Air Traffic Demand

Forecasting
Theory
JAESUNG PARK
Introduction

2
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Drivers of Airport Aviation Activity

4
1. Macroeconomic and Demographic Factors

5
2. Airline Market Factors

6
3. Air Transport Production Costs and Technology

7
4. Regulatory Factors

8
5. Infrastructure Constraints and Improvements

9
6. Substitutes for Air Travel

10
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Forecasting techniques

12
Time-series Analysis

13
Time-series Analysis

14
Causal Methods

15
Causal Methods

16
Causal Methods

17
Forecasting techniques

18
Qualitative Forecasting Methods

19
Delphi technique

20
Forecasting techniques

21
Decision Analysis

22
Expert Judgement

23
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Reference Materials

25
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