Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Default assumptions.
In stable growth, we will assume that wer firm will have a cost of capital similar to that of typical mature companies (riskfree rate + 4.5%)
Do we want to override this assumption = No Mature companies generally see their risk
If yes, enter the cost of capital after year 10 = 7.50% Though some sectors, even in stable growt
We will assume that wer firm will earn a return on capital equal to its cost of capital after year 10. I am assuming that whatever competitiv
Do we want to override this assumption = No
If yes, enter the return on capital we expect after year 10 12%
We will assume that wer firm has no chance of failure over the foreseeable future.
Do we want to override this assumption = Yes
If yes, enter the probability of failure = 10%
What do we want to tie wer proceeds in failure to? V
Enter the distress proceeds as percentage of book or fair value 50%
We will assume that wer effective tax rate will adjust to wer marginal tax rate by wer terminal year. If we override this assumption, I will le
Do we want to override this assumption = No
We will assume that we have no losses carried forward from prior years ( NOL) coming into the valuation. If we have a money losing comp
Do we want to override this assumption = No
If yes, enter the NOL that we are carrying over into year 1 $0.00
We will asssume that today's risk free rate will prevail in perpetuity. If we override this assumption, I will change the riskfree rate after year
Do we want to override this assumption = No If yes, we will be asked to enter a normal r
If yes, enter the riskfree rate after year 10 0.00% Enter wer estimate of what the riskfree rat
We will assume that the growth rate in perpetuity will be equal to the risk free rate. This allows for both valuation consistency and prevents
Do we want to override this assumption = No This is an option to let we use a negative g
If yes, enter the growth rate in perpetuity 0.00% This can be negative, if we feel the compan
We have assumed that none of the cash is trapped (in foreign countries) and that there is no additional tax liability coming due and that cash is a neutral a
Do we want to override this assumption No
If yes, enter trapped cash (if taxes) or entire balance (if mistrust) $0.00 Cash that is trapped in foreign markets (and su
& Average tax rate of the foreign markets where the cash is trapped 15% Additional tax rate due on trapped cash or disc
r base year below ( wen conswestent unwets)
wetabwelwety Lever Valuatweon Output Feedback (for we to use to fwene tune wer wenputs, wef we want)
d of convergence level Revenues wen year 10, based on wer revenue growth = ₹ 65,604,386
ecency of Growth Lever Pre-tax Operatweng wencome wen year 10, based on wer operatweng mar ₹ 22,961,535
Return on invested capital in year 10, based on wer sales/capital ratio = 28.72%
Check the Diagnostics worksheet for more details.
we override this assumption, I will leave the tax rate at wer effective tax rate.
that is trapped in foreign markets (and subject to additoinal tax) or cash that is being discounted by the market (because of management mistrust)
ional tax rate due on trapped cash or discount being applied to cash balance because of mistrust.
B57 & 58), we should incorporate the change into wer stable cost of capital estimate.
ree rate, we are on wer own in uncharted territory.
gement mistrust)
Jul- Dec 21 Jan-June 22 Jul- Dec 22
Jan-Jun 1 2 3
Indian Health Insurance Growth 0.00% 3.50% 3.50%
Total Health insurance ### ₹ 516,380,000,000.00 ₹ 534,453,300,000.00 ₹ 553,159,165,500.00
Market Share 0.10% 0.13% 0.16% 0.19%
Gross Order Value ₹ 530,879,198.00 ₹ 682,893,358.40 ₹ 864,129,281.96 ₹ 1,057,215,175.80
Revenue as % of GOV 3.28% 3.50% 3.50% 3.50%
Revenues ₹ 17,428,696.00 ₹ 23,901,267.54 ₹ 30,244,524.87 ₹ 37,002,531.15
EBIT (Operating) margin 19.22% 20.00% 23.75% 25.63%
EBIT (Operating income) ₹ 3,349,856.00 ₹ 4,780,253.51 ₹ 7,183,074.66 ₹ 9,481,898.61
Tax rate 30.00% 30.00% 30.00% 30.00%
EBIT(1-t) ₹ 2,344,899.20 ₹ 3,346,177.46 ₹ 5,028,152.26 ₹ 6,637,329.03
- Reinvestment ₹ 4,315,047.70 ₹ 2,537,302.93 ₹ 2,703,202.51
FCFF -₹ 968,870.24 ₹ 2,490,849.33 ₹ 3,934,126.51
NOL ₹ 0.00 ₹ 0.00 ₹ 0.00 ₹ 0.00
6000000
₹ 50,000,000
5000000
₹ 40,000,000 4000000
3000000
₹ 30,000,000
2000000
₹ 20,000,000
1000000
₹ 10,000,000 0
1 2 3 4 5 6
-1000000
₹0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 -2000000
VALUATION DIAGNOSTICS
Invested capital at start of valuation ₹ 35,000,000.00
Invested capital at end of valuation ₹ 53,677,599.48
Change in invested capital over 10 y ₹ 18,677,599.48
Change in EBIT*(1–t) (after-tax oper ₹ 18,675,597.36
Marginal ROIC over 10 years 99.99%
ROIC at end of valuation 28.72%
Average WACC over the 10 years ( 11.09%
Jan-June 23 Jul- Dec 23 Jan-June 24 Jul- Dec 24 Jan-June 25 Jul- Dec 25
4 5 6 7 8 9
3.50% 3.50% 3.65% 3.80% 3.95% 4.10%
₹ 572,519,736,292.50 ₹ 592,557,927,062.74 ### ₹ 637,525,370,473.75 ₹ 662,707,622,607.46 ₹ 689,878,635,134.37
0.22% 0.25% 0.25% 0.25% 0.25% 0.25%
₹ 1,262,758,523.84 ₹ 1,481,394,817.66 ₹ 1,535,465,728.50 ₹ 1,593,813,426.18 ₹ 1,656,769,056.52 ₹ 1,724,696,587.84
3.50% 3.50% 3.50% 3.50% 3.50% 3.50%
₹ 44,196,548.33 ₹ 51,848,818.62 ₹ 53,741,300.50 ₹ 55,783,469.92 ₹ 57,986,916.98 ₹ 60,364,380.57
27.50% 29.38% 31.06% 33.03% 35.00% 35.00%
₹ 12,154,050.79 ₹ 15,230,590.47 ₹ 16,689,407.61 ₹ 18,423,909.78 ₹ 20,295,420.94 ₹ 21,127,533.20
30.00% 30.00% 30.00% 30.00% 30.00% 30.00%
₹ 8,507,835.55 ₹ 10,661,413.33 ₹ 11,682,585.32 ₹ 12,896,736.85 ₹ 14,206,794.66 ₹ 14,789,273.24
₹ 2,877,606.87 ₹ 2,550,756.76 ₹ 630,827.29 ₹ 680,723.14 ₹ 734,482.35 ₹ 792,487.87
₹ 5,630,228.68 ₹ 8,110,656.57 ₹ 11,051,758.03 ₹ 12,216,013.71 ₹ 13,472,312.31 ₹ 13,996,785.38
₹ 0.00 ₹ 0.00 ₹ 0.00 ₹ 0.00 ₹ 0.00 ₹ 0.00
3000000 ₹ 40,000,000
2000000 ₹ 30,000,000
1000000
₹ 20,000,000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 ₹ 10,000,000
-1000000
-2000000 ₹-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jan-June 26 Jul- Dec 26
10 Terminal year
4.25% 4.25%
₹ 719,198,477,127.58 ₹ 749,764,412,405.50
0.25% 0.25%
₹ 1,797,996,192.82 ₹ 1,874,411,031.01
3.50% 3.50%
₹ 62,929,866.75 ₹ 65,604,386.09
35.00% 35.00%
₹ 22,025,453.36 ₹ 22,961,535.13 ₹ 19,611,679.13 This is is how much we operating income grew
over the ten-year period.
30.00% 30.00%
₹ 15,417,817.35 ₹ 16,073,074.59
₹ 855,162.06 ₹ 7,615,447.83 ₹ 26,293,047.31 This is how much capital we
invested over the ten year period.
₹ 14,562,655.30 ₹ 8,457,626.76
₹ 0.00 ₹ 0.00
8.97% 8.97%
0.3495
5089356.69251271
After year 10
3.00
₹ 53,677,599.48
28.72% 8.97%
Claim Buddy
The Story
Claim Buddy will benefit as the Indian Health Insurance market grows, driven by overall economic growth and more
bouncecback effect. Tthe company will continue to reinvest (acquisitions and technology) as it grows. The risk of fa
The Assumptions
Base year Next year Years 2-5
Assumptions
Years 6-10 After year 10 Link to story
Indian Health Insurance sector is
4.82% ₹ 749,764,412,405 expected to grow at a rapid pace
Claim Buddy is yet to set a wider
footprint in the Health insurance
0.25% 0.25% sector of India
3.50%
CRP
4.94%
1.03%
0.00%
5.31%
3.99%
2.08%
1.53%
0.00%
0.84%
1.04%
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