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The "lead-crime theory" claims that toxic lead exposure during childhood is a
substantial factor in adult criminal conduct. It had been circulating among academics for a
long time before being brought to the general public's attention in 2013 by an article in
Mother Jones.
If the lead-crime hypothesis is true, it means the country's crime rate differed with the
ways leaded gasoline affected different places in different ways and at different times, hence
concluding that lead shifting exposure patterns correspond to changes in crime rate. Lead can
cause adverse effects, more so to developing children; however, one would deny that lead
impacts criminal behaviour. Nevertheless, the question is, in what ways? For example, when
considering policy change on crime, differences in lead trends cannot be matched with crime
trends within a country. Hence one must consider other external factors such as poverty,
criminal justice frequently only benefit future defendants. We should, nevertheless, follow
the reform if it is the right policy. Current inmates should be allowed to petition judges for
the retroactive adoption of the two reforms described below on a case-by-case basis.
Reduce the number of people in prison for minor offences. When someone breaks the law,
the default criminal justice consequence is frequently prison. Prison is not only unfair to
those who commit low-level crimes like drug possession, petty theft, or marijuana sales.
Someone should be punished if they commit a significant crime, such as robbery. However,
there is little evidence that incarceration for such extended periods as the 20 or 30-year
We learn that while there is considerable evidence that genetics have a role in
developing violent and aggressive behaviour, environmental factors such as lead exposure
3
have recently received increasing attention. Although there is anecdotal evidence that a link
between lead exposure and behaviour extends back millennia, direct data are lacking.