Periode Periode Data ramalan 0,1 error ramalan 0,5

t t y(t) f(t+1) IPEII f(t+1)

1 1 5.3 5.0 26.666666666667 5.0
2 2 4.4 5.060 5.167
3 3 5.4 4.994 4.783
4 4 5.8 5.035 5.092
5 5 5.6 5.111 5.446
6 6 4.8 5.160 5.523
7 7 5.6 5.124 5.161
8 8 5.6 5.172 5.381
9 9 5.4 5.214 5.490
10 10 6.5 5.233 5.445
11 11 5.1 5.360 5.973
12 12 5.8 5.334 5.536
13 13 5.0 5.380 5.668
14 14 6.2 5.342 5.334
15 15 5.6 5.428 5.767
16 16 6.7 5.445 5.684
17 17 5.2 5.571 6.192
18 18 5.5 5.534 5.696
19 19 5.8 5.530 5.598
20 20 5.1 5.557 5.699
21 21 5.8 5.512 5.399
22 22 6.7 5.540 5.600
23 23 5.2 5.656 6.150
24 24 6.0 5.611 5.675
25 25 5.8 5.650 5.837
error
IPEII

Data Title
Chart
8.0
8.0
7.0 7.0

6.0 6.0

5.0 5.0

4.0 4.0
3.0
3.0
2.0
2.0
1.0
1.0
0.0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
0.0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
Data y(t) ramalan 0,1 f(t+1)
Periode Data pemulusan level pemulusan trend Ramalan
(t) (yt) L b F(t+1)
1 150.3 150.3 0.6
2 150.9 149.82 alpha 0.1
3 151.4 149.978 beta 0.1
4 151.9 149.978
5 152.2 149.978
6 152.5 149.978
7 152.5 149.978
8 152.9 149.978
9 153.2 149.978
10 153.7 149.978
11 153.6 149.978
12 153.5 149.978
13 154.4 149.978
14 154.9 149.978
15 155.7 149.978
16 156.3 149.978
17 156.6 149.978
18 156.7 149.978
19 157.0 149.978
20 157.3 149.978
21 157.8 149.978
22 158.3 149.978
23 158.6 149.978
24 158.6 149.978
25 159.1 149.978
26 159.6 149.978
27 160.0 149.978
28 160.2 149.978
29 160.1 149.978
30 160.3 149.978
31 160.5 149.978
32 160.8 149.978 Data
33 161.2 149.978 250.0
34 161.6 149.978
35 161.5 149.978
200.0
36 161.3 149.978
37 161.6 149.978
150.0
38 161.9 149.978
39 162.2 149.978
40 162.5 149.978 100.0

41 162.8 149.978
42 163.0 149.978 50.0
43 163.2 149.978
0.0
1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51 56 6
 100.0

50.0

44 163.4 149.978 0.0

1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51 56 6
45 163.6 149.978
46 164.0 149.978
47 164.0 149.978
48 163.9 149.978
49 164.3 149.978
50 164.5 149.978
51 165.0 149.978
52 166.2 149.978
53 166.2 149.978
54 166.2 149.978
55 166.7 149.978
56 167.1 149.978
57 167.9 149.978
58 168.2 149.978
59 168.3 149.978
60 168.3 149.978
61 168.8 149.978
62 169.8 149.978
63 171.2 149.978
64 171.3 149.978
65 171.5 149.978
66 172.4 149.978
67 172.8 149.978
68 172.8 149.978
69 173.7 149.978
70 174.0 149.978
71 174.1 149.978
72 174.0 149.978
73 175.1 149.978
74 175.8 149.978
75 176.2 149.978
76 176.9 149.978
77 177.7 149.978
78 178.0 149.978
79 177.5 149.978
80 177.5 149.978
81 178.3 149.978
82 177.7 149.978
83 177.4 149.978
84 176.7 149.978
85 177.1 149.978
86 177.8 149.978
87 178.8 149.978
88 179.8 149.978
 89 179.8 149.978
90 179.9 149.978
91 180.1 149.978
92 180.7 149.978
93 181.0 149.978
94 181.3 149.978
95 181.3 149.978
96 180.9 149.978
97 181.7 149.978
98 183.1 149.978
99 184.2 149.978
100 183.8 149.978
101 183.5 149.978
102 183.7 149.978
103 183.9 149.978
104 184.6 149.978
105 185.2 149.978
106 185.0 149.978
107 184.5 149.978
108 184.3 149.978
109 185.2 149.978
110 186.2 149.978
111 187.4 149.978
112 188.0 149.978
113 189.1 149.978
114 189.7 149.978
115 189.4 149.978
116 189.5 149.978
117 189.9 149.978
118 190.9 149.978
119 191.0 149.978
120 190.3 149.978
 Data

1 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51 56 61 66 71 76 81 86 91 96 101106111116
1 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51 56 61 66 71 76 81 86 91 96 101106111116