MANAGEMENT, MAINTENANCE AND REHABILITATION (Pre-requisite – Non) FIFTH Year 2nd Semester– Civil Engineering
Lecturer: Michael M. Kopulande
BEng (Civil), MSc Eng. (Struct), MSc. (Infra. & Mgt), MEIZ, R.Eng. 2. NEEDS ASSESSMENTS, IMPACTS, FINANCING AND PERFORMANCE INDICATORS Factors affecting the demand and supply of public works services • Asset management is defined as a systematic process of maintaining, upgrading, and operating physical assets cost effectively, while facilitating more organized, logical approach to decision-making. • The asset management approach incorporates the economic assessment of trade- offs among alternative investment options, and uses this information to help make appropriate economic investment decisions.
• More widely, it can include return on investment, maximizing economic efficiency,
accountability, and opportunity costs, with the focus mainly on infrastructure assets, such as highways, bridge, water system, etc (FHWA, 1999).
• Infrastructure asset management is a methodology for programming infrastructure
capital investments and adjusting infrastructure service provision to fulfill established performance, considering the life-cycle perspective of infrastructure (Garvm, 2001). • As infrastructures approach their design lives, there is an increasing demand for new construction, rehabilitation, maintenance, and repair projects to create and/or extend the design life, so that the potential for loss of function or clown time can be minimized. • With the recent increasing need for infrastructure rehabilitation, the need for an effective infrastructure management system under budgetary constraints is crucial. • As the major methodology to support the decision-making for optimal fund allocation. • The demand forecasting tool can assess the impact of inadequate routine maintenance and deferred capital maintenance. • While widely used for its implementation in the design phase of infrastructure assets in transportation, housing, and utilities (i.e., electricity, water) asset management. • Accordingly, the forecasting methodology is decisive in infrastructure asset management, which can allow asset managers to better allocate the limited funds to the area needing it the most • A practical working definition of asset management is embodied in knowing the following about the infrastructure: • a) What you have • b) What condition it is in • c) What the financial burden will be to maintain it at a targeted condition • Stated more formally, asset management refers to a set of processes or activities addressing the proactive management of capital assets and/or infrastructure as follows: • • Maintaining a systematic record of individual assets (an inventory) with regard to acquisition cost, original and remaining useful life, physical condition, and cost history for repair and maintenance. • • Having a defined program for sustaining the aggregate body of assets through planned maintenance, repair, and/or replacement • • Implementing and managing information systems in support of these elements WATER INFRASTRUCTURE • Old sewer pipes have led to sewer failures leading to costly repairs, and sewers not meeting the demand - may face overflow problems, which could cause health and environmental hazards. • Most of the water utilities are currently a ~step behind" in the management of sewer systems, as municipalities have traditionally addressed the design, construction, maintenance, and rehabilitation of sewer systems on a ~crisis-based" approach. • Which means sewers are not built and/or rehabilitated until a major failure (i.e., overflow, collapse) occurs. • Such defensive management practice leads to inefficient use of funds and causes more frequent sewer failures, which end in difficult and costly repairs. • In order for municipalities to be a step ahead" in the management of sewer systems, they will need to predict the future sewer demand, so that they can devise a maintenance plan to prevent any major failures before it occurs. • Due to the limited funds, one of the most difficult and crucial tasks in managing an aging sewer infrastructure is the prioritization of maintenance and repair expenditures • In order to accomplish the difficult task of efficient allocation of funds in rehabilitation of sewer systems, it is important to forecast future sewer demand to identify problematic areas and develop necessary management schemes. FACTORS AFFECTING DEMAND • 1. ECONOMIC GROWTH • 2. POPULATION GROWTH • 3. NEED TO MODERNISE • 4. NEED FOR EFFICIENCY AND RELIABILITY • 5. INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY • 6. THE NEED TO REPLACE AGING INFRASTRUCTURE FACTORS AFFECTING SUPPLY
• 1. ECONOMIC STAGNATION • 2. FINANCING REGIMES AND METHODOLOGIES • 3. ASSET ACQUISITION AND MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES • 4. PUBLIC PROCUREMENT PROCESSES IMPACT OF INFRASTRUCTURE ON ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
• IS IT ECONOMIC GROWTH THEN INFRASTRUCTURE
DEVELOPMENT OR INFRASTRUCTURE GROWTH THEN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT • The need to achieve successive annual economic growth has often been the driving factor for investment decisions in PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE for many countries around the world . • Both developed countries and developing countries alike do justify the expenditure of public resources on infrastructure, as being a pre-requisite for economic growth. • Governments have used this as justification to borrow from multi-lateral development banks and pension funds for onward investment into infrastructure development with the hope of repaying the loans from the improved tax revenues due to heightened economic activity. • For developed countries, the expenditure on transport has been justified as that which is needed to ensure that their economies remain competitive and helps achieve enhanced productivity which in turn leads to economic growth • Developing countries on the other hand invest in infrastructure to open up areas of productivity, enhance connectivity between the production and market regions, as well as, enable easy and cost effective transportation of goods and people from outlying areas thereby creating economic growth poles • Failure to achieve the intended objective of the investment, particularly where the use of public capital is involved, results in not realising value for money WHAT FACTORS ENABLE INFRASTRUCTURE CONTRIBUTE TO ECONOMIC GROWTH • RELIABLE INFRASTRUCTURE • INTER-CONNECTED INFRASTRUCTURE • RESILIENT • ROBUSTNESS • VALUE FOR MONEY • ABILITY TO REDUCE THE COST OF DOING BIZ • ADEQUACY END! INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING: STRATEGIES FOR FINANCING PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE RISK IDENTIFICATION AND ANALYSIS
• QUESTION: HOW MUCH DEBT AND HOW MUCH
EQUITY IN SPV? • ANSWER: IT DEPENDS UPON PROJECT INHERENT RISK. Financial Risk Mitigation • Capital Markets Instruments : Hedging • Examples: • • Foreign currency swaps : for what period? • • [Interest rate swaps : for what period?] • • Commodity swaps or hedges • Points to note: • • Nature of contract ? Potential lack of flexibility? • • Costs? Long-term swaps can be very expensive to re- negotiate • • Availability? Long-term swap market can be illiquid • • Swaps are Contingent Liabilities, sometimes described in Notes to the Balance Sheet of counterparties [& sometimes not!]. FUNDING STRUCTURES PROJECT APPRAISAL QUANTITATIVE ANALYTICAL TOOLS DISCOUNTED CASH-FLOWS [“DCF”] COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS – Possible impacts • • Environment • • Social • • Climate change • • Technological development • • Transfer of technology • • Decongestion / congestion • • Population growth • • Economic growth • • Connectivity • • Employment • • Displacement • • Ambiance • • Quality of life • • Public safety CASH-FLOW MODELS CASH-FLOW ANALYSIS Case Study INFRASTRUCTURE PUBLIC Vs. PRIVATE FINANCE PPP VS. CONVENTIONAL FUNDING?