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[
ods are now feasible. In addition, the growing use
of on-line X-ray analysis and control computers now C·*
l =
~fl]
•
ctn
wT J
w* = [ ~;
H. W. SMITH N. M. JCBIYEN
to be determined from the mass balance equations
HAROLD W. SMITH, a native of Toronto, holds degrees for the circuit
from the University of Toronto (B.A.Sc., 1950) and
M.I.T. (Sc.D., instrumentation and control, 1961). He f; (c( , w*) = 0, i = 1, .. • , m.
served in the Royal Canadian Navy (1945-1966), resigning
to join the University of Toronto, where he is currently
Professor of Electrical Engineering. His research in- However, the data available are not the true composi-
terests include the application of modelling, control and tion vectors c:, but rather the measured composition
estimation theory to the improved control of metallurgical vectors
processes. In addition to his university appointment, he is
a consultant to Falconbridge Nickel Mines Ltd., and a Ci = cf + e;
consulting partner in Urwick, Currie and Partners Ltd.,
Toronto. where Eis a vector of sampling and measurement errors.
NORMAN M. ICHIYEN, a native of Montreal, Quebec,
graduated from McGill University in Montreal with a The adjustment problem is thus to determine esti-
Bachelor of Electrical Engineering in 1970. In 1973, he
received an M.A.Sc. in Electrical Engineering from the
mates c1, i = 1, ... , m, and w,
which satisfy the mass
University of Toronto. His thesis work involved simula- balance equations
tion of a complex zinc flotation circuit. His supervisor was
Professor H. W. Smith. He is currently with Atomic
Energy of Canada Limited. f; <2. w) = o
PAPER SUBMITTED: in November of 1972; revised and which are in some sense the " best" estimates of
manuscript received on June 29, 1973. c7 and w* respectively.
KEYWORDS: Computers, Process control, Flotation, On the assumption that sampling and measurement
Mass balance, Metallurgical balances, Statistical methods, errors are Gaussian and unbiased, the maximum like-
Flotation. lihood estimate of c,, w is that which minimizes the
objective function
METHOD OF SOLUTION
COMPUTATIONAL EXAMPLES
The problem as stated is a standard problem in
First consider a flotation circuit having the con-
nonlinear least-squares analysis, and may be solved
figuration 8hown in Figure 1. Grab samples were
by first-order (Gauss-Newton ) or second-order (New-
taken from the eight process streams indicated, and
ton-Raphson ) gradient methodsm. However, the com-
putation of the gradient requires significant addi- analyzed to yield the data shown in the first column in
Table 1. The three mass flows indicated in Figure 1
tional programming which is specific to the circuit
configuration under study. This is undesirable in cir- are to be estimated, together with the corrected values
of the twentycfour analyses.
cuit optimization studies because of the programming
effort involved when many configurations may be
studied. In on-line applications, computer storage is
usually at a premium, and the additional storage re-
quirements of gradient methods are unattractive. For @ ___!!1:.
these reasons, the following direct search method is
proposed:
mi®~®
R S
1. Express the mass balance equations in the form
w~
B (w)c; = 0.
2. For some initial estimate of compute the ad- w,
justment to the composition vector which minimizes
J for that value of w
and satisfies the mass balance 3 w,c ®
equations; this is found, by standard minimum vari-
a nce techniques [3J , to be
oci = - M ,B'(BM,B')- 1Bci. FIGURE 1 - Zinc Circu it .
3 . Form
c, = C; + OCi
''' FORTRAN and APL versions of this algorithm may be
:and evaluate J (w ) . obtained from the authors at reproduction cost.
l. Circuit: ® WI \J)
w3
2. Scavenger: ® W2
0
Mass flows (with 503 probable error):
wI = .06954 ± .00232; W2 = .08964 ± .00261;
0 0 wa= .07066 ± .00668.
0 0
As a second example, consider a metallurgical bal-
-(wa-W1) 0 ance over an entire plant, based on X-ray data. The
plant is shown in Figure 2 and the data in Table 2.
-W3 0 0 0
The mass balance equations are:
1. Unit cells
In this case, no reliable data were at hand regarding
C1 - (1 - W1 ) C2 - W1C5 = 0
the precision of sampling and analysis. It was assumed
that the relative precision of each measurement was 2. Copper section
identical and that errors were uncorrelated . On these C1 - (1 - W2 ) C3 - W2C6 = 0
assumptions, except for a scale factor,
3. Zinc section
M i = diag[c; 1 , ... , cr.,] (1 - W2)C3 - (l - W2 - W3) C4 - W3C7 = 0
In fitting models to analytical data, it is frequently For the first example given above, the covariance
des irable to find not only the estimate, of mass w, matrix was computed and found to be
flows in a circuit, but also an estimate of its probable
error. This is particularly true when large recycle
streams exist, as mass flow estimates are then very
sensitive to data errors. A linear estimate of the E [(~*-~ ) ~*-~)'] =
.000135 .000644 - .000027
.000644 1.197 .1039
J
[
probable error may be found in the following way. -.000027 .1039 .0398
If the mass balance equations are perturbed, the per-
turbation equations are found to be This yields the standard deviations
B (w) is the matrix previously defined, and A, (c,) whiCh are large in comparison with the estimates.
is the matrix of coefficients obtained by writing the Further, although errors in W1 are nearly independent
mass balance equations in the form of those in W2 and wa,
errors in these last two quanti-
ties are strongly correlated (correlation coefficient
A;(c;) w ~ = b (c;) , i = 1, .•• ,m. 0.50). It must be recognized that estimates of mass
flows in large recycle streams are subject to signifi-
Then a perturbation in the data, 8c1, yields a mass cant error even when sampling and measurement er-
flow perturbation rors are relatively small.
Under these conditions, it is essential to use all
ow= -AtB oc; available data, weighted according to precision, and,
where in on-line applications, to use time averaging of X-ray
analytical data to reduce random error in the data.
At = (A:Ai)- 1A:
If, now, the expectation on the right-hand side is The numerical method proposed offers a convenient
replaced by the measurement covariance matrix, the method of obtaining the best estimate of metallurgical
covariance matrix of w
is obtained; balances, based on proper statistical treatment of the
available data. The error analysis presented allows
E[(w* - w) (w* -w)'] = AtBM, (AtB)'. estimation of the precision of such balances; in gen-
eral, this precision is lower than is usually supposed.
To use all the experimental data, the m sets of equa-
tions must be combined. It is easily verified that this
is done by forming
M1 0 . 0
M =I 0 M2 0 REFERENCES