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Silicon Valley Vs.

Other Asset Classes

Technical Analysis
With Cornelius Luca
London February 12, 2014
All material is based on
“Technical Analysis Applications” and
“Trading in the Global Currency Markets” by Cornelius Luca

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Outline
1. California - Here I come. Why the Silicon Valley
portfolio?
2. Silicon Valley Composite Portfolio Construction
3. Silicon Valley Components and Fundamentals
4. Silicon Valley Composite Portfolio Technical
Analysis
5. Silicon Valley Composite Among Other Asset
Classes
California - Here I come.
Why the Silicon Valley?

• California passed Italy and the Russian Federation and


become the world’s eighth-largest economy in 2013.
• “Silicon Valley” is a leader.

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Silicon Composite Portfolio
Selection

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Info Tech Sector

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Silicon Portfolio Constituents

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Silicon Composite Portfolio
Construction

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Silicon Portfolio

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2
S&P 500 VS. Tech Sector vs. Leaders

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Silicon Portfolio Gainers & Losers

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Silicon Portfolio Gainers & Losers

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Silicon Portfolio Composite & Info Line
Monthly =Composite2 1/31/2010 - 4/30/2016 (EST)
Price
USD
2,618.58
100.0% 2,612.64 2,600.00
2,500.00
2,400.00
85.4% 2,362.95
2,300.00

76.4% 2,209.04 2,200.00


48.55 % 2,158.35
2,100.00
26 months 2,000.00
61.8% 1,959.36 855.83 USD 1,900.00
1,756.46 1,800.00
50.0% 1,757.56 1,762.75 1,700.00
1,600.00
38.2% 1,555.77
1,500.00
1,400.00

23.6% 1,306.08 94.32 % 1,300.00

14.6% 1,152.17 26 months 1,200.00


1,100.00
852.58 USD
1,000.00

0.0% 902.49 900.00


903.88
.12
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

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Silicon Composite Portfolio
A Fundamental Touch

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Silicon Portfolio Leaders & Fundamentals

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1
2
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2
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Inter-Asset
Analysis

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Trading Signals

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2
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Medium-term

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Short-term

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Very short-term

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0
Medium-term

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1
Short-term

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Very short-term

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Medium-term

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Short-term

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Very short-term

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Thank you!
Good luck!
Cornelius
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