Number of sample, n = 12
Test-statistic to be used is z test,
because the number of sample is less
than 30.
𝑥̅ − 𝜇 2.5083−2.5
z= 𝜎 = 0.2 = 0.1438
√𝑛 √12
at 0.05, the rejection area is, 𝑧𝛼 = +
1.645
4. State the Decision Rule Reject H0 if the computed test statistics
≤ negative critical value.
Do not reject (or accept) H0 if the
computed test statistic > negative
critical value or test statistic < positive
critical value
5. Make a decision based on the The test statistic (z) 0.1438 < +1.645
test statistics and the rejection (is not in the rejection area), thus, we
area decide to accept the null hypothesis and
reject the alternative hypothesis.
6. Draw a conclusion We say that at 5% level of significance,
there is not enough evidence to support
the claim that the mean weight of the
babies in the charity ward of Cee Family
Hospital is greater than 2.5 kg
Example 2
A sports trainer wants to know whether the true average time of his athletes who
do 100-meter sprint in 98 seconds. He recorded 18 trials of his team and found
that the average time is 98.2 seconds with standard deviation of 0.4 seconds. Is
there a sufficient evidence to reject the claim at the 0.05 level of significance?
Solution
Steps Answer
1. Formulate the Hypotheses: the The null hypothesis is the true average
null hypothesis and alternative time of a sports trainer’s athletes who
hypothesis do 100-meter sprint in 98 seconds. In
symbols, Ho : 𝜇 = 98
p-value Method
The p-value (or probability value) is the probability of getting a sample statistic
as extreme as the test statistic in the direction of the alternative hypothesis when
the null hypothesis is true.
To use a p-value in making conclusions for a given data at the level of
significance 𝛼, we use the following rule:
Reject Ho if p-value ≤ 𝜶
Or
Do not reject Ho if p-value > 𝜶
Example 3
A claim is published that in a certain area of high unemployment, 195 is the
average amount spent on food per week by a family of four. A home economist wants
to test this claim against the suspicion that the true average is lower than 195. She
surveys a random sample of 36 families from the locality and finds the mean to be
193.20 with a standard deviation of 6.80. Using p-value method at 0.01 level of
significance, test the home economists claim.
Solution
Steps Answer
1. Formulate the Hypotheses: The null hypothesis is the average amount
the null hypothesis and spent on food per week by a family of four is
alternative hypothesis 195. In symbols, Ho : 𝜇 = 195
The Central Limit Theorem for Proportion states that the sampling
distribution of the sample proportion 𝒑
̂ (read: “p hat”) is approximately normally
𝒑𝒒
distributed with mean p and standard deviation √ if the sample size n is
𝒏
sufficiently large but no more than 5% of the population size, where p is the
population proportion and q = 1 − p.
𝑝̂−𝑝
z= 𝑝𝑞
√
𝑛
𝑥
where: 𝑝̂ – sample population proportion, 𝑝̂ =
𝑛
p – population proportion, q = 1 - p
n – sample size
There are two ways in testing the hypothesis. The classical or critical value
approach and the probability (or p-value) approach. The classical or critical
approach results in a reject/do not reject conclusion, while the p-values measure how
confident we are in rejecting a null hypothesis. The critical approach compares the
test statistic to the critical values whereas the p-value method compares the p-value
to the significance level (𝜶).
𝛼 Critical Regions
Left- tailed Right-tailed Two-tailed
0.10 z < - 1.28 z > 1.28 z <- 1.645 or z > 1.645
0.05 z < - 1.645 z > 1.645 z <- 1.96 or z > 1.96
0.01 z < - 2.33 z > 2.33 z <- 2.575 or z > 2.575
Let’s determine the null and alternative hypothesis of the following examples:
Example 1: The principal of a school claims that 30% of grade 3 pupils stay in the
playground after their classes. A survey among 500 grade 3 pupils revealed
that 150 of them stay in the playground after their classes.
Solution: Let p be the proportion of the grade 3 pupils stay in the playground
after classes. The claim is 30% of grade 3 pupils stay in the
playground after their classes, hence, p = 0.3
In words the hypotheses are:
Ho = 30% of grade 3 pupils stay in the playground after their classes.
H1 = 30% of grade 3 pupils do not stay in the playground after their classes,
In symbols,
Ho: p = 0.3
H1: p ≠ 0.3
Example 2: According to the survey, “23.8% of Filipinos aged 15 and above are
smokers as of 2015.” We are testing the claim that the percentage of
Filipino smokers aged 15 and above in 2019 is less than 23.8% from a
randomly selected 300 samples.
Here are some enrichment activities for you to work on to master and
strengthen the basic concepts you have learned from this lesson
.05
.01
2. Haus of Gaz claims that more than two-thirds of the houses in a certain
subdivision use their brand. Do we have a reason to claim if in a random
sample of 40 houses in this subdivision, it is found that 25 use the
company’s brand.
H0 : _______________
H1 : _______________
1. A canteen owner claims that the average meal cost of his usual clients is
Php180. In order to test his own claim, he took a random sample of 30
receipts and computed the mean cost of Php210 with a standard deviation of
Php25. Test the hypothesis at 0.01 level of significance. Show all steps
Gauge
Directions: Answer the following questions and write your answer on the
separate sheet of paper.