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DOES IT INTEREST YOU?

WHAT?

The government has decided to implement the mick-talked-about single digit interest rate for
all types of deposits at 6% from Ap-11 1st & for borrowing at 9% from March 1st.

WHO?

THE BORROWERS THE BANKS

They have always felt under pressure The forced reduction will greatly reduce
because of the high interest rates. They their income. Given 6% inflation & service
either couldn’t invest enough or their charges of the banks 9% interest from loans
investments didn’t bear much fruit, which
will hardly leave much margins for the
inevitably resulted in some being loan
defaulters. With the new policy they must banks profit from.
now be jumping with joy.

THE SAVERS THE GOVERNMENT

They feel betrayed as their savings will now The decision was taken to facilitate single
bring in smaller returns. The decision to digit interest rate for landing with a view of
reduce the interest on deposits will not just spurring private investment & create
affect pensioners but also the fixed income employment. but the policy seems
group, who usually keep a pension of their somewhat tilted too much towards the
income everyday month in deposit pension interest of business community at the cost of
schemes (DPS). others.
WHY?

Though Bangladesh’s growth has achieved a It has been quite the country of Bangladesh.
new height by crossing the 8% marks, Looking in to sector-by-sector interest rate
private investment has been hovering only & NPL status reveals that in 2017, credit
around a little over 23% of gross domestic provided for customer finance had a
product. For a fast-growing country, such weighted average lending rate of 11% even
low investment reduces the possibility of though its average NPL rate was only 4% of
higher job creation. total ban provided to the sector, while credit
provided for trade & commerce had a
Moreover, a high lending rate is not only a weighted average lending rate of 10%,
reflection of motivation for high profits, but despite its average NPL rate being as high as
also a sign of inflationary pressure and loan 11% of total loan given to the sector. Thus,
default risks. good borrowers were being punished with
high interest rates bad borrowers were being
Conversational economic theory suggests rewarded with low interest rates. This
that higher risk should be compensated with reflects a distorted market which calls for
higher return. In the context of banking, this urgent attention on the part of the regulators.
implies that risky loans should be changed
higher interest rates then the better ones.

DEPOSIT GROWTH OF PRIVATE BANKS

DEC’17 - 12.58
APR’18 - 12.5
JUN’18 - 12.73
SEP’18 - 12.05
DEC’18 - 11.59

WEIGHTED AVARAGE LENDING RATES

MAY - 9.96
JUN - 9.95
JUL - 9.71
AUG - 9.63
SEP - 9.54
OCT - 9.47
NOV - 9.5
HOW INTEREST RATESGOING DOWN AFFECTS YOUR WALLET?

For consumers, this is good news. Since most major purchases involve financing, lower
interest rates will generally make purchases less expensive. And with rate falling across the
board, this should be somewhat positive news for your wallet.

I say ‘somewhat’ because it will have the opposite effect on savers. As debtors get the benefit
of lower interest payments, savers will experience a decline in interest income. That maces
interest going down a mixed bag, depending on whether you’re a debtor or a saver.

Words by FAHIM ISLAM

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