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(VIETNAM) FB Bain Study 2020 Vietnam Full
(VIETNAM) FB Bain Study 2020 Vietnam Full
of Tomorrow,
Here Today
A SYNC SOUTHEAST ASIA REPORT
This is SYNC Southeast Asia
A thought leadership series designed to keep business leaders
in tune with the consumers of tomorrow.
Facebook, with Bain & Company, offer deep insights into the
emerging trends in SEA and the opportunities businesses can
tap into to evolve together with their consumers.
Introduction
How Southeast Asia’s Riding the digital wave: Southeast Asia Digital consumers
emerging middle class Southeast Asia’s digital digital consumer of tomorrow,
is embracing the consumer in the trends that shape here today
digital world discovery generation the next normal
01 02 03
See new Meet your digital Steering the
market potential consumers of future
tomorrow
Disruption has put
SEA on fast forward
01. See new market potential
(12% CAGR)
Estimates from: Forrester ForecastView, Forrester Analytics: Online Retail Forecast, 2019 to 2024 (Asia-Pacific, China, India, Southeast Asia, USA) by Forrester Research. Passport: Economies and
Consumers Annual Data 2018 to 2025, by Euromonitor. Digital 2019 (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam) by Hootsuite, Jan 2019. Riding the Digital Wave:
Capturing Southeast Asia’s Digital Consumer in the Discovery Generation” by Bain & Company (Facebook-commissioned survey of 12,965 respondents from ID, MY, PH, SG, TH, VN), Jun 2019.
01. See new market potential
More offline shoppers have moved online across all countries in SEA
2019
2020
21M (83%)
57M (74%)
137M (68%) 39M (68%) 4M
49M (65%) (79%)
ID PH VN TH MY SG
203M 77M 75M 58M 25M 5M
Estimates from: Forrester ForecastView, Forrester Analytics: Online Retail Forecast, 2019 to 2024 (Asia-Pacific, China, India, Southeast Asia, USA) by Forrester Research. Passport: Economies and Consumers Annual Data 2018 to 2025, by Euromonitor.
Digital 2019 (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam) by Hootsuite, Jan 2019. Riding the Digital Wave: Capturing Southeast Asia’s Digital Consumer in the Discovery Generation” by Bain & Company (Facebook-commissioned
survey of 12,965 respondents from ID, MY, PH, SG, TH, VN), Jun 2019.
01. See new market potential
2025F
$147b
2025F
$120b (previous forecast)
2.8X
$72b
3X 3.7X
$53b
$48b 2X 2.5X 1.8X
SEA ID MY PH TH SG VN
Estimates from: Forrester ForecastView, Forrester Analytics: Online Retail Forecast, 2019 to 2024 (Asia-Pacific, China, India, Southeast Asia, USA) by Forrester Research. Passport: Economies and Consumers Annual Data 2018 to 2025, by Euromonitor.
Digital 2019 (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam) by Hootsuite, Jan 2019. Riding the Digital Wave: Capturing Southeast Asia’s Digital Consumer in the Discovery Generation” by Bain & Company (Facebook-commissioned
survey of 12,965 respondents from ID, MY, PH, SG, TH, VN), Jun 2019.
01. See new market potential
2020F
2019
4%
India
The contribution of
online commerce to
5%
SEA
total retail has already
overtaken India’s
31%
Estimates from: Forrester ForecastView, Forrester Analytics: Online Retail
Forecast, 2019 to 2024 (Asia-Pacific, China, India, Southeast Asia, USA) by
China
Forrester Research. Passport: Economies and Consumers Annual Data 2018
to 2025, by Euromonitor. Digital 2019 (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines,
Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam) by Hootsuite, Jan 2019. Riding the Digital
Wave: Capturing Southeast Asia’s Digital Consumer in the Discovery
Generation” by Bain & Company (Facebook-commissioned survey of 12,965
respondents from ID, MY, PH, SG, TH, VN), Jun 2019.
01. See new market potential
India China
categories, with Groceries seeing largest spike of 1.8x
84% Vietnam
50%
1.4X
35% 34%
29% 27% 25%
20% 18%
15% 13%
Clothing Electronics Personal Beauty Household Toys Groceries Non-alc. Groceries Home Alcoholic Other Baby Home
care appliances (packaged) beverages (fresh) office beverages household care gym
furnishing
Purchase
frequency 4.8 3.9 4.6 4.3 3.3 3.8 8.7 7.3 10.5 3.8 7.4 4.6 6.6 2.8
in last 3 months
Avg. spend per
online transaction 33 73 29 37 90 20 38 25 40 108 27 141 49 82
(USD)
Estimates from: Forrester ForecastView, Forrester Analytics: Online Retail Forecast, 2019 to 2024 (Asia-Pacific, China, India, Southeast Asia, USA) by Forrester Research. Passport: Economies and Consumers Annual Data 2018 to 2025, by Euromonitor.
Digital 2019 (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam) by Hootsuite, Jan 2019. Riding the Digital Wave: Capturing Southeast Asia’s Digital Consumer in the Discovery Generation” by Bain & Company (Facebook-commissioned
survey of 12,965 respondents from ID, MY, PH, SG, TH, VN), Jun 2019.
01. See new market potential
SEA TH VN ID MY SG PH
Estimates from: Forrester ForecastView, Forrester Analytics: Online Retail Forecast, 2019 to 2024 2019 2020
(Asia-Pacific, China, India, Southeast Asia, USA) by Forrester Research. Passport: Economies and
Consumers Annual Data 2018 to 2025, by Euromonitor. Digital 2019 (Indonesia, Malaysia, the
Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam) by Hootsuite, Jan 2019. Riding the Digital Wave:
Capturing Southeast Asia’s Digital Consumer in the Discovery Generation” by Bain & Company
(Facebook-commissioned survey of 12,965 respondents from ID, MY, PH, SG, TH, VN), Jun 2019.
01. See new market potential Most essential
Before Jun 2019 Dec ’19 to Feb ’20 Mar to May ’20
Estimates from: Forrester ForecastView, Forrester Analytics: Online Retail Forecast, 2019 to 2024 (Asia-Pacific, China, India, Southeast Asia, USA) by Forrester Research. Passport: Economies and Consumers Annual Data 2018 to 2025, by Euromonitor.
Digital 2019 (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam) by Hootsuite, Jan 2019. Riding the Digital Wave: Capturing Southeast Asia’s Digital Consumer in the Discovery Generation” by Bain & Company (Facebook-commissioned
survey of 12,965 respondents from ID, MY, PH, SG, TH, VN), Jun 2019.
THE LAST 10 YEARS
40-49 19-24
Tier 2
30-34
Who we
spoke to
Interviewed executives
across the eco-system
Online has become
a way of life
02. Shift with the digital consumer
Increased adoption of online as channel
for shopping across markets
Across SEA, % responses citing online as most used channel
preference to buy
from online channels 48
46 46
44 45 45
has seen a leap
35
32 33
30
28 28 28
25
46%
of Vietnamese
consumers switched to SEA MY ID VN SG TH PH
purchase mostly online
in the past year 1.5X 1.9X 1.6X 1.4X 1.6X 1.3X 1.3X
Source: “Digital Consumers of Tomorrow, Here Today" by Facebook and Bain &
Company. (A Facebook-commissioned survey of 16,491 respondents from ID,
MY, PH, SG, TH, VN. Survey data only includes digital consumers who are
defined as: Respondents who selected 2 or more online retail categories:
Consumer electronics and accessories; household appliances and furnishings; Online (2019) Online (2020)
clothing, footwear, and accessories; personal care and beauty; toys and baby
care; groceries and food delivery.) Data analysed by Bain & Company. Survey
conducted May 2020.
02. Shift with the digital consumer
Source: “Digital Consumers of Tomorrow, Here Today" by Facebook and Bain & Company. (A Facebook-commissioned
survey of 16,491 respondents from ID, MY, PH, SG, TH, VN.) Survey conducted May 2020.
That’s why we call them
The Discovery Generation
ESSENTIALS
Source: “Digital Consumers of Tomorrow, Here Today" by Facebook and Bain & Company. (A Facebook-
commissioned survey of 16,491 respondents from ID, MY, PH, SG, TH, VN.) Survey conducted May 2020.
02. Shift with the digital consumer
1 Social media
Social media, messaging
and video are top activities
2 Messaging
done online daily for 3 Video streaming
Vietnamese consumers
4 Ecommerce
5 Email
Source: “Digital Consumers of Tomorrow, Here Today" by Facebook and Bain & Company. (A Facebook-commissioned survey of 16,491 respondents
from ID, MY, PH, SG, TH, VN.) Survey conducted May 2020.
02. Shift with the digital consumer
Long
0.90 (2%) Short
1st 2nd 3rd
Social Messaging Others
media
Source: “Digital Consumers of Tomorrow, Here Today" by Facebook and Bain & Company. (A Facebook-commissioned
survey of 16,491 respondents from ID, MY, PH, SG, TH, VN.) Survey conducted May 2020.
02. Shift with the digital consumer
Others Others
(2%) (4%)
Social media
is the primary
Search Search
channel for (35%)
Social
(37%)
Social
Discovery led
47% 30% Medium video
Others
12%
4% Long video
Discovery led
47%
90%
Others
12%
of Amazon’s product views
come from on-site search
“
As a lot of ‘search’ shifts onto
ecommerce platforms, brands
could start using it as a key media
channel itself. Acquisitions
through in-platform marketing
and SEO/SEM, among others,
point a path to the future —
assuming platforms can offer
such features.”
Managing Director
Kimberly Clark, ASEAN-5
New norm =
new purchasing habits,
\
new expectations
02. Shift with the digital consumer
Unique products and good deals drive interest
in new, different stores
% of respondents who tried new stores they never heard of before
2019 2020
ID 39% 40%
Vietnamese PH 36% 36% “I often buy from new
consumers are open stores if I find the
products interesting”
TH 58% 61%
to try different
online stores VN 53% 64%
MY 43% 40% “I buy from new stores
only when there are
good deals and
SG 38% 27% promotions”
Value-for-money 41%
offers reassurance
MY Found more Found
value-for-money better product
brand
69% SG
TH
of Vietnamese consumers switched
their most purchased brand
in the last 3 months Marketing appeal
PH of new brand
69
60
Embracing the
contactless
way of life, 20
15
even in payments 9
13
7 6
39%
39% 41% 0.7 – 1x $35-55*
34%
34% average spend
23%
Low Spenders segment
27%
23%
< 0.7x < $35*
20% 22% 22%
18%
average spend
ID MY PH SG TH VN
Source: “Digital Consumers of Tomorrow, Here Today" by Facebook and Bain & Company. (A Facebook-commissioned survey of 16,491 respondents from ID, MY, PH, SG, TH, VN.)
Survey conducted May 2020.
02. Shift with the digital consumer
Evolved Shoppers
>5 Majority
from Tier
High Shops as the need arises categories 1 cities
Spenders
Segment
Lifestyle Shoppers
Prefer promotions
1-2 Majority
from Tier
categories 1 cities
Tier 1
Mid
Deal Event Shoppers
5+ and
Tier 2
Spenders
Segment
Gen Z 2-3 Majority
from
Mixed categories Tier 2
Source: “Digital Consumers of Tomorrow, Here Today" by Facebook and Bain & Company. (A Facebook-
commissioned survey of 16,491 respondents from ID, MY, PH, SG, TH, VN.) Survey conducted May 2020.
02. Shift with the digital consumer
Source: “Digital Consumers of Tomorrow, Here Today" by Facebook and Bain & Company. (A Facebook-commissioned survey of 16,491 respondents from ID, MY, PH, SG, TH, VN.) Survey conducted May 2020.
02. Shift with the digital consumer
2019 2020
Source: “Digital Consumers of Tomorrow, Here Today" by Facebook and Bain & Company. (A Facebook-
commissioned survey of 16,491 respondents from ID, MY, PH, SG, TH, VN.) Survey conducted May 2020.
02. Shift with the digital consumer
Frequency of online
purchase in the 6.1 4.8 4.4 4.8 4.1 4.7
last 3 months
Source: “Digital Consumers of Tomorrow, Here Today" by Facebook and Bain & Company. (A Facebook-commissioned survey of 16,491 respondents from ID, MY, PH, SG, TH, VN.) Survey conducted May 2020.
The gap between
Tier 1 and 2 cities
is closing
02. Shift with the digital consumer % of high spenders in Tier 1 and Tier 2 shoppers across countries
2020
2019
18%
Tier Tier Tier Tier Tier Tier Tier Tier Tier Tier Tier Tier Tier
1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 2
SEA ID MY PH SG TH VN
Source: “Digital Consumers of Tomorrow, Here Today" by Facebook and
Bain & Company. (A Facebook-commissioned survey of 16,491
respondents from ID, MY, PH, SG, TH, VN.) Survey conducted May 2020.
02. Shift with the digital consumer
Tier 1 Tier 2
and Frequency
Average spend per online purchase $57 $40
Vietnam’s
Where they shop
digital consumer
of tomorrow is here 40% more online shops
Vietnamese consumers 69% of Vietnamese respondents
have switched their most
purchased at frequent brand in the last
vs. 2019 3 months
Source: “Digital Consumers of Tomorrow, Here Today" by Facebook and Bain & Company.
(A Facebook-commissioned survey of 16,491 respondents from ID, MY, PH, SG, TH, VN.)
Survey conducted May 2020.
+4M new digital consumers in
Vietnam from 2018 to >43% of Vietnamese
consumers are ‘high
2020 spenders’ across Tier 1
and 2 cities
01 02 03
See new Meet your digital Steering the
market potential consumers of future
tomorrow
03. Steering the future
Groceries
% respondents citing online as most used channel for purchasing
40%
more Vietnamese 32% 31% 30% 32% 32%
25%
1.5X consumers make fresh
groceries purchases
online 21% 20% 19%
25% 26%
21%
11%
SEA ID MY PH SG TH VN
35%
more Vietnamese consumers
1.3X make clothing, footwear and
accessories purchases online 32% 34% 35% 36%
30% 28% 30%
SEA ID MY PH SG TH VN
Personal care
% respondents citing online as most used channel for purchasing
SEA ID MY PH SG TH VN
2019 2020
consumers shop-
hopped across even MY 4.2 4.8 1.1X
SG 5.1 5.1 1X
“
Customers understandably
are seeking discounts and
value due to that sensitivity,
platform stickiness
encounters significant
challenges.
Khanh Ngo
Group Vice-President
Tiki Vietnam
03. Steering the future
Relative market share (RMS)
Refers to the leader’s market share vs. the second largest player
1.2X
MY
1.6X
1.2X
VN
1.7X
US
6.6X
In comparison,
food delivery sees TH 2.3 VN 2.0
a less fragmented
landscape
MY 2.0 PH 1.9
SG 1.8 ID 1.7
67%
57%
55%
51%
Wide NPS
in food delivery = 32%
opportunity to win
consumer loyalty 12%
0%
51% 14% 12% 41% 38%
-19%
2 Availability 2 Price
Source: “Digital Consumers of Tomorrow, Here Today" by Facebook and Bain & Company. (A Facebook-commissioned survey of 16,491 respondents from ID, MY, PH, SG, TH, VN.) Survey conducted May 2020.
Promoters make a difference:
They spend ~2X more than
detractors in ecommerce
Source: “Digital Consumers of Tomorrow, Here Today" by Facebook and Bain & Company. (A Facebook-commissioned survey of 16,491 respondents from ID, MY, PH, SG, TH, VN.) Survey conducted May 2020.
03. Steering the future
Promoters Detractors
5 Information 5 Availability
Source: “Digital Consumers of Tomorrow, Here Today" by Facebook and Bain & Company. (A Facebook-commissioned survey of 16,491 respondents from ID, MY, PH, SG, TH, VN.) Survey conducted May 2020.
The option for omnichannel
is no longer optional.
How can brands adapt?
03. Steering the future
1 2 3 4
Source: “Digital Consumers of Tomorrow, Here Today" by Facebook and Bain & Company. (A Facebook-commissioned survey of 16,491 respondents from ID, MY, PH, SG, TH, VN.) Survey conducted May 2020.
03. Steering the future
Consider Buy
Provide right assortment of Optimise conversion and
products and tailored pricing ecommerce experience
“
Consumers are moving online now for many
categories. So, for all consumer-packaged
goods, ecommerce is even more important and
we devise more omni-channel strategies moving
ahead. It’s the growth lever for us, and not a
passive channel at all. We choose our partners
accordingly, based on category fit and the drive
they have to grow together.”
Hira Triadi
Head of Ecommerce
Unilever Indonesia
Sailing forward:
The age of enablers
03. Steering the future
“
Deal value by sector of investment (USD B, Q1 2020)
$1.4b
Computer related
(5%) Food delivery (6%)
Utilities (6%)
Health (9%)
Financial services
(7%) Real estate (10%)
We are in the midst of a step change in
Ecommerce (12%) the growth of the digital economy, which
in turn drives a strong demand for digital
B2B Tech (13%)
financial services. As more consumers
and businesses shift to online, we see an
Internet and FinTech (16%)
technology increased need for both online payments
(82%) and various financial services, including
Ecommerce our businesses under SeaMoney.”
enabler
(34%)
Dr Santitarn Sathirathai
Group Chief Economist
Sea
Q1 2020 Q1 2020 Internet &
technology deals
Source: AVCJ (Asia Venture Capital Journal) transactions database (2019 to Q1 2020 PE/VC transactions in Southeast Asia)
03. Steering the future
“
The home-centric lifestyle has really
driven a huge surge in the uptake of
e-learning, gaming, ecommerce, and
food delivery platforms. There is
momentum for more disruptors to
thrive now. As consumers become
more open to disruption, we will add
more functionalities to our apps that
will support activities such as
gaming, stock-trading, and other
features to boost on-app usage.”
Prajit Nanu
Co-Founder and CEO
Nium
03. Steering the future