Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Seiko Ideas Business News Collection Vol 25
Seiko Ideas Business News Collection Vol 25
BUSINESS REVIEW
Vol 25, July 12th 2017
Vietnam’s surprising rate cut may spur growth amid credit worries
Back to top
www.seiko-ideas.com
SEIKO IDEAS CORPORATION 1
Vietnam Business Review
HIGHLIGHTS
Where‟s Vietnam in the global value chain?
12 black sheep in MoIT portfolio
Festival tourism market now being tapped
ECONOMY
Vietnam becomes bigger source of earnings for Japanese firms
Hanoi to auction 6,000 ha of land for urban railway
INVESTMENT
Investors eye Vietnam‟s renewables in wind and solar energy
Hospitality investment sustains stirring trend
BRANDS
Domestic brands gain better recognition internationally
Large corporations rush to lift foreign ownership ratio limit
Transport firms hurt by controversial rule
HEALTHCARE BUSINESS
Privately run hospitals still cannot make profit
Quadria Capital successfully acquires stake in FV Hospital
Back to top
SEIKO IDEAS CORPORATION 2
Vietnam Business Review
ECONOMY
Vietnam becomes bigger source of earnings for Japanese firms
VOV - Vietnam has surpassed Malaysia to become a bigger source of earnings for Japanese firms, according
to the Bank of Japan (BoJ).
The BoJ statistics, quoted by Japan‟s Kyodo news, showed that Japan's foreign direct investment (FDI) in
Vietnam totalled JPY198.1 billion (US$1.74 billion) last year, up 70% from 2014, on the back of an increase in
the number of Japanese businesses in the country and its high economic growth.
The combined number of registered firms at Japanese business associations in Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City
has increased by more than 250 since 2014 to nearly 1,500 as rising labor costs in China have prompted them
to open plants in Vietnam.
According to a survey by the Japan External Trade Organisation, nearly two-thirds of Japanese businesses in
the country are profitable.
In contrast, Japan's FDI income from Malaysia dropped about 24% from 2014 to JPY167.5 billion in 2016.
Vietnam has done much to overhaul its banking system since 2012 after a lending spree and weak controls
led to a surge in bad debt. The central bank in 2013 set up the Vietnam Asset Management Company to buy
banks‟ bad debt. Non-performing loans, at 17% at the time, dropped to 2.6% as of March and the
government aims to keep it under 3%.
While the asset quality of Vietnamese banks has improved, there is a risk some new loans could sour,
according to a Moody‟s Investors Service research note. Bad loans at Vietnam banks were 6.8% of total loans
as of the end of 2016, Moody‟s said.
‘Prudent’ Growth
“The government has spent some time stabilizing the economy and now the macro-economic situation is
stable, favoring easing monetary policies for growth,” Nguyen Ngoc Anh, chief economist and chairman of
the Development and Policies Research Center in Hanoi.
“However, it‟s crucial to be more prudent with fast-lending growth and vigilant about where the money is
going to avoid having bubble markets in property and equities and the quickening of inflation, which we
experienced in the past,” he said. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) reported that its estimate of
impaired loans at Vietnamese banks had decreased to 8.4% of total loans at the end of 2016 from 12.7% in
mid-2015
The central bank‟s target for credit growth this year is 18%. The banking system had about 345 trillion dong
($15.2 billion) of unresolved bad debt as of Dec. 31, 2016, according to the central bank.
Lawmakers last month endorsed rules that would help clear non-performing loans from the banking system.
Banks would be able to sell bad loans and the assets backing them with fewer restrictions than presently
imposed, speeding up the disposal process.
Challenging Target
Even with the rate cuts, the government‟s growth target will be hard to achieve as trade momentum eases,
said Eugenia Victorino, an economist at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. in Singapore. ANZ
recently lowered its growth forecast for Vietnam to 6% from 6.4%.
“Even as export growth has remained buoyant, the re-emergence of a narrow trade deficit this year implies a
lower net contribution of trade to overall growth,” Victorino said in a note.
The benchmark VN Index fell 1.2% as of 2:58p.m. in Ho Chi Minh City trading today. The government five-year
bond yield dropped 9 basis points, the most since February, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Foreign investors bought VND11 trillion (US$484.6 million) worth of the bonds in the first five months of the year,
according to the National Financial Supervisory Committee.
Data from VP Bank Securities Company shows that between June 23 and 26 foreign purchases of
government bonds on the secondary market were worth VND61.647 trillion, an increase of 34.8 per cent over
the previous week.
The Sai Gon Securities Company said that in the first half of the year foreigners bought government bonds
worth VND14.9 trillion (US$656.4 million), an increase of VND1.7 trillion ($74.9 million) over the same period last
year.
The chief of a foreign-invested fund management company, who asked not to be named, said the biggest
concern for foreign investors buying government bonds was the depreciation of the dong against the
greenback.
However, the value of the dollar had not changed much though the US central bank has hiked rates several
times.
The dollar appreciated slightly against the dong after the US raised the rate once in mid-June, but soon
declined.
Recently the State Bank of Viet Nam allowed the dong to decline slightly to VND22,725 per dollar.
It was facilitated in this by the downward trend in inflation and the exchange rate since the beginning of this
year, thus creating conditions for the central bank to improve the foreign exchange reserves and to inject
liquidity into the market without resorting to open market operations and not putting pressure on the
exchange rate.
An executive at a major bank in HCM City said that with the many positive aspects in the economy the
dong-dollar exchange rate is likely to remain steady until the year-end unless there are unexpected
extraneous factors.
To take advantage of this opportunity, he said, the Ministry of Finance is drafting a plan with many incentives
to attract foreign funds into the bond market.
If they are offered tax and fee breaks, foreign investors would be happy to enter the bond market, he said.
Foreign banks: coming or going?
Last week the Viet Nam International Bank (VIB) and Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) announced
that the former would buy the latter‟s Ho Chi Minh City branch.
VIB will acquire all the assets and liabilities of the CBA branch, and the transition process will take several
months.
The Australian bank had bought strategic stakes in VIB in 2009 and 2010 and retains a 20 per cent ownership.
It had opened the branch in 2008.
CBA will continue to retain its Ha Noi representative office, which was established in 1994 to “serve as a liaison
with government bodies, financial institutions and corporations in Vietnam.”
Speaking about the sale, Steve Ellis, general manager of Viet Nam Commonwealth Bank, said, “It
demonstrates the confidence Commonwealth Bank has in the Viet Nam International Bank to continue to
provide high-quality service to our customers.”
CBA is not the first bank to want to sell a part of its business after several years of operations in Viet Nam.
Australian-owned ANZ has also agreed in principle to sell its retail business in Viet Nam to South Korea‟s
Shinhan Bank, part of its broader retreat from Asian retail banking.
Its retail business serves 125,000 customers in Viet Nam and includes A$320m (US$240m) in lending assets and
A$800m in deposits.
After Viet Nam became a member of the World Trade Organization, the number of foreign banks investing in
the Vietnamese market increased rapidly, particularly after Viet Nam opened up the banking market to fully-
invested banks in 2007.
According to the State Bank of Viet Nam (SBV), by late 2015 the country had 50 foreign-invested branches
and 50 representative offices of foreign credit institutions.
Late last year the SBV licensed Singapore‟s United Overseas Bank (UOB) to incorporate a bank in Viet Nam.
UOB takes the number of fully foreign-invested banks in Viet Nam to nine, with the others being South Korea‟s
Woori Bank and Shinhan Bank; Malaysia‟s Public Bank Berhad, CIMB, and Hong Leong Bank; HSBC; Standard
Chartered Bank, and ANZ Bank.
Analysts say that Viet Nam, with its more than 90 million population, has always been an attractive market for
foreign investors in the retail and finance and banking sectors.
The other factor that makes the financial sector attractive is the small number of people who use financial
products and services, particularly in rural areas, as yet. This translates into a big opportunity for foreign banks
to exploit as more consumers enter the market.
Viet Nam is a member of the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC), meaning that when they invest in Viet
Nam foreign investors automatically have access to the other member countries of the AEC, a bloc that has
the world‟s third biggest population of 600 million.
Viet Nam has signed free trade agreements with many countries around the world. This has encouraged
more foreign investors to come to Viet Nam to take advantage of the benefits arising from those agreements.
The increase in the number of foreign businesses in Viet Nam has enlarged the market for international-
standard financial services, thus improving the attractiveness of the Vietnamese financial market.
The high interest rates and spreads -- the difference between the borrowing and lending interest rates – in the
country have also been a magnet for foreign lenders.
But then why are some foreign banks like CBA and ANZ headed for the exit?
Experts say this is because the operation of foreign branches and fully-invested foreign banks is very
expensive.
Despite their advantages in terms of finance and technology, foreign banks cannot operate like domestic
lenders because they have to comply with certain regulations.
INVESTMENT
Investors eye Vietnam’s renewables in wind and solar energy
Solidiance - Global investors are beginning to see growth potential in Vietnam‟s renewable energy sector,
particularly in wind and solar electricity, given the government‟s reforms aimed to make Vietnam‟s power
sector more competitive and efficient.
At present, hydro power accounts for the largest share of power generation in Vietnam. However, since it is
approaching maximum utilization, the government is seeking ways to diversify through coal and renewable
energy.
Although Vietnam‟s present level of feed-in tariffs remains a key barrier for renewables, the increasing
domestic awareness of energy-efficient technologies, coupled with the growing global focus on sustainability,
are key driving factors that promote its expansion.
According to Solidiance, an Asia-focused management consulting firm, Vietnam has an opportunity to
become a leader in clean, renewable electricity. The strategy firm released a white paper forecasting the
future of Vietnam‟s power sector, stating that renewable energies will eventually become profitable in
Vietnam despite the current low levels of feed-in tariffs.
In a master plan strategy to promote
renewable energy, the government plans to
increase wind energy capacity from the
current 140 MW to 800 MW by 2020 and 6,000
MW by 2030, while a target has been set to
increase existing or installed solar power
capacity from the current 850 MW to 4,000
MW by 2020 and 12,000 MW by 2030.
Vietnam has also set a target to reduce
greenhouse gas emissions by 8% by 2030 and
has committed to increase this target to 25%
Vietnam’s Feed-In Tariffs by Type of Renewable Energy
with international support.
(Source: Official documents of VN Government, Solidiance analysis)
Along with these ambitious targets, a number
of global companies are already investing on the lucrative market. Recently, the British Embassy of Hanoi
announced a project to help businesses in southern provinces of Vietnam develop rooftop solar systems. The
project, called Supporting Southern Vietnam Solar Photovoltaic Development, or Solar Hub, is supported by
the UK Foreign and Commonwealth Office.
The initial phase of the project will last until March 2017, backed by Vietnam-based investment company
Dragon Capital Group and Energy Conservation Center from Ho Chi Minh City. The project will receive
financial support from the UK government as much as USD 1.7 billion.
Southeast Asian wind energy developer The Blue Circle has recently received an Investment Certificate from
Vietnam for its 40 MW Dam Nai project in Ninh Thuan province, South Vietnam.
With less than 120 MW of wind power installed in the Vietnam so far, the Dam Nai project will significantly
contribute to the ambitious target set by the government. The company intends to fully participate in wind
power expansion in Vietnam.
As electricity prices are expected to continue to increase worldwide by 2023, Vietnam is set for more
investment opportunities in renewable energy. Vietnam is in need of green growth, and the government will
transition its policies to encourage these greener growth trends.
Vietnam continues to see an influx of international hotel management corporations setting up shop in the
country. A strong increase in the number of tourists also boosts the occupancy and average daily rate of
hotels and resorts in popular areas.
In addition, recent developments in the second home market – which includes villas and condotels – have
begun to gain traction.
The first products targeting the second home market were introduced in 2007 in Danang and Nha Trang.
This segment, however, is becoming more active with increasingly larger projects that provide more
diversified products to consumers – driven, in part, by the recovering real estate market.
The supply has increased remarkably, with more than 9,100 condotels and villas launched in 2016 in Danang,
Nha Trang, and Phu Quoc Island, up 48 per cent year-on-year. In these three destinations alone, nearly 10,300
units were sold last year.
Emerging trend
With increased lodging comes the need for management companies, and international hotel management
corporations have been capitalising on opportunities in the hospitality sector.
Last year saw sustained demand from domestic and foreign investors and a steady flow of joint venture and
development deals in and around major cities.
Domestic investors were on the lookout for opportunities across a range of sectors. Most groups are well-
funded, yet some are still interested in forming joint ventures to pursue residential projects.
Japanese and South Korean developers are leading the charge, while Chinese investors are returning to
Vietnam. Hong Kong investors are becoming more active as well, with one group creating a joint venture
with a local partner last year.
Recent quarters have seen a noticeable uptick in enquiries from North American and European groups.
Interest is particularly focused on the office and hospitality sectors.
Interest among foreign and domestic developers in land remains strong in this year‟s second quarter, with
large firms like Lotte, AEON, and CapitaLand completing major land purchases in Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City.
Major transactions also transpired on Phu Quoc, with Sulyna Hospitality Hotel Restaurant Travel Service Co.
buying a 70 per cent position – equal to $15 million – in the Long Beach Resort Phu Quoc.
Stretching along a pristine beach, Long Beach Resort has 118 rooms set to open during its first phase. It
possesses a unique architectural design that resembles a traditional Vietnamese village, offering a new
standard in exclusive and bespoke indulgence.
Many hotels and resorts were developed a long time ago in famous tourist destinations across the country.
However, the market has become more active recently, with large-scale projects developed by heavy-
hitting players.
In the north, there has been huge investment flows into famous locations such as Halong, Vinh Phuc, and
Sapa. Some recent large-scale projects include Vinpearl Halong Bay Resort or FLC Luxury Sam Son.
In central and southern Vietnam, the supply of lodging has increased significantly in recent years.
For instance, in Nha Trang the supply of rooms in three-star hotels and above increased by around 2,400 units
each year in 2015 and 2016 – translating to a compounded annual growth rate of 26 per cent.
Key development drivers
There are many factors that have contributed to the strong development of the resort and second home
sectors of the property market.
Tourism has been increasing in recent years, improving local incomes and prompting the government and
local authorities to continue activities that appeal to tourists.
According to the General Statistics Office of Vietnam, in 2016, the GDP per capita of Vietnam reached
$2,215 per person, up by 5 per cent compared to 2015 and 8 per cent compared to 2014. This increase in
disposable income has significantly boosted domestic tourism.
Strong infrastructure investment has also played a vital role in tourism development.
According to the Asian Development Bank, Vietnam ranked first among all Southeast Asian countries (as
a%age of GDP) in infrastructure investment – averaging 5.7 per cent of GDP in recent years.
In addition to increased tourism and infrastructure development, firms have begun to focus on creating
unique, mixed-use, and remarkable products. Recent resort developments are usually integrated with many
amenities, such as entertainment and commercial areas, to provide customers with a full-package
experience.
Developers have also placed a higher emphasis on brand equity, relying on and co-operating with
trustworthy international hoteliers with strong brands.
The participation of international hoteliers, such as Accor, IHG, Sol Melia, Starwood, and Marriott, has not only
attracted tourists and buyers, it has also improved the quality of service.
The hospitality market has been expanding to new destinations – such as Quy Nhon, Halong, Sam Son, and
Sapa – with investments by reputable and experienced developers.
Current profit-sharing programmes offered by developers have also factored into the considerations of
buyers.
Market outlook
The demand from both domestic and international tourists is expected to stay strong. Capital is continuing to
flow into popular destinations such as Danang, Nha Trang, Phu Quoc, Sapa, and Halong.
Warburg Pincus‟ 2016 investment of $300 million is an example of the large-scale commitments international
investors are willing to make.
The market is expected to witness further development in the future, with the rising supply of integrated
complexes making the market more competitive. Therefore, developers should be deliberate before they
invest; carefully researching and analysing local master plans and market factors to ensure their product
offerings will be well absorbed.
In addition, maintaining service quality should be a top priority. This is a factor that is rarely seen in hospitality
developments in Vietnam.
BRANDS
Domestic brands gain better recognition internationally
VNN - The appearance of 11 Vietnamese brands in
the list of Asia‟s top 1,000 this year has demonstrated
domestic firms‟ increasing awareness about building
and affirming their own brands.
The Vietnamese brands listed in the annual Asia‟s Top
1,000 Brands survey include Vietjet Air (at 595th
place), Viettel (596th), Petrolimex (616th), Vinamilk
(621st), Hao Hao (636th), Chin-su (668th), Trung
Nguyen (693rd), Vietnam Airlines (716th), Mobifone
(736th), Vietcombank (811st) and P/S (905th).
Amidst the fierce competition and the flood of
foreign goods in Vietnam, local consumers have
11 Vietnamese brands listed in the annual Asia’s Top more chances to compare and select products.
1,000 Brands survey
Therefore, the ranking reflects the successful efforts of
Vietnamese businesses in promoting their brands in both domestic and foreign markets.
However, it is noteworthy that the above mentioned brands have been listed in the rankings for many times,
while many more popular made-in-Vietnam products still fail to make the list.
Bui Huy Son, head of the Trade Promotion Department under the Ministry of Industry and Trade, said building
brands is still a new concept in Vietnam as compared with other economies in Europe or North America.
He added that despite changes in awareness, local firms‟ capacity for brand development remains limited.
The National Brand Programme will continue its support for businesses in producing goods of national
standards, participating in national trade promotion programmes, accessing market information and joining
training courses on brand development and trade promotion skills, he said.
According to Nielsen, Asian brands are getting stronger and can stay abreast of global names like Samsung,
Apple and Nestle.
The Top 1,000 Brands ranking is based on a comprehensive study of consumer brand perception conducted
by Nielsen on behalf of Campaign Asia with 13 years of historical ranking trend, and for 13 Asia Pacific
markets, all combined with insights, analysis and thought leadership on the key factors which build and
sustain a successful brand.
Conducted from March 6-17 this year, the survey explored consumer attitudes in 13 markets of Australia,
China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, the Republic of Korea,
Taiwan and Vietnam.
The study encompasses 17 major categories which are alcohol, financial services, automotive, retail,
restaurants, food, beverage, consumer electronics, computer hardware, computer software, digital
experience, courier services, ecommerce, media and telecommunications, sports, transportation, leisure,
household and personal care and 79 sub-categories.
According to BuiThao Ly from Phu Hung Securities, though businesses have been given autonomy, the
process of raising foreign ownership ratios still has been going slowly because of legal barriers and the fear of
losing control.
Hau Giang Pharmacy (DHG) has announced a decision to consult shareholders on raising the foreign
ownership ratio ceiling to 100%.
The current ceiling at DHG is 49%, while Taisho Pharmaceutical from Japan, the biggest foreign shareholder,
holds a 24.44% stake.
At the annual shareholders‟ meeting last April, Hoang Nguyen Hoc, chair of DHG and deputy CEO of SCIC,
which holds a 43.3% DHG stake, said the lifting of the foreign ownership ratio limit needs to be considered
thoroughly to improve share liquidity, but it mustn‟t affect the company‟s long-term business strategy.
SCIC will divest from DHG and other enterprises which operate in business fields in which the state doesn‟t
need to invest, as requested by the government. However, the divestment won‟t be made for another 2-3
years.
Domesco (DMC), a medical equipment import/export company, has also decided to lift the foreign
ownership ratio ceiling to 100%.
In order to be able to lift the foreign ownership ratio, both DHG and DMC have to adjust their registered
business fields, because under the current laws FIEs are not allowed to import medicine for domestic sale.
Soon after getting approval for lifting the foreign ownership ratio, CRF International belonging to Abbott
raised its ownership ratio in Domesco to 51%.
Besides the two leading pharmaceutical manufacturers, businesses in food, construction and other business
fields are also considering lifting the foreign ownership ratios.
Kido (KDC) has approved a proposal to raise the foreign ownership ratio from 49% to 100%. The company‟s
management board believes that the adjustment will bring great opportunities for development and help
increase the value of existing shareholders. “We don‟t care much about the balance of ownership between
domestic and foreign investors. The most important thing for us is that cooperation will bring optimum benefits
to involved parties,” said Tran Le Nguyen, Kido‟s CEO, adding that in the immediate time, the company will
expand production and follow M&A.
Coteccons‟ shareholders recently approved a plan to raise the foreign ownership ratio ceiling from 49% to
60% to improve share liquidity.
In order to do this, the company has to stop some business fields, including real estate brokerage and hotel
and travel services, or do business through subsidiaries.
According to BuiThao Ly from Phu Hung Securities, though businesses have been given autonomy, the
process of raising foreign ownership ratios still has been going slowly because of legal barriers and the fear of
losing control.
Plus, the brand has marketing policy better than local fashion companies and other foreign brands. The cost
of a Zara brand item ranges from VND180,000 - VND2.2 million which is even cheaper than Vietnamese
brands.
A Zara fashion follower Ha Nhu said that only Zara offers exchange or refund items within 30 days of purchase
with an original receipt including sales items. Moreover, each Zara brand item is displayed in shelves within
two or three week with limited number. When an item is sold out, the company will not produce any more.
Furthermore, Zara launches new collection every two or three weeks, Ms. Nhu said.
Zara Vietnam phenomenon showed that foreign fashion brands considered Vietnam as potential market.
Experts said that great revenue will be incentive for big fashion brands in the world open its store in Vietnam in
upcoming time; for instance, H&M - an internationally famous brand will officially open its store in Vietnam a
few days next.
HEALTHCARE BUSINESS
This explains why the medical establishments under the management of large corporates can make profit
while the majority of other privately run hospitals take a loss.
Vinmec, developed by Vingroup, a financially powerful group, for example, has reported impressive growth
rate in revenue and profit. In 2016, the healthcare sector brought VND1.093 trillion in revenue, or 1.86% of the
group‟s total revenue, an increase of 42% over the year before.
Tam Duc has also been making profit since 2006 thanks to big investment capital.
HIGHLIGHTS
Where’s Vietnam in the global value chain?
VNN - Ten years ago, the risk for Vietnam was that it
might miss the glbal „integration train‟. Today, the
question is where is Vietnam in that train?
On May 25, Vibiz, a website of Yoilo Global, released the
results of its survey, saying that 64% of rice available in
the market is Vietnam‟s but is labeled with foreign
brands.
The survey also found that 53% of consumers like foreign
rice sourced from Thailand, Cambodia and Japan,
The ‘rice sorrow’ can be explained by the theory about the
production value chain. Farmers determine which rice despite the fact that Vietnam is a big rice grower and
varieties to grow, while they cultivate and harvest rice in
traditional ways. that there are 67 rice varieties, but only 21 are given
Vietnamese names.
Vietnam‟s rice doesn‟t bear its true name in foreign markets: importers buy Vietnam‟s rice and then label the
rice with their brands to sell at supermarkets in their markets, or export to third countries.
The „rice sorrow‟ can be explained by the theory about the production value chain. Farmers determine
which rice varieties to grow, while they cultivate and harvest rice in traditional ways.
Harvested rice is sold to merchants, who then sell to export companies. Since merchandise rice is mixed, the
quality is not high and exporters have to lower selling prices to attract buyers.
This means that the phases of the rice production value are implemented separately which don‟t have close
links.
In other words, Vietnam still cannot build up a completed value chain for its rice, though rice is a key export
item.
According to Dao The Anh from MARD, some Vietnamese companies now export rice which bear their own
brands.
Co May and Nep Cai Hoa Vang, for example, have relatively high selling prices. The growers of the rice have
to build up the material growing areas of their own and follow strict requirements in farming and harvesting.
Citing the story of Co May as a „bright spot‟ in Vietnam‟s rice industry, Anh said the company sent staff
abroad to learn about market demand and then place orders with farmers.
“This is a good way for the long term,” Anh said, adding that farmers need support from the State, while
businesses need a reasonable policy which allows them to exploit their advantages.
According to OECD, the added value of the foreign invested economic sector in the manufacturing sector
accounts for 48.8% of Vietnam‟s total export turnover, while the domestic added value content in export still
accounts for 12.7% only.
Milestones marking steps in settlement plan to deal with the 12 struggling projects
Pursuant to Document No.4171-CV/VPTW issuing the guidelines directed by the Politburo to tackle the
problems and difficulties faced by a number of projects and enterprises under the Ministry of Industry and
Trade.
CONTACT
Fax +84-24-6273-6988
URL www.seiko-ideas.com
HP +84-91-4994-830
*You are receiving this because you subscribed to our weekly business newsletter or you gave us your
address via namecard.