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Lecture No. 4
Chapter 3
Contemporary Engineering Economics
Copyright © 2016
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc.
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Chapter Opening Story
Take a Lump Sum or Annual Installments
Dearborn couple claimed
Missouri’s largest jackpot:
$293.75 million in 2012.
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc.
Park All Rights Reserved
What Do We Need to Know?
o Be able to compare the value of money at
different points in time.
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc.
Park All Rights Reserved
Time Value of Money
Money has a time value
because it can earn more
money over time
(earning power).
Money has a time value
because its purchasing
power changes over time
(inflation).
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc.
Park All Rights Reserved
The Market Interest Rate
o Interest is the cost of
money, a cost to the
borrower and a profit to
the lender.
o Time value of money is
measured in terms of
market interest rate,
which reflects both
earning and purchasing
power in the financial
market.
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc.
Park All Rights Reserved
Cash Flow Diagram
(A Graphical Representation of Cash Transactions over Time)
Borrow $20,000 at 9%
interest over 5 years,
requiring $200 loan
origination fee upfront.
The required annual
repayment is $5,141.85
over 5 years.
o n = 0: $20,000
o n = 0: $200
o n = 1 ~ 5: $5,141.85
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc.
Park All Rights Reserved
End-of-Period Convention
Convention: Any cash
flows occurring during the
interest period are
summed to a single
amount and placed at the
end of the interest period.
Logic: This convention
allows financial
institutions to make
interest calculations
easier.
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc.
Park All Rights Reserved
Methods of Calculating Interest
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc.
Park All Rights Reserved
Simple Interest
Formula • P = $1,000, i = 10%, N = 3
years
F P (iP)N
where End of Beginning Interest Ending
P = Principal amount Year Balance Earned Balance
i = simple interest rate 0 $1,000
N = number of interest periods
F = total amount accumulated at the end of period N 1 $1,000 $100 $1,100
2 $1,100 $100 $1,200
3 $1,200 $100 $1,300
• F = $1,000 + (0.10)($1,000)3
= $1,300
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc.
Park All Rights Reserved
Compound Interest
Formula • P = $1,000, i = 10%, N = 3 years
n 0:P End of
Year
Beginning
Balance
Interest
Earned
Ending
Balance
n 1: F1 P(1 i) 0 $1,000
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc.
Park All Rights Reserved
Compounding Process
$1,100
$1,210
0 $1,331
1
$1,000
2
3
$1,100
$1,210
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc.
Park All Rights Reserved
The Fundamental Law of Engineering
Economy
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc.
Park All Rights Reserved
Warren Buffett’s Berkshire
Hathaway
Went public in 1965: $18 per
share
Worth today (May 29, 2015):
$214,800 per share
Annual compound growth:
20.65%
Current market value:
$179.5 billion Assume that the company’s stock
will continue to appreciate at an annual rate
If his company continues to of 20.65% for the next 15 years. The stock
grow at the current pace, price per share at his 100th birthday would
what will be his company’s be
total market value when he
F = 214,800(1 + 0.2065)15 = $3,588,758
reaches 100? (He is 85 years
old as of 2015.)
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc.
Park All Rights Reserved
Example 3.2: Comparing Simple with
Compound Interest
In 1626, American Indians sold Manhattan Island to Peter
Minuit of the Dutch West Company for $24.
Given: If they saved just $1 from the proceeds in a bank
account that paid 8% interest, how much would their
descendents have in 2010?
Find: As of 2015, the total U.S. population would be close to
308 million. If the total sum would be distributed equally
among the population, how much would each person
receive?
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc.
Park All Rights Reserved
Solution
P $1
i 8%
N 384 years
F $1(1 0.08)384 $164,033,801,073,200
$164,033,801,073,200
Amount per person
308,000,000
$532,577
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc.
Park All Rights Reserved