Professional Documents
Culture Documents
in
OC
September 5, 2021 `100
AJIT MOHAN I ANIL AGARWAL I ASHU SUYASH I BHARGAV DASGUPTA I CHANGPENG ZHAO I DEEPAK BAGLA I DILIP SHANGHVI
K. SUBRAMANIAN I K.V. KAMATH I KEKI MISTRY I MANISH SABHARWAL I NIKHIL KAMATH I NITIN BANSAL I RITESH AGARWAL I ROHIT BHAYANA
RONNIE SCREWVALA I S.N. SUBRAHMANYAN I SANJAY GUPTA I SUMANT SINHA I SUNIL MATHUR I SURESH NARAYANAN
From the Editor
http://www.businesstoday.in
T hree decades is a long time. For those of us who were in jour- Group Creative Editor: Nilanjan Das
Group Photo Editor: Bandeep Singh
nalism thirty years ago, the changes India has witnessed in the
Global Business Editor: Udayan Mukherjee
business and economic environment over the years have been Managing Editor, Business Today TV: Siddharth Zarabi
Editor, Businesstoday.in: Anirban Roy
nothing short of dramatic. I remember, as cub reporters on the stock
Managing Editor: Alokesh Bhattacharyya
market beat, we would have to trudge every day to the crowded stock Executive Editor: Anand Adhikari
exchange to take a peek at the latest notices on the exchange notice Deputy Editors: Ajita Shashidhar, Krishna Gopalan,
P.B. Jayakumar
boards, and would return to office thrilled if there was something big CORRESPONDENTS
enough to warrant a story. Those were the days of open outcry trading, Senior Editors: Aabha Bakaya, Manu Kaushik
Senior Associate Editors: Ashish Rukhaiyar, Nidhi Singal
when the Securities and Exchange Board of India didn’t have statutory Senior Assistant Editor: Ashutosh Kumar
Assistant Editor: Avneet Kaur
powers, and the brokers were often at loggerheads with an institution Special Correspondent: Vidya S.
struggling to get regulatory teeth. That was then. Today, people trade at CONSULTING EDITOR: Rukmini Rao
the click of a button, and the regulator is busy keeping a close watch on RESEARCH
the markets as trading volumes reach stratospheric levels. For perspec- Principal Research Analyst: Shivani Sharma
tive, the benchmark BSE Sensex, which was at 999 thirty years ago, is at COPY DESK
Deputy Editor: Mahesh Jagota
55,000-plus now.
PHOTOGRAPHY
And that’s just the markets. Much has been written about the dis- Deputy Chief Photographer: Yasir Iqbal
Principal Photographer: Rajwant Singh Rawat
tance India has travelled from the time Manmohan Singh, the then fi-
nance minister, liberalised the Indian economy in July 1991. Ever since ART
Deputy Creative Editor: Anirban Ghosh
Business Today was launched in January 1992, we have been witness to Art Director: Amit Sharma
Associate Art Director: Raj Verma
the momentous changes in the Indian economy and the corporate sec-
PRODUCTION
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battles, capturing the essence of the India story as it unfolded before Associate Chief Coordinator: Rajesh Verma
our eyes. Whether it is the dramatic changes in banking, the cleaning LIBRARY
up of corporate balance sheets, the scorching pace of growth in mobile Assistant Librarian: Satbir Singh
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down to our 30th Anniversary, we are proud to bring you this special
issue—the first of two we’ve planned this time—which seeks to take a Marketing: Vivek Malhotra, Group Chief Marketing Officer
look at the future, and how India can take its rightful place as an eco- Newsstand Sales: Deepak Bhatt, Senior General Manager
(National Sales); Vipin Bagga, General Manager (Operations);
nomic powerhouse in the new global order. And that’s why we invited a Rajeev Gandhi, Deputy General Manager (North),
Syed Asif Saleem, Regional Sales Manager (West),
galaxy of the finest minds to write on the theme ‘The Next India Oppor- S. Paramasivam, Deputy Regional Sales Manager (South),
Piyush Ranjan Das, Senior Sales Manager (East)
tunity’. As India celebrates its 75th Independence Day, there’s no better
time than now to look ahead.
We are in a new India. An India defined by the power of enterprise
Vol. 30, No. 18, for the fortnight August 23, 2021 to September 5, 2021.
and ambition, where even the most ordinary Indian is unafraid to Released on August 23, 2021.
Editorial Office: India Today Mediaplex, FC 8, Sector 16/A, Film City, Noida-201301; Tel: 0120-
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creation is a durable one because the polity now recognises that ethical 22825398, 033-22827726, 033-22821922; Fax: 033-22827254; Hyderabad: 6-3-885/7/B, Raj
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34
Insurers to Turn Fintech We Will Get Much More Energy Will See
Players Out of Work Biggest Disruption
8
By Bhargav Dasgupta By Manish Sabharwal By S.N. Subrahmanyan
MD and CEO, Executive Vice Chairman, CEO & MD,
ICICI Lombard General Teamlease Services Larsen & Toubro
Insurance Pg. 82 Pg. 122
The Point
Pg. 34
Going Strong @ 30
Calling Capital India Can Shape In 1991, India faced its worst
Crypto Can Build Billion theFuture economic crisis and was on
Dollar Markets By NIkhil Kamath, of the internet
Co-founder, Zerodha and True the brink of a sovereign de-
By Changpeng Zhao Beacon By Sanjay Gupta fault. The three decades after
Founder & CEO, Binance Pg. 89 Country Head that have seen an unprec-
Pg. 44 & VP, edented surge in growth
India Google
5G: Let the Pg. 126
Making a Global Impact Change Begin
By Deepak Bagla, By Nitin Bansal Towards Greener
CEO and MD, Invest India Managing Director, India Pastures
Pg. 52 Head-Networks, Market Area
South East Asia, Oceania and Sumant Sinha
India,Ericsson Founder Chairman & MD,
Pg. 92 ReNew Power
Target: A $120
Billion Industry Pg. 130
An Feature
Best Advice I Ever Got
From time to time, you will see pages titled “Focus”, “An “Solutions are in
Impact Feature”, or “Advertorial” in Business Today. These the Marketplace and
are no different from an advertisement and the magazine’s
editorial staff is not involved in their creation in any way. Not in the Boardroom”
Kalpesh R. Parmar
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LAKH CRORE
A roundup of the
Revenue of all
long journey listed companies
in FY21, from
By SHIVANI SHARMA `29,000 cr in FY92
Graphics by TANMOY
CHAKRABORTY
The Point
ACTION PACKED
Market Turnover up Almost 17
Times Since 1996-97
THE SIX
2000 SURVIVORS
TURNOVER (` '000 crore) The other 24 companies in
1600 the 1991 Sensex are out of
the benchmark index
1200
Hindustan Unilever
800
400
14.5 2,358.8
0
1996-1997 2020-2021
Larsen & Toubro
15 Nestle India
TOTAL
INCOME
10
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5 PROFIT 18,214.25
100.67
0
1996-1997 2020-2021
Reliance Industries
19.63 2,133.3
Tata Steel
102.61 1,446.4
SHARE
PRICE (`)
05-Aug-91
05-Aug-21
Source: BSE
14
LOOKING
AHEAD
BUSINESS AND ECONOMIC
LEADERS WRITE ON WHAT
INDIA CAN HOPE
TO ACHIEVE OVER THE
COMING YEARS
BY ANAND ADHIKARI
ILLUSTRATION BY ANIRBAN GHOSH
T
hirty years ago, the Indian economy happen for continued economic and societal growth.
famously liberalised itself and sailed As you flip the pages, you will see why Manish Sabharw-
into the rough seas of a fast-integrat- al, Executive Vice Chairman, TeamLease Services, thinks
ing global economy. It was a revolu- that the World of Work will be very different in the future
tionary move that transformed India because we now finally agree that our problem is not jobs
into a serious business destination. but productivity. Or why K.V. Kamath, who recently com-
Soon after, another revolution hap- pleted his tenure at the New Development Bank, is betting
pened – the advent of Business Today, a big on the digital super cycle. Or why Sanjay Gupta, Coun-
magazine that has led the charts in business content deliv- try Manager and Vice President (Sales and Operations) of
ery for three decades, by the chronicling and sharp analysis Google India, says our first priority should be to under-
of the ebb and flow of India’s economic and corporate life. stand the challenges of Bharat.
From the listing of Infosys on Nasdaq, to the split between You will also see why HDFC Vice-Chairman & CEO
the Ambani brothers, to the multi-billion dollar overseas Keki Mistry feels that affordable housing will be the driving
acquisitions by Tata and Aditya Birla groups, to the more force in the coming decade, and why Zerodha’s Co-found-
recent game-changing policy and taxation reforms such as er, Nikhil Kamath, who has made equity investing free,
GST, RERA and bankruptcy code, Business Today has pre- stresses that India must pay heed to its entrepreneurs who
sented sharp analyses of India Inc.’s strategic moves and undertake an incredible amount of risk to solve problems.
the government’s policy shifts. Find out why Sunil Mathur, Managing Director and Chief
But you probably know all that already. So, let’s tell you Executive Officer of Siemens, argues that skilled resources
something new. For an economy to flourish, it is important in digital transformation are key to ensuring substantial
to look ahead to try and see what’s coming, and to prepare and measurable success. And why Dilip Shanghvi, Manag-
national economic agendas as well as corporate visions and ing Director, Sun Pharma, says achieving equitable and sus-
strategy. So, at 30, Business Today decided to zoom into The tainable healthcare is of utmost importance for a develop-
Next India Opportunity. In this special anniversary issue ing country like India.
— the first of two planned for a year-long celebration — the You will find all these answers in this issue, and much
best minds in the government and corporate India have more, but we don’t want to be a killjoy. Go on, flip the page,
written on what they expect to happen and what should and see for yourself.
RURAL
WILL DRIVE
NEW BIZ
MODELS
BRINGING THE NEXT 30 MILLION
BUSINESSES ONLINE CAN PUT INDIA
ON THE PATH OF EXPLOSIVE
ECONOMIC GROWTH
I
ndia of 2021 is dramatically different
from the India of early 2020, not just be-
cause of the massive health crisis that we’re
facing globally, but equally because of a
generational shift that has happened over
the last one year as a result of an explosive
digital transformation. One of the most vis-
AJIT MOHAN
ible effects of digital adoption has been on VICE PRESIDENT
businesses, both small and large, and con- AND MANAGING
sequently on the Indian economy. We know DIRECTOR,
Sanjiv Puri ,
FACEBOOK INDIA
Chairman and MD, ITC
16
ILLUSTRATIONS BY ANIRBAN GHOSH
that the pandemic has adversely affected first lockdowns last year. Then, businesses were merely
trying to adjust to a world that had moved online almost
business operations, but it’s also true that
overnight. Over the course of the year, they discovered
the digital forces unleashed over the last that moving online is not just the need of the hour, but
one year have made the economy more can also be a transformative opportunity for the future.
resilient, created new opportunities for With 700 million people on the internet, and a ma-
business growth and are now paving the jority of them coming online in the last four years alone,
way for economic recovery. India is brimming with new ideas that are just waiting to
be converted into business opportunities — whether it’s
Several studies have shown that the economic im- the 63 million businesses or the 150 million farmers who
pact of the second wave of the Covid-19 pandemic in will be able to connect with each other and their custom-
India was less severe than in the weeks following the ers online for the first time in the coming years.
17
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
As this landscape continues to evolve with new emerg- For us at Facebook, India is the testing ground for
ing technologies in fields such as artificial intelligence and path-breaking ideas and technologies that can fuel the
quantum computing, the task ahead would be as much growth of digital and small businesses in the country.
about bringing the next 600 million people on the internet Many of our products have an India-first lens. It’s the
as it would be about uplifting the lives of those already con- first country where we have made minority investments
nected by offering them solutions that allow for the possi- in start-ups. It’s the first where we have built a pioneer-
bility of a fundamental transformation in their lives. ing partnership by investing in Jio Platforms. There are
Our commitment to India runs deep. As an ally for In- several other compelling models emerging out of India
dia’s social and economic transformation, we are focussed that have the potential to be scaled up globally. Insta-
on a few key areas where the Facebook family of apps can gram Reels was first tested in India, and today, six mil-
act as a catalyst for shaping the country’s digital future. lion Reels are produced every day. Payments on What-
Around half of India’s small businesses have already ad- sApp is another exciting example of how we used lessons
opted digital, up from 30 per cent before the pandemic, from the market to create a feature that is driving finan-
and the stage is set to bring the next 30 million small busi- cial inclusion through the government’s Unified Pay-
nesses online. Our responsibility would be to reduce the ments Interface.
friction in the experience on both sides — the business and
the consumer — while creating and supporting new and UNLOCKING GROWTH FOR WOMEN
resilient business models for the future. While the pandemic has been hard for women-led busi-
nesses, in the studies we conducted, we found that wom-
THE WORLD’S INNOVATION LAB en business leaders showed a greater degree of flexibility
Over the last decade, India has been steadily emerging as in their business models in response to Covid-19. In fact,
one of the largest and most vibrant start-up ecosystems female business leaders were more likely to make more
in the world. As internet access grew, start-ups boomed than 50 per cent of their sales through digital channels.
across the country. Despite the pandemic, the Indian tech We have noticed a similar trend on our apps; 20 per cent
start-up ecosystem is witnessing a steady growth of 8-10 of Instagram Business profiles created since November
per cent. Just this year alone, India has produced 16 uni- 2020 mention the words ‘female/women owned’.
corns that have raised more than $11 billion. Of the 63 million small businesses in India, approxi-
The country’s entrepreneurial zeal combined with the mately 20 per cent are owned by women. Research and
tectonic shifts of the last one year are fuelling new business studies show that bringing women online can spur eco-
models out of India that have the potential to be scaled up nomic progress, expand markets and improve health
and replicated elsewhere in the world. and education outcomes for everyone.
Ed-tech, healthcare and gaming are examples of light- We know that gender equality is crucial to a sustain-
house sectors that have witnessed enormous growth on able internet economy. While this is a big focus area for
the back of digital technologies. Facebook’s ‘Topics and the government, the private sector has an equal respon-
Trends Report’ for 2020 says conversations around ed- sibility to enable women to come online and to help
tech grew nearly 10x on Facebook and Instagram in India women entrepreneurs to grow.
in 2020. This was corroborated by the massive growth in Facebook, in collaboration with The Nudge Centre
ed-tech startups across our apps. White Hat Jr., an online for Social Innovation, incubates and accelerates early
education platform for coding and maths for children, stage women-led non-profits. Now in its second phase,
grew into a $300 million rocket ship in 18 months on the the initiative awards six grants of up to `50 lakh for each
back of just advertising on Facebook and Instagram. A sub- non-profit to scale up their work.
stantial growth for White Hat Jr., and several other busi- Our goal is to provide opportunities for women even
nesses, has come on the back of access to global markets in rural areas. In 2020, together with the CSC Academy,
that digital, and more specifically social media, has been Facebook up-skilled 2.5 lakh rural entrepreneurs on dig-
able to unlock. ital tools related to digital marketing and online safety.
Gaming is another industry that has received a mas- As a result of this, the average income of women village-
sive impetus from digital growth. In the first nine months level entrepreneurs increased by nearly 20 per cent on a
of 2020, India rose to the number one spot in mobile game quarterly basis.
downloads. This has created an enormous opportunity for Every day, we come across inspiring stories of wom-
gaming developers in the country, further attracting in- en-led businesses using digital to unlock growth for
vestor interest. themselves and their businesses.
MINING
LOCAL
DEMAND
AS PENT-UP DEMAND KEEPS THE ECONOMY
POISED FOR A BOUNCE-BACK, PRAGMATIC
POLICY REFORMS AND A VIBRANT
DISINVESTMENT PROCESS CAN ENSURE
THAT THE METALS AND MINING INDUSTRY
HELPS INDIA AND ITS CITIZENS PROSPER
T
he performance of India’s economy
during the past few quarters has been
good, despite the considerable uncer-
tainty created by the second wave of
Covid-19. Notwithstanding these con-
tinuing challenges, the country looks
set to register impressive growth this
year. As the second wave wanes, vaccina-
ANIL AGARWAL
tion drives accelerate and states gradu- FOUNDER-
ally unlock, an all-round optimism is re- CHAIRMAN,
emerging. VEDANTA
RESOURCES LTD
22
ILLUSTRATIONS BY NILANJAN DAS
POLICIES AND REFORMS tion and a revival in investments will give a further fillip
India will keep attracting investments and advancing to economic growth. Simultaneously, demographic driv-
steadily to become the manufacturing hub of the world as ers such as an increasing workforce and urbanisation will
it continues with broad structural reforms to ease policy constantly fuel the need for greater infrastructure develop-
and infrastructure bottlenecks. The Centre’s emphasis on ment. Consequently, one expects to see a sustained focus
rural development and employment generation are well on infrastructure, transportation and power. The plan for
supported by programmes such as ‘Atmanirbhar Bharat’ 300 million tonnes steel capacity by 2030, `111 lakh crore
(self-sufficient India), ‘Make in India’ and ‘Digital India’. investments earmarked for National Infrastructure Pipe-
It is no surprise that the latest Union Budget has included line projects from 2020-25, `5.54 lakh crore of budgeted
measures to support micro, small and medium enterpris- capital expenditure for 2021-22, the roll-out of electric ve-
es (MSMEs), which are indispensable to generating jobs, hicles, production-linked incentive (PLI) schemes for man-
manufacturing and growth in non-metros. ufacturing, as well as reforms in the power sector, all augur
Over the coming months, a sustained rise in consump- well for a rise in demand for indigenously produced metals,
23
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
both ferrous and non-ferrous. vestments is in the right direction. The `32,845 crore raised
There is enormous scope to increase India’s per-capita from disinvestments of state-run firms in FY21 was barely
consumption of zinc, aluminium, copper, steel and other 16 per cent of the `2.10 lakh crore target and the lowest
metals, which is low vis-a-vis the global average. Further- amount raised in the last five financial years. Undoubtedly,
more, the country’s per-capita oil consumption stands at the pandemic marred the process. This fiscal’s divestment
less than a third of the global average, indicating the im- target of ` 1.75 lakh crore, though ambitious, is quite achiev-
mense growth potential for domestic producers. able given the stock market’s revival to hit all-time highs.
In this context, the Centre’s proactive approach to ma- The government plans to sell stakes in various enti-
jor policy reforms in the technology and manufacturing ties, including one insurance entity and two public sec-
sectors will help create a conducive business environment. tor banks. For instance, the government is expected to
Metals, mining, and oil companies will benefit from the pocket between `90,000 crore and `1 lakh crore alone
National Mineral Policy (NMP) 2019, the Open Acreage Li- from Life Insurance Corporation’s upcoming initial
censing Policy (OALP) and the Hydrocarbon Exploration public offering (IPO). Likewise, its 52.98 per cent stake
and Licensing Policy (HELP). in Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited (BPCL) is es-
The NMP will introduce effective regulation and also timated to garner between `75,000 crore and `80,000
address the problems of those impacted by mining. The crore, or likely even more.
progressive policy aims to liberalise the industry by giving But, rather than divesting stakes in one company at a
private players opportunities that were previously reserved time, which means the government will take considerable
solely for state-owned companies. The policy measures time to hit its disinvestment targets, a speedier transfer of
envisage that India’s mineral production will soar by 200 assets is essential. Accordingly, the Centre should target
per cent within the next five years, while its trade deficit in around 20 disinvestments annually to generate huge re-
minerals will reduce by half. serves. The disinvestment drive is in sync with the prime
Moreover, steps will be taken to benchmark taxes and minister’s thought that the government has no business to
royalties — which are high in India — with those in min- be in business. Therefore, except for four sensitive sectors,
ing geographies across the world to attract further invest- the Centre’s decision to divest its stake in all listed public
ments while guaranteeing that statutory clearances are sector units is a sensible one.
accorded on time. The amendments made this year in the As the prime minister has noted, disinvestment helps
Mines and Minerals (Development and Regulation) Act of in monetising and modernising assets. When public assets
1957 will foster a more supportive, legislative ambience for are monetised, the vacuum is filled by the private sector,
monetary and technological investments in the fields of which brings the best global practices into play and helps
mining and mineral exploration. the sector modernise and expand much faster than other-
Since its implementation, HELP — which aims to boost wise possible. This results in generating more jobs and en-
domestic oil and gas production — has helped attract sig- trepreneurial opportunities.
nificant investments and provide major employment op- In all divestment cases, the government should reduce
portunities in the industry. Similarly, OALP — a pivotal its stake to 50 per cent. The 50 per cent divestment is cru-
part of HELP — permits contractors to explore legacy and cial because it will allow the company in question to have an
unconventional oil and gas resources on a revenue-sharing independent board and chief executive officer even as it is
basis as well as gives them the freedom to market and price treated as a regular corporate entity. It will also provide the
their production. management the much-needed operational flexibility and
faster decision-making ability, all the while remaining un-
DISINVESTMENT BENEFITS der the regulatory framework of the country. Above all, the
Against this backdrop, the Centre’s decision to scale up di- chance to operate with freedom is necessary for the com-
GO FOR A
VIBRANT
BOND
MARKET
INNOVATIONS CAN DOUBLE THE
SUPPLY OF CORPORATE BONDS IN THE
DOMESTIC MARKET TO `65-70 LAKH CRORE
BY MARCH 2025
T
he pandemic has not only altered the coun-
try’s economic trajectory, it has also brought
to the fore the need to focus on social infra-
structure. For long, nature has been warning
us to shift towards sustainable growth mod-
els. Government policy and direction are cen-
tral to achieving this, be it through infrastruc-
ture build-outs, fiscal stimulus or retooling of ASHU SUYASH
the economy to address health, inequality and MANAGING
climate change challenges. DIRECTOR & CEO,
CRISIL LTD
28
ILLUSTRATIONS BY RAJ VERMA
Two areas stand out, ripe with possibilities for India vestments between fiscals 2020 and 2025. The focus on
and India Inc. alike. One is the under-developed, yet ex- sustainable growth will add to that tally. Raising this much
panding, corporate bond market. The second is some- money, however, is an onerous ask, particularly given the
thing that’s been getting serious attention the world over: overwhelming fiscal burden today. Therefore, developing
environmental, social and governance (ESG)-driven the corporate bond market and finding alternative fund-
investing. raising avenues will be critical. In line with the historical
trend, the government expects corporate bonds to con-
DEEPENING OF THE CORPORATE tribute only 6-8 per cent of NIP investments, primarily
BOND MARKET through public sector issuances. That won’t suffice.
The fulcrum of the government’s India development (and The corporate bond market in India has grown by
now building-back) strategy is the National Infrastruc- more than four times in the last decade toSanjiv `32.5,
aroundPuri
ture Pipeline (NIP), which envisages `111 lakh crore in- lakh crore (bonds outstanding in Chairman andStill,
fiscal 2020). MD, it
ITC
is
29
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
less than 20 per cent of GDP, which is very low compared securitisation. Lenders can also explore covered bonds
with international standards. Besides, the market is grap- backed by a pool of loans where investors can enjoy dual
pling with the structural challenges of width and depth recourse – to the issuer and the cover pool of loans – if the
of issuances. Access to bond market funding is limited to issuer’s credit quality weakens.
high-rated entities, predominantly in the financial sec-
tor. Over 65-70 per cent of bond issuances are by financial OTHER BOOSTER SHOTS
sector entities, and over 85-90 per cent are AA and above. A well-capitalised Credit Guarantee Enhancement Cor-
If bond funds have to be directly channeled towards indi- poration can facilitate bond issuances by lifting stand-
vidual infrastructure projects, the gap between the low alone credit ratings of operational infrastructure assets
risk appetite of investors and risk levels of projects needs to levels desired by investors. Capital invested in such a
to be bridged. corporation would have a significant multiplier effect.
A recent, and salutary, augury is the launch of the Ex-
INNOVATION AND REGULATORY HELP pected Loss, or EL, rating scale by the Securities and Ex-
Innovations such as asset pooling, a well-capitalised change Board of India. This provides additional informa-
Credit Guarantee Enhancement Corporation and tion on the EL over the lifetime of an infrastructure debt
widespread adoption of the EL (expected loss) rating issuance, complementing the traditional credit rating.
scale can help mobilise an additional `7-10 lakh crore via Investors can use EL, along with the probability of default
infrastructure bonds by fiscal 2025. rating, and pick investments aligned with their risk appe-
Pooled assets enable scale, diversification and flexi- tite. CRISIL Ratings estimates that innovations can dou-
bility to structure cash flows. This can help attract foreign ble the supply of corporate bonds in the domestic market
capital, improve the confidence of bond market investors to `65-70 lakh crore (outstanding) by March 2025. That
and consequently facilitate monetisation of operational would increase the size of the corporate bond market to
infrastructure assets. Such takeout financing can help 21-23 per cent of GDP by fiscal 2025.
banks and non-banks free up chunks of outstanding cred- Yet, the demand for corporate bonds is expected to
it for fresh lending. fall short by close to `5 lakh crore, according to CRISIL’s
Three pooling vehicles that can support bond issu- calculations. Hence, the supply-side innovations need to
ances are: be complemented by four measures to stoke demand:
Infrastructure investment trusts (InvITs): The One, attracting retail investors through tax rationali-
assets under management (AUM) of InvITs and real sation, such as capital gains tax parity between equity and
estate investment trusts have reached nearly `2 lakh debt products and promotion of exchange-traded and
crore as of fiscal 2021, a 42 per cent compounded an- other index-linked funds.
nual growth rate since the first InvIT was launched in Two, developing market infrastructure such as credit
fiscal 2018. CRISIL’s estimates show InvITs can enable default swaps, and quickly setting up the proposed insti-
monetisation of `6.5 lakh crore worth of infrastructure tution to provide secondary market liquidity to bonds.
assets over the medium term, which can be part-funded Three, and perhaps the most critical, would be mea-
by bond issuances of `3-4 lakh crore for roads, power sures to attract foreign capital such as easing of withhold-
transmission, gas pipelines, telecom infrastructure and ing tax, and inclusion of Indian bonds in global indices to
renewables. channel capital from global index funds. Foreign inves-
Co-obligor structures: These comprise multiple spe- tors are essential to ensure high market appetite for cor-
cial purpose vehicles (SPVs) of a sponsor acting as a guar- porate bonds, especially given the potential crowding out
antor for the collective debt of all SPVs. Sponsors can form of domestic funds by the government’s gigantic borrow-
pools of select SPVs tailor-made to fit the risk appetites of ing programme.
different investors. Such structures are already being used Four, and materially important, is enhanced report-
to fund operational assets in sectors such as renewables ing on ESG factors.
and roads, including toll-operate-transfer bundles.
Securitisation and covered bonds: Lenders can se- THE ESG FACTOR
curitise loans to operational infrastructure assets, just ESG has moved from being a just another investor-centric
the way retail loans are packaged and sold. The presence data point to an integral factor in strategic decision-mak-
of cash collateral to absorb losses will instil confidence ing. This makes ESG profiling of companies a crucial fa-
in investors, who can also derive comfort from the well- cilitator to draw foreign capital. Between 2018 and 2020,
established legal and administrative practices governing more than $100 billion flowed into ESG funds globally,
We are given to understand that the foundations most creative minds including Antonio Citterio, Phoenix create new ideas, develop prototypes, and carry out market
of the Hansgrohe empire was laid 120 years ago, Designs, Philippe Starck, Jean-Marie Massaud, Barber & tests.
in 1901. The world has certainly changed. How has Osgerby, among many others, who have immense expertise
Hansgrohe managed to remain relevant across these in innovative design. For instance, Philippe Starck is the How long does it take for new international
decades? creative mind behind the AXOR Starck collection which was designs to come to India? Do you also craft products
Since our inception, we have strived to prioritize the launched in year 1994 and still is one of the best-selling exclusively for India?
needs and comfort of our users. Both hansgrohe and AXOR products of AXOR brand. We launch products globally and post their global launch,
products are created with the purpose of delivering human- it takes 1-2 months for the products to be available in
centric water experiences that make one truly feel alive. We have been hearing about your innovation India. We have not anticipated the need to craft products
Our drive is to express our passion for water, with ideas laboratory. What is the kind of work that you do exclusively in India. While designing our products, we
that are blueprints for tomorrow, and a design that stands there? What do we expect in the future? ensure that the outcome is universal designs and suit every
the test of time, which have helped us to remain ahead of While in the past, gradual changes allowed companies type of bathroom.
the curve. to make profits, the future will require radical leaps and
bounds in innovation to achieve success. In this context, How big a market is India for you? Can you share your
German Brands are known for solid workmanship. our innovation labs are the epicentre of ingenuity. India plans with us?
Modern customers give more importance to design. An interdisciplinary team comes together to think of India is a billion-euro total faucet market and at this
How does Hansgrohe address this expectation the future of bathrooms, every day anew. They use moment with the current play only 10% of the market is
without compromising on the quality? agile working tools and a clearly defined innovation accessible to us. We are working to make brand and price
We have partnered with the world’s top designers and process through which they think outside the box, points available to larger section of the population
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
*Conditions Apply
INSURERS
TO TURN
FINTECH
PLAYERS
COVID-19 MAY BE A BLACK SWAN EVENT,
BUT HEALTH INSURERS ARE PREPARING
BY CASTING A WIDER NET BY USING
TECHNOLOGY TO EXPAND THEIR REACH
L
arge-scale health catastrophes aren’t new.
The world has already witnessed a series of
epidemics, including SARS, MERS, Ebola and
Zika. But Covid-19 is different, a pandemic
that swarmed the planet at one go, leaving no
place for us humans to take refuge. Certain
developments over the years allowed the vi-
rus to spread far and wide.
BHARGAV DASGUPTA
On one hand, we root for interconnectedness, to make the MD AND CEO,
entire world our playground and on the other, we are sobered ICICI LOMBARD
by its consequences. Today, it wouldn’t be surprising if an out- GENERAL INSURANCE
34
ILLUSTRATIONS BY NILANJAN DAS
break in a remote village in one part of the world spreads to possibility of 15-20 per cent of healthcare systems shift-
a major city on the other side within a matter of days. ing to virtual platforms by 2025. The telemedicine mar-
Of course, we cannot reverse gears or turn our back on ket is expected to be worth $5.5 billion in the next five
all the benefits and opportunities of a global world. But we years by growing at a CAGR of more than 30 per cent.
need to be cognisant of the associated risks. We should not This includes teleconsultations, remote monitoring, e-
be like the frog who remains comfortable in a pot of water pharmacies and more. While Indian health-tech is at a
that is being gradually heated until it boils to death — a nascent stage, the recent mushrooming of start-ups and
story that is perhaps more accurate for humans than frogs. inflow of private capital are expected to fuel the growth
The key is to be aware and prepared. of this segment. Moreover, this feeds into changing con-
sumer preferences for digital healthcare.
THE PROBLEM IS THE SOLUTION Home healthcare is gradually making a large portion
While interconnectedness has now become a bane in the of hospital visits redundant and that, in turn, will reduce
Sanjiv Puri ,
physical world, it is a boon in the virtual one. There is a Chairman
travel costs for patients and operational and MD,
expenses ITC
for hos-
35
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
pitals. The Covid-19 crisis has sparked a surge in the home FUTURE-READY SOLUTIONS
healthcare market, which had primarily been fragmented. The IRDAI has already introduced new policies aimed
A significant number of patients now finds it convenient at wider insurance coverage. The Aarogya Sanjeevani
to use apps and other tools to avail healthcare from the Policy, for example, facilitates simplified insurance by
comfort of their homes. Complex tests and diagnostics introducing a standard product that is understandable
are also finding their way from labs to homes as integrated and accessible to all. The launch of Corona Kavach and
health and wellness platforms reshape the framework of Corona Rakshak also came as a boon for people in the
testing and consulting. lower-income strata, giving them affordable coverage
The research and analysis at ICICI Lombard reflect for Covid-19. More than three million policies were sold
this embracing of health-tech, with Gen Z and millennials within a few months of their launch, making the world
leading the way. They have gone beyond the generic hab- take notice of these pioneering steps by Indian health
its of tracking their weight and BMI to monitoring their insurers.
blood pressure, sugar and oxygen levels. With 56 per cent Many new ailments are also on the radar of health
of the respondents to a survey saying they have a health- insurers, mirroring the identification and rise of specific
care app and 44 per cent relying on a digital fitness band health issues. Mental illness, age-related degeneration
to track their vital statistics, there is no doubt that health- and internal congenital diseases are also finding coverage
tech is the post-pandemic new normal. in some new-age health insurance offerings.
India’s goal of universal health coverage (UHC) may
ALIGNED INCENTIVES seem audacious but is achievable with well-planned col-
As the healthcare landscape evolves, so will health insur- laboration between regulators, government establish-
ance. The industry regulator — the Insurance Regulatory ments and private players. In the first year of its imple-
and Development Authority of India (IRDAI) — is pro- mentation, Ayushman Bharat helped close to four million
moting measures, such as the use of e-KYC, for easier issue Indians avail cashless treatments. However, there are
and renew of policies. Today, leading insurers cover treat- gaps — in infrastructure, the availability of skilled profes-
ment through telemedicine in their policies. The benefits sionals, the rural-urban divide, and more. Private players
are three-pronged — it gives patients flexibility and en- can play a significant role to bridge them.
sures social distancing, reduces the load on overburdened The private sector is already responsible for more than
healthcare facilities and reinforces the trust that insurance 70 per cent of healthcare services in India, and a strong
solutions will take care of health needs whenever required. partnership with the public sector can be reformative for
Complementing the changing face of insurance, the industry. The public sector needs to boost the health-
healthcare inflation has surged due to the rising costs care financing required for a developing country like ours,
of medicines, tests, fees and healthcare facilities. This bring in suitable reforms to encourage digital healthcare,
means insurance has clear financial benefits for both in- and increase the supply of healthcare professionals. The
dividuals and businesses. And even for the State, the more private healthcare players, including insurers, can help
effectively the public manages healthcare risks, the more streamline and manage last-mile delivery, drive India-
resilient is the economy. The role of health insurance is, centric innovation and set up healthcare standards and
thus, pivotal. treatment protocols to drive efficiency and quality out-
For insurers, the essential task is to make their prod- comes at affordable costs.
ucts and services more accessible, affordable and conve-
nient for customers while creating greater awareness and TECHNOLOGY AS A GAME CHANGER
transparency about their benefits and limitations. The India has recently started adopting the right healthcare
interest of insurers and their customers is aligned — to technologies. Digital health is now within reach of sev-
avoid unnecessary hospitalisation and minimise medical eral people residing in remote areas thanks to a growing
expenses. As such, insurers should focus on partnering young, tech-savvy populace. Technology is empowering
with customers in their endeavour to stay healthy. consumers and is also an enabler for insurers looking to
This bodes well for the insurance industry and society expand penetration and reach. We see artificial intelli-
at large. As more and more customers stay healthy, the cost gence (AI), machine learning (ML) and blockchain mak-
of claims will drop and, consequently, so will insurance ing their way into the BFSI (banking, financial services
premium rates. That means a larger populace can come un- and insurance) sector. Soon, every finance and insurance
der the insurance fold while freeing up the overburdened firm will need to be a fintech player, with technology be-
healthcare system—a big win for all stakeholders. coming a necessity for survival.
“We are extremely proud of our achievers who took the path to be extraordinary and reached the top of the peak! Their success
will encourage many other aspirants to unleash their potential and scale up the peak of success as TATA AIA Life continues its
journey to be the pre-eminent protection provider in the country.
KHUSHI MOTWANI RAHUL KUMAR RATHI URVI ASHISH DOSHI RAJENDRA KUMAR TANMAYA RAO A SAI KUMAR NAIK
Raipur Raipur Ahmedabad NAGPAL - Sikar Hyderabad RUPAVATH - Vijayawada
SHILPY LAW RUSHABH NITIN MAGIYA BEENA SANJAY DALAL KHYATI SAGARBHAI SHETH OM PARKASH SHREYAS RAJNIKANT
Patiala Mumbai Surat Jamnagar Sirsa KOTHARI - Mumbai
MOHIT GOEL YASHIKA SINGH RUPA KRISHNAN IYER KUSUMBEN I SHAH MODI BHAVANA RAJESH
Gurugram Varanasi Hyderabad Ahmedabad Bharuch
JANE MASHAHARY SHILPA MEDIKONDA BIBHA DEVI RITU PARWAL RITU RAJ RAJPUROHIT
Kokrajhar Hyderabad Patna Udaipur Pune
JENY N SHAH HARINDER PAUL SINGH SHASHI RANJAN GUPTA SANGEETA CHHAJED NIRAJ PANKAJ SHAH
Ahmedabad Gurugram Delhi Dhamteri Mumbai
KRUPALI MAHENDRABHAI SHIKHA GUPTA SIDDHARTHSINH ASHOK- SENDIL KUMAR R DILIP KUMAR DAS KARTIK SHYAMSUNDAR
LAKHANI - Rajkot Jaipur SINH MAHIDA - Vadodara Bengaluru Kolkata MEHTA - Ahmedabad
FOCUS
HEALTH
RAJESH NATHANI NAMRATA JIGAR BHOOMI SHARMA SURESH KUMAR NEVIL DEVANG DESAI YOGESH KUMAR SAINI
Hyderabad CONTRACTOR - Vadodara Hissar BINDHANI - Rourkela Navsari Bhatinda
SHAMPAT KANVR SUBRATA SARKAR APARNA JAIN MANVEET KAUR BHATIA HARSHIT AGGARWAL GARIMA BANSAL BANSAL
Jodhpur Sreerampur Jaipur Jabalpur Pathankot Jind
SWATI URJIT POPAT KALPANA GUPTA RAVI MAHESHKUMAR SHYAM SUNDAR DUTTA JAIN ANIL KUMAR
Mumbai Sikar AGARWAL - Surat Bankura Delhi
KIRAN KUMARI SANJANA SARMA SEJAL BHAVSAR ZUBIN HOMI LILAOOWALA NEHA SANJEEV TANWAR
Patna Chennai Mumbai Mumbai Surat
VAISHALI JAINIKKUMAR DIGVIJAY SUMANT ARTI RASTOGI DINESH GUPTA SHWETA GOEL
SHAH - Ahmedabad VEDALANKAR - Solapur Delhi Delhi Noida
MUHAMMADHUSAIN A SUNITA ARUN BELGALKAR YASHASWI RAJORA R TAMILARASAN PRADIPTA KUMAR DIXIT
CHITALWALA - Jamnagar Pune Jaipur Namakkal Bhubaneswar
Our most Coveted MDRT Members
VAISHALI DHARMESH MAMTA RANI PRATEEK VIJAYVARGIYA JIGAR ARVINDBHAI NEERU DEVI SUMAN MAZUMDAR
SHAH - Ahmedabad Hissar Jaipur JIYANI - Bardoli Delhi Hazaribagh
SANJAY THOMAS RIPAL JAIMIN GOSAI NAMEETA UTSAV DOSHI AKSHYA KUMAR NAYAK AANCHAL SHARMA KRUNAL P SHAH
Bengaluru Vadodara Rajkot Rourkela Delhi Ahmedabad
RENU GIRISH AMESUR RAJENDER KUMAR NISHA RANI PRAKASH INDRABHAN PRASHANT KUMAR GHOSH
Nasik Hissar Hissar GANDHI - Pune Pune
HETALBEN CHIRAGKUMAR JAGDISH SINGH SHEETAL AGARWALLA ROHIN KERSI RAVINDER DEB
PATEL - Ahmedabad Hissar BHANSALI - Guwahati SHERDIWALA - Mumbai Kolkata
SUKETU CHINUBHAI SHAH K RAVICHANDRAN SEJAL ASHOK GELDA VIDIT GUPTA SUNIL KUMAR SAINI
Ahmedabad Erode Kolhapur Muzzafarnagar Jaipur
ANIMESH VASHISHT AMIT GUPTA INDRANI GUHA ARUN M RINA DAS DEWANJI BHUPENDER BHUPENDER
Meerut Delhi Kolkata Mysuru Sreerampur Narwana
FOCUS
HEALTH
SRIKAANTH RAMDASS DODDERI THIMMAIAH MEET DEEPAK SHARMA BEENA MAYURBHAI MEGHA KHEMKA SHARRY VERMA
Bengaluru VENKATESH - Bengaluru Vadodara SATIKUVAR - Rajkot Guwahati Ludhiana
N RONALD STEVENSON BIPASHA DE JIGISHA TAPANKUMAR HARSHA MODI MADHU KHEMKA MANPREET KAUR
Vizag Durgapur AVAIYA - Surat Jamshedpur Dibrugarh Delhi
VIJAY KRISHNAJI WALKE MINI SINGH CHANDI RANI SINGHA SALONI JAIN RUCHI ASHISH JAISWAL
Pune Amritsar Silchar Ludhiana Nagpur
AMAIRA CHHABRIA NAVNEET PRAKASH VIRAL JYOTINDRA DOSHI PUSHKAR NITIN DHULE PRIYADHARSHINA
Mumbai Patna Mumbai Thane Chennai
ADITYA SHARAD SHAH RAJKUMAR SAYARNATH REENA ROY CHOWDHURY NEELAM MALOO USHMA DARSHAN
Mumbai RAI - Pune Durgapur Jodhpur KHANDOL - Gandhidham
SHARON PIRES RIYA VINCENT VINCENT BASUDEB KUNDU ANCHAL KHEMKA BHARAT THACKER
Mumbai Thiruvananthapuram Bankura Guwahati Kolkata
“Always aim at perfection for only then will you achieve excellence”
- J.R.D. Tata
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
CRYPTO
CAN BUILD CHANGPENG
ZHAO
BILLION
FOUNDER & CEO,
BINANCE
DOLLAR
MARKETS
45
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
BEYOND BITCOIN
The past year has seen a seismic shift in public attitudes
towards crypto. Mainstream adoption, a long-time goal for
crypto advocates, seems more attainable than ever, fuelled
by a combination of unlikely sources, from traditional insti-
tutions announcing crypto offerings to celebrities promot-
ing blockchain projects on social media.
While Bitcoin continues to dominate the conversation
when it comes to crypto, much of the value in the industry
lies in blockchain technology, which has the potential to
connect everyday users to millions of potential jobs, from
blockchain-powered entrepreneurial projects and fintech
solutions to initiatives in international trade and com-
merce — not to mention fields such as arts, nonprofits and
After years of steady and gradual
beyond. While it’s important to move the conversation be-
growth, global adoption of blockchain and yond Bitcoin, it’s also necessary to appreciate how it offers
crypto accelerated during the pandemic. users an accessible gateway to the wider — and sometimes
Facing uncertainty in a turbulent world more complex — world of crypto.
economy, more people than ever before
turned to crypto for the first time. Last year, THE RISE OF NFTs
Bitcoin emerged as a new and exciting tech- Non-fungible tokens (NFTs), a type of blockchain technol-
nology for individuals, companies and even ogy that has existed in some form for years, recently took
off in popularity when sports organisations packaged it
governments. More recently, El Salvador
as an appealing digital collectible for fans and collectors.
became the first country to adopt Bitcoin According to a report from NonFungible.com, in the first
as legal tender, a landmark decision that quarter of 2021 alone, NFT sales topped $2 billion. Today,
prompted governments around the world to the NFT ecosystem has expanded far beyond the realm of
re-evaluate the role of crypto. sports collectibles and memorabilia, as NFT marketplaces,
Crypto is incredibly versatile and can be used as a cur- including Binance NFT Marketplace, create meaningful
rency, reward, token and much more. Regardless of how the economic opportunities for regional talents and creators
Indian government decides to classify this emerging tech- from around the world. For many Indian artists, NFTs are a
nology, what is important is that they continue to foster lo- revolutionary new class of crypto that allows them to easily
cal innovation in the blockchain and crypto space. monetise their artwork, earn royalties from sales and con-
As one of the largest and fastest-digitising economies nect with global audiences.
in the world, India is uniquely positioned to lead the block- The rapid growth of the NFT industry demonstrates
chain and crypto space. Key factors include India’s ambi- many of the unique advantages inherent to the blockchain
tious investments in science and technology, which have and crypto industry, where innovative technology, cou-
created a durable engine for economic growth, as well as pled with the right use-case at the right time, can create
the nation’s extensive efforts to increase internet access booming international markets—seemingly overnight.
around the country. The next game-changing innovation, whether it’s a DeFi
According to research from Statista, India’s internet project or another blockchain-based application, could be
penetration rate, which measures access to the internet, in- here already.
creased by around 45 per cent in 2021, against just 4 per cent
in 2007. Today, there are more than 560 million internet BLOCKCHAIN FUNDRAISING
users in India, making it one of the world’s largest markets Few industries have the potential to generate global, bil-
for online consumers. Against this backdrop of innovation, lion-dollar markets. It goes without saying then, that the
a new generation of digital natives and knowledge workers, global blockchain ecosystem is incredibly vibrant, and at-
tracts many of the world’s top creators and developers. Ac- tion systems offer increased transparency, allowing donors
cording to research from UNESCO, India already produces to track the progress of their donations at every stage, from
the most science, technology, engineering and mathemat- the point of donation to end beneficiary.
ics (STEM) graduates in the world—those uniquely quali- With new entrants quickly entering and exiting mar-
fied to contribute to and benefit from the global blockchain kets to meet demand, there are still risks to navigate and
ecosystem. challenges to contend with. So, at this critical juncture, it’s
Binance.com has also sought to harness top talents in important to remember that the blockchain and crypto
the industry by offering an incubation programme for industry is still in its infancy. Although there is a lot of en-
some of the most promising blockchain projects. Through thusiasm and demand surrounding crypto, many are still
blockchain fundraising programmes, we’ve been able to apprehensive about their long-term value. To address these
identify and support up-and-coming initiatives that aim to concerns, players within this emerging space need to build
grow the blockchain and crypto industry, including Mar- trust and confidence in their platforms, products and ser-
lin Protocol, an infrastructure provider for decentralised vices. After all, trust is earned, not given.
networks founded by graduates from the Indian Institute
of Technology, Bombay (IIT-B). India’s entrepreneurial INDIA’S CRYPTO INNOVATION
potential is unmatched, and blockchain funding promises With millions of potential jobs hanging in the balance,
to connect India’s homegrown talent with global investors. Indian regulators and policymakers have made proactive
Blockchain funding opportunities also extend to chari- efforts to engage with the complex blockchain and crypto
ties and non-profit organisations. Blockchain-based dona- landscape and propose clear regulatory standards. Regula-
tory transparency is extremely valuable, as it provides a sol-
id foundation for the continued development of the block-
chain and crypto industry. Market participants, both large
BLOCKCHAIN-BASED and small, will also benefit from a set of clear standards that
DONATION SYSTEMS they can apply as a critical lens to shape their growth and
business objectives.
OFFER INCREASED Though crypto has historically been an area of focus for
TRANSPARENCY, Indian regulators, the technology has wide-ranging use-
cases that require a robust system of frameworks and laws
ALLOWING DONORS TO to protect users. At the end of the day, users
TRACK THE PROGRESS always come first—what’s good for users
OF THEIR DONATIONS AT is good for the wider industry. As crypto
continues to mature, regulatory clarity can
EVERY STAGE provide a strong catalyst for India to be-
come a fintech leader in this space, one that
sets an example for other regions to follow.
So, it’s safe to say that crypto is on the
verge of mainstream acceptance. Further-
more, crypto has come to play an influen-
tial role within the global economy, creat-
ing financial opportunities for anyone with
access to the internet. With momentum
building, now is the time for players in the
blockchain and crypto industry to work
with regulators and local governments to
provide consumers with secure and com-
pliant access to this emerging technology.
India, with its talented, digital savvy work-
force and receptiveness to emerging tech-
nologies, has the potential to play a leading
role in the continued growth of the block-
chain and crypto industry.
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
MAKING
A GLOBAL
IMPACT
YOUNG ENTREPRENEURS ARE NOT ONLY
CREATING SOLUTIONS TO SERVE THE NEEDS
OF THEIR DOMESTIC ENVIRONMENT BUT
ALSO ONES THAT CATER TO TWO-THIRDS OF
THE GLOBAL POPULATION
I
recently had the privilege of being on a global
webinar with a 19-year-old entrepreneur from
Sitamarhi, Bihar. Instead of pursuing studies
overseas or seeking a government or corpo-
rate job, this young entrepreneur established a
start-up that provides a unique service. It helps
other start-ups in neighbouring towns and vil-
lages raise funds and scale up their business.
These start-ups represent every possible sector: DEEPAK BAGLA
agriculture, waste management, e-commerce, CEO AND MD,
INVEST INDIA
education, medicare and artificial intelligence,
among others. These innovators are not just the
52
ILLUSTRATION BY RAJ VERMA
navigators of India’s growth story but its tion — both in scale and pace — ever seen in the free world.
very engines of growth. They are the cre- The start-up ecosystem in India is emblematic of these
changes. It paints a picture of a future that is yet more pros-
ators of this growth and the energy that is perous for India and, indeed, the world.
propelling us into the future, to a ‘New India’. For a long time, these start-ups were concentrated in
New India is framed not only by enterprises but also the economic hubs like Bengaluru, Mumbai or Gurugram.
enterprise of countless entrepreneurs, both young and the But not anymore. The roots of our start-up journey are
not-so-young. The story of start-ups in India is not just the now spread in every corner of the country. During the pan-
story of economics or finance or even the story of business- demic, for instance, some of the most exciting start-ups —
es. This story represents the immense social, economic and whether they made the best quality ghee or the most aro-
political transformations occurring within India at pres- matic incense from discarded temple flowers — came from
ent. The elements of these changes have come together to villages and small towns and cities.
create a singular trajectory towards growth and prosperity. These start-ups are reimagining the very value of In-
They have enabled the most unprecedented transforma- dia’s rich and diverse geography, teaching us to relook at
53
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
our forests, our rivers and streams, our mountains, and instruments through which communities realise their po-
the ingenuity of our people. India’s start-up revolution is tential. They are bridging gaps that thousands of Indians
neither all elite nor entirely urban. Its fastest-growing and previously thought were impossible to overcome.
most unique hubs lie in countless small towns and rural ar- The success of India’s start-up ecosystem has consis-
eas where entrepreneurs have used newfound digital con- tently inspired our youth to push the envelope of innova-
nectivity as the anchor for profitable commerce. The move- tion. Young entrepreneurs are not only creating solutions
ment is vigorously growing in every home, every village and to serve the needs of their domestic environment but also
every district. Indeed, of the country’s 739 districts, more ones that cater to two-thirds of the global population. They
than 600 have at least one registered start-up. are local in development, but global in impact. As a result of
This flourishing of start-ups can be credited to the their imagination and ability to deliver, these Indian start-
widespread internet penetration in the country. There ups have become engines for growth — not just in India, but
are nearly 800 million internet users in India already. Ev- for the entire world.
ery second, three more go online for the first time, two of Equally remarkable is how these new and emerging
whom are from a village. Today, India has over a billion citi- start-ups are changing the way many traditional indus-
zens, each with a unique identity linked to a bank account, a tries have operated for decades, some even centuries. From
billion with mobile phones and, in the next 24 months, a bil- dramatically shortening the time to deliver tea from leaf to
lion on the internet. This is an unprecedented, potent stack cup and medicines from pharmacy to home to reimagining
of access and opportunity. diagnostic processes and how doctors function, and from
This is the India opportunity — unparalleled in size and bringing education on-screen effortlessly to live-streaming
scope. Our economy offers an unmatched market business religious functions and enabling digital participation —
opportunity, not just for start-ups, but for each business en- there is almost no aspect of everyday life that is untouched
tity and individual in India; a potential one can easily capi- by the power of a start-up’s enterprise fuelled by rapid digi-
talise on through just a text message or the push of a button. tisation. India is becoming a society — not just an economy
Digital India has created an inclusive growth momentum — driven by entrepreneurial zeal.
across the country, democratising India’s growth benefits. This start-up movement has also highlighted the evo-
lution of the Indian thought process. People today don’t
EVOLVING MINDSETS see failure as the fallout of ambition but as an opportunity
The backbone of this entrepreneurial revolution is a digiti- to learn. The start-up zeal of a democratic India has recast
sation process that now touches every aspect of life in India. its social, economic and political ambitions. It has created
Our world-class digital payment infrastructure, our digi- a new mantra that defines the ‘New India’: failure fuels the
tally enabled new logistics systems, and digital-first, smart drive to excellence.
marketing have changed the way business is done at the
grassroots. The combination of entrepreneurial momen- START-UP CENTRAL
tum and digital facilitation has bridged distances, trans- India is, at present, the fifth-largest economy in the world,
formed consumer mindsets, and brought about, among climbing from 10th position in 60 short months. Our econ-
other things, a direct-to-customer boom in the country. omy today is worth $3 trillion and will more than triple to
These start-ups are a tribute to the minds of India’s $10 trillion by 2030. India is the largest (a population of 1.4
youth who, through economical innovation, are not only billion by 2025), youngest (27 years median age) and fast-
establishing multi-billion-dollar institutions but also cre- est-growing (working-age population of nearly 1 billion by
ating effective solutions for our challenges. These start- 2025) demographic.
ups are reaching all corners of the country and becoming It is also leading the world’s largest digitisation move-
ment, largest health insurance drive and largest vaccina- in the very nascent stage.
tion programme to counter the Covid-19 pandemic. We are Furthermore, tech-based start-ups in India are increas-
becoming more competitive on the global stage and carv- ingly exploring the fields of artificial intelligence particu-
ing our space in the global business map. And while we have larly in healthcare, education and home systems. Their
made rapid progress, the movement has only begun; the success will further India’s contribution to global techno-
magic has only just started to unfold. logical advancement.
Start-up India is a remarkable player in this story. By it- Another remarkable aspect of the story of start-ups in
self, it, too, is a very young start-up, launched just five years India is that many of them—45 per cent of all start-ups, in
ago in January 2016. Its success is an outstanding represen- fact—are run by female leaders. They are leveraging tech-
tation of the magic we can create with the trifecta of mis- nology to capture previously untouched sectors such as
sion-driven policy-making, impactful implementation and fashion, beauty, animation and inventory management.
partnership with the people. Start-up India functions as Female leaders are also helming some of the largest start-
and embodies the ethos of an impact-driven, high-growth ups in finance, e-commerce and travel. These start-ups are
start-up and has made start-ups central to both the people championing gender equality and greater workforce diver-
and the government. This can be witnessed in its unprec- sity. This is a significant positive impact on the Indian start-
edented success in the last 60 months that made India the up ecosystem that is sure to have a lasting impact on Indian
third-biggest start-up ecosystem in the world today. society and the economy.
We have grown from just 4,000 registered start-ups In a way, then, start-ups have become the lens through
in 2016 to 50,000 today (80,000 as per market estimates). which India views its future as a leading global economy.
Four new start-ups join their ranks every hour, a statistic They represent a society that is increasingly self-confident
that is unparalleled globally. We rank third globally in the and self-empowered. Indians are no longer looking for safe,
number of unicorns, which are also among the largest and comfortable jobs but to follow their passions, to become
fastest-growing in the world. Despite the pandemic and the best in whatever they desire. They have captured their
lockdowns, one unicorn was created every month in India inherent ability to adopt and adapt to new technologies to
last year. In the first seven months of this year, we got 20 create world-class solutions that are practical, economi-
more. By 2025, India will have 150 unicorns, sailing past its cal and easily scalable. We are among the fastest-growing
previous target of 100. economies in the world and the International Monetary
What is remarkable is the pace at which this is unfold- Fund projects that despite Covid-19, India will regain its
ing. It took more than 26 months (about 800 days, or 19,000 position as the fastest-growing major economy.
hours) for us to reach the first 10,000 start-ups. The last Indeed, the pandemic became an opportunity for In-
10,000 start-ups came up in a mere six months (about 180 dians to capitalise on their frugality and adaptability. Our
days, or 4,300 hours). In the first half of 2021, Indian start- reputation for frugal innovation, to create magic with
ups raised more than $10 billion, surpassing the 2020 to- morsels, was not lost during this time as start-ups, MSMEs
tal. These start-ups highlight not only the ease of doing and large companies joined hands to meet the needs of the
business in India but also the zeal of its demographic, par- hour. They deftly pivoted business models to help India
ticularly the youth who are pursuing their passion, chasing brave the worst pandemic of the modern era by supplying
excellence and are indispensable in the creation of a New domestically made ventilators, masks, sanitisers, protec-
India. tive equipment, test kits and oxygen concentrators. In
fact, thanks to such efforts, India went from producing a
A JOB WELL BEGUN minimal number of personal protective equipment (PPE)
Indian innovators are also deftly navigating the cutting- kits to becoming the world’s second-largest manufacturer
edge and increasingly crowded start-up ecosystem in in two months.
the country. They have successfully identified disruptive These achievements highlight our strengths and serve
sectors and created products that add genuine value to a to make India more competitive globally, especially as we
consumer’s experience. From a hotel aggregator to an e- emerge as a manufacturing hub. Our focus now is on en-
marketplace for fashion products, from a ride-hailing com- suring excellence in quality. To truly capture the global
pany to a digital payments one, each new start-up has been imagination, India will not only offer the widest range
a game-changer in the lives of millions of Indians and how of goods that are at the very cutting edge in their space,
they interact with the internet each day. This is a most re- but also those of the highest quality, accompanied by the
markable achievement given that the internet is still very greatest quality of service.
young in the country and people’s relationship with it is still This is the New India. And its story has just begun.
TARGET:
A $120
BILLION
INDUSTRY
INNOVATION AND UNIVERSAL
HEALTHCARE CAN MAKE THE INDIAN
PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY
A FORCE TO RECKON WITH BY 2030
I
n a virtual international conference last year, Prime
Minister Narendra Modi hailed India’s pharmaceuti-
cal industry as an asset not just for India but the entire
world. From manufacturing generics to highly com-
plex formulations to biosimilars and specialty medi-
cines, the nation’s pharmaceutical industry has come
a long way. Today, it is regarded as the ‘Pharmacy of
the World.’ In terms of volume, it is ranked the third-
DILIP SHANGHVI
largest globally, accounting for 60 per cent of global MANAGING
vaccine production. India is the largest provider of ge- DIRECTOR,
SUN PHARMA
neric drugs and hosts the highest number of USFDA-
approved plants outside the US.
58
ILLUSTRATION BY NILANJAN DAS
Since the outbreak of Covid-19, the Indian pharmaceu- revenues by 2030. However, if it sets bold aspirations to
tical industry has played a leading role in providing high- grow at 11-12 per cent CAGR, it can reach $120-130 billion
quality, affordable medicines globally. With the world in a during the same period. To achieve this vision, it is impera-
lockdown, it faced serious challenges such as supply of active tive that we identify the key levers of growth.
pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs), movement of medicines,
etc, but ensured that there was minimal disruption in supply LEVERS OF GROWTH
of essential medicines. This speaks volumes about the contri- Universal Health Care: The Indian government has com-
bution of the industry to the world economy. mitted to increasing the public healthcare spending as a
percentage of GDP from the existing 1.15 per cent to 2.5 per
INDIAN PHARMA – VISION 2030 cent by 2025. This is a right move towards achieving univer-
Even though, over the last few years, the Indian pharmaceuti- sal healthcare. The government has already laid a strong
cal industry has shown stable growth of 7-10 per cent, there foundation by announcing the Ayushman Bharat Yojana.
are several opportunities ahead of us. At the current CAGR, It is important that the industry participates in the govern-
the industry can grow from $40 billion to $80-90 billion in ment’s vision of providing universal healthcare. Ayushman
59
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
Bharat Yojana, the most ambitious healthcare programme panies to invest in innovation and further streamline the
in the world which will cover about 50 crore citizens, is an regulatory processes. The government needs to play a big
opportunity for the industry to help India’s underserved role to make India a life sciences innovation hub. What we
masses with high-quality, affordable drugs. need is a research ecosystem that is supported through
Life Sciences Innovation Hub: We should aspire to competitive tax breaks on R&D investments, technology
build a strong innovation pipeline with focus on new mo- transfers, etc, as well as regulatory interventions/simplifi-
lecular entities, incremental innovations, biologics, gene cation. It will allow Indian pharmaceutical companies to
therapies and specialty drugs. We have got early successes invest in the development of new molecules, dosage forms
in development of next-generation product classes, but and drug delivery systems that will give it an edge for sus-
there is a long way to go. What we need is a research ecosys- tainable growth.
tem, and that will make India a life sciences innovation hub. As per IQVIA, the global pharmaceutical market in
A made-in-India researched drug can be made available at a 2020 was estimated at $1.27 lakh crore, with more than 60
lower cost. It will improve access to innovative medicines, per cent coming from innovative medicines. Indian phar-
helping the stretched healthcare systems globally. maceutical companies which have capabilities, size and
Leadership in Generics: India should aspire to be- scale should aspire to get a bigger share of the innovative
come the world’s largest and most reliable drug supplier medicines market by investing in cutting-edge research.
by volume. I believe our Indian pharmaceutical industry There is another important factor that will spur innova-
can play a much bigger role in supplying high-quality ge- tion in the industry -- collaboration. How the pharmaceu-
neric medicines to the world. In the last decade, America tical industry has collaborated to respond to Covid-19 is a
has saved nearly $2.2 trillion due to generics, and this op- case in point. I strongly believe that collaboration between
portunity is available to all countries. We should adopt pharmaceutical companies, academic/research institutes
a two-pronged strategy: establish a leadership position and the government is the way forward. The government
in the US generics space and develop a strong presence can intervene by helping set up and operationalise indus-
in traditionally underpenetrated markets such as Japan, try-wide ‘at scale’ capability building programmes to cre-
China, Africa and Latin America. As per estimates, brand- ate a skilled talent pool that can be readily absorbed into the
ed molecules with cumulative global sales of over $251 bil- workforce.
lion are expected to go off-patent between 2018 and 2024. To protect and promote the industry’s interests, the
This is a big opportunity for the industry; it can benefit government could also set up an independent Ministry of
substantially from the patent cliff. Pharmaceuticals and consolidate the current set of regula-
Contribution to the Indian Economy: The Indian tors, CDSCO and NPPA. This will accelerate the develop-
pharmaceutical industry can contribute substantially to ment of the sector and facilitate faster decision-making.
the growth of the nation’s economy. The industry gener- As the industry expands globally, we need continuous
ates $13 billion in foreign exchange, which can go up to $30- investment in enhancing quality standards to keep our
40 billion by 2030 if there is a proper policy framework and promise of becoming a ‘high quality reliable’ supplier of
meticulous execution. The industry can create one to two medicines. On this front, capability building with regula-
million additional jobs for the country in the same period, tors like the USFDA and other drug authorities will help us
boosting consumption in the local economy. better understand global expectations and implement best
practices.
CHALLENGES & OPPORTUNITIES
If the industry has to achieve its Vision 2030, it has to navi- ACHIEVING EQUITABLE HEALTHCARE
gate certain challenges. To start with, it needs a stable pric- I believe that the Indian pharmaceutical industry is ready
ing policy and supportive regulatory environment to en- for the big leap in the coming years, and we have a clear
courage investments and innovation in the country. High road map to achieve it. For a developing country like In-
dependence on imports for APIs should come down. We dia, equitable and sustainable healthcare is of utmost
should focus on API manufacturing through plug-and-play importance. While the overall growth for the industry is
infrastructure support in dedicated zones. The govern- required, the same needs to be visible in improvement in
ment’s Production Linked Incentive Scheme to boost do- accessibility, reduced disease burden and better health-
mestic manufacturing capacity of pharmaceutical prod- care delivery that translates into overall good health for
ucts is a good step in this direction. the citizens. For this, the private sector needs to work
Our prime minister has, on several occasions, ex- with the government to ensure that the quality of lifestyle
pressed a strong desire for Indian pharmaceutical com- is improved in a sustainable way.
62
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
THE
TECTONIC KRISHNAMURTHY
SUBRAMANIAN
SHIFT IN
CHIEF ECONOMIC
ADVISER,
GOVERNMENT
OF INDIA
INDIA’S
ECONOMIC
POLICY
1. PIVOTAL CHANGE IN
INDIA’S ECONOMIC THINKING
As shown in the figure below, the first principle lays out
explicitly the policy objective while the other two princi-
ples specify the models for achieving the policy objectives
at differing levers of granularity.
The Indian economy witnessed a V- First, complementing an exclusive focus on economic
shaped recovery last year after the pan- growth with efficient welfare so that growth generates
demic-induced decline in the first quarter the resources for welfare programmes and the efficiency
as India was the only large country that of welfare programmes ensures that the resources are
experienced two consecutive quarters of utilised optimally to not only reduce inequality but also
to enhance aggregate demand in the economy. The ex-
positive growth; see this year’s Economic
plicit separation between economic growth with effi-
Survey and Monthly Economic Report cient welfare enables comparative advantage and thereby
(MER) May 2021 for evidence. After the Co- enhances efficiency. Specifically, rather than hobbling
vid-19 second wave halted this recovery for macro-economic policies with the objective of reducing
a couple of months, the Indian economy is
geared up for fast growth. This confidence
stems from the fact that India is the only
country to have launched path-breaking
reforms and radically altered its economic
thinking amidst the pandemic. As devel-
oped over the last three Economic Surveys
of the Government of India, the new eco-
nomic thinking for India relies on three 1. Growth
key principles to achieve the objective of + Efficient
“Minimum Government, Maximum Gov- Welfare
ernance.”
While we all romantically reminisce about the 1991 re-
forms today, we must remember that the then government INDIA'S
faced stringent opposition from all corners, including the ECONOMIC
ruling party itself. Many did not foresee the enormous im- VISION
pact that the reforms were to create. The full import of the 2. Ethical 2. Virtuous
change in economic thinking was realised over time. Simi- Wealth Cycle
larly, the benefits of the radical change in India’s economic
Creation
thinking post Covid will manifest in India’s growth path
over the coming decades.
nancial sector and two public sector banks and one insur- the economy is booming, such policy exacerbates the
ance company in the financial sector; (iii) opening up of intensity of business cycles and thereby increases mac-
several sectors to competition including defence produc- roeconomic uncertainty. The increased macroeconomic
tion, mining, power distribution and cryptography. uncertainty created by pro-cyclical fiscal policy deters
private investment while lower macroeconomic uncer-
3. VIRTUOUS CYCLE tainty engendered by the smoothening of business cycles
FOR ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT spurs private investment; see Economic Survey 2020-21
The virtuous cycle originating from private investment for the details. Second, higher growth generated during
is crucial for sustained economic growth in India. By ex- downturns by countercyclical fiscal policy enhances debt
amining the sample of countries that grew at least at 5 per sustainability by increasing the wedge between the nomi-
cent per annum in real terms over at least a decade, The nal interest rate and the nominal growth rate. Third, pub-
Economic Survey 2018-19 demonstrated that sustained lic investment during economic downturns is self-financ-
economic development originates from private invest- ing over the medium-term because the fiscal multipliers
ment. Investment leads to productivity gains and cre- from public investment are significantly higher during
ation of jobs, both of which increase disposable income economic downturns and recessions. The Union Budget
in the economy and thereby foster consumption. Thus, this year powerfully implemented this change, thereby
in the first-round effects embedded in the virtuous cycle, signalling a dramatic change in the government’s invest-
private investment is the most crucial for enhancing con- ment policy.
sumption. In the second-round effects embedded in the
virtuous cycle, anticipated increases in consumption spur 3.2. PUBLIC CAPEX, ESPECIALLY
further investment by the private sector. The virtuous cy- IN INFRASTRUCTURE
cle delivers explosive growth as consumption and invest- Public capex, especially in infrastructure, is critical to
ment feed each other symbiotically. crowd in private investment. Capex “crowds in” private
This virtuous cycle model for economic development investment while revex “crowds out” private investment
is an adaptation of the “Accelerator–Super Multiplier” as the government borrows more but the pool of savings
model developed by Nobel laureates Paul Samuelson and does not increase with revex. As shown in Chapter 2 of
John Hicks. India’s model with its emphasis on public this year’s Economic Survey, savings pro-cyclically follow
capex during economic downturns differs significantly economic growth. As capex creates growth, the pool of
from the Keynesian prescription of government spending loanable funds increases, thereby enabling both the pub-
via revenue expenditure (revex) or doles during economic lic and private sector to draw from the same to fund their
downturns. This emphasis on public capex is necessary in investment. This is particularly crucial during downturns
India today. For example, Bose and Bhanumurthy (2013) in the economic cycle because risk-aversion in the private
show that an increase in revex by 100 only adds 98-99 to sector increases during downturns and thereby reduces
the economy while increase in capex by 100 adds 245 to private investment.
the economy in the same year and 480 over the next sev- The capex announced by the government focusses on
eral years. railways, roads, urban transport, power, telecom, textiles
The virtuous cycle originating from private invest- and affordable housing and draws on the plans laid in the
ment relies on three key aspects: (i) countercyclical fiscal National Infrastructure Pipeline. The central govern-
policy; (ii) public capex, especially in infrastructure; and ment has also incentivised state governments to focus on
(iii) reforms to alleviate supply-side frictions. capex through a dedicated scheme for 50-year interest-
free loans for the purpose of capex.
3.1. COUNTERCYCLICAL FISCAL POLICY The key investments in infrastructure include the
Do you know that the Imambara in Lucknow was built to highest ever outlay of `1.18 lakh crore for the Ministry of
provide work to people during a period of famine? This Road Transport and Highways, National Rail Plan for a
is an example of countercyclical fiscal policy that was future-ready Railways by 2030, development of the West-
implemented historically in India. Fiscal policy has to be ern Dedicated Freight Corridor and the Eastern Dedicat-
countercyclical in order to accelerate the virtuous cycle ed Freight Corridor, and seven major port projects worth
because private investment needs an environment of low `2,000 crore in PPP mode. Production-linked incentive
macroeconomic uncertainty to prosper. When fiscal poli- (PLI) schemes have been implemented in 10 champion
cy is pro-cyclical, because tax revenues required for fiscal sectors to make Indian manufacturers globally competi-
spend are lower in recessions/slowdowns and higher when tive, attract investment in these sectors, enhance core
S
ailesh’s parents had the passion for imparting and running it,” said Sailesh.
quality education at an affordable cost and their There was no looking back. Eventually, Siva Sivani
passion was evident in the phenomenal growth of Institute of Management (SSIM) was set up in December,
the institution - from just 6 students initially to thousands 1992, with approval from the AICTE as the first B-School
now in a span of 60 years. The founder of this institute, in the then undivided state of Andhra Pradesh. Seminars
Sampathy, had approached a school in Secunderabad and workshops conducted by stalwarts aided Sailesh in
seeking admission for his friend’s son. The Principal of setting up world class paperless classrooms at SSIM more
that school turned out to be the teacher, who taught than two decades ago. Apart from his father, Sailesh owes
him when he was young. However, Sampathy wasn’t his success to his father’s colleague Prof M Kamalakar.
treated with any respect. “My father was both hurt and SSIM doesn’t just guide students in matters relating
angry then. It is often said that decisions should not to academics. “There is a mentor available to support
be made on an impulse. But not this time. He instantly them in matters beyond academics as well.” Students
resolved to start a school, run it in a manner much more are engaged in a number of social activities including
efficient where people - visitors or parents or employees adoption of a few government schools - where they
or students - would be given due respect,” said Sailesh. conduct competitions for those children, distribute Dr. Sailesh Sampathy, VP & Dy. Chief Executive
The school, initially, was home to just a handful of essential items and teach them too. institutions, leaving a very huge vacuum between
students, who were fed by my parents so they could stay In a decade’s time SSIM has spread its wings across the existing and required infrastructure to support and
there for days at a stretch and prepare for examinations. globe, through the Centre for International Studies (CIS). sustain education. “At SSIM, students were given access
“We have all worked and lived like an extended family,” This wing boasts of different types of collaborations to a lot of facilities like the library, simulation games,
said the VP. namely student exchange programs, certification training for placements, and virtual workshops. We
Sailesh has been a student of the Siva Sivani Public School programs, immersion programs, dual degree, MBA via started conducting Viva-Voces online, with each panel
for 15 years. “In January, 1992, my father woke me up credit transfer programs, etc. “Our International partners having external, internal experts and students connected
and said, ‘get ready, we are going to your new office in are Harvard Business School Online, Herzing University, virtually. Our end term examinations are proctored,
an hour’. I was puzzled but I followed his instructions. A USA, Synergy University, Moscow, Alliant International dissuading malpractice,” said Sailesh.
couple of hours later, I was taken to a building at Road No University, California, USA, University of Highlands and SSIM prides itself in getting approval from the AICTE for a
14, Banjara Hills, Hyderabad, where my father informed Islands, Scotland, Lincoln University College, Malaysia,” Fellowship Program with 20 students despite the deadly
me that he was starting a new branch of the school in added Sailesh. virus proving to be an impediment in the education
that building and wanted me to help him in setting it up COVID may have led to the closure of public and private sector.
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
THE ANNOUNCEMENT
OF PRIVATISATION OF
TWO PUBLIC SECTOR access to markets and investment in the agriculture sec-
BANKS IS CONSISTENT tor and expanding the definition of small and medium en-
WITH THE NEW terprises to avoid dwarfism stemming from the nature of
taxpayer incentives provided to small firms.
ENTERPRISE POLICY As the public sector banks represent the bellwether
OF THE GOVERNMENT of the socialist era, the announcement of privatisation
of two public sector banks is consistent with the new en-
OF INDIA. THE terprise policy of the government of India. The process,
PROCESS, WHEN when taken to its logical conclusion, will enable better
TAKEN TO ITS LOGICAL access to capital and, thereby, help private investment;
see Economic Survey 2020 chapter on Golden Jubilee of
CONCLUSION, WILL Bank Nationalisation for details. The creation of develop-
ENABLE BETTER ment financial institutions (DFIs) to fund infrastructure
ACCESS TO CAPITAL will significantly complement the infrastructure-driven
growth push. The creation of a bad bank for clean-up of
AND, THEREBY, HELP the banking sector heralds an important step in eliminat-
PRIVATE INVESTMENT ing the overhang created by disastrous crony lending in
the banking sector.
At the same time, these reforms are all focussed on
bolstering the manufacturing sector, which is critical to
create organised sector jobs and thereby increase aggre-
competencies via transfer of cutting-edge technologies, gate demand in the economy. Logistics and power costs
create economies of scale, enhance exports and make In- matter the most for manufacturing firms if they have to
dia an integral part of the global supply chain. Similarly, compete in the global markets. The infrastructure push
technological infrastructure such as the India Stack, UPI in roads and railways is intended to reduce logistics costs.
and the JAM trinity are helping in fostering a better use of Similarly, infrastructure investment and reforms in the
the economy’s resources. power sector are critical to reduce power costs for manu-
As shown in the MER May 2021, evidence of the posi- facturing firms. This focus on aggregate demand through
tive effects of public capex are already being witnessed. job creation in the organised sector will help accelerate
The ratio of Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) to the virtuous cycle as the second-round effects embedded
GDP reached 34.3 per cent in Q4, FY21, among the high- in the virtuous cycle require increase in consumption to
est in over 26 quarters. This created positive effects on spur further private investment.
construction, which grew at 14.5 per cent, private con-
sumption that grew at 2.7 per cent after falling for three 4. IN SUM
consecutive quarters and contact-intensive sectors that The transformative change in India’s economic thinking
contracted by only 2.3 per cent after large declines in pre- will provide an impetus to inclusive economic growth via
vious quarters. CEIC’s seasonally adjusted indicator for job creation in the organised sectors. As economic growth
investment reached a 20-year high in January 2021 while stems from the combination of rate of investment in the
the Purchasing Managers’ Index for Manufacturing had economy (as measured by the ratio of GFCF to GDP) and
continually been in expansionary zone from September productivity (as measured by the incremental capital-
2020 to May 2021. All these point to the start of the virtu- output ratio), the three-pronged approach will enhance
ous cycle with private investment leading the way. both investment and productivity in the economy. The
twin effects would lead to real growth of 6.5-7 per cent
3.3. REFORMS TO in FY23 and acceleration towards 8 per cent in the years
ALLEVIATE SUPPLY-SIDE FRICTIONS ahead as the lagged effects on investment and productivi-
The government post Covid has also implemented poli- ty manifest fully. As the growth push is done by increasing
cies to alleviate several supply-side frictions that inhibit both aggregate demand and aggregate supply in the econ-
the acceleration of the virtuous cycle. These include omy, this growth should be accompanied by the reduction
financial sector reforms to enhance access to capital, of supply-side frictions and thereby not accompanied by
labour market reforms to reduce the frictions due to high inflation. In sum, this decade will be India’s decade
stringent and complex labour laws, farm bills to enhance of inclusive growth.
70
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
DIGITAL
SUPER K.V. KAMATH
CYCLE WILL
FORMER
CHAIRMAN, NEW
DEVELOPMENT
BANK OF BRICS
COUNTRIES
POWER US
AHEAD
THE OTHER GROWTH ENGINES
WILL ALSO FIRE, BUT DIGITAL
TRANSFORMATION WILL CREATE
MOMENTUM TO TAKE GDP GROWTH FROM
7 PER CENT TO 15 PER CENT
I
t’s been 30 years since economic reforms were
initiated. It is the right time for retrospection.
Let us evaluate the three decades of reforms in
three phases. The first part is the 1990s, marked
by struggle and survival and the rise of the knowl-
edge industry. The second part, from 2001 to
2010, is when we reinvented businesses, scaled up
operations and created globally competitive or-
ganisations. This period also saw the start of the
process to build core infrastructure, especially
in areas like ports, roads, telecom and power. The
71
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
third part, from 2011 to 2020, was when the ward. The momentum gave additional income in the hands
country saw a further infrastructure push. of the white-collared workforce, particularly from technol-
There was focus on green and clean energy, ogy areas. A report from a rating agency made a case that
companies were deleveraged, and became every white-collar job creates four-five additional jobs.
This mass of people with increasing incomes and higher
globally competitive in some areas. It also
consumption drove the early part of the 2000 decade. The
saw the start of building up of the digital industry was quick to respond. It de-leveraged.
start-up ecosystem. Let’s study these three In the early part of the 2000 decade, India crossed
phases in greater detail. the $500 per capita income hurdle. I had seen in my days
across South East Asia (during the ’80s and early ’90s) that
THE CHRONOLOGY people’s aspirations rose at that level of per capita income.
I returned to India in the middle of the ’90s. And what That, and the drop in interest rates, created a virtuous envi-
I saw was — I will put it in one word — Challenge. There ronment. That’s when most of the out-of-the-blocks accel-
was a palpable fear in the minds of Indian entrepreneurs. eration happened for the Indian industry.
While the economy was opened up by way of decontrol and Simultaneously, the government’s infrastructure ini-
liberalised FDI, Indian companies were not structured or tiatives like the Golden Quadrilateral and the Pradhan
big enough to meet competition outside or inside. They Mantri Gram Sadak Yojana paid rich dividends by connect-
could not produce the quality required in a globalised ing the India which grows with the India that consumes.
world. In the financial sector, liberalisation was followed That decade was about industry building scale and capac-
by some opening up, including new banking licences for ity, becoming globally competitive, and producing quality
the private sector, but they were all fledgling institutions. products. The enabling infrastructure was set up during
Bankers were fearful about scaling up given high inflation this period.
and interest rates. Commercial banks were mainly work- The third phase, 2010-2020, was where we actively
ing capital providers and development financial institu- thought green and dedicated a much larger amount to in-
tions basically lent long-term money. There was hardly frastructure. Corporate India also started talking the lan-
anybody in retail credit. guage of ‘debt is not good’. Technology costs kept falling at
The milieu remained more or less the same through- a dramatic pace. We became the world leaders in providing
out the decade. But, towards the end of the decade, things data of sufficient bandwidth at lowest possible costs. We
started to change. First, it was the emergence of cheaper have actually made connectivity virtually universal. The
technology. The advent of technology meant that you could building blocks for the future have been built by Indian en-
provide, let us say, branchless banking through ATMs, call trepreneurs. These give us a wonderful springboard to the
centres and a fledgling internet. Retail lending also started next decade and beyond. We have another 25 years of in-
to take place. vestments to come in the infrastructure sector. It is an op-
These developments brought us to the new millen-
nium. But we were still burdened with non-performing as-
sets (NPAs) or restructured assets. The silver lining was the
rise of technology companies. In the ’90s, there was no IT CLEARLY, IN THE
player in the list of top 10-15 companies by market capitali-
sation. By 2000, there were at least three. COMING DECADE, WE
Another interesting thing happened. Even though in- WILL BUILD FOR INDIA
flation remained slightly high, the government and the RBI
managed to get interest rates down by almost half. Ten-
AND BUILD FOR THE
year government bond yields suddenly dropped from 11 per WORLD. WE WILL BUILD
cent to 5.5 per cent. This helped retail lenders, which could IN EDUCATION AND
make their products much more affordable for consumers.
For instance, mortgages with 15 per cent interest rates sud-
MEDICINE. WE WILL
denly got re-priced at 7.5 per cent. The car loan, priced at 18 BUILD IN E-COMMERCE.
per cent earlier, became available at 10 per cent. This gave a WE WILL BUILD
big push to retail lending, which in turn generated momen-
tum for manufacturing companies. IN FINTECH AND
These developments started pushing the economy for- DIGITECH
72 Business Today 5 September 2021
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
portunity to look at green power, green infrastructure, etc. mental growth will be driven by a digital super cycle.
Initially, we thought we were laggards in a lot of things We often use the word ‘unicorns’. But we need to look
and then we leapfrogged. Again, we are lagging a bit in in- at the entire ecosystem of these companies, from start-ups
frastructure, and we will leapfrog. Today, we actually have to the ones that have scaled up. Some of them will be huge
the unique ability to reap the ‘fruits of waiting’ because we successes, while some may fail, but the ecosystem is very
can get things done at probably the lowest possible cost and critical.
not be burdened with early-stage cost structures. We also In financial services, the next five years are going to be
have matured costs where we can leapfrog very easily. For very interesting. The time to market for these new players
example, we now hear of companies talking about solar is very short. So is the time to scale up. The financial sector
harnessing devices at a fraction of the cost a few years ago. incumbents will feel the pressure very quickly unless they
We will probably be the lowest cost providers of electric reinvent themselves completely.
power in the years to come. When we look at the start-up ecosystem, we need to
The other favourable development is de-leveraging. If ask: do we have the core building blocks of the ecosystem?
one looks at the top 100 companies on NSE or BSE, almost First is the connectivity and, more importantly, affordable
all of them are de-leveraged. The top 50 companies for connectivity, which is certainly available. Is it ubiquitous
sure. There is something deeper here. In the past, we could and available to everyone at the same cost? The second is
not afford what we borrowed. Today, we need not borrow. IT applications. What we are seeing today are only a few fi-
Why? The Indian companies are generating free cash flows nancial services applications, but I believe that this can be
of the order that is enough to meet their brownfield needs, applied widely starting with education, medicine, e-com-
for sure, and in some cases even the greenfield require- merce, distribution, and so on. Third, as you go along, you
ments. In any case, the scale has been built. You can expand will see a marriage of virtual and physical because there is a
your existing facility in a brownfield mode at a fraction of physical distribution piece in e-commerce which provides
the cost using your own money and maybe at an incredible huge employment.
speed compared to 20 years ago when projects used to take The fourth dimension is the ability to build something
more than five years to complete. Today, hardly any project for the world. Today, software built in India can be used
takes more than a year. globally. Let me mention two pieces of software we used in
The manufacturing world has eked out significant pro- the New Development Bank. We did a Google search for the
ductivity gains. They were forced to work with fewer peo- lowest cost providers of software services and found cloud
ple. Secondly, they were forced to adopt newer processes, software suite Zoho and Kissflow for workflow manage-
which harnessed the technology. I would think that the In- ment. We never knew these companies were from India.
dian industry has managed anywhere between 15 per cent This was about six years back. In the last six years, many
and 25 per cent productivity gains, which happens once in a more such companies must have mushroomed in India. I
lifetime of an industry. They are at the forefront of process think this trend will only accelerate.
improvement. Clearly, in the coming decade, we will build for India
Another post-pandemic revelation is that the people and build for the world. We will build in education and med-
who are working side by side on the shop floor appear to icine. We will build in e-commerce. We will build in fintech
be less impacted than the white-collar industry which and digitech.
worked, to a large extent, from home. My anecdotal pieces In this digitisation drive, there is one question that is
of evidence suggest that the processes set up by blue-collar often asked. How to create employment for the millions of
enterprises are far more robust than the processes followed people that will join the workforce? The employment will
by white-collar enterprises. In the last one-and-a-half certainly come from the digital super cycle. This is akin to
years, they have done a marvellous job. the white-collar jobs in the 2000 decade. In the 2021 de-
cade, we will see employees and partners of these platforms
THE DIGITAL JOURNEY creating new job opportunities. Each job in these areas, just
Interestingly, while infrastructure and manufacturing will like in the IT sector earlier, will create four-five opportuni-
drive us into the next decade, my belief is that the biggest ties of various sorts.
driver is going to be digital transformation or the ‘digital In conclusion, I think if we can marshal the power of the
super cycle’. The other growth engines will also fire, but the digital super cycle appropriately and keep pushing on infra-
digital transformation will create momentum to provide structure and doing all the things that need to be done, we
GDP growth going up to 15 per cent from 7 per cent. I would could unlock India’s higher growth potential. The next 25
like to believe that India can grow at 15 per cent. The incre- years is clearly a period of big opportunity for us.
S
ameer Penakalapati, while working as a software with the candidates and judge better,” said Sameer. best talents are always in demand and that is one of
programmer, got thinking about how a project’s Ceipal’s forte lies in ensuring a diverse workforce setup. Ceipal’s biggest challenges. “You have to map the
success or failure depends on the team working on This term ‘diverse workforce’ has a slightly different organisation’s goals with the talent goals and the
it. Welcome to ‘talent acquisition’! “I then realised that meaning for different parts of the world, stressed individual’s goals. This keeps changing and you need to
building teams and talent is something I want to pursue,” Sameer. In India, diversity is defined by gender balance keep updating this. And that is quite a challenge. That
said Sameer, who founded Ceipal in 2014. in an organisation, added Ceipal’s founder and CEO. In apart, access to capital is another big challenge,” said the
When there is a job, how do you find the right fit? How the western world, there is ethnic parity to be considered founder/CEO.
do you help a client manage the full time equivalents too, he added. “In India, Ceipal helps build a corporate Ceipal Connect is an event witnessed regularly through
(FTEs), which measures the workload of an employee? All organisation with equal number of men and women all these years. In one of the recent events, Ceipal spoke
you need is a solution powered by artificial intelligence. being recruited. We track the data through various of expanding with new sessions focused on contingent
“Searching, sourcing and engaging with the candidates categories - from departments, employees, jobs, etc. staffing, direct sourcing, total talent management, and
can be done in an automated manner saving you We give insights based on this data. How do we bring more for suppliers and buyers alike. “There is spectacular
a tremendous amount of time. Various advanced qualified talents to fill the gap? That’s where we come in,” growth in the staffing industry, and the need for talent
technologies today come with filters narrowing down the explained Sameer. today is ever-growing. Companies are looking to augment
list to top 5 or top 10 matches,” said Sameer. Ceipal has been constantly innovating to remain their projects and get it delivered faster through their
The question now is can Ceipal’s solution overpower one of the leading companies in global HR service temp workforce. So, there’s huge demand for contingent
human judgement. “Well, this acquisition of talent based delivery software. Actively engaging with customers, staffing,” said Sameer.
on the client’s need is done in a fraction of a minute. We understanding their business needs, and enhancing our COVID pandemic has created a huge gap between the
see 50-100 candidates applying for a job. The human eye platform have been the three key elements that have talent present in the market and the skills required by
then will have to peruse the applications of each of those. driven the organisation ahead, said Sameer. the organisation. Upskilling or changing one’s skill set is
And if there are more than 2 vacancies, then it’s time Being market leaders, Ceipal sure knows how to hire the post-pandemic trend now, Sameer said, adding that
consuming. You need a refined list so you can engage the best talent for its own growth. However, the talent is indeed gold.
CEIPAL Software Pvt. Ltd. Prashanthi Towers, 3rd floor 8-2-293/82/564, A-43 Road No: 92, Jubilee Hills, Hyderabad - 500 033. Email: contact@ceipal.com
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
LOW-COST
HOUSING KEKI MISTRY
VICE CHAIRMAN &
TO DRIVE
CEO, HDFC LTD
GROWTH
THERE WILL BE A STRUCTURAL
LONG-TERM DEMAND FOR
HOUSING AND, THEREFORE, HOUSING
FINANCE IN INDIA
76
ILLUSTRATIONS BY ANIRBAN GHOSH
As regards housing loans, there was a general con- with micro containment zones, and not as strict as last
sensus that the recovery would be gradual, but it was year, with many sectors allowed to operate. If last Sep-
much faster than anticipated. At HDFC, our year-to- tember to March is any indication, then one can be rea-
date retail disbursements not only continued to improve sonably confident that the demand for housing is more
month-on -month, but more importantly, from Septem- buoyant than ever. With the vaccination drive gathering
ber onwards, there was consistent growth compared pace, I can only see an upward momentum for the hous-
to the same month in the previous year. In fact, in the ing sector.
March quarter, we saw 60 per cent growth in individual Within the housing and real estate sector, it is af-
disbursements. I cannot remember a full quarter of such fordable housing which has been the driving force. The
sharp growth in HDFC’s history. salaried and the middle-class are capitalising on the op-
Whilst recurring waves may cause a momentary portunities which are being offered. Indeed, it is a ‘Gold-
pause in offtake of housing loans, the effect will always ilocks Zone’ for the customer as the confluence of low
be significantly less severe than during the first wave. interest rates (I really don’t think interest rates in India
Importantly, the recent lockdowns have been localised, are likely get lower than this), soft or stable property
77
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
1 INHERENT DEMAND
First and foremost, India has a huge hous-
ing shortage. There is a tremendous poten-
tial for growth as the penetration level of
mortgages in India is extremely low com-
pared to other countries. The mortgage to
GDP ratio in India is only 11 per cent com-
pared to peer countries’ 20-30 per cent or
advanced countries’ 60 per cent.
Housing is a basic necessity and not a
luxury. Most middle-income people who
take loans to buy a house are genuine end-
users and intend to stay in the house that
they purchase.
Data over the years has clearly shown
that housing loans have much lower de-
faults and, consequently, a better credit
risk profile compared to other personal
loans. Also, demand for housing has proved
to be relatively inelastic even in a higher in-
terest rate environment or during a tempo-
rary slowdown in the economy.
THE AUTHORITIES
COULD REVIEW 2 FAVOURABLE DEMOGRAPHICS
Two thirds of India’s population is below 35
PROCESSES FOR years of age and unlike the west, in India,
MASTER PLANNING people do not buy a home when they are in
AND PROVIDE FOR their 20s. The average age of a first-time home buyer in
India is about 39 years. And with two-thirds of the popu-
UPWARD INCREASES IN lation below 35, what this means is that two-thirds of the
FSI COMMENSURATE population has not even contemplated buying a house yet.
WITH INVESTMENT IN However, over the next 5, 10, 15 years, all these
younger people will get to an age where they will buy a
INFRASTRUCTURE house. Therefore, in my view, there will be a structural
long-term demand for housing and, therefore, housing
finance in India.
prices and continued fiscal benefits and subsidies makes
this the ideal period for homebuyers. The pandemic has 3 IMPROVED AFFORDABILITY
made people recognise the need for additional space at Government support and rising incomes have contrib-
home. They are shifting to larger homes. uted to improved affordability. As per our estimates, this
Further, certain states have provided time-bound is arguably the best period in terms of housing afford-
relief. For example, Maharashtra had lowered the stamp ability in over two and a half decades.
duty from 5 per cent to 2 per cent for properties regis- Around 25 years ago, it would have taken 22 times a
82
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
WE WILL
GET MANISH
SABHARWAL
EXECUTIVE VICE
CHAIRMAN,
MUCH
TEAMLEASE
SERVICES
MORE
OUT OF
WORK
THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC HAS BECOME
THE CATALYST FOR A RADICAL RISE IN
PRODUCTIVITY OF INDIA’S CITIES, FIRMS
AND PEOPLE IN THE NEXT FEW DECADES
83
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
T
will soon cross full-time students, our children will have
55-year-long careers relative to our parents’ 35 years, and
soft skills will matter more than hard skills.
The global window has multiple components. Capital
markets — a global capital glut that has made fixed income
no income (25 per cent of the world’s bonds trading at zero
or negative interest rates) means investors will overvalue
growth; US policymakers’ short-termism — the Federal
Reserve’s balance sheet is exploding and it is shifting the
goalpost on monetary policy as it manages a $3 trillion fis-
cal deficit. China — its credit to GDP is an unsustainable
300 per cent, many of its big companies are animals bred in
captivity that will not survive in the jungle, and its domestic
consumption is insufficient to act as a substitute for global
trade. Digitisation supercycle — the Covid-mandated
global digital literacy programme has led to the demand
To work in a post-Covid world is what psy- for software exploding and is expected to drive IT employ-
chologist Robin Hogarth called a wicked ment from 4 million to 10 million.
learning environment, one where the rules But the most important window is our policy window,
keep changing, players keep changing, pat- especially since the Covid-19 crisis has weakened resis-
tance to long-overdue reforms.
terns and relationships keep changing, goals
This has interesting implications for work. Vertical or-
keep changing and feedback is often inaccu- ganisations need to flatten so that information and insights
rate or delayed. travel faster and without distortion. Fixed costs need varia-
Hogarth contrasted this with a kind learning environ- bilisation because business outcomes are no longer guaran-
ment where the rules are fixed, players are known, goals are teed, forecasting has become difficult, and resilience mat-
predetermined, patterns and relationships are predictable ters as much as performance. Organisational structures
and feedback is often timely and accurate. I make the case must reflect goals and strategy rather than drawing circles
that the Covid-19 pandemic is a tragedy but is also setting around employees. Middle management pruning must
off a super-cycle of a radical rise in the productivity of In- be designed to convert a pyramid into an Eiffel tower. The
dian cities and firms as well as their people. increasing effectiveness of online learning means that the
The pandemic has accelerated many opportunities biggest costs for corporate learning, travel and stay, are no
for India — geopolitical, structural, global and regulatory. longer excuses for the lack of a vibrant learning ecosystem.
Our geopolitical opportunity arises from the simultane- Performance management systems need higher frequency
ous shift of global economic gravity to Asia and the “China and more differentiated outcomes. Expect higher flexibil-
fatigue” forcing the reconfiguration of supply chains from ity in working from home, some blunting of business travel,
just-in-time to just-in-case. a spike in women’s participation in the labour force as well
The structural opportunity has three components, as a higher acceptance of online meetings and paperless
starting with the ‘World of Work.’ Over the last 50 years, workflows. But the notion that offices are dead may be pre-
the life expectancy of a Fortune 500 company has shrunk mature. About 90 per cent of India’s labour force cannot
from 64 years to 14, employment has shifted from a lifetime work from home simply because their work has a manual
contract to a taxicab relationship, and there is capitalism component.
without capital, where intangible assets matter more than India’s World of Work in the next few decades will be
physical assets. The second component is the ‘World of Or- very different because we finally agree that our problem is
ganisations,’ where employers staff themselves in concen- not jobs but productivity. These changes will manifest in
tric circles, with organisation structures — that became many ways.
cylinders instead of pyramids — now becoming Eiffel tow-
ers; where there is more workforce diversity and more vari- More formalised: India’s biggest productivity challenge
abilisation of fixed costs. The last component is the ‘World arises from its 63 million enterprises translating to only
of Education.’ Knowing is useless in a world where Google 22,500 companies with a paid-up capital of more than `10
knows everything. Employed students in higher education crore. As an entrepreneur, I have learned that we can create
W
e were speaking about supply side incentives and demand
side incentives, bringing out to the world the lucrative
offers and incentives it holds for battery manufacturers,
EV manufactures and for those who would buy and use an electric
vehicle. This is probably the most comprehensively researched
and all-encompassing policy for electric vehicles in the country
put together after consultations with all stake holders in the sector.
While it is true that the incentives are highly lucrative and nudge
us to go for an EV, in my mind the question still looms large- “do we
need incentives to survive on the planet?”
Most of Western Europe has faced a heat wave earlier this summer
and now is facing flash floods that have killed hundreds. Germany
and Belgium are under a deluge, while parts of London faced a
thunderstorm on its hottest day of the year, more so, received over
a month’s rainfall in a day. China too, has faced massive floods,
while on the other hand, the USA is facing forest fires and Russia’s
permafrost is melting.
While I prefer not to paint a doomsday scenario, as we work each
day in the Department of Environment and Climate Change on
building hope for our planet, the fact is that climate change is
here- unseasonal rainfall, hailstorm, advancing of seasons and the
extremity of all kinds of weather without a pattern.
Observing this change in our climate closely and seeing the hurdles
CALLING
CAPITAL
CHANGES IN THE EASE OF DOING
BUSINESS CAN GIVE A PUSH TO START-
UPS AND REV UP GROWTH ENGINES
T
he last eighteen months have been a pecu-
liar time for Indian financial markets and its
participants. We saw one of the most serious
market corrections during this period followed
by a strong unidirectional bull run. The way the
markets have moved since the crash of March
2020 has only widened the gap between market
NIKHIL KAMATH
conditions and the broader economy. This is CO-FOUNDER,
not an encouraging sight and is naturally unset- ZERODHA AND
tling for investors and traders. TRUE BEACON
89
ILLUSTRATION BY ANIRBAN GHOSH
Ever since the first wave of the pandemic, India has upside has a direct correlation with the number of demat
seen heavy addition in the number of retail market par- account registrations.
ticipants. In India, less than 5 per cent of the population While equity markets have been optimistic lately, In-
is directly or indirectly exposed to financial markets. dia’s economic condition has been deteriorating on mul-
However, this seems to be changing progressively. Ac- tiple fronts. Even before we stepped into the pandemic,
cording to a State Bank of India (SBI) report, the number our economy was facing issues around inflation and bal-
of individual investors in India grew almost 14 million in ance of trade. The Covid-19 pandemic accentuated some
the FY21. The sustainability of the trend needs to be ex- of these and industrial productivity took a severe hit.
amined because extreme volatility might push a majority Many things have changed due to the pandemic. One
of retail participants on the sidelines as there is a sense of aspect that has changed completely is trade and com-
income beyond disposable limits being deployed (in the merce between nations. The crisis has made economies,
Sanjiv Puri ,
stock market). Also, empirical data suggests that market Chairman
both developed and developing, realise and MD, ITC
the importance of
92
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
NITIN BANSAL
MANAGING
DIRECTOR, INDIA
HEAD-NETWORKS,
MARKET AREA
SOUTH EAST ASIA,
OCEANIA AND
INDIA,ERICSSON
5G: LET
THE
CHANGE
BEGIN
5G WILL SERVE AS THE CRITICAL
INFRASTRUCTURE TO TRANSFORM
CONSUMER EXPERIENCES AND KICKSTART
THE FOURTH INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION
93
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
smart manufacturing, smart cities, self-driving cars and around the world, in various industries. As an example
advanced healthcare applications, just to name a few. from the mining sector, Sweden’s Telia will build and man-
Digitisation is happening across all industries and pri- age a dedicated 5G-ready mobile network for Boliden at Ai-
vate as well as enterprise networks are examples of areas tik, the world’s most efficient open-pit copper mine. Over
already leveraging cellular and 5G technologies. This will in the UK, BT is providing wireless connectivity for Belfast
open up new material revenue opportunities for telecom Harbor, a major maritime hub in Northern Ireland.
service providers. The more progressive ones are already In the manufacturing segment, Telefónica, Ericsson
starting to experiment and address these opportunities us- and Mercedes-Benz are building the world’s first 5G mobile
ing 4G, keeping in mind the opportunities that 5G will offer. network for automobile production at “Factory 56” in Sin-
For some service providers, fixed wireless access will delfingen, Germany. Mercedes-Benz wanted flexible, high
be a key growth opportunity to address a new market or un- performance, connected infrastructure to replace its tradi-
derserved customers. Our economic study shows that the tional assembly line with automated driverless transport
payback time for investments is less than two years when systems. So, it picked Ericsson’s Private Network solution,
connecting underserved suburban households using ex- with 5G radio dots for high performance indoors.
isting mobile wireless networks. Fixed wireless access has The expected results include optimised existing pro-
begun in North America, but we see it gaining momentum duction processes through data linking or product tracking
in other parts of the world as well. on the assembly line as well as keeping sensitive production
We foresee 5G continuing to gain strong momentum data on-premise. Another aim is to improve the end-to-end
over the next few years, led by North America, where 84 per networking across the entire value-add chain, from devel-
cent will have a 5G subscription by 2026. More than half of opment and design to suppliers, production and customers.
north-east Asia, the Gulf countries and western Europe “Factory 56” will be the blueprint for all future vehicle as-
and 26 per cent of India will have subscriptions by 2026. sembly facilities around the world.
The World Economic Forum (WEF) has recognised Er-
SMART ENTERPRISES icsson’s 5G Smart Factory in Lewisville, Texas, as a global
The enterprise opportunity for 5G is a bigger potential rev- front-runner in the Fourth Industrial Revolution. The WEF
enue stream for telecom service providers than the con- awarded the factory with its prestigious “Global Light-
sumer opportunity. This market could be worth up to $700 house” designation in recognition of Ericsson’s deploy-
billion by 2030, according to Ericsson’s “5G for business: a ment of next-generation technology, including connected
2030 market compass” report. For India specifically, there robots, at the factory as well as the subsequent impact.
is a $17 billion opportunity for those in manufacturing, These included an impressive 120 per cent improve-
healthcare and public safety, energy and utilities, media ment in the output per employee and a 65 per cent drop in
and entertainment, and automotive sectors, among others. manual material handling at the factory when compared to
Zooming in on the India opportunity shows 5G will help a similar site without automation and 4IR enhancements.
service providers achieve incremental revenue growth of 48 In fact, nearly all the initial training at the factory, which
per cent. Many 5G applications can transform an industry. opened in 2019, was done with almost no face-to-face inter-
The top five most relevant ones are enhanced video ser- action and, instead, we used VR to connect with colleagues
vices, real-time automation, monitoring and tracking, con- in our other smart factory 8,000 km away in Tallinn.
nected vehicles, as well as hazard and maintenance sensing. These and numerous existing and futuristic 5G use-
In fact, there are many implementations already today cases can usher a paradigm shift across enterprises, helping
them become more efficient, future-ready and sustainable.
The possibilities that IoT, 4G and 5G create for enterprises
will not only fast-track enterprises meeting the demands
ZOOMING IN ON THE of the new world but, more importantly, contribute to the
INDIA OPPORTUNITY socio-economic development of India.
SHOWS 5G WILL HELP Given the Indian government’s focus on ‘Digital India’,
I see a huge opportunity for 5G in India. 5G must be consid-
SERVICE PROVIDERS ered a critical part of national infrastructure, every bit as vi-
ACHIEVE INCREMENTAL tal as trains and roads. With the availability of spectrum for
5G trials and Indian operators preparing to introduce the
REVENUE GROWTH OF technology, I believe Ericsson has a role to play in helping
48 PER CENT Indian operators move seamlessly from 4G to 5G.
National Institute of
Fashion Technology
(NIFT)
N
ational Institute of Fashion Technology (NIFT)
is a leader in fashion education, integrating
knowledge, academic freedom, and creative India Novel Memorial Wall Painting organized by the country . The Project India Size – is taken on to
thinking. NIFT, set up in 1986 under the aegis of Swedish Embassy, New Zealand Runway organized by develop size charts for Indian body types considering
Ministry of Textiles, Government of India, is an New Zealand Embassy, Red Dot Award,Wuhan the diversity, A Knowledge Portal for Textiles, Crafts &
autonomous statutory body governed by the NIFT International Competition, China, World of Wearable Clothing to preserve and promote Indian textiles and
Act 2006. Art (WOW) Competition. crafts ethnicity and geographic diversity. VisioNxt is
Currently, NIFT is ranked at 9th position in fashion The Institute also attracts international students trend insight and Fashion Forcasting lab to forecast
institutes around the world. Most revered fashion who come and experience its academic and cultural India’s fashion trends. Textile and Craft repository is
designers and top industry professionals in fashion richness. NIFT faculty is the strategic enabler in being developed by NIFT as aknowledge portal for
world proudly call NIFT their alma mater. To meet transforming the vision of the Institute into reality. textiles, crafts & clothing to preserve and promote
the new requirements of the ever-changing Indian textiles and crafts. The other prime projects
fashion industry NIFT-Industry-Academia interfaces being undertaken by NIFT are setting up Design
throughout the course provide a cutting-edge
NIFT through its vision and Resource Centres at Weavers Service Centres for
learning experience to the students. conviction plays a pivotal role DC (Handlooms), Development of Digital Platform
The academic strategy of NIFT embraces a global in shaping the future of Textile for Craft Based Enterprises project for Ministry of
approach. NIFT has strategic agreements and Electronics & Information Technology (Meity). NIFT
partnerships with about 26 leading international Industry in India through its shall be offering courses in the field of Technical
fashion institutes & organisations that share the academic practices encompassing Textiles also.
same academic direction, integrating NIFT students As leading agents of change, over 25,500 NIFT alumni
with the global mainstream of fashion. NIFT
knowledge, skill, and practical are working with the industry in key decision making
provides an excellent opportunity to its students to applications “ positions and are instrumental in shaping the future
experience ‘study abroad’ options through exchange Shantmanu, Director General of fashion business. NIFT alumni are also actively
programmes. NIFT students at all campuses are taking their knowledge to the grassroot levels,
encouraged to participate in international events Trained at some of the leading fashion institutes working towards enhancement of the craft pockets
and competitions. The students have participated in of international repute, the faculty brings to the of the country.
several prestigious international competitions such as classroom professional capabilities, wide exposure During the current pandemic time NIFT took
Wool Mark, Design competition organized by Beijing and years of hands-on industry experience. proactive steps to transact its curriculum completely
Institute of Fashion Technology (BIFT), Beijing, In recent times NIFT has become synonymous in the through online mode using various platforms. Over
Republic of China, Fashion Week 2017 Paris, Sweden field of fashion by taking up mammoth projects for 100 webinars have been conducted in last few
months, including several with international experts.
The Examination and evaluation were
conducted through online platforms. The
PhD defence were conducted online.
P
laying a momentous role in India’s economy, approach to make handicrafts sector viable. At themselves by using their
the handicrafts sector provides employment the same time, CHCDS has done well to develop identity cards issued
to a vast segment of craftspersons in rural & artisans’ concentrated areas through mega clusters by the office of
semi urban areas and generates substantial foreign and special projects across the country. These areas DC (Handicrafts),
exchange by way of exports for the country, while have turned out to be highly productive centres for and field officials
preserving its cultural heritage. The sector supports products, increase in production of cluster artisians, have been nominated to facilitate artisans to register
not only the existing set of millions of artisans spread thereby substantially contributing to the export of on Gel portal. Training has also been imparted to
over the length & breadth of the country, but also handicrafts. these officials by GeM team to assist artisans.
the increasingly large number of new entrants in the With the objective to maximize the potential of E-Commerce Platform
crafts activity. The significance of handicrafts also handicrafts, DC (Handicrafts) has taken up a number To provide a direct marketing platform to artisans/
lies in the use of environment-friendly zero-waste of other initiatives, which are as follows: weavers, the Ministry of Textiles is developing
practices in their production. Relating Textiles to Tourism an e-commerce platform through Digital India
But the sector has also its share of problems To achieve simultaneous promotion of crafts and Corporation, Ministry of Electronics and Information
such as low capital, inadequate exposure to new tourism, Crafts Tourism Villages have been developed Technology. In the first phase, 100 handicrafts
technologies, and absence of market intelligence where artisans live and work with immense clusters are being selected throughout the country
faced by artisans. Removing all such bottlenecks, the opportunity to sell products thereby ensuring for registration and uploading of photographs of their
Ministry of Textiles has catapulted the sector to a fast their livelihoods. The villages comprise areas that products on e-this commerce portal with the help of
trajectory of product development, domestic sales are surrounded and connected by major tourist Common Service Centres (CSCs). The clusters will be
and exports. It has managed to reposition handicrafts destinations/circuit and have a traditional art and mapped with nearby CSC for providing handholding
through aggregation, financial support and market craft heritage that attracts tourists and design support to artisans.
access, in response to PM Modi’s clarion call for ‘Local innovators. All this helps in sales of their handicrafts Thus, by harnessing a wide range of creative skills of
Goes Global: Make in India for the World’. products at work place. artisans in the country, DC (Handicrafts) aims to make
In sync with the priorities and thrust of Creation of Producer Companies this sector a multi-billion-dollar marketplace with
the Ministry of Textiles, the office of The Ministry has set up a network of producer the right support and business environment. The
Development Commissioner (DC) companies supported by access to finance and organisation aims to promote India’s craft heritage,
-Handicrafts has implemented various markets. So far, 56 producer companies have replete with awesome regional diversity, which
schemes for the further growth of been formed throughout the country to bring in presents the country with a distinct edge in global
handicrafts sector under National professionalisation of artisian in the handicrafts markets.
Handicrafts Development sector.
Programme (NHDP) and Providing Direct Market Access to Weavers/
Comprehensive Handicrafts Cluster Artisans
Development Scheme (CHCDS). Government e-Market Place (GeM) has initiated a
The NHDP has adopted a holistic, process to onboarding weavers/artisans to make
pro-active, technology driven them sell their products directly to the ministries/
and sustainable development government departments. Artisan may register DEVELOPMENT COMMISSIONER (HANDICRAFTS)
Ministry of Textiles, Government Of India
FOCUS
TEXTILES
EPCH
Nurturing Handicrafts
Fostering Growth
T
he Export Promotion Council for Handicrafts exporters in the country. Moving forward, keeping in instance, the normal metallic vases being made in
(EPCH), established in the year 1986-87, has view the Sustainability Development Goals (SDGs) of Moradabad has now been converted into beautiful
been making a seminal contribution in the United Nations’, the VRIKSH standards have also been lamp and lighting items.
promotion of the export potential of handicrafts. mapped with the SDGs. In order to bridge the skill gap in the Handicrafts
Significantly, the Council has created necessary Over the last 10 years, the EPCH has been keeping and Carpet Sector Handicrafts & Carpet Sector Skill
infrastructure as well as marketing and information a close tab on product and design development Council (HCSSC) was set up to provide National
facilities, which are availed by exporters of handicrafts. specifically for overseas markets considering the Occupational Standards based skilling in the country.
The Council has 10 offices all across the country with evolving tastes and preferences of the customers. Centre for Handicrafts Exports Management Studies
head office at New Delhi and closely working in craft It has been helping the entrepreneurs use modern (CHEMS) was launched to ensure trained manpower
clusters like Jaipur, Jodhpur, Moradabad, Narsapur, design tools, production techniques and digital and entrepreneurs for the handicrafts sector and
Saharanpur and North East region to name a few. marketing operations, driving growth in the sector. to facilitate development of new products and new
Further, the entrepreneurs have been exposed to designs.
GROWING SIZE OF THE HANDICRAFTS INDUSTRY
various training and capacity building programmes Beating the pandemic blues, the council organised
The exports of handicrafts for April-March of the
run by the council in the areas of compliance, export the first virtual international B2B fair in June 2020
financial year 2020-21 stood at Rs 25679 crore
procedures, product development, packaging etc. and since then 10 virtual events including 6 virtual
registering a marginal growth of 1.62 % the same
The registered exporters with the council have exhibitions and 4 Buyer Seller Meets have been
period in the preceding year (2019-20). Over the
increased from 6000 in 2010-11 to over 10,000 in organised during these Covid times. The exports of
last ten years, the exports of handicrafts has grown
2020-21 over the last decade. handicrafts registered a growth of around 1.62%
at a Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 8%
EPCH was instrumental in launching Indian in 2020-21. It is important to note that in the first
from Rs. 12,975 crore in 2010-11 to Rs 25,679 crore
Handicrafts & Gifts Fair now known as IHGF Delhi six months of 2021 there was a negative growth
in 2020-21.
Fair in 1994 for foreign buyers which today (more of (-) 23%, however the sector bounced back and
HELPING THE SECTOR MEET GLOBAL STANDARDS than 5 editions down the line) is the world’s largest registered a growth of 26% in the next six months.
The wooden handicrafts sector faced existential crises congregation of handicrafts exporters under one roof The EPCH is harnessing the growth potential in
in 2013 as due diligence certification for legality of certified by Limca Book of Records organised at India’s exports of handicrafts and the sector may grow
wood used in production of wooden handicrafts was State of the art exhibition complex i.e. India Expo between 15 to 20% in the next five years to double
sought by European Union. The council proposed Centre & Mart at Greater Noida. the exports from the current level of Rs 25,000 crore
creation of the indigenous standards i.e. VRIKSH – The EPCH has been helping exporters meet global to cross Rs 50,000 crore.
Indian Timber Legality Assessment and Verification benchmarks in terms of quality and designs retaining
Scheme which is now recognised in 183 CITES the inherent strength of handicrafts which depicts
signatory countries and has over 600 VRIKSH certified Indian designs, colours, motifs and patterns. For
FOCUS
TEXTILES
H
andloom Export Promotion in around 20 international events across the globe every year. Besides, it also
Council known as HEPC under organises Reverse Buyer Seller Meets in India inviting Buyers from all over the
the aegis of Development world.
Commissioner for Handlooms, Due to the prevailing travel restrictions induced by the Covid-19 pandemic, many
Ministry of Textiles, Government physical fairs around the world are either getting cancelled or being postponed
of India was constituted in the to next edition. In order to overcome this situation, HEPC has been organising
year 1965 to promote export of virtual events focussing different market regions. During 2021, HEPC has
handloom products from India. organised 12 virtual events targeting trade visitors of Sweden, Denmark, Italy,
Presently HEPC has about 1500 France, Spain, Japan, USA, Canada, Australia & New Zealand and South America.
member exporters spread across the HEPC has been taking every possible steps to provide market access opportunities
country. The main objective of HEPC is to to its member exporters through its virtual and physical events. Of which the
support Handloom exporters, mainly assisting following events assume significance since it is organised coinciding on National
and providing required support and guidance to the exporters for trade Handloom Day. Coinciding National Handloom Day, Handloom Export Promotion
promotion and international marketing. HEPC has its head office at Chennai and Council under the Ministry of Textiles, Govt. of India organised an exhibition titled
regional office at New Delhi. HEPC has opened a liaison office at Karur, Panipat “Celebrating MyHandloomMyPride on National Handloom Day 2021” at Moti
and help desk for North East at Guwahati to extend handholding support to NER Bagh Club House, New Delhi. The event has the participation of 22 exhibitors
and has started functioning from the campus of IIHT/ WSC Guwahati. comprising of Padmashree Awardees, National Awardees, Cooperatives, Producer
The major handloom export centres are Karur, Panipat, Varanasi, Kannur, etc. Companies andWeaver Entrepreneurs
The main product categories and products exported are Home Textiles (including
bed linen, table linen, toilet and kitchen linen, towels, curtains, upholstery, etc.), Virtual ITSF
Floor coverings (including rugs, dhurries, floor mats, bath mats, etc.), Clothing HEPC has also organised an exclusive virtual event to show case Traditional
accessories (stoles, scarves, etc) and fabric (sarees, terry towels, fashion fabrics). Textiles of India coinciding with the National Handloom Day- August 7th.
Handloom product exports are actively happening and has been hovering around This event is held for 7 days (7-13, August 2021) and has the participation of
350 MUS$ during last 5 years with an exception during 2019-20 & 2020-21, 57 exclusive handwoven manufacturers / exporters/ cooperatives/ National
wherein, the exports declined to 315.62 MUS$ and 22.65 MUS$ respectively awardees / Clusters/ India Handloom Brand (IHB) holders from all over India.
due to the COVID-19 pandemic issues. India is the only country in the global The event is organised with the grant from O/o. Development Commissioner
trade having a sizeable quantum of exports of handwoven products despite (Handlooms), Ministry of Textiles, Govt. of India
severe competition not only from the competing countries but also from Around 220 trade visitors from our neighbouring Asian Countries such as
mechanised sector within the country. Bangladesh, Malaysia, Singapore, Sri Lanka, Nepal, Bhutan and
Myanmar have registered for attending the virtual event. The
Activities of HEPC response from the exhibitors and the international visitors are
Towards the object of the Council, HEPC has, with the highly encouraging and this will certainly open the doors
support of the Development Commissioner for Handlooms, for Handloom fabric manufactures to International market
initiated many new activities such as giving awards to the and help in increasing the export of handwoven products to
top most exporters, bringing out various colour catalogues these countries
synchronizing the Pantone numbers to guide the exporters in HEPC takes all possible initiatives and strives to achieve the
following the colour and trend patterns prevailing in overseas export target set by the Hon’ble Prime Minister, and we will
markets, bringing out various publications under grant from the continue to provide our support to all handloom manufacturers
ministry for the benefit of handloom industry. HEPC in its endeavour to bring our product from Local to Global and “My Handloom My Pride”
to promote export of handwoven products from India organises participation awareness to make it happen in the Indian and International Market.
HARYANA
Creates Eco-System for
Growth of MSMEs
R iding the crest of fast-paced economic growth, Haryana has emerged as an economic power house. Out to tap
the potential of Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) in employment generation, economic revival and
boosting exports, the Haryana Government, led by the Chief Minister, Sh. Manohar Lal, has donned the mantle of a
IDFLOLWDWRUSURPRWHUDGYLVRUDQGÀQDQFHUWRHQVXUHWKHLUKROLVWLFJURZWK
All stops have been pulled to handhold the existing MSMEs, create new units, enhance their competitiveness,
and integrate their products with domestic as well as international supply chains to create a wider market for them.
MSMEs constitute the cornerstone of Haryana’s policy on industrial development. A robust policy framework, backed
by developmental interventions and setting up of dedicated directorate, has succeeded in creating an eco-system
conducive to their creation, growth and success.
The visionary guidance of the Prime Minister, Sh. Narendra Modi, and able leadership of the Chief Minister has
enabled the state to pursue policies to ensure all-round economic development with effective implementation at the
ground level. Translating the vision of the Chief Minister to have a dedicated institution providing across-the-board and
all-level facilitation to the MSMEs, the State Government has set up a Directorate of MSME.
110
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
THE NEXT
CHAPTER RITESH
AGARWAL
FOUNDER &
IN THE
GROUP CEO, OYO
START-UP
GROWTH
STORY
I
enabler for India to become a $5-trillion economy, aided
by technology-fuelled productivity. For founders, every
customer onboarded, every new user signed up during the
pandemic has taught us that the product and value propo-
sition always comes first, everything else later.
The key hurdle faced by start-ups earlier was to move a
large customer base online. However, this barrier has con-
siderably reduced in the past year as people stayed home
and ramped up their usage of online platforms. The re-
cord level of investments in the ecosystem is a testament
to this paradigm shift and a signal of the impact that new-
age companies can create at the grassroots level.
Another prevalent issue was the concern around
the fragmented and price-sensitive nature of the Indian
market and, hence, a question on its potential to sup-
port highly profitable businesses. Again, technology has
played a critical role here. For example, today, OYO works
with over 100,000 hotels and homeowners globally while
India’s start-up ecosystem is a global utilising its technology and revenue growth capabilities to
success story where the synergies and ac- ensure successful business for them.
tive collaboration across geographies have We see an interest and strong intent on underlying
contributed significantly. The country’s business economics, both from the founders and inves-
start-ups have even defied all odds brought tors. There’s also a strong, early focus on monetisation
now. As the start-up investment ecosystem in India
on by the Covid-19 pandemic. Many Indian
evolves post-pandemic, angel investors, global players
tech start-ups continue to attract a rush of and entrepreneurs-turned-investors want to be part of
capital, with a record number reaching uni- the next big market.
corn status. In the first half of 2021, Indian
start-ups are estimated to have received KEY TRENDS FOR THE COMING 10 YEARS
$12 billion in about 382 deals, the highest A ‘digital-first’ or ‘product-first’ approach: India’s
in the past five years. So, what’s making us first internet start-ups took off between 1995 and 2000
shine? In my opinion, it’s a combination of with the launch of Rediff.com (1996), MakeMyTrip
(2000) and a few others. But it was only with the rise of
factors like digital push to get customers
e-commerce players such as Flipkart, Amazon and oth-
online, high liquidity in the markets, and ers from 2010 onwards that the consumer tech start-up
a series of IPO announcements from lead- ecosystem found its legs. Edtech, SaaS (software as a ser-
ing start-ups. The recent Zomato IPO is the vice), healthcare, hospitality, fintech and e-commerce
inflection point that all of us were waiting are sectors where we expect significant behavioural shift
for. As India remains the go-to-market for to fully digital solutions. Today, the hospitality industry
investors due to its sheer size, the coun- does not only consist of traditional players but full-stack
try’s potential for technology-led business technology and revenue management platforms that are
more focused on customer satisfaction. Small hotels and
has led to the emergence of valuable tech homeowners have been the backbone of this sector, and
start-ups. it will be critical to equip them with the right technology
and supply-chain financing to help them thrive. Consum-
SUSTAINING BEYOND THE CRISIS ers are also booking a hotel through digital channels more
The period between 2010 and 2020 is considered ground- than physical mediums. The industry needs to be pre-
breaking for the Indian start-up ecosystem. Before this, a pared for this transition through its product and digital-
start-up meant a path filled with uncertainty and risk. To- first approach. Many businesses, including hospitality,
day, start-ups are synonymous with innovation, creativity are now turning to data science and predictive analytics
and problem-solving. The tech start-ups are an important for competitive advantage. With innovative, scalable data
BUILDING
A 'JUST IN ROHIT BHAYANA
CO-FOUNDER
AND MANAGING
CASE'
PARTNER,
LUMIS PARTNERS
SUPPLY
CHAIN
115
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
VISIBILITY
We get annoyed, as buyers, if we end up purchasing rotten
Our Covid-19 vaccine shot is no less a fruit or spoiled meat. What we don’t realize is that this in-
supply-chain miracle than it is a medical fected food product is part of a bigger batch that has now
one — moving billions of vials around the found its way into many homes. At its core, this everyday
struggle — of having to check groceries before buying them
world, in the right ambient conditions, with — is a supply-chain problem. The average buyer cannot be
complete track-and-trace, and the ability to expected to notice spoilage that is undetectable to the na-
match the ‘arm to the vial-code’. ked eye. In fact, even corporations find this challenging.
The other facets are even more pervasive. From home And while an individual needs to only scan the items they
delivery of food and medicines to how industries operate, are purchasing, the channel or distributor has to examine
supply chains are everywhere. Omni-channel and direct- each item riding the conveyor belt, making their task much
to-consumer (D2C) are not just channel diversification more onerous.
strategies, but make-or-break choices to work around con- This is where digitalisation and innovation enter the
straints imposed by lockdowns upon lockdowns and miti- mix. Imagine, for example, an IoT (Internet of things)-
gate ever-increasing geopolitical and environmental risks. enabled device that has a sense of smell. Such a device can
The next generation of supply-chain is thus a two-part detect whether or not a perfectly normal-looking food item
formulation. The first is to create a resilient supply chain is spoiled from the inside. This is what innovation does —
as part of a national agenda, and it needs to be tackled as turn the entire supply chain into a ‘glass pipe’ that gives all
such on various levels from infrastructure to policy to de- relevant stakeholders end-to-end visibility on their order,
risking. The second part is creating an agile supply-chain from its whereabouts to its physical state.
innovation stack that enables velocity, and this comes
from digital-, financial-, and information-based supply- VARIABILISATION
chains. One of the most vital components of the job of a supply-
The first part, thus, is the foundation, which is a gov- chain professional is to diversify sources, channels and
ernment agenda. And though, as a nation, we are terribly modes of transport to optimally make in-price and on-time
delayed on this front, the good news is that there are global deliveries. A huge deterrent to this goal is the challenge of
benchmarks we can adopt without many variations. The switching. With service levels rising by the day, adequately
second part not only has fewer parallels but is something planning their supply chain is a bare necessity for corpora-
the whole world is also learning anew. This is where India tions to stay competitive. Broadly, goods are either built-to-
has an incredible opportunity. We can define digital supply- order or built-to-inventory. Building to inventory involves
chain standards not only for ourselves but for a world order producing just enough to fulfil the demand for the foresee-
where ‘just-in-case’ is more critical than ‘just-in-time.’ If we able future, say a week or a month. This can be inefficient
get this right, we will create an economy that has a resilient owing to inventory-carrying costs such as paying for stor-
and dynamic supply chain. This is the next generation of age and the risk of spoilage, among others. Additionally, the
118
ILLUSTRATIONS BY NILANJAN DAS
119
That, in turn, dramatically impacted how
education was imparted and forced a shift to
e-learning on digital platforms. Educational
institutions rapidly switched to the digital
medium, adapting to online forms of teaching
and learning so that students wouldn’t miss
out on education. This surging market de-
mand created a never-before-seen opportu-
nity for edtech to disrupt the education sector
using technology.
Reams have been written over the last
year-and-a-half about how the pandemic led
to an acceleration in the adoption of educa-
tion technologies, giving a major boost to
the edtech sector. It’s undoubtedly true that
edtech firms have a big opportunity, but the
challenge will be to maintain this momentum
going forward. Technology has made educa-
tion effective and accessible, leading to a mas-
sive surge in users and increasing demand
for digital curricula. But edtech will need to
evolve from the quick-fix solutions created to
weather the pandemic to a longer-term vision
with innovations to scale further.
POWERED BY NEW-
SUNRISE SECTOR
The edtech sector remains attractive as new
AGE TECH SUCH AS
waves of Covid-19 infections further delay MACHINE LEARNING
the opening up of the country, not to men- AND AI, INDIAN
tion schools and colleges. Edtech was growing
strongly even before the pandemic, with global venture
EDTECH PLAYERS CAN
capital investments in the sector reaching $7 billion in EMPOWER LEARNERS
2019, a 1,300 per cent increase over $500 million in 2010, ACROSS THE GLOBE
according to a report by Deloitte. However, the pandemic
opened the floodgates. In 2020 alone, the sector at-
tracted venture capital investment worth more than $10
billion. Yuanfudao, a Beijing-based K-12 online platform,
alone raised $1 billion in a Series G round in March 2020,
the biggest amount ever raised in a single round by any the next year, while the post-K-12 market is expected to
edtech globally. The grass was just as green in India as do- grow nearly four-fold to touch $1.8 billion. All the signs —
mestic edtech start-ups collectively raised $2.22 billion a huge market of more than 300 million consumers, gal-
last year, a four-fold jump from $553 million in 2019. loping revenues and improving bottom lines — are flash-
Edtech in India will continue to attract large sums ing green. No wonder then that investors are lining up to
of capital even when schools and colleges reopen in the book their seat on the edtech bullet train before it sets off
months to come. Online learning is emerging as the ‘next and catches speed.
big thing,’ with many calling it the new e-commerce sec-
tor. There is also government support via policy reforms INNOVATE TO ELEVATE
and the National Education Policy (NEP) 2020 advances What’s next? With vaccination programmes progressing
this through a transformation of the Indian education in India and around the world, the focus is on the light at
system. The online learning market for Class 1-12 is pro- the end of the Covid-19 tunnel. As schools and colleges
jected to increase more than six-fold to $1.7 billion over reopen physical classrooms, edtech players will see the
money flow ebb. Their challenge will be to remain rel- post-K-12 segment. Another factor is that, just like the
evant and continue to grow in the post-pandemic world. pandemic, natural disasters also disrupt the traditional
Edtech firms will have to innovate to address the is- learning process. In these situations, online learning can
sues faced by both teachers and learners. They should help ensure continuity in the teaching process. With the
focus on making the e-learning process engaging, ensur- expanding digital infrastructure backed by affordable
ing personal attention and two-way interaction, bringing smartphones and data, edtech firms can promote deeper
in practical aspects to make learning effective, as well as penetration of technologically backed alternative modes
ensuring a feeling of community. of education and skilling in India.
We will continue to see the boundaries blurring, not We will also see more Indian edtech firms targeting
just between face-to-face and remote learning, but also global plays as they are no longer restricted to national
between formal and informal learning as well as teachers borders. They are spreading their wings to teach the
and learners. The accessibility, affordability and flexibil- world, and not just in the global K-12 segment but also in
ity of e-learning mean the learning process can now be higher education. The opportunity is especially strong
a lifelong one. Even those in rural and remote areas can in the case of STEM (science, technology, engineering,
now access online platforms. In fact, some edtech play- and math) education, with the convergence of edtech and
ers are rebuilding their platform infrastructure on a light STEM pedagogy. Technologies such as AI, augmented re-
cloud-computing model so that consumers from rural ality (AR) and virtual reality (VR) can help deliver hands-
areas do not have to compromise on the quality of their on and collaborative training to students living in even
online education. The affordability also increases as one the remotest areas.
saves on transport, accommodation and other costs re- Moreover, it is not only the lure of higher revenue that
lated to a traditional institution-based learning model. is attracting edtech players to global markets but also the
Online learning also offers one the flexibility to complete fact that the domestic market is getting increasingly more
a course at one’ s own pace and convenience. competitive. There are more than 4,500 Indian edtech
Going forward, there will be a shift from recorded startups today but the fact remains that only a few mar-
lectures to live sessions. We will see blended learning in ket leaders received a bulk of the funding in 2020. This is
flipped classrooms that combine face-to-face teaching leading to an untenable rise in marketing and advertising
with technology. Learning anytime, anywhere is the new costs for smaller players, forcing them to look outwards
mantra in a dynamic world where learning and gaining for new markets that are not restricted to K-12 as well as
new skills is a lifelong process. Artificial intelligence (AI) to new segments such as gamified and extra-curricular
and other technology-enhanced learning modes will en- learning. This is also leading to a spurt in mergers and ac-
able personal learning experiences that are indispensable quisitions to enable collaborative synergies and access to
to the lifelong learning necessary to succeed in a knowl- resources while expanding the range of career outcomes
edge economy. It is here that edtech for adults can be a available to a wider base of learners.
catalyst for India’s workforce through vocational skilling
and higher education. WORLD'S TEACHING CAPITAL
This shift — from a traditional learning pathway to a Finally, the big opportunity is for India to establish itself
lifelong one — is an opportunity for edtech players to move not only as the source of learning and knowledge but also
beyond their core. It offers them a wider addressable mar- as the global teaching centre of choice. Powered by new-
ket as they expand their presence to the post-K-12 market, age technologies such as machine learning, AI, deep tech
with test preparation, higher education, as well as technical and gamification, Indian edtech players can empower
and vocational skills. Players catering to the post-K-12 seg- learners across the globe, even beyond the K-12 segment.
ment will also create an impact by serving the K-12 market. They can offer a platform where individuals from any cor-
ner of the world can be coached and mentored by experts
GLOBAL WINGSPAN via live classes and in many languages.
With online learning no longer an option but a necessity, The ancient universities of Takshshila and Nalanda
Indian edtech firms have the opportunity to go deep in drew students from China, Japan, Korea, Persia, as well as
the domestic market as well as expand transnationally. countries across south-east-, central- and western Asia.
The idiosyncrasies of the domestic market offer tremen- Today, Indian edtech firms stand at the cusp of an op-
dous growth opportunities. Over 35 per cent of India’s portunity to once again attract students from across the
1.3 billion population is under 15 years of age, with a poor world and make India the teaching capital of the world.
student-teacher ratio not just in the K-12 but also in the The time to grab this opportunity is now!
122
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
ENERGY
WILL SEE
BIGGEST
S.N.
SUBRAHMANYAN
CEO & MD,
LARSEN & TOUBRO
DISRUPTION
INFRASTRUCTURE IS OVERDUE FOR
CHANGE. AND, THE DIGITAL REVOLUTION
WILL FURTHER REDEFINE THE SECTOR
123
we believe that our big opportunity may
be right where we are now. The projects we
build today have to be ready for the require-
ments of tomorrow.
The rate at which the infrastructure ecosystem is
evolving, we feel certain in creating an opportunity for ev-
eryone. The time to start rebuilding society is now. Fresh
thinking is the need of the hour, as dual demands of climate
change and urbanisation are putting urban infrastructure
under pressure like never before. As we navigate the fourth
industrial revolution with a human-centered approach to
design, our imagination is the limit to fostering a culture of
enjoyment and personal responsibility for building socially
stable and vibrant communities. We envision smart high-
ways embedded with neural networks connecting smart
cities, intelligent buildings with real-time digitally-mon-
itored utilities, data-driven traffic management systems, UNDER THE CENTRE’S
autonomous vehicles, sustainable energy sources and zero
emissions. We are super-excited at the potential of these
HOUSING FOR ALL
new opportunities. PROGRAMME, INDIA
The world is surely and steadily moving towards adopt- HAS SET A ROBUST
ing hydrogen as green fuels take centre stage. This is a huge
opportunity for Indian infrastructure. Electrolyser tech-
TARGET OF BUILDING
nology, used for splitting water using renewable power SIX CRORE HOUSES BY
for production of green hydrogen, is poised for large-scale 2022. 3D PRINTING WILL
commercial adoption.
A Bloomberg report recently predicted that hydrogen BOLSTER THE PROGRESS
could meet up to 24 per cent of the world’s energy needs by OF THE MASS HOUSING
2050, creating a market worth $600 billion. India has taken
some concrete steps towards producing green hydrogen.
SEGMENT UNDER THE
With five pilot plants being set up to ascertain its commer- PRIME MINISTER AWAS
cial viability, India holds the potential to become a large YOJANA
producer of green hydrogen, considering these plants can
produce 175 GW of renewable power by 2022, which will
grow to 450 GW by 2030.
Hydrogen can ultimately replace fossil fuels. However, water desalination will be some of the major catalysts. All
sectors such as transport, buildings and power need to sig- these are unique business opportunities.
nificantly increase its adoption. According to scientists,
hydrogen will revolutionise the global transport system. It THE DETAILS
will power vehicles for much larger distances than the pres- Making air-conditioned mass-transit faster and safer, es-
ent electric vehicles. Imagination is the limit to the oppor- pecially for a bustling metropolis such as Mumbai, where
tunity that green hydrogen can provide. suburban local trains are the lifeline, will provide conve-
The Centre’s National Hydrogen Mission is expected nient mass-transit options, raising the happiness index of
to incentivise various approaches and the nation’s medi- its inhabitants.
um- to long-term strategy of becoming a sizeable player in The workplace of the future is also set for possibly the
green energy. L&T is seriously exploring opportunities for biggest change, opening a plethora of opportunities. We
acquiring integrated capabilities in this area. envisage ‘safety’ at workplace through simulated (VR) sys-
In fact, the biggest disruption in the future of infra- tems that can mimic potential dangers, hazards and feel
structure will be in the energy sector. Hydrogen economy, of the ecosystem. ‘Connected workmen’ wearing ‘smart
carbon capture, biofuels, electric vehicles, green buildings, wearables’ that can detect altitude, temperature and other
environmental conditions, besides In future, IoT will power smart buildings built with new
monitoring vitals such as heart- energy-generating or breathable materials. This will be a
beat, pulse rates, blood pressure great opportunity for infrastructure players. Smart cities
and fatigue will come to the fore- will instantly adapt to changing circumstances. By then,
front. Use of artificial intelligence we will also have 4D printing, which will have self-trans-
(AI) models, sensors and beacons forming objects, responding to heat, sound or moisture lev-
will generate timely alerts to pre- els to change shape. Focusing on design and construction
vent accidents. alone will become an outdated concept as infrastructure
Imagine Internet of Things becomes multi-functional.
(IoT) technology connecting In the near future, a whole host of other new innova-
thousands of machines, deployed tions — both in terms of regulations and skills — await us.
across hundreds of project sites, Multi-pronged security solutions on turnkey basis, which
communicating with each other are modern and reliable for a whole spectrum of smart
in real time. Consider remote infrastructure, will be the norm. Smart buildings, smart
monitoring and insights into vari- energy, smart water solutions, smart transportation and
ous performance parameters of logistics, smart emergency response systems, smart real-
factory equipment. Use of neural- time information systems and smart cities will become
control technology to move and standard very soon. All of these translate into great oppor-
control machinery at sites is an- tunities for infrastructure.
other big opportunity. We also As we see it, infrastructure is overdue for change. And,
foresee drones scanning sites, in- the digital revolution will further redefine the sector. For
specting the works and using the companies to capitalise on this opportunity, digital trans-
data collected to predict problems formation must be made to encompass the whole organ-
before they arise. These are not isation and pushed down the supply chain. Considering
only real opportunities but work- the inevitability and significance of a ‘green future’, all
in-progress. infrastructure players should increasingly shift their fo-
We are going for 3D-printing of cus towards the environmental impact of business. L&T
entire houses as a big opportunity. is one of the few companies that started reporting sustain-
The successful 3D-printing of a ground-plus-one-floor able practices long before it was mandated by the regulator.
building by L&T in Kanchipuram, Tamil Nadu, sets the Our focus is not only on our operations but also engineer-
platform for leveraging 3D concrete printing to radically ing sustainable solutions for our customers. We approach
redefine construction methods and fast-track conversion these solutions holistically, going beyond the environmen-
of innovative design ideas into final products. tal regulations that govern them, to fully consider the com-
Under the Centre’s Housing For All programme, India munities and environments they impact.
has set a robust target of building six crore houses by 2022. Green and clean technologies must become a part of
3D printing will bolster the progress of the mass housing our mainstay offerings. That will help companies cater to
segment under the Prime Minister Awas Yojana. Generat- areas such as renewable energy generation from solar and
ing and analysing intelligent insights from the large volume wind, energy storage and transmission, decarbonisation,
of data in the construction-infrastructure industry will and hydrogen generation and utilisation. Huge opportuni-
require new software & algorithms, skilled data analysts ties exist in all these businesses for capable enterprises.
and robust information management. This represents one Across the world, building infrastructure is a political
more business opportunity. and economic priority. Increasingly, complex projects will
Smart buildings represent another opportunity to de- be commissioned to stimulate economies, upgrade old sys-
ploy communication and automation technologies and tems and cater to growing and changing populations. For a
integrate various building subsystems, including HVAC country such as ours, high economic growth (once Covid
(heating, ventilation and air-conditioning), lighting, fire subsides) and fast-growing populations will typically lead
protection, access control, surveillance, smart meters, to significant urbanisation. Therefore, the demand for new
water, UPS, elevators. All these subsystems can share in- infrastructure is bound to see massive growth in the com-
formation to improve the performance of buildings, which ing future, which will again translate into a great opportu-
will be in sync with smart grids, thereby enabling energy nity for our industry.
optimisation. We are eagerly waiting to embrace that future.
INDIA
CAN SANJAY GUPTA
SHAPE THE
COUNTRY
HEAD & VP, INDIA
GOOGLE
FUTURE
OF THE
INTERNET
127
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
TOWARDS
GREENER SUMANT SINHA
FOUNDER
PASTURES
CHAIRMAN & MD,
RENEW POWER
I
ndia is set to witness a boom in the elec-
tricity sector. As things stand, India ranks
third globally in both electricity production
and consumption. However, our per-capita
consumption is a shade over 1,200 kWh (kilo-
watt-hours), which is a third of the global av-
erage, a quarter of China’s and a tenth of that
of the US. Moreover, India’s population is
projected to increase by 270 million by 2040.
And that will lead to a steep rise in economic
activity as all these people will need homes,
vehicles and several consumer goods. Our
130
ILLUSTRATIONS BY RAJ VERMA
131
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
electricity consumption is likely to grow to 96 GW currently. This incredible growth story was
with rising economic activity, as studies enabled by incentives such as feed-in-tariffs (promising
show a strong historical correlation be- producers tariffs above market-fixed rates), accelerated
depreciation, GBI (generation-based incentive), RPOs
tween the two.
(renewable purchase obligations), waiving interstate
The International Energy Agency estimates that to transmission charges as well as income tax breaks.
feed this demand, India will need to add a power system Going forward, the government is also striving to
that is equal to the size of the European Union’s over the address many of the challenges that renewable energy
next 20 years. And this will need to be done while ensur- producers face. Take, for instance, the “must-run” sta-
ing India meets its Nationally Determined Contribution tus afforded to producers, which implies that the power
(NDC) commitment—the long-term goals at the heart they transmit must not be curtailed for any commercial
of the Paris Agreement on climate change—to reduce reason. This was introduced to solve the problem of arti-
the carbon intensity of its GDP by 33-35 per cent com- ficially curtailing renewable energy because the current
pared with 2005 levels. tariff mechanism—thermal power producers are paid
This is where renewable energy will play an impor- fixed rates even if distribution companies (discoms)
tant role as it can power economies while producing zero don’t buy the contracted electricity—does not support
emissions. Furthermore, renewable energy, or utility- curtailing thermal energy.
scale solar and wind specifically, is now the most afford- Another problem that the government is attempting
able source of electricity due to technological advance- to solve is the poor health of the state discoms, which of-
ments, rising economies of scale and a decline in capital ten results in delayed payments to electricity suppliers.
expenditure. Thus, economic logic also reinforces the The lacklustre state of discoms is predominantly due
case to meet the growing electricity demand with re- to the absence of competition in the sector, low collec-
newable energy. tions from government departments, inefficient tariff-
Taking cognizance of this, the Indian government setting processes, expensive thermal power purchase
has set an ambitious target of reaching 450 gigawatts agreements (PPAs) and the lack of technology and infra-
(GW) of renewable energy capacity by 2030. This means structure development.
boosting India’s current installed capacity of 96 GW by To improve the viability of discoms, the govern-
fivefold over the rest of this decade. For context, adding ment has announced a reform-based, result-linked pro-
the remaining roughly 350 GW of renewable energy ca- gramme with an outlay of `3.03 lakh crore (about $41
pacity to the grid is equivalent to what the Indian power billion) over the next five years. This is expected to as-
sector has managed in its entire history. This leaves little sist discoms in building infrastructure such as prepaid
scope to add any new thermal capacity to meet the next smart meters and feeder separation as well as upgrad-
leg of growth in electricity demand. ing systems tied to financial improvements. Addition-
The government is also taking myriad supportive ally, the government has announced a liquidity infusion
steps to ensure renewable energy grows in line with its package of `1.35 lakh crore (about $18 billion) to help dis-
targets. Over the last decade, India’s renewable energy coms clear their dues. Furthermore, the government is
capacity has already grown sixfold, from 16 GW in 2010 working on privatising discoms in eight Union Territo-
ries in a bid to introduce competition in the sector. The
auctions for the discoms in Chandigarh and Daman &
Diu have concluded, indicating this effort is on track.
THE INTERNATIONAL The government has also been endorsing manufac-
turing solar energy equipment domestically, under its
ENERGY AGENCY broader goal of an “Atmanirbhar Bharat” (self-reliant
ESTIMATES THAT India). Several policies such as the production-linked
INDIA WILL NEED TO incentive (PLI) scheme, basic customs duty (BCD) and
approved list of module manufacturers (ALMM) have
ADD A POWER SYSTEM been introduced to incentivise the sector. These are es-
THAT IS EQUAL TO THE sential for the growth of a sector that is heavily depen-
dent on imports. Since 2015, India has imported, on aver-
SIZE OF THE EU’S OVER age, `17,600 crore ($2.6 billion) worth of solar cells and
THE NEXT 20 YEARS modules each year.
134
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
SUNIL MATHUR
MD & CEO,
SIEMENS INDIA
SCRIPTING
A SMART
GROWTH
STORY
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION IS CHANGING
THE WAY BUSINESSES ARE RUN. IT
IS ALLOWING COMPANIES TO TAKE
MORE RISKS AND PURSUE NEWER
OPPORTUNITIES TO EVOLVE
135
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
RURBAN
APPROACH
WILL YIELD
SURESH
NARAYANAN
CHAIRMAN AND
MANAGING
DIRECTOR,
NESTLÉ INDIA
RICHES
139
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
141
THE NEXT INDIA OPPORTUNITY
GOING BAC
THIRTY YEARS IS A LIFETIME IN THE WORLD
OF BUSINESS. THESE PHOTOS FROM OUR
ARCHIVES CHRONICLE SOME OF THE BIGGEST
MOMENTS IN THAT JOURNEY
PHOTOGRAPH BY NAMAS BHOJANI
1
PHOTOGRAPH BY PRAMOD PUSHKARNA
2
VERY LITTLE COMES
CLOSE TO INDIA’S MOBILE
REVOLUTION. IN 1995,
WHEN TELECOM MINISTER
SUKH RAM SPOKE TO JYOTI
BASU, WEST BENGAL’S CHIEF
MINISTER, NO ONE COULD
HAVE ANTICIPATED WHAT
WAS TO UNFOLD. FROM
BEING A TOY OF THE RICH,
THERE'S A MOBILE IN ALMOST
EVERY INDIAN'S HAND NOW.
3
PHOTOGRAPH BY BHAWAN SINGH
4 5 6
AMITABH BACHCHAN ON THE SMALL DHIRUBHAI AMBANI WAS INDIA’S MOST “A PROMISE IS A PROMISE,” SAID
SCREEN WAS AS INCONCEIVABLE AS INFLUENTIAL BUSINESSMAN. AFTER HIS RATAN TATA WHEN HE UNVEILED THE
SNOW IN SOUTH INDIA. IN 2000, WHEN PASSING, HIS SONS MUKESH AND ANIL TATA NANO, WITH A PRICE TAG OF
HE PLAYED HOST ON STAR PLUS’ KAUN TOOK CHARGE. SOON, A BITTER FEUD $2,500, ON A COLD DELHI MORNING IN
BANEGA CROREPATI, IT REVIVED THE ENSUED, LEADING TO THE SPLIT OF THE 2008. IT REMAINS A SEMINAL MOMENT
NETWORK AND THE ACTOR’S CAREER. RELIANCE EMPIRE IN 2005. IN INDIA’S AUTOMOBILE HISTORY.
6
5
7 8
9
PHOTOGRAPH BY MANDAR DEODHAR
7
DEMONETISATION, IN 2016, WAS AN
ATTEMPT TO FLUSH OUT BLACK MONEY.
PANIC ENSUED FOR A WHILE. ONCE THINGS
WERE CALM, 87-YEAR-OLD GULABO FROM
HATHRAS WAS AT THE RBI OFFICE IN THE
CAPITAL TO RETURN HER OLD NOTES.
8 9
NOTHING HAS HIT MANKIND AS TRAGICALLY WHEN THE STOCK MARKET DOES WELL,
AS COVID-19 IN A 100 YEARS. AS BUSINESSES INVESTORS GO TO TOWN. THE CURRENT
SHUT DOWN IN 2020, ALL THAT MATTERED BULL RUN HAS LED TO HANDSOME
WAS HUMAN SURVIVAL. FEARING THE RETURNS FOR MANY. THUS, THE SENSEX
WORST, MIGRANTS LOOKED FOR ANY WAY TO BREACHING THE 50,000-MARK IN 2021
GET BACK HOME TO ESCAPE THE VIRUS. WAS TIME FOR SERIOUS CELEBRATION.
R
anita Gupta tried to log on to the new in- deducted at source (TDS) values. In case it does, there are
come tax portal to file her income tax return calculation errors. The pre-filled TDS information in ITR
(ITR). She could not do so as she did not re- forms and what appears on Form 26-AS is not matching. At
ceive the OTP on her registered mobile num- times, the ‘forget password’ function is not working. If you
ber. Akhilesh Singh did manage to sign in and enter the wrong password three times, the account gets
file the ITR. But the acknowledgment disap- locked. In some cases, legal heirs of the deceased have been
peared and he could not download it later. “The new web- unable to get themselves registered for filing ITR, submis-
site is pathetic. It will test your patience to the limit. I filed sions or appeal.
ITR-1, but it took me days,” he says. This is a small list of issues taxpayers are facing while
Some people were able to file ITR but could not e-veri- filing their ITRs on the new portal. The last date for filing
fy. “The site did not accept the OTP sent on the registered is September 31, but there are problems galore, not just for
number. It redirected me to an infinite loop of I-T and bank taxpayers but also seasoned chartered accountants (CAs).
portals,” says Punit Bhargava. “The utility of all income tax return forms is not available as
That is not all. The portal does not auto-generate tax of now. Only ITR - 1, 2 and 4 are available; ITR – 3, 5, 6 and 7 are
still awaited,” says Anurag Jain, Partner, ByTheBook Con- register the signatures on the new portal, which shows an er-
sulting LLP. Forms 10-A and 10-B, for registration of chari- ror,” says Wadhwa.
table institutions, are also not available on the portal. In another issue, the new income tax portal is trying to
Even CAs are wondering why there was a need to build match PAN data with Aadhaar data. “In many cases, only the
a new portal when the old one was working fine. “There was birth year is appearing in place of birth date in Aadhaar data.
no need to launch a new website at a time when people are Aadhaar carries the residential address in a majority of cases
struggling to work from home (WFH). The old website was whereas address on PAN could be business/office premises,”
working fine. Just a few edits would have sufficed. Evaluat- says Wadhwa.
ing the new website and guiding the team in the WFH situa- Private software and third-party apps are not working
tion is a challenge for all CAs,” says Mohnish Wadhwa, Part- smoothly either. “Taxpayers have been facing issues such as
ner, Wadhwa & Shah, a chartered accountancy firm. slow page responsiveness and load time errors. Many tax-
Simple issues related to digital signature, PAN and Aad- payers have reached out to us. Even tax experts are reporting
haar have become a pain for taxpayers. “Digital signatures issues with certain compliances,” says Archit Gupta, Found-
were registered on the old website. The taxpayer has to re- er and CEO, ClearTax.
Refunds, Queries Pending All this is making it hard for assessees to reply to notices
Jain says there are some FY20 returns which are not yet and manage compliances for which due dates are fast ap-
processed. Hence, there is a delay in refunds. “Taxpay- proaching,” says Wadhwa.
ers are not able to file tax returns under Section 148 of the
Income Tax Act for earlier years as download of utility is No Convincing Roadmap
happening erratically and attachment of digital signature Over 700 emails dealing with 2,000 issues, including 90
is not taking place consistently even though the return is unique issues/problems, have been received from various
required to be filed within 30 days of the receipt of notice,” stakeholders, Minister of State for Finance Pankaj Chaud-
he says. Section 148 grants an assessing officer (AO) the hary informed the Rajya Sabha in July. The grievances filed
power to assess or re-assess any taxable income that may through the new website have remained unanswered. “The
have gone under the radar. FM says the issues will be resolved soon, but how? What is
Apart from this, there is no option to send a request for the roadmap? What about the pile-up which has happened
obtaining intimation under Section 143(1) where tax de- so far?” says Wadhwa.
mands have been raised, he adds. The facility for filing of The solutions offered so far are acting as an additional
online rectification application is also not available on the burden. For example, CAs have to submit Form 15CB on-
portal yet. line for allowing clients to make foreign remittances. “The
The written submissions of already filed appeals government said that since the website is not working, we
which have been partly heard are also not reflecting on can fill an offline Form 15CB and submit to bankers for the
the portal. “Old rectification applications u/s 154 which purpose of convenience, but with a condition that when
are pending are not on the portal. Taxpayers are unable the website is in place, the CA will file all historically issued
to access old records. There are anomalies in the data. physical Form 15CBs online also. Where is the ease of doing
business here?” asks Wadhwa.
Technology has always fascinated transformation of businesses. Puri bitcoins from my younger colleagues.
ITC Chairman and MD Sanjiv Puri. In says he refers to that book even today I realised that only 3 per cent of my
fact, way back in 2000, he was asked as the diversified conglomerate looks generation has dabbled in bitcoins,
by his mentor Y.C. Deveshwar (former to become a digital-first company. He, while in the new generation, it is over
Chairman and CEO, ITC) to build an in fact, spends a lot of his free time 30 per cent.”
ecommerce website. “We knew it was reading about AI, ML and big data. Puri likes to call himself a book
ahead of time, but I spent a consider- One of his recent initiatives has been worm. “I am the serious types, I enjoy
able amount of time reading a lot of to set up a digital innovators’ lab which reading historical books, about how
books on technology and building has a bunch of young employees with nations and civilisations are built.
it,” remembers Puri. The book that a mandate to come up with cutting- I also read a lot about health and
influenced him the most during those edge digital solutions. He credits his nutrition. I recently read a book on
days was Larry Downes’ “Unleashing younger colleagues for a lot of his organisational strategy, ‘Exponential
The Killer App”. It talks about digital digital knowledge. “I learnt a lot about Organisations’.” – AJITA SHASHIDHAR
154 Vol. 30, No. 18 for the fortnight August 23, 2021 to September 5, 2021 . Released on August 23, 2021. Total number of pages 156 (including cover)
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