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in

ARE WE
January 23,12,
December 2022
2021` 150
` 100

HEADED
FOR A
BNPL Nirmala Sitharaman
Finance Minister

ALPHABET

TRAP?
BUY NOW,
ECONOMICS
Will GDP growth
result in a V,
W, or K-shaped
recovery? With an
unwanted O for
PAY LATER Omicron in the
mix, the picture
SCHEMES ARE just got muddied

MUSHROOMING.
PG.36

THEY ARE NIFTY, How the arranged


marriage between Zee
USEFUL, and Sony could
pan out PG.42
BUT RISKY, TOO Apple finally swings
into the Indian
PG.26
consumer’s party PG.48
FROM THE EDITOR

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Editor, Businesstoday.in: Anirban Roy
he Indian consumer never had it better. Whether it is the
latest appliance or low-value purchases, the craze around Managing Editors: Alokesh Bhattacharyya, Anand Adhikari
Deputy Editor: Krishna Gopalan
point-of-sale credit has seen consumers making a beeline correspondents
for such credit options that enable them to make purchases Senior Editors: Neetu Chandra Sharma, Smita Tripathi,
Teena Jain Kaushal
without having to make immediate payments. Welcome to Senior Associate Editors: Ashish Rukhaiyar, Nidhi Singal
Senior Assistant Editor: Binu Paul
the world of Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) schemes, which are burgeoning Assistant Editors: Arnab Dutta, Dilasha Seth, Manish Pant
Special Correspondents: Prerna Lidhoo, Vidya S.
by the day and have captured the imagination of the aspirational Indian Correspondent: Rajat Mishra
middle class. These BNPL schemes—offered by several platforms such PRESENTER AND SENIOR EDITOR, BUSINESS TODAY TV:
as Paytm, LazyPay, ZestMoney and even banks—have fuelled consump- Aabha Bakaya

tion by making it extremely easy for consumers to make purchases. The research
Assistant Editor: Rahul Oberoi
borrower gets the option of an instant, short-term loan with a deferred Principal Research Analyst: Shivani Sharma
repayment tenure, including the facility of equated monthly instalments copy desk
Senior Associate Editor: Abhik Sen
after the end of an interest-free period. The BNPL offerings are attrac- Assistant Editor: Namrata Rao
tive since they are small-ticket loans, often for daily consumption pur- photography
poses. While they are like credit cards, these don’t have the hassles of Deputy Chief Photographer: Yasir Iqbal
Principal Photographer: Rajwant Singh Rawat
an application process, card-swiping infrastructure, and purchase and Photo Researcher: Varun Gupta
cash withdrawal limits. Put simply, they could be a consumer’s dream. art
Deputy Creative Editor: Anirban Ghosh
No wonder, then, that the BNPL market is set to surge to a hefty Deputy Art Director: Rahul Sharma
$45-50 billion, or `3.37-3.75 lakh crore, by 2026, from just $3-3.5 billion Associate Art Director: Raj Verma

(`22,500-26,250 crore) now, and become almost as big as the traditional production
Chief of Production: Harish Aggarwal
credit markets like personal loans and credit cards. However, as Teena Senior Production Coordinator: Narendra Singh
Associate Chief Coordinator: Rajesh Verma
Jain Kaushal and Anand Adhikari write in our cover story, there are major
library
downside risks with more and more first-time consumers, often without Assistant Librarian: Satbir Singh
any credit history, lining up for such BNPL schemes, particularly in the Editorial Coordinator: Khushboo Thakur
smaller cities and towns. While hidden costs and inadequate disclosures impact team
often make it tough for new-to-credit customers (estimated at about National Head (Impact): Siddhartha Chatterjee
National Head (Government & PSU): Suparna Kumar
50 per cent of those availing BNPL credit) to understand the nuances of Senior General Manager: Jitendra Lad (West)
General Manager: Upendra Singh (Bangalore)
these offerings, there is also the danger of increasing non-performing Deputy General Manager: Indranil Chatterjee (East)
assets on the lenders’ side as there is often very little information avail- Marketing: Vivek Malhotra, Group Chief Marketing Officer
able about the borrowers. It is no surprise that globally, too, regulators Newsstand Sales: Deepak Bhatt, Senior General Manager
in the US and the UK are keeping a close watch on the BNPL segment. (National Sales); Vipin Bagga, General Manager (Operations);
Rajeev Gandhi, Deputy General Manager (North),
Meanwhile, as India gets ready for the Union Budget of 2022-23, we Yogesh Godhanlal Gautam, Deputy Regional Sales Manager (West),
S. Paramasivam, Deputy Regional Sales Manager (South),
take a close look at what the nature of GDP growth could be, and whether Piyush Ranjan Das, Senior Sales Manager (East)
the economic recovery could be V-, K-, or even W-shaped, with various
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CONTENTS
08 THE BUZZ:
PHOTOGRAPHIK

The Festive
Spirit
January 23, 2022 | Volume 31 | Number 2
A look at festive
season spending

10 THE BUZZ: POINT

ARE WE
The Class of
2021

HEADED
Here’s how the
overall asset
classes performed
in 2021

FOR A 12 THE BUZZ:


BRIEFINGS

BNPL TRAP?
What’s Hot,
What Will Be

Most anticipated
strategic

BUY NOW, PAY LATER


4| moves in 2022

SCHEMES ARE MUSHROOMING.


THEY ARE NIFTY, USEFUL, BUT RISKY, TOO COVER STORY

26
20 THE BUZZ:
SPOTLIGHT

On Your Radar
People who will be
at the centre of
the action in
the New Year

Cover by ANIRBAN GHOSH; Nirmala Sitharaman photograph on cover by BANDEEP SINGH

42 ZEE-SONY

36 ALPHABET ECONOMICS Arranged


Marriage
Shape of the Curve
As they unite for
Is it a V? Is it a K? L? U? W? The pattern of India’s a new future,
economic recovery has got economists seized in a Zee and Sony
game of Alphabet Economics. Meanwhile, there’s also still face several
the threat of Omicron, and it could be a nasty customer hurdles

Business Today 23 January 2022


48
ELECTRONICS

APPLE’S INDIA
After years of
languishing on the
fringes, Apple has
finally made its
78
presence felt in India THE GOOD LIFE:
with record sales and TECH TONIC
market share over the
past two years. But has
its winning strategy to Stay Fit
effect the turnaround and Fine
set it up well to mint
further gains? These nifty gadgets
will keep your
New Year fitness
resolutions on track

6|

THE BT INTERVIEW 61 INNOVATION 66


‘I’m not emotional A Breath of Purified air
about my businesses’
Allabout Innovations is aggressively
expanding production of its
80
Ajay Piramal on his plans for the financial
services business, succession & retirement anti-viral air purification device THE GOOD LIFE:
DOWNTIME

Out of the Box


For a CEO, Divya
Jain uses the most
uncommon tool for
focus: she throws
punches, literally

82
THE BEST ADVICE
I EVER GOT
OVERSEAS MARKETS 70 THE GOOD LIFE: TRENDS 74 ‘Always have
Should You Invest Overseas? The Scent of Me a people-first
approach’
Many broking firms are facilitating Welcome to the
investments in international markets. world of bespoke or Nevil Patel,
We give you the lowdown on the personalised perfumes, the Director,
challenges and risks involved ultimate in luxury ORPAT Group

Business Today 23 January 2022


THE BUZZ
PHOTOGRAPHIK THE POINT BRIEFINGS SPOTLIGHT

8|

PHOTOGRAPHIK
Photograph by Subir Halder
Text by RAHUL OBEROI

Source: Reserve Bank of India

Business Today 26 December 2021


|9

THE FESTIVE `14.6 16.94 `13.95


SPIRIT LAKH CRORE
Total value of
PER CENT
The growth against
LAKH CRORE
The pre-pandemic
THE FESTIVAL SEASON HAS DRIVEN transactions done `12.49 lakh crore
HIGHER CONSUMER SPENDING IN POS spending
at POS terminals in in full calendar figure in the full
2021 COMPARED TO PRE-COVID-19.
BUT OMICRON COULD SPOIL IT ALL Jan-Nov 2021 year 2020 year of 2019
Business Today 26 December 2021
THE BUZZ — THE POINT

The
Cryptocurrency
emerged as the top
asset class of 2021,
while equities grew
in double digits. But
precious metals such as

Class of
gold eroded investors’
wealth in a year that
saw crude oil prices
jump more than 50 per
cent. Here’s how the

2021
overall asset classes
performed in 2021.

By RAHUL OBEROI

Stellar …But Digital


Returns from Currencies
Equities… were in a
Benchmark indices Different
S&P BSE Sensex and
NSE Nifty gained League
22 per cent and 24 per Solana, the fifth-largest
cent, respectively, on digital currency, delivered
a year-to-date (YTD) mind-boggling returns
basis

TOP 5 SECTORAL GAINERS


ON THE BSE IN 2021
Capital Goods
68.8%

Technology
65.9%

Information

53.4%
56.1%
Power

Metal

55%
Realty
Tata Motors

TOP 5 GAINERS IN
162.6%

THE NIFTY IN 2021


1,323%
12,582%
Bajaj Finserv
Industries

459%
97.4%
Hindalco

85.2%

Mahindra
84.7%

84.1%
Wipro

69%
Bitcoin
Binance Coin
Tech

Ethereum
Solana

Tether
1%

YTD change as on December 31, 2021 YTD change as on December 31, 2021
Source: ACE Equity Source: Coingecko, Investing.com
Real Estate Precious …While Fixed Deposit
Struggled Metals Rates Showed Slight
This asset class
continued to deliver
Lost Their Improvement
negligible returns to Sheen this Four of the top five banks by market cap
raised FD rates marginally
investors
Year…
Gold delivered BANK FD INTEREST RATES
lacklustre returns FD Tenure: >3 years to <=5 years
As on Dec 31, 2020 As on Dec 23, 2021

GOLD PRICE
(`/ 10 GM)

1-3%
31-Dec-2020

31-Dec-2021
50,005

47,899

RESIDENTIAL

-4.2%
Kotak Mahindra Bank

0%
5.35% / 5.4%

5.3% / 5.35%

4.75% / 5.3%
5.5% / 5.75%

State Bank of India


5.4% / 5.4%

CHANGE
HDFC Bank

COMMERCIAL
ICICI Bank
Axis Bank

YTD change
as of Dec 31,
2021
Source: MCX

YTD return on investment (RoI) as


on December 22, 2021 Fixed deposit data compiled by BankBazaar.com; Data taken from respective banks’ website.
Source: ANAROCK Property Data compiled on December 23, 2021; The maximum offered interest rate is considered for >3
Consultants years to <=5 years tenure; interest rate is for a normal fixed deposit amount below `1 crore.
THE BUZZ — BRIEFINGS

WHAT’S HOT, WHAT WILL BE


Year 2022 promises much action on multiple fronts in business and economy. Here’s the
lowdown on the most anticipated strategic moves in the new year.

MARGIN The Third Wave


PAINS THE SPIKE in Omicron cases has brought back the
Elevated global fuel and spectre of restrictions on gatherings and movement of
people, which is likely to impact the reviving service
commodity prices have
shrunk profit margins
sector. The medical tourism industry, which started
reviving last quarter, is now witnessing a drop in medi-
THE BUD-
of the manufacturing cal value travel patients in hospitals across India. The GETED FIS-
industry, with most unable
to pass on the entire impact
education sector was pinning hopes on vaccination
of children aged 15-18, but is again expected to step CAL DEFICIT
of expensive raw materials back. The rising epidemic curve may severely hit rev- FOR FY22 IS
to consumers amid muted
demand. The core con-
enues of restaurants, airlines, cinema halls, among
others. Tough times ahead, again. 6.8%. ECON-
sumer price index inflation, —NEETU CHANDRA SHARMA OMISTS
which is non-food and non- EXPECT THE
fuel, continued to remain
elevated above 6 per cent in NUMBER
November. Wholesale price TO BE BET-
index-based core inflation
climbed to a fresh high of
TER ON THE
12.3 per cent in November BACK OF
12 | and remained over 11 per BETTER TAX
cent for the fifth straight
REVENUES

6.8%
month. No relief seems to
be in sight in the new year.
—DILASHA SETH

PHOTOGRAPH BY YASIR IQBAL

DEFICIT GAINS
What will the fiscal deficit government’s revenue
be at the end of FY22? The and expenditure, touched
Reserve Bank of India, in its 46.2 per cent of the budget
financial stability report, has target compared with 135.1
expressed reservations over per cent of the target in
the Union government’s abil- FY21. While the disinvest-
ity to rein in the fiscal deficit ment target of `1.75 lakh
at the budgeted 6.8 per cent crore is unlikely to be met,
after it moved the second Devendra Kumar Pant,
supplementary demand of Chief Economist, India
grants worth `3.73 lakh crore. Ratings, says the higher
But economists expect the tax and non-tax revenue
HIGH FUEL and number to be better than collections are expected
commodity pric- the budgeted one on the to more than offset the
es have choked back of a 65 per cent growth shortfall in disinvestment,
profit margins of in net tax revenues in the “leading to the fiscal
manufacturing April-November period. In deficit coming in at 6.6 per
companies
the period, the fiscal deficit, cent of GDP in FY22”.
which is the gap between the —DILASHA SETH

Business Today 23 January 2022


CONCERTS
SENSEX
At least seven brokerages have told Business Today
that the domestic equity markets may continue
GO HYBRID to deliver double-digit returns in 2022. But it may

PEEKS AT
be a roller-coaster ride because of the uncertainty

70K
In 1939, S.V. Narayanas- around Omicron, increase in interest rates and a
wamy Rao established the surge in inflation globally. “In case of positive global
Sree Ramanavami Music and domestic cues, we may see Nifty at 21,000 and
Festival; today it is one of Sensex at 70,000 by December 2022,” says Gaurav
the most popular classical Garg,Head of Research, CapitalVia Global Research.
music festivals, with 6,000 —RAHUL OBEROI
people attending it every
year in Bengaluru. In 2021,
the festival went hybrid
with 31 online concerts.
Music festivals are being START-UP SCRUTINY
re-imagined with virtual Start-ups going in for IPOs in 2022 will have to
avatars, private chat rooms, deal with tighter disclosure and compliance norms
VR walkthroughs, etc. of the Securities and Exchange Board of India. At
Experts say hybrid shows its board meeting on December 28, SEBI capped the
are here to stay and music quantum of IPO proceeds that a firm could use for
streaming platforms like inorganic growth while further segregating the limit
Airtel’s Wynk and Times to be utilised if an acquisition target has already been
Internet-owned Gaana can identified. It also capped the quantum of shares that
capitalise on the trend by existing shareholders can sell as part of the IPO if the
pivoting to live shows and firm is a loss-making one—as is the case with most
e-concerts. start-ups. This will have a major impact on PE and VC
—PRERNA LIDHOO players who have been offloading their shares as part
of the IPOs of almost all start-up entities.
—ASHISH RUKHAIYAR
| 13

INDIA
Charge ’em Up
HAS SET IF 2021 saw the most number of electric ve-
hicle (EV) launches, 2022 promises to be the
A STIFF year of the EV for automakers. According to
ALL EYES ON TARGET OF the Society of Manufacturers of Electric Vehi-
cles, in 2020, 150,000 electric two- and four-
RESOLUTION 100% wheelers were sold in the country; some stud-
ies suggest that the number was surpassed
The building blocks for ELECTRIFI- in the first half of 2021. And while India’s goal
the ‘Bad Bank’ for resolving CATION of 100 per cent electrification by 2030 might
sound a little too ambitious, companies such
`2 lakh crore of bad loans
are ready. The new entity— OF THE as Hero Electric, Ather, Okinawa and Ola are
National Asset Reconstruc- AUTO trying to build scale like never before.
—PRERNA LIDHOO
tion Company—is now in SECTOR BY
2030; AND
the process of buying bad
loans. Clearly, the challenge
is going to be the acquisition PLAYERS
price for bad assets and
IN THE
ILLUSTRATIONS BY RAHUL SHARMA

restructuring and resolu-


tion by another entity, India SPACE
Debt Resolution Company. ARE
BUILDING
At a time when dozens of
private asset reconstruction
companies are struggling, SCALE

100%
there is a lot at stake for this
dedicated Bad Bank with a
dual structure, which is a
new experiment for India.
—ANAND ADHIKARI

Business Today 23 January 2022


THE BUZZ — BRIEFINGS

CROWDED
SKIES
AIRPORT BOOST
Airlines may have to wait for another year or two to
Despite the concerns from take off from the Jewar airport (the foundation stone
the coronavirus, 2022 will be of which was recently laid by Prime Minister Narendra
a year of intense activity in Modi), but the region is fast turning into the most
India’s aviation market. For attractive greenfield urban development site in the
one, after the completion country. In 2022, construction activity in the Noida-
of regulatory approvals, Air Greater Noida-Jewar region is set to gain further
India will finally return to steam as players like InterContinental Hotels Group,
the Tata group after 68 long Signature Global, Gaurs and Bhutani Group look to
years. The summer will see invest around the new facility that is set to become the
the entry of stock market largest cargo hub in India by 2027-28.
bull Rakesh Jhunjhunwala- —ARNAB DUTTA
backed low-cost carrier
Akasa Air. Jet Airways, too,
might fly again. These

Tatas’ Flight
developments have led other
players to pull up their socks.

Plans
Market leader IndiGo’s Co-
founders Rahul Bhatia and
Rakesh Gangwal have finally
ended their three-year-long With Air India as good as in the bag, With the backing of the group, this full-ser-
feud. Fare wars soon? Likely. the Tatas are bound to make big moves in vice airline could be the disruptive element
—MANISH PANT their aviation business in 2022. It almost in Indian aviation. The last part is Vistara, a
holds all of AirAsia and there is a good joint venture with Singapore Airlines, and its
chance that this will be merged with entry into the overseas markets. With scale,
fellow low-cost airline, Air India Express. network and a brand name, the Tata group’s

MODI PHOTOGRAPH BY CHANDRADEEP KUMAR; CONSTRUCTION PHOTOGRAPH BY YASIR IQBAL


14 | A lot of time will be spent in getting the aviation story looks formidable.
loss-making Air India back on track. —KRISHNA GOPALAN

Getting Real
HOME WHILE DEMAND for all major big-ticket items

IT SERVICES SALES ARE


is stuck in a downward spiral, the pandemic
has turned the tide for the residential real es-
SHINE SET TO tate market. Indians are increasingly looking
for own homes and larger units, setting the
The new year brings good GROW BY stage “for an overall turnaround in the year
2022”, says Housing.com. After registering
tidings for information tech-
nology (IT) services com- 25% IN 2022, a 20 per cent growth in sales in 2021, home
panies. The robust demand WITH AVER- sales are set to grow by 25 per cent in 2022,
with average quarterly sales of 36,000 units,
environment for IT services
is expected to continue in
AGE QUAR- matching the pre-pandemic numbers, if not
2022 with Gartner estimat- TERLY SALES the pre-demonetisation levels.
—ARNAB DUTTA
ing a 9.1 per cent growth in OF 36,000
IT services spend in India in
the coming year compared UNITS,
to 10.8 per cent growth MATCHING
2021. The top four—Wipro,
Infosys, TCS, and HCL
THE PRE-
Technologies—are set to PANDEMIC
clock double-digit revenue NUMBERS

25%
growth in this fiscal and also
the next one on the back of
a strong deals pipeline glob-
ally due to the digitalisation
drive post the pandemic.
—DILASHA SETH

Business Today 23 January 2022


THE BUZZ — BRIEFINGS

IBM SAYS THE AVERAGE COST OF A DATA

$19
BREACH INCREASED BY 10% TO $4.24 MILLION
IN 2021. NO WONDER THAT THE MARKET
FOR CYBER AI TECHNOLOGY AND TOOLS IS
BILLION EXPECTED TO GROW BY $19 BILLION BETWEEN
2021 AND 2025, ACCORDING TO TECHNAVIO

THE SPACE
RACE TECH
Move over SpaceX and LISTINGS
Blue Origin. Skyroot Aero-
space, Agnikul Cosmos,
FRENZY
Tathya Earth, Bellatrix
Aerospace and Digantara If 2021 kicked off the start-
are among home-grown up IPO parade, 2022 will
start-ups that are support- truly push the gas pedal.
ing India’s efforts at con- A bevy of start-ups—in-
quering the final frontier of cluding OYO, Delhivery
space. Founded by twenty- and PharmEasy—are IPO
somethings, these entities ready, meaning the tech
plan to launch rockets, de- IPO frenzy is only begin-

The Cyber AI Knight


sign geostationary satellites ning to gather steam.
and harness remote sensing Zomato’s blockbuster
16 | to meet the growing IPO triggered a paradigm
demand for geospatial solu- THE COST of cybercrimes continues to rise—the ave r- shift in the way Indian
tions. With India planning age cost of a data breach in 2021 was $4.24 million, investors look at tech
two unmanned missions a 10 per cent increase from 2019, says IBM. With the stocks. According to
before a human spaceflight adoption of 5G and increased network connected de-
global deal tracking firm
vices, enterprises are looking at AI for security. Cyber
programme, space is where AI will enable organisations to not only respond faster Dealogic, $6 billion of the
you want to be. to attackers, but will also help them anticipate these $15 billion raised in 2021
—MANISH PANT moves and react to them in advance. Cyber AI tech- via IPOs was garnered by
nology and tools are in the early stages of adoption tech firms. The inflection
and as per Technavio, the global market is expected point for India’s start-up
to grow by $19 billion between 2021 and 2025. story has truly arrived.
—NIDHI SINGAL —BINU PAUL

DATA PROTECTOR
The General Data protection law in both
Protection Regulation houses of Parliament
(GDPR) of the Europe- in December 2021.
an Union is the tough- In the Committee’s
est privacy and security view, all data has to be
law in the world. India, dealt with by one Data
too, might be on its Protection Authority
way to a similar law, (DPA). It has recom-
subject to amendments mended approximately
HOME-GROWN and revisions. Two 24 months for imple-
SPACE start-ups years after the bill was mentation of the Act.
are supporting presented in the Lok We might finally see a
India in con- Sabha, the 30-member positive impact on how
quering the final Joint Committee tabled companies store and
frontier
its report on India’s use consumer data.
first proposed data —NIDHI SINGAL

Business Today 23 January 2022


THE BUZZ — BRIEFINGS

INSTANT
DELIVERIES
Will the promise of 10-min-
ute grocery deliveries be
a game-changer for e-
commerce? Zepto doubling
its valuation in two months
and Grofers rebranding

DIRECT
itself to Blinkit to align with
the trend are early signs of
FROM the hype; big guns, includ-

SATELLITE
ing Swiggy and bigbasket,
are pouring millions into it.
This high-volume business,
With a lot of action
happening in the satellite Quest for Green Fuel run on dark stores or hy-
perlocal micro-warehouses
internet space globally, UNION MINISTER Nitin Gadkari dreams of making closer to customers, con-
in 2022 India will see the India’s automobile sector No. 1 in the world. This, tinues to draw top investor
commercial launch of the he says, can happen in the next five years by using dollars. But will it last? 2022
much-anticipated service. alternative fuel sources. In fact, he has bought a car may have the answers.
Companies such as Elon that runs on green hydrogen. The government also
—BINU PAUL
Musk’s Starlink, Bharti plans to run buses, trucks and cars on green hydro-
Airtel’s OneWeb, Telesat’s gen produced from sewage water and solid waste.
Many companies, too, are working on similar solu-
Lightspeed and Amazon’s tions. Pune-based Sentient Labs, for example, has
Kuiper are building their launched a 32-seater hydrogen fuel cell bus with
network of low Earth a range of 450 km by using 30 kg of hydrogen. The
orbit (LEO) satellites in new year is likely to see more such examples.
18 | space. Satellite internet
—PRERNA LIDHOO
will be a boon for areas

YOU COULD
soon have an-
other dish on
your terrace
THE YEAR OF NFTs
to access the Non-fungible to- assets. They’ve gained
internet kens, popularly known popularity among icons
as NFTs, were among with everyone from
the most searched Amitabh Bachchan to
where connectivity isn’t terms of 2021, beating Yuvraj Singh launching
available, is unreliable, Dogecoin, blockchain their own NFTs. While
or is not easy to deploy, and even Ethereum NFTs are in their early
and will be low latency in Google searches. phase, they’re likely to
broadband with speeds as They’ve become a part attract a much larger
high as 100 to 200 mbps. of popular culture audience in the coming
You might also just have with brands such as years. With blockchain
yet another dish installed Pepsi and Adidas also set to change the world,
at your terrace that would joining in. NFTs are 2022 is going to be an
intercept internet from transforming art, mu- even bigger year for
space. Go figure. sic and sports, enabling NFT technology.
—NIDHI SINGAL monetisation of digital —SMITA TRIPATHI

INVESTMENTS DERIVED FROM THE PLI

10
MILLION
SCHEMES COULD BE OVER $504 BILLION IN
TERMS OF PRODUCTION AND WOULD ADD
AROUND 10 MILLION JOBS IN THE NEXT FIVE
YEARS, THE GOVERNMENT SAID RECENTLY

Business Today 23 January 2022


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THE BUZZ — BRIEFINGS

PLI THE NEW


BUZZWORD
Co-working Surge
As large companies are experimenting with hybrid
Production Linked Incentive work models and tapping into the talent pool from smaller
schemes are considered to towns and cities, co-working and flexible office spaces
be a game changer to turn are pegging themselves as an easy way for enterprises to
around India’s inabil- switch to flexible work. Awfis Space Solutions’ Founder &
ity to scale up. In 2021, the CEO Amit Ramani and Chairman & MD Jitendra Virwani
government launched PLI of office parks builder Embassy Group,
schemes across 10 key sec- whose subsidiary is WeWork India, are both
tors, including recently on bullish about the demand for co-working
semiconductors. So far, PLI spaces among large enterprises in 2022.
schemes spanning mobile —VIDYA S.
phones, drugs and medical
devices have attracted

OTT Players Gear Up


investments of over $5 bil-
lion. An official statement

for Regional Battle


recently mentioned that the
investments derived from
the PLI schemes could be
over $504 billion in terms of OTT players continue to bet on regional language content
production and would add as the next round of India’s mobile internet users and consum-
around 10 million jobs in the ers of digital content are coming from smaller cities and towns.
next five years. A FICCI-EY report says 50 per cent of the time spent on OTT
platforms would be on regional content by 2025. Clubbed with
—RAJAT MISHRA
an increasing interest among advertisers for regional audi-
ences, existing and newer OTT players are expanding their
investments and content offerings in vernacular languages. As
this boom is likely to strengthen in 2022, newer content-shar- | 19
ing formats are also likely to emerge among the OTT players.
—VIDYA S.

Under RBI’s Care


RBL BANK is the latest to join the list of trou-

MATTERS OF bled banks facing RBI’s wrath. Turnaround


man Vishwavir Ahuja, whose tenure was cut
A FICCI-EY
CURRENCY short to a year, has proceeded on leave. NPAs
are rising, loan growth is stagnant and profit- REPORT
In 2022, expect more details ability, down. RBI brought in Yogesh Dayal as
and maybe some action on the additional director on the bank’s board for bet- SAYS THAT
Central Bank Digital Curren- ter coordination. While RBL is well capitalised
with comfortable NPA provisioning ratio and
BY 2025,
cy (CBDC) front. Proposed
as its virtual currency by the liquidity levels, depositors and shareholders 50% OF
Reserve Bank of India, “It will are anxious due to the recent debacles of YES
Bank, Lakshmi Vilas Bank and PMC Bank.
THE TIME
basically be a technology-led
exchange of the Indian Rupee —ANAND ADHIKARI
SPENT ON
with RBI oversight on the OTT PLAT-
supply as well as usage,” says FORMS
Vikram Subburaj, Co-founder
and CEO of Giottus Cryp- WOULD
tocurrency Exchange. A big BE ON
advantage of CBDC is that all
transactions can be tracked.
REGIONAL
CONTENT

50%
But there’s a hitch: No
country has yet implemented
a CBDC-based economy,
although many, including
China, are testing it.
—TEENA JAIN KAUSHAL

Business Today 23 January 2022


THE BUZZ — SPOTLIGHT

ON YOUR RADAR
The businessmen, ministers and policymakers who will be at the
heart of economic and industrial action in the New Year

RENEWED ENERGY

AMBANI, DAS PHOTOGRAPHS BY BANDEEP SINGH; CHANDRASEKARAN PHOTOGRAPH BY YASIR IQBAL


After having raised billions of dollars in extreme-
ly difficult times from the likes of Facebook and
Google, Mukesh Ambani’s Jio Platforms is on a
good wicket. The next stop for him could be raising
funds for the $10-billion push in renewable energy.
The ambitious foray has many layers, starting with
large-scale manufacturing to financing projects.

NEXT STOP: Given how bullish large global investors are about
renewable energy, Ambani could just end up con-
THE CONSUMER vincing them of the robustness of his ambition.
IF THINGS go as per plan, —KRISHNA GOPALAN
Adani Wilmar will list on the
bourses in early 2022. The

20 |
company is a name in the
FMCG space with a portfo- Forging a New Tata
lio of edible oil brands. Its DRIVING THE salt-to-software Tata group has
`4,500-crore public issue to be among the toughest jobs. For N. Chan-
will see Adani Group being drasekaran, Chairman, Tata Sons, getting it
listed outside infrastruc- ready for the next phase means stepping up
ture, a space where it has existing businesses, as well as taking many hard
made a mark. For Group decisions. The areas of focus include the launch
Chairman Gautam Adani, of the super app TataNeu, integration of Air In-
it is a way to unlock value dia within the group, moving ahead on the steel
in a business and establish business, developing a robust EV model and
itself as a B2C player. making the IT story stronger.
—KRISHNA GOPALAN —KRISHNA GOPALAN

BALANCING CONTRARIAN
THE ECONOMY BANKER
Union Finance Minister EVEN AS central bankers
Nirmala Sitharaman will around the world hike interest
have a tough balancing act rates, Reserve Bank of India
to carry out in the 2022-23 Governor Shaktikanta Das is
Union Budget: accelerating holding firm. He wants to sup-
port growth as long as he can
growth and presenting a
with low interest rates despite

6.8
credible fiscal consolida- the RBI’s inflation projection
tion path. Sitharaman and PER CENT
Of GDP is the hovering around the higher
her team of officers—led fiscal deficit band of 6 per cent. Das has
by Finance Secretary T.V. target for FY22 kept the benchmark repo rate
Somanathan—will need to unchanged at 4 per cent for
ensure augmented spend- price shocks. There’s a need 20 months. But the process of
ing on capital and health to gradually revert to the withdrawing surplus liquidity
to insulate the economy fiscal consolidation path of has begun. Next would be inter-
from external factors such under 6 per cent of GDP. est rates moving up.
as Omicron and global —DILASHA SETH —ANAND ADHIKARI

Business Today 23 January 2022


MARK’S INDIA-VERSE
WITH OVER 500 million local developers and
users across its apps content creators, the
(Facebook, Instagram spotlight is on him as he
and WhatsApp), India taps further into India
plays a crucial role in while navigating regula-
Meta Platforms’ plans. tory challenges, as well
With India revenues
crossing $1 billion and
as criticisms of hate-
mongering and misinfor- TRADE
CEO Mark Zuckerberg
highlighting the role of
mation in his apps.
—VIDYA S.
PARTNER
THE COMMERCE Minis-
try will play an instru-

Looking Beyond the mental role in shaping


India’s new foreign

Disappointment
trade policy in 2022,
which will guide foreign
trade for the next five
Paytm Founder and CEO Vijay Shekhar Sharma has years. The year 2022
crossed the first big hurdle of public listing, but with a can also see a slew of
37 per cent loss at debut for shareholders. However, the bilateral and free trade
market is willing to wait for the company’s shift from a agreements, including
low-margin payments business to lending and wealth FTAs with the UK, the
management. Sharma is already scaling up Paytm’s buy- UAE and Australia. At
the helm of the minis-
now-pay-later offering, personal and merchant loans, and
try, Piyush Goyal, the
the credit card business. At some stage in the future, the government’s trouble-
43-year-old will need a full-scale banking licence to raise shooter for all seasons,
low-cost funds and earn high yields in the lending busi- has his task cut out.
ness. The road to profitability is still some distance away. | 21
—RAJAT MISHRA
—ANAND ADHIKARI

37
PER CENT
Loss for shareholders at
Paytm’s initial public offering
in November last year

Number of
acquisitions by Highway
Bengaluru-based Hurricane
BYJU’S in 2021, REGARDED AS among
including the GLOBAL the best performers in
PM Modi’s team, Nitin
$1-billion acqui- VOYAGER Gadkari, Minister of
Road Transport & High-
sition of Aakash ways, has his hands full
Educational The son of two schoolteachers from a village in Kerala, for 2022. NHAI has to
award a project pipeline
Services and Byju Raveendran is gearing up to take his edtech
behemoth to the public market. At $21 billion, BYJU’S is of `4 lakh crore by 2024.
some big-ticket the most valued start-up in India and the world’s most The development of 22
greenfield expressways

10
global purchases valuable edtech company. Raveendran is aggressively to connect major eco-
focussing on growth outside the domestic market now. nomic centres is well on
The company made 10 acquisitions in 2021, including his radar. Plans are also
some big-ticket purchases in the global market. With a afoot to provide broad-
potential public listing and plans of global expansion, band connectivity along
2022 will be a crucial year for Raveendran and BYJU’S. greenfield highways.
—BINU PAUL —MANISH PANT

Business Today 23 January 2022


THE BUZZ — SPOTLIGHT

INFRA’S
FINANCIER
The National Bank for Financing Infra-
structure and Development is expected
to play a key role in meeting the funding
requirements of the infrastructure sec-
tor of the world’s fifth-largest economy.
And as its first Chairperson, banker K.V.

CAPTAIN
Kamath will be in the limelight. Keep-
ing an open mind on lending up to `4
ON DECK lakh crore to finance both soft and hard
infrastructure over the next three years,
FROM AN initial capi- he is looking at issuing the first cheque by
tal of `5,000 in 1985 NaBFID in the June quarter.
to a net worth of over
`40,000 crore in 2021, —MANISH PANT
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala’s

`4
has been a success sto- LAKH CRORE
ry. The Big Bull, who has Financing target for
a stake in over 35 listed NaBFID over the
next three years
companies, is going to
promote the new airline
Akasa Air in the summer
of 2022. He is trying his
luck in aviation, which is
reeling from the impact
22 | of the pandemic. How-
ever, he is known for TOWARDS NET-ZERO

KAMATH PHOTOGRAPH BY RACHIT GOSWAMI; AGARWAL PHOTOGRAPH BY LANTERN CAMERA


taking tough decisions
that have helped him Overhauling India’s energy demands by pushing
accumulate massive for renewable energy is one of the most ambitious
wealth in the past. projects of Prime Minister Narendra Modi. This
—RAHUL OBEROI makes Power Minister Raj Kumar Singh a key
person to watch out for in 2022. Under Singh’s
stewardship, India will strive to reach the target
of 175 GW renewable energy generation in 2022.
With a likely investment of over $15 billion, the
sector will witness a boom in 2022. The year will
also see many policy changes as the country moves
towards achieving the net-zero target by 2070, as
announced by PM Modi at COP26.
—RAJAT MISHRA

BRAVING THE STORM The attempt to


IN SPITE of early success in the courtroom battle acquire a 49
against Reliance, Amazon India, headed by veteran
Amit Agarwal, is entering the new year with bigger
per cent stake
challenges. The 2019 deal to acquire a 49 per cent in Kishore
stake in Kishore Biyani’s Future Coupons has turned Biyani’s Future
into the biggest bone of contention between the
world’s largest e-commerce player and Mukesh
Coupons
Ambani’s aspirations in the Indian retail space. has become
Agarwal is likely to take the legal route as now only the biggest
a favourable verdict from the higher judiciary can
challenge for
turn the tide in Amazon’s favour.
the Amazon
—ARNAB DUTTA
India head

Business Today 23 January 2022


THE NEW WORKPLACE
WITH THE pandemic how they go about imple-
changing how people menting hybrid work
work, organisations are models. The two firms
experimenting with hy- could also set the trend
brid work policies. The for how Indian IT firms,
CEOs of Alphabet and one of the largest em-
INSURING Microsoft, Sundar Pichai
(pictured) and Satya
ployers of the country’s
white-collar workforce,
THE INSURER Nadella, respectively, are
sure to grab eyeballs on
roll out their own plans.
—VIDYA S.
LIC’S DEBUT on the
stock exchange, likely by
March 2022, will be one
of the year’s most keenly
watched events. All eyes The Cricketer and
will be on Chairperson
M.R. Kumar, who will the Broadcaster
steer the insurance behe- As BCCI President, former cricket captain Sourav Gan-
moth, with its total 1.3 mil- guly will be at the centre of the action around the auction
lion agents (as of March for IPL’s broadcasting and digital rights for the 2023-27
2021), over 100,000 period, due in early 2022. Star India—and its OTT player
employees and `34 lakh
Disney+ Hotstar—holds the rights for the 2018-22 period,
crore of assets to a public
listing. With millions of for which it had paid `16,348 crore. This time around,
LIC policyholders across the IPL has reportedly set its sights on making around
the country, the IPO will $5 billion (around `37,500 crore) from the auction. With
be the talk of the town. Zee Entertainment, Sony Pictures Networks, Mukesh
Ambani-owned Network18, and Star & Disney India in
—TEENA JAIN KAUSHAL | 23
the game, it will be a tough contest.
—VIDYA S.

$5
BILLION
The amount that the BCCI is eyeing from the
upcoming auction for the IPL’s broadcasting and
digital rights for the 2023-27 period

STILL DRIVING
Luxe Shift TATA MOTORS
Acquisition of domestic
THERE WAS a time when cars by
BUTSCHEK PHOTOGRAPH BY RACHIT GOSWAMI

brands points to a shift in


focus for Reliance Brands. Tata Motors were used more as tax-
After acquiring stakes in is than for personal use. In the last
five years, outgoing MD and CEO
brands such as Manish Mal- Guenter Butschek has not only
hotra and Ritu Kumar, CEO transformed the company’s image,
Darshan Mehta formed but also made it synonymous with
a 60:40 JV with Anamika EVs. But now, the company finds
Khanna for owning and de- itself in a tough spot after plans to
veloping the brand AK-OK. hire former Daimler AG Manager
However, he is up against Marc Llistosella fell flat. Butschek,
rival Aditya Birla Fashion who stepped down in June 2021,
and Retail, which pumped is expected to continue in the
first half of 2022 as a consultant.
in `398 crore and `67 crore Analysts say he might continue for
into Sabyasachi and Tarun another year till the company finds
Tahiliani, respectively. a suitable replacement.
—SMITA TRIPATHI —PRERNA LIDHOO
THE BUZZ — SPOTLIGHT

SPLIT AHEAD
The Godrej Group will see signifi-
cant steps taken towards dividing
the $4-billion conglomerate between
two groups. One is led by the families
of Adi Godrej and his brother Nadir,
and the other by their cousins Jam-
shyd and Smitha. The group has a
presence in sectors such as consumer
goods, appliances, real estate and

$4
agriculture. With the best bankers
and lawyers overseeing the process, BILLION
it is learnt that most of the work will Worth of Godrej Group, which
has a presence in FMCG, real

THE BULL
be done over the next few months. estate, agribusiness, etc.
—KRISHNA GOPALAN
RIDER
RADHAKISHAN DAMANI
made over $9 billion in 2021
ON THE back of the government’s pro-
and became India’s fifth
duction-linked incentive scheme (PLI),
richest person, thanks to a
the domestic electronics manufacturing
70 per cent rally in Avenue
industry is expected to grow 30 per cent
Supermarts shares and his
in 2022. As the central government fo-
rising investment in other
cusses on moving up the global supply
listed companies, includ-
chain, Ashwini Vaishnaw, the Minister
ing India Cements. Select
24 | for Electronics and Information Technol-
brokerages are
ogy, is likely to announce a PLI scheme
bullish on Avenue Su-
for wearables in April. Under his minis-

AGGARWAL PHOTOGRAPH BY VIVAN MEHRA


permarts, as well as the
try’s vision of 1,000 days, he will also fo-
overall stock market going
cus on AI, blockchain, quantum comput-
ahead. Any further rally in
ing, and prepare a skilled IT workforce
equities may further
of 10 million. The minister, a masters in
increase his net worth,
DIGITALISING
technology from IIT Kanpur with an MBA
which stood at $24.4 billion
from Wharton business school, US, is
on December 28, 2021, ac-
cording to the Bloomberg
Billionaires Index.
THE NATION spearheading two more important min-
istries: Railways and Communications.
—NIDHI SINGAL
—RAHUL OBEROI

INDIA’S VC NO. 1 TIME TO


Sumer Juneja’s meteoric DELIVER
rise to become the Manag- AFTER MULTIPLE delays in de-
ing Partner at SoftBank livery, problems for Ola Electric
in just three years is an scooters seem to have only
unusual feat. Juneja, begun. The company is facing
Partner and Head of India, questions over its product and

$10
SoftBank, is credited service. Customers have been
with steering it in a new BILLION told that much-hyped features
SoftBank’s India such as digital key and reverse
direction in the country. investment mode will be available only by
SoftBank writes smaller target for 2022 June 2022. Social media is also
cheques and enters compa- littered with complaints. CEO
nies very early in their life- Bhavish Aggarwal said 4,000
cycle now. The company is visers, said that it is ready to hypercharger points will be
expected to exceed its 2021 invest as much as $10 billion operational in 2022, but what
investment figures of $3.2 in India. Juneja will be lead- would be the use of these if one
billion. Rajeev Misra, CEO, ing this aggressive growth. has no scooter or a broken one?
SoftBank Investment Ad- —BINU PAUL —PRERNA LIDHOO

Business Today 23 January 2022


DIFFERENT STROKES
OVER THE years, Indian same in a recent interview.
Hotels Company Ltd, Last year, the company
the parent company of launched two new busi-
Taj Hotels, has become nesses—amã Stays & Trails
asset light. Going for- and Qmin food delivery.
ward, growth will come Chhatwal is bullish on
mainly through man-
agement contracts.
2022, which might see new
businesses and the scaling MIDAS
CEO and MD Puneet
Chhatwal indicated the
up of existing brands. TOUCH
—SMITA TRIPATHI
TATA STEEL’S buyout
of Bhushan Steel for
`35,200 crore in May
Spearheading the 2018 took a while to
wrap up. It was the first
Privatisation Drive case under The Insol-
vency and Bankruptcy
Department of Investment and Public Asset Management Code, but took its time
(DIPAM) Secretary Tuhin Kanta Pandey pulled off one of before it went to India’s
oldest conglomerate.
the most complicated sales—the disinvestment of the govern-
It was a high-quality
ment’s stake in Air India—in 2021. In 2022, Pandey will be asset that fell on bad
in focus again, spearheading the government’s privatisation times, but in two years,
drive with full force. He will lead the stake sale in some key T.V. Narendran, Tata
corporations such as Life Insurance Corporation of India, Steel’s CEO and MD, has
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd, Shipping Corporation of turned it around. The
India, Pawan Hans Ltd, Container Corporation of India, next step is to sustain
IDBI Bank, among others. the growth story. | 25
—RAJAT MISHRA —KRISHNA GOPALAN

Tuhin Kanta Pandey will lead the stake sale in some key cor-
PANDEY PHOTOGRAPH BY YASIR IQBAL

porations such as Life Insurance Corporation of India, Bharat


Petroleum Corporation Ltd, Shipping Corporation of India,
Pawan Hans Ltd, Container Corporation of India, etc.

The number of
jobs the
cryptocurrency
tech market has Zooming In
the potential ZOOM VIDEO Com-
munications, one of the
to create in the biggest beneficiaries of
country by the the pandemic, is likely
to have another signifi-
year 2030,
according to a
SPREADING WINGS cant year as video calls
become essential fix-
WITH CRYPTO going mainstream, India saw a massive tures at work. Although
September 2021 surge in the number of users in 2021. It is expected the company’s revenue
Nasscom report to rise exponentially if the Cryptocurrency Bill gets growth has slowed in re-

0.8
passed in Parliament in 2022. Big players such as cent quarters, Zoom and
(L to R in the picture above) Nischal Shetty, Founder its CEO Eric Yuan are
likely to be in the news
and CEO of WazirX, Ashish Singhal, Founder and as it explores collabora-
CEO of CoinSwitch Kuber, and Sumit Gupta, CEO of tions with rivals such as
CoinDCX, seem all ready to cash in on the wave. The Cisco Webex, Microsoft
growing interest should also push the industry towards Teams and Google Meet
innovation and generating more employment. to stay relevant.
MILLION
—TEENA JAIN KAUSHAL —VIDYA S.

Business Today 23 January 2022


COVER STORY — BNPL

THE BNPL
MANIA
THERE’S A NEW GENIE IN TOWN.
IT’S CALLED BUY NOW, PAY
LATER, AND IT PROMISES TO
DELIVER ALL YOU NEED
THROUGH QUICK, VERY
SHORT-TERM,
INTEREST-FREE LOANS. BUT THIS
GENIE COMES WITH SIGNIFICANT
RISKS—HIDDEN COSTS, NEW
TO CREDIT POPULATION WITH
NO CREDIT BUREAU RECORDS,
LACK OF FINANCIAL LITERACY IN
SMALLER TOWNS, AND
REGULATORY GAPS. BNPL’S
VALUE PROPOSITION IS
UNDENIABLE, BUT SO IS THE
SPECTRE OF CONSUMERS
GETTING SUCKED INTO
UNCONTROLLED SPENDING, AND
SPIRALLING DEBT
BY TEENA JAIN KAUSHAL AND ANAND ADHIKARI
ILLUSTRATION BY ANIRBAN GHOSH
option for equated monthly instalments (EMIs) after
the end of an interest-free period. The allure of BNPL
is that, unlike traditional loans, these are small-ticket
loans of as low as `3,000 for daily consumption purpos-
es. It’s similar to a credit card but without the hassles
of an application process, card-swiping infrastructure,
and separate limits for purchases and cash withdrawals.
Critically, there is scant checking of a borrower’s credit
bureau score and only a cursory check, if at all, of their
income statements before they get the loan. Sometimes
in minutes.
Little wonder, then, that BNPL has exploded in popu-
larity in India. The current BNPL market is worth $3-3.5
billion (`22,500-26,250 crore) and is expected to reach
an eye-popping $45-50 billion (`3.37-3.75 lakh crore)
by 2026, according to consultancy firm RedSeer. At
this rate, BNPL is all set to overshadow the traditional
credit markets that, after decades of effort, stack up at
`8.65 lakh crore for personal loans at banks and `1.23
lakh crore for outstanding credit card debt. The growth
thesis is simple. India’s credit card population is only 67
million, while banks are content with the top 100 million
crème de la crème. In comparison, the current count of
28 | 250 million Indians making digital spends on apps and
IS YOUR ELECTRIC bill lying unpaid? Or perhaps e-commerce portals will rise to 500-600 million in the
your gas bill? Is your phone recharge due, or cable bill? Is next three to four years. This is the BNPL target audi-
it because you are running a little low on cash or want to ence. “There is a large population of eligible credit users
spend elsewhere? Well, Freecharge, a Gurugram-based in the market who have zero credit bureau footprint,”
fintech, has you covered with an instant one-month, says Upasana Taku, COO and Co-founder of MobiKwik,
interest-free loan up to `10,000. Not just for utilities, one of India’s largest BNPL players.
but similar loans with flexible repayment schemes are
also available at the checkout page of an Amazon or a
Flipkart, whether you buy an iPhone or a perfume. Ride-
hailing firm Ola lets you pay for all trips at once, every
15 days. And in case your holiday plan seems just out of

BNPL IS NOT
your wallet’s reach, travel aggregator MakeMyTrip is
ready to finance your tickets and hotel bookings. Just

ONLY THE MOST


buy now and pay later.
BNPL, as the loan product is popularly called, is the

ATTRACTIVE,
latest financial pied piper, leading the millennial and
Gen Z generations as well as borrowers in under-served

BUT ALSO THE


and unbanked smaller towns into the world of credit.
The lyrics accompanying the tune are just as alluring—

ONLY OPTION
‘dream big, pay small’. And these first-time borrowers
are following in hordes as they are, more often than not,

AVAILABLE TO
denied loans in the traditional banking system since
they lack a credit history.

FIRST-TIME BOR-
In less than a decade, BNPL has become a global craze,
spanning Sweden to Australia and the US to the UK. Un-

ROWERS SHUNNED
like traditional bank loans—such as to buy a house or a
car, or personal loans—BNPL is a point-of-sale product.

BY BANKS
The borrower gets the option of an instant, short-term
loan with a deferred repayment tenure, including the

Business Today 23 January 2022


COVER STORY — BNPL

FUELLING
THE BNPL FIRE
A look at why there is a
And this potential has birthed boom in buy now, pay later rised to speak to the media. So, it
a host of BNPL platforms. On the use cases is no accident that BNPL’s growing
other hand, many existing payment popularity coincides with Indians’
platforms, digital wallet operators financial vulnerability in the wake
1 Changing consumption
and even major e-commerce com- patterns, rising of the Covid-19 pandemic. In fact,
panies have built a BNPL offering aspirations in smaller the pandemic only accelerated and
on top of their existing payments towns solidified its adoption.
business. Now one can get BNPL 2 One-click offerings, Experts suggest that there is no
offers from Paytm Postpaid, Mo- seamless KYC and problem with the BNPL product
biKwik, Freecharge, ZestMoney, onboarding per se but there are several risks
LazyPay, ePaylater, CapitalFloat, that come from hidden costs, lack
3 Apps integrated
Amazon Pay, among others. Even into the shopping of disclosures and transparency,
traditional banks are jumping in. and buying journey, and a new-to-credit population
Axis Bank bought Freecharge from growing e-commerce with no credit history. The lack of
business and online
e-commerce firm Snapdeal for payments
financial literacy in general, and
`385 crore in July 2017. in smaller towns in particular, is
There are a couple of versions 4
Rising smartphone harmful to borrowers but advan-
of BNPL loans. The first is for adoption, low tageous for lenders. “There is no
acquisition costs for
small-value transactions such as BNPL companies free lunch. If somebody is saying
e-grocery bills and online ticket- zero per cent, there is someone
ing. Here, there is no loan per se, 5 Credit to first-time else who is paying it,” says Madhu-
borrowers and
but the payment is deferred. There sudanan R., Co-founder and CEO
coverage of small
is no interest if the amount is paid towns and cities of digital banking infrastructure
on time, but a default attracts pen- provider M2P Fintech. Besides, | 29
alties and charges. These loans are 6 Small-ticket loan there are several regulatory loop-
offerings, no
apt for those who defer payments operational costs
holes such as the lack of data pro-
to salary dates or to tide over in tection laws, as well as lender-side
case of a sudden income shortfall. 7 Low-interest rates, issues such as inadequate collec-
The other form of BNPL is similar income cuts, and job tion frameworks.
losses post-pandemic
to a credit card, with EMIs after an For now, though, both borrow-
interest-free repayment window of ers and lenders are laughing all the
about 30-45 days. This is slightly way to the checkout page, enjoying
cheaper than credit cards and fits the new-age avatar of an age-old
in with making indulgent or im- practice.

B
pulsive big-ticket purchases. “The
EMI product is focussing on bridg-
ing the gap between affordabil- ajaj finance pio-
ity and aspiration,” says Siddharth neered BNPL in 2013
Mehta, CEO, Freecharge. and scaled up to cap-
In either case, BNPL can im- ture 80-90 per cent
prove a borrower’s cash flow if of the consumer durable financ-
used prudently by paying the dues ing market. The Pune-based
within the interest-free window. non-banking financial company
But that seldom happens, as seen (NBFC) built the product on the
in the case of credit cards. A credit subvention method by partnering
or loan by any name is based on the with brands that gave discounts
same playbook—the psychology and covered zero interest costs,
of spending. “People end up over- allowing it to offer customers in-
spending. There is a temptation terest-free loans. BNPL, though,
to use it and pay later without re- predates Bajaj by decades in India
alising the implications,” warns a where the first form of lending
private banker who requested ano- was the local kirana store opening
nymity as the person is not autho- a khata, or bills-due book, for cus-
COVER STORY — BNPL

tomers buying on credit. In fact, the underwrite which users should be


credit card was the first organised given how much credit,” says Taku
BNPL product. of MobiKwik.
The concept of using transac- BNPL has also caught the imag-
tion flow to subsidise the cost of ination of India’s middle class,
credit to give consumers a cheaper which is growing in tandem with
credit product, called BNPL, gained the gap between aspiration and af-
popularity in the West over the past “There is a large fordability. “People are becoming
5-7 years, says Lizzie Chapman, population of more aspirational,” says Patel of
CEO and Co-founder of ZestMoney eligible credit users LenDenClub. But they get no sup-
in the market who
and President of the Digital Lenders have zero credit port from the traditional banking
Association of India. Bajaj Finance bureau footprint… system that still demands salary
broadened the concept to cross-sell We have built slips and other proof to ensure in-
other products, increasing its over- our own machine come stability. This is why credit
all returns from each customer. learning sort of penetration is extremely low in
New-age platforms such as Paytm proprietary score. semi-urban and rural areas. Gov-
and BharatPe soon followed suit to This helps us to ernment statistics show the bank
make BNPL ubiquitous. “BNPL can
underwrite which credit outstanding in the rural ar-
users should be
also be exercised on top of credit given how much eas was 10 per cent of GDP in 2019-
cards. Today, all the credit cards credit” 20, a far cry from the 67 per cent
give an option of easy EMIs,” says nationwide number. But the sheer
Bhavin Patel. The Co-founder and UPASANA TAKU potential of this section of the pop-
CEO of LenDenClub, a peer-to- COO & CO-FOUNDER, ulation overshadows any hesitan-
MOBIKWIK
30 | peer lending platform, has another cy and hiccoughs for lenders. “For
observation, “BNPL is a use case a non-salaried customer, there ex-
rather than a product.” ists much patchier data. You have
This ubiquity is because BNPL to use a lot more complexity in
is not only the most attractive but your model to make proxies and
also the only option available to sort of guess on income and ex-
first-time borrowers shunned by penditure. But it’s not impossible.
banks as they have no credit histo- It’s a lot of common sense,” says
ry. Today, more than 50 per cent of Chapman of ZestMoney.
the borrowers on BNPL platforms It’s a lot easier, though, to make
are new to credit. This large popu- models for customers from small-
lation, say industry executives, has er towns and cities, who, according
an unmet credit need for consump- to industry estimates, constitute
tion and discretionary purchases. about a third of all BNPL bor-
“We are only catering to their daily rowers. India’s rising per-capita
use purchases such as grocery and GDP—close to $2,000 now from
milk and shopping needs,” says “For a non-salaried roughly $1,500 a decade ago—re-
Amit Kumar, Founder and CEO customer, there flects the gradual rise in income
of GalaxyCard, which offers an exists much levels. Today, the proliferation of
instantly approved smartphone- patchier data. You e-commerce allows people from
linked credit card. have to use a lot all parts of the country to aspire
In fact, BNPL players under- more complexity for the biggest and best of brands.
write new borrowers based on their in your model And when they fire up their apps,
to make proxies they find a hassle-free BNPL prod-
payment history, whether they be
and sort of guess
for e-shopping or even utility bills. on income and uct at the point of sale that helps
These platforms have proprietary expenditure. But it’s them afford the biggest and best.
models to assess an applicant’s not impossible” That is the core reason for the sky-
creditworthiness. “We have built rocketing popularity of BNPL. “It
LIZZIE CHAPMAN is more a combination of demand
our own machine learning sort of CEO & CO-FOUNDER,
proprietary score. This helps us to ZESTMONEY and the need in the market, and

Business Today 23 January 2022


SHARE OF AMOUNT DISBURSED (%) SHARE OF NUMBER OF LOANS (%)

11.91
7.38

34.42
2.07
51.83

52.76
38.15
NBFCs

0.72
0.47

0.10

0.01
0.19
EVERYONE’S
LENDING

16.49
While the quantum is low,

50.81

27.62
3.99

0.39
0.36
0.73
the number of BNPL loans
BANKS

2.4
36

37

21
3
disbursed is high

PERSONAL LOAN

BNPL

SME LOANS

VEHICLE LOANS

GOLD LOAN

OTHERS

PERSONAL LOAN

BNPL

SME LOANS

VEHICLE LOANS

GOLD LOAN

OTHERS
DATA FOR ONLY DIGITALLY
DISBURSED LOANS
SOURCE: RBI REPORT

RISING NEWEST
HOUSEHOLD DEBT
BNPL could create a debt
30.10% 31.70% 32.50% 37.30% LOAN CRAZE
culture in the long run IN TOWN
FIGURES ARE HOUSEHOLD DEBT
AS PERCENTAGE OF GDP 2017 -18 2018 -19 2019 -20 2020 -21
SOURCE: RBI

NBFC with Payments E-commerce


BNPL brand tie-ups companies companies with
VARIANTS (Bajaj Finance, (Paytm, tie-ups with banks
HDB and other MobiKwik) & NBFCs (Amazon, CURRENT SIZE

$3-3.5
NBFCs) Flipkart)

Loan cycle 3-24 months 0-12 months 3-48 months | 31


Processing fee / 0-6% `0-99 `0-10 BILLION
one-time charges
The market size of the BNPL
Late fees 0-4% per `0-750 `0-600 for the sector in India now is $3-3.5
month on EMI amount outstanding billion or `22,500-26,250 crore
outstanding from `100 to `5,000
plus
Bounce charges `450 2-3% of Depends on lending
outstanding partners
amount for
extension of due
date by a month
Interest rate Zero interest Zero interest up Zero interest up
to 15-30 days. For to 30 days. For
EMI option, 0-24% EMI option, 0-24%
depending on depending on
borrower’s profile borrower’s profile SIZE BY 2026
Other charges `36-46
for credit
bureau costs,
foreclosure
NA NA
$45-50
BILLION
and part
prepayment Estimated size of the market
charges
in 2026 will be $45-50 billion
or `3.37-3.75 lakh crore
Features are not for any specific company, but a general overview of the BNPL structure SOURCE: REDSEER

GLOBAL BNPL players Country Valuations Revenues


RISK Klarna Sweden $46 billlion $1,407 million
Size and scale Affirm US $31 billion $871 million
of global players
point to a AfterPay Australia $19 billion $595 million
systemic risk
Zip Australia $4 billion $282 million
SOURCE: BT RESEARCH Sezzle US $566 million $104 million

GRAPHICS BY RAHUL SHARMA

Business Today 23 January 2022


COVER STORY — BNPL

also the gap in the ecosystem in terms of how


many people have access to credit,” sums up
Mehta of Freecharge. Besides, the prevalent
low-interest-rate regime also helps.
However, the very proliferation of BNPL
platforms has created its own problem. These
new borrowers are availing BNPL offers on
platforms without disclosing how many short-
term loans they have accumulated. “So, the “Typically, the credit “While BNPL loans
subsequent lender doesn’t know if there is a limits in BNPL are initially see a higher
problem in the behaviour of the customer,” says less than `25,000... delinquency rate
a financial expert at a Big Four consultancy it is feasible to compared to standard
adequately measure credit products, over
firm. As a result, many new-to-credit borrowers and manage risk the long term,
have multiple credit lines that ultimately result [even for] new-to- they can perform
in over-leveraging. Unsurprisingly, the delin- credit customers” equally well”
quency rate in new-to-credit customers is high-
er than the average in an unsecured portfolio. VIJAY MANI SRIRAM RAMNARAYAN
However, BNPL players defend themselves PARTNER, DELOITTE COUNTRY HEAD, INDIA AND
INDIA SOUTH-EAST ASIA BUSINESS,
by arguing that they are testing and experi- CREDITAS SOLUTIONS
menting with first-time borrowers by giving
them small loan limits. As they use and repay
the older loans, the platforms gradually make
these borrowers eligible for bigger loans, while
32 | weeding out the truants. And all the while, their
models are learning from the accumulated data.
All this, to get more eligible borrowers and
issue more loans. The huge influx of private equity data armoury, claim BNPL players, to help check the
capital into the sector has forced BNPL companies to ‘intent’ factor. “We have developed models that are ac-
aggressively build their portfolio to not only beat their curate, predictive, and far superior to something like
rivals but also satiate their investors. That means they a credit bureau file because, by definition, on a new-
make it easy, way too easy, to get a loan. If you apply on to-credit customer, the credit bureau file will be very,
four or five different platforms, you can comfortably get very scant,” says Chapman of ZestMoney. In fact, BNPL
multiple loans totalling `1 lakh without any proof of in- platforms say the past two pandemic years have helped
come and with minimal paperwork. stress-test their underwriting models.
This is because BNPL players mainly rely on assess- The small ticket sizes also make it easier for compa-
ing a borrower’s creditworthiness through the very nar- nies to carry out their risk assessment, says Vijay Mani,
row parameters of their e-commerce and e-payments Partner at Deloitte India. “Typically, the credit limits
history. “We use analytics to understand a consumer’s in BNPL are less than `25,000. As a result of all these
background and get insights into their purchasing be- factors, it is feasible to adequately measure and man-
haviour to determine their spending limit and ensure age risk, even considering that BNPL is often associated
that they are not over-leveraged,” says Anup Agrawal, with new-to-credit customers,” he says.
business head of PayU-owned BNPL provider LazyPay. However, the rising NPAs (non-performing assets) in

S
BNPL loan books indicate that while risk management
may be feasible, lenders are perhaps a little too relaxed
o, how do they assess a customer’s intent in their approach. “The NPA estimates show that the
or ability to repay when there is scant data on delinquencies are in double digits in BNPL portfolios,
their income and savings? By data triangula- which indicates that the BNPL players are not doing a
tion. For instance, the platform compares a great job of correctly assessing the creditworthiness,”
customer’s residence address in the mandatory KYC says the consultant. But they also explain, “BNPL is an
(know your customer) document and the delivery ad- unsecured loan after all. Historically, the NPAs are high-
dress keyed into the shopping portal. If they are differ- er in the unsecured segment.”
ent, it is red-flagged as a deliberate ploy to avoid pay- Besides, BNPL lenders start with small-ticket loans
ment. There are many other such factors in their digital and increase the limit only based on customer behav-

Business Today 23 January 2022


iour, adds Sriram Ramnarayan, Country Head, India of a proper customer protection framework in some
and South-East Asia Business, Creditas Solutions. “So, regions.
while BNPL loans initially see a higher delinquency rate All this cries out for stricter regulatory oversight, not
compared to standard credit products, over the long just to protect customers but also the economy.

C
term, they can perform equally well,” he predicts.
But the risks in small-ticket lending are dispropor-
tionately higher. “If you look at credit bureau data, the learly, bnpl, an unsecured, small-ticket
small-ticket lending has a pretty high risk compared to loan product, is expanding in the unknown
a large-ticket lending business,” a credit bureau offi- territory of new credit borrowers in smaller
cial says on condition of anonymity. And won’t numer- geographies. And if Indian BNPL players
ous small credit transactions make it more difficult grow to the size of some of their global counterparts,
for borrowers to keep a track of their total credit lines there is a likely debt trap ahead for these borrowers.
and, therefore, to repay on time? Not quite, says Shilpa India’s household debt to GDP has already grown
Mankar Ahluwalia, who leads the fintech practice at from 30 per cent in 2017-18 to 37 per cent in 2019-20,
law firm Shardul Amarchand Mangaldas. “The size of even without the BNPL mania. But that debt is still sub-
the loan is not really correlated to the risk of default,” stantially lower than in other major countries—the US
she says. is at 77 per cent, whereas China is at 62 per cent. That
Chapman pitches in, saying there is a positive selec- alone shows there is an opportunity for BNPL players to
tion bias while selecting borrowers as BNPL platforms help Indians accumulate debt. Indeed, it is necessary for
work with merchants and within a transaction frame- the economy, reasons Patel of LenDenClub. “If we are
work. “You are not targeting credit-seeking customers aiming for a $5-trillion economy, some amount of debt
who are desperate for credit. Instead, you are working will have to be taken. No country has developed without
alongside consumer durable brands and offering fi- taking debt.”
nance at the point of sale so that it leads to low risk,” But the staggering growth in the unsecured BNPL | 33
she reasons. In fact, BNPL players say they’re helping market could put the entire financial system at risk
people in smaller geographies test and cultivate their down the line. Especially if platforms cut corners. There
creditworthiness before they graduate to the big-tick- are instances of companies not doing proper KYC docu-
et home or auto loans. “A credit card
will rip them off whereas a BNPL
credit journey will help in creating
a good credit culture,” says a fin-
tech executive who did not want to
be identified as criticising another
loan product.
Experts, however, argue that
people from smaller towns and cit- BNPL PLAYERS
ies are too naive to understand the
implications of over-leveraging. But UNDERWRITE NEW
lending is only one side of the BNPL
coin; collection is the other equally BORROWERS BASED
important side. Banks and the larger
NBFCs have mastered this over the ON THEIR PAYMENT
years and have well-oiled collection
machinery. But unregulated entities HISTORY
or over-aggressive players can use
hard collections methods. There have been instances of mentation or credit bureau checks. Sometimes they
a few Chinese BNPL firms operating like local money- don’t even report a default to the credit bureau agencies.
lenders and deploying arm-twisting collection methods. “This kind of lax attitude could lead to over-leveraging,
In fact, law enforcement agencies are investigating a few which in turn increases the default rate, which also has
of them after borrowers died by suicide in some cases. the potential to impact the entity and the entire ecosys-
There are also a host of other issues that catch first- tem,” says a retired banker on condition of anonymity.
time borrowers unawares. These range from improper This is exactly what happened in the wake of the 2008
or unclear disclosures on the interest terms to the lack financial crisis when many foreign lenders such as Citi-

Business Today 23 January 2022


COVER STORY — BNPL

MAKINGS OF A TRAP
The rise in BNPL loans could be potentially
dangerous. Here’s why

financial and Fullerton had Afterpay, Klarna, PayPal,


to shutter their small-ticket, and Zip are already on the
unsecured loan business. radar of US regulators for
In India, these short- issues ranging from regu-
term loans are growing at latory arbitrage to data
a fast clip. At the system harvesting. The UK regu-
level, traditional banks lator is also exploring a
have less than 10 per cent of FOR BORROWERS 4 No stress testing regulatory framework for
their lending in unsecured of the loan the BNPL industry.
1 Availing loan for portfolio for
assets. Conversely, this consumption and higher interest
Back home, the Re-
number is very substantial discretionary rates or slowdown serve Bank of India (RBI)
purchases in the economy
for business models like recently came out with
small finance banks (SFBs), 2 No history of loan No focus on a working group paper
or credit bureau 5
NBFCs and fintechs. And collection and on digital lending, which
records recovery
unlike banks, these lend- also includes BNPL. “The
3 Availing multiple
ers don’t have a diversified BNPL products RBI working group has
FOR
book to absorb any NPA without realising clearly said that BNPL
REGULATORS
shocks. Mani of Deloitte, the implications can only be done by NBF-
though, argues that BNPLs Over-leveraging, 1 No verification Cs or licensed entities as
4 agency for digital
pose a lesser systemic risk creating a bad a balance sheet product,”
lending apps
bureau record for
than other digital lending future loans such 2 Flourishing illegal
says Ahluwalia of Shardul
products where there is low as home or auto digital lending Amarchand Mangaldas.
to no visibility on spends 5 Lack of financial Apps collecting The issue here is that the
3
34 | and where the value at risk literacy all kinds of entire BNPL ecosystem
is much greater. customer data of credit assessment,
FOR BNPL from apps
While some industry and social
consumer protection,
experts say the current eco- PLAYERS data privacy and payment
media, data
nomic environment isn’t 1 Not doing proper privacy issues recovery is outside the
KYC, which is
ideal to assess the perfor- dangerous 4 No reporting to banking system. More-
mance of BNPL players, credit bureaus, over, there isn’t much
2 Not checking bad credit culture
others say these platforms with bureaus
control over the disclo-
are not stress-testing their 5
No guidelines sure practices regarding
3 Chasing growth on disclosure
business models enough and boosting of annualised charges and interest rates
to manage worse circum- valuations interest rate at unregulated front-end
stances. The traditional companies.
banks and NBFCs have There is also the pos-
gone through many cycles sibility of BNPL firms
and understand the risk if sharing customer data
things go bust. On the other hand, BNPL players are yet without consent, or even selling data to third parties.
to see a full economic cycle, from boom to bust. How- What does one do in such cases? “An aggrieved borrow-
ever, it is for this very reason that one should not judge er should reach out to the customer support team of the
BNPL, says Ramnarayan of Creditas Solutions. “High solution provider who will be able to help them with the
growth and competition exist in sectors other than issue,” says Agrawal of LazyPay.
BNPL, but it doesn’t mean that players are compromis- For now, though, borrowers aggrieved by the tradi-
ing on credit standards. Let’s not hold a sector guilty be- tional lending system are reaching out to BNPL plat-
fore it has seen the light of the day,” he says. forms in hordes for credit. Its ease and mere availability
But that’s no reason for regulators to stay on the override their concerns, if any. Two months ago, fintech
sidelines, especially as non-bank entities such as e- BharatPe entered the fray with an interesting market-
commerce companies are offering BNPL options. ing tagline, “De Dena Aaram se.” That translates to “take
These companies, like Amazon Pay, have prepaid pay- your time in paying back”.
ment licences and partner with lenders at the back end Taking on debt never sounded more enticing.
to facilitate the loans. Globally, too, BNPL is giving
regulators a headache. Major players such as Affirm, @Teena_Kaushal, @anandadhikari

Business Today 23 January 2022


ECONOMY — ALPHABET ECONOMICS

TRACKING THE PATTERN TAX POSITIVE


A comparison between YoY and QoQ GDP growth Revenue mop-up in 2021-22 looks to exceed
budget target by 15-20 per cent, providing
the government with spending buffer
25 20.1
YoY GDP GROWTH (%)
20

(83%)
NET TAX REVENUE (` CRORE) 12,00,000
15 Year-on-year
10 8.4 GDP growth 10,00,000
5.4 4.6 3.3 3 appears like

(20%)

(3%)
5 8,00,000

(4%)
0.5 1.6

(-16%)
a V-shaped
0 recovery… 6,00,000
-5
-7.4
-10 4,00,000

10,53,135
6,83,486

5,75,697
6,33,617

6,61,113
-15 2,00,000
-20
0
-25 -24.4 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22
25 22.3
QoQ GDP GROWTH (%)
20
15
9.9 10
…but CAPEX DRIVE
7.5 sequential Pick-up in capital expenditure to act as a
10 6.2 plotting multiplier for growth
5 -0.1
1.3 suggests a

(28%)
0 3,00,000
W-shaped CAPEX (` CRORE)
-5 recovery 2,50,000
(14%)

-4.1
(-2%)

-10
(30%)

(9%)

-15 2,00,000
-16.9
-20 1,50,000
-25
-29.7 1,00,000
-30
2,53,270
2,01,273
1,62,795

1,77,099

1,97,355

50,000
Q1 FY20

Q2 FY20

Q3 FY20

Q4 FY20

Q1 FY21

Q2 FY21

Q3 FY21

Q4 FY21

Q1 FY22

Q2 FY22

0
2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22

SOURCE: MOSPI FIGURES IN BRACKETS INDICATE GROWTH


SOURCE: CONTROLLER GENERAL OF ACCOUNTS

GRAPHICS BY RAHUL SHARMA

IS IT A V? IS IT A K? L? U? W? THE PATTERN OF INDIA’S ECONOMIC


RECOVERY HAS GOT INDIA’S TOP ECONOMISTS SEIZED IN A BIZARRE
GAME OF ALPHABET ECONOMICS. MEANWHILE, THERE’S ANOTHER
SHAPE THAT’S THREATENING TO PUT THE RECOVERY INTO AN ‘O’ LOOP.
IT’S CALLED OMICRON, AND IT COULD BE A NASTY CUSTOMER
By DILASHA SETH AND RAJAT MISHRA

Business Today 23 January 2022


CLIMBING UP EXPORTS RISE
India’s wholesale inflation touched a series high of 14.23% in November Exports look set to touch the $400-billion
target for the fiscal and were already at
$263 billion by November
CPI-WPI: DIVERGING INFLATIONARY PATHS (%) 400
15 14.23 EXPORTS ($ BILLION)
350
13.11
Inflation rising 300
11.57 11.8 12.54
12 on account 250
10.74 12.07 11.64 of high
200
commodity
9 and fuel 150
7.61 7.89 prices 100

400.00
330.00
302.84
274.60
6.93

291.80
313.36
6.3 6.26 50
6 5.03 5.52 5.3
4.59 4.48 0
5.59 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22*
4.83 4.91
3 2.29 4.06 4.23 4.35 *TARGET FOR 2021-22
1.31 2.51 SOURCE:
1.95 DEPARTMENT OF
0 COMMERCE
OCT-20

NOV-20

DEC-20

JAN-21

FEB-21

MAR-21

APR-21

MAY-21

JUN-21

JUL-21

AUG-21

SEP-21

OCT-21

NOV-21

SOURCE: MINISTRY OF COMMERCE AND INDUSTRY


CONSUMER PRICE INFLATION WHOLESALE PRICE INFLATION

FM NIRMALA SITHARAMAN’S UPCOMING


BUDGET 2022-23 COULD BE AN OPPORTUNITY
FOR THE GOVERNMENT TO TAKE THE
ECONOMY INTO ACCELERATION MODE

PHOTOGRAPH BY BANDEEP SINGH

-0.5%
Year-on-year gross
60%
Capacity utilisation at
40%
Labour force
bank credit growth the aggregate level for participation rate
to micro and small manufacturing in Q1 of compared to 43 per
enterprises remained FY22, down from 69.4% cent before
negative in Oct 2021 in the previous quarter the pandemic

Business Today 23 January 2022


T
ECONOMY — ALPHABET ECONOMICS

ing Union Budget 2022-23 could be


an opportunity for the government
to take the economy into accelera-
tion mode with a targeted approach
for key sectors to boost consump-
tion, which remains weak.
Former chief statistician of
India Pronab Sen clearly sees
economic recovery taking the K
shape, indicating widening dis-
parity between large companies
and micro, small and medium en-
terprises (MSMEs), including the
informal segment. Weak demand
outlook due to depressed wages
and low employment will make
the economic recovery rickety go-
ing forward, he cautions. “The
upward-going tail of the K is cor-
porate India, which is doing very
well. The downward part of the K is
THERE’S A GAME afoot amongst the rest of India, the non-corporate
economists and all and sundry who and non-agriculture sector. That is
38 | are engaged in the matter of fore- problematic. The MSMEs are the
casting economic growth. It’s called employment generators and they
Alphabet Economics. And it’s about have suffered the most. Till that
predicting the shape of the GDP sector starts picking up and wages
growth rate curve, after the batter- start picking up, the economy is
ing received at the hands of the Co- going to remain very fragile,” says PHOTOGRAPH BY CHANDRADEEP KUMAR
vid-19 pandemic. Will it be a V? K? Sen, who is currently Country Di-
L? U? Or a W? India’s former chief rector of International Growth
economic advisor K.V. Subramanian Centre, an economic think-tank.
is betting big on a V-shaped revival, The moratorium of six months a demand slump. “In this five-
while others including International (March-August 2020) by the Re- year period, the corporate sector
Monetary Fund (IMF) Chief Econo- serve Bank of India (RBI) on term has taken up a large part of the mar-
mist Gita Gopinath are calling it a loans announced as a Covid-19 ket share that these MSMEs used to
K-shaped one, indicating widening response did prevent the death of have,” says Sen. “Now, getting the
inequality or uneven recovery. Even MSMEs momentarily, but did little to MSMEs back is not going to be easy;
the data indicates two alphabets—V help them survive longer due to corporates will fight to protect
and W (see charts). Plotting sequen- their turf.” Aditi Nayar, Chief
tial quarterly GDP growth shows a Economist at ICRA, who esti-
W-shaped recovery (with two sharp mates the net loss to the econo-
dips), but plotting annualised GDP my between FY21 and FY23 from
growth appears V-shaped, or as N.R. the pandemic at `39.3 lakh crore

`39.3
Bhanumurthy, Vice Chancellor of in real terms, also sees “a clear K-
BASE University puts it—a smoking shaped divergence amongst the
pipe-shaped recovery. formal and informal parts of the
Despite the downside risks from LAKH CRORE economy, and the large gaining at
the big O—the Omicron variant of Net loss to economy the cost of the small”.
the coronavirus—most economists between FY21 & FY23, The MSME stress is visible
believe that the worst may actually as per experts from RBI’s data on bank credit as
be behind us. And that Finance Min- well. The year-on-year gross bank
ister Nirmala Sitharaman’s upcom- credit growth to micro and small

Business Today 23 January 2022


A file photo of workers
at a footwear factory in
Bahadurgarh, Haryana

MANY
ECONOMISTS
AGREE THAT
MSMEs LOST
REVENUE
MARKET
SHARE TO
LARGE | 39
COMPANIES
DURING THE
PANDEMIC

enterprises remained negative at in demand and liquidity crunch,” recently said that credit demand was
-0.5 per cent in October 2021 for says Pradeep Multani, President of still missing in the economy, largely
the second straight month fol- trade and industry body PHDCCI on account of “the very, very wide
lowing two months of positive (PHD Chamber of Commerce and output gap”, which according to him
growth. This compares with an 8.1 Industry). In contrast, the aggre- “will take several years to close”.
per cent growth in October 2020. gate earnings of Nifty companies (Output gap or capacity utilisation
Comparatively, overall gross bank grew in double digits at 37 per cent is the gap between output capacity
credit was up 6.8 per cent, against year-on-year in the second quarter and actual output.) Patra blamed it
5.1 per cent in October 2021. Even ended September, with revenues up on the missing private investment
this nearly 7 per cent credit growth by 31 per cent. The bigger firms re- and private demand, which he said
is too low for an economy of India’s portedly raised their revenue mar- is due to the fact that corporates
size and growth rate, Reserve Bank ket shares during the pandemic, were still facing surplus capacity
of India Governor Shaktikanta Das either through organic growth or built over the years. According to
said recently. through mergers and acquisitions, RBI data, capacity utilisation at the
“It is gathered from the feed- as per the Herfindahl-Hirschman aggregate level for manufactur-
back from MSMEs that disruptions Index (HHI), which is a measure of ing declined to 60 per cent in Q1 of
caused by the Covid-19 pandemic market concentration to determine FY22, from 69.4 per cent recorded in
adversely impacted their earnings market competitiveness. the previous quarter. “With capac-
by 20-50 per cent, and the micro ity utilisation below 70 per cent for
and small enterprises faced maxi- that sinking feeling the manufacturing sector, there is
mum heat, mainly due to reduction RBI Deputy Governor Michael Patra little reason to invest. Which means

Business Today 23 January 2022


ECONOMY — ALPHABET ECONOMICS

the economy is unlikely to get the per cent), domestic airline passen-
additional thrust needed from the ger traffic (-22.8 per cent), vehicle
engines of private consumption and registration (-22.8 per cent), diesel
investment,” says Dipti Deshpande, consumption (-6.8 per cent), pas-
Principal Economist, CRISIL. “We are maintaining senger vehicle production (-3.1 per
With manufacturing not produc- our forecast of 9% cent) and motorcycle production
ing enough, labour force participa- GDP expansion in (-2.6 per cent). “This suggests that
tion rate (or LPR, share of labour FY22, with K-shaped the recovery is yet to broad-base,”
force of the total working-age popu- divergence amongst says Nayar of ICRA.
the formal and
lation) has slumped to nearly 40 per informal parts of
cent compared to 43 per cent before the economy”
the pandemic, according to the Cen- route to recovery
tre for Monitoring Indian Economy ADITI NAYAR Deshpande of CRISIL points out
CHIEF ECONOMIST,
(CMIE). “The two pandemic shocks ICRA RATINGS that the bigger impetus to growth
have lowered the LPR structurally… will continue to be government in-
which is the most worrisome,” ac- vestment and exports. “Therefore,
cording to the CMIE. Salaried jobs the overall pick-up in GDP growth
fell by 6.8 million in November, will be gradual, unlike the years
while the number of entrepreneurs when private consumption was
declined by 3.5 million. Devendra the driver. To be sure, as restric-
Pant, Chief Economist at India Rat- tions ease, vaccination rates rise
ings, says the falling wage growth and the economy picks up, private
and reduced household savings not consumption should improve. The
40 | only impact consumption but also “It is, in fact, a K pace, however, won’t be as much as
interest rates in the economy. “Un- shape. The upward- needed because of ongoing slack-
going tail of the K
less the household sector revives, is corporate India, ness in private consumption,” says
it will be difficult for the economy which is doing very Deshpande. The private final con-
to sustain high economic growth in well. The downward sumption expenditure, signifying
the medium- to long run,” says Pant. part of the K is the demand in the economy, grew by
Posting 8.4 per cent growth in rest of India” 8.6 per cent in Q2 year-on-year,
the second quarter, the absolute PRONAB SEN but was 3.5 per cent lower than the
GDP marginally surpassed the pre- COUNTRY DIRECTOR, 2019-20 levels, according to the
INTERNATIONAL
Covid-19 level of FY2019-20 by 0.3 GROWTH CENTRE
National Statistical Office (NSO).
per cent in Q2. However, for the first The public administration, defence
half of 2021-22, the economy was and other services component re-
still 4.4 per cent lower than the cor- ported a 17.4 per cent growth dur-
responding period of FY2019-20. ing the quarter compared to 5.8 per
Also, 13 high-frequency indica- cent in Q1, reflecting an increase in
tors show uneven recovery. Seven government spending to support
indicators exceeded pre-Covid-19 economic revival.
levels in October-November 2021, There are some positive indica-
including goods and services tax “The upcoming tors, too. A whopping 83 per cent
e-way bill generation (26.7 per Budget is the growth in revenue mop-up in the
cent higher), non-oil exports (26 right time for the first seven months of the current
per cent higher), rail freight traffic government to focus fiscal has provided the government
(20.2 per cent), Coal India output on the medium-term significant buffer to spend and sup-
(15.7 per cent), electricity genera- growth targets. port economic revival. Capital ex-
tion (9.9 per cent), petrol consump- They have to bring penditure, which acts as a growth
back the $5-trillion
tion (6.4 per cent), and ports cargo economy discussion” multiplier, has grown by 28 per cent
traffic (4 per cent). However, the in the April to October period, a
remaining six indicators were low- N.R. BHANUMURTHY four-year high. “We expect tax col-
er than pre-Covid-19 levels. These VICE CHANCELLOR, lections to exceed the budget target
DR B.R. AMBEDKAR SCHOOL OF
include scooter production (-25.1 ECONOMICS UNIVERSITY by around 15 per cent,” says an of-

Business Today 23 January 2022


ficial in the finance ministry, who rent fiscal.” Former chief statisti- Meanwhile, non-oil, non-gold
wished to remain anonymous. cian Sen points out that a lot of the imports slowed to $31.82 billion in
Then, strong exports have held economic recovery will depend on November, down 11 per cent com-
up economic recovery this year. “We the policy response to Omicron. pared to October, indicating slow-
expect to reach $400-420 billion [in “The second Covid-19 wave has ing domestic demand. Besides, a
exports] and, in fact, what has been taught us that if you enforce lock- weaker rupee will only make im-
reassuring is that the order book- downs strategically rather than ports more expensive. The rupee
ing position of Indian exporters is across the board, it is much less dis- has depreciated by 1.9 per cent in Q3
pretty good,” says Ajay Sahai, Direc- ruptive and not all supply chains get against the US dollar with central
tor General and CEO of Federation locked up,” he says. banks globally having started in-
of All India Export Organisations But there are other caveats, too. creasing interest rates.
(FIEO). “That is why we are hopeful Inflationary concerns are expect- “Given that inflation can be a drag
that the trend will continue in the ed to keep demand muted. India’s on demand, investment should pick
next year also.” wholesale inflation touched a series up largely driven by the government.
RBI’s bi-monthly consumer high of 14.23 per cent in November In this context, the slew of infra-
confidence survey for the October- and is expected to remain in double structure projects undertaken by the
November 2021 period showed that digits for the next few months on government, notably the Gati Shakti
demand remained in the “pessimis- account of rupee depreciation, el- project, inland waterways, textile
tic terrain”. The current situation evated international crude oil prices parks, among others, bode well for
index, which is current perception and, well, Omicron fears-led global India’s growth,” says Arun Singh,
compared to the year-ago Global Chief Economist, Dun
period, improved to 62.3 in & Bradstreet.
November 2021 from 57.7 in At this point, GDP growth
September, after touching a in FY22 is certain, but it’s go- | 41
low of 48.6 in July. The rise RBI’S BI-MONTHLY ing to be a tough grind. In
was largely due to higher
consumer spending, but CONSUMER CON- December, Fitch Ratings cut
India’s economic growth
pessimism continued on FIDENCE SURVEY forecast to 8.4 per cent from
price levels, employment,
economic situation and FOR THE OCT- 8.7 per cent projected earlier
for the current fiscal, saying
income. (A reading below NOV 2021 PERIOD the rebound after the second
100 denotes pessimism and
SHOWED THAT DE- wave of Covid-19 infections

MAND REMAINED
above 100 indicates opti- has been more subdued than
mism.) The index for one- expected. Other agencies
year-ahead expectations
IN THE ‘PESSIMIS- such as the IMF, Goldman

TIC TERRAIN’
rose to 109.6 in November Sachs, and the World Bank
from 107 in September, also predict 8-9 per cent GDP
buoyed by higher optimism growth for FY22. And econo-
for household income and employ- supply-chain disruption. Mean- mists such as Pant of India Ratings
ment scenario. while, CPI inflation touched a three- and Nayar of ICRA expect growth
month high of 4.91 per cent in the rate of around 9 per cent for FY22.
same month. Households expect- Consider this. The last five fiscal
threats on the way ed inflation to harden in the near years have delivered GDP growth
First threat: the big O. Says Pant of and medium term, as per the RBI’s rates of 8.26 per cent (FY17), 6.8 per
India Ratings: “Omicron has added household inflation expectation cent (FY18), 6.53 per cent (FY19),
to the list of uncertainties. Delhi has survey. The proportion of respon- 4.04 per cent (FY20), and minus
already announced measures limit- dents expecting higher inflation 7.96 per cent (FY21). By that mea-
ing mobility, leading to curtailed in the next three months and over sure, anything between 8 per cent
demand. If these kind of measures the year-ahead rose in November and 9 per cent in FY22 will still be
are announced by other states and 2021. The inflation expectation for the best in recent times. No matter
remain in force for a longer time, it the next three months rose by a steep the shape of the curve.
will affect consumption and growth 150 basis points and that for the year-
in the fourth quarter of the cur- ahead period rose by 170 basis points. @dilasha, @RajatMishra9518

Business Today 23 January 2022


ARRANGED
MEDIA — ZEE-SONY

MARRIAGE
By KRISHNA GOPALAN

Circumstances broker a coupling of Zee and Sony,


two companies with distinctly different cultures
and strengths. As they unite for a new future, they
still face several hurdles, including an upset
Invesco, Zee’s largest investor, and their own
contradictions. The real challenge for the new
mates has only just begun

Business Today 23 January 2022


THE COMING TOGETHER OF ZEE AND SONY
PICTURES NETWORKS INDIA WILL CREATE ONE OF THE BIGGEST
PLAYERS IN INDIA’S ENTERTAINMENT SPACE

With combined
revenues of
$1.79 billion,
the Zee-Sony merged
entity will be the
second largest in the
general entertain- COMPLEMENTING
EACH
ment business— The two players
after Star & can now look at
Disney India upping the game

OTHER
in OTT, a
business that is
big on capex, with
the opportunity
to create content
that can last for
many years

The merger finally


gives Sony a
presence in India’s
regional market
where it is
insignificant

There is no overlap in
the businesses of Zee
and Sony. In fact,
they are quite
For Zee, it now has complementary
a real chance with
cricket since it
has the backing
from Sony

Business Today 23 January 2022


I
MEDIA — ZEE-SONY

was started by his father, Subhash Chandra), with just 4


per cent stake, had limited say. “I told Sony about what
was going on and left the decision to them,” he admits.
On September 22, Zee announced its plans to merge
with Sony, and the deal was inked three months later. In
the merged entity, Sony will hold a 50.86 per cent stake,
while the promoters of Zee will hold 3.99 per cent. The re-
maining 45.15 per cent will be with Zee’s other sharehold-
ers. However, this is merely the beginning of what will
be a long process: getting approvals at several levels; Zee
having to deal with an angry Invesco, its largest share-
holder; and the fact that both entities need each other in
a challenging scenario, where growth is hard to come by.

A TALE OF TWO EMBATTLED FIRMS


Both the companies have been on a difficult wicket
lately. Zee struggled with hard questions from Invesco,
with Zee’s promoters having limited bargaining power
(see Diminishing Stake). Plus, with a hefty debt (around
`11,000 crore at the group holding company level), there
was only so much Zee could do. A deal with Viacom18
was also considered but fell through. “Sony has come in
as the white knight in this case,” says Vivek Menon, Man-
IT HAS BEEN a busy 12 months for Punit Goenka. Sit- aging Partner at NV Capital, a media and entertainment
ting in his spacious room in Zee Entertainment Enterpris- credit fund. To him, Goenka’s experience in broadcast-
es’ central Mumbai office, the relief on his face is palpable. ing (he took over as MD & CEO in 2008) is useful, more
44 | He has just signed a deal to merge Zee, where Goenka is the so given that “he learnt the ropes from his father”.
MD & CEO, with Sony Pictures Networks India. Though Not all is well at Sony, too, here in India. Till 2017, the
the deal was in the making for over a year—as is normal network had the broadcast rights to the Indian Premier
in M&As—valuation was a contentious issue. With a com- League (IPL), the country’s marquee cricket tournament.
bined revenue of $1.79 billion, this would be the second Between FY15 and FY18, its revenue almost doubled from
largest entertainment network after Star & Disney India, `3,342 crore to `6,277 crore, while net profit shot up 6x.
which has revenues of $1.8 billion, a shade more than the But in September 2017, Star & Disney India (then Star In-
new entity. Importantly, the Zee-Sony entity will have 75 dia) bagged the IPL broadcasting rights, and Sony’s rev-
channels and a strong presence in entertainment, sports enue stagnated (`5,640 crore in FY21), while net profit
and regional markets, making it a serious player. dropped to `564 crore from `976 crore in FY20.
The sequence of events that led to the deal is quite apt For a broadcasting network, only a handful of chan-
for two companies that create content from such story- nels brings in the revenue. In the case of Sony, according
lines for a living. The first move was made by Sony in No- to its annual report for FY21 sourced from the Registrar
vember 2020, but that offer was not acceptable to Goen- of Companies (its Indian operations are unlisted), 46 per
ka. Things started moving about three months later cent of its revenue comes from advertising (that means
when KPMG reached out to him on behalf of Sony with `2,563 crore), with subscription’s contribution being 42
a better valuation. By August 2021, he was in the thick per cent (`2,329 crore) and the rest coming primarily
of it. “I was in London on holiday, but constantly on the from licensing. Here is where one needs to take a closer
phone with my team back here to thrash out the deal,” look at the advertising revenue figures. The company’s
reveals Goenka. Why was Sony interested? N.P. Singh, flagship channel, Sony Entertainment Television, point
MD & CEO of Sony Pictures Networks India, says his out industry trackers, brings in around `1,000 crore each
company wanted to expand its footprint. “For a while, year (Zee’s primary channel, Zee TV, also makes that
we had discussed the possibility of doing something kind of money), while Sony SAB and Sony Max garner
with Zee. Once we were clear, I took it to my bosses.” approximately `450 crore and `375 crore, respectively.
The basic contours were agreed on, and a board meet- Says Karan Taurani, Senior Vice President, Elara
ing was scheduled for October. All hell broke loose when Capital: “It has been a difficult phase for the television
Invesco, the Atlanta-based investment management firm broadcasting industry. The rapid shift towards digital
that holds an 18 per cent stake in Zee, accused it of corpo- advertising and overhang of the new tariff order will
rate mis-governance. (Invesco did not respond to queries restrict subscription revenue growth. While the re-
from Business Today.) Goenka and the promoters (Zee gional pie is growing in double digits, the correspond-

Business Today 23 January 2022


ing number for Hindi general entertainment is in the CRICKET HOLDS THE KEY
low- to mid-single digits.” The real rub: Sony has neg- Goenka is clear that a cricket strategy is needed today.
ligible regional presence—one channel each in Bengali “If you want to be in a position of leadership in digital,
and Marathi—and together their revenue is less than you need sports, and within that cricket is a must,” he
`100 crore each year. “The regional story has been dis- says. Making a demarcation in the audience profile, he
appointing for Sony and that is where they need Zee emphasises that early adopters of digital are the youth.
quite badly. What Zee has done in the south or Ben- “The female audience and the older generation will take
gali or Marathi through organic growth is impressive,” the linear [television broadcasting] path. If we want to
says a rival broadcaster. get the youngsters, sports is the way to do it.”
In addition, investment bankers point out that the To his mind, nothing changes when it comes to Zee
folks at Sony saw merit in going with an entrepreneur- being a content company. “That is irrespective of the
driven culture. “The owners have been hands on at Zee platform and we have to own it. This is where OTT be-
and that is the only way to make money in India’s broad- comes critical,” he maintains. Of the three large televi-
casting business. The professionals-led approach ad- sion screens in his room, two play a live feed while the
opted by Sony and Star always comes with limitations,” other is reserved for OTT viewing.
says an investment banker on condition of anonymity. In the first quarter of FY22, a webinar was organised

VOLATILE HISTORY DIMINISHING STAKE


The Zee Entertainment Enterprises Ltd stock has The promoter shareholding in Zee has shrunk
underperformed the Sensex in recent years drastically over the years
250 50
43.07
BSE Sensex
200 40
| 45
150 30

100
20

50
10
3.99
Zee Entertainment Enterprises Ltd
0
0
Jan 1,

Dec 22,
2016

2021

DEC ’15 SEP ’21

VALUES REBASED TO 100; DATA TILL DECEMBER 22, 2021 TOTAL SHAREHOLDING OF PROMOTER AND PROMOTER
SOURCE: ACE EQUITY GROUP (IN PER CENT); SOURCE: ACE EQUITY

THE SHAREHOLDING STRUCTURE THE OVERALL What the two firms offer and what

Shareholding in the two firms, and the picture post the merger
PICTURE the combined entity will look like

Zee Sony Pictures


ZEE ENTERTAINMENT SPNI Genre Entertainment Networks India Merged entity
ENTERPRISES LTD TRANSFEREE
(ZEEL) COMPANY Hindi GEC 6 5 11
LISTED
IN INDIA Hindi movies 9 4 13
3.99%
ZEEL promoters Sports 10 10
3.99%
96.01% ZEEL
ZEEL public shareholders RE FIN promoters Regional 25 2 27
GRAPHICS BY RAHUL SHARMA

TU
45.15%
AL
NT S RUC

English 9 4 13
ZEEL public
STRUCT

SONY GROUP shareholders


T

Kids 1 1
CORP.
50.86% Total number of
100% Sony Group channels 49 26 75
RE

Bangla Entertainment
UR
Corp.
Pvt. Ltd Overall all-India
R E
17% 10%
CU
network share
100%
Sony Pictures Networks OTT platforms ZEE5 SonyLIV
India Private Limited (SPNI) SOURCE:
COMPANY, EMKAY
RESEARCH SOURCE: EMKAY RESEARCH

Business Today 23 January 2022


MEDIA — ZEE-SONY

for analysts and a few investors. It gave the participants a


chance to get up and close with Goenka on how he viewed
the business. In this session, he spoke openly on how the
broadcasting story for Zee was in place. “But we need to
crack the OTT game. My organisation has people working
in silos and to integrate them is the only way to bring down
costs,” he told the gathering at the time. According to one
participant, Goenka opened up on options such as charging
for micro content, which could be, for instance, a musical
show. Here, the consumer pays only for specific content in-
stead of getting locked into a plan.
“The impression a lot of us got was that a new digital plat-
form was in the works. The non-compete fee (where Sony
is paying Zee’s promoters `1,100 crore, with that amount
‘WE WANT TO GET to be used by Zee to retain its original 3.99 per cent stake in

THE BUSINESS
the merged entity; see ‘We Want to Get the Business Back on
Track’) in all likelihood is being paid for this,” says the per-
BACK ON TRACK’
Zee Entertainment Enterprises’ MD &
CEO Punit Goenka speaks on some key
aspects of the merger. Edited excerpts:
By KRISHNA GOPALAN
 Have you spoken this work?
46 | to Invesco about the The emotional tag
proposed merger? of being the largest
The matter is sub- shareholder was over
judice and we have not in 2019. We are aware
discussed it. We want a of our status of being a
“For a while, we had discussed the
resolution to the issue. minority shareholder possibility of doing something with
We do not have a prob- and the objective is to Zee. Once we were clear, I took
lem and it was they bring stability back it to my bosses”
who went to court. to the business. I still
think like an entrepre- N.P. SINGH
 Tell us about the neur regardless of how MD & CEO, Sony Pictures Networks India
non-compete clause much I hold.
with Sony.
The non-compete  What about the
agreement was a part proposed increase in son quoted above. He explains that Zee understands distri-
of the deal. The Zee your shareholding to bution in broadcasting but not in OTT. “Netflix and Amazon
promoters will get 20 per cent? are the best here. With the merger, Sony will want to build
an additional 2 per It is not a priority for on Zee’s digital platform and that is why they need Goenka.”
cent stake in line with the moment. The most In just about a month from now, the bidding for the
this, which will be important thing is to five-year (2023-27) broadcasting rights for the IPL will get
transferred by Sony. get the business back to under way, for which Star & Disney India had forked out
This transfer is in lieu its days of glory. With `16,348 crore for 2018-22. That amount was twice as much
of Zee’s promoters not our shareholding of 4 as what Sony had paid for 2008-17. Even the most conser-
entering into a con- per cent, our board seat vative bet on the street suggests that it will easily get past
flicting business. remains intact. I will be `30,000 crore this time. Goenka says Zee will bid indepen-
the MD & CEO of the dently since the merger is still in the works. “We will be
 From a clear ma- merged entity report- prudent about our bid,” he says. Recently, Zee returned to
jority holding in Zee, ing to the board. Sony sports broadcasting by acquiring the global media rights
you hold just 4 per will have a majority of for the upcoming UAE T20 league for a 10-year period (the
cent today. How will members on the board. amount paid out was about $100-120 million). Sony’s Singh

Business Today 23 January 2022


says, “We will certainly evaluate the IPL. After all, we a detailed notice with the Competition Commission of
were the first to take a bet on the tournament.” India since the merger has the potential to create market
It is expected that Star & Disney India, too, will be dominance. “The approval from the Ministry of Informa-
there, although all eyes are on Mukesh Ambani’s Jio, tion and Broadcasting will also be required apart from
which, with its large telecom base, is expected to be very the stock exchanges and SEBI.” Further, NCLT may take
aggressive. His broadcasting network, Viacom18, has no 6-12 months to adjudicate upon the merger.
cricket now and needs it badly. Elara’s Taurani thinks So, where does that leave Invesco and its case? Shri-
Zee may not be that aggressive. “Being a listed company, ram Subramanian, Founder & Managing Director at
it cannot afford a situation where a big-ticket investment InGovern, a proxy advisory firm, says in the absence
fails to deliver value to shareholders. A higher acquisition of an alternate plan, “it would be imprudent of In-
cost will negatively impact profitability. This may enable vesco to vote against the merger, which will result in
Disney or Jio to aggressively bid for the IPL,” he says. With a new direction for the company as a media leader and
an assured audience cutting across age groups, there is a subsidiary of an MNC”. He is clear that, as the largest
lot a broadcaster can gain through the IPL. Much as the shareholder, Invesco would do itself and other inves-
rights for the ICC (including the World Cup across for- tors more damage than good if the merger does not go
mats) and BCCI (for all cricket played in India) too come through. “Information that was made available in the
up later, nothing is quite as important as the IPL. past couple of months point to the fact that they were

| 47

“It would be imprudent of Invesco “Under the Companies Act, 2013, a


to vote against the merger, which scheme of arrangement [the merger]
will result in a new direction for the is to be approved by 75 per cent
company as a media leader” votes cast in its favour”
SHRIRAM SUBRAMANIAN AVANTI T. CHANDELE
Founder & Managing Director, InGovern Partner, Mind Legal

THE FINAL MARRIAGE comfortable with similar deal structures. The legal
The Zee-Sony merger is a complex affair. Goenka ex- cases only benefit the lawyers and are a distraction for
pects it to be completed around August 2022. There are management and investors.”
many layers to this and a big one is Invesco, whose ap- Every large M&A deal is ironic in more ways than one.
peals against Zee are pending in the National Company In September 2016, Zee sold its sports network busi-
Law Tribunal (NCLT) and Bombay High Court. Avanti T. ness (the Ten Sports portfolio) to Sony for $385 million
Chandele, Partner, Mind Legal, says: “Under the Compa- at a handsome return—this was originally bought from
nies Act, 2013, a scheme of arrangement is to be approved Dubai’s Taj Group for $107 million. “Internally, we kept
by 75 per cent votes cast in its favour.” She thinks Invesco joking that it would come back to us. Today, it has,” says
may request for a stay on the merger process. “Under Goenka. Indeed it has, but there is a lot of work to do for
Section 230 of the Companies Act, shareholders with at both the entities in a scenario that is vastly different from
least a 10 per cent stake may object to the merger and that the past. Zee and Sony will be only too aware of that.
could be an area of concern. However, to stall the merger, The future, then, will be full of hope and trepidation in
Invesco would need at least one-fourth of the sharehold- equal measure.
ing, which they may not be able to muster,” she says.
According to Chandele, Zee and Sony will have to file @krishnagopalan

Business Today 23 January 2022


Apple India Continue

APPLE’S
INDIA
AFTER YEARS OF
LANGUISHING ON THE
FRINGES, APPLE HAS FINALLY
MADE ITS PRESENCE FELT IN
INDIA WITH RECORD SALES
AND MARKET SHARE OVER
THE PAST TWO YEARS. BUT
HAS ITS WINNING STRATEGY
48 | TO EFFECT THE TURNAROUND
SET IT UP WELL TO MINT
FURTHER GAINS?

S
BY ARNAB DUT TA
ILLUSTRATIONS BY NIL ANJAN DAS

INCE SUMIT VIJ laid his reviews from my friends, I pur-


hands on a MacBook Air for the chased the base model MacBook
first time in 2009, his business Air from the new Apple India
has grown manifold and the online store. Not only was the
Delhi-based entrepreneur has buying experience seamless,
bought almost the entire Apple but the performance of this new
products line-up. But when Mac is way above anything I have
Apple introduced its new Mac experienced before. This offers
portfolio built on the in-house more value for money than any
M1 chipset last year, he had to other computer I have purchased
get it. After using several Apple in the past 10 years,” he says.
products, across generations, Now Vij can edit ultra-HD videos
Vij was already a satisfied Apple on the base model Mac, for which
loyalist. Yet, the new Mac’s he earlier needed Pro models that
“unprecedented” performance cost double the amount. For him,
surprised him. this innovation is another reason
“After getting positive to stick to the brand.

Business Today 23 January 2022


| 49

Business Today 23 January 2022


Apple India Continue

THE LOCAL FACTOR


MISSION INDIA The iPhone SE (1st Gen) was the first model to be made in India;
Apple CEO Tim Cook visited India in
2016 and put in place a strategy to since then, a number of models have been made in the country
put the company on the growth path

iPhone’s share
Begins local Share of Made-
in smartphone
procurement of… in-India iPhones
exports from India

2017 iPhone SE (1st Gen) 5% 0


2018 iPhone 6S 17% 0
2019 iPhone 7 & XR 30% 0
2020 iPhone 11 & SE (2nd Gen) 60% 2%
2021 iPhone 12 77% 5%
2022^ iPhone 13 80% -

^Estimates Source: Industry

as other consumer elec- playground of low-priced products,


tronics firms just about only in late-2020, CMR data shows.
managed to hold fort. For It surprised many by capturing a 29
example, its arch-rival per cent market share in the first
50 | Samsung India’s operat- three months of 2021, dislodging
ing revenue remained flat Samsung and trailing only Lenovo.
at `75,886 crore in FY21. It has since slipped to the No. 3 spot,
Apple’s stellar per- but CMR estimates Apple will end
formance of late is best 2021 with a 22 per cent market share,
reflected in how the eclipsing its previous best of 17 per
iPhone has ground out cent in 2020.
a bigger share of India’s “Driven by unprecedented
highly competitive and consumer demand arising from
price-sensitive smart- work-from-home, learn-from-home
phone market. Apple sold and unwind-at-home requirements,
3.2 million iPhones in Apple has seen a strong uptick for its
2020, equalling its 2017 devices,” says Prabhu Ram, Head,
record and giving it a 2.13 Industry Intelligence Group, CMR.
Vij is not alone. If the numbers per cent market share, according to However, this was not always
are anything to go by, there are thou- CyberMedia Research (CMR). The the case.
sands of Indians whom Apple has research agency estimates Apple will Apple’s India story is over two
managed to attract and bring under sell over 5 million iPhones in 2021, decades old. But its portfolio of
its fold in the past two years. notching a record-high 3.5 per cent premium products, adorned with
Bolstered by a spurt in demand market share. the famous bitten-apple logo, kept
for its iPhones, MacBooks and iPads Apple’s fortunes in the personal it on the fringes of the consumer
as the Covid-19 pandemic forced computer (PC) and tablet market electronics market, while the likes
people to work and study remotely, also turned last year. Robust demand of Xiaomi, Samsung, vivo and Oppo
Apple India has delivered record- for its Mac portfolio helped it break dominated the smartphone market,
breaking numbers. Its operating rev- into the top five for the first time and HP Inc., Dell, Lenovo, Acer and
enue in India surged 68 per cent to a ever, with its market share exceeding Asus lorded over the PC market.
record `22,845 crore in FY21, while 2 per cent in 2020 and crossing 5 per India was a market that Apple could
net profit rose 32 per cent to `1,226 cent in January-September 2021. Ap- not ignore. But there was little it
crore. The revenue growth rate was ple made a sizeable dent in the tablet could, or did, do. Until 2016.
not only a nine-year-high but came market, which is predominantly the Around that time, India had

Business Today 23 January 2022


In 2021, Apple has logged With a user base of over
high double-digit volume 50 million, Apple is just
growth over the past getting started with its
year’s record sales ‘ecosystem’ in India

EYE ON
INDIA
Its revenue in Apple has
India is at an managed to
all-time high; enter the top
league in the Apple’s brand value
revenue jumped
68 per cent in PC market for had not translated
FY21, the highest the first time into sales in value-
jump since FY12 in 2021 with its conscious India. But
MacBooks not anymore

At an estimated The upcoming In tablets, its


5-million-plus Apple Store— iPads are setting
units, iPhone set to open at new records with
shipments in Mumbai’s BKC in a 22 per cent | 51
2021 are set to 2022—will add market share,
break all previous more firepower to beating its
records its India strategy previous best of
17 per cent

become the second-largest smart- included three broad domestic ports has become one of the key strategic
phone market, displacing the US and of call. The first was to start assem- markets for Apple. It was also the
trailing China. And its double-digit bling and manufacturing iPhones period when a growing number of
volume growth was unmatched by locally, dovetailing with the ‘Make in Indian consumers were getting ac-
any other large market. But Apple’s India’ programme the government customed to premium products,” a
local business was plateauing, its was promoting heavily. The second company official says on condition of
revenue growth stagnating. On was to start expanding its retail anonymity as the person is not autho-
the other hand, Xiaomi went from presence—partly in response to rised to speak to the media. “Stream-
strength to strength despite enter- other smartphone makers carpet- lining” prices and improving product
ing India only two years prior. The bombing the nation with physical availability outside of metropolises
other Chinese brands and Samsung stores—and open its flagship Apple- were important aspects of Apple’s
were also making hay in a booming branded online and offline stores India strategy, the official adds.
smartphone market. This worried down the line. The last was to gain Slowly but surely Apple executed
Apple’s CEO Tim Cook enough to market share by lowering prices, ei- its plans and, as is evident, they have
make his maiden visit to the country ther through domestic manufactur- borne fruit in the past couple of
in May 2016. He held a series of ing or by sacrificing margins. years. In fact, Apple’s record-setting
meetings with the who’s who of the “India has been a growth market FY21 is only the start. The stage, say
industry and the administration to for nearly a decade now, but the ap- industry experts, is set for Apple’s
set Apple’s ship back on course. proach towards India has changed in revenue to jump at least 50 per cent
Apple’s new navigation strategy the past few years. In recent times, it in FY22.

Business Today 23 January 2022


RISING REVENUES RECORD
Apple’s India revenue has surged 68 per cent in FY21 NUMBERS
2021 will see the

22,845
highest-ever iPhone shipments
and market share in India
Operating revenue
Net profit
Figures in ` crore 3.5
2.56
2.13

13,623
13,049
11,619
1.2 1.25

10,538
>5
9,937

3.2 3.2
1.7 1.9
6,473
4,500

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021E*


3,058

1,226
896.3

926.2
2,004

373.4
294.3

262.3
242.9
311.5

119.5
112.7
620
59

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 Shipments Market share

Source: Registrar of Companies, *Estimates by CMR; shipments in million units;


Ministry of Corporate Affairs market share in per cent Source: CMR

52 | GRAPHICS BY ASIT ROY

Indeed, Cook’s recent comments then newly launched iPhone 12 were that made Apple handsets. Apple
indicate Apple has only gained mo- the top-selling premium handsets, sold 3.2 million phones in India in
mentum in this fiscal. “During fiscal helping the company capture nearly a 2017, of which about 5 per cent were
2021, we earned nearly one-third of third of the premium market (above sourced locally, according to indus-
our revenue from emerging markets the `37,000 price band), per IDC. try estimates.
and doubled our business in India,” The strong iPhone sales in that Since then, Apple has steadily
he said during an earnings call in quarter were because while the grown its domestic portfolio to
October. The Cupertino, California- iPhone 12 was imported at the time, include newer models, including the
based company follows an October- the lion’s share of the iPhone 11 iPhone 6S (in 2018), 7 and XR (in
September fiscal year, meaning the and other models sold then was as- 2019), 11 and SE 2nd generation (in
second half of its FY21 corresponds sembled in India. And that, in turn, 2020) and 12 (in 2021). And while its
with the first six months of Apple was the result of meticulous plan- overall handset sales were patchy un-
India’s FY22. ning and execution over the past few til the past two years, an increasing
What’s more astonishing is that years. And Cook’s visit. percentage of the phones it sold were

W
Apple’s growth, albeit off a lower sourced locally. Nearly 80 per cent of
base, is contrary to market trends. the estimated 5 million-plus iPhones
For example, Apple notched a 68 per ithin a year of Apple sold in 2021 were assembled
cent jump in iPhone sales in 2020, Cook’s departure in India—in line with its domestic
benefitting from the rebound in from Delhi in 2016, rivals, who procure more than 75 per
demand during the second half of Apple began rolling cent of their smartphones locally, per
the year. But market leaders Xiaomi out the first batch industry estimates.
and Samsung sold fewer phones of Made-in-India iPhones. The The most crucial benefit of
last year, leading to a 2 per cent slide attractively priced iPhone SE (1st local manufacturing is that the
in market-wide sales, according to generation) models were not only phones are much cheaper than
research firm IDC. Apple’s gains Apple’s first locally made phones but imported ones. Take the iPhone 12,
continued in the first three months also got India into an exclusive club for instance, which Apple recently
of 2021, when the iPhone 11 and the of three, including China and Brazil, added to its Made in India portfolio.

Business Today 23 January 2022


THE MAC EFFECT iPAD DRIVES
Apple entered the top 5
among PC makers
GROWTH
for the first time in 2021 Apple is estimated to end 2021
with a 22 per cent share of
the tablets market
Q1, 2021 Q2, 2021 Q3, 2021

HP 32.9 (102) 33.6 (54) 28.5 (31)


144%

Dell 21.8 (45) 22.1 (86) 23.8 (45)


65%
29% 47%
Lenovo 20.1 (73) 17.8 (-3) 18.6 (12) (2nd) 23% 23%
(3rd) (3rd)
Acer 7.7 (10) 8.7 (32) 8.6 (17)
16%
11% 12%
Apple 5.4 (336) 4.7 (229) 5.1 (NA)

Asus 5.4 (84) 4.7 (40) 8.5 (47) Q1 Q2 Q3

Figures indicate market share in per cent; figures in brackets are YoY 2021 (Rank) 2020 YoY change
change in per cent; NA: Not available Source: IDC India Source: CMR

| 53

Industry estimates show Apple cut iPhones, while Pegatron is scheduled way to India months after its launch,
the landing cost by about 22 per cent to also open a plant soon. Foxconn after traversing about 25-30 other
by assembling the phone locally. As has already started trial production priority markets.
a result, Apple slashed prices on the of the iPhone 13, launched globally “India is only the third country
base model by `14,000, or 17.5 per this September, and is expected to in the world where iPhones are
cent, to `65,900 in September, about roll out the phones by March 2022. made. This is a testimony to how
two to three months after the locally While domestic production is important this market is now. In
made phone hit the market. key to lowering costs and prices, the past five years, operations have
This was down to the efforts of starting this as fast as possible after been expanded into multiple direc-
Cook’s India visit, which was a major the global launch of a model is key tions like growing local sourcing,
turning point in Apple India’s jour- to tapping into the nascent demand. retail reach and the Apple online
ney. People aware of the discussions Apple has been steadily closing this store,” says another Apple official,
between Apple’s team, led by Cook, launch-to-production gap in India. who also requested anonymity
and the Union government, presided When it started domestic manufac- as the person is not authorised to
over by Prime Minister Narendra turing, the gap was one year. That speak to the media.
Modi himself, say that one of the key narrowed to eight months for the Given Apple’s laser-sharp focus
takeaways was addressing India’s iPhone 11 and 12. With iPhone 13, on India in the past few years, three
requirement of 30 per cent local Apple plans to further close the gap of its global contract manufactur-
sourcing. That settled, Wistron built to five-to-six months. ers—Foxconn, Wistron and Pega-
the first Apple plant in Karnataka, Unlike a few years ago, India tron—have also invested heavily
which started off making the iPhone is now a priority market for Apple. in building their manufacturing
SE in 2017. Not only are all its products and heft. In October 2020, the trio was
Soon, other contract manu- consumer services available here, selected to participate in the In-
facturers came on board and, like all new products are also launched dian government’s newly launched
others globally, opened plants exclu- simultaneously in India and two production-linked incentive (PLI)
sively for Apple products. Foxconn dozen other key markets. Even four scheme to boost the local manufac-
has one plant near Chennai making years ago, a product used to make its turing and export of smartphones.

Business Today 23 January 2022


Apple India Continue

Despite its record performance, veteran brand strategist and Found- 2021. Samsung, the No. 2 in India
experts say the iPhone’s heydays are er of advisory firm Brand-Building. and Apple’s only real competitor, has
yet to come. Apple has about 50 mil- com. “This is a welcome change from over 100,000 stores that also sell its
lion users in a country that houses its previous stance when buying an consumer durables products.
some 500 million Android users, per Apple product in India was not only Apple’s stellar performance in re-
market research firm Counterpoint’s exorbitantly costly but its availability cent quarters has also reflected well
estimates. “This is a very big oppor- was a major issue as well.” on its retail partners. Take Baljinder
tunity for Apple now to draw those Although Apple’s recent per- Paul Singh, for instance. His associa-
Android users into the iOS universe,” formance in the PC market was tion with Apple harks back to 1996
says Tarun Pathak, Research Direc- driven by its consumer products, when Apple was selling computers to
tor at Counterpoint Research. it is now steadily gaining steam in a handful of enterprise-level clients.
Further, with the average selling the enterprise segment as well, says Singh gave up playing professional
price of a smartphone surging to an Navkendar Singh, Research Direc- table tennis at that time to distribute
all-time high of nearly `20,000, a tor at IDC India. This is crucial as Apple products. Now, his venture,
large section of Android users are apart from bulk sales, enterprises Unicorn, is a `1,000-crore business
closer to the lowest-priced iPhone also ensure a steady flow of service that, he claims, is India’s largest pre-
that usually costs about `30,000- revenue. “Once you can convince mium reseller of Apple products.
35,000. Currently, smartphones the enterprises that your software Both the pace of expansion and
costing `20,000-30,000 account and hardware can work seamlessly, sales growth have accelerated in
for roughly 13 per cent of total it is a great business opportunity for the past two years and, despite
sales, while phones above `30,000 Apple that remains to be exploited the pandemic, demand for Apple
account for about 10 per cent. In a in India,” says Singh. In fact, Apple products has jumped by nearly 50 per
market where more than 160 million has already established a dedicated cent in FY21, Singh said in an earlier
smartphones are sold each year, team to crack the enterprise PC interview to this correspondent. He
54 | Apple now has an unprecedented market. And if demand continues declined to share specifics due to
opportunity to make the dent it northward, it may even consider as- Apple’s strict policy on media interac-
always aspired to. All thanks to local sembling Macs in India, say sources tions for its employees and partners.
manufacturing. familiar with Apple’s plans. Apple’s stellar performance
Cook’s recipe for a larger India Besides manufacturing and pric- convinced Singh that it was the right
foray, though, was not limited to the ing, the third arrow in Apple’s quiver time to place his bet. Unicorn has
iPhone. to change its fortunes in India was both opened stores in small towns

W
controlling its distribution. From like Palghar (Maharashtra) and
a few hundred stores about seven grown its presence in bigger cities
hile apple doesn’t years ago, Apple products are now like Lucknow (Uttar Pradesh). In
yet manufacture available in well over 10,000 outlets line with the traditional Apple Store,
MacBooks in India, run by premium sellers or dealer- Unicorn unveiled 3,000 sq.-ft show-
it wasn’t content cum-distributors such as Unicorn, rooms in Delhi that cost 150 per cent
with being a fringe Redington and Ingram Micro. It also more than a standard 800-1,000
player in this segment. However, it has a tie-up with Reliance, which op- sq.- ft store.
couldn’t lower its landed cost for erates the largest number of branded Similarly, Redington, one of the
the imported laptops, so it decided retail outlets in the country. That largest distributors of Apple prod-
to drop prices instead to boost its partnership had its genesis in 2016 ucts in India, has also benefitted. In
market share. The company started when Cook met Anant Ambani, the FY21 “the contribution of this par-
cutting prices of Macs around 2017- son of Reliance Industries Chairman ticular vendor [Apple] to our overall
18. Bringing down the price of its Mukesh Ambani, and others. revenue was significant, as high as
entry-level notebook to a small pre- This retail footprint was nec- close to about 38-40 per cent”, Raj
mium over the competition worked essary since its rivals were also Shankar, Vice Chairman and MD,
wonders, as it did for the iPhones. expanding their physical presence, Redington India, said during an
“A vast majority of college-goers, largely aping the strategy of the earnings call in August. And despite
who will soon become active buy- Chinese incumbents like vivo, Oppo challenges on the supply side, the
ers, aspire to own Apple devices. and Lenovo. Xiaomi, for example, Chennai-based company’s revenue
Thus, keeping the fruit just at the entered India in mid-2014 with an from India shot up 41 per cent to
edge of their reach has helped Apple online-only strategy but had 15,000 `12,271 crore between April and
recently,” says Ambi Parameswaran, owned and partner stores by mid- September in 2021, while interna-

Business Today 23 January 2022


A growing number of Indian consumers has become accustomed to premium products from Apple

tional revenue remained stagnant. and so we look at that to be another says the source. The company’s app
That was largely due to Apple, which great initiative, and we continue to accelerator programme in Benga-
accounted for about 29 per cent of develop the channel as well.” Apple luru makes India one of the “very
Redington’s revenue by September, already gets over 20 per cent of its few countries that have a developers’ | 55
up from 26 per cent a year ago. revenue through online sales from academy”, the source adds. In fact,
However, the increasing retail partnerships with e-commerce ma- the company has already made dedi-
footprint came at the cost of Apple’s jors such as Amazon and Flipkart. cated apps for automaker Maruti
famed exclusivity factor. Now, Apple And strong product sales ulti- Suzuki as well as Hero Cycles,
is focussing on bringing its go-to- mately feed into Apple’s cash cow— among others, to manage their
market route under its fold. After services. While services account inventory, sales and customer inter-
numerous delays, it is set to inaugu- for nearly 22 per cent of its global face. The next focus is to cash in on
rate its first Apple Store in Mumbai revenue, its share in India is insig- the burgeoning e-learning sector in
in early 2022, followed by ones in nificant. However, Indians’ growing India, said Priya Balasubramaniam,
Delhi and Bengaluru. Apple’s long- affinity for over-the-top subscrip- Apple’s Vice President of Product
standing partners are hailing this tions, especially since the pandemic, Operations, at a recent event. “We
development. “The Apple Store will has opened up that market for Apple see an exciting opportunity for India
be very positive for us. The kind of as well. To begin with, it offers Apple to go further and train its emerging
marketing they will do for the entire Music and Apple TV+ at `99 per workforce in the foundations of
ecosystem is remarkable. I welcome month each, which “is the lowest smart manufacturing, intelligent
Apple Stores in the country,” says price globally”, according to a source design, connected and optimised
Unicorn’s Singh. in Apple familiar with its pricing systems.”
Apple also launched its India on- strategy. Apple’s ecosystem is argu- From being a fringe player in the
line store in September 2020, which ably the most well-established and country’s electronics market, Apple
Cook said helped the company’s well-entrenched in the world, and has now finally managed to crack
performance the following quarter. given the rate of increase in product the India code. The various pieces
“Last quarter (October-December sales, India will soon be a significant of its India strategy are not only
2020) was the full first quarter of part of that web. falling into place but also interlock-
the online store. That has gotten Feeding into that web is Apple’s ing seamlessly. If this continues, a
a great reaction and has helped us app development centre in Hyder- $3-trillion market capitalisation will
achieve the results that we got last abad, which opened in 2016 (yes, co- be only one of the few records under
quarter,” Cook said on an earnings inciding with Cook’s visit). “Today Apple’s belt next year.
call in January. “We are also going in it employs over 5,000 people and is
there with retail stores in the future one of the largest globally for Apple,” @arndutt

Business Today 23 January 2022


INTERVIEW UDAYAN MUKHERJEE

‘I’M NOT EMOTIONAL


ABOUT MY BUSINESSES’
Ajay Piramal, Chairman of the Piramal Group, talks
at length about his plans for the financial services
business, succession and retirement
PHOTOGRAPHS BY MANDAR DEODHAR

| 61

Business Today 23 January 2022


INTERVIEW UDAYAN MUKHERJEE

A
that period we actually invested a lot in growing the
business through acquisitions and the reason why we
exited it was because I look upon myself as a trustee
for all our stakeholders. Stakeholders means our em-
ployees, our customers, society and our shareholders,
and I thought it was in the best interest of all these
fter dipping stakeholders that we exit at the time we did. So, I won’t
his toes into say that that was an opportunistic investment. In my
many diverse view, it was the right thing to do.
businesses
over the Q: Fair answer but you have re-entered phar-
decades, maverick billionaire Ajay maceuticals in a big way again, so my question
Piramal seems to have homed in on is not so much to do with the past but the
financial services and pharmaceuticals future. The way you are investing in finance
as his two big bets. With the completion right now, is it possible that you may build this
business, too, but not hesitate to sell it at some
of the Dewan Housing acquisition and
point? Or do you feel differently about the
a demerger of the finance and pharma finance business today?
businesses on the anvil, he is all set to A: If you would like to see it as a fault, you can say that
give them one big push before handing I’m not emotionally so connected. I don’t believe my
the reins over to son Anand and identity is the same as the businesses that I run. I think
daughter Nandini. In a freewheeling I have a separate identity. So, to say that I want to build
chat with Business Today’s Global an empire which is in financial services or in pharma-
Business Editor Udayan Mukherjee, he ceuticals, that’s never my intention. My intention is to
62 |
talks about his career trajectory, what really work in the best interest of my stakeholders and
drives his investment decisions, family create value. Coming to financial services as well, that’s
exactly the intention and I know in the future it will be
ties and retirement. Edited excerpts:
up to the next generation to decide what they want to
do with it.

Q: I just want to understand your game plan


Q: Ajay, over the years you have done so with the financial business. Not so long ago,
many things. It started with textiles, which you actually were trying to cobble together
you sold off, then pharmaceuticals, which something with your investments in the
you made a grand success of before selling
it off. Then you dabbled with things like
Vodafone, and now you have re-entered
finance in a big way with the acquisition of “I would like both my kids
Dewan Housing. People who admire you
would say you are an entrepreneur with a to take over the businesses.
remarkable sense of adventure, but your They are getting their teams
critics may say that you are a businessman ready. They have been
with an investor’s mindset and not an working on it. The sooner it is,
institution builder’s mindset. How would the better [it is] for me”
you respond to that?
A: So, it’s a fair question, Udayan. Let’s look at where
we began. You talked about pharmaceuticals. We
entered pharmaceuticals in India in 1988 through Shriram Group. You sold off your investment
the acquisition of Nicholas Laboratories and for with Shriram Transport Finance but you still
20 years we built it. It was ranked 48th in the ORG retain a large chunk of Shriram Capital and
list of companies in pharma and when we exited in now there’s a group reorganisation which is
2010 we were ranked No. 3. If that is not building going on there. Now, is there a play between
a business then I don’t know what is. It wasn’t an Dewan Housing, Piramal Enterprises and
example of an investor approach because during Shriram Capital or would you now have to

Business Today 23 January 2022


divest your holding in Shriram Capital?
A: In Shriram Capital, when we invested in it, our plan
was to always be in the financial services business. Shri- “Mukesh [Ambani] and I go
ram was more in the retail business; Piramal had started a long way back. We were
a wholesale lending business and we could have brought friends from before our kids
them together. That was the original plan. But as time were born... We have had a
went by, we realised it would not have created value for
either Shriram or Piramal because both the cultures
very close relationship and
were very different and it did not make any sense for us the union between Anand and
just to do it in the interest of size and therefore we will Isha has only cemented it”
ultimately disinvest our Shriram holding. We have done
that with Shriram Transport and at the right time we
will do so with Shriram Capital and Shriram City Union.
As far as DHFL (Dewan Housing Finance Ltd) and Pira-
mal are concerned, now they have become one entity.

Q: And what is the eventual goal for this


merged entity, because a few years ago you did
try to bring together Shriram and IDFC Bank to
have a significant banking presence. Is it still a
goal to become a bank one day?
A: As far as we are concerned we are building a signifi-
cant-sized business in financial services. Even today, if
you look at the equity we have in our finance business,
it’s almost `18,000 crore. If I add the unallocated equity | 63
in the parent, the 100 per cent parent of Piramal Capital,
it brings the total to about `30,000 crore. So, we have
enough firepower to grow this business as we want. Today
we are just working together to ensure that we build a ro-
bust business which is in line with what the Reserve Bank
[of India] wants for a banking licence and then it’s really
up to the RBI to decide.

Q: How are you likely to position this finance


business of yours? With DHFL you have a
significant presence in the housing finance
market, but how would you be positioned
compared to market leaders like HDFC or LIC
Housing Finance?
A: We want to be in retail as well as wholesale lending;
we want to do not only housing finance but also unse-
cured lending. It will be slightly different from HDFC
and LIC Housing in the sense that our housing loans will
mainly be in Tier II and Tier III cities whereas the HD-
FCs have it in larger cities. The second thing is that we
would go both for salaried as well as non-salaried bor-
rowers. Our composition for salaried and non-salaried
clients is about 50-50, which is higher than what the
others would have.

Q: But you don’t have access to deposits yet


in the way an HDFC may have because of the
complications with the Dewan Housing deposit
licence, and on the other hand you are up

Business Today 23 January 2022


INTERVIEW UDAYAN MUKHERJEE

against these nimble fintechs who ON THE changed today with consolidation taking
are trying to play your game with FINANCE place in the sector, which also means bigger
a very large number of customer BUSINESS players are doing better and the marginal
touch points. Caught between We want to be
players have fallen by the wayside. Besides,
these two, do you see yourself in retail as well interest rates have come down and some of
at any kind of disadvantage or as wholesale the housing loans are sub-7 per cent, which
handicap? lending... not is also a big plus alongside the fact that real
A: I think you are right that as of now we only housing estate prices haven’t gone up over the past
finance but
do not have a deposit-taking licence. Actu- four or five years. So, demand has come
also unsecured
ally, the deposit-taking licence for DHFL lending. Our back. Covid-19 has also helped in bringing
was suspended before we acquired it. We housing loans up the demand from the higher income seg-
are hoping that as time goes by the RBI will mainly be in ment where savings have piled up. There’s
looks at us favourably for a deposit-taking Tier II and Tier III hardly been any travel in the past two years.
cities… [And] we
licence. But quite apart from that, the cost would go both for
There has been no spending on weddings,
of funding which other large competitors salaried as well no spending on restaurants and people have
have will be lower than ours for a while to as non-salaried also realised that they need more space at
come. Therefore, what we need to do is to borrowers. home. All this has brought about a revival in
go into those areas which are not so easy demand, which will continue for a while.
to enter and which are not of great interest ON HIS
to the larger players. That’s why I talked BANKING Q: Your son Anand runs the real
PLANS
about Tier II and Tier III cities. Fintechs, estate business. How much of a
on the other hand, bring in a lot of technol- We are working mentoring hand do you place on his
ogy which we are also trying to do but if together to shoulder? Is he cutting his teeth in
you look at the fintechs most of them are ensure that we the realty arm before joining the
64 | not of significant size and don’t have the build a robust main fold of Piramal Enterprises?
balance sheet that we would have. Very business which is A: So, what we are doing in terms of
in line with what
often, they have a lot of technology but not the Reserve Bank structure is a demerger of pharmaceuticals
enough experience in lending. I think we [of India] wants and financial services, so in the next nine
have to be very aware of what the big boys for a banking months they should be both independently
are doing and what fintechs are doing and licence. listed on the stock exchanges. As far as
we have to find our own path. pharmaceuticals is concerned, my daugh-
ON ter Nandini—who has been in this business
Q: Speaking of housing, I want to SUCCESSION for 13-14 years and is running it even to-
ask you about the Indian real es- day—will continue to run it, perhaps more
My daughter
tate market, which has been in the Nandini will independently. I am fortunate that both
dumps for the past seven-eight continue to run of my kids Nandini and Anand graduated
years. In the past nine months, it (the pharma from the best schools in the world, Nandini
there are clear signs of a revival business). from Stanford and Anand from Harvard, so
after many years. You have a large And as far as they are good. And even as far as financial
financial services
group company in real estate, is concerned, services is concerned, Anand is taking
which your son runs. What is Anand is taking much more interest in it now so it’s not
your sense? Do you think this real much more like he is going to come into the financial
estate and housing turnaround is interest in it. services fold; he is already in it.
for real?
A: As you said, for eight years it has been ON HIS LIFE Q: Is that the succession plan in a
a total downward cycle in housing as MANTRA way at the Piramal group—that your
it was affected by several headwinds. son runs real estate and finance and
The first part
First, the inflated cost of housing as land of your life is daughter runs pharmaceuticals?
prices shot up and over time there were to learn, [the] A: Yes, it is. We are preparing them to take
challenges—whether it was demonetisa- second part of [on] larger responsibilities in both and
tion, RERA, GST, Covid-19 and so on. your life is to earn that’s what they are engaged in.
But every business has to have a cycle and then you
have to return.
in a growth economy—real estate is Q: And you have the very interest-
important, the whole environment has ing, even enviable position of having

Business Today 23 January 2022


“I don’t believe my identity is
the same as the businesses
that I run. I think I have a
separate identity...
My intention is to really work
in the best interest
of my stakeholders and
create value”

Mukesh Ambani as Anand’s father-in-law. daughter and son running the show?
Do you ever get together for a cup of coffee, A: Udayan, I still go to Mahalakshmi racecourse and
discuss business? What’s your equation with watch the horses go by and sometimes sit on them as
him like? well and take my grandchildren [along], so that’s not
A: Mukesh and I actually go a long way back. We were going to change. But yes, over time they will step in and
friends from before our kids were born, so that’s the I would like both my kids to take over the businesses. | 65
good thing. I think both of us have seen our children They are getting their teams ready. They have been
being born. He was around when Anand was born and working on it. The sooner it is, the better [it is] for me. I
I have seen Isha being born. We have had a very close would like to do more things in life.
relationship and the union between Anand and Isha has
only cemented it further. Q: What are those things? I believe you are
spiritually inclined and spend a lot of time
Q: Mukesh isn’t the only top-level businessman thinking about life and its many conundrums.
you can be linked with. You were on the board What do you have planned out for the next
of Tata Sons at the time N. Chandrasekaran 10-15 years?
took over and you have had the perspective of A: The way the world is, I don’t know how many years
seeing him work over the past many years. As an are left for anybody, but yes, I am spiritually inclined and
insider almost, are you happy with the way Tata I would want to do more of it. Catch up on my reading,
Sons is shaping up under him? Would you say he as it is a very important part of my life. In addition, we
has your vote? have a foundation and I would like to spend much more
A: There is no doubt about that and you don’t need my time on that. As they say—the first part of your life is to
validation of what he has achieved. The markets say it learn, second part of your life is to earn and then you have
and you can see the business performance reflecting to return. So, we have been trying to do just that. The
it, so I think this has been an exceptional performance Prime Minister has identified 112 districts as aspirational
over the past five years from where he took over to districts. They are the most undeveloped and about 16
where the group is today. There’s a material change and per cent of our population lives there, but of the total
that’s quite obvious to see in every business. CSR funding only 1.5 per cent goes there, so we must
improve this. We are working with NITI Aayog, with
Q: How many more years do you see yourself various state and central governments to do something
hanging in, Ajay, because you are getting on there. We have a big tribal initiative. Every year we do a
and running these large businesses can’t be fellowship of young fellows who are either graduates or
easy. You have built a large empire and your postgraduates. This year we recruited 650. They work
children are ready. How much time before with us 24/7 for two years to become better leaders. Any
Ajay Piramal is seen sitting at Mahalakshmi small contribution we can make in building this country
racecourse watching the horses go by, with is what we want to do.

Business Today 23 January 2022


BREA
INNOVATION

A
OF PURIFIED
66 | AIR
BY BINU PAUL

M
ovie theatres are the first to Director of UFO Moviez India, which installed the device
shut whenever Covid-19 infec- across PVR’s 856 screens. “We found the Wolf Airmask to
tions go up. But when PVR Cin- be the only device that had been tested on coronavirus in
emas, India’s largest multiplex an ICMR-approved lab.” Agarwal says the company has
chain, welcomed back audienc- received several enquiries about the device since it was in-
es in November, it did so with stalled at PVR. The digital services provider has exclusive
the promise of clean, sterilised distribution rights to sell the device to cinemas in India
cinema halls. This also meant and the Middle-East, and the government sector in India.
purified air for patrons, to put them at ease about sitting Born in the depths of the lockdown in the coastal town
in closed auditoriums. For this, the company turned to an of Alappuzha, Kerala, the Wolf Airmask is seeing its de-
anti-viral air purification device called Wolf Airmask, de- ployment both in India and in overseas markets. Sujesh
veloped by home-grown start-up Allabout Innovations. Sugunan, Founder, Chairman and CEO of Allabout Inno-
“We evaluated several solutions that can make cin- vations, credits everything to serendipity.
ema halls secure,” says Kapil Agarwal, Joint Managing It all began when Sugunan, 46, who also runs a mar-

Business Today 23 January 2022


ATH
Allabout Innovations is
aggressively expanding
production of its anti-viral air
purification device, developed in
the coastal town of Alappuzha in
Kerala, to meet global demand | 67

keting and events business in Dubai, was confined to his University of Oxford and Hamburg University, this
home in Alappuzha during the first wave of the virus. He group of scientists built a prototype of an ozone gener-
utilised the time to rekindle his connection with a vol- ator at a fraction of a cost at which it is available in the
untary scientific community he has been a part of since international markets. The device could sanitise an
the time he worked at the Electronics Research & Devel- area of 5,000 sq. ft and the community offered about 25
opment Centre of India (ER&DCI) Institute of Tech- of them free of cost to government agencies. But there
nology, Thiruvananthapuram, some 20 years ago. The was demand from all quarters. To keep up with it, Su-
community once again banded together to offer techni- gunan set up Allabout Innovations to manufacture the
cal assistance to government agencies during the early device commercially.
phase of the Covid-19 outbreak. The team learnt about
ozone generators being used in Germany and Japan
for sanitisation, but their attempts at importing ozone back to the drawing board
modules from China were unsuccessful. Ozone, however, is highly reactive and needs to be han-
With the help of some research papers from the dled carefully. “Ozone has a half-life of about 28 minutes;

Business Today 23 January 2022


INNOVATION — HEALTHCARE

THE
no one should enter the territory [where charge up to 100 trillion negative ions
sanitisation took place] during the time. per cubic cm per second. Available in
To cover more areas, they weren’t fol-
CLIENT two capacities, the device can work for

LIST
lowing the protocols strictly [and] peo- a minimum of 60,000 hours—or about
ple were falling ill,” says Sugunan. 6.8 years—without any maintenance.
The team went back to the drawing A selection of While the technology is not new, the use
board and began thinking about build- organisations where case is, the start-up says.
ing a solution where people could be the Wolf Airmask The device is currently produced at its
present during sanitisation. That’s when has been deployed Kerala unit, the capacity of which is being
the concept of negative ions popped up. APOLLO TYRES enhanced to 15,000 units a month from
Negative ions are odourless, taste- ASIANET
10,000. The company is also in the pro-
less, and invisible molecules floating in cess of setting up manufacturing units
DISNEY
the atmosphere that have been charged in the UAE and Qatar, and a large factory
with electricity. They are capable of DP WORLD is in the pipeline in Karnataka. The com-
cleaning airborne allergens such as pol- INDIAN AIR FORCE pany aims to ramp up total production to
len, mould spores, bacteria and viruses. 40,000-50,000 units every month.
INDIAN OIL
“Ions are capable of interacting
with the surface proteins of any kind KERALA HIGH COURT
of virus. In the case of coronavirus, we KERALA INFRASTRUCTURE foreign foray
have the S protein, which is positively INVESTMENT FUND According to the company, demand for
BOARD
charged. Ions are predominantly nega- the Wolf Airmask is strong abroad, es-
tively charged and can bond with the S OLAM INTERNATIONAL pecially in the Middle-East. Atlas Medi-
protein’s positive charge, which then be- PVR CINEMAS cal, a 45-year-old medical equipment
comes inactivated. Once the protein is distribution company in the UAE, is in
68 | neutralised, it cannot penetrate into the the final stages of negotiations with the
SOURCE: COMPANY
cell,” explains Prince Xavier, Scientist Dubai Health Authority (a government
(Computational Chemist) in Molecular organisation overseeing the health sys-
Chemistry, Bangalore University, who is tem of Dubai) to install the device across
part of the community and was an early its healthcare facilities. V. Kalyan Sunda-
advisor to Sugunan. ram, General Manager of Atlas Medical,
Sugunan gathered a team under expects the deal to be a gateway to the
his newly-formed company and built larger market in the country.
a negative ion generator device— “We did some local testing of the
more commonly called air ioniser— product, including with Dubai Munici-
and christened it Wolf Airmask. Air pality and other customers, and the re-
ionisers use high voltage to ionise or sults were really good. We are currently
electrically charge air molecules and installing the device at several govern-
release negative ions. ment and private enterprises in the UAE,
The start-up tested the device on including RAK Hospital, BYJU’S, Radis-
the SARS-CoV-2 virus at the ICMR-ap- son Hotel Group, and the Roads & Trans-
proved Rajiv Gandhi Centre for Biotech- port Authority of Dubai,” Sundaram says.
nology, Thiruvananthapuram. The test “Demand is emerging He expects to sell 25,000-30,000 units
from every corner of
revealed that Wolf Airmask is efficient the world. The size a year in the UAE besides taking it to the
in rupturing the viral envelope of SARS- of the market is huge African markets.
CoV-2 in just 15 minutes, reducing the and you will soon see While the UAE was its first interna-
a lot more companies
Covid-19 viral load by 99.9 per cent. The coming up with this tional market, Sugunan says the Wolf
device has also been successfully tested kind of product. We are Airmask is currently present in 30 coun-
against other viruses, including E. Coli 100 per cent sure that tries spread across all continents. The
and MS2 bacteriophage at several ICMR after television, this is company has set up offices in the UAE,
going to be the next
and NABL-approved labs since, besides big white good to hit Qatar, Finland, the US and Australia
the Dubai Central Laboratory. the market” where it plans to operate on its own, while
Using plasma air sterilisation tech- it aims to penetrate all other markets, in-
nology, the Wolf Airmask, for which SUJESH SUGUNAN cluding India, via distribution partners.
FOUNDER, CHAIRMAN AND CEO,
the start-up has filed a patent, can dis- ALLABOUT INNOVATIONS Back home, Sugunan says Mumbai-

Business Today 23 January 2022


MEET THE WOLF AIRMASK
The air ioniser comes in two variants, based on area covered

VARIANT

Wolf Airmask WA-1000 WA-500


Operation Plasma Air Sterilisation
Technology
Dimensions 25 cm x 21 cm x 21 cm
Power consumption 40 W 30 W
Estimated ion 10-100 trillion 15-30 million
emission per second per second
Effective area covered 1,000 sq. ft 500 sq. ft
by one device
Effective volume 10,000 cubic ft 5,000
coverage cubic ft
Warranty Two years
Safe solution Workers at the Allabout
Innovations factory in Cherthala, Kerala SOURCE: COMPANY

based UFO Moviez, with about 10,600 partner movie search to study how effective Wolf Airmask is for plants. | 69
theatres, has committed to installing the device at 5,600 The study showed that it increases germination levels by
theatres. Every theatre requires around 25-30 machines. 30 per cent and yield by 20 per cent. We are currently test-
The company has already supplied some 4,500 units to ing machines for agricultural purpose with a Dubai-based
PVR. Agarwal of UFO Moviez says his company has de- agri-tech company,” Sugunan says.
ployed around 10,000 devices across sectors, and antici- Abdul Rahman R.S., General Manager at GreenGate
pates sales of about 50,000-100,000 in the next one year. Co., a private agency that works closely with the govern-
While the start-up may have a patent for the prod- ment of UAE on infrastructure and community develop-
uct, what is to stop other companies from using similar ment, is planning to make the Wolf Airmask available to
technology for a similar use case? Sugunan seems unper- glass houses in the country. They are also in the process
turbed. “Demand is emerging from every corner of the of completing a pilot study of the device with G-42, an ar-
world. The size of the market is huge and you will soon see tificial intelligence and cloud computing company in Abu
a lot more companies coming up with this kind of prod- Dhabi, and Abu Dhabi National Oil Company, the largest
uct,” he says. Leveraging the first-mover advantage, Al- energy company in the UAE. “We are working closely with
labout Innovations is building a strong distribution net- the government and corporates who are involved in stabi-
work through strategic tie-ups. This has also helped the lising our community’s health and safety,” says Rahman.
start-up establish partnerships with governments and The Wolf Airmask comes in two variants that cover
companies in a very short span of time, he says. 500 sq. ft and 1,000 sq. ft space, and are priced at `24,780
and `35,400 (both prices including GST), respectively.
The company is currently building a portable model that
not just for covid-19 can cover 250 sq. ft, targeting the business-to-consumer
Besides this, Sugunan sees a larger market for the de- (B2C) market. Sugunan predicts that every home or of-
vice’s many use cases. In Japan and Finland, for instance, fice space will have a negative ion generator or negative
negative ion generator devices are extensively used to ion generating plant. “We are 100 per cent sure that after
help people fight stress and fatigue, as a higher negative television, this is going to be the next big white good to hit
ion concentration in the breathable atmosphere could the market,” he says. While that is debatable, what is cer-
increase levels of the mood hormone serotonin, he says. tain is that if Covid-19 persists, the demand for purified
Negative ion generators are already used in high-end cars, air—and air ionisers—will also persist.
while some aircraft also deploy them on long-haul flights.
Another use case could be agriculture. “We did re- @binu_t_paul

Business Today 23 January 2022


I L LU ST R AT I O N BY A N I R BA N G H OS H

SHOULD
70 | YOU
INVEST
OVERSEAS?
many b ro k in g f i r m s a r e

facil i tati ng i n v e stm e n ts

in in t e rn ati o n a l

mar k e ts . h e r e ’s
the low d own o n t h e

chal l e ng e s a n d r i s ks

BY TEENA JAIN KAUSHAL

Business Today 23 January 2022


MONEY TODAY — OVERSEAS MARKETS

D
INVESTING
e lh i -based Co-founder and CEO of Vested Finance,
housewife Archa- a California-headquartered company,
na Gupta wants to which is a registered investment advi-
IN US
STOCKS
send her 14-year- sor with the US Securities and Exchange
old daughter Commission (SEC).
abroad for higher However, people have now started
studies. There is,
however, one big
looking beyond the US markets and their
investments are also not limited to eq- 0Brokerage
% | 71

challenge before her. The 45-year-old uities. “We are seeing investors access
fee
is worried about the depreciating ru- unique opportunities in the UK and Eu-
pee, which means she will have to shell rope—using Winvesta’s multi-currency
out more than just the college fees to account—and diversifying beyond US
`1,000-
1,500
cover the currency risk. Consider this: stocks. These include managed funds,
On December 20, 2011, $1 was equal to crowdfunding platforms, fractional real
`52.77, while on December 20, 2021, it estate, and debt instruments,” says Pra-
was equal to `75.84. It is for this reason teek Jain, Co-founder and President, Wire fee
charged by
that she and her businessman husband Winvesta, a financial services firm head- the bank (NIL VIA
are considering investing in equities quartered and regulated in the UK. VESTED DIRECT)
in international markets as, along with Another key benefit of investing over-

2%
higher returns, it also hedges against seas is that it gives a geographic diver-
currency fluctuations. sification to your portfolio and ensures
There are many like Gupta who are that you don’t have all your eggs in one
Forex markup
investing in international markets to basket. “You can invest in companies and (1.2% VIA
build a fund that eliminates the currency themes that are touted to be the future VESTED DIRECT)
risk. Direct investing is possible in the and are not easily available in the domes-
stocks of several countries, but invest-
ing in US stocks is considered the most
tic market, such as clean energy, crypto-
currencies, robotics, and AI, among oth- $11
popular as the New York Stock Exchange ers,” says Jain. Withdrawal
(NYSE) and NASDAQ are the world’s fees
largest stock exchanges. “One can invest
uncharted territory
0.5-1%
in some of the world’s largest technology
companies like Apple, Tesla, Starbucks, The first question, of course, is how
Nike and Meta (Facebook) when invest- does one invest in the overseas market? Withdrawal
ing in the US stock markets. Such invest- There are several ways to do that. You forex markup
ment opportunities are not available via can open a brokerage account abroad ei- SOURCE:
local stock markets,” says Viram Shah, ther through a domestic brokerage (such VESTED FINANCE

Business Today 23 January 2022


MONEY TODAY — OVERSEAS MARKETS

as Vested Finance or Winvesta) that can become as easy as investing do-


offers this service or through a for- mestically,” says Jain.
eign brokerage. Many Indian bro-
kers also enable foreign investing
for their customers. Angel Broking, testing the waters
5paisa and Axis Direct, for instance, Let’s look at the returns. The Nifty
have partnered with Vested Finance 50 has underperformed the S&P 500
to provide services to their clients. this year. According to data provided
Investments Once your account is open, you by Winvesta, Nifty, the 50-stock In-
in US equities need to fund it with foreign cur- dian benchmark, has gained 20 per
must be made in
US dollars. For rency. Investments in the account cent, while the S&P 500 has returned
this, you need to are made by using the Liberalised 25 per cent to investors this year (till
remit USD to the Remittance Scheme (LRS) of the December 21). If we talk about a 10-
partner bank in Reserve Bank of India (RBI), which year timeframe, Nifty gained 255 per
the US is available to all resident Indians. cent, while S&P 500 rose 273 per cent
VIRAM SHAH Through this scheme, an individual over the same period. On top of that,
CO-FOUNDER AND CEO, can remit up to $250,000 per finan- the US dollar appreciated almost
VESTED FINANCE
cial year for such transactions. 43 per cent against the INR over 10
“Investments in US equities years, making the returns of S&P 500
must be made in US dollars. For over 430 per cent in INR terms.
this, you need to remit USD to the However, the picture remains
partner bank in the US. To open an incomplete if we don’t take costs
account, you will need proofs of ID into consideration. Unlike the do-
and address. The whole process is mestic market, where your money
72 | paperless and can be completed in gets fully invested straightaway,
minutes. The next step after KYC is in case of international investing,
One of the key
benefits of investing to fund your account with USD,” ex- various charges get deducted before
overseas is that you plains Shah. the amount gets invested. Suppose
can invest in firms To make the process of invest- you want to invest `1 lakh in the US
and themes that ing in the US markets easy, Vested markets, then around `3,000-5,000
are touted to be the has also launched Vested Direct in can be deducted towards various
future and not easily partnership with SBM Bank India. costs such as remittance and forex
available in the Vested Direct is an INR wallet that charges. However, these charges vary
domestic market
lets you load USD into your US bro- from broker to broker. For example,
PRATEEK JAIN kerage account. You can use your Vested charges remittance expenses
CO-FOUNDER AND
PRESIDENT, WINVESTA existing bank’s netbanking solution from `1,000-1,500 per transaction.
to load funds into your Vested Direct These charges are nil through Vested
account, after which you can initiate Direct. Similarly, Winvesta has a re-
a USD deposit request from the app. mittance fee of `500-1,500 if you opt
“When you are initiating a deposit for UPI through banks. Otherwise,
request for the first time, SBM Bank the charges are nil. But that’s not all.
will require your existing bank ac- You are also charged around $10-11 at
count statement of 12 months. Once the time of withdrawing money from
SBM Bank approves your transac- your account. Then there are forex in-
If your portfolio tion, the funds will get credited ward charges of 0.5-1 per cent.
value is large and to your Vested brokerage account A back-of-the-envelope calcula-
you have the time to
devote to analysing within 24 hours,” says Shah. tion shows that for small investors,
and tracking foreign Once the funds are in, you can investing directly could be a costly
stocks, then by start investing. You can place trades affair. This is because an investment
all means invest and, most importantly, buy fraction- of `10,000 can cost approximately
directly al shares. This means that you can `1,000-2,500. Small investors, there-
get started by investing as little as fore, need to earn high returns to
GAURAV RASTOGI
FOUNDER AND CEO, $1. “With Winvesta’s new UPI-based cover the cost of investing abroad.
KUVERA.IN remittances, investing in US stocks Having said that, the remittance and

Business Today 23 January 2022


KNOW BEFORE YOU INVEST getting into the hassle of remittances
and forex charges.
The taxation aspect of investing in US markets
Top performers such as Motilal
Oswal NASDAQ 100 ETF, Edelweiss
INCOME TAX RATES US Value Equity Offshore and Moti-
lal Oswal S&P 500 Index Fund have
Capital gains Long-term capital gains tax rate is 20 per cent
given returns of 28.52 per cent, 26.79
tax on sale of (plus applicable surcharges and cess fees) if held
stocks/ETFs for over 24 months. For ETFs, the long-term
per cent and 27.76 per cent, respec-
threshold is 36 months tively, over the past one year. In com-
parison, individual stocks such as
Google, Apple and Tesla have given
If investment is held for less than 24 months and returns of 69 per cent, 33.58 per cent
profit is booked, then short-term capital gain is and 61 per cent, respectively, over the
charged according to your income tax slab. Note: last one year.
for ETFs, the long-term threshold is 36 months So, which route is better—in-
vesting directly or through mutual
funds? “We see that direct interna-
Tax on Dividends are taxed in the US at a flat rate of 25
tional investors churn their port-
dividend per cent. The broker paying the dividend will
subtract 25 per cent taxes before distributing the folio a lot chasing trends and, thus,
remaining 75 per cent to the investor. However, invite capital gains taxes. A passive
you can take credit for the dividend tax paid international fund would be cheaper
when filing taxes in India and hassle-free for a vast majority of
investors. However, if your portfolio
SOURCE: VESTED FINANCE value is large and you have the time
to devote to analyse and track foreign | 73
stocks, then by all means invest di-
rectly,” says Gaurav Rastogi, Founder
withdrawal charges remain the same, this holding as foreign asset in in- and Chief Executive Officer, Kuvera.
even if one invests a higher amount. come tax returns. So if you are a sala- in, a wealth management platform.
So, when investing abroad, a higher ried person, you need to file ITR-2,” Lovaii Navlakhi, Managing Di-
investment will cost you a lot lower. says Sujit Bangar, Founder, Taxbud- rector and CEO of financial plan-
dy.com, a portal for tax return filing ning firm International Money Mat-
and a tax advisory business. ters, says: “We would recommend
taxation matrix But what happens if one inher- that one starts with funds that invest
We are aware of certain benefits that its foreign shares? The US levies an in global developed markets. The en-
taxpayers can avail from investment inheritance tax, or estate tax, at the try can be made in a staggered man-
in India-listed equities. For example, time of inheritance. However, such ner and approximately 10-15 per cent
long-term capital gain of up to `1 tax is leviable only if the transferor of domestic equity investment can
lakh is exempt from taxation. Long- is a citizen, resident or a green card be allocated to international funds.
term capital gain exceeding `1 lakh holder of the US. “If a resident Indian Once you get familiar and are com-
is taxed at a special rate of 10 per cent individual inherits US equities held fortable with these investments,
only. Short-term capital gain is taxed by his/her parents who were also In- take small bites of countrywide or
at a special rate of 15 per cent. Howev- dian citizens, there won’t be any in- sectoral allocations, and increase
er, these benefits are not available for heritance tax,” says Bangar. your exposure and understanding.”
investment in foreign equities. While many might get tempted
“Investment in foreign equities to invest in international stocks,
would be considered as any other expert take it is advisable to take the plunge
asset such as gold, etc. So the gain You don’t need to have an overseas after understanding the costs in-
would be long-term if the holding pe- broking account to invest in inter- volved. It best suits people with big
riod is 36 months or more, and the tax national stocks, as there are many portfolios. For small investors, inter-
rate would be 20 per cent. Short-term international mutual funds that are national mutual funds could be the
gains would be taxed as per regular available in India. The biggest advan- best option.
slab rates. One more important as- tage of these international funds is
pect to note is that we need to report that you can invest in rupees without @Teena_Kaushal

Business Today 23 January 2022


THE GOOD LIFE
TRENDS TECH TONIC DOWNTIME

74 |

THE SCENT
OF ME Welcome to the
world of bespoke
perfumes, the
ultimate in luxury

BY SMITA TRIPATHI
ILLUSTRATION BY ANIRBAN GHOSH
| 75

I
magine having an utterly unique 100 ml bottle can cost you upwards
fragrance composed just for you. De- of `5 lakh, depending on the ingredi-
signed keeping in mind your loves, ents used.
your nature and even how well it sits Traditionally, bespoke perfumes
on your skin—it is the smell of you. have their roots in Europe where
Welcome to the world of bespoke per- they were blended chiefly for roy-
fumes, the ultimate in luxury. alty and wealthy patrons. Across
Smells have the power to evoke Europe and the US, there are sev-
strong memories. The whiff of a eral perfumeries—such as Guerlain
perfume can transport you to child- and Jean Patou in Paris, and Kilian
hood or remind you of a past love. Hennessy in New York—that make
Your fragrance can easily become bespoke creations. In London,
your signature as it is linked to how Floris, a family-owned perfumery
people will remember you. Little established in 1730, is the oldest re-
wonder, then, that a one-of-a-kind tailer of fragrances in the country,
distinctive smell is so alluring. and is the ‘appointed perfumer’ to
Of course, the Holy Grail of be- Queen Elizabeth.
spoke luxury does not come cheap. A In India, it was the Mughals who
THE GOOD LIFE — TRENDS

introduced perfumery to the coun- need to wear for a week and observe
try. Ittar, natural perfume oil de- how you feel. To know if you really
rived from herbs, flowers and wood, love a fragrance, you need to notice
has been around for over 400 years. how it wears on your skin, if the scent
Ittar (a term with Persian roots) is changes over time as it blends into
still popular in Old Delhi, Lucknow your skin, and how you feel while
and Hyderabad. “Perfumes are an wearing it. The scent is then tweaked
extension of our personality. To as per your feedback, and off you go
have a fragrance made especially for with the sample and wear it for anoth-
you is really quite exclusive,” says er week or 10 days. This to-and-fro
Anil Panda, Co-founder of 3003 BC, happens till you are satisfied with the
a bespoke perfume company that final fragrance and are ready to call it
set up operations in India in 2017. yours. The perfume is handed to you
The company is named so because in a specially-handcrafted bottle and
the earliest reference to perfumes is you even get to name it.
from the Mesopotamian Age. The composition is yours and is
Panda uses a combination of not replicated for anyone else. You
creativity and technology to decode can also order more of the same
your fragrance preferences and de- later. If you go with 3003 BC, it’s
sign a scent that’s unique to you. also cheaper the next time round,
After you answer 10-12 questions says Panda, explaining that it’s cre-
about your olfactory preferences, ating the composition that costs the
personality and the mood you want big bucks.
the perfume to create, 3003 BC’s AI London-based Floris—where
platform analyses several combi- Winston Churchill and Marilyn
nations and creates three samples Monroe got their vials of bespoke
76 | exclusively for you. After trying all perfumes from—offers three ser-
three, you can select any one. Since vices. For £675, you spend two hours 1.
there are hundreds of permutations with a perfumer, choosing from a
and combinations, each sample cre-
ated is unique, says Panda. A 100-ml
bottle costs `7,749, as Panda says he
wants personalised perfumes to be
within people’s reach.
However, if you want the real deal,
an appointment can be fixed with
British perfumer John Stephen, who
has over four decades of experience,
and counts Queen Elizabeth and the
late Prince Philip amongst his clients.
With Stephen, personalisation is
a lengthy process and can take around
16-24 weeks. It starts with filling out a
form to get a sense of the type of scent
you are looking for, the ingredients
you are drawn to, and so forth. And
this is just the starting point. Stephen
then has a detailed conversation with
you about your memories, moods
and feelings. You could maybe de-
scribe to him the scent of a favourite
aunt or your passion for horse riding.
The challenge lies in him translating
your ephemeral descriptions into a
blend of flowers and oils. Stephen 2.
then creates a few samples that you

Business Today 23 January 2022


wide variety of fragrance bases. Once
you have identified a fragrance direc-
tion, the perfumer will work with you
and tweak the perfume to refine your
composition till it is as per your lik-
ing. This then becomes your bespoke
scent. Its second service is called ‘To-
gether’ and is meant for couples. For
£1,100, you have the opportunity to
create two completely bespoke fra-
grances. Its third service, Bespoke
Perfume Design, allows you to design
your perfume over six months. You
work closely with Director Edward
Bodenham—who is also the ninth-
generation descendant of Floris
Founder Juan Famenias Floris—and
develop a perfume that is uniquely
you. For £6,000, you get six 100-ml
bottles. Once the perfume is created,
your custom fragrance formula is ar-
chived in the Floris ledgers for you or
your future generations to reorder.
On average, a bottle of perfume
has between 30 and 40 ingredients.
These can vary in price, from a few
thousand rupees per kg to several | 77
lakhs. Oud, made from agarwood,
is one of the most expensive per-
fume ingredients known to the hu-
man nose. A kilo of oud oil costs `21
1. A bespoke
lakh, says Panda. There are other ex-
perfume being
made at London- pensive ingredients as well such as
based Floris, a Bulgarian rose oil (around `12 lakh
family-owned per kilo) and natural tobacco oil (`9
perfumery lakh per kilo).
established in A perfumery typically has nearly
1730, which is a thousand ingredients. Stephen
the ‘appointed says maintaining consistency is a
perfumer’ to Queen challenge. You would expect a per-
Elizabeth fume to smell the same every time,
2. To know if but when you are dealing with natu-
you really love a ral materials, they may vary with
fragrance, you need weather and, hence, change.
to notice how it While a perfume ages con-
wears on your skin stantly, the rate of change slows
and how you feel down over time. The biggest change
while wearing it
in a fragrance takes place in the first
3. Bespoke perfume 24 hours. Stephen recommends
company 3003 BC keeping perfumes in a cool place
uses a combination (below 30 degrees) as the low tem-
of creativity and perature slows down chemical reac-
technology to tions, and the perfume continues to
decode your unique
smell the same.
fragrance
3.
@smitabw

Business Today 23 January 2022


THE GOOD LIFE — TECH TONIC

STAY FIT
AND FINE
These nifty gadgets will keep your
New Year fitness resolutions on track
BY NIDHI SINGAL

FITNESS
COMPANION
Be it to jump-start your fit- The Breathe app is great
ness routine, help you track for mindful breathing and
your workout or keep an eye relaxing, something I use a
on your vital stats, the Apple lot when I am stressed. The
Watch does it all. It’s great at blood oxygen measure-
recording workouts, guided ment, heart rate monitor-
78 | breathing sessions, measuring ing and ECG are bang on
ECG, heart rate and even blood (despite this not being a Apple Watch Series 7
oxygen levels. Supporting a medical device). Unlike
`41,900 onwards
wide range of workouts includ- most bands that automati-
ing walks, jogging, swimming, cally record sleep cycles, The device supports a wide range
yoga, core training and Tai this one doesn’t. Instead, of workouts and tracks vital stats
Chi—to name a few—the activ- it helps you in developing
ity rings show the day’s activi- a healthy sleeping pattern
ties at a glance. What I love the by suggesting you set up
most is when the watch re- a sleep schedule, activate help you relax). But mind you, the Apple
minds me to walk a little more sleep mode and wind down Watch works only with iPhones.
to complete my day’s goal. (to reduce distractions and Available on: apple.com/in

Band of Health
If you’re not a watch person, then consider some-
thing like the Fitbit Charge 5. With close to seven
days of battery backup, it can track around 20
workouts and body stats in real-time. It also comes
with built-in GPS, stress management, 24x7 heart
rate monitor, SpO2, etc. Just like the Apple Watch,
this measures your ECG (but via an app). The de-
`14,999 vice is comfortable to wear as well, even to track
The Fitbit your sleep. It works with both iOS and Android.
Charge 5 works Available on: fitbit.com
with both iOS
and Android

Business Today 23 January 2022


ROWING THE OCEANS
This smart rowing machine with magnetic resistance will let you explore
different oceans and lakes around the world virtually. With deliveries start-
ing in February, it will come with more than 30 virtual experiences.

DON’T SKIP IT
Available on: theflexnest.com

 TANGRAM FACTORY `32,999


SMARTROPE ROOKIE The Flexnest
~`5,000 Flexrower lets
you explore and
Skipping is a great full-body exercise
workout for adults. And
when you use this skipping
rope, it records each
complete revolution of the
rope as a complete jump,
as well as monitors calories
burnt and workout times. It
ships to India.
Available on: tangramfactory.
com

Look Beyond Your Weight


DRINK UP Regular scales help you watch your
weight, but the GOQii Balance | 79
 HidrateSpark 3 comes with a body composition
~`10,000 monitor to measure weight, muscle
mass, BMI, bone mass, body fat,
Helping you to stay hydrated, water content, body score, basal
this bottle not only tracks metabolism and visceral fat. The
water intake, but also has an Balance comes with 3 months
LED smart sensor stick that of personal coaching where a
glows to remind you it’s time human coach will guide you about
to drink water. Just pair it `3,299 improving your food habits and
with its app. The GOQii exercise routine.
Available on: amazon.in Balance is more Available on: goqii.com
than just a weigh-
ing scale

BREATHE EASY
LUMEN METABOLISM
HOME RUN ~`21,500
 NURVV Run
~`25,000 Just breathe out. That’s all it takes for this
handheld, portable device to measure your
If you’re into running, this metabolism. It discovers what fuel source
smart insole will measure the body is using for energy, fats or carbs,
the activity from the point of and helps make actionable changes to reach
impact and provide insights, weight, fitness and metabolic goals. It even
guidance and coaching to gives daily customised meal plans based on
help you run smarter and the metabolism rate. And it ships to India.
train healthier. Available on: lumen.me
Available on: nurvv.com

Business Today 23 January 2022


THE GOOD LIFE — DOWNTIME

OUT
PHOTOGRAPH BY RAJWANT RAWAT

OF THE
BOX
For a CEO, Divya Jain uses
the most uncommon tool for
meditation and focus:
she throws punches, literally

BY SMITA TRIPATHI

B
oxing is meditative for me.
It’s something that requires
your mind and body to work
80 | together,” says 38-year-old
Divya Jain, Founder and
CEO of Safeducate, and
Co-founder of Seekho. The
London School of Economics alumna—who
runs one of the largest initiatives for skilling
in logistics, which has skilled over 250,000
students in the past eight years—says what
makes boxing attractive is that you always
need to be attentive. “If you are running, you
can let your mind wander, but that’s not true
for boxing. In boxing, if you stop looking, you
are going to get a whack,” she smiles. “What I
love is that you leave everything aside and just
concentrate on the skill, and are aware of the
now. Boxing has really helped me sharpen my
brain. If I box, I have a better day,” says Jain,
the recipient of the ASEAN Young Woman
Achiever Award in 2018.
Jain, who decided not to join the family
business— logistics and express distribution
company Safexpress—has been boxing for the
past two-and-a-half years. “It happened by
chance. A new ring had opened near my house
where they were experimenting with boxing

READY FOR ACTION: Jain, who has been


boxing for the past two-and-a-half years, set up
a ring at home in 2020 due to the pandemic

Business Today 23 January 2022


as a fitness form. I decided to give it
a shot. And it has become a passion
now,” says Jain, who set up a boxing
ring at home in Delhi in 2020 when
gyms and fight clubs were shut. “Ir-
respective of which part of the world
I am in, I spend the first two hours
after waking up boxing,” she says.
Jain is also promoting young girls
to box. They are trained at her ring at
home. “We identify young girls who
have been fighting a little bit and are
trying to promote them to fight in PHOTOGRAPH BY MANDAR DEODHAR
the nationals and, hopefully, take
them international,” she says, add- PRIZED POSSESSION The chairman of Mogae Media has around 350
ing, “It is so empowering to be able to mugs in his office collected over a couple of decades on trips abroad
protect and defend yourself.”

THE MAN WITH


THE MUGS
“What I love is that
you leave everything
aside and just
concentrate on the For Sandeep Goyal, adding to his extensive
skill, and are aware collection of Toby mugs is a passion
of the now. Boxing | 81
has really helped me BY SMITA TRIPATHI
sharpen my brain”
For 59-year-old adman Sandeep collected are in his office. “They
Goyal, Chairman, Mogae Media, his are difficult to come by. I gener-
collection of Toby mugs is a prized ally search for them in pawn shops
In early 2021, Jain set up Seekho, possession. A Toby mug, or jug, is and antique stores abroad.” Till a
a video-first platform where young a figural ceramic pitcher modelled few years ago, Goyal would pick up
professionals and college students in the form of a popular charac- three-four mugs on every trip. Pric-
ter—historical, fictional or generic. es vary from a few British pounds
can learn any skill on the go. “My “Toby mugs are the original form of to £200-300. “If I was to sell mine,
entire life ties in. When you box, you what we today call ‘merchandise’. I would get a neat packet.”
are learning new skills. A lot of the They were born primarily as an Goyal’s collection is so large
philosophy that I learn in boxing I extension of theatre,” that he sometimes
have applied in Seekho. How do you says Goyal, who has makes the mistake
around 350 of them of buying one he al-
build skills, how do you constantly in his office collected ready has. But he has
train your body and mind,” says over a couple of de- also lost around 40-
Jain, a mother of two. A boxer needs cades on trips abroad. 50 mugs. “They are
to be strong, as well as flexible, she It all started in the fragile. Every time
late 1990s when he one breaks in transit,
says. “Muhammad Ali said, ‘Float
saw and liked the col- my mood is spoilt,”
like a butterfly, sting like a bee’. So lection of a friend’s fa- says Goyal, who ac-
you need to be powerful but agile,” ther in the UK. “He had quired the ad agency
says Jain, who spars for 10-12 hours a 49 of them then, each one gifted Rediffusion in May 2021.
week with her coach and maintains by his wife on their anniversary. He Owner of one of the largest col-
told me he would will them to me,” lections of Toby mugs in the coun-
a low-carb, high-protein diet. “Box- recalls Goyal. Sure enough, a cou- try, Goyal admits that taking care of
ing gives you awareness about your ple of years later, he found himself them is not easy. “But I have them
body. I am trying to introduce my in possession of 51 mugs. “I was tak- in my office, and the collection
kids to it,” says Jain, who has also en aback by the gesture. It seemed serves as a great ice-breaker. More
been flirting with jujutsu. “But my like divine intervention,” says Goyal, importantly, I see them every day
who then started collecting them. and they make me happy.”
heart is in boxing.” Today, the 51 bequeathed ones
are kept in his house in Mumbai,
@smitabw while the 350-odd that he has @smitabw

Business Today 26 December 2021


The Best Advice I Ever Got
NEVIL PATEL I DIRECTOR I ORPAT GROUP

What was the problem you were


grappling with?
The pandemic led to an inevitable and unfore-
seen halt in production in 2020. The busi-
ness suffered and we were unable to remedy
the situation because of the restrictions. Our
numbers dwindled and many of our employ-
ees also suffered from health challenges as a
result of the pandemic.

Whom did you approach for advice?


My parents and grandparents. Their experi-
ence and wisdom proved to be priceless even
in a never-seen-before situation such as this.

What was the advice you received?


My elders, especially my father, have always
taught me to have a people-first approach—
to think about them, and for them. Even my
82 | grandparents conveyed that it is important to
give people who helped us due credit and not
step on them on the pretext of moving for-
ward. Our best assets are our hard work and
humility, which when mixed with care for peo-
ple around us, have the ability to move moun-
tains. Our aim has always been to put India on
the global industrial map and it fills me with
pride that we are now among the top industry
leaders. Respect for all, hard work, transparen-
cy and honesty were their virtues, and some-
thing that I imbibe within me every day.

How effective was it in resolving the


problem?
The advice helped us add dexterity to our
everyday operations without having to worry
about going the wrong way. Transparency has
helped us maintain efficient operations and,

‘Always have
of course, our loyal workforce has been with
us for years on end. They are like our family
and the family stayed put through the course

a people-first
of the difficulty.
—Vidya S.

approach’
Vol. 31, No. 2 for the fortnight
January 10, 2022 to January 23, 2022.
Released on January 10, 2022.
Total number of pages 84 (including cover)

Business Today 23 January 2022


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