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By 2050 Around 2
By 2050 Around 2
Africa will account for the highest population spurt with an additional
1.3 billion people on the continent, a new UN population report shows.
But the rapid population growth poses a conundrum for many African
governments as to how public infrastructure, much of which is already
at a deficit, will keep pace with the rising number of citizens. Nigeria
currently struggles to cater to the education needs of its millions of
annual high school graduates. Indeed, between 2010 and 2015, of the
10 million applicants that sought entry into Nigerian tertiary
institutions, only 26% gained admission with Nigeria’s university
system sorely lacking in capacity.
UN’s report echoes similar sentiments. Across 47 countries (33 of
which are in Africa) which are designated by the United Nations as the
least developed countries, population is expected to nearly double
from 1 billion in 2017 to 1.9 billion by 2050. The population growth,
UN argues, will make it “harder” for governments in these countries
which are already struggling with reducing poverty and hunger as well
as improve access to standard health and education systems.
Household age and sex composition and life cycle stages are also important factors in frontier
LUCC. Although young children divert household labor resources from agriculture, older
children contribute labor to the farm or capture public access resources such as firewood, game,
and water. The settlement life cycle of farm homesteads also helps to explain when and where
forest clearing will occur (52, 53). Immediately following settlement, deforestation is high as
land is cleared for subsistence crops (51, 54). A later deforestation pulse may occur as farms
move from subsistence to market-oriented crops or expand into livestock. These processes are
enabled by children growing old enough to provide labor or capital investments (through, for
example, remittances) to the farm household (53).
Despite the high fertility of remote rural populations, migration remains the primary source of
population growth in forest frontiers (44). Indeed, at a key point along the forest transitions
causal chain, in-migration is a necessary precedent to frontier deforestation. Migration will
remain a major driver of frontier forest conversion, often in a leap-frog manner, as more
established farm households send younger family members as migrants to the new frontier (55).
Population growth can lead to many other coastal and marine environmental disturbances. For instance,
tropical mangroves are being converted to fish and shrimp aquaculture farms, which undermines coastal
protection and decreases natural habitat that many fish species use for reproduction. Expanding coastal
cities undermine natural protection from storms and hurricanes as well as increase pollution and runoff.
Additionally, untreated sewage and agricultural runoff continue to be a worldwide problem. Although
listed as a driver, like other issues, the impact of population size and growth depends on many other
factors such as the sensitivity of coastal systems to stress, local institutions, and global markets. For
example, demand for shrimp is the ultimate driver of mangrove loss, and sewage treatment systems and
no-till agriculture could significantly reduce nutrient loading in coastal areas.
This is the part of the video that struck me most. Africa's population growth is expected to continue
despite expected reductions in birth rates. The continent's share of the global population could rise from
17% at present to 40% by 2100. Africa is home to a bulk of the world's youngest countries, which will
increase the continent's birth rate.
Africa's share of the global population could rise from 17% at present to 40% by 2100. The
continued growth despite the drop in fertility rates is down to the "age structure" of the
continent's population. Beyond 2050, Africa is expected to be the only region still experiencing
"substantial population growth".
Africa will have the highest population growth in the world by 2050 with an estimated 1.3 billion people
on the continent, a new UN report shows. By 2050, Nigeria will become the world's third largest country
by population, becoming one of the six nations projected to have a population of over 300 million.
Africa's population is expected to nearly double from 1 billion in 2017 to 1.9 billion by 2050. Nigeria
currently struggles to cater for the education needs of its millions of annual high school graduates.
Between 2010 and 2015, of the 10 million applicants that sought entry into Nigerian tertiary institutions,
only 26% gained admission.\
Population growth can lead to many other coastal and marine environmental disturbances. Expanding
coastal cities undermine natural protection from storms and hurricanes. Sewage and agricultural runoff
continue to be a worldwide problem. Bringing Africa up with better government, education and
resulting wealth would slow and eventually stop population growth.