| 's 4305 PROBABILITY AND. STATISTCS
ASSIGNMENT 03
NAME
DATE
1: WICKRAMANAY AKA WMAP
REG NO» EGI2018/3500
: 99/06/2021
i faseal
a the probability mass funckion for
geometric disdribudion
iS given by,
-t
» Of Pel
oc
For, pd= Pc P) ae = 1,2.
irae’
“The likelihood funckion is given by
n
LCm 25,20 PI = TT £ Cre}, Pd
ei
_ttea-p
= PCP pee pci py!
- prin py Crtraten +ac9 —n)
= Pcie yer 22
taking logarithms |
c-N+ Sec; )
$n L Cec. e€s,...,0¢05 P) = fin p’cr—p)
= 00 PP Py ci-pyen t=)
a ndo P+ En+ Zeon c.py
taking partial derivative with respect a0 p
2tol cei py — nity c-n4 Sexi) | c-t)
oP p ci-P)
= DLL! C+ Soc;)
P ci— Pp)
when @to Losi; p) _ 6 Pp
op
3
~8>| _
3
the
i
M
8
"
IM
R
eotpected value of the g eometeically
distribuked random varvable is given that,
ar
9 p
v marimum likelibood estimator of p ts,
B- to Lt Lp
2 eci rm
n
The second derivative of the log~
ikelhood fuacdion iS
Sdn LCeisP)-~ ~ on x0
op? P*C1-P)
as ox pep <1(a2),
Gr
a)
Qt ot THAR HS HIT HIGH 142244
qa4 ela t+ ol 423 4+ 6+21+ 7412
és
estimate for P
A
pe- |. il - 0.062
an this case we assume that
athe populadion has a nonmal
distribution,
eee eae Se
Hot ot 7 te 8?
sample size .n= 10,
Sample mean , a = 2%
n
2264 22942296 + 225 4232+ 228 4227
+229 +2254 230
bece = 2276 —~ 227.6
1°
. 2 eee
sample variance, S*= 2 Cai 6)
n-!
2 2
CoG) + Co 4D Coe 974 C2. 6I74 Cay, 4?
‘
SCOT O06 CHIH CHB 674 c2.49"
1o-!|
= 5.1556
This is right hand one tail test,
»Uader the null hypothesis chi- squared
dest Statistic iS given by
e?
x= Clon WC5:185 6)
1.57
20, 6224
given dthat kK = 0.05
degrees of freedom = n-1did
0.05
Y
0.054
KR’ cridical value from the able,
Loo54 = 16,919
2
observed = 2°62 F L g.0s,4 = 16.4149
dest statistic value lies on the
rejection reson, therefore we can
reject the ull hypothesis .
"we can say dhat dhe standard
deviadion of the thickness of the
population exceeds 1,5 mm
A _ 0,025
0,025 a
X'o.475,4 Xo. 025,49
Frem chi- spuared table,
2 _
Kio, cas, = 17,024
Ko.415,4 = 2.700
oo edfor a 451, confidence interval,
Pr ¢ Weg £ cn-0S" 2 Ve) =e O15.
oa? 2
2
Hie K x co-NS* Zz ta
3 oo a
o?
i > 1
co-)S?
Caer
ao? <
substitudiog the relevant values,
cro- x 5.1866 2" Z cron x 5188S
cronix 5: 1808
19,023 2.700
2439 < o' £ 17,165
156 £0 SBI
|
ca3). |
Let’s calculate dhe eocpected freguencies
for each cells.
sth +
= at row todal) X Ge column tetal)
ey
grand dotal. |=
ae b ier Wey.
condition, observed pricing pe cy
fAggressive| weatral ronaggresive] Total,
“Substandard 25 35 1S 75
rIstandacd | 4o 60 15 11S
Modern, 50 70 go 150
Total, wid pang 120 400
“| €u= 75x U5 C= 1SxK16s Cig = TEX 120
400 A 00 A400
= 21.5625 = 30.9375 = 22.5
ey, = 17SxXUS C,, = 175x165 en = (75X120
400 +400 400
= 50.3125 = 72,1875 = 52.5
€,, =150xS e,,- 50x65 E,, -1SORKIDO
400 400 400
= 4312S -
875 = 45
He:
Facility condition god pricing policy
are independent.
Hs Facility condition aad pricing policy
are not independent
het? s find the chr Sguared
observed
value by using following — f opmular,
a Ww 2
ko = 2 C0; - €)
isi
ei
where OR. observed Sreguency
ei = expected freguency,—____, |
2 2 a 2
eo = C25-245625) + 638-30, 9318) (15-2215)
215625 30. 9375 22:5
. ’
+ AO- 59-9125) | (gon 721875), C75 ~ 52.5)?
G0. 3125 72,1875 52.5
: :
pd Cuello eae Aets Sepa
43.125 61. 815 45
2
KH = 0.54804 0.5335 49.5 49.1137 4 2.0576
+ 4: G4279 41.0960 4 1.06694 5
2
Ro = 23.5586
significance level is 0. 05
degrees of freedom = Cr-1)Cce-1)
C3-NC3-1)
oes, 4
is
Ho.05,4 = 4.488
:
Fotserved value > 7 ..05,4
~. 0" observed value tres
Fejection region, there
Feject the null
on Ahe
Pore w e can
hypothesis.
4 pricing Polic and fa etledy in
Ore: Dae poten con dition
ape —