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I
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Vol. 32, No. 17, for the fortnight August 7, 2023
Elsewhere in this issue, Binu Paul gets you the story on the big shift to August 20, 2023. Released on August 7, 2023.
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PHOTOGRAPHIK

CONTENTS
12
Curried
The recent spike in
August 20, 2023 | Volume 32 | Number 17 the prices of certain
vegetables and spices
has shaken house-
holds’ kitchen budgets

14 POINT

Capital Charge
Capital goods players
have emerged as the
COVER STORY shining stars of the
equity market in the

38 18
recent past

THE BUZZ

Guarded
Optimism
The BT-C Fore
Business Confidence
Index is at a five-
quarter high

6|

20 THE BUZZ

Division Boost
By demerging its
hotels business, ITC
hopes to boost its
capital allocation and
profitability

THE MAKING OF
ADANI 2.0
PHOTO BY BANDEEP SINGH

PUTTING THE HINDENBURG FALLOUT BEHIND,


THE `2.62 LAKH CRORE ADANI GROUP IS REBUILDING
ITSELF BRICK BY BRICK 52 START-UPS

+Q&A WITH RAJIV JAIN, CHAIRMAN AND CIO, GQG PARTNERS 46 Rush Hour
The ride-hailing
industry is seeing a
churn as Uber and
COVER BY BANDEEP SINGH Ola pivot to a profit-
first approach

Business Today 20 August 2023


102
MONEY TODAY

Travel Abroad
Tax-free
The 20 per cent tax on
foreign remittance has
caused concern. These
methods can reduce the
THE INTERVIEW 60 TECH 66 hit on your foreign trip

‘It is in India’s own interest Cloud Under Fire


to keep the data flows open’ Cloud adoption has made businesses
Nick Clegg, President of Global Affairs more efficient, but it has also allowed
at Meta, talks about the importance of bad actors to exploit vulnerabilities in
AI, regulation and more these systems for financial gain

106
THE GOOD LIFE:
TRENDS

Dial H for
Healthy Food
These meal subscription
SPACE POLICY 74 PHARMA 82 services make sure
you eat well three
times a day
Ready for Lift-off Relief Rally
Despite the recent announcement of a Sales of painkillers have seen double-
new enabling policy, the Indian space- digit growth over the past two years
tech ecosystem may require further after stagnating during Covid-19. Will
interventions to conquer new frontiers the strong run continue?

110
TECH TODAY

Pocket Pilot
When traversing
unknown roads, Google
ENTERTAINMENT 88 MARKETS 94 Maps is often your best
friend. But there are
alternatives
Switching Channels Size Does Matter
Tata Play is counting on Binge to Even as small-cap MF schemes see
bolster its falling numbers. But it’ll be huge inflows with investors betting
a while before the OTT aggregation big, some fund managers are wary of
platform can stop it from bleeding investing more in small-cap stocks

An Feature
From time to time, you will see pages titled “Focus”, “An Impact Feature”, or “Advertorial” in Business Today.
For the latest updates
These are no different from an advertisement and the magazine’s editorial staff is not involved in their and analysis, log on to
creation in any way. businesstoday.in

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12 |

CURRIED
THE RECENT SPIKE IN THE PRICES OF CERTAIN
Photo by GETTY IMAGES; Text by RAHUL OBEROI
Customers buy tomatoes at a weekly
VEGETABLES AND SPICES HAS SHAKEN
market in Hyderabad KITCHEN BUDGETS ACROSS HOUSEHOLDS.
DATA AS OF JULY 27, 2023; SOURCE CMIE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
Business Today HERE’S
26 December A LOOK AT WHAT COSTS HOW MUCH
2021
| 13

4.49
PER CENT
375
PER CENT
193
PER CENT
Food inflation in June 2023, The surge in the retail price Increase in garlic prices on a
compared with less than 3 of tomatoes to `122 per kg in year-to-date (YTD) basis to `8,499
per cent in May, thanks to the 2023. The increase was 250 per quintal; ginger prices also
uneven march of the monsoon per Business
cent from a year
Today ago 2021
26 December jumped 188 per cent YTD
I N T
P O
H E
T

I
C A P T A L
C HA R G E

Capital goods players have emerged as the shining stars of the


equity market in the recent past. Thanks to the government’s
emphasis on infrastructure development, these players have seen
tremendous growth in their order books. The subsequent softening
in interest rates after the pandemic buoyed their balance sheets as
well. Analysts believe order books will remain healthy in the run-up
to the general elections, and expect this to be reflected in the firms’
bottom lines. A look at the numbers:

By RAHUL OBEROI and PRINCE TYAGI

Graphics by RAJ VERMA

Good Going
THE BSE CAPITAL GOODS INDEX CLIMBED 48 PER CENT IN THE PAST
YEAR COMPARED TO THE BSE SENSEX’S 23 PER CENT GAIN

250 BSE Capital Goods BSE Sensex 236

200

150 184
100

50

0
July 18, July 18, July 18, July 18, July 18, July 18,
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Data has been indexed to 100; Source ACE Equity
Doubling Down Weighty Matters
THE SHARE OF CAPITAL EXPENDITURE IN THE L&T CONTRIBUTED THE MOST TO THE TOTAL ORDER
UNION BUDGET HAS ALMOST DOUBLED IN THE BOOK OF CAPITAL GOODS PLAYERS IN FY23
PAST 10 YEARS
FY22 FY23
Budget expenditure (LHS) Capex (LHS)
4,50,000
Capex share in total Budget (RHS)

(Order book in ` crore)


4,00,000
50 25
3,50,000
45
3,00,000
40 20
(In ` lakh crore)

2,50,000

(In per cent)


35
2,00,000
30 15
1,50,000
25
1,00,000
20 10
50,000
15
0

Larsen &

Bharat

Bharat

Bharat
Toubro

Hindustan
Aeronautics

Heavy
Electricals

Electronics

Forge
10 5
5
0 0
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23* FY24#
*Revised Estimate; #Budget Estimate (BE) Note: Siemens Ltd has not been considered as its data for FY23 is
Source: CMIE Economic Outlook not available Source: Annual reports and company results

Top Heavy Pillars of Profit


FOR THE SECOND YEAR IN A ROW, THE TOP LINE OF THE CONSOLIDATED PROFIT OF CAPITAL GOODS
LISTED CAPITAL GOODS PLAYERS IN FY23 REMAINED COMPANIES EXCEEDED `30,000 CRORE IN FY23, THE
ABOVE PRE-COVID-19 LEVELS FIRST TIME IN FIVE YEARS
Gross sales (LHS) YoY change (RHS) Net profit (LHS) YoY change (RHS)
4.0 25 40,000 50
3.5 20 35,000 40
3.0 30,000 30
(In ` lakh crore)

15
(In ` crore)

(In per cent)


(In per cent)

2.5 25,000 20
10
2.0 20,000 10
5
1.5 15,000 0
1.0 0 10,000 -10
0.5 -5 5,000 -20
0.0 -10 0 -30.
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23
Consolidated figures; companies that are currently a part of the Consolidated figures; firms that are currently part of the BSE
BSE Capital Goods index have been considered for historical Capital Goods index are considered for historical calculations;
calculations; Source: ACE Equity Source: ACE Equity

Growing Strength THE ORDER BOOK OF CAPITAL GOODS


PROFITS OF CAPITAL GOODS COMPANIES HAVE
IMPROVED COMPARED TO THE INTEREST OUTGO
Interest burden (LHS) Profit-to-interest ratio (RHS)
2.5
times
FIRMS AGAINST TRAILING 12 MONTHS’
SALES, WHICH GIVES STRONG REVENUE
VISIBILITY GOING AHEAD, ACCORDING
TO IIFL RESEARCH
20,000 3.0
18,000

3
16,000 2.5 SUZLON ENERGY, HINDUSTAN
14,000 2.0 AERONAUTICS AND CG POWER—THAT
(In ` crore)

(In times)

12,000 ARE PART OF THE BSE CAPITAL GOODS


10,000 1.5 companies INDEX—HAVE SURGED MORE THAN 100
8,000 PER CENT IN THE PAST YEAR
6,000 1.0
4,000 0.5

45
2,000
EXPECTED GROWTH RATE OF STATE
0 0
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 CAPEX IN FY24 COMPARED TO 14.8
PER CENT IN FY23, ACCORDING TO
Note: Rising profit-to-interest ratio indicates increasing capability
of these firms to service their debt; consolidated figures; compa-
per cent NUVAMA RESEARCH
nies that are currently a part of the BSE Capital Goods index have
been considered for historical calculations; Source: ACE Equity
THE BUZZ

ECONOMY tic economy, however, may still do better


than anticipated if the capital expenditure
of the centre and states remain on track and

GUARDED inflationary pressures ease to allow domes-


tic demand to stay robust.
Easing retail inflation—despite the re-
cent spurt in vegetable prices—at 4.81 per

OPTIMISM
The BT-C Fore Business Confidence Index
cent in June, has raised expectations of im-
proved consumption demand as real wages
rise. Besides, the Reserve Bank of India
(RBI), too, may opt for a prolonged pause
on rate hikes. Additionally, GST collections
is at a five-quarter high. The economy may remained robust at over `1.65 lakh crore in
do better than expected in FY24, but muted July, while industrial output as measured
global growth is a concern by the index of industrial production was at
a three-month high of 5.2 per cent in May.
BY SURABHI Businesses are turning a tad more opti-
mistic because of this sustained momen-
X INDIA REPORTED higher-than-expected GDP growth of 7.2 per tum in economic activity, as reflected in
cent in FY23. The International Monetary Fund too has upgraded the BT-C
T Fore Business Confidence Survey
India’s GDP growth forecast for FY24 to 6.1 per cent from 5.9 per (of 500 CEOs and CFOs) for the April-June
18 | cent earlier. But if you thought that the economy could look forward period. The Business Confidence Index
to sunny weather, curb your enthusiasm. Economic growth may re- (BCI) touched a five-quarter high of 52.7
main subdued this fiscal thanks to global storm clouds. The domes- in the June quarter. Though this was a mar-

MOOD IMPROVES, BUT JUST A NOTCH


Business confidence is at a five-quarter high... BCI improves across industry types after
60 falling for two successive quarters
ON A SCALE OF 100

53.7
53.2

52.9

55 55
52.4

52.1

51.9
51.9

54
51.6
51.8

51.4

50 53
50.3

45.5 52
52.7
49.2

45 51
50
40 49
48
JAN-MAR APR-JUN 47
2021 2023 46
JUL-SEP OCT-DEC JAN-MAR APR-JUN
2022 2022 2023 2023
….but micro industries remain in pain SERVICES LIGHT INDUSTRY HEAVY ENGINEERING
55.4
54.8
54.6
55.1
54.5

53.7
53.2

56 Businesses are confident about Q2FY24, anti-


52.9

54 cipating stronger results compared to Q1FY24


50.9
50.4
50.2

49.7
48.7
48.2

52
49.2

5.5
5.4
5.3
48.6

5.2
5.2

5.0

4.6
4.3

50 6
5
48 4
46 3
2
44 1
JUL-SEP OCT-DEC JAN-MAR APR-JUN 0
2022 2022 2023 2023 Overall Demand Hiring Profits
BIG BUSINESS MID-SIZED BUSINESS economic conditions conditions
situation
SMALL BUSINESS MICRO BUSINESS APR-JUN 2023 JUL-SEP 2023
ginal improvement from 50.9 in the March quarter, it prices are positives.
is still the highest since the March 2022 quarter, when The pace of capital expansion could also give GDP
the BCI was at 55.2. growth a push, with an estimated upside of about 50
Economists believe that economic growth may re- basis points. By June-end, just about 27.8 per cent of
main muted due to the impact of weak global growth, the `10 lakh crore of capex budgeted for this fiscal had
but easing inflation and stable commodity prices could been used, but heavier spending is expected after the
offer some reprieve. “The economy is showing signs of southwest monsoon.
improvement. The major boost to confidence is coming Businesses also remain cautiously optimistic about
from the decline in inflation, which is helping turn real the economic prospects in the September quarter and
wages positive. In turn, this is giving a demand push to have indicated a marginal improvement in sentiments
the economy. If this trend continues, domestic demand at 5.6 on a 10-point scale, compared with 5.3 in the pre-
will be able to take care of the slump in vious quarter.
external demand to some extent,” says In fact, 52 per cent of respondents

6.1
Devendra Kumar Pant, Chief Economist are of the view that the better-than-ex-
and Head (Public Finance), India Ratings. pected GDP growth of FY23 is likely to
The agency has, however, maintained a be repeated this fiscal. However, 72 per
conservative GDP growth estimate of 5.9 per cent cent felt that the upcoming state and Lok
per cent for the fiscal. THE IMF’S REVISED Sabha elections could impact govern-
Economic growth is expected to mod- INDIA GDP FORECAST ment policymaking.
erate to 6 per cent in FY24 due to factors FOR FY24, UP FROM Companies are also more upbeat on
including a not-so-favourable base effect, 5.9 PER CENT EARLIER hiring and profits in the September quar-
impact of monetary tightening, and an ter, with the indices logging a score of
uncertain global environment that could 5 and 5.2, respectively, compared with
hurt exports, notes Aditi Nayar, Chief Economist, scores of less than 5 in the previous quarter.
Head of Research and Outreach at ICRA. “The impact Nayar agrees, and says that ICRA expects corporate
of the uneven monsoon and El Niño conditions on ag- profitability to also improve this fiscal, benefitting | 19
riculture also has to be monitored,” she cautions. But from softer commodity prices.
she says steady urban demand and softer commodity But the skies haven’t cleared yet. Corporate profit-

BUSINESSES SPEAK UP
Will the better-than- Will the upcoming state
expected GDP growth of and Lok Sabha elections
FY23 be repeated in FY24? impact government
policymaking?

YES 52% YES 72%


NO 21% NO 21%
CAN'T SAY 27% CAN'T SAY 7%

Corporate MUTED GLOBAL Do you expect


profitability ECONOMIC GROWTH 37% another rate hike
has been a SUBDUED CONSUMER by the RBI in the
challenge. DEMAND 32% next policy review
What's in August?
HIGHER THAN
worrying EXPECTED INFLATION 19%
you? YES 41%
RISING OIL PRICES 12% NO 45%
CAN’T SAY 14%

SOURCE THE BT-C FORE BUSINESS CONFIDENCE SURVEY CONDUCTED BETWEEN JULY 9 AND 21, 2023, OF 500 CEOS
OR CFOS REPRESENTING VARIOUS INDUSTRIES AND COMPANY SIZES ACROSS DELHI, MUMBAI, CHENNAI, HYDERABAD,
BENGALURU, KOLKATA, CHANDIGARH, LUCKNOW, NAGPUR, KOCHI, VISAKHAPATNAM AND BHUBANESWAR
ability in the past has remained a
challenge, and concerns persist.
As many as 37 per cent of respon-
dents termed muted global growth
and its impact on exports as the
top challenge to corporate prof-
itability, while 32 per cent rated
subdued consumer demand as the
main concern.
Higher-than-expected infla-
tion is the chief concern for 19 per
cent of the respondents, but only
41 per cent believe that the RBI
may hike the interest rate in the
next policy review. Pant of India
Ratings also expects the status
quo on rates to be maintained but
rules out a cut in the interest rate
this fiscal.
The biggest takeaway from the
The ITC Royal Bengal, Kolkata
survey, however, remains the low
confidence of micro enterprises
that still seem to be struggling. HOTELS
Providing employment to a large

Division Boost
chunk of the informal sector, the
20 | business confidence of micro en-
trepreneurs has remained subdued
and below 50 for three consecutive
quarters. In the June quarter, it By demerging its hotels business, ITC hopes to boost
only improved marginally to 49.7 its capital allocation and profitability
from 48.2 in the previous quarter.
BY ARNAB DUTTA
K.E. Raghunathan, National
Chairman of the Association of
Indian Entrepreneurs, notes that X SALT-TO-CIGARETTES MAJOR proportionate to their share-
micro industries have been strug- ITC Ltd is spinning off its ho- holding in the company.
gling since demonetisation, then tels division—after nurturing Experts say the board’s deci-
the hasty implementation of GST, it for over two decades—into a sion is pragmatic, based on the
and after that the Covid-19 pan- separate company in an effort realities of the market. ITC had
demic and lockdown. “The out- to accelerate its growth and brought the hotels business un-
look for micro industries has not improve resource allocation. der its fold in 2004 by merging
improved even after a year of al- The company’s board has given the then-listed ITC Hotels Ltd
most normal economic activity. its in-principle approval to the and Ansal Hotels Ltd into it. But
They have not received sufficient demerger, long-awaited by the over the past few years, there
or any support or attention from company’s shareholders and has been a consistent outflow
the government or banks, forcing market experts. The board will of money to finance the hotels
many to close down or move on to still need to ratify the specif- division despite lower returns.
gig work,” he points out. ics of the demerger on August As per estimates by Nuvama
Without an economic recovery 14. According to the proposed Institutional Equities, the ho-
across the board, business confi- structure, ITC’s management tels business currently “guzzles
dence may not rise significantly. would hold a 40 per cent stake 20 per cent of (ITC’s) capital”.
The storm clouds may be clear- in the newly established entity In comparison, it contributed
ing, but sunny skies are still some that will house its hotels assets `2,689 crore, or 3.5 per cent, to
months away. and business, while the remain- ITC’s `76,518 crore top line. But
ing 60 per cent will be owned at `852 crore, the hotels busi-
@surabhi_prasad directly by ITC shareholders ness contributes less than 3.5

Business Today 20 August 2023


ROOM FOR per cent to the total Ebitda (earnings
before interest, taxes, depreciation,
enues at a compound annual growth
rate of 11 per cent and inventory at
GROWTH and amortisation) of the group. In 160 per cent to 11,600 rooms, at the
fact, the performance of ITC’s ho- end of FY23, from 4,472 in FY03.
tels division lags leading hotel com- With Covid-19 behind us and cor-
panies in the country. Take Indian porate and leisure travel back on
As part of the proposed
Hotels Company (IHCL) for com- track, analysts expect the move to
demerger, ITC will
parison, which reported revenues of enhance ITC’s hotels business in the
hold 40 per cent in ITC
`5,949 crore in FY23, while its Ebitda coming years while increasing capex
Hotels Ltd while other stood at `1,943 crore, with an Ebit- in the company’s core fast-moving
shareholders will own da margin of 32.7 per cent, against consumer goods business.
the rest 60 per cent ITC’s 31.7 per cent. Analysts from Nuvama say the
However, ITC’s management is hotels industry has recovered well
certain that the demerger will boost post-Covid-19, and a favourable
both the company’s efficiency in al- demographic profile and affluent
Upon its listing on the locating capital and improve profit- aspirations offer further growth
exchange(s), the de- ability. In an analyst call after the potential. They expect the newly
merged ITC Hotels will demerger was announced, the lead- listed company to become the sec-
become the country’s ership said that they expect a rise of ond-largest hotel company in the
second-largest hotel 18-20 per cent in ITC Ltd’s return on country with a `25,000-crore mar-
chain, with a market capital employed (ROCE) after the ket capitalisation. “The tourism
cap of `25,000 crore demerger; while its return on invest- business in India is in a bright spot.
ed capital (ROIC), a measure of how There are several favourable policies
successfully a company allocates to support the sector,” they note,
resources to profitable projects or adding that the hotel industry’s five-
The ITC management investments, may rise by 10 per cent. year supply is expected to grow at a | 21
expects a sizeable According to the company’s manage- CAGR of 5 per cent, which is likely to
increase in the com- ment, the separated hotels business be outpaced by demand—pegged at
pany’s profitability: will have a strong debt-free balance more than 7 per cent for the period.
sheet and it’ll also be well-capital- With net assets of `5,500 crore, the
an 18-20 per cent rise
ised. The demerger will also allow demerged entity’s own accruals
in ROCE and a 10 per
the spun-off firm to chart its own should be enough to fund its expan-
cent growth in ROIC
growth path, raise its own resources sion goals, Jefferies analysts note.
and funds based on an “asset-right” According to Sanjiv Puri, Chair-
strategy (which means the assets man of ITC, the proposed demerger
they will hold or purchase will be is a testament to ITC’s commitment
The spin-off will free based on in-depth research to ensure towards creating sustained value
up capital and improve that they are optimal in the overall for stakeholders. “Creation of a
efficiency in capital scheme of things), and leverage ITC’s hospitality focussed entity will en-
allocation for ITC Ltd, goodwill, brand value, synergies, and gender the next horizon of growth
as the hotels business more, to stabilise the hotels business. and value creation by harnessing
consumes 20 per cent The management says the de- the exciting opportunities in the
of its capex merged entity would continue de- Indian hospitality industry. In the
veloping its hotels business through proposed reorganisation, both ITC
management contracts, especially and the new entity will continue to
for emerging brands like Storii and benefit from institutional syner-
ITC Hotels will be a Mementos. Global financial services gies,” he said in a statement.
debt-free well-capital- company Morgan Stanley has stated Subject to approvals, the man-
ised entity; to follow an in a report that the demerger should agement has proposed the new en-
‘asset-right’ strategy, enhance ITC’s financial ratios and tity be named ITC Hotels Ltd. While
leveraging the good- unlock value for shareholders by pro- they are yet to declare a date of its
will, brand equity and viding them with a direct interest in listing, Nuvama estimates it will
the pure-play hotels sector. take place within 12-18 months.
synergies of ITC
Under ITC’s direct fold, the ho-
tels business has expanded its rev- @arndutt

Business Today 20 August 2023


soon be seen overseas. The other
DIGITAL PAYMENTS area it can disrupt is cross-border
remittance, where the cost of send-

22 | CHALLENGES ing $500 today to India is almost


5 per cent, which can potentially
come down with UPI interoperabili-

APLENTY
ty,” says Ranadurjay Talukdar, Part-
ner and Payments Sector Leader at
EY LLP India.
For this to happen, though, the
Indigenous payments solution UPI is looking to NPCI must address a few challenges.
increase its global footprint. But there are many Technology integration: The
issues it must address NIPL will need to improve traceabil-
ity and accountability to ensure cus-
BY NAVNEET DUBEY tomer data security. “One key thing
is how the UPI will connect globally
X NPCI INTERNATIONAL PAYMENTS
IN COUNTRIES
with other faster payment systems,
Ltd (NIPL), a wholly-owned subsid- because the technology, messaging
iary of the National Payments Cor- WHERE CARD protocols, and standards are dif-
poration of India (NPCI), has left no
stone unturned in its quest to make
NETWORKS ferent. So, a connector will have to
be built at NPCI to ensure technol-
the Unified Payments Interface ARE STRONG, ogy integration,” says Mihir Gandhi,
(UPI) a global solution. UPI MAY FACE Partner and Payments Transforma-
These efforts appear to be bear-
ing fruit. During Prime Minister OPPOSITION tion Leader at PwC India.
Competitive conversion rates:
Narendra Modi’s recent visit to FROM The promise of UPI is that trans-
France, he announced that the Eu-
ropean country had allowed the use
INCUMBENTS action fees could be lower than,
say, credit cards that have differ-
of UPI for retail payments. France ent charges like cross-currency
joins Singapore, the UAE, Nepal, “Customers pay between 1.2 mark-up, forex, etc. Talukdar says,
Sri Lanka and Bahrain in allowing and 4.2 per cent markup for using a “Unless the exchange rate and the
UPI. Pretty soon, Indians visiting credit-, debit- or prepaid forex card mark-up fees are competitive, it
France, Thailand, the UK and the abroad. We have already seen cash will not be easy to make affluent
US could have a potentially cheaper being replaced by UPI in domestic and super-affluent customers shift
payment option. payments. A similar trend might to UPI from cards.” Providing re-

Business Today 20 August 2023


Create At Dharampal Satyapal Group , we believe
the mark of our creation goes beyond our name.

what isWorth
It’s in the taste, innovation and delight that we
infuse in our well-loved brands. It’s in the

Creating
balance between sustainability and prosperity.
And in the obsessive pursuit of quality that
makes our creations worthy of you.
wards for UPI transactions will
HEALTHCARE
also be essential.
QR set-up: The other chal-
lenge is that card penetration
is very high in most countries
that Indians visit—like the US,
UK, UAE, Singapore and Thai-
Specialised Play
land. So, setting up a QR-based With investment plans of $400-500 million in
network will be a daunting task. the next five years, AHH is doubling down on
“Merchant acceptance of QR will its single specialty healthcare business
also need some legwork in these
countries, as the domestic real- BY NEETU CHANDRA SHARMA
time payment networks compete
with cards in these markets,” X BENGALURU-BASED health- and child healthcare, IVF and
says Talukdar. care investment platform Asia ophthalmology. Now, it plans to
Gandhi adds, “It will probably Healthcare Holdings (AHH) is address the prevailing demand-
take a year or two to smoothen planning to double its invest- supply gaps in other segments
the global payments process. And ments in the single specialty with these investments. “These
implementation will take time be- healthcare businesses to $400- investments will lead to the
cause all the banks have to accept 500 million in the next five growth and development of
the tech integration. They must years. Backed by private equity specialised healthcare services
ensure that QR codes are accept- fund TPG Growth and Singa- and foster innovation and clini-
ed at all merchant locations.” pore’s sovereign wealth fund cal expertise in the country,”
Lobbying and geopolitics: GIC, the company aims to focus says Mohit Khullar, MD at
In developed economies, where on areas like oncology, women’s investment bank o3 Capital.
24 | cards are the primary mode of Apart from investing in

$200
payment, UPI adoption might India-based single specialty
take a while as it may face oppo- healthcare businesses, Bali
sition from incumbents. Satya- says the platform will also
jeet Kunjeer, Founder and CEO look to invest in foreign firms
of investment app Deciml, says, million that offer bolt-on services that
“Companies like MasterCard, complement its India business-
Visa and banks alike will not wel-
AHH HAS DEPLOYED es. It has also been exploring
come this move as it directly im- THIS AMOUNT IN opportunities in the pathology
pacts their revenue. Also, in coun- THREE SINGLE diagnostics space. Bali believes
tries like the US, where lobbying SPECIALTY FIRMS that incorporating its own
is legal, we could see banks and pathology services company—
payment gateways create serious despite the sector’s disruption
barriers to entry.” and children’s healthcare, and revolving around pricing—into
But Gandhi points out that advanced tech in ICUs. AHH is the larger AHH ecosystem will
memoranda of understanding also exploring opportunities in significantly enhance the plat-
(MoUs) have been signed with gastroenterology, nephrology, form’s capabilities. “Pathology
some countries. “I think NPCI pathology diagnostics, etc. is not just about price disrup-
has to [ensure] universality and, “We are focussed on bring- tion; it also involves technology
in short, that all the banks of [the ing additional specialties onto advancements and the develop-
foreign] country accept UPI pay- the AHH platform and aim ment of a new ecosystem to
ments and vice versa in India. to onboard one or two more enhance disease detection and
There has to be reciprocity (an companies. We have already treatment,” he says. Further, in
interchange) between UPI trans- deployed $200 million behind terms of growth prospects, the
actions and that country’s faster three single specialty compa- company anticipates revenues
payment transactions in India. nies and expect to double this to be in the range of $175-185
So, there has to be reciprocity of over the next five years,” says million for FY24, with a margin
acceptance,” says Gandhi. Vishal Bali, Executive Chair- of around 20 per cent.
man of AHH. AHH has already
@imNavneetDubey invested in cancer care, mother @neetu_csharma

Business Today 20 August 2023


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A POWERFUL SIBLING
  
!" "!
  !
BY RAHUL OBEROI

near discovered price if the market


sentiment remains buoyant.”
Market analysts predict JFSL
to be listed in a month because it is
being spun out from RIL. Recently,
Piramal Pharma, which was de-
merged from Piramal Enterprises,
was listed 45 days after the record
date. However, NMDC Steel, which
was demerged from NMDC last
October, took nearly four months to
list post the record date.
According to the predetermined
share ratio, RIL shareholders will
receive one share of JFSL for each
share they held in RIL till the record
date of July 20. The energy-to-tele-
com behemoth RIL had 3.5 million
X MUKESH AMBANI-LED RELIANCE INDUSTRIES HIGH GROWTH shareholders as of June 30, accord-
Ltd’s demerged entity Jio Financial Services, OUTLOOK ing to data from the BSE.
formerly Reliance Strategic Investments, will be Given the enormous The growth potential of Jio
the third-biggest non-banking financial company possibility in the Financial is huge since Reliance
market and Jio
after the Bajaj Twins—Bajaj Finance and Bajaj Digital can bundle its digital prod-
Financial’s strong
Finserv—after its listing, the date for which is yet capitalisation, ucts like smartphones and TVs with
to be announced. However, at the discovered price analysts anticipate it, says Vijayakumar. Meanwhile, Jio
of `261.85 per share, the market capitalisation of Jio the company will Financial has formed a joint venture
Financial Services will be around `1.7 lakh crore at register smart (JV) with BlackRock to foray into
the time of listing. growth asset management. Both firms are
Jio Financial’s discovered price is the difference targeting an initial investment of
between RIL’s closing price of `2,841.85 on July 19 $150 million each in the JV, as per a
and the price of `2,580, which was derived during stock exchange filing.
the special trading session on July 20. As of July 21, Pankaj Pandey, Head of Research
2023, Bajaj Finance and Bajaj Finserv had respective at ICICI Direct, said, “We expect Jio
market caps of `4.6 lakh crore and `2.6 lakh crore. Financial to deliver higher growth
Jio Financial will be larger than LTIMindtree, Tata given the huge opportunity in the
Steel, Coal India and Bajaj Auto, which have market sector and its strong capitalisation,
caps between `1.3 lakh crore and `1.5 lakh crore. which will ensure that the company
The discovered price of Jio Financial is signifi- would not need to raise external
cantly higher than the consensus brokerage projec- equity capital for a reasonably long
tions of `160-190, according to V.K. Vijayakumar, period of time, thereby limiting any
Chief Investment Strategist of Geojit Financial Ser- dilution overhang.”
vices. “This reflects the market’s fancy for the stock
and a vote for its potential. The stock is likely to list @iamrahuloberoi

Business Today 20 August 2023


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X INDUSTRY AND EXPERTS are
COMPETITION LAW
eagerly awaiting the report of a
high-level panel set up to look into

Regulating
the digital competition law. The
panel is expected to submit the
report in August, and a Bill will be
drafted based on this. With this,
India will be one step closer to a law
to regulate large tech firms.
The committee was set up in
February, following a report by the
Big Tech
Parliamentary Standing Committee
Panel on digital competition law to submit
on Finance in December 2022 on an-
report by next month; demarcation of MeitY and
ti-competitive practices by big tech
companies. It had mooted a digital
MCA’s roles will help in regulation
competition bill to check such prac- BY SURABHI
tices. Industry insiders and experts
feel the report will have far-reaching
implications. There are concerns
about how well it will navigate the
complexities of the sector since it
encompasses everything from e-
commerce to cab aggregators.
Wider consultations are re-
quired, many believe. In fact, 58
28 | stakeholders had written to the

THERE ARE
CONCERNS
ABOUT HOW WELL
SUCH A BILL WILL
NAVIGATE THE
COMPLEXITIES
OF THE SECTOR
ILLUSTRATION BY RAJ VERMA

Ministry of Corporate Affairs to


“institute a transparent and open and technical issues. regulation and stakeholders would
consultative public engagement Union Finance and Corporate suffer,” notes Pritha Jha, Partner at
process for the draft Digital Compe- Affairs Minister Nirmala Sith- Pioneer Legal.
tition Bill”. araman and Minister of State for Meanwhile, the industry is also
In the interim, the government Electronics and Technology Rajeev keeping an eye on the Supreme
has demarcated the roles of the Chandrasekhar discussed the law Court, which is expected to deliver
Ministries of Electronics and In- and agreed that a “whole of govern- its verdict in October in the case
formation Technology (MeitY) and ment approach” should be adopted. between Google and the Competi-
Corporate Affairs to provide market Experts termed this a positive tion Commission of India over the
players more clarity on supervision development. “With the MeitY alleged breach of the country’s com-
and regulation. In a meeting held coming up with a Digital India petition laws. This could provide
in July, it was decided that the MCA Bill and an MCA-appointed panel pointers to how the proposed digital
would look into issues of competi- working on the digital competition competition law will be framed.
tion in the digital market while Me- law, there was fear [in] the industry
itY would address sector-specific that there would be overlaps in @surabhi_prasad

Business Today 20 August 2023


per cent market share.
With an investment of over
£4 billion, the group has also an-
nounced plans to build a 40-giga-
watt (GW) battery cell gigafactory
in the UK that will develop electric
mobility and renewable energy
storage solutions for customers in
the UK and Europe, with JLR and
Tata Motors as the anchor custom-
ers, and supplies commencing from
2026. “The Tata group is deeply
committed to a sustainable future
ELECTRIC VEHICLES across all of our business. Today,
I am delighted to announce the

Charging Ahead
Tata group will be setting up one of
Europe’s largest battery cell manu-
facturing facility in the UK,” said N.
Chandrasekaran, Chairman of Tata
Sons. This massive investment is an
With £4 billion in investments to set up a battery cell integral part of Tata group’s com-
gigafactory in the UK, Tata group is ramping up its EV play mitment to electric mobility and
renewable energy storage solutions.
BY PRERNA LIDHOO
Other automakers like Mahindra
& Mahindra, too, are intensify-
30 | X TATA SONS-CONTROLLED TATA Motors continues GIGA PLANS ing their EV play. For instance,
to show its commitment towards electric mobility, N. Chandrasekaran, Mahindra has signed a new term
especially after its luxury arm Jaguar Land Rover Chairman of Tata agreement with Germany-based
(JLR) Automotive announced that its Halewood, Sons (left), with UK Volkswagen Group that goes beyond
PM Rishi Sunak, at
Liverpool plant will become an all-electric vehicle merely sharing electric components
the announcement
production facility. JLR has further said its next of the electric from VW’s MEB (modular electric
generation medium-size SUV architecture will now battery cell drive matrix) toolkit in the XUV and
be purely electric as it takes concrete steps towards gigafactory on July BE (Born Electric) branded SUVs.
its financial goals of achieving a net-cash positive 19, 2023 They are now considering develop-
position by FY25. Incidentally, Tata Motors is al- ing charging and energy solutions
ready India’s largest electric carmaker, with over 80 and locally manufacturing batteries.
But challenges abound, say
industry players. “Legacy players
(like Tata)... are a bit late. They

LET’S MINE LITHIUM should have done this years ago. And
when will they start manufacturing
in India?... Now there will be a lot of
Heavily dependent on imports, the discovery of lithium re-
activity from both Indian and global
serves in India has been looked upon as a big boost for India’s
players, especially when it comes to
developing EV space. Now, even the government has started
battery cells. But I think not enough
moving on the policy front, with the Cabinet giving its nod to
is being done to achieve our targets.
amend the Mines and Minerals (Development and Regulation)
Our vision is clear but the roadmap
Act, 1957, to permit private miners to extract the soft metal.
PHOTO BY GETTY IMAGES

is not,” says Sohinder Gill, Director


Since the amendment has been approved by the Parliament,
General of Society of Manufacturers
the next step will be to auction the mines, expected by to be
of Electric Vehicles.
held by the end of this year. Some companies, such as Hin-
One thing is for sure; the race
dustan Zinc—which is already into base metal mining—have
among automakers to go electric
already shown their interest.
— Nidhi Singal
just got more interesting.

@PLidhoo

Business Today 20 August 2023


Our agency advisors set high benchmarks – for
excellence, expertise, and consumer experience!
Presenting our Exemplary COURT OF THE TABLE (COT) Achievers of 2022

VANDANA RATHI NITA P GHOSH RAMMI MUNISH MATHUR


Kolkata Pune NOIDA DELHI

BALJEET SINGH HARISH ROSHNI DINESH SHAH RAHUL ASHWINBHAI


Amritsar Delhi Pune CONTRACTOR, Navsari

YASH BHADRESH JHAVERI SIVARAMAKRISHNAN R SIMRANBEN TAHILYANI MONA MAUNAL GANDHI


Vadodara Chennai Ahmedabad Ahmedabad

NEHA M MITANSHU JAIN PRASHANT KUMAR GHOSH SHAMPAT KANVR


Coimbatore Bhiwani Pune Jodhpur
Our success is because of their
commitment and passion.
Presenting our Exemplary COURT OF THE TABLE (COT) Achievers of 2022

NIHARIKA KAMLESHKUMAR SUDHABEN PANKAJBHAI SHALINI SARAF GAYATRIBEN JIGNESHBHAI


PATEL, Ahmedabad GANDHI, Balangir Kanpur THAKKAR, Bharuch

SRIDHAR SITH ZEBANAZ MOHAMMAD YOGESHKUMAR NATVARLAL PRITI JAYESH MASHRU


Bhubaneswar SALIM SHEIKH, Chandrapur PATEL, Gandhinagar Mumbai

SANTOSH KUMAR AMBASTA KASHISH KAMAL KELLA RAJESH RAMNIKLAL AMEENA SHAIK
Gaya Gandhidham KHANDOL, Gandhidham Nellore

SWATI JAIN SAGAR CHHGANBHAI MANISH PATWA AKSHITA AVESH JAIN


Guwahati SHELIYA, Surat Jodhpur Ahmedabad
TATA AIA is proud of our COT Advisors. We applaud
their contributions to our success!
Presenting our Exemplary COURT OF THE TABLE (COT) Achievers of 2022

RAJAN BHARATKUMAR SHAH DIYA CHANDALIYA AMIT VIJ AMIT GU PTA


Ahmedabad Pali Amritsar Delhi

ANANTHRAM LEDALLA VIPUL PATEL SANWALARAM DEWASI HARSHAL RITESH KOTHARI


Hyderabad Mehsana Ahmedabad Pune

JANIT SUJEET KUMAR RAVI MAHESHKUMAR PRIYANKA SAHOO


Hissar Ranchi AGARWAL, Surat Bhubaneswar

MUSKAN LOYA ZUBIN HOMI LILAOOWALA AAGAM HEMANTKUMAR DIVYESH DESAI


Secunderabad Mumbai SHAH, Bhavnagar Surat
Together we continue our pursuit for excellence, in
all our endeavors.
Presenting our Exemplary COURT OF THE TABLE (COT) Achievers of 2022

POOJA RANI BHAVYA DWIVEDI VIRAL MALAYBHAI BHOW RAHUL LAXMANDAS MALANG
Hissar Kanpur Ahmedabad Chandrapur

KUMBARTHI KRISHNA PRIYA VIVEK R BARCHHA RUSTAM AHMED NISHA DOKANIA


Secunderabad Gandhidham Gorakhpur Bengaluru

ANJALI SINGLA OM GUPTA MANEETA RAJ KUMAR JAIN


Faridabad Rudrapur Hissar Udaipur

ASHISHKUMAR BACHUBHAI HARESHBHAI JAMNADAS ANSHUMEE CHIRAG PORECHA HEENA HEMANTKUMAR


MEHTA, Surat TILVANI, Junagadh Jamnagar LAKDAWALA, Surat
>LJVUNYH[\SH[LV\YLZ[LLTLK*6;X\HSPÄLYZ^OV
lead by example and always believe that their
customers are their topmost priority.
Presenting our Exemplary COURT OF THE TABLE (COT) Achievers of 2022

MAHESH GANGADHAR JOSHI RAJKUMAR SAYARNATH RAI VANDANA MISHRA MUKESH SINGH
Pune Pune Bhopal Surat

SARIKA DAMANI SWETABEN ASHOKKUMAR PARICHAY ROHITBHAI SHAH MEGHA ARORA


Kolkata LUKHI, Surat Ahmedabad Delhi

DEEPA GOYAL HETA BHAGYESH SHAH KALYANI SACHIN MANIAR MANJUNATH BASANGOUDA
Balangir Ahmedabad Rajkot BIRADAR, Goa

MADHAV AHUJA MAHESH KUMAR MITTAL POOJA SRIVASTAV VISHAL MADANLAL


Agra Rudrapur Gorakhpur CHAUDHARI, Nashik
They have carved a niche amongst their peers and
global contemporaries and set themselves apart
by creating a legacy of excellence.
Presenting our Exemplary COURT OF THE TABLE (COT) Achievers of 2022

MANISH GARG ASHISH GUPTA BHUSHAN BHARAT PATIL NILIMESH DAS


Jaipur Jaipur Nashik Howrah

VATSALKUMAR VIJAYKUMAR BEENA H SHAH DAVINDER KAUR LEETON DEKA


PATEL, Bhavnagar Bhavnagar Delhi Lakhimpur

PUBALI GHOSH RINKAL HITESH GOYANI MRUNAL ASHOK SHAH AMRITA JAIN
Durgapur Bardoli Pune Pali

AKASH JAYESH SHAH SRIDEVI PULIMATI NISHA AALAP SHAH


Mumbai Warangal Ahmedabad
EYE ON INFRA
Gautam Adani,
Chairman and
Founder, Adani Group
COVER STORY ADANI GROUP

AFTER THE

SIX MONTHS
AFTER A HINDENBURG
REPORT LED TO A
MELTDOWN IN ADANI
GROUP STOCKS,
THE CONGLOMERATE
IS TRYING TO STRIKE
A BALANCE BETWEEN
GROWTH, CAPEX AND
DELEVERAGING
ITS DEBT
BY A N A N D A D H I K A R I

PHOTO BY BANDEEP SINGH


THE BIG
DELEVERAGING
Equity dilution gathers steam at Adani Group

$1.87 $2.15
BILLION BILLION
PROMOTERS PREPAYMENT
SOLD SHARES IN OF MARGIN-LINKED
THE SECONDARY SHARE-BACKED
MARKET TO FINANCING BEFORE
PE FIRM GQG THE MARCH 2023
PARTNERS DEADLINE

GAUTAM ADANI, 61, loves business


jargon. Just a few months ago, the bil- $700 3.27x
lionaire, caught in the cross hairs of MILLION NET DEBT-
PREPAYMENT OF DEBT TO-EBITDA RATIO,
the US-based short-seller Hindenburg TAKEN FOR THE DOWN FROM
3.81x IN FY22
AMBUJA CEMENTS
Research, stumbled upon a new term, ACQUISITION (LESS THAN 3x
IS CONSIDERED
‘permacrisis’. The term, which refers GOOD)
40 | to a prolonged period of uncertainty,
was chosen as Collins Dictionary’s
word of the year in 2022. It describes 2.02x $130
the turbulent and uncertain nature of DEBT SERVICE MILLION
COVERAGE RATIO,
that year, and perhaps also the situa- UP FROM THE 1.47x APSEZ COMPLETES
IN FY22 (A MINIMUM THE BUYBACK OF
tion the Adani Group’s Chairman and OF 1.5-2.0 TIMES BONDS OUT OF
THE $650 MILLION
IS IDEAL)
Founder finds himself in—as he navi- MATURING IN 2024
gates the mother of all existential cri-
NOTE FIGURES FOR 2022-23;
ses of his three-decade entrepreneur- SOURCE INVESTOR PRESENTATIONS
ial journey.

Though the challenges still linger—sparked by a (`15,500 crore) from global private equity firm
Hindenburg report alleging accounting fraud, stock GQG Partners. In addition, three companies have
manipulation, and routing of funds through foreign board approval to raise funding of $4 billion over
shell companies, all of which the firm has refuted— the next 12 months. “There will be more equity
there is some breathing space. The group, which dilution if they plan to grow at the same pace as
has a top line of `2.62 lakh crore and had lost over earlier. It’s a Catch-22 situation. If growth slows
$100 billion in market capitalisation at one point, down, the valuations will correct further,” sums
is gradually charting a new course by rebalancing up Ambareesh Baliga, a seasoned observer of the
its growth ambitions, slowing down on big-ticket markets. But the group has been diluting equity
acquisitions, deleveraging, and strengthening its since 2019 when global players like TotalEnergies,
balance sheet. The Adani family recently divested Qatar Investment Authority and Abu Dhabi-based
stakes in four group companies to raise $1.87 billion IHC group invested a total of $5.79 billion.

Business Today 20 August 2023


COVER STORY ADANI GROUP

FINANCIAL HEALTH CHECK


Rising assets and profits will help the Adani Group pay off debts
4,50,000
4,00,000
3,50,000

(IN ` CRORE)
3,00,000
2,50,000
2,00,000
1,50,000
1,00,000
50,000
0
EBITDA Gross Assets Gross Debt Cash Balance
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23
NOTE: FIGURES ARE FOR ALL LISTED COMPANIES OF THE ADANI
GROUP; RECENTLY ACQUIRED AMBUJA CEMENTS’ NUMBERS HAVE
BEEN INCLUDED IN FY23 DATA SOURCE: INVESTOR PRESENTATIONS

REGAINING STRENGTH
While three listed Adani Group firms have reduced debt, four have raised more debt since September 2022

CASH NET DEBT (` CRORE) NET DEBT TO EBITDA (x)


COMPANY NAME EBITDA# BALANCE#
(` CRORE) SEPTEMBER SEPTEMBER
(` CRORE) MARCH 2023 MARCH 2023
2022* 2022*
ADANI ENTERPRISES 10,575 5,652 29,406 22,124 3.66 2.09 | 41
AMBUJA CEMENTS 4,368 11,912 27,519 21,004 3.06 2.33
ADANI POWER 14,427 2,861 33,865 32,702 2.12 1.81
ADANI ENERGY SOLUTIONS** 6,101 4,152 27,993 27,785 4.67 4.55
ADANI TOTAL GAS 924 372 763 1,000 0.88 1.08
ADANI GREEN ENERGY 6,390 5,571 40,892 42,097 5.54 5.61
APSEZ 14,435 9,830 35,817 40,187 2.58 2.78

*TRAILING 12 MONTHS CALCULATION; #TILL MARCH 2023; ** FORMERLY CALLED ADANI TRANSMISSION; NET DEBT IS
GROSS DEBT LESS CASH BALANCE; RUN RATE EBITDA CONSIDERS ANNUALISED EBITDA FOR ASSETS COMMISSIONED
AFTER THE START OF THE YEAR; AMBUJA NUMBERS ARE CONSOLIDATED WITH ACC SOURCE MARKET PRESENTATIONS

“Over the next 20 years, Adani portfolio compa- We have not even completed the foundation of our
nies and promoters want to raise $50 billion of eq- growth. For instance, we are setting up a ports busi-
uity… We want to invest close to $500 billion in core ness to be able to handle and move cargo equivalent
infra as a base case. We will run this programme of to what India moves today as a country. We have to
equity for the next two decades,” says Group CFO remain strategically patient,” explains Singh.
Jugeshinder “Robbie” Singh. Market watchers are taking note. Stakeholders
But the new equity is coming with higher dilu- Empowerment Services (SES), a proxy advisory
tion. Besides, there are hard choices being made. firm, terms the Adani Group’s debt concerns as
For instance, the group recently exited the finan- overstated. Rohit Chawda, acting CEO at Taurus
cial services business; it is now focussing on its Mutual Fund, agrees. “The current challenging
core infra model, plus adjacencies. “We invest for period will only drive the company to make more
an intergenerational period, upwards of 30 years. prudent investment choices, and corporate gover-

Business Today 20 August 2023


COVER STORY ADANI GROUP

CAUTIOUS APPROACH WHAT HASN’T


CHANGED
DB deal to acquire 1,200 MW power plants in
Chhattisgarh for `1,200 crore was not pursued No credit agency, in India or abroad,
cut any of the portfolio companies’ rat-
The group has also scrapped the Macquire deal ings, but some did change the outlook
to acquire toll road projects in Andhra Pradesh
and Gujarat for `3,110 crore Bank credit lines opened for new debt;
raised close to `20,000 crore so far; $750
Adani Power Maharashtra terminated an million credit line under discussion
agreement with Orient Cement to set up a
cement grinding unit No jumping the ship by management or
board of directors
Exited financial services business

Has gone slow on petrochemical ambitions New institutional investor GQG Partners
pumped in more than $4 billion
No aggressive bidding for Concor, linked to
overall APSEZ’s deleveraging ratio LIC remained an investor despite huge
Green sea port ecosystem in Vietnam is now sell-off in stocks
a longer-term commitment
Healthcare on radar, but not an Acquisitions continue, but at a
immediate investment moderate pace

42 |

nance standards will improve even more,” he says. public offering earlier this year, is back in the market
“Our balance sheet, assets, and operating cash with a `12,500-crore equity raising plan. “Of the sev-
flows continue to get stronger and are now healthier eral projects underway, two of the key ones include
than ever before,” Gautam Adani had said while shar- the Navi Mumbai Airport and the copper smelter [in
ing the group’s operational performance with share- Gujarat’s Mundra]. Both are on schedule. The Navi
holders in July. His bet is on infrastructure assets, Mumbai Airport is preparing for operational readi-
which generate stable revenues and contribute over ness and airport transition by December 2024,” Gau-
four-fifths of the group’s Ebitda. A proxy for cash flow tam Adani had announced to shareholders.
generation capacity, Ebitda shows the group’s core op- Then there’s the data centre business AdaniCon-
erating performance. (See box Financial Health Check.) neX, the expansion of which is on track. In June, Adani-
Florida-based GQG, the group’s top backer—which is
located just 1,000 miles away from Hindenburg’s New
York headquarters—is estimated to have invested
more than $4 billion in Adani Group companies, in- ACCORDING TO GROUP CFO
cluding from the secondary market. Rajiv Jain, Chair- JUGESHINDER SINGH, BY 2025
man and Chief Investment Officer of GQG Partners,
advises the Adanis to not deleverage too much. “This
THE CONGLOMERATE AIMS
is the time to go full throttle,” he says. (For the full in- TO GET ITS PORTFOLIO INTO
terview, turn to page 46.) How is Gautam Adani keeping A POSITION WHERE CURRENT
all the balls in the air? Let us find out.
CASH IN THE BANK AND FREE
Funding in Focus CASH FLOW ARE GREATER
Adani Enterprises Ltd (AEL), the group’s holding THAN ANY DEBT MATURITY
company that withdrew its `20,000-crore follow-on REQUIREMENTS

Business Today 20 August 2023


REPAYMENT SCHEDULE
(IN ` CRORE)

43,944

25,470
32,374

10,601
16,614

17,057
11,796

5,418
9,778
7,313
“There will be more
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28 FY29 FY30 FY31 FY32 FY33 equity dilution if
they [the Adani
SOURCE: ADANI PRESENTATION Group] plan to grow
at the same pace
as earlier. It’s a
MONEY IN HAND Catch-22 situation
[for them]. If growth
FREE CASH FLOW CASH BALANCE TOTAL slows down, the
valuations will
`37,538
CRORE
`40,351
CRORE
`77,889
CRORE
correct further”
AMBAREESH
BALIGA
DATA AS OF MARCH 2023 SOURCE: ADANI PRESENTATION STOCK ADVISOR

| 43

ConneX secured $213 million in financing from over mid-way through completing our integrated manu-
half-a-dozen foreign banks. This money will be used facturing facility for green hydrogen,” says Singh.
for data projects in Chennai (with 17 MW capacity) and
Noida (50 MW). It has acquired land for data centres Balancing the Energy Mix
in Navi Mumbai and Visakhapatnam, while the Noida Today, Adani Green Energy Ltd (AGEL) has the larg-
and Hyderabad ones are almost 30 per cent complete. est operating renewable energy portfolio with 8.1
Adani Road Transport, meanwhile, remains on gigawatt (GW) of capacity, with a target of 45 GW
the sidelines of bidding for projects. The company by 2030. It plans to add 3 GW of capacity this year,
claims that the 64-km Ganga Expressway Project in matching last year’s addition. It has lined up a capex of
Uttar Pradesh has achieved financial closure. In June, `14,000 crore, while in July the AGEL board cleared a
the company with a roads portfolio of `40,000 crore proposal to raise `12,300 crore of equity share capital.
decided to walk out of Macquarie’s `3,110-crore toll “[The] Adanis are efficient; for example, they get paid
roads project deal. in 60 days versus 260 [days] for a competitor. Given
AEL’s biggest bet is green hydrogen (through AEL their efficiencies, it is our view that the company will
subsidiary Adani New Industries Ltd, or ANIL), where generate higher returns,” says GQG’s Jain.
it is setting up an ecosystem—from generation of In terms of revenue visibility, there is a 25-year
green hydrogen, downstream products (ammonia and fixed-tariff power purchase agreement (PPA) with
urea), to manufacturing of supply chain products like an average portfolio tariff of `2.98 per unit. Analysts,
wind turbines, batteries, and electrolysers. CARE Rat- however, are wary of AGEL’s valuation, which is 32
ings says the company has decided to defer the large- times its book even after correction. “The company’s
scale capex plan in green hydrogen till market and equity will be continuously recycled, as the cash flow
investment appetites have revived. There has been a generated each year will serve as an equity contribu-
downward revision in capex plans to optimise capi- tion for the next project. As a result, the return on
tal. “[But overall] we remain on target. ANIL is nearly equity is expected to keep expanding,” explains Vinit

Business Today 20 August 2023


COVER STORY ADANI GROUP

IN RECOVERY MODE
Share prices of Adani firms have risen after the Hindenburg lows
4,500
4,000
3,500

(SHARE PRICE IN ` )
3,000
“The firm’s equity will
2,500
be recycled, as cash flow
2,000
from each year serves 1,500
as equity contribution 1,000
for the next project. So, 500
ROE is expected to keep 0

Adani Green
Energy
ACC

Adani
Enterprises

APSEZ

Adani Power

Adani
Total Gas

Adani Energy
Solutions

Adani Wilmar

Ambuja
Cements

New Delhi
Television
expanding”
VINIT BOLINJKAR
HEAD OF RESEARCH,
VENTURA SECURITIES LTD 24-JAN-23 52-WEEK LOW PRICE 24-JULY-23 SOURCE: ACE EQUITY

44 |
Bolinjkar, Head of Research at Ventura Securities. collected from consumers (B2C) by discoms is com-
Then there are potential challenges, such as if pulsorily transferred to this escrow account for pay-
a distribution company (discom) defaults on pay- ing the transmission players,” says Bolinjkar. A part
ments. While renewable energy is the future, the of the capex will also go into the power distribution
thermal power business (called Adani Power Ltd business, catering to over 12 million consumers in
or APL) is raking in profits and has made its first Mumbai and Mundra SEZ. The government is also
transnational foray by supplying power to Bangla- amending the Electricity Act, which will allow for
desh. It will supply 1,496 MW of power for 25 years. multiple distribution companies in the same geog-
APL, with an operational capacity of 14,450 MW, is raphy. “The most efficient business should win. It’s
aiming for 16,850 MW by June 2027. the survival of the fittest, and the consumer ben-
efits in the end with cheaper electricity and better
From B2B to B2C service,” says Jain. ATL’s focus is on reducing power
The Adani Group is focussing on consumer-centric costs and switching from thermal to green energy.
businesses for growth, whether it is airports, energy “The implementation of smart meters is expected to
and gas distribution, real estate, or FMCG. Many contribute positively to its margins,” adds Bolinjkar.
of these are extensions of B2B businesses—for in- “Ultimately, distribution and metering will be
stance, the entire power chain. It has expanded from a bigger part of the energy solutions business by
power generation to transmission to distribution. 2028,” says Singh. Hence the renaming.
Adani Transmission Ltd (ATL)—renamed Ada- In the city gas distribution business of piped
ni Energy Solutions recently—has lined up equity natural gas (PNG) and compressed natural gas
fund raise of $1.03 billion, and has planned a capex (CNG), Adani Total Gas Ltd’s (ATGL) focus is on
of `4,500-5,000 crore in the next couple of years. building pipeline networks in newer geographies.
It sits on a transmission network of over 15,000 It currently has 460 CNG stations, 704,000 PNG
circuit km (ckm), with 4,400 ckm under construc- homes, and 7,435 industrial and commercial con-
tion. The mandatory escrow account requirement nections. “Our company is going to build over
for discoms makes it a safe business. “The money 1,800 CNG stations in the next seven to 10 years,”

Business Today 20 August 2023


nomic Zone (APSEZ), which handles one-fourth of
the country’s cargo volumes through 14 ports, is also
expected to commission India’s largest trans-ship-
ment hub in Vizhinjam, Kerala, and a port in Colom-
bo. It has planned a capex of `4,000-4,500 crore in the
current fiscal. “APSEZ is the best proxy to take part in
the growing Indian economy, especially in the goods
“The current challenging trade,” says Chawda of Taurus.
period will only drive the Then there’s ACC-Ambuja Cements that the group
acquired last year from Switzerland’s Holcim for $10.5
company to make more billion to become India’s second-largest cement pro-
prudent investment ducer. In terms of expansion, it plans to double ce-
choices, and corporate ment capacity to 140 million tonnes (MT). But first, it
is taking advantage of group synergies to reduce costs.
governance standards will For instance, it can save `300-400 per tonne from en-
improve even more” ergy costs, freight costs, and forwarding costs.

ROHIT CHAWDA Risk & Reward


ACTING CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER, TAURUS Explaining the overall investment philosophy, Singh
MUTUAL FUND
says the group currently has a portfolio of 10 compa-
nies. “We will have close to 14-15 companies by around
2033. We have an objective to hold a certain percent-
age in our portfolio. Within that portfolio, when we
recycle capital, it is not dilution,” he says. The promot-
ers want to own the majority and the highest stake | 45
said Executive Director & CEO Suresh P. Manglani possible in the early-stage companies. “Our objective
in ATGL’s annual report. The investment planned is to get our portfolio into a position where the cur-
is `18,000-20,000 crore. “The city gas distribution rent cash that we hold in the bank and free cash flow
business carries no cash flow risk. With a debt-to- is greater than any debt maturity requirement. At a
Ebitda ratio of just 1, there is no gearing involved,” portfolio level, we will get there by 2025,” he says.
says Bolinjkar. However, the new administered pric- While the Supreme Court-constituted expert com-
ing mechanism has now linked gas prices to crude oil. mittee on the Adani stocks crash did not find any reg-
“If global oil prices soar, the company may be required ulatory failure, the sword of ongoing investigations by
to purchase gas from the spot market, which could the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) is
potentially impact its ability to maintain healthy still hanging over the group’s head. “We remain con-
margins,” says Bolinjkar. That’s where the diversifi- fident in our governance and disclosure standards,”
cation strategy to build e-mobility and compressed Gautam Adani had said, putting up a brave front be-
gas businesses for the future fits in well. fore shareholders. The group’s stocks are showing a
In FMCG, Adani Wilmar is gradually reducing its gradual recovery, and it is also expanding internation-
reliance on edible oils (79 per cent contribution in val- ally. For instance, Adani was in Sri Lanka in July, rub-
ue) in favour of food and FMCG, which includes wheat bing shoulders with President Ranil Wickremesinghe.
flour, rice, pulses and sugar. With a container terminal and a wind project already
in his bag, he pitched for a green hydrogen plant.
The Hard Assets Amidst the crisis, Gautam Adani’s greatest asset
Days after the Hindenburg report, Gautam Adani had remains his management team and board, standing
landed in Israel to complete the $1.15-billion acquisi- firmly by his side. If he successfully navigates the cur-
tion of Haifa Port. GQG’s Jain interprets it as a clear rent challenges, he will surely write a new chapter in
vote of confidence, reflecting the Israeli govern- his entrepreneurial journey, possibly even introducing
ment’s trust in the group’s competence. Haifa Port’s the term ‘permasuccess’ to the Collins Dictionary.
Indian Ocean-Mediterranean route will strategically
position the company. Adani Ports and Special Eco- @anandadhikari

Business Today 20 August 2023


‘TIME TO
GO FULL
THROTTLE’
Rajiv Jain, Chairman and
CIO of GQG Partners, reveals the
thinking behind investing
in the Adani Group

BY ANAND ADHIKARI

PHOTOS BY GETTY IMAGES

IN THE WORLD of the Adani Group—more fff book in India. I first start-
finance, some may argue than $4 billion—have What were your invest- ed investing in India in
that Rajiv Jain, Chairman attracted considerable ments in India before the the early 1990s, when the
and Chief Investment attention due to the con- Adani Group? markets first opened for
Officer (CIO) of GQG troversies surrounding We launched GQG FIIs [foreign institutional
Partners, is playing the conglomerate. But Partners seven years ago investors]. So, I have seen
with fire. But this Fort the 55-year-old, who has a and I am very grateful to more than a few economic
Lauderdale, Florida- knack for seizing oppor- have got such a strong cycles. And there have
headquartered private tunities amidst chal- response from thou- been times when I have
equity firm has found lenges, is betting on his sands of sophisticated had significantly larger
its special sauce with its investment experience of institutions and pen- positions. About a decade
successful investment more than three decades sion funds from all over ago, I had more than 5
strategies. Whether it’s to come through for his the world. We currently per cent each in ITC and
HDFC Bank or ITC, Jain’s clients. In an exclusive manage around $104 bil- HDFC Bank... So, I like to
strategy has been to get in interview with Business lion and offer four core make large, concentrated
early, thereby maximising Today, Jain decodes his equity strategies. We have bets. Our India book is
returns for his global cli- investment thesis. Edited approximately $14 billion relatively concentrated in
ents. His investments in excerpts: of our overall investment just a handful of names.

Business Today 20 August 2023


COVER STORY Q&A

We believe that’s how one years ago, we were more the lowest- cost producers what we saw in this [the
can deliver good returns bullish on China tech. And of electricity in the coun- group’s] case. And this is
to clients. we also thought the valua- try. What is also not appre- not just in one area but
tions were a bit expensive. ciated is that if India wants in multiple areas, such
fff When we started doing to be net zero by 2070, it as power, transmission,
Did you study Indian in- the work this year, what we likely cannot happen with- green energy, gas distribu-
frastructure companies found was that the more out this group. tion, edible oils, roads, etc.
before the Hindenburg work we did, the more bull- It’s very unusual to see this
report? ish we got. In our view, they fff high level of competency
I looked at infrastructure have world-class operat- Has the correction in across multiple complex
operators but never invest- ing assets with utility-like valuations, the govern- projects.
ed in a big way. L&T was characteristics. We feel ment’s focus on infra, or We have invested in
as close as we got to infra. that the Adanis’ asset the maturity of the infra utilities in over a dozen
Prior to joining GQG, I allocation decisions have sector in India encour- countries, including
had also looked at a bunch been remarkably good. If aged you to invest in the emerging markets and
of mid-cap infra stocks you buy Mumbai airport Adani Group companies? developed countries. We
that did very well for six to or any other airport dur- There are multiple reasons have seen utilities go bank-
seven years. But I missed rupt in Europe. We have
all of that! This is the first seen utilities go bankrupt
time in 30 years that I have in a lot of developed mar-
been as bullish on Indian
infrastructure stocks. OUR VIEW IS THAT MOST kets and, obviously, in
emerging markets, includ-
If you look at our India OF THE TIME, GOOD ing in India. So, it is not
exposure, we believe banks
look very attractive... We MANAGEMENT DOES ITS as straightforward. What
we found at the Adani
also like some public sec- JOB AND OUR CLIENTS Group was its consistent | 47
tor banks. We have been
familiar with them for a ENJOY THE RETURNS. ability to deliver in a very
cost-effective manner
long time, along with ITC. THE ADANI [GROUP] and thereby generate high
[But] we have nothing in IT
services, for example.
DOESN’T NEED PEOPLE returns. That’s what, first
and foremost, attracted
LIKE ME TO TELL THEM us. People talk about free
fff
What is your assessment
WHAT TO DO cash flow, but free cash
flow comes later in the
of the Adani Group, the best-growing businesses.
board, the management Almost all US utilities have
and the conglomerate’s ing Covid-19, when it is here. First and foremost, negative free cash flows.
governance structure? likely a distressed sale, we look for bottom-up Even outside, for example,
We started looking at the the transaction has a high execution capabilities. In retail giant Walmart: It had
group more closely after probability of doing well. every country, and it’s not negative cash flows during
the Hindenburg report Another example would be unique to India, everybody its fastest growing years,
came out to see what could solar modules. They were likes to talk big. The way I for almost three decades!
potentially go wrong and not in that business even like to put it is that there We also thought there
how much impact it would a few years ago. Now, they are a lot of hot-dog stands was inefficiency in the
have. Some of our team will be one of the largest that claim they will be the Indian market where the
members had met the man- producers of solar mod- next Microsoft. But most focus was too much on
agement and the family ules outside of China. If of them remain hot-dog short-term P&L [profit
members when they (the anybody wants to set up stands. I don’t think politi- and loss]. I consider Indian
Adanis) were doing road data centres in India, who cal connections can create corporations to be among
shows last year. We did would they go to [other competencies. What we the best in the world. Of
some work on their busi- than the Adanis]? It’s [also] would like to see are core course, I may be a little
ness a few years ago. At that an electricity business... execution capabilities over biased. But I believe it
time, which was almost five [but] the group is one of multiple cycles—which is [Adani] truly is a well-run

Business Today 20 August 2023


COVER STORY Q&A

corporation that managed


tough environments over a
very long period. There is a
long list of companies that
have survived and thrived.
But even within that con-
text, I rarely see somebody
execute consistently well
across diverse categories
as [does] this group.

fff
Is there a difference in
the investment cycle for
infra this time from the
last time?
There is a difference
between this cycle and the
last cycle for infra. Why
did we not invest in the
last cycle, and why are we
investing now? Last time,
there were a lot of hot-dog
stands that said they would
be Microsoft. We didn’t
48 | like the structure of those
projects or the regulatory
regime then and we avoid-
ed them. This time, there
are not many Indian pro-
moters who are coming out
to say they are investing in
infrastructure and that’s
despite a much better regu-
latory environment. Why?
Most of them [the invest-
ments] blew up. Who is to invest in operating high hit rate. Look at the in the private sector
going to bid for or build companies like airports, projects that are coming can do it?
new airports, transmission roads, green hydrogen through, such as petro-
or gas assets now? There or data centres. What’s chemicals, defence, copper fff
are not many groups. Will your view? smelting, green hydrogen, Which business of AEL,
India really give these air- They are not available etc. In all these instances, according to you, is more
ports to any foreign opera- right now. The new India needs much more mature and could be the
tor to run them? These are businesses are not listed capacities domestically. first to see unlocking?
critical national assets. separately. We like the A lot of these are power- As investors who take a
holding company. That intensive businesses, and long-term view, we don’t
fff is a larger position for us. land acquisition could be care about unlocking for
What attracted you to We own about 6 per cent a problem for any private short-term gains. Let the
Adani Enterprises Ltd of AEL on behalf of our player. Opportunities in businesses compound. If
(AEL), the group’s hold- clients now. If you look the defence sector itself you unlock them too early,
ing company? The better at the incubation track could be very large. These we believe there is a risk of
option for any investor record of the new proj- sectors are strategically becoming inefficient. In
like you could have been ects of AEL, it has a very important for India. Who our view, unlocking makes

Business Today 20 August 2023


FOCUS
FINTECH

),17(&+$1'
3/$7)250
,1129$7,21
(;3/$,1('
2'(66$67</(
Technology is at the heart of every-
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It has completely transformed how
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their customers.

A
t Odessa, we serve the Asset Finance industry with
our market leading product and are harnessing
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COVER STORY Q&A

sense in some cases such of me to say that I can capital. Markets typical- Warren Buffett owned 55 per
as green energy because improve what they are ly pay higher multiples cent of Berkshire Hathaway
you can get a cheaper doing. I think they have to companies that don’t for the longest time. Bill
cost of debt as there is a done just fine without me. need extra capital. Gates, when Microsoft
set of debt investors who I don’t think they need my However, there are listed, owned more than
want to invest in green advice. Our view is that select businesses that half of the company. That’s
projects. But in airports, most of the time, good can deploy more capital a good thing... Whether it’s
full unlocking seems a bit management does its and give high returns. 70 per cent or 73 per cent,
early. There’s obviously job and our clients enjoy That is a very rare phe- who cares! In fact, for a busi-
no such benefit in petro- the returns. The Adani nomenon. Most good ness that has created almost
chemicals, so it is better [Group] doesn’t need businesses don’t need $130–140 billion worth
off being part of AEL. So, people like me to tell them extra capital as they gen- of equity, it has not really
we believe there’s no real what to do. Just don’t erate enough cash. The raised that much equity if
benefit at this point in deleverage too much and problem starts when you look at its history. And
spinning off too much. this is the time to go full companies start doing what is the test for that?
Roads maybe... but I don’t throttle. That is my view. stuff that is not gener- There’s a simple back-of-
know. Ultimately, all of ating higher returns. the-envelope test. It has not
this is their call as they fff We believe the Adani diluted its stake.
have a very good long-term Will you be comfortable Group can deploy a lot Why does Jeff Bezos
record, so let them decide. if they raise money by of capital without dilut- own a lot less [of Amazon]
I think, big picture- selling equity? ing incremental returns, than Bill Gates [does of
wise, unlocking makes The question of dilution just like HDFC Bank did Microsoft]? Amazon had
sense only in the long term. [of stake] is always: at in its initial journey. We more cash losses in the early
years than Microsoft. So,
it had to issue more equity
50 | or give employees stock
I LIKE TO MAKE LARGE, CONCENTRA- options. Microsoft was

TED BETS... OUR INDIA BOOK IS


profitable from the get-go.
So, if a promoter has a high-
RELATIVELY CONCENTRATED IN JUST er insider stake after 10-20

A HANDFUL OF NAMES. THAT’S HOW years, it means that the


business generates a lot of
ONE CAN DELIVER GOOD RETURNS free cash on its own. We like
high insider ownership—
the higher the better.

But you don’t have to hurry what return are we going want to own more of such fff
as it reduces flexibility. to reinvest the capital? If businesses. Despite the massive fall or
That’s where related-party you look at HDFC Bank, it value correction, none of
transactions, acquisitions, has raised equity multiple fff the mutual funds in India
and many other things that times in the past. I invest- The Adani Group is now bought into Adani compa-
cause friction come in. This ed in HDFC Bank from willing to go below 75 nies. Does that bother you?
is the time to keep your 2001 onwards. It made as per cent equity stake, Why should I care? I am
foot on the accelerator. many as, I think, four or which was not the case not being arrogant here.
And if the market doesn’t five equity offerings over earlier... There are a hundred ways
agree with it, so be it. the past two decades. And There is plenty of to heaven. Everybody must
the client accounts that evidence [of that]. find their own way to make
fff I managed participated Companies that have high money. And I’m not
Will you work closely in every one of them. It insider ownership tend here to judge. People can
with the group in terms doesn’t need it now. There to be better than compa- make money in many
of strategy and future are businesses that gener- nies that have low insider different ways.
direction? ate very high returns, but ownership. When we
It will be too arrogant they cannot deploy more study Europe and the US, @anandadhikari

Business Today 20 August 2023


FOCUS
MADHYA PRADESH

Narendra Modi Shivraj Singh Chouhan


Prime Minister Chief Minister, Madhya Pradesh

Mukhyamantri Seekho-Kamao Yojana: Skilling the


Youth for Prosperous Madhya Pradesh
Hon’ble Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan is determined to transform Madhya Pradesh into the most competitive
and vibrant State in all spheres of development by harnessing potential of ‘Yuva Shakti’. In line with his vision and
commitment, Mukhyamantri Seekho Kamao Yojana, was announced with an objective to provide skill development
and stipend to the youth, via one of a kind “Learn and Earn” model, making them employable and equipped in joining
the mainstream economic development.

T
he 'Mukhyamantri Seekho-Kamao Yojana government job. Those candidates wanting to avail have registered for training in 800 courses.
(MMSKY)' is uniquely designed to bridge the the scheme will have to get eKYC, and must have The implementing organizations will be required to
gap between skilled youth and manpower requisite documents like Aadhaar for registration. establish linkages with placement services, out of
requirement in industries .Hon’ble CM Shivraj Singh which 50% should be in the organized sector.
Chouhan launched this scheme, encouraging the The candidates, based on their skills and Those interested in self-employment or launching
youth to equip themselves with relevant industry training, are being provided monthly stipend their own-start-up, the organization shall arrange
skills & exposure, and get stipend during their skill ranging from ₹8,000 to ₹10,000 easy microfinance/ loans for them through financial
development training. The scheme will empower the institutions, National Minority Development Finance
students to get employment with dignity and pride. 12th Pass ₹ 8000 Corporation (NMDFC), banks etc. Further supporting
As many as 800 courses have been offered to the ITI Trained ₹ 8,500 them to ensure smooth transition as post placement
youth relating to different sectors which employs Diploma ₹ 9000 assistance, a support of Rs. 2000/- per month will also
huge manpower. Those pursuing the courses get Graduate/Higher Education ₹ 10,000 be provided for two months.
monthly stipend during their skill development
training. These courses enable them to serve industry The first stipend will be disbursed on 1st September.
well in different sectors. The scheme applies to private institutions, and they
These include engineering, mechanical, civil, tourism, can provide training to 15% of their workforce. For Mukhyamantri Seekho Kamao
hotel management, travel, hospital management, those receiving training from private institutions, the Yojana is reflective of Hon’ble
railways, software development, banking, State Government will provide 75% of the amount, Chief Minister Shivraj Singh
accounting, media, entertainment, legal services while the remaining 25% will be provided by the Chouhan's vision of transforming
etc. Unemployed youth aged 18 to 29 years with a respective private institution. After completion of the
Madhya Pradesh by unleashing
minimum qualification of 12th grade are eligible course, participants to get Certification from State
for drawing benefits under the scheme. They must Council for Vocational Training. the potential of ‘Yuva Shakti’
have their bank account and not be employed in a As of August 1, 2023 more than 7 lakh youth
AS UBER AND OLA GRAPPLE WITH A DRIVER
S H O R TA G E I N T H E A F T E R M AT H O F C O V I D - 1 9 A N D S H I F T T O
A P R O F I T - F I R S T A P P R O A C H , N I M B L E N E W C O M E R S H AV E
Z O O M E D I N T O C A P I TA L I S E O N T H E I R I N E F F I C I E N C I E S ,
RESHAPING URBAN TRANSPORT IN THE PROCESS
BY
B I N U PAU L
START-UPS RIDE HAILING

fair deal for both. What ensued was from the good old days.
a fierce competition between the To understand this shift, we
two giants for every ride and driver, need only look at India’s IT capi-
as they outbid each other with dis- tal Bengaluru. Here, according to
counts and incentives, in a quest to Tanveer Pasha, President of Ola-
capture the Indian market. Uber Cab Drivers’ Association, the
By the middle of 2020, though, number of cabs has reduced to ap-
months of lockdowns, enforced proximately 40,000-45,000 from
isolation and deserted streets had the pre-Covid-19 figure of 100,000.
delivered the online mobility sec- Many drivers relinquished their
tor a body blow. In the depths of dreams of becoming micro-entre-
the pandemic, demand for Ola and preneurs and sold their vehicles af-
Uber’s services plummeted to zero. ter business crashed.
Then, just as dramatically, de- The supply crunch led to a signif-
“HELLO MADAM, WHAT is your drop mand came roaring back after icant decline in service quality, with
location?” “Koramangala.” Ride travel restrictions were eased. But complaints of badly maintained
cancelled. “Hello madam, cash or many things had changed for the cabs, frequent cancellations, and
online payment?” “Online.” Ride duo by then. They had made the long waiting times becoming a com-
cancelled. long-anticipated pivot to focus on mon occurrence. Plus, ride costs
“This is my struggle every day profitability. Many driver-partners increased by at least 1.5 times, per
now; spending over an hour having did not return to the platforms, and industry estimates. Together, these
these awkward conversations with those that did found that their real factors have pushed the industry
at least half-a-dozen drivers before earnings had shrunk significantly into uncharted territory, one that
54 | I finally get a cab for my commute,” thanks to a steep rise in fuel costs the duopoly has not encountered
shares Bengaluru-based IT profes- and the 30 per cent commission since it was established.

TROUBLE BREWS

1 2 3
The Covid-19-induced As service qual- Ola and Uber, mean-
slowdown prompted an ity declined and ride while, have shifted focus
exodus of drivers, exac- costs rose, more users to profitability in the cab-
erbating supply short- turned to autorick- hailing business
ages for Ola and Uber shaws and bike taxis

sional Reshma. If you are a regular levied by the platforms. And the ON AUTO PILOT
user of cab-hailing apps, you are chorus of disgruntled drivers and But first, we must begin at the be-
perhaps all too familiar with this. customers that had started build- ginning—that is, with the apps. Ola
But things weren’t always like ing before the pandemic reached and Uber saw demand plunge from
this, at least not before Covid-19. a crescendo, forcing these two key about 1.5 million rides per day just
In that idyllic past, the value prop- stakeholders to search for alterna- before the pandemic to zero at its
osition that Ola and Uber offered tives. That search has opened a gap peak. The platforms slashed driv-
driver-partners and customers was in a closed field and a wide array of er incentives and user discounts,
clear: seller would meet buyer in a competitors promises to bring the marking their long-awaited shift
mediated market that promised a focus back to that value proposition to profitability. Industry observers

Business Today 20 August 2023


TAXI

ON SHAKY GROUND be tired. They are practically doing


nothing other than taking a cut of
The financial performance of the cab- every ride. They are neither invest-
hailing firms hasn’t been impressive ing in technology nor in fleet. That
is unfortunate for both users and
drivers,” says Kaushik Madhavan,
VP of Mobility at research firm Mar-
ketsandMarkets.

A TINY SLICE
This shift in orientation, in turn,
Total revenue (` crore) has been necessitated by the sober-
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 ing reality presented by their books.
Despite a decade of operations here,
2,783.61 2,844.11 1,168.16 NA Uber’s India business accounts for
just about 10 per cent of its global
892.66 765.81 538.73 560.52 rides, per industry estimates. And
Uber India Systems Private Ltd,
0.78 4.15 9.22 32.29 that manages the mobility business
in the country, recorded `560.52
crore (about $68.46 million at cur-
rent exchange rates) in revenue in
PAT (` crore) FY22—just 0.2 per cent of Uber’s
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 US revenue of $31.88 billion. | 55
“The scale of operations and
-2,592.93 -2,208.23 -1,116.61 NA revenue in India are very negligible
when compared to their global op-
43.24 720.74* -333.89 -216.42 erations. They (Uber) are a clear
leader in their successful markets.
-1.17 -16.72 -39.46 -65.48 They [have been] here for about a
decade, yet don’t have significant
numbers to show. What is the best
use of an Uber dollar globally? I
NOTE OLA CABS’ FINANCIALS INCLUDE CONSOLIDATED FIG-
URES OF ITS PARENT ANI TECHNOLOGIES’ 16 SUBSIDIARIES. IT
don’t see India being that market
DOESN’T INCLUDE OLA ELECTRIC. ANI TECHNOLOGIES HAS NOT because if you are 10 years old and
FILED FY22 FINANCIALS; NA NOT AVAILABLE still [account for] less than 0.5 per
UBER INDIA’S FY20 PROFIT INCLUDES THE SALE OF UBEREATS cent of global revenue, why should
INDIA TO ZOMATO IN JANUARY 2020. BLUSMART’S FY19 FINAN- the company spend here?” says a
CIALS ARE STANDALONE NUMBERS, REST ARE CONSOLIDATED
SOURCE PRIVATECIRCLE RESEARCH
venture capital investor.
Elsewhere, Uber has been ruth-
less in exiting markets perceived to
have limited growth opportunities.
said both firms’ core ride-hailing and mean operating structure, It exited China by selling its local
business managed to find that path steering clear of the growth-fo- arm to Didi Global Inc., and South-
as demand returned after lock- cussed, capital-burning past that east Asia by selling its operations
downs were eased. This marked a kept them in the red for far too long. to Grab Holdings Ltd. It recently
massive milestone for the decade- But there was a consequent fall in discontinued its mobility business
old Uber and 13-year-old Ola. investments in innovation. in Israel. In India, too, reports had
This also meant that the plat- “After such a long battle for mar- suggested that the firm explored
forms had to retain the new lean ket share, both companies seem to selling its ride-hailing business.

Business Today 20 August 2023


START-UPS RIDE HAILING

TAXI
BIG MONEY 3,000
2,500 2,900.56
Ola has seen the highest 2,000

FUNDS RAISED
fundraising among the 1,500

($ MILLION)
three big aggregators 1,000 633.47
500 97.68
0
ANI Uber BluSmart
Technologies India Systems Mobility
Private Ltd* Private Ltd# Pvt. Ltd ^
NOTE THIS DOES NOT (Ola Cabs)
INCLUDE DEBT FUNDING
* DATA AS OF
NOVEMBER 2022
# DATA AS OF OCT 2019
^ DATA AS MAY 2023
SOURCE
PRIVATECIRCLE RESEARCH
$42.8 BN
EXPECTED GMV OF
9.7 MN
EXPECTED FLEET SIZE
SHARED MOBILITY IN OF SHARED MOBILITY
INDIA BY 2027** SECTOR BY 2027**

56 |
**SOURCE FROST & SULLIVAN

“With Bhavish (Aggarwal, al leadership and stable team, and the multi-model opportunity. Ac-
Ola’s CEO), they were never able they kept executing really well,” cording to Singh, one out of two
to [agree] on a valuation. Bhavish says a former entrepreneur in the trips on Uber is on two- or three-
would always say ‘you are smaller mobility sector. wheelers. “We have also expanded
and I’m bigger,’ and they would nev- Uber has recently led a $20-mil- Reserve, our pre-booked travel of-
er reach consensus. If Bhavish were lion investment round in fleet man- fering, to 13 cities. I am excited about
to give it a chance, SoftBank would agement firm Everest Fleet to pro- high-capacity vehicles in India. We
have funded [the transaction to ac- vide its drivers with better access to are running bus pilots in Gurugram
quire Uber’s operations] to create a electric vehicles (EVs). and a smaller one in Bengaluru and
monopoly. I don’t think Uber ever Prabhjeet Singh, President of I am very keen to explore the possi-
received a good valuation in India. Uber India and South Asia, tells BT bilities. And more recently we have
That is why they haven’t left the that the company is focussing on introduced Uber Green in India, our
market,” says the VC. new categories in cities where it is global flagship EV product, which
Others paint a different picture. operating, while expanding new means you can now get an EV at the
According to some industry watch- products in other regions. “We have tap of [the] app,” he says.
ers, Uber has gained market share widened our geographical presence,
at Ola’s expense. “In 2021-22, Ola introduced buses, and achieved EYE ON EVs
had higher market share, probably growth in all aspects, including cat- Meanwhile, Bhavish Aggarwal and
just above 50 per cent. It is now in egory expansion,” he says. Ola appear to be solely focussed on
the high 30s. Uber has a profession- Uber is also going aggressive on the EV business, per sources, a de-

Business Today 20 August 2023


TAXI
THE RATINGS 5
4.5
4.41
4.00

AVERAGE RATINGS
GAME 4
3.5
3 4.01
Uber has maintained its 2.5 3.77
lead in user ratings in the 2
past one year 1.5 2.78
1
.5 1.72
UBER 0
OLA Jan 2021 Jun 2023
BLUSMART
MOBILITY
NOTE DATA INCLUDES

$1.47 BN 1.5 MN
APP RANKINGS AND
REVIEWS FOR THE CUS-
TOMER APP AS WELL AS
THE DRIVER APP; VALUATION OF APPROXIMATE
PLAY STORE REVIEWS INDIA’S BIKE TAXI AUTORICKSHAW
MARKET BY 2030# RIDES PER DAY *
ARE NOT SPLIT BY GE-
OGRAPHY; HENCE IT IS
WORLDWIDE AND NOT
INDIA. ALL OTHER DATA
FOR INDIA ONLY #SOURCE ALLIED MARKET RESEARCH
| 57
SOURCE SYNAPTIC *SOURCE INDUSTRY ESTIMATES

cision that is proving costly for its well, it was a clear decision from business might struggle to get even
mobility dreams. Aggarwal to go slow on mobility. half that valuation now. That’s per-
Several people that BT spoke to He owns about 40 per cent in the haps why the firm isn’t rushing to
say the layoffs and top-level exodus EV business, and just about 8-9 complete its planned IPO.
at Ola over the past few years have per cent in mobility. In his mind, it As the market opens up, it pres-
significantly weakened its mobil- is very clear that every second de- ents Uber an opportunity to raise its
ity team. “The continuous churn at voted to EV is more beneficial than share further. The key lies in its com-
Ola went on and there is no strong time devoted to mobility,” says a mitment to investing in innovation
leadership to really run the mobility person closely aware of Ola’s op- and strategic collaborations. “After
business. There has not been a dedi- erations. Ola did not respond to a being so big for a long time, if you
cated senior-level person looking detailed questionnaire sent to it till lose so much market share, it is ex-
at mobility for some time. It is run- the time of going to press. tremely expensive and near impossi-
ning on auto pilot,” says a person Ola Electric was valued at $6 bil- ble to gain back. Ola doesn’t have the
who has worked with the company. lion in its last funding round in May. money; nobody is funding mobility.
In an effort to make the cost Per market intelligence platform So it is very unlikely that they will be
structure of the electric division ap- PrivateCircle Research, Ola’s ride- able to regain market share. It is now
pear more reasonable, Aggarwal is hailing business unit—ANI Tech- up to Uber as to how much they want
allocating some of the mobility re- nologies Private Ltd—was valued to push. If they want to spend money
sources, states a former employee. at $6.5 billion as of May 2022. But and gain market share, [this] is the
“When electric started doing investment bankers say its mobility right time and [it] would be fairly

Business Today 20 August 2023


START-UPS RIDE HAILING

easy,” says the former mobility en- value proposition mentioned ear-
trepreneur quoted earlier. lier as they get ready to lap up dis-
gruntled drivers and customers.
SMELLING BLOOD Take for instance California-based
As the market leaders’ shadow inDrive—which had a soft launch
shortens, many challengers have in Chandigarh in 2019 and oper-
latched onto the sliver of sunlight ates in 12 cities today. It claims to
passing through. And these firms have completed over 15 million
are aggressively targeting the mar- rides (across cabs, autos, bikes and
ket with differentiated offerings. intercity) in 2022. It operates on
Prominent among them is “We have an auction-based model, allowing
BluSmart, India’s first all-electric widened our drivers and passengers to negoti-
ride-hailing service, which has po- ate prices for the ride, and charges
sitioned itself as a premium, reliable geographical much lower driver commission at
alternative to the market leaders. presence, intro- 10 per cent.
“In the existing ecosystem, all duced buses, and “The biggest weakness for these
three participants—the customer, platforms [Uber and Ola] is that
driver and the platform in the mid- achieved growth they have very high commission
dle—have been disgruntled. We in all aspects, in- for drivers and they cannot really
said we won’t do anything jazzy. cluding category lower that because their expenses
We will go back to basics, [to] what on user bonus and driver incentives
a customer needs when booking a expansion” are very high. When they start re-
cab—be on time, give a clean cab ducing these marketing tools, users
58 | and one that he can afford. For driv- PRABHJEET SINGH will [come] to competitors like us.
ers, we want to offer livelihood in PRESIDENT, UBER INDIA AND Our business model is more sus-
SOUTH ASIA
a city by using his core skill, which tainable because we don’t play with
is driving,” says Tushar Garg, Co- incentives. We [feel we are] easily
founder and CBO of Gurugram- the No. 3 in the market already, and
based BluSmart. we are going to compete for the sec-
It offers fixed prices and sched- ond place,” says Roman Ermoshin,
uled rides, addressing users’ con- Director-APAC at inDrive.
cerns about surge pricing and can- He says the company is making
cellations. The company has an EV headway in capturing market share
fleet of over 5,000 cars and says it is from Ola and Uber in cities like Kol-
adding 500-1,000 every month. kata, where it has already secured a
Industry observers believe 10 per cent market share. With over
BluSmart’s focus on airport rides 100,000 drivers, the company is
has likely helped it capture a high looking to clock 30 million rides in
single-digit market share in that “Our business 2023. “I would say the duopoly is
segment and it enjoys better profit- model is more already being broken. Our target is
ability due to larger-ticket trips and sustainable be- to get to 20 per cent of the market,
cost savings facilitated by its EVs. or even upwards of 25 per cent by
Garg said the company measures cause we don’t 2025-26, because we have a unique
market share based on revenue. play with incen- selling proposition,” he adds.
“Our personal reading is that we tives. We [feel we Then there is Drife, which start-
could be in double-digit percent- ed operations in November 2021
ages when it comes to revenue mar-
are] easily the with just 25 driver-partners. It says
ket share in the two cities (NCR and No. 3 in the mar- it has a fleet of 25,000 cabs in Ben-
Bengaluru) we operate in,” he says. ket already” galuru, doing about around 1,000–
Others too are addressing the 2,000 rides a day. It works on a
ROMAN ERMOSHIN
DIRECTOR-APAC, INDRIVE
subscription model where drivers while it is also nearing the second
pay the company a fixed amount spot in several other markets. Rapi-
for using the application. It lets cus- do began as a bike taxi service and
tomers select their preferred driver is currently the leader in that seg-
and fare, while drivers can view the
pick-up and drop locations along
“Be it new EV ment. “Auto rides have grown 30-35
per cent year-on-year (YoY) in the
with the expected earnings. fleets coming in last one year. We anticipate 30 per
“I guess a new revolution hap- or commission- cent YoY growth for auto and 50
pens every decade and it is time for free applications per cent YoY growth for bikes,” says
that in the ride-hailing space—be Guntupalli.
it new EV fleets coming in or com- like us, [we] are Bengaluru-based auto booking
mission-free applications like us, coming in to app Namma Yatri, which works on
[we] are coming in to bridge the gap bridge the gap the ONDC network, has garnered
and fix the broken pieces. They (Ola about 20-25 per cent of the market
and Uber) know that they are los- and fix the bro- share in the city in less than seven
ing this market and [if they] invest ken pieces” months. The app was built by Jus-
more money they will only increase pay Technologies on behalf of the
their losses,” says Firdosh Sheikh, FIRDOSH SHEIKH autorickshaw drivers’ union amid
Co-founder and CEO of Drife. CO-FOUNDER AND CEO, DRIFE an escalating dispute between the
Karnataka transport department
RICKSHAW RETURNS and Ola and Uber over higher fares.
It isn’t just cabs that are jostling be- It now has a fleet network of over
hind Ola and Uber; there is also the 81,000 autos and has completed
humble autorickshaw. A burgeon- over 5.7 million rides so far. | 59
ing crowd of dissatisfied customers Like with Namma Yatri, ONDC’s
is hitching autorickshaw rides for core principles of unbundling and
the daily commute. interoperability are expected to
According to one market ob- help it create a new ecosystem that
server, during 2018-19, Ola led can address the online mobility
this segment with approximately industry’s inadequacies. “ONDC
400,000–500,000 rides per day, unbundles demand and supply as
and with Uber’s entry in 2018, the two separate businesses where any
duo collectively accounted for large consumer app can become
about 600,000–700,000 daily “We said...we the buyer and any dedicated mobil-
ity player can become the seller by
rides. During the pandemic, a con-
siderable number of autos shifted will go back to on-boarding drivers or vehicles,”
to online platforms, resulting in basics, [to] what explains Nitin Nair, Senior VP
substantial growth, reaching an a customer needs of ONDC.
impressive 1.5 million rides per day ONDC is currently looking to
shared between Ola, Uber, Rapido, when booking a include cabs and other modes of
and Namma Yatri. cab—be on time, transport, and plans to launch in
Since its foray into the seg- give a clean cab multiple cities. Large consum-
ment in 2020, Bengaluru-based er applications such as Paytm
Rapido has made steady progress, and one he can and PhonePe are also expected
and currently operates in 35 cities. afford ” to launch mobility verticals on
According to Co-founder Pavan their apps.
Guntupalli, Rapido currently facili- TUSHAR GARG Clearly, the ride-hailing market
tates around half-a-million rides CO-FOUNDER AND CBO, is entering an intriguing phase.
and holds the top slot in the three- BLUSMART
wheeler segment in Hyderabad, @binu_t_paul

Business Today 20 August 2023


INTERVIEW RAHUL KANWAL

‘It is in India’s own


interest to keep the
data flows open’
Nick Clegg, President of Global Affairs at Meta, talks about the importance
of artificial intelligence, regulation and more
PHOTOS BY HARDIK CHHABRA

60 |

issues of the day is Nick Clegg, President


of Global Affairs at Meta. Clegg, who
is also a former Deputy Prime Minister
of the UK, in an interaction in Delhi
with Rahul Kanwal, News Director of
India Today and Aaj Tak, and Executive
Director of Business Today, talks about
AI, regulation, Meta’s latest product
Threads and innovation, among other
things. Edited excerpts:

This is the age of artificial intelligence Q: I want to start by talking to you about AI
(AI). And one of the biggest questions and the manner in which it is capturing global
the world is grappling with is how AI imagination. But who should regulate artifi-
should be regulated. Then there’s social cial intelligence?
media, which humankind can’t seem A: AI is not new. It’s been around for decades. There’s
a lot of hype at the moment around something called
to have enough of. And the behemoth
generative AI… But I think it somewhat obscures the
that is straddling these worlds is Meta,
reality that AI has been around for years. At Meta, for
with its bouquet of three popular social instance, we’ve been using AI for ages; anything you
media services—WhatsApp, Instagram see on Facebook or Instagram has, in one way or an-
and Facebook. Shepherding the other, been touched by AI already. I think how to regu-
company through the complex process late it is a question of first working out what harms
of global regulations and the pressing and problems you’re trying to deal with. Is it intellec-

Business Today 20 August 2023


INTERVIEW RAHUL KANWAL

62 | tual property and copyright, is it misinformation, and


then ask yourself whether the current laws we have on
the statute books are sufficient or not. And I suspect “AI is our best defence against
it will be a mixture of the two; some of the existing anything we don’t want on the
laws we have will be able to be applied to AI, and some platform... I’m quite optimistic
new laws will be required. I hope that as those new
laws develop, they are developed as internationally as
that the latest advances in
possible because this technology is bigger than any AI will almost help strengthen
country, bigger than any company. our defences as much if not
more so than help people
Q: When it comes to international regulation,
different countries seem to be proceeding
produce bad content”
at different speeds. So what you’re saying, in
principle, sounds correct, but in reality, how
do you see that being implemented?
A: I think there is as much a danger in rushing to it’s not always obvious that new laws are necessarily
regulate something that hasn’t been properly anal- the answer. I do think new laws will be necessary, but
ysed yet than there is about being too slow. Being too I think it’s not a bad thing to take a little bit of time to
fast could also create problems because it means that get it right.
you suffocate a lot of the innovation that will come
from AI, or that at least will be the risk, which would Q: A few years ago, Mark Zuckerberg and Face-
be a great shame, particularly for countries like India. book had pivoted to Meta. You were drawing
[For] India, it’s not a question of if; it is a question of out the grand vision of a metaverse, whereas
when India becomes one of the great digital super- the real revolution seems to have been in arti-
powers of the world. It already has the world’s second- ficial intelligence. Were you caught off guard
largest community of developers. And there are and are you now trying to catch up?
fantastic innovators, entrepreneurs and developers in A: Not really, on several counts. First, you can’t build
India who are using AI today. And I think that culture the so-called metaverse… without AI, that umbilical
of innovation [that] is strong in India… is something link. And that’s the reason why far from catching up,
you don’t want to stymie by rushing to pass laws when we’ve actually been leaders in AI research for years,

Business Today 20 August 2023


work in progress for lots of new features will be added
over time.
But why Threads? Because I think there are a lot of
people who are looking for a microblogging site where
they can share news and views… particularly when it’s
led by people you admire—creators, influencers and
so on; they don’t necessarily find Twitter particu-
larly attractive right now and want something that is
a slightly kinder alternative. There’s space for more
than one kind of microblogging site. The interesting
thing about Threads is we’re building it very, very
different to things like Twitter... so that it will become
part of something called the fediverse—where you
will be able to interoperably share your content on
Mastodon, for instance. It’ll be a much more open
platform where people will be able to share content
across different sites.

Q: On the issue of innovation, one of the


concerns is that a lot of work Meta has done
of late, whether it’s Reels, Stories, or Threads
seems to have been taken from somewhere
where you adopted the ideas and scaled it up,
gave it volume, made it successful. But it isn’t
and over the last decade, Meta has open-sourced, genuine innovation in the way that OpenAI | 63
shared over a thousand AI databases and models, did, or Apple and Google do. How do you re-
including very powerful AI models, which help with spond to this?
the automatic translation of many languages, includ- A: I don’t think anyone can say that Facebook itself is
ing the numerous languages in India. And recently, we not one of the most innovative technologies over the
did something that none of the big US tech companies last decade… [and our] huge investments in building
have done so far: We have open-sourced our latest a new computing platform is something that we’re
large language model (LLM) called Llama. What pioneering in a way that nobody else is. And by the
does that mean? That means that any academic, any way, car manufacturers will look at each other’s prod-
researcher, any developer, any entrepreneur, any bud- ucts; of course, people compare notes and see what is
ding businessperson here in India—instead of having moving and shaking in the market. But look at our big
to build their own LLM at the expense of billions of US bets—whether they’re on social media platforms, the
dollars—can just download it. It runs directly on Win- metaverse, or indeed, our long-standing investments
dows… and you can create a new large language, new in AI well before it became a major talking point.
tools in finance, financial services, and education, And just to give you an example of that, one of the
health, [among other things]. I think that approach to foundational AI libraries that everybody now uses in
open innovation is something we’ve always believed the AI industry is called PyTorch—something that
in, and it will really help going forward as well. Facebook engineers and researchers came up with.
I think you can both innovate and, at the same time,
Q: Let’s shift our attention to Threads. It look at how people use technology as it evolves. And
launched with a lot of hype, but user engage- then evolve yourself, and that’s exactly what we do as
ment and daily active users seem to have come a company.
down quite a bit from the initial numbers.
How do you see Threads playing out? Q: You mentioned the need for global regula-
A: When you get new apps, you always get this erup- tion. In India, through the data privacy bill,
tion of interest; lots of people use it two or three times which is going to be introduced, the focus is
and then it falls off... And then you get a core base of on data localisation. How do you see the data
users and build from that. And we’ve done that be- privacy debate in India shape up?
fore, multiple times on Instagram, on Facebook with A: I haven’t seen the latest version of the legislation
new features. And remember, Threads is a sort of a you refer to, but I very much hope that it will not

Business Today 20 August 2023


INTERVIEW RAHUL KANWAL

include provisions to sort of divide up ON REGULATING last several months, we’ve rolled out 30
ARTIFICIAL
the data cake. Because, one of the great INTELLIGENCE
new features… you can limit the amount
things about the internet—particularly of time on Instagram, with far greater
the internet outside China—is that it is so AI has been around parental controls… I think both with the
fluid, it doesn’t recognise geography. The for years. At Meta, research and with the new features that
internet is something that everyone can we’ve been using AI we’re rolling out, everyone, whether its
relish and partake in and build businesses for ages; anything governments, parents, families, kids,
you see on Facebook
and communicate with each other. And or Instagram has, in ourselves, [we will] make sure that any
that’s also true for social media. And I one way or another, experience online for young people is as
think the great risk would be if India were been touched by AI. wholesome and as positive as it can be.
to say, ‘Oh, well, we’re going to hoard all How to regulate AI
this data for ourselves’; and then Vietnam is a question of first Q: One of the big concerns about
working out what
will say, we’ll do that next; and then the harms and problems the use of social media has been
European Union; and the US. And before you’re trying to deal fake news. And while Meta part-
you know it, the global internet, as we with. Is it intellectual ners with various organisations
know it, will have disintegrated, will have property and globally to tackle fake news, one of
copyright or is it
fragmented. That is why we believe that it
misinformation, and
the big concerns is AI models were
is in India’s own interest to keep the data then ask yourself being skewed in a way that they
flows open. And particularly, at a time whether the current started thinking that fake news
when the Europeans and the US have just laws are sufficient was real. How do you prevent that?
recently entered into a new agreement or not A: The thing to remember about AI
to ensure the continued open data flows and misinformation, or indeed any
across the Atlantic. And I think India and ON THREADS undesirable, deep fake disinformation,
Europe and the US are the tripod for the anything that we don’t want on the
64 | future governance of the online world. It is a work in platform, is, yes, it is true that AI might
progress, where
And the more that India, Europe, and the new features will make it a bit easier for someone to pro-
US can align and work together, the better be added over duce a fake image… that’s not new, but
for us all. time. Threads is you might be able to do it more quickly
a slightly kinder now. But conversely, AI is [also] our best
Q: Let us talk about the impact apps alternative to Twitter. defence. I’ll give you one very concrete
It will become part
like Instagram have on the psyche of of something called example. The prevalence or proportion
young kids, adolescents, teenagers, the fediverse, where as a percentage of the total content on
and with so much research coming you will be able to Facebook of hate speech today is now
out on that. What are you doing to interoperably share as low as 0.02 per cent. That means
your content across
make these apps safer for young different sites,
if you’re scrolling through your news
children? like Mastodon, for feed endlessly, and you saw 10,000 bits
A: You mentioned research. As it happens, instance. It’ll be a of content, [only] two bits of content
the research is not conclusive. [Because much more open might be hate speech… it has reduced
there is] quite a lot of research that sug- platform by over 50 per cent over the last couple
gests that for the vast majority of young- of years, precisely because of AI. And
sters, being able to find a community... ON INDIA’S the thing to remember about content
find people they can associate with and DIGITAL PROWESS moderation systems on platforms like
share their experiences with is a very good Facebook is from our point of view, it
India already has
thing for their own sense of well-being. the world’s second- doesn’t matter whether it’s a human
But of course, for people who are not feel- largest community being or a robot that produced the bad
ing great about themselves or dealing with of developers. For content, our systems will still try to
challenging issues in their lives anyway, the country, it is not pick that up, regardless of how it’s been
a question of if; it is
and particularly if they are passively a question of when
generated… I’m quite optimistic that
scrolling and not interacting with other India becomes one the latest advances in AI will almost
people, then it’s not always a great experi- of the great digital help strengthen our defences as much
ence. What we try and do is understand superpowers of if not more so than help people produce
that and then find and build features in the world bad content.
Instagram, which will help both parents
and kids get the best experience. Over the @rahulkanwal

Business Today 20 August 2023


CLOUD
UNDER
FIRE
WHILE INCREASING
ADOPTION OF THE CLOUD
HAS HELPED BUSINESSES
FUNCTION EFFICIENTLY,
IT HAS ALSO PROVIDED A
WINDOW TO BAD ACTORS TO
EXPLOIT VULNERABILITIES
IN THESE SYSTEMS FOR
FINANCIAL GAIN

BY NIDHI SINGAL
ILLUSTRATION BY ANIRBAN GHOSH
TECH CLOUD SECURITY

UNDER ATTACK
Instances of cyberattacks in India have gone
up in the past few years
1,600,000

NUMBER OF ATTACKS
1,400,000
NE OF INDIA’S largest hospitals, 1,200,000
the All India Institute of Medi- 1,000,000
cal Sciences (AIIMS) in New 208,000 1,391,000
800,000
Delhi, was hit by a ransomware 600,000
attack in November 2022. The 400,000
attack cut off access to approxi- 200,000
mately 1.3 terabytes of data and 0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
impacted the hospital’s elec-
tronic medical records system. Its patient scheduling SOURCE CERT-IN
and billing systems were also affected, forcing the hos-
pital to curtail its outpatient services for several days. A BARRAGE OF BREACHES
Not only did it inconvenience patients, it also resulted in Some of the most impacted industries
substantial financial losses for the hospital. After this in- 5,000

PER ORGANISATION
WEEKLY ATTACKS
cident, AIIMS strengthened its network by switching to 4,000
a dedicated and secure local area network, among other 3,000
2,000
security measures. Six months later, when another mal-
1,000
ware attack was mounted, it was thwarted. 0

HEALTHCARE

MILITARY

LEGAL

BANKING
UTILITIES

ISP/MSP
EDUCATION/
RESEARCH
GOVERNMENT/

MANUFACTURING

WHOLESALE
COMMUNICATIONS
INSURANCE/

FINANCE/

RETAIL/
This isn’t an isolated incident. Such instances are
rising across both government and private enterpris-
es. Data from Indian Computer Emergency Response
Team (CERT-In) reveals that India Inc. encountered
nearly 1.4 million cyberattacks in 2022, and among
these, attacks on cloud systems were the highest.
68 | “With the adoption of digital technologies, critical in- ISP INTERNET SERVICE PROVIDER;
frastructure systems are no longer air-gapped, expos- MSP MANAGED SERVICE PROVIDER
ing them to significant cyber vulnerabilities. This shift SOURCE THREAT INTELLIGENCE REPORT INDIA–CHECK POINT
has become particularly evident due to the increased
reliance on digital solutions, virtualisation of govern-
ment and citizen services, and the rise of remote work-
forces,” says Samir Kumar Mishra, Director of Security
5.1
PER CENT
39.93
PER CENT
Business at Cisco India & SAARC. ESTIMATED CAGR OF THE ESTIMATED CAGR OF CLOUD
Incidentally, attacks on cloud-based networks per GLOBAL CLOUD SECURITY SECURITY SOFTWARE
SOFTWARE MARKET MARKET IN INDIA BETWEEN
organisation has increased by 48 per cent between 2021 BETWEEN 2022 AND 2028 2023 AND 2028
and 2022, per data from cybersecurity solutions pro-
SOURCE IMARC GROUP
vider Check Point Software Technologies. As organisa-
tions grapple with the rising complexity of managing
security across multiple environments, and struggle to
detect and respond to emerging threats that span on-
premise and other cloud set-ups, security is emerging Chief Digital Officer & Head of Applications & Cyber-
as a top priority. Consequently, the global cloud secu- security at data centre service provider Yotta Data Ser-
rity software market—that was worth $29.3 billion in vices. Around 98 per cent of organisations globally now
2022—is expected to reach $39.3 billion by 2028, per utilise some form of cloud-based tech, while many have
market research firm IMARC Group. Revenues of In- adopted multi-cloud deployments from multiple cloud
dia’s cloud market are also expected to clock $25.39 service providers. The massive adoption of the cloud
million in 2023, and reach $136.20 million by 2028. environment has also given rise to Shadow IT, where
employees or departments use hardware or software
BUT WHY THE CLOUD? from external sources without the knowledge of the
As businesses increasingly adopt cloud-based solu- IT or security group of the organisation. This creates a
tions, cyber criminals—who are constantly looking vacuum, where the responsibility of managing security
for new vulnerabilities to exploit—are finding it easier within organisations is not clearly defined.
to engineer data breaches, explains Rajesh Garg, EVP, “Cloud infrastructure is inherently complex; that

Business Today 20 August 2023


A CLOUD SAFETY AUDIT
Phishing attacks THE MOST Denial-of-
PREVALENT service
attacks
TECHNIQUES
Data breaches
USED IN CLOUD Account
ATTACKS... hijacking
Ransomware/
malware attacks

Implement strong Use cloud


authentication security solutions
and access and encryption | 69
control measures

Keep software up to Monitor cloud


date and implement ...AND activity for suspicious
security patches MEASURES THAT behaviour
CAN PREVENT
Deploy a robust CLOUD SECURITY Spread awareness of
and tested incident standard cybersecurity
response plan
BREACHES measures
SOURCE INDUSTRY, BT RESEARCH

increases manifold with the addition of hybrid and this doesn’t mean the cloud isn’t secure. It is usually as
multiple-cloud models,” says Atul Gupta, Partner and vulnerable or as secure as on-premise infrastructure.
Head of Digital Trust and Cyber Security Services at What really makes a difference is the cybersecurity
KPMG in India. “This makes it difficult for organisa- frameworks deployed to protect and prevent these sys-
tions to identify and address vulnerabilities in their tems against attacks.
environments, leaving them more vulnerable.”
This has created the notion that cloud systems are UNRAVELLING THE ATTACKS
less secure. Not only that, once bad actors identify a Primarily motivated by financial gain, recognition
vulnerability, they deploy various strategies to exploit and visibility, espionage, geopolitical reasons, etc.,
it and gain unauthorised access to one or many ac- cyber intruders usually target industries that have
counts/systems, from where they can move laterally large-scale manufacturing or sales operations, or
within the complete cloud environment. This allows those that deal with sensitive personal information,
them to access critical accounts, services and data. But such as hospitals and financial services firms, or those

Business Today 20 August 2023


TECH CLOUD SECURITY

that run critical infrastructure, such as power plants, after the weakest link in the chain, normally a human,
and transmission and distribution companies, among by launching multiple social engineering attacks—
others. “For now, private sector banks, healthcare and which manipulate an individual into divulging sensi-
consumer product industries are the most commonly tive information, such as passwords, access codes, etc.
targeted since they are the early adopters of cloud,” Phishing is another tactic where bad actors hoodwink
says Chintan Matalia, Partner at Deloitte India. users into clicking on malicious links or attachments,
“Earlier, these sectors were unwilling to utilise which can then be further exploited to infect a system.
clouds for their essential data assets due to control is- “The attacker will employ tactics such as phishing, or
sues. But now, even these industries are moving to the try to get credentials through brute force attacks to
cloud,” says Anshuman Sharma, Associate Director unlawfully access user accounts, so they can access
CSIRT & Investigative Response, APJ at Verizon Busi- [an employee’s] mobile or hack it, and then imperson-
ness. By targeting financial services firms, cyber crim- ate [that individual] to create issues,” says Huzefa
inals aim to steal sensitive customer information, fi- Motiwala, Director for Systems Engineering, India and
nancial records and transaction data to commit fraud, SAARC at Palo Alto Networks. Brute force attack uses
initiate unauthorised transactions, or demand ransom trial and error to crack passwords, login credentials
to restore the data and services they have impacted. and encryption keys.
On the other hand, healthcare data can be used to Another common method used by cyber criminals
gain access to personal health information, which can is through misconfiguration. This refers to improper or
then be used for identity theft, insurance fraud, or inadequate set-up of cloud services, resources and se-

THE PROTECTION GAME


Global cloud security Indian cloud security
software market software market

2022
29.3 25.39
Market size ($ billion) Market size ($ million)
2023

2028
39.3 136.2 2028

ALL FIGURES ARE ESTIMATES; SOURCE IMARC GROUP

even be sold on the dark web. E-commerce platforms curity settings, which occurs when cloud environments
and retailers are also often targeted to access customer are not configured according to security guidelines.
payment information, including credit and debit card Even poorly secured interfaces and APIs provided by
details, etc. Often, this data is sold on the dark web, cloud service providers can be exploited by cyber crimi-
from where people can buy it to perpetrate more finan- nals to gain unauthorised access and manipulate cloud
cial crimes. Such breaches can lead to financial losses resources. Denial of service attacks (DoS) is another
for the business as well as its customers, reputational method where malicious attempts are made to disrupt
damage, and loss of trust among customers. the normal functioning of a computer system, network,
Cyber criminals use various methods to gain unau- or online service by overwhelming it with a large volume
thorised access to cloud accounts. “Most attackers per- of traffic or requests, rendering it inaccessible to users.
form extensive reconnaissance, searching for leaked Both government and private entities need to be
credentials, default or weak passwords, misconfigura- wary of these techniques used by attackers. “Addition-
tions, and human errors,” says Anand Trivedi, Head of ally, insider threats and third-party vendors are a criti-
APAC at cyber security services provider CyberProof, cal part of the network today, and must be considered
a UST company. Cyber attackers usually attempt to go when planning defences,” adds Trivedi of CyberProof.

Business Today 20 August 2023


SECURING THE CLOUD 700+ clients spanning large- and mid-market enter-
Enterprises should focus on fundamental security prises across sectors. The company has deployed a
policies and procedures necessary to protect their sys- full-fledged security information and event manage-
tems. “To begin with, a configuration management da- ment solution that automates the complete remedia-
tabase is imperative, with visibility into who has access tion process. “Our network analytics and intelligence
to what and whether access is being monitored and au- platform analyses 25 million traffic-flow records
dited,” says Anant Adya, EVP of Infosys Cobalt, a group from around the world every minute. This enables us
within Infosys that helps businesses with their cloud- to proactively detect and prevent approximately 2.6
led transformation. Running vulnerability scans and million threats per day, globally,” says Rajesh Awasthi,
developing a plan to address those vulnerabilities is VP and Global Head of Managed Hosting and Cloud
also critical, along with identifying end-of-life/end-of- at Tata Communications. Experts also emphasise the
support technologies. need to keep cloud infrastructure, applications, and
“Another crucial approach is the adoption of a ze- systems up to date with the latest security patches to
ro-trust model. The model... requires explicit verifi- avoid any breach.
cation of all relevant factors before granting access,”
says Ranganath Sadasiva, CTO at enterprise IT solu- IS INDIA PREPARED?
tions provider HPE India. The model involves imple- A lack of awareness among enterprises plays an in-
menting the principle of least privilege, risk-based tegral role in companies not deploying sufficient
authentication built on network segmentation, con- security measures for their IT systems. Sundar Bala-
subramanian, MD of Check Point Software Tech-
nologies, India & SAARC says, “Limited awareness,
MONEY budget constraints, misaligned priorities, trust
MATTERS concerns, and compliance requirements are some
potential reasons for companies hesitating to invest
Average spending on cloud in cloud security.” He adds that raising awareness
security in India per annum among companies around cloud security risks, offer- | 71
ing cost-effective solutions, building trust in service
Large-cap $1 million- providers, and ensuring compliance with regulations
companies 5 million
are crucial.
$100,000- The lack of a data protection law also hampers cloud
SMEs
1 million security. Amit Jaju, Senior MD of Ankura Consulting
Group (India) that helps firms mitigate the risks asso-
$50,000- ciated with cloud computing, estimates that the “aver-
Start-ups
100,000
age spending on cloud security in India among large-
SOURCE ANKURA TECHNOLOGIES
cap companies, SMEs and start-ups ranges from $1-5
million, $100,000-$1 million, and $50,000-$100,000,
respectively.” Jaju adds that it can be difficult for com-
panies to know what they need to do to protect their
tinuous monitoring for signs of attacks, and active data when there are no clear regulations and guide-
defence mechanisms. lines. “This can lead to complacency and a lack of in-
Businesses should also conduct regular security vestment in security measures.”
assessments and penetration tests to identify vulner- However, recent advisories by regulators and gov-
abilities. “These tests simulate real-world attack sce- ernment agencies have reiterated the need to deploy
narios and help organisations identify and remediate robust cybersecurity measures and incident response
weaknesses proactively,” says Monisha Oberoi, Asia systems for everyone from mainstream organisations
Pacific Security Services Leader at IBM Consulting. In to emerging fintech companies, start-ups and SMEs.
addition, maintaining continuous monitoring of cloud Whatever the reasons, it is only by adopting a com-
environments and leveraging threat intelligence feeds prehensive cybersecurity approach that organisations
to stay informed about emerging threats and attack in India can mitigate risks, safeguard sensitive data,
techniques also enables proactive threat detection and and ensure the resilience of their digital infrastructure
response, she adds. in the face of an expanding threat landscape.
Having a robust security framework is advisable.
Take for instance Tata Communications that has over @nidhisingal

Business Today 20 August 2023


DESPITE THE RECENT ANNOUNCEMENT OF A
NEW ENABLING POLICY, THE INDIAN SPACE TECHNOLOGY
ECOSYSTEM MAY REQUIRE FURTHER INTERVENTIONS TO
CONQUER NEW FRONTIERS
BY MANISH PANT

ILLUSTRATION BY NILANJAN DAS


POLICY SPACE EXPLORATION

wo days after the the Indian Space Research Organisation or Isro). It’s
country launched its heartening to note that it has been extended to pri-
vate players as well,” says Pawan Kumar Chandana,
Chandrayaan-3 mis- Co-founder & CEO of the Kondapur, Telangana-
sion to explore the based spacetech firm Skyroot Aerospace. Bengaluru-
lunar surface, the GST headquartered space situational awareness (SSA)
Council, in a surprise firm Digantara Research & Technologies, which
recently raised an additional $10 million in funding,
announcement, ex- called the move “transformative”. “By eliminating
empted private launch this tax barrier, the government has demonstrated
service companies its commitment to fostering innovation and growth
from paying GST if within the space tech sector,” says Co-founder &
they launched satel- CEO Anirudh Sharma.
In April this year, the Cabinet Committee on
lites into space using Security (CCS) approved the Indian Space Policy,
their launch vehicles 2023. While promoting the role to be played by
or rockets. Welcoming the an- the private sector, the policy aims to augment the
nouncement, Lt Gen. (Retd) Anil country’s space capabilities; enable, encourage and
develop a flourishing commercial presence in space;
Kumar Bhatt, Director General of
use space as a driver of technology development and
Indian Space Association (ISpA), derive benefits in allied areas; pursue international
the country’s apex industry body, relations; and create an ecosystem for effective
tells Business Today that this will implementation of space applications among all
76 | stakeholders. Moin S.P.M., Co-founder & COO of
definitely incentivise the nation’s
Chennai-based launch vehicle maker AgniKul Cos-
space industry and help mos, believes the policy will give a fillip to research
in its growth. “We hope this is and development (R&D) in emerging areas such as
made available across all satellite launch vehicles, space tourism, satellite servicing and
service domains, including space-based applications for climate change, disaster
applications.” management, and other societal needs. “This will
encourage India’s private players on the whole to be a
part of future global leaders in the space sector.”
The opening of the Indian space sector to private
Space technology start-ups in the country, cur- entities in 2020 is beginning to bear fruit. The sector
rently around 150, are over the moon hearing the news. has secured $62 million in funding in the first half of
Skyroot Aerospace, which launched India’s first pri- 2023, a 60 per cent increase over the corresponding
vately built rocket into space in November 2022, hails period last year. In 2022, it attracted $112 million in
the move as a historic one towards a more level playing funding, a growth of 22 per cent over 2021. Over the
field. “Previously this [exemption] was only available past few years, despite the current funding winter,
to New Space India Ltd (NSIL, the commercial arm of India’s space technology industry has expanded

$8 BILLION
The current size of the Indian space market, which
has grown at a CAGR of 4 per cent in the past few
years compared to 2 per cent globally, as per a
report by global consultancy Arthur D. Little

Business Today 20 August 2023


INDIA’S
SPACE
at a remarkable pace. “As a result of
government initiatives to support local
ODYSSEY industry perspective, it is not even
tapped. Imagine if somebody can pro-
entrepreneurs and the opening up of The CCS cleared vide better visibility and transparency
the space market to private operators, the Indian Space not only for objects in space but also for
the industry has seen a lot of growth,” Policy 2023 in objects on the earth, that will be a huge
says Neha Singh, Co-founder of market April to facilitate, thing,” he says.
intelligence platform Tracxn. A report stimulate Therefore, the industry has long ad-
and develop
by global consultancy Arthur D. Little a flourishing vocated for relaxing FDI norms, as the
endorses Singh’s view. “India’s current commercial current framework is often ambiguous
space market is around $8 billion in size, presence in the and confusing. Ranjana Kaul, Partner
and has grown at a CAGR of 4 per cent global space at New Delhi-based law firm Dua As-
in the past few years compared to 2 per market sociates, describes this as a “generic
cent globally,” says the report. demand”. “FDI has been allowed for
Although this is encouraging, it may India also joined setting up satellite systems for 23 years.
be necessary to take more enabling the Artemis It used to be 74 per cent and then during
measures before the companies com- Accords, an the launch of the Make in India pro-
international
peting for India’s spacetech pie can be commitment led
gramme in 2018 it was overnight made
successfully launched into the next by the US, to return 100 per cent, subject to sectoral guide-
growth orbit. But space is a cruel place humans to the lines. Those guidelines say that within
where failure is not an option unless moon by 2025 five years, you have to bring it down to
entities involved have government 74 per cent. So, whenever anyone says
backing (as is the case with most global For India’s FDI should be allowed, the question
space agencies), or well-capitalised, like spacetech industry that needs to be asked is which precise
Elon Musk’s SpaceX. This justifies the to be competitive point are they looking for? That’s the | 77
relaxing of FDI regulations for the sec- on the global story on FDI.”
tor, in addition to the incentives already stage, the Space
The good news is that policymak-
Activity Bill must
provided by India, say experts. be approved ers are aware of the difficulties private
spacetech companies have in attracting
funding and are actively working on
To encourage
FDI IN THE private investment, a solution. “We realised that many of
FINAL FRONTIER the government the start-ups are facing difficulties in
Before 2030, India’s spacetech ecosys- has also exempted raising funding, while there’s an interest
tem will produce multiple unicorns in private launch among foreign investors to invest in
multiple segments, predicts an early service companies them. In less than a year, we have cov-
investor in the domain. “I am convinced from paying GST ered major ground in terms of a revised
when they launch
that we will have at least three to four satellites
[FDI] policy draft that strikes a very
unicorns emerging in India’s spacetech fine balance between the needs of our
industry in another five years,” says start-ups getting funding and the needs
The country has
Ravinder Pal Singh, Partner at venture over 400 private of foreign companies that are [setting up
capital fund Kalaari Capital. Singh led space companies, shop] in India, while also protecting the
the fund’s investments in spacetech in- the fifth-highest interests of India’s nascent private sec-
frastructure firm Digantara, which was globally; in tor,” says Pawan Goenka, Chairperson
among the first start-ups to successfully 2022-23, these of the Indian National Space Promotion
demonstrate its proof of concept in 2022. companies had and Authorisation Centre (IN-SPACe),
raised $210.6
The growth potential of the sector the single window nodal agency for
million in funding,
is immense. In the past 10 years, nearly up 29.12 per cent authorising, promoting and regulating
$27 billion in investments were made from a year ago private players in the space sector. He
globally in certain segments of the adds that the revised FDI policy draft
space sector, which is now worth close is being approved and will be released
to $4 trillion, according to Singh. “If soon. Partially echoing Kaul on foreign
you look at space from the insurance investment, Goenka says this is much

Business Today 20 August 2023


POLICY SPACE EXPLORATION

needed because there are no clear guidelines on FDI


despite the sector’s enormous growth potential. “A
liberal FDI policy in the space sector will definitely
help in increasing the access to capital for the Indian
spacetech start-ups, which will open more opportu-
nities for collaboration and growth in the sector in
the coming years.”
In addition, India’s spacefaring potential is wide-
ly acknowledged globally because of the country’s
demographic dividend and highly trained work-
force. Elizebeth Varghese, People in Space-Leader at
“We must find Deloitte and author of the best-seller Stellar
ways to deliver Singularity: Navigating the Spacefaring Economy,
on-ground says, “The new [space] policy will allow FDI in three
different kinds of activities: satellite establishment
infrastructure and operations, launch vehicle and manufacturing,
and connectivity and subsystem manufacturing.” And this needs to
to millions at low be sped up through a supportive FDI mechanism, or
cost” else the country risks losing some of the benefits it
has gained on the international stage.
“At one [point in] time, we had about a 2 per cent
SREEDHARA share of the international commercial space launch
PANICKER SOMANATH market. But then [Elon] Musk introduced his reus-
78 | CHAIRPERSON, ISRO; AND SECRETARY IN THE
DEPARTMENT OF SPACE, AT AN EVENT able Falcon 9 rocket, bringing down the cost of a
commercial space launch significantly. India is no
longer the cheapest in the market,” says Kaul.
In a first-of-its-kind move, Isro will transfer the
technology of the Small Satellite Launch Vehicle
(SSLV) it developed to the private sector to power
low-cost launches, mitigating the high cost of its
time-tested workhorse, the Polar Satellite Launch
Vehicle (PSLV). The private sector will be the
recipient of this major technology transfer through
a competitive bidding process. Since Isro has spent
years and hundreds of crores of rupees to develop
various technologies, making them available to the
private sector is a “big deal”. Goenka says this will
be a “big enabler”. Reiterating that the progress
“A liberal FDI policy in the wouldn’t have been achieved without the national
space agency’s co-operation, he calls Isro “essential
space sector will definitely to the private space industry’s advancement.”
help in increasing the
access to capital for Indian
spacetech start-ups, which PROPELLING INDIAN
will open more opportunities ACTIVITY IN SPACE
for growth in the sector in Finally, a Space Activity Act may need to be enacted
the coming years” to bring Indian laws in line with global frameworks
for space travel and exploration. In this regard, the
government had put up a Space Activity Bill draft for
PAWAN GOENKA public comments in 2017. However, it was soon for-
CHAIRPERSON, IN-SPACe gotten until three years ago, when the government

Business Today 20 August 2023


decided to open up the space sector to
the private sector. Kaul, who is critical
of the way the old Bill was framed, be-
lieves that any draft legislation should
be thoroughly thought through, as
space exploration is already a highly
regulated industry. “When companies
that have been suppliers to Isro since

MOONSHOT 1972 are governed under the normative


laws of the country, subject to special
terms of the contract, sectoral guide-
The millions of TV, laptop barely been covered by lines and so forth, how could it pos-
and smartphone screens earlier missions. A passive sibly have been contemplated by the
across India that are usu- laser retroreflector array drafters that the new space companies
ally airing news, entertain- from Nasa is also included would be governed under a different,
ment or cricket matches, in the payload and will be rather burdensome, legal regime and
were unexpectedly tuned used in lunar laser ranging law? Are the existing players going to
in to watch the launch studies.
be happy to be under this?”
of the Chandrayaan-3 Taking lessons from
As Indian businesses globalise,
lunar mission on July 14. the failure of the Chan-
local laws may need to match interna-
Meanwhile, in restaurants drayaan-2, Isro has this
across Delhi NCR, patrons time performed rigorous
tional norms. For instance, interna-
and servers alike broke soft-landing tests on an tional aircraft lessors cannot immedi-
into loud applause to cel- artificial lunar surface ately recover their assets if an airline
in India goes bankrupt since India has | 79
ebrate the moment space located in Ullarthi Kaval
agency Indian Space village in Karnataka’s not joined the Cape Town Convention
Research Organisation’s Chitradurga district. and Protocol (CTCP). Start-up found-
heaviest rocket LVM3 The superfine moon soil ers see the implementation of the Bill
successfully lifted off from was created by crushing as complementing the space policy.
the iconic spaceport at anorthosite rocks sourced “An early clearance of the Space Activ-
Sriharikota. from Tamil Nadu. The mis- ity Bill will complement the Space
Described as a follow- sion is expected to touch Law but also open up the scope for
on mission to Chan- down at the South Pole on unlimited innovation-led home-grown
drayaan-2, it seeks to August 23. start-ups to be launched,” says Suyash
demonstrate the country’s A successful mission Singh, CEO & Co-founder of Benga-
end-to-end capability in will make India the fourth luru-based satellite maker GalaxEye
safe landing and roving nation after the US, China Space. Arindrajit Chowdhury, CEO of
on the lunar surface. The and Russia to have safely space factory start-up Inspecity, also
propulsion module will landed and roved on the believes that an early passage of the
bear the lander and the lunar surface. At `615 Bill will benefit the fledgeling industry
rover up to 100 km of the crore—a little over $75
in many ways. “The Bill will pave the
lunar orbit. The probe million—Isro has again
way forward for any actor in the space
will perform experiments developed a mission on
community to develop technologies
to measure the thermal a shoe-string budget. As
conductivity and temper- Isro Chief Sridhar Panick-
with the proper authorisation and
ature, seismicity, plasma er Somanath said, “Con- frameworks, without being concerned
density and elemental gratulations India! Chan- about the legalities of the action!”
composition around the drayaan-3 has started its Besides, Deloitte’s Varghese be-
landing site on the moon’s journey towards Moon.” lieves a space activity law will provide
South Pole, which has — Manish Pant a solid foundation for more companies
entering the sector. “Innovation
thrives when companies and entities
feel protected, and understand risks

Business Today 20 August 2023


THE SPACE ECOSYSTEM
It’s a little big thing, and it’s growing

Nations Commercial Global space No. of payloads


operating in space revenue investment deployed in

SOURCE SPACE FOUNDATION ANNUAL REPORT, 2022; SPACE CAPITAL


space in 2023 in 2021 since 2013 2022

91
5% rise year-
$362
BILLION
$272.3
BILLION
2,354
36% increase
on-year (YoY) 6% increase YoY AS OF 2022 YoY

Size of the global Global govt space Global launch Average number
space economy programme attempts of payloads per
in 2020 spending in 2021 in 2022 launch in 2022

80 | $469
BILLION
$107
BILLION
186
28%
12.7
6%
9% increase YoY 19% increase YoY increase YoY growth YoY

$1
TRILLION
LIKELY SIZE OF THE GLOBAL SPACE ECONOMY BY
2040 COMPARED TO $469 BILLION IN 2020, AS PER
MORGAN STANLEY’S PROJECTION

COUNTING STARS KEEP THE DOUGH COMING


India has seen a sharp rise in the number Some of the well-funded spacetech start-ups
of spacetech start-ups in recent years in the country
80 YEAR OF FOUNDING IN
(FUNDING IN $ MILLION)

120 BRACKETS; FIGURES ARE TOTAL


100 70
FUNDING SINCE INCEPTION;
(NO. OF SPACETECH

100 60 DATA TILL H1FY24


START-UPS)

80 50 SOURCE BT
T RESEARCH

60 40
47
30
40
20
20 11 10
7
0 0
Pixxel (2019)

Aerospace (2018)

Space (2020)
Skyroot

AgniKul

Technologies (2018)

Aerospace (2015)

GalaxEye

Inspecity (2022)
Digantara Research &

Bellatrix
Cosmos (2017)

Dhruva Space (2012)

2019 2020 2021 2022*

*OVER 100; SOURCE: EY, BT RESEARCH

GRAPHICS BY RAHUL SHARMA

Business Today 20 August 2023


and how things work. The intention of any space
Bill is not necessarily to regulate and make things
onerous, but to provide security and guardrails
around how things can be done effectively,” says
Varghese. That’s really important to keep in mind
when we are looking at more foreign companies
wishing to join India’s space economy, leverage
Indian innovation and talent, and use more Indian
talent and resources in things like [space] research
and launches,” she adds.
Goenka says that the Space Activity Bill will
follow once the FDI norms are finalised since the
operating document is part of the space policy.
“The draft [Space Activity] Bill is already there. The
2017 draft Bill is not relevant anymore because a lot
has changed since then. Therefore, a new draft Bill
ARTEMIS ACCORDS has been made, which is consistent with where we
are today. Bills take time, and the new draft will go
TO THE MOON through a process,” he adds.
Meanwhile, Sreedhara Panicker Somanath,
& BACK Chairperson of Isro and Secretary in the Depart-
ment of Space, has one piece of advice for private
In June, India became the 27th signatory companies entering the space. In a country where
to the Artemis Accords; expect further freebies are suddenly a hot topic, spacetech compa- | 81
dialogue and agreements to establish a nies must develop business models that make their
comprehensive and inclusive framework solutions affordable to millions. “We must find
for space exploration ways to deliver on-ground infrastructure and con-
nectivity to millions at low cost,” he recently said
at an industry gathering. In agreement, Varghese
Increased technological collaboration explains, “At the start of the internet economy,
between India and the US to help the companies had a separate internet division. Eventu-
global space economy’s growth through ally, they had to consolidate. The space sector is at a
innovation, talent and low-cost Indian similar inflection point, where every company will
technology become a space company by harnessing some of the
technologies. Whether it’s healthcare, finance, or
Space industry collaboration with the US insurance, we are going to see an impact on how this
may improve satellite manufacturing, space economy is unfolding.”
launches and services Arthur D. Little says that as against the estimate
of India’s space economy touching $40 billion by
2040, it can potentially be worth $100 billion.
With 381 satellite launches for 34
In India’s case, this is likely to hold true. In June,
countries already under its belt, India’s
during Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s state visit to
track record as a low-cost yet high- the US, India became the 27th signatory to the non-
technology launch hub will get further binding Artemis Accords, a multilateral agreement
reinforced between the US and other countries to return hu-
mans to the moon by 2025. And as the country preps
Given India’s young, technologically to send its first human mission into space through
trained workforce, spacetech applicat- its low-cost Gaganyaan mission, the final frontier
ions are projected to increase, leading to may well be within reach.
more consumer-based innovation
@manishpant22
SOURCE DELOITTE, BT
T RESEARCH

Business Today 20 August 2023


SALES OF PAINKILLERS
HAVE SEEN DOUBLE-
DIGIT GROWTH OVER THE
PAST TWO YEARS AFTER
STAGNATING DURING
COVID-19. WILL THE
STRONG RUN CONTINUE?
BY NEETU CHANDRA SHARMA
ILLUSTRATION BY ANIRBAN GHOSH
PHARMA PAINKILLERS

OR BHARAT BHUSHAN Mehta, an avid tennis says Chaudhary.


and badminton player even at 79, disaster As a class, analgesics, or pain reliev-
struck during a tennis match about two ers, have consistently grown at 4-18
years ago when the Covid-19 pandemic per cent. Analgesics can be OTC or
was on the wane. Attempting a smash, he require a prescription. Analgesics as a
sprained his shoulder badly. Mehta, who class rank at No. 7 by sales in the Indian
lived for the thrill of the game, tried to pharmaceuticals market after cardiac
ignore the injury, popping pills and consult- medications, anti-infectives, gastroin-
ing some neighbourhood doctors. Nothing testinal drugs, diabetes pills, respira-
eased the pain, but he was not queuing up at tory treatments and even vitamins (not
hospitals. necessarily in that order).
Finally, in February 2022, when hospitals had reduced the num- Pharmarack, a technology platform
ber of Covid-19 beds and opened their doors to general patients, and software solution designed to
Mehta consulted a specialist. The diagnosis: Rotator cuff tear. Mehta streamline and digitalise the pharma-
was soon in hospital for arthroscopic repair surgery and recovered. ceutical supply chain, says the moving
Mehta and others like him, who began getting back into physically annual total (MAT) or the sales data
active life with a vengeance after months of Covid-19 lockdowns and over a rolling 12-month period, was
physical distancing, are unwittingly contributing to double-digit `13,071 crore in April 2023 for painkill-
growth in sales of pain medications, analgesics, muscle relaxants, ers and analgesics. The MAT for April
over-the-counter (OTC) drugs, and even implants. 2019, or just a year before Covid-19 was
Dr Deepak Chaudhary, Senior Director and Head of the Depart- declared a pandemic, was `8,894 crore.
ment, Arthroscopy and Sports Medicine at New Delhi’s BLK-Max The MAT for the muscle relaxants
Super Speciality Hospital, who operated on Mehta, says even minor segment has grown by 20.75 per cent
84 | trauma can cause such muscle tears. The rotator cuff is a group of since 2019, to `355 crore in April 2023
four muscles on each shoulder joint. (from `294 crore).
“As individuals age, these muscles can weaken due to wear and Sheetal Sapale, Vice President-Com-
tear, and even minor or no trauma can cause tears. Many patients mercial at Pharmarack AWACS, says
with shoulder pain fail to recognise the seriousness of their condi- the pain market has shown a robust
tion and resort to self-medication,” says Chaudhary. five-year CAGR of 10 per cent.
It’s not just people getting back to an active life. Many have start- “Muscle relaxants, local anaesthet-
ed lifting weights at home or taking up sports to get fit. Then many ics, and anti-inflammatory drugs,
had to postpone elective surgeries because hospitals were focussed which are relevant for sports-related
on the pandemic and were careful about admitting general cases. injuries, have also demonstrated prom-
ising growth in the same period. This
growth comes after a slowdown during
THE MARKET GAINS FROM THE PAIN the Covid-19 pandemic,” says Sapale.
Manufacturers of pain management drugs are pumped up and Going by the CAGR or compounded
swaggering around, and why not? They are reporting robust double- annual growth rate of companies
digit growth in sales over the past two years, even as the size of the dominant in the pain market over
market grows. the past five years, Ipca Laboratories
Their offerings range from pills and sprays to lotions, ointments, tops, followed by Sun Pharmaceutical
and implants. An example is Smith+Nephew’s Regeneten Bioinduc- Industries Ltd, GlaxoSmithKline Phar-
tive implant, launched in India on July 11 this year. Smith+Nephew maceuticals (GSK), Zydus Lifesciences
reckons rotator cuff injuries in India added up to at least 150,000 cas- and Micro Labs.
es in 2022, and just 28,000 of these opted for repairs. The company Ipca Labs reported a CAGR of 9.4
estimates that rotator cuff repair cases will rise to 33,000 in 2023 per cent, and Sun Pharma 8.8 per cent.
and 39,000 in 2024, a year-on-year growth of 15 per cent. Ipca’s sales grew by 23 per cent last
“The number of patients requiring such surgeries is increasing year, and Sun Pharma’s by 14 per cent.
as patient awareness and knowledge about shoulder pain improve GSK reported a CAGR of 4.3 per cent,
after the pandemic. For people now more active in sports and gyms, followed closely by Zydus with 4.2 per
many surgeries could be avoided if patients seek treatment earlier,” cent and Micro Labs with 3.9 per cent.

Business Today 20 August 2023


The CAGR numbers relate to the
painkillers businesses of these compa-
nies in the period 2019-2023.
Similarly, for companies like Cipla
with a significant pain management
portfolio through Cipla Health—a
wholly-owned subsidiary of Cipla
Ltd—sales in the pain market have
shown moderate growth, with a CAGR
of 2.1 per cent over the past five years.
Shivam Puri, CEO of Cipla Health,
says, “We have witnessed signifi-
cant growth in demand for pain care
products owing to rising cases of body
pain due to the pandemic-induced sed-
PHOTO BY HARDIK CHHABRA entary lifestyle. Our pain management
BOOM TIME FOR BALM The moving annual total of painkillers gel, Omnigel, led the growth in this
and analgesics has increased to `13,071 crore in April 2023 from segment by outgrowing the category
`8,894 crore in April 2019, just a year before Covid-19 by 1.2x.”
Puri says that the household pen-

IN GOOD HEALTH
etration of the category has increased,
and the company expects the market
Demand for pain management and to grow further as consumers move
muscle relaxants surged due to towards newer ways of treating their | 85
post-Covid-19 stress and anxiety pain. “Understanding consumer
after lack of physical activity dur- needs and introducing innovations
ing the lockdowns based on deep-rooted insights will be
the key to growing further in this seg-
ment,” he adds.
Lingering symptoms of Covid-19, Meanwhile, Dr. Reddy’s Labora-
such as body aches and fatigue, tories—another manufacturer of
have also led people to seek relief pain management drugs—has shown
through pain management and consistent growth in sales, with a surge
muscle relaxants of 19 per cent last year, which indicates
a positive trend. In February 2022,
People are getting back to exercis- Dr. Reddy’s entered into an exclusive
ing, leading to injuries, which in sales and distribution agreement with
turn has led to an increase in the Novartis India Ltd for the Voveran
use of these medications painkiller range, Calcium range and
Methergine in India.
“Our business in India has con-
The rise of telemedicine during sistently driven strong growth and
the pandemic has made it easier continues to be a significant focus
for people to get prescriptions for market for us. Through this agreement,
these medications we aim to reinforce our portfolio in
pain management and women’s health
Sales are also being boosted by domains,” says M.V. Ramana, CEO–
the fact that hospitals are once Branded Markets (India & Emerging
again doing surgeries like knee and Markets), Dr. Reddy’s.
shoulder replacement following According to a company spokes-
the pandemic person, pain management is a core

Business Today 20 August 2023


PROFIT PILLS
The market for pain relief medicines has shown
a CAGR of 10 per cent in the past five years
therapeutic area for Dr. Reddy’s. “We
14,000
have a significant product portfolio
(MAT IN ` CRORE)

12,000
10,000 in the space. In FY22, we licensed
8,000 the Voveran range, among other
6,000 products…. India is a very strong focus
4,000 area for us. We aspire to break into the
2,000 Top 5 in India. Pain management will
0 continue to play an important role,” the
Jun ’19 Jun ’20 Jun ’21 Jun ’22 Jun ’23
spokesperson says.
NOTE: MAT (MOVING ANNUAL TOTAL) IS TOTAL SALES
FIGURES OF THE PREVIOUS 12 MONTHS
SOURCE PHARMARACK
WHAT SET OFF THE
WAVE OF PAIN?
After the Covid-19 pandemic’s disrup-
FIGHTING FIT tion, people focus more on staying in
Ipca is the leader in India’s pain relief medicines shape, according to a survey of 700
space with a 9.4 per cent market share consumers across 12 cities by Pronto
1,400 Consult, a consulting firm that works
(MAT IN ` CRORE)

1,200 with companies across sectors, includ-


1,000
800
ing healthcare.
600 According to the survey, more than
400 51 per cent of the respondents said
200 health is a priority for them, compared
0 with only 11 per cent in the pre-lock-
Ipca

Torrent

Laboratories
Laboratories
Sun Pharmaceutical
Industries Ltd

GSK

Zydus

Micro Labs

Abbott
Laboratories
Alkem
Laboratories

Pharmaceuticals

Janssen
Lifesciences

Dr. Reddy's

Pharmaceuticals

down era. The study found that chronic


pain, muscle injury, post-surgery
recovery, and sports-related injuries
were the primary reasons for using
muscle relaxants.
“The muscle relaxant market in
JUN ’19 JUN ’20 JUN ’21 JUN ’22 JUN ’23
India is experiencing steady growth
MOVING ANNUAL TOTAL (MAT) IN ` CRORE SOURCE PHARMARACK
due to various factors, such as an
increase in musculoskeletal disorders,
a rising geriatric population, chang-
MEDICINE MARVEL ing lifestyles, and growing awareness
A majority of painkiller sales has come from of healthcare,” says Karishma Shah,
drugs designed to treat mild to moderate pain Founder and Managing Partner of
Pronto Consult.
(MAT IN ` CRORE)

12,000
The survey found that 83 per cent
10,000
8,000
of consumers felt the motivation to
6,000
take a pain- or muscle-related drug
4,000 was to improve their quality of life. The
2,000 researchers studied the bills and found
0 that topical applications were the most
Analgesics

musculoskeletal
products

Drugs for
osteoarthritis

Muscle
relaxants

Local

regulators
Other

anaesthetics

Bone calcium

purchased, with Volini being the most


bought brand across retail stores.
Hari Natarajan, Founder and Man-
aging Partner at Pronto Consult, says
the sports medicine market, driven by
APR ’19 APR ’20 APR ’21 APR ’22 APR ’23 medicines that offer quick relief, has
MOVING ANNUAL TOTAL (MAT) IN ` CRORE SOURCE PHARMARACK been growing at a fast clip.

Business Today 20 August 2023


PHARMA PAINKILLERS

attributed to various factors, with


one notable influence being the post-
“We have witnessed Covid-19 era,” says Chanda.
significant growth in The orthopaedic surgeon says that
demand for pain care many people, locked indoors by the
products owing to rising Covid-19 shutdown, took advice from
physical fitness experts and self-
cases of body pain due to proclaimed experts on YouTube and
the pandemic-induced Facebook. Injuries became common
sedentary lifestyle” because people tried out exercises
SHIVAM PURI without the physical presence of
CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER, coaches. “Consequently, both topical
CIPLA HEALTH LTD application creams and oral medica-
tions experienced a significant rise in
sales,” says Chanda.
The pharmaceuticals industry
has responded quickly, introduc-
ing many new molecules and drug
combinations for topical and oral
“The number of medications and expanding patient
patients requiring such treatment choices.
(arthroscopic repair) Chanda believes that the market
surgeries is increasing as growth is much greater than what
patient awareness about is visible. “Many patients purchase | 87
shoulder pain improves over-the-counter medicines without
after the pandemic” consulting doctors, as the market
demand has become so vast that it
overwhelms the healthcare system.
DR DEEPAK CHAUDHARY
HEAD, DEPARTMENT OF ARTHROSCOPY As a result, the actual number of pa-
AND SPORTS MEDICINE, BLK-MAX tients seeking medical attention may
SUPER SPECIALITY HOSPITAL be underestimated,” he says.
And it is not just the exercise craze
leading to more pain.
Those not caught by the exercise
bug are probably glued for hours to
their smartphones or laptops, playing
computer games or just hooked to
“The growth of the sports medicine market is driven by several social media. Sitting or lying for long
factors, including the increasing prevalence of sports-related inju- periods is bad for your back or hips.
ries, a growing emphasis on physical fitness and sports participation, “The growth in the pain manage-
advancements in sports medicine technology, and a rising awareness ment and muscle relaxant market is
of the importance of injury prevention and management in sports,” undeniable and continues to show
says Natarajan. He adds that the sports medicine market goes immense potential. We may only be
beyond medicines and includes orthopaedic devices, surgical equip- seeing the tip of the iceberg, as this
ment, and performance monitoring devices. upward trajectory is projected to
Dr Debashish Chanda, Lead Consultant-Orthopaedics at CK Birla continue in the foreseeable future,
Hospital in Gurugram, says innovative pain management and mus- redefining the landscape of health-
cle relaxation combinations are also spurring the market growth. care and patient well-being,” says
“Certain companies have even introduced similar products under Chanda.
multiple brand names, recognising the immense potential of this
market. This upward trend in demand for such medications can be @neetu_csharma

Business Today 20 August 2023


ENTERTAINMENT TATA PLAY

TATA PLAY IS COUNTING ON ITS OTT AGGREGATION PLATFORM


BINGE TO BOLSTER ITS FALLING NUMBERS. BUT IT’LL BE A WHILE BEFORE
THE NEW KID IN TOWN CAN STOP THE COMPANY FROM BLEEDING

BY P R E R N A L I D H O O

P H OTO BY M A N DA R D EO D H A R

Business Today 20 August 2023


| 89

READY FOR THE BINGE


Will Tata Play MD and
CEO Harit Nagpal’s
gamble pay off?

Business Today 20 August 2023


ENTERTAINMENT TATA PLAY

Tofler. This is why diversifying into when competition from telcos like
the OTT aggregation model makes Reliance Jio and Airtel, pure play
eminent sense for it. “We started OTT aggregators like OTTplay,
working on this platform about scope video by YuppTV, and OTT-

T three to four years ago. We knew


we had to deliver a different cus-
tomer experience,” says Nagpal.
cum-aggregator platforms like
Amazon Prime Video and Apple
TV+ is intensifying. Even custom-
He adds that Binge’s USP lies in ers’ growing preference for OTTs
making content both discoverable poses a huge risk. “The growing
and affordable, while also comple- popularity of OTT could be a threat
‘TATA SKY Y-ISKO laga dala, toh life menting the company’s DTH to DTH operators in the medium
jinga la la.’ (Once you get Tata Sky, business—that contributes close to long term. With limited product
your life is on the right track). This to 96 percent to its top line. “It is differentiation, the DTH industry
popular jingle from an old Tata charted territory for us because is exposed to intense internal
Sky ad was crucial in powering we have been in the business of competition, and from cable TV
the direct-to-home (DTH) broad- distributing content. Now, if our as well as DD Free Dish,” states a
caster to pole position in the DTH subscribers have started watch- CRISIL Ratings report. It adds that
space. While it has retained the ing on-demand content, then it’s the drop in Tata Play’s active DTH
position with a market share of 33 our job to create a platform that subscriber base is due to industry-
per cent, the new rendition of that gives them the same facility,” wide headwinds and growing
jingle is slightly different; it starts says Nagpal, adding that the firm digital entertainment options.
with Tata Play after the company is confident of bringing more Interestingly, the firm—that has
rebranded itself in January 2022. eyeballs to Binge from outside its been mulling an IPO for the past
In the fast-paced business of primary customer base. “We’ve few years—posted a net loss of `105
90 | entertainment where the battle spent the past two years test- crore in FY23, compared to a net
for dominance is relentless, Tata ing this platform with our DTH profit of `69 crore in FY22.
Play has taken a leap of faith with customers because they would However, Nagpal says, “It is
its over-the-top (OTT) content definitely be more forgiving,” he going to be difficult for a subscriber
aggregation platform Tata Play says. The company had rolled out who wants to watch content to have
Binge, launched for all customers the OTT aggregation service for its subscription relationships with
in October 2022. “It’s both chart- DTH subscribers in 2020. multiple apps”. But even as custom-
ed and uncharted [territory] for Now, as the company embarks ers make do with multiple OTT
us,” Harit Nagpal, MD and CEO on its inevitable transformation, apps for now, it has not been any
of the company, tells BT. T (More on sceptics wonder if it’s a stroke of easier for the company as well. “It
that later.) genius or a perilous folly, especially wasn’t easy to forge relationships
But first, a little background. with each platform because every-
Analysts estimate that while the one wanted to go direct-to-custom-
TV industry’s DTH segment will er and not through an aggregator.
grow by just around 3-4 per cent in WEAK SIGNALS But we knew that in the end, the
the near term, its average revenue Active paid subscriptions of DTH need of the customer would be-
industry continue to decline YoY
per user (ARPU) will grow by 6-7 come supreme,” says Nagpal.
In an era when subscribers
(SUBSCRIBERS IN MILLION)

per cent. According to financial 57


services firm Elara Capital, the 56 can choose from around 60 OTT
56
DTH market will grow only slight- 55 apps, the aggregation space is
55
ly, while a major proportion of fast becoming the new theatre of
54
growth will come from households 54 battle for content broadcasters.
with connected TVs and free-to-air 53 Moreover, the pricing has to be
channels in the next few years. such that consumers get 20-30
52
Further, Tata Play’s income from 2020 2021 2022 apps at the price of three or four
the DTH segment dropped 7 per apps, which is what players like
NET OF INACTIVE/TEMPORARILY
cent, from `4,567 crore in FY22 to SUSPENDED SUBSCRIBERS; Tata Play and OTTplay are trying
`4,240 crore in FY23, per data from SOURCE FICCI-EY to achieve. “Today, everyone from

Business Today 20 August 2023


leading telecom players to pay
TV operators and OTT services
aspire to become future content
gatekeepers,” says Mihir Shah,
VP at media and telecom consul-
tancy Media Partners Asia. OTT
aggregation serves various pur-
poses for different players. While
telcos aggregate OTT services to
retain subscribers and drive data
consumption, OTT platforms
have introduced aggregation to THE PLOT THICKENS
widen their user base. Separately
pay TV operators, which have 1 DTH leader Tata Play 2 As the company
traditionally served as wholesal- posted a net loss of looks to enter the
ers of linear TV, already have an `105 crore for the financial OTT aggregation segment
established prepaid subscription year ended March 2023 as with Tata Play Binge,
relationship with customers. opposed to a net profit of sceptics wonder if it’s a
Despite all that, Shah says that `69 crore in the previous stroke of genius or a
current monetisation through fiscal perilous folly
ads remains limited. “With the
shift in consumer viewing prefer-
ences, OTT aggregation is a natu- 3 While the timing is 4 Competition from
ral transition for these operators right for Tata Play to telcos like Jio and
to retain and expand subscriber diversify into the OTT Airtel, pure-play OTT | 91
ARPU,” he adds. aggregator business, aggregators like OTTplay,
Consequently, the OTT plat- there’s still a long way to go and OTT-cum-aggregator
forms get subscribers without before Tata Play Binge platforms like Amazon
having to spend any money on becomes a strong cash- Prime Video and Apple
acquiring and retaining subscrib- flow generator for it TV+ is already intensifying
ers, which is normally their big-
gest cost. “Now that effort will be
5 Changing customer behaviour in favour of OTT is
made by us, not them,” explains
Nagpal. For him, Binge’s revenue another huge risk. Experts say that the growing
model is simple. “We are com- popularity of OTT platforms could be a threat for DTH
mission agents. We make com- operators in the medium to long run
mission on whatever we sell. We
buy at a certain price and sell it
at a slightly higher price.” Hence,
the margins are also thin. STRONG CONNECTION
According to a Ficci-EY report Connected TVs have seen the highest year-on-year growth
on India’s media and entertain- in all television segments
ment landscape prepared by
140
(HOME SUBSCRIPTIONS

Ashish Pherwani, Media & En-


120
tertainment Leader at EY India,
100
IN MILLION)

long-term success in streaming


80
requires establishing a durable
60
relationship with subscribers.
40
“Nearly all media companies
20
that are active in the direct-to-
0
consumer (DTC) arena today 2020 2021 2022 2025E
are aiming to offer consumers
PAY TV (CABLE + DTH + HITS) FREE TV CONNECTED TV
E ESTIMATE; HITS HEADEND IN THE SKY, AN AGGREGATOR SERVICE FOR TV
CHANNELS; SOURCE EY ESTIMATES
PROFIT PAIN
“Nearly all media Tata Play’s net profit dropped significantly in FY23
companies that 7,000 364 400
are active in 6,000 300
(IN ` CRORE)

(IN ` CRORE)
the direct-to- 5,000
69 69
200

consumer arena 4,000


3,000
100
0
today are now 2,000 -100
aiming to give 1,000
-234
-105.25
-200

consumers a 0
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23
-300

bundled offering
of streaming TOTAL INCOME (LHS) PROFIT/LOSS AFTER TAX (RHS)
SOURCE ACE EQUITY. TOFLER
content and
other services”
ASHISH PHERWANI
MEDIA & ENTERTAINMENT
LEADER, EY INDIA

a bundled offering of streaming one account sign-on, says Shah. payment experience.
content and other services,” the “Consumers can also avail better An example is OTTplay—that
report states, adding that along discounts by purchasing OTT app pivoted last year from being a rec-
with boosting sign-ups and reduc- bundles through an aggregator. ommendation and content discov-
ing churn, bundles allow media Moreover, some recently intro- ery platform to aggregation. The
companies to improve efficiency duced services such as Tata Play platform says that it is solving the
in marketing spends and technol- Binge and Airtel XStream have problem of what to watch through
ogy investment. Pherwani says, blurred the lines between online its recommendation engine, along
“Going forward, media companies video and pay TV, bringing con- with providing a solution to miti-
will fully integrate distinct sumers the best of both services,” gate subscription fatigue. “People
streaming services into one ap- he adds. In that backdrop, the OTT spend over 15 minutes figuring out
plication, creating a true ‘hard’ viewing experience is gradually what to watch, and if they know
bundle of content.” evolving to resemble the pay TV what they want to watch, they
Another challenge that OTT distribution model, familiar in need to figure out which OTT is
aggregators could address is the terms of packaging (bundling of running it,” says Avinash Muda-
subscription fatigue customers linear TV channels combined with liar, Founder of OTTplay. “That’s
face, by allowing users to group OTT packs), a fusion of content something we are solving. So the
multiple subscriptions under search and discovery, and even product-market-fit is definitely

Business Today 20 August 2023


ENTERTAINMENT TATA PLAY

the final value proposition must be segment. The linear TV universe


very attractive for the customer.” will remain comparatively stable
at 166 to 169 million households.
And the pay TV universe will
XPERTS BELIEVE THAT continue to shrink, albeit at a
E Jio will have an
advantage as the
slower pace, to 116 to 119 million
active households by 2025, as the
country’s largest impact of new, paying subscribers
telecom player. Even Tata Play as is expected to be lesser than the
the largest DTH player is well conversion of households from
“With the shift placed to make a mark in the linear TV to connected TV. The
in consumer aggregation space, they add. “DTH report adds that connected TVs
and OTT are two different will exceed 40 million daily active
viewing products and target segments. users by 2025, thereby ending
preferences, OTT goes far deeper. It’s about the monopoly of broadcasters on
aggregation of giving me what I want, where I the large screen. This will lead to
want,” says Pherwani. “It’s a around 30 per cent of the content
OTT services long-term game for the players in consumed on large screens to be
is a natural terms of RoI, but there would be from social, gaming, and digital
transition for break-evens of two to five years channels, among others. Further,
these operators depending on the revenue model.”
Nagpal says it took them and
this creates a major growth op-
portunity for players like Tata Play
to retain and the content platforms some doing and OTTplay. “Right now, there’s
expand subs- to get the revenue model right. a blank canvas as far as OTT [ag-
| 93
criber ARPU” “It’s kind of half settled now. And gregation] is concerned. There are
we’ll get even more perfect as the about 120 million people who are
numbers grow. But it’s not very not on our base,” says Nagpal.
MIHIR SHAH
VICE PRESIDENT, MEDIA different from the kind of model While Binge is expected to bol-
PARTNERS ASIA we have with the broadcasters for ster Tata Play’s slowing revenues,
TV content,” he says. “Every new there’s still a long way to go before
technology is taking shorter to get it becomes a strong cash-flow
adopted as it progresses. But that generator for the company, which
doesn’t mean that the old is gone is hoping that the gamble pays off.
or written off. And new technolo- What gives Nagpal hope is the suc-
there vis-à-vis our competition.” gies will keep coming.” cessful run in the DTH business.
Industry estimates suggest that The challenge of cord-cutting is “We didn’t have any exclusivity [in
the platform is closing about half a also helping the aggregation space. terms of content] in TV, yet we’ve
million subscribers this year. “We’ve seen that it has worked for been the largest for a long time.
Pherwani says the next stage of us. Every person who is cutting The only differentiation was the
evolution will be the bundling of cords can very quickly marry customer experience. We failed
OTT platforms. “Like multi-system OTTplay with their systems,” says less. We recovered fast. And we
operators (MSO) bundle different Mudaliar. “I also see companies made content discovery easier.
broadcasters into packages for making an effort to retain their These are the principles we’re tak-
consumers, these players (OTT customers, but people want to ing to the OTT industry as well,”
aggregators) are doing the same move away from their existing he says. “We don’t know how to
thing from an OTT perspective and DTH connections and consume make content but we know how to
offering them at a much affordable OTT content, and that’s where aggregate it.”
price,” he says. “Telcos have an platforms like us make sense.” Now, whether life turns out to
advantage here because they have Per the Ficci-EY report, be “jinga la la” for Tata Play, only
a far bigger reach. Even platforms revenues from the digital seg- time will tell.
may start bundling with other ment would be `1.5 lakh crore
platforms. What matters is that by 2025, or around twice the TV @PLidhoo

Business Today 20 August 2023


EVEN AS
SMALL-CAP
MUTUAL FUND
SCHEMES SEE
RECORD
INFLOWS WITH
INVESTORS BETTING
BIG ON THE
SEGMENT, SOME
FUND MANAGERS
APPEAR WARY OF
DEPLOYING MORE
MONEY INTO
SMALL-CAP
STOCKS. IS THE
PARTY OVER
FOR THEM?
BY ASHISH RUKHAIYAR
ILLUSTRATION BY ANIRBAN GHOSH

Business Today 20 August 2023


SIZE DOES MATTER

DRIVE IS ALMOST FULL

OK
MARKETS SMALL-CAP FUNDS

and focussed funds witnessed net


outflows during the same period.
Additionally, small-cap funds
received cumulative fresh flows
of slightly more than `29,500
crore in the 12 months till June
2023, which was again much
higher than all other categories of
equity schemes. However, that is
just one side of the story.
At least two major fund hous-
es, Nippon India Mutual Fund
and Tata Mutual Fund, have
stopped accepting fresh lump
sum investments in their respec-
tive small-cap schemes. The rea-
son cited is the huge run-up in the
prices of most small-cap stocks
‘SMALL IS BEAUTIFUL’ or ‘the big- terms of putting more money into that has made their valuations
ger the better’—which one do you such stocks that often encounter li- soar, causing fund managers to
think has the best value? quidity problems during hefty buy worry that they are becoming
Now, imagine the possibility or sell orders. locked in a vicious spiral.
of purchasing a product that has Consider this: While the Sensex
grown to a very large size but still has gained 9.45 per cent so far in A VICIOUS CYCLE
centres around things that are 2023, the S&P BSE SmallCap index Low liquidity is a common prob-
96 | deemed small. has rallied 17.50 per cent through lem for small-cap stocks, making
That’s the realm of small-cap July 17. Interestingly, this comes on it challenging for institutional in-
funds, which invest primarily in the back of a 1.80 per cent fall in the vestors like mutual funds (MFs)
small-cap stocks. Though these small-cap index in 2022, when the to buy large quantities of shares.
stocks are considered small in Sensex rose nearly 4.5 per cent. Even if the required quantity
terms of market capitalisation, This is noteworthy because many is available, a huge order could
such has been the investor appe- market watchers believe that a sharp drive up the price, making the ac-
tite for them that a few funds in increase in the value of small-cap quisition prohibitively expensive.
the segment have become so large stocks indicates that the rally is And, large schemes usually have
that deploying investor money has nearing its end, even though the substantial purchase require-
become a problem, forcing some Indian stock market is currently re- ments. Compared to Tata Small
fund managers to temporarily halt ceiving strong support in the form Cap Fund’s assets under man-
new subscriptions. of inflows from both foreign and do- agement (AUM) of nearly `5,250
To understand why that is mestic institutional investors. crore, Nippon India Small Cap
the case we need to first tackle a Now, let’s talk about small-cap Fund’s AUM is around `32,000
frequently asked question that mutual fund schemes. crore. Both plans are no longer
always surfaces when the bench- The amount of fresh money pour- accepting fresh money through
mark indices scale record highs: ing into these schemes has reached the lump sum route, but they con-
What is the outlook on the small- record highs in the recent past. Ac- tinue to honour current system-
cap universe of stocks, especially cording to data from the Association atic investment plans (SIPs).
when the small-cap barometer of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI), “The step was warranted giv-
has outpaced the benchmarks, the net inflows in small-cap funds hit en the recent sharp rally in the
S&P BSE Sensex and the broader an all-time high of `5,472 crore in small-cap space and increasing
Nifty 50? A bunch of fund manag- June, up from `3,282 crore in May, investor participation through
ers reckon the recent rally and the while popular equity categories like high-ticket investments. We
resulting surge in valuations de- large-cap funds, flexi-cap funds, eq- thought it is in the best long-term
mand that they take a breather in uity-linked savings schemes (ELSS) interest of investors in the fund

Business Today 20 August 2023


RETURNS ROSTER
The small-cap index has given better returns than the bench-
mark BSE Sensex in 2023
for money to arrive in a more cali-
80
brated manner,” says Samir Rachh,
Fund Manager-Equity, Nippon In- 65
dia Mutual Fund. “Small-cap is a

(RETURNS IN PER CENT)


50
comparatively less liquid space and
has high impact cost. In that con- 35
text, the size of the fund does create 20 17.50
its own challenges,” he adds.
5 8.98 9.45
Similarly, Anand Vardarajan,
Business Head-Institutional Cli- -10
-11.23
ents, Banking, Alternate Invest- -25
ments & Product Strategy of Tata 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Asset Management, notes that the -40
fund house’s performance has re- BSE SENSEX BSE SMALLCAP
sulted in robust flows, which have *DATA TILL JULY 17, 2023; SOURCE BSE
increased cash in hand. Unlike
large-cap companies, which typi-
cally have plenty of liquidity, small-
caps can make it tricky to get the Small-cap funds emerged as the highest return-generating
amount needed. “If we still buy, the category of MFs after falling into negative territory in 2022
impact cost goes up and we unwit-
tingly drive up the price,” explains 70
(RETURNS IN PER CENT)

Vardarajan. 60
According to AMFI, the top 100 50
stocks by market cap are consid- 40
98 | ered large-caps, while the following
30
150 are classified as mid-caps. The 20
small-cap market comes next. To 10
put it differently, the largest stock
0
that a small-cap fund could invest in 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
-10
would be the 251st largest company
in terms of market capitalisation, in EQUITY: FLEXI-CAP EQUITY: LARGE-CAP EQUITY: MID-CAP
the overall list of listed firms. EQUITY: SMALL-CAP EQUITY: LARGE- & MID-CAP
“The issue that a lot of large EQUITY: VALUE-ORIENTED EQUITY: MULTI-CAP
small-cap funds face is daily liquid- *YTD AS ON JULY 13, 2023; SOURCE VALUE RESEARCH
ity with a lot of small-cap stocks
having really low average daily vol-
umes. When inflows into small-cap
funds increase faster than daily li- Small-cap funds had net assets under management
quidity, as has happened recently, of `1.7 lakh crore as of June 30, 2023
it can become a limiting factor for
funds and it will always impact Category No. of schemes No. of folios* Net AUM**
funds with the largest SIP books Equity: Flexi-cap 36 12.80 2,72,743.17
first,” says Gaurav Rastogi, Found-
er & CEO of Kuvera, an online Equity: Large-cap 31 12.90 2,59,583.23
wealth management firm. Equity: Mid-cap 29 11.00 2,18,145.99

NO LONGER SMALL Equity: Small-cap 24 12.30 1,68,434.33


At least six small-cap funds have Equity: Large- & mid-cap 26 8.00 1,48,217.80
AUM of over ``5,000 crore. Nippon
India Small Cap Fund is the largest Equity: Value-oriented 23 4.90 1,04,685.73
in the country with almost `32,000
` Equity: Multi-cap 19 4.30 78,415.29

*IN MILLION; **IN ` CRORE; DATA AS OF JUNE 30, 2023; SOURCE AMFI

Business Today 20 August 2023


MARKETS SMALL-CAP FUNDS

crore of AUM as of June 30, ac- equities segment. Small-cap funds pecially outflows. It could also be
cording to Value Research. HDFC also boast of a huge number of fo- dependent on valuation. A fund
Small Cap Fund and SBI Small Cap lios, at 12.3 million, almost on par house may feel that the valuations
Fund follow with AUMs of over with that of flexi-cap funds (12.8 are overstretched to the point
`19,000 crore and `18,700 crore, million), which have the highest where incremental flows, while be-
respectively. Leading fund houses AUM of `2.73 lakh crore amongst ing accommodated, may not have
including Axis Mutual Fund, Kotak all categories of equity-oriented a good investment experience,” he
Mutual Fund, HSBC Mutual Fund, MF schemes. adds.
Canara Robeco Mutual Fund, and Fund houses typically take pride It’s a bull market, and small-cap
ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund of- in their large AUM schemes, but the funds are outperforming the rest in
fer large small-cap fund schemes sheer scale of small-cap funds ap- terms of returns. In the current cal-
with an AUM of more than `6,000 pears to have presented a manage- endar year through July 13, small-
crore each, as per data from Value ment difficulty. cap funds have given a category
Research. In light of the assets they “At times there can be a need average return of a little more than
manage, it is clear that small-cap to shut a fund. It can depend on a 15 per cent, higher than that of all
funds are, in fact, not small. few factors like the size of the fund other equity-oriented categories,
Even though small-cap funds within its category relative to the including flexi-cap (9.25 per cent),
have the lowest number of schemes available liquidity in a segment large-cap (7.82 per cent), mid-cap
(total 24) among the most popular like small-cap to build relevant (12.74 per cent), and multi-cap (11.05
MF schemes in the equities cat- positions,” says Ajit Menon, CEO, per cent). However, it is frequently
egory, they have a cumulative AUM PGIM India Mutual Fund. argued that past performance does
of approximately `1.68 lakh crore “It can also depend on the li- not guarantee future outcomes and
as of July 30. This makes them the quidity of the existing portfolio that investors in MFs should not
sixth-largest fund category in the relative to the expected flows, es- base their decisions on the histori-

100 |

THE BIG LEAGUE


Top 5 small-cap MF schemes in terms of AUM
“Small-cap Launch date Scheme name 1-year* 3-year* 5-year* AUM**
investing
is not a Nippon India Small
16/09/2010 37.51 46.44 22.01 31,945.15
Cap Fund
sprint,
it is a HDFC Small Cap
03/04/2008 40.79 42.71 17.10 18,999.05
marathon… Small-caps, Fund - Regular Plan
as is widely known, is a
comparatively less 09/09/2009 SBI Small Cap Fund 25.43 35.60 19.35 18,624.54
liquid space and has
high impact cost. In that Axis Small Cap
29/11/2013 27.54 36.41 22.22 14,251.72
context, the size of the Fund - Regular Plan
fund does create its own Kotak Small Cap
challenges” 24/02/2005 21.79 41.03 20.08 10,829.68
Fund - Regular Plan

SAMIR RACHH *RETURNS IN PER CENT AS OF JULY 13, 2023;


FUND MANAGER-EQUITY, **AUM IN ` CRORE AS OF JUNE 30, 2023
NIPPON INDIA MUTUAL FUND SOURCE VALUE RESEARCH

Business Today 20 August 2023


cal returns of a scheme or a catego- their balancing mechanisms and “For the larger market and retail
ry. What does that mean for people that would ensure that there would [segment], it also becomes an indi-
who want to use the MF route to in- be better opportunities to deploy cator of caution that the small-cap
vest in the small-cap universe? funds. Also, the supply of paper is space is so hot that some of the lead-
huge, so it will also bring some good ing funds are having a hard time
THE WAY FORWARD opportunities to deploy the flows,” deploying funds without moving
The best piece of advice long-term he adds. prices significantly. The last time
investors can take right now is to Fund managers may seem opti- this happened was in mid-2017, be-
stick with their investments, no mistic from a longer-term perspec- fore the small-cap index peaked in
matter what the fund houses do. tive, but when equity benchmarks January 2018,” he explains.
“We are still positive on small-cap are near historic highs, investors In a recent note, domestic
as a category. The segment is good should always proceed with cau- broking major ICICI Direct stated
from a long-term perspective and tion. “The 250 small-cap compa- that while small-cap funds have
offers enough investment opportu- nies in the Nifty SmallCap Index seen significant underperformance
nities. All we want is more time to have a total market cap of around in the past few years, if overall mar-
deploy funds,” says Vardarajan. `27 lakh crore. If promoter owner- kets remain stable, these funds may
While there is some enthusi- ship is assumed to be 80 per cent, continue to thrive going forward.
asm in the small-cap space, Nippon there would be approximately `5.5 There’s probably still enough
India’s Rachh, who oversees the lakh crore in free float. Of that, steam left to drive markets, espe-
country’s largest small-cap fund, small-cap funds probably hold cially small-caps, to new heights,
believes there will always be at- around `1.25 lakh crore or about 23 but a little bit of prudence never
tractive investment opportunities. per cent, which is not an alarmingly hurt anyone.
“Currently we are in a sort of eu- high ownership in aggregate,” says
phoria in small-caps. Markets have Rastogi. @ashishrukhaiyar

| 101

Net inflows into small-cap funds have steadily grown over the past
eight quarters

20,000 18,258.12 “At times


(QUARTERLY NET FLOWS IN ` CRORE)

there
15,000 can be
a need
10,936.70 to shut a
10,000 fund. It can depend on a
few factors such as the
5,000
size of the fund within
3,716.47 4,735.13 its category relative to
3,000.78 3,018.66
1,943.07 the available liquidity
1,367.20 1,045.50
0 528.28 in a segment like small-
165.87
cap to build relevant
-3,359.26 positions”
-5,000
Q2FY22 Q3FY22 Q4FY22 Q1FY23 Q2FY23 Q3FY23 Q4FY23 Q1FY24
AJIT MENON
FLEXI-CAP SMALL-CAP MULTI-CAP MID-CAP CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER,
LARGE- & MID-CAP LARGE-CAP SOURCE VALUE RESEARCH PGIM INDIA MUTUAL FUND

GRAPHICS BY RAHUL SHARMA

Business Today 20 August 2023


ANT TO TRAVEL ABROAD? What if you have to

W
THE GOVERNMENT’S shell out a few lakhs more upfront? Well, guess
DECISION TO INCREASE what, that’s just what you may have to do if you
THE TAX COLLECTED AT wish to travel abroad in a few months.
SOURCE ON SOME FOREIGN This is a result of the increase in tax col-
lected at source (TCS) on some foreign transactions, like
PAYMENTS, INCLUDING
foreign tour packages, to 20 per cent (from the current 5 per
TOUR PACKAGES, TO 20 cent) that Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman an-
PER CENT HAS CAUSED nounced in the Budget for 2023-24.
CONCERN. BUT HERE ARE According to Amit Singhania, Partner at Shardul Ama-
SOME HACKS THAT rchand Mangaldas & Co, the government appears to have
calculated that a person travelling abroad must fall in the 20
CAN ENSURE THAT THE HIT
per cent income-tax bracket, which means they must earn
ISN’T TOO STEEP `12–15 lakh a year.
This comes amid a boom in foreign travel after two years
BY NAVNEET DUBEY of enforced isolation because of the pandemic. Consider this:
Data from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) shows that Indians
have spent more than $1 billion on foreign travel every month
ILLUSTRATIONS BY RAJ VERMA since June 2022. And a recent report by private insurer ACKO

Business Today 20 August 2023


WHAT IS TCS?
It is a tax collected at source
(TCS) by the agent from the buyer on booking
tour packages, or any other remittance abroad

HOW DOES IT AFFECT


YOUR TRAVEL?
If you spend `10 lakh on a foreign
tour package after October 1, your
TCS will almost double to around `1 lakh

WHICH TRANSACTIONS
ARE AFFECTED?
TCS applies to several foreign transactions,
including on education loans, medical
treatment and foreign tour packages

| 103

Business Today 20 August 2023


MONEY TODAY TAX ON FOREIGN TRAVEL

SURGE IN FOREIGN TRAVEL and research firm YouGov suggests that this trend is
set to continue. Nearly 31 per cent of respondents said
Except for October, foreign
g remittance for
travel has been over $1 billion since June 2022 they would take more international trips this year.
The report, which surveyed people aged between 24
1,493 and 45 across seven major Indian cities, also found
1,470
1,500 1,403 that around 48 per cent of them said they would
increase their travel budget in the coming year.
1,200 1,138 1,150
1,043 Though the government has postponed the rule’s
995 1,100 implementation, the relief is temporary, because it
1,015 1,031 1,071
($ MILLION)

900 974 will come into force on October 1.


881 So, it’s imperative that you understand this tax.
Put simply, it is a tax collected by the agent from
600
you when you book a tour package, and can be col-
lected upfront. The agent then deposits it with the
300 tax authorities. The rate of taxation is 5 per cent if
the expenditure is below `7 lakh and 20 per cent for
0 sums beyond that. It applies to foreign remittances
APRIL ’22 APRIL ’23 made through the Liberalised Remittance Scheme
(LRS), which allows resident Indians to remit money
LRS REMITTANCE FOR TRAVEL
abroad every fiscal for travel, education, medical
NOTE: THESE FIGURES ARE FOR OUTWARD REMITTANCE MADE treatment, investment in foreign stocks, real estate,
UNDER THE LRS BY RESIDENT INDIVIDUALS FOR THE PURPOSE OF etc. The sum allowed is up to $250,000 in a fiscal.
TRAVEL; SOURCE RBI
But TCS is not an additional tax; you can either
adjust it against your total income tax liability or
WHERE INDIANS claim it back while filing income tax returns (ITR).
ARE HEADED “There is no ‘cost’ per se for the traveller since
he will get credit for the TCS. However, it may be a
The most-preferred foreign destinations temporary cash flow issue, which may be adjusted
against the quarterly advance tax liability. If the TCS
DUBAI MALDIVES exceeds the traveller’s total tax liability in a financial
year, he may claim a refund when filing income re-
turn,” says Shruti K.P., Partner at IndusLaw.
So, say, you book your overseas tour package from
domestic online travel agents or aggregators such as
MakeMyTrip, OYO, EaseMyTrip, and Yatra, then the
SINGAPORE SWITZERLAND 20 per cent TCS will be levied after October 1.
Suppose you book a foreign tour package for a
family trip after October 1, then 20 per cent TCS will
be deducted if the package costs more than `7 lakh,
BALI (INDONESIA) unless you have booked it using an international
credit card, which does not attract TCS. Let’s take the
example of a tour package for Switzerland that costs
around `10 lakh. Here, the agent will collect TCS of 5
per cent on `7 lakh and 20 per cent on the remaining
``3 lakh. If you add tax, then, the package will work
SOURCE ACKO REPORT out to `10.95 lakh, which means the TCS is `95,000.
`

48%
Respondents said BEAT THE LEVY
they would raise their If you’re not too pleased by the prospect of having to
travel budget shell out more because of the tax, fear not, there are
a few hacks that help you save on the levy.

GRAPHICS BY RAHUL SHARMA

Business Today 20 August 2023


Buy forex in advance: The Union “Opt for standalone
finance ministry has also increased
the TCS on foreign exchange (forex) bookings for stay, travel,
transactions by amending Section etc., rather than a bundled
206C of the Income Tax (I-T) Act. tour package, which falls
Sudarshan Motwani, Founder within the definition of a
and CEO of BookMyForex.com, says,
“TCS will not apply to forex transac-
tour programme package”
tions below `7 lakh in a financial year.
SHRUTI K.P.
If you intend to travel or transfer PARTNER, INDUSLAW
money abroad and need to purchase
forex worth more than `7 lakh, you
can book your orders in advance.
Following RBI’s guidelines, you may
purchase currency 60 days before
“[The government] believes
your trip. If you travel abroad before a person [travelling abroad]
November 30, you can buy forex worth must at least fall in the
more than `7 lakh by September 30, income tax bracket of 20
and avoid paying 20 per cent TCS.” per cent; that is why [it] has
The current rate is 5 per cent for forex
worth more than `7 lakh. levied a TCS of 20 per cent”
Avoid packages: You can opt for AMIT SINGHANIA
standalone bookings of stay, travel PARTNER, SHARDUL AMARCHAND
ticket, etc. The I-T Act defines a tour MANGALDAS & CO
package as one that offers a visit to a | 105
foreign country and includes expenses
like travel and stay. But it is vague be-
yond this definition, says Maneet Pal
Singh, Partner at accountancy firm I.P. Pasricha & Co. ther notice. While under Indian law, the international
“The terminology used in the law is overseas tour pack- tour operator may also be required to collect TCS, they
age, and the term tour package is [not] clearly defined in are unlikely to undertake the exercise.”
the I-T Act or rules.” Singh suggests booking components Use your credit cards smartly: Credit cards will not
like hotel, flight tickets and cab separately. currently attract TCS. “Suppose you plan to go abroad,
Pick a foreign tour operator: International credit you can use your international credit card to book and
card transactions with a foreign tour operator do not save TCS. However, remember that once the TCS applies
attract TCS. Reports suggest that such transactions to cards, if you plan to go with your family or friends, you
could be brought under LRS in six to eight months. In the can still smartly use your card to book flight tickets and
interim, Singh says, “If you use an international credit your spouse’s credit card for hotel bookings. Then, for
card to purchase tickets and hotel bookings from a for- each of you, the total payment made through all cards
eign tour operator, the strategy could result in significant will have to be within `7 lakh. However, you must con-
savings. Therefore, if you book online through a foreign sult a tax expert before you do this to clarify the impact
website, you may avoid paying TCS.” Besides, Singhania beforehand. For instance, if you and your spouse file
of Shardul Amarchand Mangaldas points out that foreign returns jointly under HUF, the implications may differ,”
aggregators have not been collecting the current 5 per says Adhil Shetty, CEO of BankBazaar.com.
cent TCS, though they were required to. “However, if re- But credit cards may include charges on foreign
mittances made to foreign travel aggregators amount to transactions. “It is best to avoid dynamic currency con-
LRS, the 20 per cent TCS may still apply [if] the amount version and pay in the local currency,” says Shetty. And
paid to such agents is more than `7 lakh in a year.” finally, heed Shetty’s advice and consult a tax planner
Echoing their views, IndusLaw’s Shruti says, “The to ensure you are fully compliant with the rules.
[government] has said that international credit card
payments will not fall within the ambit of LRS until fur- @imNavneetDubey

Business Today 20 August 2023


106 |

Dial H for
Healthy Food
Whether you would like
to take a break from
cooking or are bored of
the limited variety being
prepared at home, these
meal subscription services
ensure that you have
something nutritious and
delicious on your plate,
three times a day
BY SMITA TRIPATHI

Business Today 20 August 2023


THE GOOD LIFE
TRENDS TECH TODAY

F THERE is one
question that ir-
AT A COMPOUND ANNUAL GROWTH
ritates 34-year-old RATE OF 14 PER CENT, THE GLOBAL | 107
Seema Bhatia, a HEALTHY-MEAL SUBSCRIPTION
Gurugram-based MARKET IS PROJECTED TO INCREASE
management con-
sultant, more than
TO $13.76 BILLION IN 2032 FROM
anything else in the $3.73 BILLION IN 2022
world, it is her house
help asking her every morning,
“Aaj khane mein kya banega? (What
should I cook for you today?).”
Bhatia, who lives alone in the ments, a meal plan was designed.” has been taken care of,” she says. A
city and is health conscious, says The day after, Bhatia received all monthly meal plan at Food Darzee
ruefully, “I like to eat healthy, but I three meals in the morning, packed for non-vegetarians costs `13,800
also want variety. My cook’s skills in microwave-friendly containers. for breakfast, lunch and dinner.
are limited and I don’t have much “I had a cheese omelette, grilled Depending upon your require-
time to try my hand at fancy cook- chicken and a teriyaki bowl. Defi- ments, you can choose anywhere
ing. So the answer to her question nitely more exciting than what I between one to four meals. The
is generally aloo gobi (potato and had been eating,” she laughs. Happy menu is divided into vegetarian,
cauliflower) or paneer, hardly excit- with the experiment, Bhatia signed non-vegetarian and eggetarian.
ing.” It was to add more variety to up for the monthly meal plan. Meal plans cater to different di-
her daily diet that Bhatia decided to “It’s been two months and since ets— keto, high-protein-low-carb,
try out Food Darzee, a healthy meal my aim was to maintain my weight, vegan and balanced.
subscription plan. She initially things are on track. Plus, I really Food Darzee delivers in Mum-
opted for a one-day trial plan for like the variety and the fact that bai, Delhi, Bengaluru, Chennai,
three meals for `608. “The next I don’t have to think about what Hyderabad and Pune. The menu
day, a nutritionist spoke to me and needs to be cooked. Also, the added is updated weekly and in case you
after understanding my require- headache of grocery shopping, etc., don’t want to eat a particular dish,

Business Today 20 August 2023


THE GOOD LIFE TRENDS

108 |

you can change your preference on Market’, the global healthy-meal some, diet-oriented and freshly
the app. Your personal nutritionist subscription market was valued at cooked,” says Bengaluru-based IT
acts like your mentor, follows up on $3.73 billion in 2022 and is expected professional Nimit Acharya who has
a regular basis, maps your progress to touch $13.76 billion by 2032, been getting food from Eat.Fit for
and tweaks and tailors your diet to growing at a CAGR of 14 per cent. the past few months. Eat.Fit is the
help achieve your health goals. While meal subscriptions are meal subscription venture of health
Meal delivery services are mostly sought after for their calorie and fitness company Cult.Fit. “I
rather popular in western countries specifications, what differentiates have been working out at Cult.Fit,
and are fast catching up here, too. them from other traditional op- but in order to lose weight I need
According to a report by Apollo tions is that the meals are curated to also eat healthy,” says Acharya.
Research titled, ‘The Exponential and personalised based on your He has subscribed to Eat.Fit’s
Growth in Meal Kit Subscription requirements. “They are whole- Signature Salad package for lunch
on weekdays (vegetarian monthly
package for `4,342 for 22 days) and
gets a fresh salad delivered to his
office every afternoon. Each salad
MEAL SUBSCRIPTIONS ARE comes with nutritional information
POPULAR DUE TO THEIR CALORIE such as calorie count, protein, carbs,
SPECIFICATIONS, BUT WHAT SETS THEM etc., printed on it. For dinner, he has
APART FROM THE COMPETITION IS subscribed to the Weight Loss thali
package and pays `4,104 for 30 days.
THAT THE MEALS ARE CURATED AND Eat.Fit delivers in 12 cities
TAILORED TO EACH INDIVIDUAL including Bengaluru, Chennai,

Business Today 20 August 2023


| 109

Meal delivery services are all the rage in the West and are quickly are satisfied, you can subscribe to
gaining traction in India too it monthly. The menu is a mix of
Indian, Continental, Mexican and
Chinese, with over 500 recipes in
Gurugram, Mumbai, Surat and meals a day, costs `2,490. These their database. It’s perfect if you
Hyderabad. You can sign up for will include dishes such as grilled would like to stick to a Keto diet but
anything from a Power Breakfast cottage cheese and quinoa salad, crave variety. One of the pioneers
Plan to a Homestyle Dinner or grilled vegetable sandwiches and in this field is HealthifyMe, which
Fruit Snack Plan. You can order vegetable stroganoff with rice on likes to consider itself a connected
an individual meal or subscribe to day one, followed by yoghurt bowl, fitness ecosystem that helps you
a monthly package. “It’s like your hummus with grilled pita, achari achieve your health goals faster
office dabbawala, just healthier and soya chaap, etc., on day two. In case and more consistently. So, besides a
with more variety,” says Acharya. you are confused about your health healthy meal subscription, you get
There are several healthy meal goals, you can speak to a nutrition- personalised coaching for weight
delivery subscription services, es- ist and have a customised plan for loss, and a metabolic dashboard
pecially in the metros. These cater you. The USP lies in the over 250 with 80-plus key parameters that
to individuals as well as families. At dishes on their menu, so that you help you stay healthy and identify
Delhi-based Parafit, you select your get to eat enough variety. any underlying medical conditions.
goal—weight loss, muscle gain, Then there are lesser-known Eating healthy is not difficult. All
weight maintenance or detox diet brands such as Blufit and Nutri you have to do is pick up the phone.
and then subscribe to your pack- 91 that specifically cater to those So what’s your excuse now?
age. For instance, a three-day trial keen on a keto diet. You can start
package for detox, including three with a three-day trial and if you @smitabw

Business Today 20 August 2023


POCKET
WHEN TRAVERSING UNKNOWN
ROADS, GOOGLE MAPS IS
OFTEN YOUR BEST FRIEND. BUT
THERE ARE ALTERNATIVES
BY NIDHI SINGAL
ILLUSTRATION BY PRABAL BISWAS

WHAT HAS BEEN the best thing


110 | since sliced bread? For most of us
who move around a lot, it is Google
Maps. But there are times when
the app directs you to nowhere as
up-to-date data isn’t available. If
you’re looking for alternatives, fret
not. Here are some free navigation
apps that you might want to try.

Community Power Waze


A popular community-based app for navigation,
Waze was launched in 2008. And its popularity led
to it’s acquisition by Google for around $1 billion in
2013. Designed for car and motorbike users, Waze
has a clean interface and suggests the best routes
based on user-collected data. It also changes
routes instantly to avoid traffic. Users can also
update information such as traffic, crash, hazard,
and more on the map with just a tap. And if you love
listening to music, you are going to love Waze as the
music controls from apps such as Amazon Prime
Music and Spotify appear on the top. This makes it
really simple to manage music while driving.

Available on: Play Store; App Store

Business Today 20 August 2023


Made for India Mappls
Very similar to Google Maps, this made-
in-India solution from MapMyIndia is
very good with street-level addresses
and points of interests. Just like Google
Maps, it shows all the routes to the
destination with an estimated time of
arrival. But I found Mappls’s suggestions
to be more accurate than Google’s, not
just in cities but also in rural areas. Also,
given the surfeit of flyovers in metro
cities, the app’s interface changes the
view to clearly indicate when to take
one and when not. That is definitely
a life-saver. The app also has speed
monitoring. The only thing missing is an
option to share the progress of your live
trip. The app also has a panoramic street
view, which MapMyIndia calls RealView.

Available on: Play Store; App Store

THE SIMPLE LIFE HERE WeGo | 111

Remember the good old days of Nokia? countries. The route search displays
The default maps for navigation were options such as estimated time of
good with directions. They were called arrival, traffic delay time, distance and
Nokia Maps then; now called HERE the route it would take. It also accurately
WeGo, this app is currently owned by displays the best public transport
HERE Technologies. Also accessible on a navigation route (in my case, the Delhi
web browser, you can also download the Metro). Other options include routes for
maps for offline functionality in areas walking and biking. But you can’t book
that have a patchy network. But unlike an app-based cab from the app, like you
Google Maps, where you can download can on Google Maps in some countries.
only a particular region, HERE WeGo
lets you download territories or even Available on: Play Store; App Store

iCHOICE Apple Maps


Apple Maps, the default iPhone navigation top right. When searching for a destination,
app, has improved a lot since it was first it not only shows the location, but also
introduced in India. The first thing I noticed the detailed address and phone number
about it was its relatively clean interface wherever available. While using the app, it
with small text and icons, and also readings offers the option to share your ETA with your
for temperature and AQI of the current friend. If you’re exploring a new route, it can
location displayed at the bottom right. The be added to favourites. If you are an iPhone
search bar appears at the bottom, and the user, Apple Maps is worth a try.
option to choose the map from explore,
driving, transit and satellite appears on the Available on: App Store

Business Today 20 August 2023


THE GOOD LIFE TECH TODAY

UNDERSTATED
BRILLIANCE
The HP Dragonfly G4 is a very capable
business laptop that you love more
and more with time as you discover
its thoughtful touches and the nifty
features it packs in

BY NIDHI SINGAL

REVIEW

When looking to buy an ultra- HP DRAGONFLY


G4
112 | premium yet lightweight business
` 2,20,000
laptop, many are torn between If you’re looking for a
Apple’s MacBook Pro and the HP lightweight Windows 11
business laptop that
Spectre x360. Now, add one more makes your life easier,
from HP to the mix—the Dragonfly G4. look no further
The magnesium and aluminium f SPECS: 13.5-INCH,
finish, and the rounded corners of the 1,920x1,200P TOUCH-
Dragonfly gives it an ultra-premium SCREEN, 999GM, 13TH
look, something that could even give GEN INTEL i7, 32GB RAM, processing, web browsing and
the MacBook a run for its money. video streaming with ease, but also
1TB STORAGE, TWO
While the matte metal finish may manages demanding ones like gaming
appear to be heavy, the notebook TYPE-C THUNDERBOLT and audio and video editing without
weighs only 999 gm. 4 PORTS, HDMI PORT, breaking a sweat. With the solidity of
Lif ting the lid reveals the USB A, MIC/HEADPHONE Windows 11 Pro, it also has privacy and
D ragonfly ’s brilliant 13. 5 -inch JACK, 5MP WEBCAM, security features such as a webcam
touchscreen, with 180° hinge; if disable key and HP’s Wolf Security.
you’re concerned about privacy,
WINDOWS 11 PRO With normal usage, the battery lasts
say on a plane, the touch of a button for around 10 hours. Even the compact
ensures the screen is obscured for charger, with its beautifully braided
your neighbours. The other thing cable, feels premium.
you notice is the laptop’s super- you can connect a second camera The HP Dragonfly G4 may not
responsive backlit keyboard, which an d u s e b oth simult an e o u s ly. have a single disruptive feature; but
ensures that typing is a breeze. The Sound by Bang & Olufsen is not only the sum total of all its nifty touches
large trackpad and the fingerprint good for meetings or watching the and premium features results in a
scanner above it also aid ease of occasional video; you can even listen stellar experience that you grow to
use. Even with the sleek design, to music on the speakers. appreciate with time.
HP has managed to squeeze in all Powering the notebook is the
connectivity ports. The built-in 5MP latest 13th-generation Intel Core i7 Available on: hp.com/in-en
camera with 88° field-of-view is great processor, which not only handles
for video calls and recording; plus eve r yd ay t a s ks s u c h a s wo rd @nidhisingal

Business Today 20 August 2023


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IRS 2019 Q4 (TR)
GAURI SHANKAR NAGABHUSHANAM
CEO, INDIA BUSINESS PARKS CAPITALAND INVESTMENT LTD

CapitaLand Investment Ltd is a Singapore-based global real estate investment manager

‘Spend time,
What was the problem you were
grappling with?
In 2013, while I was working with Ascendas-
Singbridge in Singapore, I was offered the

effort to build
position of Chief Financial Officer (CFO)
at Ascendas-Firstspace (AFS), a joint ven-
ture between CapitaLand and Firstspace, in
Mumbai. I hesitated because it required me to

the right team’ leave my comfort zone, despite the promotion. I


was the only Ascendas representative at a start-
up with a few employees, and we had to build
a business.

Whom did you approach for advice


and why?
I sought guidance from my reporting supervisor,
who has been my mentor since the beginning of
my career.

114 | What was the advice you received?


My supervisor was honest about the risks of the
new role. He was certain that a CFO could struc-
ture the firm and urged that I spend time and
effort in building the right team. He trusted me
and said I could do more and better. As a leader,
he also provided a safety net that the company
would find me a better opportunity if things
went wrong, as this was a new business segment.

How effective was it in resolving


the problem?
Exceptional results need measured risks. My
supervisor trusted me to explore new busi-
ness opportunities. I built a team, stabilised the
organisation, multiplied our revenue, and laid
out process enhancements for future develop-
ment in my four years at AFS. Today, AFS is a
renowned logistics and industrial park devel-
oper. My supervisor and organisation noticed my
efforts, which led to my current position.
—TEAM BT

Vol. 32, No. 17 for the fortnight


August 7, 2023 to August 20, 2023.
Released on August 7, 2023.
Total number of pages 116 (including cover)

PHOTO BY HARDIK CHHABRA

Business Today 20 August 2023


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