DATOS MENSUALES DE PRECIPITACIÓN MÁXIMA EN 24 Hrs.

(mm)

Año Enero Febrero Marzo Abril Mayo Junio Julio Agosto Septiembre Octubre Noviembre Diciembre PPMáx.24h
1964 34.35 70.80 65.89 55.89 9.03 0.00 2.42 4.88 5.20 32.95 13.97 17.73 70.80
1965 25.72 53.23 70.17 65.91 3.10 0.00 0.00 1.37 1.47 2.92 10.55 37.74 70.17
1966 10.38 15.26 14.19 41.99 17.86 0.00 0.00 2.64 10.34 45.82 7.21 12.70 45.82
1967 83.51 116.22 81.63 32.62 11.67 1.30 6.43 1.17 4.82 30.92 0.00 12.63 116.22
1968 26.86 39.65 54.40 31.85 6.59 0.00 0.00 2.71 10.00 21.77 12.45 23.75 54.40
1969 17.67 66.30 85.19 48.23 3.12 5.40 1.01 2.83 1.85 19.30 39.10 47.94 85.19
1970 57.69 45.28 54.25 52.10 11.40 7.45 0.24 3.53 9.77 37.55 17.14 27.29 57.69
1971 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.10 0.00 11.20 4.00 28.90 11.60 42.90 42.90
1972 65.10 65.20 162.00 15.70 22.10 3.20 0.00 0.00 7.40 7.40 24.10 49.00 162.00
1973 105.20 40.90 110.60 138.20 38.20 12.00 1.30 0.00 34.10 19.60 17.90 29.90 138.20
1974 73.60 120.50 45.10 34.90 0.00 8.50 0.00 0.00 15.20 14.50 2.10 19.90 120.50
1975 71.40 145.80 198.20 69.00 5.90 8.40 1.30 26.30 13.90 49.70 21.60 7.20 198.20
1976 103.40 85.80 83.30 22.90 9.80 20.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.70 0.00 26.40 103.40
1977 142.60 113.00 83.30 42.90 10.70 0.00 1.80 0.00 13.00 16.70 0.70 45.40 142.60
1978 35.80 38.40 53.60 18.90 22.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.40 1.40 18.20 20.70 53.60
1979 16.60 26.10 146.90 0.00 6.30 0.00 3.80 4.30 6.10 1.50 0.00 6.70 146.90
1980 12.61 8.40 29.70 29.30 1.20 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 45.10 29.70 24.80 45.10
1981 64.50 176.50 82.30 33.30 0.00 1.30 0.00 4.00 1.80 38.00 4.70 40.30 176.50
1982 41.40 31.20 20.40 44.60 4.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.20 0.50 1.30 6.50 44.60
1983 1.14 0.02 30.80 59.46 4.04 0.00 0.00 0.01 14.66 25.06 9.79 12.18 59.46
1984 1.13 34.07 68.61 53.78 8.30 1.10 0.00 0.00 0.03 31.84 32.83 23.61 68.61
1985 1.81 71.52 50.32 17.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.10 21.84 0.01 0.04 23.55 71.52
1986 60.68 101.73 119.04 64.44 3.28 0.00 3.01 9.80 0.04 10.23 25.31 41.75 119.04
1987 123.94 85.23 64.12 68.44 3.12 0.35 4.14 4.23 2.60 10.05 12.10 23.46 123.94
1988 74.70 69.70 34.60 81.65 6.70 2.51 0.20 0.02 1.65 26.58 11.36 8.98 81.65
1989 59.49 132.16 98.11 62.35 2.01 4.14 0.00 3.03 4.54 0.01 1.12 12.42 132.16
1990 1.14 0.02 30.80 59.46 4.04 0.00 0.00 0.01 14.66 25.06 9.79 12.18 59.46
1991 1.13 34.07 68.61 53.78 8.30 1.10 0.00 0.00 0.03 31.84 32.83 23.61 68.61
1992 0.01 15.45 22.72 5.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.05 2.20 22.72
1993 0.00 72.69 124.12 47.78 14.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.90 39.27 4.67 38.26 124.12
1994 27.23 77.26 38.74 15.73 44.24 0.00 0.61 0.00 4.04 0.00 32.10 38.40 77.26
1995 37.33 52.11 22.69 47.74 9.88 7.65 1.82 0.00 6.65 28.19 13.40 51.42 52.11
1996 45.97 112.13 110.21 20.68 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.81 46.13 0.00 3.28 112.13
1997 4.50 86.37 17.38 38.39 8.18 0.90 0.00 0.00 7.03 20.29 24.82 100.55 100.55
1998 152.45 145.17 206.65 58.39 6.80 1.67 0.00 0.00 2.28 15.23 3.58 19.22 206.65
1999 57.47 202.05 53.41 50.73 34.25 5.19 0.52 0.00 21.83 12.17 9.49 39.46 202.05
2000 29.95 106.30 122.71 91.05 46.20 1.83 0.00 1.61 13.76 9.20 13.94 55.40 122.71
2001 106.69 43.46 203.05 38.88 11.26 0.67 0.00 0.00 15.99 17.63 31.11 22.07 203.05
2002 18.54 96.04 114.92 72.97 0.16 4.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.46 57.80 40.49 114.92
2003 30.24 58.32 40.85 22.22 11.36 3.29 0.00 0.00 1.06 5.04 6.46 53.12 58.32
2004 5.09 58.27 80.49 11.65 20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.43 41.20 10.28 27.68 80.49
2005 30.75 46.00 100.02 11.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.57 1.28 33.33 100.02
2006 47.66 94.81 184.57 56.87 5.29 10.12 1.07 0.00 0.72 0.00 22.93 38.87 184.57
2007 64.07 13.26 138.52 61.73 24.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.35 37.56 23.44 138.52
2008 77.17 116.96 99.80 65.10 1.00 1.31 0.00 0.00 0.77 27.10 31.23 0.00 116.96
2009 114.28 83.54 127.71 49.16 3.68 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.88 39.09 45.92 127.71
2010 29.26 116.58 70.24 46.21 19.15 0.00 1.90 0.00 8.76 2.67 23.83 30.42 116.58
2011 46.14 14.27 69.68 133.40 0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.76 0.40 19.62 43.24 133.40
2012 48.14 133.07 108.63 82.33 18.27 2.67 0.00 0.00 0.39 49.36 25.41 26.59 133.07
2013 49.21 83.00 149.18 21.85 21.75 0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.78 0.00 27.04 149.18
2014 41.95 86.44 56.44 29.95 14.93 0.28 0.00 0.47 4.35 6.17 10.49 21.26 86.44
2015 30.69 30.53 81.84 36.67 12.70 0.00 0.00 0.34 3.35 2.94 13.33 13.04 81.84
2016 21.24 38.97 42.78 37.58 3.94 0.83 0.00 0.09 1.65 3.44 0.00 19.68 42.78
2017 49.34 42.69 96.03 41.34 12.61 2.50 0.00 1.08 1.61 19.46 0.00 21.71 96.03
2018 22.04 45.50 45.40 39.96 13.62 0.00 0.00 0.09 3.75 10.75 10.76 17.50 45.50
103.44
 DISTRIBUCIÓN LOG NORMAL 2 PARÁMETROS

función de
año PP MÁXIMA Y=ln (x) densidad

1 22.72 3.123245594 0.014247953

2 42.78 3.756133462 0.238623369
3 42.90 3.758871826 0.240692197
4 44.60 3.797733859 0.271163074
5 45.10 3.808882247 0.280276046
6 45.50 3.817800961 0.287681074
7 45.82 3.824763943 0.293531604
8 52.11 3.953304672 0.410759982
9 53.60 3.981549068 0.438247033
10 54.40 3.99640137 0.452837903
11 57.69 4.055122978 0.510904937
12 58.32 4.065886092 0.521530168
13 59.46 4.085303818 0.540612516
14 59.46 4.085303818 0.540612516
15 68.61 4.228438297 0.671818339
16 68.61 4.228438297 0.671818339
17 70.17 4.25092172 0.689867525
18 70.80 4.259837379 0.696759136
19 71.52 4.269977131 0.704402108
20 77.26 4.347159458 0.754911711
21 80.49 4.388178327 0.775481268
22 81.65 4.402441819 0.781502538
23 81.84 4.404742069 0.782416945
24 85.19 4.444839063 0.795756613
25 86.44 4.459481767 0.799372381
26 96.03 4.564711402 0.804801789
27 100.02 4.605354031 0.797179047
28 100.55 4.610704748 0.795780058
29 103.40 4.638604962 0.78702958
30 112.13 4.719661711 0.748500016
31 114.92 4.744241948 0.733286681
32 116.22 4.755510653 0.725815738
33 116.58 4.758547405 0.723751141
34 116.96 4.761829887 0.721495461
35 119.04 4.779487572 0.70894482
36 120.50 4.791649753 0.699907855
37 122.71 4.8098164 0.685849769
38 123.94 4.819797578 0.677856688
39 124.12 4.821245528 0.676681995
40 127.71 4.849799954 0.652782507
41 132.16 4.88401331 0.622514125
42 133.07 4.890899477 0.616236804
43 133.40 4.893315995 0.614020736
44 138.20 4.928701911 0.580875974
45 138.52 4.931040592 0.57864506
46 142.60 4.960043508 0.550655144
47 146.90 4.989752083 0.521522719
48 149.18 5.005147021 0.506317978
49 162.00 5.087596335 0.425045507
50 176.50 5.173320876 0.344046861
51 184.57 5.218039123 0.304464826
52 198.20 5.289276622 0.246398318
53 202.05 5.308514587 0.231885288
54 203.05 5.313434666 0.228257407
55 206.65 5.331023366 0.215571403

promedio 4.52781531
desviación 0.494323654
LOG NORMAL 2 PARÁMETROS

función de distribución
probabilidad teórica diferencia
acumulada WEIBULL

0.0022458183695 0.018181818 0.015936

0.0592517034964 0.036363636 0.022888067
función de densidad
0.0599079714112 0.054545455 0.005362517
0.0698471965309 0.072727273 0.002880076 0.9
0.072920875458 0.090909091 0.017988215
0.8
0.0754535243175 0.109090909 0.033637385
0.0774769761219 0.127272727 0.049795751 0.7
0.1225739596476 0.145454545 0.022880586
0.6
0.1345628755742 0.163636364 0.029073488
0.1411801133256 0.181818182 0.040638068 0.5
0.1694753540106 0.2 0.030524646
0.1750314855012 0.218181818 0.043150333 0.4
0.1853438996406 0.236363636 0.051019737
0.3
0.1853438996406 0.254545455 0.069201555
0.2723803868669 0.272727273 0.000346886 0.2
0.2723803868669 0.290909091 0.018528704
0.2876898093855 0.309090909 0.0214011 0.1

0.2938712713409 0.327272727 0.033401456

0
0.3009751633969 0.345454545 0.044479382 0.00 50.00 100.00 150.00 200.00
0.3573837813472 0.363636364 0.006252582
0.3887874012224 0.381818182 0.006969219
0.399892129498 0.4 0.000107871 1.2

0.4016908354936 0.418181818 0.016490983

0.4333474432122 0.436363636 0.003016193 1
0.4450267780413 0.454545455 0.009518677
0.5297492452487 0.472727273 0.057021973 0.8
0.5623217004525 0.490909091 0.07141261
0.5665834774904 0.509090909 0.057492568 0.6
0.5886694788992 0.527272727 0.061396752
0.6510285285272 0.545454545 0.105573983 0.4
0.6692429752945 0.563636364 0.105606612
0.6774643564325 0.581818182 0.095646175
0.2
0.6796653498852 0.6 0.07966535
0.6820373545144 0.618181818 0.063855536
0
0.6946675056636 0.636363636 0.058303869 0.00 50.00 100.00 150.00 200.00 2
0.7032351805734 0.654545455 0.048689726
0.7158234503415 0.672727273 0.043096178
0.722629301741 0.690909091 0.031720211
0.7236099549806 0.709090909 0.014519046
 0.742594235718 0.727272727 0.015321508
0.7644149364435 0.745454545 0.018960391
0.7686800919522 0.763636364 0.005043728
0.7701665628301 0.781818182 0.011651619
0.7913114246402 0.8 0.008688575
0.7926673004959 0.818181818 0.025514518
0.809045143256 0.836363636 0.027318493
0.8249724546707 0.854545455 0.029573
0.832884288702 0.872727273 0.039842984
0.8712706389703 0.890909091 0.019638452
0.9041958133217 0.909090909 0.004895096
0.9186878205132 0.927272727 0.008584907
0.9382698296928 0.945454545 0.007184716
0.9428695994127 0.963636364 0.020766764
0.9440015546241 0.981818182 0.037816627
0.9479040890627 1 0.052095911
28.1147046840684 SUMA 1.8223873529
 DISTRIBUCIÓN GUMBEL

PROBABILID
AD DE NO
EXCEDENCIA
PP MÁXIMA ORDEN

sidad
206.65 1 0.982142857 4.0163559657197 101.5881861
203.05 2 0.964285714 3.3140757960467
202.05 3 0.946428571 2.8993358260789
198.20 4 0.928571429 2.6022321660471
184.57 5 0.910714286 2.3695151862129
176.50 6 0.892857143 2.1774629628781
162.00 7 0.875 2.01341867804
149.18 8 0.857142857 1.8698247144926
146.90 9 0.839285714 1.7418037615679
142.60 10 0.821428571 1.6260232202028
138.52 11 0.803571429 1.520103730823
138.20 12 0.785714286 1.4222861365497
133.40 13 0.767857143 1.3312321927109
133.07 14 0.75 1.2458993237072
132.16 15 0.732142857 1.165458673978
127.71 16 0.714285714 1.0892396396275
50.00 200.00 250.00 124.12 17 0.696428571 1.0166912226917
123.94 18 0.678571429 0.9473544235464
122.71 19 0.660714286 0.8808420805215
120.50 20 0.642857143 0.8168238570204
119.04 21 0.625 0.7550148625084
116.96 22 0.607142857 0.6951668865557
116.58 23 0.589285714 0.6370615422082
116.22 24 0.571428571 0.5805048236949
114.92 25 0.553571429 0.5253227236712
112.13 26 0.535714286 0.4713576510028
103.40 27 0.517857143 0.4184654565054
100.55 28 0.5 0.3665129205817
100.02 29 0.482142857 0.3153755894563
96.03 30 0.464285714 0.2649358696838
86.44 31 0.446428571 0.2150813063941
85.19 32 0.428571429 0.1657029809937
00 200.00 250.00 81.84 33 0.410714286 0.1166939697473
81.65 34 0.392857143 0.0679478062827
80.49 35 0.375 0.0193568885805
77.26 36 0.357142857 -0.029189236078
71.52 37 0.339285714 -0.0778057875418
 70.80 38 0.321428571 -0.126614970459
70.17 39 0.303571429 -0.1757486245585
68.61 40 0.285714286 -0.225351486826
68.61 41 0.267857143 -0.2755853180759
59.46 42 0.25 -0.3266342599783
59.46 43 0.232142857 -0.378711968493
58.32 44 0.214285714 -0.4320713623047
57.69 45 0.196428571 -0.4870183162086
54.40 46 0.178571429 -0.5439314856543
53.60 47 0.160714286 -0.6032920074847
52.11 48 0.142857143 -0.6657298105783
45.82 49 0.125 -0.7320993680864
45.50 50 0.107142857 -0.8036111510884
45.10 51 0.089285714 -0.8820775916464
44.60 52 0.071428571 -0.9704217812774
42.90 53 0.053571429 -1.0738889713126
42.78 54 0.035714286 -1.2036341000247
22.72 55 0.017857143 -1.3926122836336
5688.94 SUMA 27.5 30.274450955019

N= 56
EL

VALORES DE
GUMBEL PROBABILIDAD
DE NO PP MÁXIMA
EXCEDENCIA

0.540615196 39.3874023004 80.29475788912 238.488586 0.98214285714 206.65

210.827595 0.96428571429 203.05
194.492064 0.94642857143 202.05
182.789923 0.92857142857 198.20
173.623806 0.91071428571 184.57
166.059368 0.89285714286 176.50
159.598089 0.875 162.00
153.942296 0.85714285714 149.18
148.899883 0.83928571429 146.90
144.339589 0.82142857143 142.60
140.167695 0.80357142857 138.52
136.314914 0.78571428571 138.20
132.728536 0.76785714286 133.40
129.367496 0.75 133.07
126.199148 0.73214285714 132.16
123.197078 0.71428571429 127.71
120.339584 0.69642857143 124.12
117.608588 0.67857142857 123.94
114.988839 0.66071428571 122.71
112.467328 0.64285714286 120.50
110.032832 0.625 119.04
107.675576 0.60714285714 116.96
105.386957 0.58928571429 116.58
103.159335 0.57142857143 116.22
100.985855 0.55357142857 114.92
98.8603113 0.53571428571 112.13
96.7770252 0.51785714286 103.40
94.7307497 0.5 100.55
92.7165831 0.48214285714 100.02
90.7298936 0.46428571429 96.03
88.7662518 0.44642857143 86.44
86.8213679 0.42857142857 85.19
84.8910302 0.41071428571 81.84
82.9710455 0.39285714286 81.65
81.0571754 0.375 80.49
79.1450697 0.35714285714 77.26
77.23019 0.33928571429 71.52
75.3077231 0.32142857143 70.80
73.3724761 0.30357142857 70.17
71.4187482 0.28571428571 68.61
69.4401681 0.26785714286 68.61
67.4294829 0.25 59.46
65.3782772 0.23214285714 59.46
63.2765893 0.21428571429 58.32
61.1123715 0.19642857143 57.69
58.8707096 0.17857142857 54.40
56.5326529 0.16071428571 53.60
54.07339 0.14285714286 52.11
51.4592656 0.125 45.82
48.6426022 0.10714285714 45.50
45.5520129 0.08928571429 45.10
42.0723648 0.07142857143 44.60
37.997061 0.05357142857 42.90
32.8867374 0.03571428571 42.78
25.4433776 0.01785714286 22.72
VALORES DE
GUMBEL

300.00
238.488586
210.827595
194.492064 250.00

182.789923
173.623806 200.00
166.059368
159.598089 150.00
153.942296
148.899883 100.00
144.339589
140.167695 50.00
136.314914
132.728536
0.00
129.367496 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2
126.199148
123.197078
120.339584
117.608588
114.988839
112.467328
110.032832
107.675576
105.386957
103.159335
100.985855
98.8603113
96.7770252
94.7307497
92.7165831
90.7298936
88.7662518
86.8213679
84.8910302
82.9710455
81.0571754
79.1450697
77.23019
75.3077231
73.3724761
71.4187482
69.4401681
67.4294829
65.3782772
63.2765893
61.1123715
58.8707096
56.5326529
54.07339
51.4592656
48.6426022
45.5520129
42.0723648
37.997061
32.8867374
25.4433776
DISTRIBUCION DE PROBABILIDADES PLUVIOMÉTRICAS MEDIANTE LOG NORMAL 2
PARÁMETROS

MES Precipitación
N° AÑO Max. Y=lnxi (xi-x)^2 (xi-x)^3
Precip.

1 1964 FEBRERO 4.26 0.07 -0.02

2 1965 MARZO 4.25 0.08 -0.02
3 1966 OCTUBRE 3.82 0.49 -0.35
4 1967 FEBRERO 4.76 0.05 0.01
5 1968 MARZO 4.00 0.28 -0.15
6 1969 MARZO 4.44 0.01 0.00
7 1970 ENERO 4.06 0.22 -0.11
8 1971 DICIEMBRE 3.76 0.59 -0.45
9 1972 MARZO 5.09 0.31 0.18
10 1973 ABRIL 4.93 0.16 0.06
11 1974 FEBRERO 4.79 0.07 0.02
12 1975 MARZO 5.29 0.58 0.44
13 1976 ENERO 4.64 0.01 0.00
14 1977 ENERO 4.96 0.19 0.08
15 1978 MARZO 3.98 0.30 -0.16
16 1979 MARZO 4.99 0.21 0.10
17 1980 OCTUBRE 3.81 0.52 -0.37
18 1981 FEBRERO 5.17 0.42 0.27
19 1982 ABRIL 3.80 0.53 -0.39
20 1983 ABRIL 4.09 0.20 -0.09
21 1984 MARZO 4.23 0.09 -0.03
22 1985 FEBRERO 4.27 0.07 -0.02
23 1986 MARZO 4.78 0.06 0.02
24 1987 ENERO 4.82 0.09 0.02
25 1988 ABRIL 4.40 0.02 0.00
26 1989 FEBRERO 4.88 0.13 0.05
27 1990 ABRIL 4.09 0.20 -0.09
28 1991 MARZO 4.23 0.09 -0.03
29 1992 MARZO 3.12 1.97 -2.77
30 1993 MARZO 4.82 0.09 0.03
31 1994 FEBRERO 4.35 0.03 -0.01
32 1995 FEBRERO 3.95 0.33 -0.19
33 1996 FEBRERO 4.72 0.04 0.01
34 1997 DICIEMBRE 4.61 0.01 0.00
35 1998 MARZO 5.33 0.65 0.52
36 1999 FEBRERO 5.31 0.61 0.48
37 2000 MARZO 4.81 0.08 0.02
38 2001 MARZO 5.31 0.62 0.48
39 2002 MARZO 4.74 0.05 0.01
40 2003 FEBRERO 4.07 0.21 -0.10
41 2004 MARZO 4.39 0.02 0.00
42 2005 MARZO 4.61 0.01 0.00
43 2006 MARZO 5.22 0.48 0.33
44 2007 MARZO 4.93 0.16 0.07
45 2008 FEBRERO 4.76 0.05 0.01
46 2009 MARZO 4.85 0.10 0.03
47 2010 FEBRERO 4.76 0.05 0.01
48 2011 ABRIL 4.89 0.13 0.05
49 2012 FEBRERO 4.89 0.13 0.05
50 2013 MARZO 5.01 0.23 0.11
51 2014 FEBRERO 4.46 0.00 0.00
52 2015 MARZO 4.40 0.02 0.00
53 2016 MARZO 3.76 0.60 -0.46
54 2017 MARZO 4.56 0.00 0.00
55 2018 FEBRERO 3.82 0.50 -0.36
SUMA 249.03 13.20 -2.71
PROMEDIO 4.53
 Cálculo variables probabilísticas

4.53 mm

a= -0.05199728

0.49 mm

-0.43 mm

0.41 mm

1.43 mm

Cálculo de las Precipitaciones Diarias Máximas Probables para distintas Frecuencias

Periodo Variable Precip. Prob. De Corección

retorno reducida (mm) ocurrencia intervalo fijo
años YT XT F(xT) XT (mm)
2 0.3665 4.8373 0.18702947 5.4661
5 1.4999 7.7190 0.04069865 8.7225
10 2.2504 10.5181 0.00731273 11.8854
25 3.1985 15.5496 0.00037360 17.5711
50 3.9019 20.7814 0.00002301 23.4830
100 4.6001 27.7141 0.00000089 31.3169
500 6.2136 53.9033 0.00000000 60.9107
COEFICIENTE PARA LAS RELACIONES A LA LLUVIA DE DURACIÓN 24 HORAS

Duración en Horas
1 2 3 4 5 6 8 12 18 24
0.25 0.31 0.38 0.44 0.5 0.56 0.64 0.79 0.9 1

PRECIPITACIONES MÁXIMAS PARA DIFERENTES TIEMPOS DE DURACIÓN DE LLUVIA

tiempo de Precipitación máxima Pd (mm) Máxima por Tiempos de Duración

Cociente
duración (h) 2 años 5 años 10años 25 años 50 años 100 años 500 años
24 x24 5.4661 8.7225 11.8854 17.5711 23.4830 31.3169 60.9107
18 x18=90% 4.9195 7.8502 10.6969 15.8140 21.1347 28.1852 54.8196
12 x12=79% 4.3183 6.8907 9.3895 13.8812 18.5516 24.7404 48.1194
8 x8=64% 3.4983 5.5824 7.6067 11.2455 15.0291 20.0428 38.9828
6 x6=56% 3.0610 4.8846 6.6558 9.8398 13.1505 17.5375 34.1100
5 x5=50% 2.7331 4.3612 5.9427 8.7855 11.7415 15.6585 30.4553
4 x4=44% 2.4051 3.8379 5.2296 7.7313 10.3325 13.7794 26.8007
3 x3=38% 2.0771 3.3145 4.5165 6.6770 8.9235 11.9004 23.1461
2 x24=31% 1.6945 2.7040 3.6845 5.4470 7.2797 9.7082 18.8823
1 x1=25% 1.3665 2.1806 2.9714 4.3928 5.8708 7.8292 15.2277

INTENSIDADES DE LLUVIA A PARTIR DE PD, SEGÚN DURACIÓN Y FRECUENCIA DE LA MISMA

Tiempo de duración Intesidad de lluvia (mm/hr) según el periodo de retorno

Hr min 2 años 5 años 10años 25 años 50 años 100 años 500 años
24 1440 0.228 0.363 0.495 0.732 0.978 1.305 2.538
18 1080 0.273 0.436 0.594 0.879 1.174 1.566 3.046
12 720 0.360 0.574 0.782 1.157 1.546 2.062 4.010
8 480 0.437 0.698 0.951 1.406 1.879 2.505 4.873
6 360 0.510 0.814 1.109 1.640 2.192 2.923 5.685
5 300 0.547 0.872 1.189 1.757 2.348 3.132 6.091
4 240 0.601 0.959 1.307 1.933 2.583 3.445 6.700
3 180 0.692 1.105 1.505 2.226 2.975 3.967 7.715
2 120 0.847 1.352 1.842 2.724 3.640 4.854 9.441
1 60 1.367 2.181 2.971 4.393 5.871 7.829 15.228
REPRESENTACIÓN MATEMÁTICA DE LAS CURVAS DURACIÓN- FRECUENCIA - PERIODO DE RETORNO

pag 38 manual de hidrología y drenaje

DONDE:
I intesidad (mm/h)
t duració n de la lluvia (mm)
T Periodo de Retorno (añ os)
k,m,n Pará metro de ajuste

REALIZANDO UN CAMBIO DE VARIABLE

CON LO QUE SE OBTIENE LA EXPRESIÓN

Periodo de
retorno para x y lnx lny lnx*lny (lnx)^2
T=2 años

N 1440 0.2278 7.2724 -1.4795 -10.7594 52.8878

1 1080 0.2733 6.9847 -1.2972 -9.0603 48.7863
2 720 0.3599 6.5793 -1.0221 -6.7244 43.2865
3 480 0.4373 6.1738 -0.8272 -5.1067 38.1156
4 360 0.5102 5.8861 -0.6730 -3.9614 34.6462
5 300 0.5466 5.7038 -0.6040 -3.4451 32.5331
6 240 0.6013 5.4806 -0.5087 -2.7880 30.0374
7 180 0.6924 5.1930 -0.3676 -1.9090 26.9668
8 120 0.8473 4.7875 -0.1658 -0.7936 22.9201
9 60 1.3665 4.0943 0.3123 1.2786 16.7637
10 4980.00 5.862 58.155 -6.633 -43.269 346.944
10 2.4627 d= 11.7366 n= -0.5375
ln(d)=

series T= 2 años

x y
1440 0.2278
1080 0.2733
720 0.3599
480 0.4373
360 0.5102
300 0.5466
240 0.6013
180 0.6924
120 0.8473
60 1.3665

Regresión T= 2 años
1.6000
1.4000
Intensidad (mm/h)

1.2000 f(x) = 11.7366352595166 x^-0.537521437018564

1.0000 R² = 0.99481409726221
0.8000
0.6000
0.4000
0.2000
0.0000
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600
Duración (min)

Periodo de
retorno para x y lnx lny lnx*lny (lnx)^2
T=5 años

N 1440 0.3634 7.2724 -1.0122 -7.3608 52.8878

1 1080 0.4361 6.9847 -0.8298 -5.7961 48.7863
2 720 0.5742 6.5793 -0.5547 -3.6497 43.2865
3 480 0.6978 6.1738 -0.3598 -2.2215 38.1156
4 360 0.8141 5.8861 -0.2057 -1.2106 34.6462
5 300 0.8722 5.7038 -0.1367 -0.7796 32.5331
6 240 0.9595 5.4806 -0.0414 -0.2268 30.0374
7 180 1.1048 5.1930 0.0997 0.5178 26.9668
8 120 1.3520 4.7875 0.3016 1.4438 22.9201
9 60 2.1806 4.0943 0.7796 3.1920 16.7637
10 4980.00 9.355 58.155 -1.959 -16.092 346.944
10 2.9300 d= 18.7284 n= -0.5375
ln(d)=

series T= 5 años

x y
1440 0.3634
1080 0.4361
720 0.5742
480 0.6978
360 0.8141
300 0.8722
240 0.9595
180 1.1048
120 1.3520
60 2.1806

Regresión T=5 años

2.5000
Intensidad (mm/h)

2.0000
f(x) = 18.7284204893607 x^-0.537521437018564
1.5000 R² = 0.994814097262209
1.0000
0.5000
0.0000
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600
Duración (min)
 Regresión T=5 años
2.5000

Intensidad (mm/h)
2.0000
f(x) = 18.7284204893607 x^-0.537521437018564
1.5000 R² = 0.994814097262209
1.0000
0.5000
0.0000
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600
Duración (min)

Periodo de
retorno para x y lnx lny lnx*lny (lnx)^2
T=10 años

N 1440 0.4952 7.2724 -0.7027 -5.1106 52.8878

1 1080 0.5943 6.9847 -0.5204 -3.6350 48.7863
2 720 0.7825 6.5793 -0.2453 -1.6140 43.2865
3 480 0.9508 6.1738 -0.0504 -0.3113 38.1156
4 360 1.1093 5.8861 0.1037 0.6106 34.6462
5 300 1.1885 5.7038 0.1727 0.9852 32.5331
6 240 1.3074 5.4806 0.2680 1.4690 30.0374
7 180 1.5055 5.1930 0.4091 2.1245 26.9668
8 120 1.8422 4.7875 0.6110 2.9251 22.9201
9 60 2.9714 4.0943 1.0890 4.4588 16.7637
10 4980.00 12.747 58.155 1.135 1.902 346.944
10 3.2395 d= 25.5198 n= -0.5375
ln(d)=

series T= 10 años

x y
1440 0.4952
1080 0.5943
720 0.7825
480 0.9508
360 1.1093
300 1.1885
240 1.3074
180 1.5055
120 1.8422
60 2.9714

Regresión T= 10 años
3.5000
Intensidad (mm/h)

3.0000
2.5000 f(x) = 25.5197670175179 x^-0.537521437018564
2.0000 R² = 0.99481409726221
1.5000
1.0000
0.5000
0.0000
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600
Duración (min)

Periodo de
retorno para x y lnx lny lnx*lny (lnx)^2
T=25 años

N 1440 0.7321 7.2724 -0.3118 -2.2675 52.8878

1 1080 0.8786 6.9847 -0.1295 -0.9044 48.7863
2 720 1.1568 6.5793 0.1456 0.9581 43.2865
3 480 1.4057 6.1738 0.3405 2.1023 38.1156
4 360 1.6400 5.8861 0.4947 2.9117 34.6462
5 300 1.7571 5.7038 0.5637 3.2150 32.5331
6 240 1.9328 5.4806 0.6590 3.6116 30.0374
7 180 2.2257 5.1930 0.8001 4.1547 26.9668
8 120 2.7235 4.7875 1.0019 4.7967 22.9201
9 60 4.3928 4.0943 1.4800 6.0595 16.7637
10 4980.00 18.845 58.155 5.044 24.638 346.944
10 3.6304 d= 37.7277 n= -0.5375
ln(d)=

series T= 25 años

x y
1440 0.7321
1080 0.8786
720 1.1568
480 1.4057
360 1.6400
300 1.7571
240 1.9328
180 2.2257
120 2.7235
60 4.3928

Regresión T= 25 años
5.0000
Intensidad (mm/h)

4.0000
f(x) = 37.7277211418482 x^-0.537521437018564
3.0000 R² = 0.994814097262209
2.0000
1.0000
0.0000
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600
Duración (min)

Periodo de
retorno para x y lnx lny lnx*lny (lnx)^2
T=50 años

N 1440 0.9785 7.2724 -0.0218 -0.1584 52.8878

1 1080 1.1742 6.9847 0.1605 1.1214 48.7863
2 720 1.5460 6.5793 0.4356 2.8662 43.2865
 3 480 1.8786 6.1738 0.6305 3.8929 38.1156
4 360 2.1917 5.8861 0.7847 4.6188 34.6462
5 300 2.3483 5.7038 0.8537 4.8693 32.5331
6 240 2.5831 5.4806 0.9490 5.2011 30.0374
7 180 2.9745 5.1930 1.0901 5.6607 26.9668
8 120 3.6399 4.7875 1.2919 6.1852 22.9201
9 60 5.8708 4.0943 1.7700 7.2469 16.7637
10 4980.00 25.186 58.155 7.944 41.504 346.944
10 3.9204 d= 50.4215 n= -0.5375
ln(d)=

series T= 50 años

x y
1440 0.9785
1080 1.1742
720 1.5460
480 1.8786
360 2.1917
300 2.3483
240 2.5831
180 2.9745
120 3.6399
60 5.8708

Regresión T= 50 años
7.0000
Intensidad (mm/h)

6.0000
5.0000 f(x) = 50.4215214140886 x^-0.537521437018564
4.0000 R² = 0.994814097262209
3.0000
2.0000
1.0000
0.0000
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600
Duración (min)

Periodo de
retorno para x y lnx lny lnx*lny (lnx)^2
T=100 años

N 1440 1.3049 7.2724 0.2661 1.9352 52.8878

1 1080 1.5658 6.9847 0.4484 3.1321 48.7863
2 720 2.0617 6.5793 0.7235 4.7603 43.2865
3 480 2.5054 6.1738 0.9184 5.6702 38.1156
4 360 2.9229 5.8861 1.0726 6.3133 34.6462
5 300 3.1317 5.7038 1.1416 6.5113 32.5331
6 240 3.4449 5.4806 1.2369 6.7789 30.0374
7 180 3.9668 5.1930 1.3780 7.1557 26.9668
8 120 4.8541 4.7875 1.5798 7.5634 22.9201
9 60 7.8292 4.0943 2.0579 8.4256 16.7637
10 4980.00 33.587 58.155 10.823 58.246 346.944
10 4.2083 d= 67.2421 n= -0.5375
ln(d)=

series T= 100 años

x y
1440 1.3049
1080 1.5658
720 2.0617
480 2.5054
360 2.9229
300 3.1317
240 3.4449
180 3.9668
120 4.8541
60 7.8292
 Regresión T= 100 años
10.0000

Intensidad (mm/h)
8.0000
6.0000 f(x) = 67.242102399853 x^-0.537521437018564
R² = 0.994814097262209
4.0000
2.0000
0.0000
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600
Duración (min)

Periodo de
retorno para x y lnx lny lnx*lny (lnx)^2
T=500 años

N 1440 2.5379 7.2724 0.9314 6.7732 52.8878

1 1080 3.0455 6.9847 1.1137 7.7787 48.7863
2 720 4.0100 6.5793 1.3888 9.1371 43.2865
3 480 4.8729 6.1738 1.5837 9.7773 38.1156
4 360 5.6850 5.8861 1.7378 10.2291 34.6462
5 300 6.0911 5.7038 1.8068 10.3057 32.5331
6 240 6.7002 5.4806 1.9021 10.4249 30.0374
7 180 7.7154 5.1930 2.0432 10.6103 26.9668
8 120 9.4412 4.7875 2.2451 10.7483 22.9201
9 60 15.2277 4.0943 2.7231 11.1494 16.7637
10 4980.00 65.327 58.155 17.476 96.934 346.944
10 4.8735 d= 130.7843 n= -0.5375
ln(d)=

series T= 500 años

x y
1440 2.5379
1080 3.0455
720 4.0100
480 4.8729
360 5.6850
300 6.0911
240 6.7002
180 7.7154
120 9.4412
60 15.2277

Regresión T= 500 años

10.0000
Intensidad (mm/h)

8.0000
6.0000 f(x) = 67.242102399853 x^-0.537521437018564
R² = 0.994814097262209
4.0000
2.0000
0.0000
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600
Duración (min)

Resumen de aplicación de regresión potencial

periodo de Término ctte. De regresión

retorno (d) Coef de regresión (n)
(años)

2 11.7366 -0.5375
5 18.7284 -0.5375
10 25.5198 -0.5375
25 37.7277 -0.5375
50 50.4215 -0.5375
100 67.2421 -0.5375
500 130.7843 -0.5375
Promedio 48.8801 -0.5375

En función del cambio de variable realizado, se realiza otra regresión de potencia entre las columnas del periodo de retorno (T) y el
término constante de regresión (d) para obtener los valores de la ecuación

Regresión
potencial x y lnx lny lnx*lny (lnx)^2

N 2 11.7366 0.6931 2.4627 1.7070 0.4805

1 5 18.7284 1.6094 2.9300 4.7157 2.5903
2 10 25.5198 2.3026 3.2395 7.4591 5.3019
3 25 37.7277 3.2189 3.6304 11.6858 10.3612
4 50 50.4215 3.9120 3.9204 15.3368 15.3039
5 100 67.2421 4.6052 4.2083 19.3799 21.2076
6 500 130.7843 6.2146 4.8735 30.2872 38.6214
7 692.00 342.161 22.556 25.265 90.572 93.867
7 2.2158 K= 9.1692 m= 0.4324
ln(k)=
x y
2 11.7366
5 18.7284
10 25.5198
25 37.7277
50 50.4215
100 67.2421
500 130.7843
 140.0000

Constante de Regresión (d)

120.0000 f(x) = 9.16918855128897 x^0.432434726573714
R² = 0.998622400082588
100.0000
80.0000
60.0000
40.0000
20.0000
0.0000
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500
Perirodo de Retorno (años)

Término constante de Regresión (k) 9.1692

Coef De Regresión (m) 0.4324
 PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE

La ecuación de la intensidad válida para la cuenca resulta

I=(9.1692∗𝑇^0.4324)/𝑡^(−0.5375)
I=(𝐾∗𝑇
^𝑚)/𝑡
DONDE: ^𝑛
I intesidad (mm/h)
t duració n de la lluvia (mm)
T Periodo de Retorno (añ os)
k 9.1692
m 0.4324
n 0.5375

Tabla de intensiades- Tiempo de duración

frecuencia duración en minutos

(años) 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 120
2 5.210 3.589 2.886 2.473 2.193 1.989 1.831 1.704 1.599 1.511 1.436 1.370 0.944
5 7.743 5.334 4.290 3.675 3.260 2.956 2.721 2.532 2.377 2.246 2.134 2.036 1.403
10 10.449 7.199 5.789 4.960 4.399 3.989 3.671 3.417 3.207 3.031 2.880 2.748 1.893
25 15.529 10.699 8.604 7.371 6.538 5.928 5.456 5.079 4.767 4.505 4.280 4.084 2.814
50 20.957 14.439 11.611 9.948 8.823 8.000 7.364 6.854 6.433 6.079 5.775 5.511 3.797
100 28.282 19.485 15.669 13.424 11.907 10.796 9.937 9.249 8.682 8.204 7.794 7.438 5.124
500 56.723 39.080 31.428 26.925 23.882 21.652 19.931 18.550 17.412 16.454 15.632 14.918 10.278

60.000

50.000

40.000 TR = 2 Años
Intensidad (mm/h)

TR = 5 Años
TR = 10 Años
30.000
TR = 25 Años
Power (TR = 25 Años)
20.000 TR = 50 Años
f(x) = 49.7765202316298 x^-0.5375 Power (TR = 50 Años)
R² = 1
TR = 100 Años
10.000 TR = 500 Años

0.000
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Tiempo de duración en (min)

PROCEDEMOS A ENCONTRAR EL CAUDAL EN BASE A LAS CARACTERÍSTICAS DE NUESTRA CUENCA

METODO RACIONAL

Fó rmula:
𝑄=0.278∗𝐶∗𝐼∗𝐴
Donde:
Q = Caudal maxima de diseñ o (m³/s)
C = Coeficienrte de escorrentia para el intervalo en que se produce I
I = Intensidad de precipitacion maxima horaria en (mm/h)
A = area de la cuenca en (km²)

I= 49.777*Tc^(-0.538)
Se conoce: Tc= 107.40838 min
I= 4.02 mm/h Tc= 1.7901396 horas
A= 105.791 Km²
C= Por determinar Tablas

Determinamos el Coeficiente de Escorrentia de la siguiente tabla

PERIODO DE RETORNO (añ os)

TIPO DE SUPERFICIE
2 5 10 25 50 100 500
ZONAS URBANAS
Asfalto
Asfalto 0.73 0.77 0.81 0.86 0.9 0.95 1
Cemento, Tejados 0.75 0.8 0.83 0.88 0.92 0.97 1
Zonas verde (Cespedes, parques, etc)
Condicion pobre (cobertura vegetal inferior al 50% de la superficie)
Pendiente baja (0-2%) 0.32 0.34 0.37 0.4 0.44 0.47 0.58
Pendiente media (2-7%) 0.37 0.4 0.43 0.46 0.49 0.53 0.61
Pendiente alta (>7%) 0.4 0.43 0.45 0.49 0.52 0.55 0.62
Condicion media (cobertura vegetal entre 50% y el 75% del area)
Pendiente baja (0-2%) 0.25 0.28 0.3 0.34 0.37 0.41 0.53
Pendiente media (2-7%) 0.33 0.36 0.38 0.42 0.45 0.49 0.58
Pendiente alta (>7%) 0.37 0.4 0.42 0.46 0.49 0.53 0.6
Condicion buena (cobertura vegetal superior al 75%)
Pendiente baja (0-2%) 0.21 0.23 0.25 0.29 0.32 0.36 0.49
Pendiente media (2-7%) 0.29 0.32 0.35 0.39 0.42 0.46 0.56
Pendiente alta (>7%) 0.34 0.37 0.4 0.44 0.47 0.51 0.58
ZONAS RURALES
Campos de cultivos
Pendiente baja (0-2%) 0.31 0.34 0.36 0.4 0.43 0.47 0.57
Pendiente media (2-7%) 0.35 0.38 0.41 0.44 0.48 0.51 0.6
Pendiente alta (>7%) 0.39 0.42 0.44 0.48 0.51 0.54 0.61
Pastizales, prados
Pendiente baja (0-2%) 0.25 0.28 0.3 0.34 0.37 0.41 0.53
Pendiente media (2-7%) 0.33 0.36 0.38 0.42 0.45 0.49 0.58
Pendiente alta (>7%) 0.37 0.4 0.42 0.46 0.49 0.53 0.6
Bosques, montes arbolados
Pendiente baja (0-2%) 0.22 0.25 0.28 0.31 0.35 0.39 0.48
Pendiente media (2-7%) 0.31 0.34 0.36 0.4 0.43 0.47 0.56
Pendiente alta (>7%) 0.35 0.39 0.41 0.45 0.48 0.52 0.58

Tabla propuesta por Chow

Para un periodo de retorno de 50 añ os y para zonas rurales - Campos de cultivo, con pendiente bajas.

C = 0.51

REEMPLAZANDO DATOS EN LA ECUACIÓN:

𝑄=0.278∗𝐶∗𝐼∗𝐴

Se conoce: I= 4.02 mm/h

A= 105.79 Km²
C= 0.51

CALCULAMOS EL CAUDAL:

Q= 60.31 m³/s