Demand for repair and service calls

0.3 0.5
Period Month Demand 3 Months 5 Months 60
1 January 37
2 February 40
3 March 41 50
4 April 37 39.33
5 May 45 39.33
6 June 50 41.00 40.00 40
7 July 43 44.00 42.60
8 August 47 46.00 43.20
30
9 September 56 46.67 44.40
10 October 52 48.67 48.20
11 November 55 51.67 49.60 20
12 December 54 54.33 50.60
13 January 53.67 52.80
10

0
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 Demand
3 Months
5 Months

ch ril ay ne Ju
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 0.5 0.33
Demand for repair and service calls 0.4 0.3
0.3 0.5
Period Month Demand 3 Months 5 Months Weighted Average 3 M
1 January 37
2 February 40
3 March 41
4 April 37 39.33 39.99
5 May 45 39.33 38.83
6 June 50 41.00 40.00 41.68
7 July 43 44.00 42.60 46.14
8 August 47 46.00 43.20 45.65
9 September 56 46.67 44.40 46.19
10 October 52 48.67 48.20 50.82
11 November 55 51.67 49.60 52.47
12 December 54 54.33 50.60 54.18
13 January 53.67 52.80 53.99
 0.17
0.2 0.1 0.05

Weighted Average 5 60

50

43.15 40
47
46.95
48.05 30 Demand
52.35 3 Months
53.8 5 Months
Weighted Ave
55.65 20 Weighted Ave
56.45

10

0
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 Demand
3 Months
5 Months
Weighted Average 3 M
Weighted Average 5

ry
nua
a
Demand for repair and service calls
0.3 0.5
Period Month Demand Alpha = .30Alpha = .50 60
1 January 37
2 February 40 37.00 37
3 March 41 37.90 38.50 50
4 April 37 38.83 39.75
5 May 45 38.28 38.38
6 June 50 40.30 41.69 40
7 July 43 43.21 45.84
8 August 47 43.15 44.42
30
9 September 56 44.30 45.71
10 October 52 47.81 50.86
11 November 55 49.07 51.43 20
12 December 54 50.85 53.21
13 January 51.79 53.61
10

0
ry ar
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 Demand
Alpha = .30
Alpha = .50

ch ril ay ne Ju
ly us
t
be
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M A u em cto em ce
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Ja
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Demand for repair and service calls
0.3 0.5 0.3
Period Month Demand Alpha = .30Alpha = .50Trend Adjusted Forecast
1 January 37 37 37
2 February 40 37.00 37 0.00 37.00
3 March 41 37.90 38.50 0.45 38.95
4 April 37 38.83 39.75 0.69 40.44
5 May 45 38.28 38.38 0.07 38.45
6 June 50 40.30 41.69 1.04 42.73
7 July 43 43.21 45.84 1.98 47.82
8 August 47 43.15 44.42 0.96 45.38
9 September 56 44.30 45.71 1.06 46.77
10 October 52 47.81 50.86 2.28 53.14
11 November 55 49.07 51.43 1.77 53.20
12 December 54 50.85 53.21 1.77 54.99
13 January 51.79 53.61 1.36 54.97
60
f(x) = 1.72377622377622 x + 35.2121212121212
R² = 0.803360653841196
50

40

30 Demand
Linear (Demand)
Alpha = .30
Alpha = .50
20 Adjusted Forecast

10

0
ar
y
ar
y ch ril ay ne Ju
ly st be
r
be
r
be
r
be
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Ja b M A e Oc ve ce Ja
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Demand
Linear (Demand)
Alpha = .30
Alpha = .50
Adjusted Forecast
 Period Demand XY X^2 Forecast
1 37 37 1 36.94
2 40 80 4 38.66
3 41 123 9 40.38
4 37 148 16 42.11
5 45 225 25 43.83
6 50 300 36 45.55
7 43 301 49 47.28
8 47 376 64 49.00
9 56 504 81 50.73
10 52 520 100 52.45 299
11 55 605 121 54.17 3588
12 54 648 144 55.90
Sum 78 557 3867 650 42.25
Average 6.5 46.41667 322.25 54.16667
3.605551 6.934215 48.14907 6.215164
n 12 143
nxbar y bar 3620.5

b 1.723776

a 35.21212

Y 35.2+1.72x