Professional Documents
Culture Documents
the Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which people mistakenly assess their cognitive ability as
greater than it is. It is related to the cognitive bias of illusory superiority and comes from the inability of people
to recognize their lack of ability. Without the self-awareness of metacognition, people cannot objectively
evaluate their competence or incompetence.
Groupthink: The psychological phenomenon that occurs within a group of people in which the desire for
harmony or conformity in the group results in an irrational or dysfunctional decision-making outcome. Group
members try to minimize conflict and reach a consensus decision without critical evaluation of alternative
viewpoints by actively suppressing dissenting viewpoints, and by isolating themselves from outside influences.
The Gambler’s Fallacy : The tendency to think that future probabilities are altered by past events, when in
reality they are unchanged. The fallacy arises from an erroneous conceptualization of the law of large
numbers. For example, "I've flipped heads with this coin five times consecutively, so the chance of tails coming
out on the sixth flip is much greater than heads."[54]
the ostrich effect is the attempt made by investors to avoid negative financial information. The name comes
from the common (but false) legend that ostriches bury their heads in the sand to avoid danger.
Originally the term was coined by Galai & Sade (2006), and was defined as "the avoidance of apparently risky
financial situations by pretending they do not exist", but since Karlsson, Loewenstein & Seppi (2009) it took
the slightly broader meaning of "avoiding to expose oneself to [financial] information that one fear may cause
psychological discomfort". For example, in the event of a market downturn, people may choose to avoid
monitoring their investments or seeking out further financial news.
Post-purchase rationalization: The tendency to persuade oneself through rational argument that a purchase
was good value.
The group attribution error refers to people's tendency to believe either (1) that the characteristics of an
individual group member are reflective of the group as a whole, or (2) that a group's decision outcome must
reflect the preferences of individual group members, even when external information is available suggesting
otherwise.[1][2][3]
The group attribution error shares an attribution bias analogous to the fundamental attribution error.[2] Rather
than focusing individual's behavior, it relies on group outcomes and attitudes as its main for conclusions.
Naïve realism is the human tendency to believe that we see the world around us objectively, and that people
who disagree with us must be uninformed, irrational, or biased.
Naïve realism provides a theoretical basis for several other cognitive biases, which are systematic errors when
it comes to thinking and making decisions. These include the false consensus effect, actor-observer bias, bias
blind spot, and fundamental attribution error, among others.
The term, as it is used in psychology today, was coined by social psychologist Lee Ross and his colleagues in
the 1990s.[1][2] It is related to the philosophical concept of naïve realism, which is the idea that our senses allow
us to perceive objects directly and without any intervening processes. [3] Social psychologists in the mid-20th
century argued against this stance and proposed instead that perception is inherently subjective.[4]
Herd behaviour is a phenomenon in which individuals act collectively as part of a group, often making
decisions as a group that they would not make as an individual.
There are two generally accepted explanations of herd behaviour.
1. Firstly, the social pressure to conform means that individuals want to be accepted – and this means
behaving in the same way as others, even if that behaviour goes against your natural instincts.
2. Secondly, individuals find it hard to believe that a large group could be wrong (“2 heads are better than 1”)
and follow the group’s behaviour in the mistaken belief that the group knows something that the individual
doesn’t.
In short, herd behaviour is about making a decision based in part on the behaviour/choices of others.