Professional Documents
Culture Documents
QUESTIONS
1.1 D escribe and provide exam ples of fundam ental risk fac • Second line: Business line that generates, owns and
tors and their sub-risk factors that drive the probability of m anages risk; and
a firm's default • Third line: Periodic independent m anagem ent over
1.2 W hat are the four com ponents of a risk m anagem ent sight and assurance such as internal audit.
process? A. True
B. False
1.3 Provide an exam ple of w hat is meant by basis risk.
1.18 Reverse stress testing applies its modeling capabilities to
1.4 W hat are two types of liquidity risk?
estim ate the size of potential losses.
1.5 W hat is meant by strategic risk? A. True
1.6 D escribe how risk m anagers becom e involved in business B. False
risk. 1.19 Frank Knight called variability that cannot be quantified at
1.7 W hat Is reputation risk? Provide exam ples in your answer. all as "unknown unknowns."
A. True
1.8 W hat is meant by econom ic capital? Contrast it with
B. False
regulatory capital.
1.20 The e x p e c te d shortfall is the expected loss in the tail of
1.9 W hat is the basic idea of R A R O C ? Provide the RA RO C
the distribution.
equation in your answer.
A. True
1.10 W hat are a few applications of R A R O C ? Provide exam B. False
ples in your answer
1.21 Business risk involves making large, long-term decisions
1.11 D escribe the 4:15 p.m . report about the firm's direction, often accom panied by major
investm ents of capital, human resources, and m anage
1.12 Provide a list of exam ples of risk m anagem ent that can
ment reputation.
be seen in early history.
A. True
1.13 Provide a list of the key risk m anagem ent building B. False
blocks.
1.22 Enterprise Risk M anagem ent is the m anagem ent of risk at
1.14 Provide a list of the four choices involved in the classic the business unit level.
risk m anagem ent process. A. True
1.15 Unsupervised machine learning can help the risk m anager B. False
identify the "unknown unknowns" through identifying 1.23 Securitization is a mechanism to transfer risk to a third
clusters and correlations without specifying the area of party.
interest in advance. A. True
A. True B. False
B. False
1.24 Business risk applies only to large non-financial corporates.
1.16 Banking regulators are encouraging tools that support A. True
using advanced analytical form ulas to calculate regulatory B. False
operational risk capital.
1.25 E S is
A. True
A. a statistical measure designed to quantify the mean
B. False
risk in the tail of the distribution beyond the cut-off of
1.17 The three lines of defense consists of: the VaR measure.
• First line: Risk m anagers that specialize in risk m anage B. the case where R A R O C fails to be greater than a
ment and day-to-day oversight; hurdle rate.
1.27 O perational risk includes 1.31 The purpose of econom ic capital is to absorb
A. legal risk. A. expected loss.
B. business risk. B. unexpected loss.
C. reputation risk. C . tail loss.
D. currency risk. D. all of the above.
ANSWERS
1.1 PD of a firm is driven by a firm's strength or weakness in 1.7 Reputation risk is the danger that a firm will suffer a sud
term s of key variables such as financial ratios, industry den fall in its m arket standing or brand with econom ic
sector, country, quality of data, and m anagem ent quality. consequences. Rumors can be fatal in them selves. For
Each fundam ental set of risk factors is driven by sub exam ple, a large failure in credit risk m anagem ent can
factors. For exam ple, m anagem ent years of experience is lead to rumors about a bank's financial soundness. Inves
a sub-factor of the m anagem ent quality variable. tors and depositors may begin to w ithdraw support in
the expectation that others will also w ithdraw support.
1.2 The risk m anager first attem pts to identify the risk then
Unethical behavior of m anagers in the firm can hurt its
next analyzes the risk. Subsequently the risk m anager
reputation.
assesses the im pact of any risk event and ultim ately man
ages the risk. In summary, the four com ponents are 1.8 Econom ic (risk) capital is the amount of capital the firm
1. Identify the risk, requires based on its understanding of its econom ic risks.
1.18 True because risk m angers work back from the reverse 1.31 B. unexpected loss.
stress test to try to understand how those losses were 1.32 D. should be monitored by the board.
QUESTIONS
2.1 W hat are the key risk m anagem ent com ponents that need 2.13 Airlines have used a sophisticated com bination of swaps,
to be re-evaluated on a regular basis for designating a risk call options, collars (calls and puts), futures contracts, and
m anagem ent road map? other instruments to manage their price risks since around
the mid-1980s.
2.2 Provide several exam ples to dem onstrate that the C-suite
A. True
supports a strong risk culture.
B. False
2.3 D escribe w hat is m eant by risk appetite in practical
2.14 MGRM was exposed to a shift in the price curve from
term s.
backwardation to contango, which meant that the pro
2.4 Provide exam ples of what factors drive interest rate risk gram generated huge margin calls that becam e a severe
m anagem ent. and unexpected cash drain.
2.5 Provide exam ples of hedging tips for conservative end A. True
users. B. False
2.21 Exchange-based derivatives are designed to 2.25 Brewers can fix the price they pay per bushel of wheat
A. be traded easily at a relatively low transaction cost. to manage w heat price exposures by buying futures con
B. be a perfect fit hedge. tracts and
C. avoid basis risk. A. holding these futures contracts until they mature and
D. reduce counterparty credit risk. take delivery specified by the exchange in term s of
quality and location.
2.22 Minimizing counterparty credit exposure can be obtained
through the use of B. selling these futures contracts near the delivery date
and using the proceeds to purchase the w heat now
A. margin requirem ents.
from their favored supplier.
B. netting arrangem ents.
C. all of the above. C . All of the above
D. it cannot be minimized at all. 2.26 O nce the firm /bank makes a risk appetite statem ent
2.23 The agricultural futures contracts first listed on the A. it is com m itted to follow it for at least three years.
C. 1940s.
D. after the 1950s.
ANSWERS
2.1 Re-evaluate regularly changes in: 2.5
risk in pursuit of its business goals. Second, it is the sum more opportunities to manage their risk adjusted returns.
of the mechanisms that link this top-level statem ent to the Globalization of com panies and of trading introduced
firm's day-to-day risk management operations. It assesses additional financial risk exposures.
the risk exposures the firm is willing to assume in relations 2.7 These Com m odity derivatives might include
to the expected returns from engaging in risky activities.
• Aluminum swaps,
2.4
• Natural gas and energy derivatives,
Firm Risk A ppetite The firm's risk appetite sets
the key goals. • Exchange-traded w heat futures,
Regulations and The treasurer may need to 2.11 False, because only 15-20% of airline operating costs are
Taxes respond to change in the burnt in the air.
rules of the gam e.
2.12 True
M arket Direction and The treasurer may need to
Behavior prepare for rising interest 2.13 True
rates or respond to yield 2.14 False, because the curve moved from backwardation to
curve behavior.
contango.
2.15 False, most airlines hedge some of their price risk, 2.20 C. all of the ab o ve1
14
but some prefer to retain it all. The naysayers cite the 2.21 D. reduce counterparty credit risk
expense of hedging programs and fear that they will lock
2.22 C. all of the above
in je t fuel prices at a high point in the m arket, just before
a steep price fall. 2.23 A . 1860s
2.16 False 2.24 G enerally yes. Potentially no in the case where the
investor holds the investm ent as part of a diversified
2.17 True13
portfolio.
2.18 C . the amount that it would be happy to bear at any
2.25 C. all of the above
one time
2.26 The board must approve it.
2.19 A . the firm could bear without becoming insolvent
1 *3
See McDonald's Corporation, Form 10-k annual report for fiscal year 14 See https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2019/01/02/mortgage-applications-
ended December 31, 2017, pages 26-27. plummet-nearly-10percent-to-end-2018-despite-lower-rates.html
QUESTIONS
True/False Questions
3.1 A fter establishing a risk limit, a bank should plan to 3.4 The board of directors should be responsible for
maintain a risk exposure level just below the limit during overseeing and approving a firm's risk governance.
the normal course of business.
A. True
A. True B. False
B. False 3.5 Conflicts of interest between senior m anagem ent and
3.2 The standards set in the "Basel A cco rd " are legally other internal m anagem ent are referred to as "agency
binding in all banks in most countries. problem s."
A. True A. True
B. False B. False
A. True
B. False
ANSWERS
3.1 False, because the bank should operate well below its • A focus on the effects of m acroeconom ic down
risk limits during the normal course of business turns on a series of risk types, including credit risk,
liquidity risk, m arket risk, and operational risk;
3 .2 False
• An approach that is com putationally dem anding,
3.3 False, because the leverage ratio is 3%.
because risk drivers are not stationary, as well as
3.4 True realistic, allowing for active m anagem ent of the
3.5 False, because "agency risk" puts the interests of man portfolios;
agem ent squarely against those of a com pany's longer- • A stress testing fram ew ork that is fully incorpo
• Business planning must take risk m anagem ent into • Setting risk appetite and risk tolerance measures
consideration from the outset. which limit the amounts at risk that are expressed
• The matching of strategic objectives to the risk ap p e at the business unit level and on an enterprise
tite must be incorporated into the planning process. level; and
• Clear communication of the firm's risk position and • Making transparent the relationship between risk
risk appetite is essential so that appropriate limits can appetite, risk capacity, risk tolerance and a firm's
• Not undertake certain activities, • Are specific and often include overall limits by asset
class, an overall stress-test limit, and a maximum
• Transfer either all or part of a certain risk to third parties,
drawdown limit; and
• Preem ptively m itigate risk through early detection and
• Excesses must be cleared or corrected im m ediately.
prevention, and
Tier 2 limits:
• Assum e the risk while being fully cognizant of both
the upside and downside im plications. • Are more generalized;
3.11 Q uestions to ask include the following. • Relate to areas of business activity and aggregated
exposures to credit ratings, industries, m aturities,
• Is the risk m anager a m em ber of the executive
regions, and so on; and
staff and can this position lead to other career
• Excesses are less urgent and can be cleared within a
opportunities?
within a few days or a w eek.
• How independent is the risk m anager?
3.14 Recom m endations include:
• W hat authority does the risk m anager hold?
• The elimination of multi-annual guaranteed bonuses;
• To whom does the risk m anager report?
• The incorporation of executive downside exposure
• Are risk m anagers com paratively well paid relative to
through the deferral of certain com pensation, the
other em ployees who are rewarded for perform ance?
adoption of share-based remuneration to incentivize
• Is the enterprise's ethical culture strong and resilient long-term value creation, and the introduction of
to the actions of bad actors? claw back provisions requiring reim bursem ent of
• Has the bank set clear-cut ethical standards and are bonuses should longer-term losses be incurred after
these standards actively enforced? bonuses are paid;
3.12 A risk appetite statem ent: • The placem ent of limitations on the amount of
variable com pensation granted to em ployees relative
• Is an im portant com ponent of corporate governance,
to total net revenues; and
• Articulates the level and types of risk a firm is willing
• The imposition of disclosure requirem ents to enhance
to accept to reach its business goals,
transparency.
• Includes both qualitative and quantitative statements, and
3.15 The senior m anagem ent risk com m ittee:
• Helps to reinforce a strong risk culture.
• Reports back to the board risk com m ittee with recom
O bjectives include
m endations regarding the total at risk deem ed pru
• Maintaining a balance between risk and return; dent for the latter's consideration and approval;
• Retaining a prudent attitude toward tail risk and event • Establishes, docum ents, and enforces all corporate
risk; policies in which risk plays a part;
• Achieving a desired credit rating; • Sets risk limits for specific business activities, which
• Linking short-term capital and long-term capital, are then delivered to the C R O ; and
financial and strategic plans, as well as com pensation • D elegates the power to make day-to-day decisions
structure; to the C R O . This delegation includes the power to
approve risks exceeding preset limits imposed on inherent in such com pensation do not clash with
the various business activities, provided these e xce p shareholder interests.
tions remain within the bounds of the overall board- • Disclosure to m anagers and relevant stakeholders
approved limits. is both adequate and com pliant with internal cor
3.16 Key roles and responsibilities include: porate rules and external regulations.
• The information it obtains concerning the im ple
• Independently assessing risk governance as well as
mentation of risk m anagem ent is accurate and
the im plem entation and efficacy of risk m anagem ent;
reliable.
• Reviewing the risk m anagem ent process, a com pre 3 .1 8 The board audit com m ittee is responsible for:
hensive review includes, among other things, assess
• Assessing the veracity and the quality of the firm's
ing adequacy of the organization of the risk control
financial reporting, com pliance, internal control and
unit and docum entation;
risk m anagem ent processes; and
• Analyzing the integrity of risk governance and the
• Com pliance with best-practice standards in non-finan-
efficacy of the risk m anagem ent process, including
cial m atters.
the integration of risk m easures into daily business
m anagem ent; Regulatory, legal, com pliance, and risk m anage
ment activities also fall under the purview of the audit
• Exam ining the monitoring procedures, for tracking the
com m ittee.
progress of risk m anagem ent system upgrades;
• Assessing the adequacy and effectiveness of applica 3 .1 9 E. C E O and C F O only
tion controls in generating and securing data; S O X specifically requires the C E O and C F O to affirm the
• Affirm ing the reliability of vetting processes; accuracy of all financial disclosures.
• Com paring com pliance docum entation with qualita 3 .2 0 A . Ensuring com petitive positioning of the bank in each
tive and quantitative criteria stipulated by regulations; market
• Offering its opinion on the reliability of any risk Corporate governance is concerned with proper controls
exporting fram ew ork; and around the running of a business entity— not the specif
• Evaluating the risk m easurem ent m ethodologies both ics of strategy.
in term s of theory as well as im plem entation, includ 3.21 A . Verifying the accuracy of financial reports
ing stress-testing m ethodologies.
A ccuracy of financial reports was an aim of Sarbanes-
3.17 Such roles and responsibilities include: O xley, not Dodd-Frank.
• Assessing the fundam ental risks and rewards engen 3 .2 2 D. Setting m ethodologies to assess credit risk
dered in the bank's business strategy, based on a
clear understanding of the latter's direction and goals; The specifics of risk methodologies are not a part of risk
governance. However, risk governance does extend to
• Harmonizing risk appetite with the bank's strategic plan;
ensuring the activities around the developm ent of the
• Being accountable for risk transparency; and methodologies are appropriately controlled and disclosed.
• Making sure that:
3 .2 3 B. Preparing the annual financial report
• Any major transaction undertaken is in-line with
The audit com m ittee serves as a check on processes
authorized risk taking as well as with the relevant
and procedures. In this case, the audit com m ittee would
business strategies.
ensure that the process around the report was properly
• An effective risk m anagem ent system is in place
controlled and delivered accurate results.
that enables corporation to further its strategic
3 .2 4 D. Sets risk limits for specific business activities
objectives within the confines of its risk appetite.
• Procedures for identifying, assessing, and handling The senior m anagem ent risk com m ittee em powers the
the various kinds of risk are effective. C R O to have oversight into the specifics of how risk is
• Executives are com pensated based on their risk- reported and analyzed as well as the overall day-to-day
adjusted perform ance and that the incentives m anagem ent of risk.
QUESTIONS
True/False Questions
4.1 The securitization mechanism underlying the subprim e 4.3 C redit Default Swaps allow the transfer of credit risk w ith
C D O m arket played a central role in bringing about the out impacting funding or relationship m anagem ent.
2007-2009 global financial crisis (G FC ).
A. True
A. True B. False
B. False 4.4 In the originate-to-distribute (O TD) business m odel, there
4.2 The securitization of securities backed by assets such as is little incentive for lenders to monitor the creditw orthi
car loans, credit card receivables, and equipm ent leases ness of borrowers.
remained a viable activity during and after the G F C . A. True
A. True B. False
B. False
4.11 Fiow do the SEC 's risk retention provisions force banks to
have "skin in the gam e"?
ANSWERS
4.1 False 4.7 B. Buy-and-hold
The crisis may have had more to do with failings of the Buy-and-hold is an asset acquisition strategy and
pre-crisis securitization process than with the underlying would in fact contribute to the accum ulation of credit
principle of credit risk transfer. exposures.
More straight-forward securitizations survived the G F C , Even prior to the 2007-2009 financial crisis, regulators
whereas more com plex instrum ents (e.g ., C D O s squared) were concerned about the relatively small number of
are unlikely to be revived. liquidity providers in the credit derivatives m arkets. They
4.3 True feared this nascent m arket could face system ic disruption
if any of the major participants were to experience dis
CD Ss do not require funding per se, nor do they require
tress (in isolation or in concert).
any participation from the reference creditor.
4.9 D. All the above
4.4 True
All of these are derived from the creditw orthiness (or the
In the O TD m odel, the originating financial institution
perceived creditworthiness) of the borrower
does not suffer any losses in the event of a default.
4.10 A nsw er: See Figure 4.1 and Section 4.3
4.5 False
4.11 The rules require securitizers to retain, without recourse
Equity tranches typically com prise less than 10% of total
to risk transfer or m itigation, at least 5% of the credit
funding.
risk.
4.6 D. U.S. governm ent bond futures
QUESTIONS
5.1 Is the m arket portfolio the only efficient portfolio that can 5 .1 0 If crA = 20% and a B = 40% and a portfolio if form ed with
be form ed? half the money invested in each stock, then ap must be
A. True
B. False
ANSWERS
5.1 No is based on expected and unobserved variables. It also
provides a method of decom posing asset returns into
5 .2 D. The relative co-m ovem ent of a security with the mar
two com ponents: a system atic (or market) com ponent
ket portfolio
and a residual (or non-market) com ponent:
5 .3 B. E(R m) - r
rP = aP + b PrM + e P
E(R m) - r is the excess return of the m arket portfolio
where rP = RP - r is the excess return of the portfolio
over the risk-free rate.
return RP over the risk-free rate r and rM = RM - r is the
5 .4
excess return of the m arket portfolio R m over the risk
P a = - 1 , P b = 0 and p c = 2 free rate r.
5 .5 A . E(R a ) = - 3 % , E(R b) = 5%, E(RC) = 21%
The residual com ponent eP is uncorrelated with the
In equilibrium stocks are on the same security m arket excess return rM. The system atic com ponent is
m arket line: beta multiplied by the m arket excess return. The mar
E(R,) = r + [E(R m) - r] p, ket model thus appears to be a natural fram ework for
estim ating beta.C A PM is an equilibrium pricing m odel,
5 .6 True
which suggests that each asset is priced so that its
5 .7 True expected return com pensates for its contribution to the
5 .8 False m arket portfolio risk. The asset's expected return is thus
found to be proportional to its beta. For a well-diversi
The realized return is random. CAPM predicts that the
fied portfolio, an asset's risk contribution will approxi
expected rates of return for stocks A and B should be the
mate its risk contribution to the m arket portfolio.
sam e.
5 .9 D. 11.8% 5.14 No, the risk premiums for different stocks will not be the
sam e. It is, according to the C A PM :
5 .1 0 B. Between 10% and 40%
coviRj, R m)
5.11 (E(R m) ~ r)
/= 1
f3; = 0 means that in equilibrium E(R,) = r = 5%
Cov(R„ Rm) = E(R,Rm) - E(R;)E(Rm)
The m arket is not in equilibrium .
Com bining the two equations:
5.18 This statem ent is false. The beta of a security obtained
from past data is only an estim ate of the true beta, which Cov(R„ Rm) = ' Z x j m . R j ) - E(R,)E(Ri)]
is unknown. The estim ate is subject to statistical estim a )=1
tion errors and the true beta, at best, can be said to fall
= 2 XjCoviR,, Rj)
within a confidence interval with a given probability (the
i= 1
confidence level).
= x p f + 2 xj CoviR,, Rj)
i=\
j* i
QUESTIONS
6.1 A major disadvantage of A P T is that the theory gives no 6.8 If the return process for 100 firms is a four-factor m arket
insights into what the m acroeconom ic factors might be. m odel, then the number of param eters to be estim ated is
A. 6 .
A. True
B. False
B. 100.
C. 386.
6.2 A P T assumes asset returns are normally distributed.
D. 406.
A. True
6.9 Em pirical studies of the single-factor m arket model show
B. False
the explanatory power of the model is rather high. True or
6.3 A P T requires that investors make decisions based on false? Discuss.
mean and variance.
6.10 Roll noted that well diversified portfolios are nonetheless
A. True highly correlated if the holdings are concentrated within
B. False the same asset class. True or false? Explain.
6.4 W hat is the basic idea of A P T? 6.11 Fama and French (1996) added two risk factors beyond
6.5 The A P T model is derived from the m arket index to explain past average rates of return.
W hich of the following ratios is a risk factor in the Fama-
A. a theoretical model of optimal portfolio selection.
French em pirical model?
B. an extension of the concept of C A PM . A. E B IT D A to total sales
C. arbitraging a few known risk factors in the m arket. B. Current assets to current liabilities
C. Net profit to total assets
D. investors holding efficient portfolios.
D. Book-to-m arket values
6.6 Chen, Roll, and Ross (1986) tested the A P T model and
6.12 In their later work, Fama and French (2015) added two
found several explanatory variables for the average rate of
more factors. W hich of the following is a basis for one of
return on stocks traded on the N YSE. Which of the follow
these new risk factors?
ing is not an explanatory variable in their em pirical test?
A. O perating profitability
A. Expected and unexpected inflation
B. Current assets to current liabilities
B. The yield spread between high and low risk corporate
C. Net profit to total assets
bonds
D. Last month perform ance
C. The yield spread between long and short maturity
bonds 6.13 Factor betas in a well-diversified portfolio provide a means
D. The change in money supply in the econom y for constructing a hedging strategy to reduce system atic
risk. True or False? Discuss.
6.7 If a portfolio has 80 securities, the number of covariances
that should be estim ated is
A. 6,320.
B. 6,400.
C. 3,160.
D. 80.
ANSWERS
6.1 True 6.7 C. 3,160.
These factors may include indices on stocks, bonds, and If there are N different securities, then the number of
com m odities, as well as m acroeconom ic factors. How correlations equals N(N - 1)/2
ever, the model does not say which of these factors adds 6.8 D. 406.
to the explanatory power of the relationship.
The number of param eters to be estim ated is
6 .2 False
MN + M(M — 1)/2 for M common factors and N firms.
A P T has three underlying assumptions. 6.9 False
1. A sset returns can be explained by system ic factors. Em pirical studies of the single-factor m arket model (i.e.,
2 . By using diversification, investors can eliminate
CAPM ) show that its explanatory power is rather low.
specific risk from their portfolios.
6.10 True
3 . There are no arbitrage opportunities among well-
diversified portfolios. If any arbitrage opportunities Roll noted that well-diversified portfolios exhibit high
were to exist, investors would exploit them away. correlations when constrained to the same asset class,
whereas there is much less correlation when portfolios
6 .3 False
are diversified across multiple asset classes.
See the previous explanation.
6.11 D. Book-to-m arket values
6 .4 The basic idea of A P T is that investors can create a
HML is the difference between the returns on stocks with
zero-beta portfolio with zero net investm ent. If such a
high book-to-market values and those of stocks that have
portfolio yields positive return, then a sure profit can be
low book-to-market values.
realized by arbitraging. In the real world, any existing
arbitrages would be exploited away. 6.12 A. O perating profitability
6 .5 B. an extension of the concept of C A PM . Fama and French extended the model in 2015 by sug
gesting two additional factors:
A rbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) is based on the reasoning
behind C A PM . It differs in that it is a multi-factor model. 1. RMW, which is the difference between the returns of
companies with high (robust) and low (weak) operating
6.6 D. The change in money supply in the econom y
profitability; and
The explanatory variables were 2. C M A , which is the difference between the returns of
• The spread between long-term and short-term inter com panies that invest conservatively and those that
est rates (reflecting shifts in tim e preferences); invest aggressively.
• Expected and unexpected inflation; 6.13 True
• Industrial production (reflecting changes in cash flow Each factor can be used to hedge the same factor that is
expectations); and reflected in a given security.
• The spread between high-risk and low-risk corporate
bond yields (reflecting changes in risk preferences).
Chapter 6 The Arbitrage Pricing Theory and Multifactor Models of Risk and Return 89
The following questions are i to help candidates understand the material. They are not actual FRM exam questions.
QUESTIONS
7.1 B C B S 239 concerns An additional requirem ent that has em erged since the
A. conducting scenario analysis. original B C SBS 239 principles were published is the
B. liquidity requirem ents in banks. expectation that B C B S 239 principles should also apply to
C. how to deal with data in a bank. banks' regulatory reporting.
D. details of how to im plem ent the Graham -Dodd A ct A. True
B. False
7.2 Is the following statem ent True or False?
7.5 Please provide an exam ple of com pliant risk data gover
The original tim eline to achieve full com pliance with BCBS
nance in B C B S 239.
239 was not met by any bank.
A. True 7.6 Please provide an exam ple of effective risk reporting in
B. False B C B S 239.
7.3 Is the following statem ent True or False? 7.7 W hy was the original tim eline to achieve full com pliance
There is a uniform blueprint in place for B C B S 239 com pli with B C B S 239 not met by any bank?
ant infrastructures. 7.8 W hat are the characteristics of a strong risk data aggrega
A. True tion capability?
B. False
7.9 Explain how model risk is affected by data quality.
7.4 Is the following statem ent True or False?
ANSWERS
7.1 C. how to deal with data in a bank. preem ptive analyses and dynamic features. A drill down
The principles and supervisory expectations outlined in of risk data from these reports can enable rigorous analy
ses across different risks and be accessed with an easy-
B C B S 239 apply to risk m anagem ent data and m odels.
to-use interface.
These principles cover governance/infrastructure issues,
risk data aggregation procedures and needs, reporting, 7.7
and considerations for supervising authorities. • The underestim ation of the com pliance
QUESTIONS
8.1 W hat are advantages and disadvantages of scenario 8.16 C C A R does not oblige banks to generate their own sce
analysis? narios to com plem ent the supervisory scenarios.
A. True
8.2 W hat are three types of US Federal Reserve generated
B. False
supervisory devised m acroeconom ic scenarios?
8.17 For each scenario, Banks project C C A R scenarios over a
8.3 W hat is C C A R (Com prehensive Capital Analysis and
five-quarter horizon.
Review)?
A. True
8.4 W hat are some of the key im provem ents driven by C C A R B. False
over standard stress testing?
8.18 C o C o s focus solely on accounting triggers, such as the
8.5 W hat are CoCos? level of Tier 1 capital.
ANSWERS
8.1 8.4
1. C C A R m acroeconom ic scenarios unfold over several
Advantages Disadvantages
quarters (rather than sim ply a point-in-time shock).
No need to consider risk fre Difficult to gauge probability 2. The scenarios drive a series of interlinked factors cov
quency beyond "plausibility" of event; does not lead to
ering a variety of risks such as credit risk, m arket risk,
the quantification of risk
operational risk, and so on.
Scenarios can take the form Unfolding scenarios can 3. The risk variables are not held static and all sorts of
of transparent and intuitive becom e com plex with many
underlying risk factors (probability of default, loss given
narratives choices
default) and m arket im pacts (credit spreads, margining,
Challenges firms to "im agine Firms may not stretch their etc.) need to be adjusted as the scenario unfolds.
the w orst" and gauge the imaginations
4. In turn, the bank can allow for its capital planning as
effect
the scenario unfolds.
Can allow firms to focus on Only a limited number 5. Im portantly, imposing a standard set of scenarios on
their key exposures and risk of scenarios can be fully
the largest banks allows regulators to see system ic
types and the way risk devel developed— are they the
effects and com pare bank risk exposures.
ops over time right ones?
Does not depend on his The scenarios chosen are 8.6 Risk culture can be thought of as the values and norms of
torical data: can be based often prom pted by the last behavior that surround risk taking and risk m anagem ent.
around either historical major crisis; im aginative It includes the tendency within the firm to com ply with
events or forward-looking future scenarios may be dis
best-practice risk m anagem ent.
hypothetical events missed as im probable
8.7
Firms can make scenario Scenario analyses vary in
analysis as sophisticated or term s of quality and sophis • Identifies enterprise-scale risks generated at business
straightforward as they like, tication. Their credibility and line level
outside regulator defined assum ptions can be difficult
programs to assess. • Focuses oversight on most threatening risks
1. Baseline: representing a consensus econom ic forecast/ • Helps firms to understand risk-type correlations and
outlook; cross-over risks
2. A dverse: corresponding to a declining econom y; and • O ptim izes risk transfer expenses in line with risk scale
3 . Severely A dverse: severe global recession along with and total cost
decline in dem and for long-term fixed income assets.
• Incorporates:
Note: The adverse and severely adverse scenarios
• Stress scenario capital costs into pricing, and
describe hypothetical m acroeconom ic environm ents that
• Risk into business model selection and strategic
test bank resilience.
decisions.
8 .3 From 2011 onward, as part of the Dodd-Frank A ct, the 8.8
Federal Reserve began conducting annual stress test
• G eographical concentrations,
exercises. C C A R is a specific an annual stress test exer
• Industry concentrations,
cise required for large banks.
8.15 True
Indicator Trend Tracking
O therw ise situations could arise where business lines
Risk Information Can the firm see risk information flow
are offsetting risks that might already be offset by other
Flows ing up and across the firm that captures
businesses.
and highlights enterprise-scale risks
and is there a clear link to specific dis 8.16 False
cussions and decisions?
Both D FA ST and C C A R also oblige banks to gener
Risk/Reward Has the firm tested w hether senior ate their own scenarios to com plem ent the supervisory
Decisions executives respond to benchm ark risk/
scenarios.
reward questions consistently with each
other and with the firm's risk appetite? 8.17 False
Risk Stature Do the key ERM staff have the right C C A R obliges banks to project how these scenarios drive
stature and direct communication with their income statem ents and balance sheets over a nine-
the Board? W ho hires and fires them ?
quarter horizon.
Escalation and Do key staff m em bers understand when
8.18 False
W histle Blowing and how they can escalate a suspected
enterprise risk? W hen were escalation The trigger mechanism could also be some m arket-based
procedures last used? Is there a w histle event (e.g ., a drop in an institution's share price).
blowing mechanism and is it used?
8.19 True
Board Risk Can the board name the top ten enter
Priorities prise risks faced by the firm ? Can it The purpose of reverse stress testing is to force m anage
name the key industry disasters associ ment to visual potential scenarios that could generate
ated with these risks? critical levels of losses.
Action Against Can the firm show a record of action 8.20 False
Risk O ffenders taken against those acting against its
The Northern Rock collapse arose from a failure to man
risk appetite and ethical stance? Do
staff believe action will be taken even if age funding liquidity risk.
contravention of the risk appetite leads 8.21 False
to profit rather than loss?
It describes the irrational tendency to avoid observing
Risk Incident Can the firm show how it identified
bad news that might precipitate uncom fortable decisions
and Near Miss culture issues in risk incidents and m ea
Responses sures taken? or actions.
Diversification at the enterprise level can reduce overall 8.24 A . all of the above
risk so long as the constituent pieces are not strongly See Table 8.4.
correlated.
QUESTIONS
9.1 W hat does it mean to ride the yield curve? 9.8 LTCM was purported to have had an experienced team
and operated strategies that were perceived as having
9.2 The S&L crisis of the 80s was mainly due to
minimal risk. So, what were the reasons for the collapse of
A. S&Ls failing to manage their interest rate risk.
LTCM in Septem ber 1998? Explain.
B. increased com petition among S&Ls.
C. increased com petition from commercial banks. 9.9 W hich of the financial disasters was not affected by
D. econom ic recession. increased correlations in the m arkets?
A. LTCM
9.3 Explain what the major factors leading to Lehman Brothers
collapse in Septem ber 2008 w ere.
B. M etallgesellschaft
C . The subprim e crisis
9.4 Liquidity risk, which brought the dem ise of Lehman Broth
D. The London W hale
ers and Continental Illinois, was not caused by
9.10 In the "London W hale" case it is m entioned that ". . . the
A. expanding the business too fast.
SCP trades breached the limits on all five risk m etrics. In
B. reliance on short-term financing.
fact, from January 1 through April 30, 2012, C IO risk limits
C. changes in regulation that required more liquidity
and advisories were breached more than of 330 tim es."
reserves.
How can the inaction of the bank's m anagem ent be
D. worsening m acroeconom ic conditions.
explained?
9.5 In the Northern Rock case one of the lessons is that there
is a tradeoff between funding liquidity and interest rate
9.11 Explain the term "flight to quality" and explain how it
risk: W hen funding liabilities have shorter duration than relates to a financial crisis.
loan assets, the bank is exposed t o ____________ interest rate 9.12 W hat is model risk?
risk a n d ____________ funding liquidity risk. 9.13 G ive some fam ous exam ples of rogue trading.
A. lower, higher
9.14 The Enron failure was due to
B. lower, lower
A. liquidity risk.
C. higher, higher
B. foreign currency risk.
D. higher, lower
C . com m odity risk.
9.6 Rumors about a possible intervention by the Bank of Eng D. governance risk.
land contributed to the default of Northern Rock.
A. True
B. False
9.7 In which of the following cases did the firm default due to
fraud?
A. M etallgesellschaft Refining and Marketing
B. Northern Rock Bank
C. Victor N iederhoffer
D. None of the above
ANSWERS
9.1 Maintain positive spreads between interest rates earned calls on its futures holdings. Ironically, LTCM's strategies
on longer-term assets (e.g ., loans) and interest paid on actually were valid in the medium term , and as the crisis
shorter-term liabilities (e.g ., deposits). ended, the banks that took over LTCM realized a sub
stantial profit.
9.2 A. S&Ls failing to manage their interest rate risk.
9.9 B. M etallgesellschaft
Interest rate risk led to the US savings and loan (S&L)
crisis in the mid-1980s. M etallgesellschaft was hurt by change in the shape of the
price curve.
9.3 Concerns about the valuation of the firm's real estate-
based assets led to a loss in m arket confidence. Counter 9.10 Fail ure in corporate governance and poor risk culture.
parties began to reduce their exposure significantly and Specifically, the whale trades showed that breaches in
the firm could not roll over its debt. A ttem pts to orga risk limits were frequently ignored, risk m etrics were
nize an industry rescue failed. often criticized or dow nplayed, and risk m odels were
9.4 C. changes in regulation that required more liquidity misused by em ployees to set capital requirem ents that
were artificially low.38
reserves.
In each case, the liquidity crisis was brought on by 9.11 W hen investors are worried about the econom ic and
m arket environm ent, they tend to rebalance their
changing conditions in the w ider econom y and the credit
portfolio by investing heavily in "secure" assets from
m arkets.
"safe heaven" countries (e.g ., the United States). As
9.5 A. lower, higher
a consequence, the yield on US securities goes down
Banks must consider the significant tradeoff between a during a financial crisis, whereas interest rates in other
short-term funding strategy with low rates but frequent countries go up.
rollovers (and thus more liquidity risk) and a long-term
9.12 Trading of financial securities, especially derivative prod
funding strategy with higher rates (and thus higher costs)
ucts, relies heavily on mathematical m odels. Trading
but less frequent rollovers.
losses can be the consequence of model errors due to
9.6 True incorrect assum ptions about the underlying asset price
W hen Northern Rock becam e unable to fund itself process, errors in the calibration of key input param eters
through interbank loans, UK authorities discussed vari such as volatility and correlations, and errors in the deri
ous strategies to relieve the bank's difficulties. News of vation of the hedge ratios.
the Bank of England's planned support operation for Note that when m arkets becom e illiquid (e.g ., during a
Northern Rock leaked, setting the scene for a run on financial crisis), even the best model might not be able
deposits between Septem ber 14 and Septem ber 17. to help in hedging the risk of a trading position because
9.7 C. None of the above traders might not be able to execute the hedge in the
market.
The fraud exam ples included Barings Bank and Enron.
9.13 Barings
9.8 LTCM failed because its models did not anticipate the
vicious circle of losses that would arise as volatilities 9.14 D. governance risk.
increased, correlations between various instruments and Enron was a poster child of corporate governance failure
m arkets approached 1, and liquidity vanished. LTCM also and poor risk m anagem ent.
succum bed to a liquidity crunch caused by large margin
38 Frierson, R. D. (2013, June 7). Re: Docket No. 1457 and RIN
7100-AD-95 on Large Bank Assessments [Letter to United States Senate
Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs].
QUESTIONS
10.1 Securitization didn't play a major role in the G F C . 10.9 In order to securitize m ortgages off their balance sheet,
A. True banks structured bankruptcy remote com panies called
B. False A. SUVs.
B. SIVs.
10.2 The G F C was contained in the United States and didn't
spread out to the rest of the world.
C. VIPs.
A. True 10.10 A s early as the sum mer of 2007, the short-term wholesale
B. False funding m arkets started to freeze. A s a consequence,
there was a significant increase in
10.3 Subprim e borrowers were required to pay a
A. the Libor-OIS spread.
down-paym ent of at least 10% to buy a house.
A. True B. repo haircuts.
B. False
C. A and B.
10.11 Between the fall of 2007 and the end of 2008, the Fed
10.4 The G reat Financial Crisis (G FC ) started
came up with several programs to inject liquidity into the
A. with the failure of Lehman Brothers.
financial m arket, including
B. in the high-tech sector.
A. TA F
C. in the subprim e m ortgage market.
B. P D C F
10.5 The G F C appears to have been triggered by
C. TARP
A. a liquidity crisis that led to a solvency crisis.
D. All of the above
B. a solvency crisis that led to a liquidity crisis.
E. None of the above
10.6 During the sum mer of 2007 banks, such as Northern
10.12 The Lehman Brothers collapse
Rock in the U .K ., started to run into funding problem s,
A. could have been easily predicted from the ratings of
because of the shutdown of
Lehman's debt instruments.
A. the asset back commercial paper (A BCP) market.
B. could have been predicted from the financial reports
B. the repo m arkets.
of the com pany.
C. A and B.
C. all of the above.
10.7 W hich major U.S. investm ent bank(s) was/were converted D. none of the above.
into bank holding com panies in 2008? Select all that
10.13 W hat are N IN JA loans?
apply.
10.14 Explain in a few words: W hat is the originate-to-distribute
A. Citibank
(O TD) business model?
B. J.P. Morgan
C. Goldm an Sachs 10.15 Describe in a few words the system ic im pact of the
D. Morgan Stanley default of a major O T C derivatives dealer such as
E. All of the above Lehman Brothers.
ANSWERS
10.1 False 10.9 B. SI Vs.
Securitization expanded the capacity of the financial sys An SIV is a lim ited-purpose, bankruptcy remote com pany
tem to generate credit assets but outpaced its capacity used by banks to purchase assets funded with short-term
to manage the associated risks. commercial paper as well as some medium-term notes
and capital.
10.2 False
tors all over the world. The OlS-swap spread exploded (as shown in Figure 10.1)
in the summer of 2007. It remained high during the crisis,
10.3 False
jumped again when Lehman Brothers failed, and never came
In 2005, 43% of first-time home buyers paid zero down
back to pre-crisis levels. A t the same time, there was system
paym ent.
atic increase in haircuts, from zero pre-crisis to more than 45%
10.4 C. in the subprim e m ortgage market when Lehman failed in September 2008 (see Figure 10.2).
The cascade of events that came be known as the G reat 10.11 D. All of the above
Financial Crisis of 2007-2009 (G FC ) began with a dow n
• Term Auction Facility (TAF) is a program im plem ented
turn in the US subprim e m ortgage m arket in the summer
in D ecem ber 2007 and designed to provide funds to
of 2007.
depository institutions by auctioning funds against
10.5 A. a liq uidity crisis that led to a solvency crisis. a wide range of collateral. TA F was subsequently
This is especially true for highly levered institutions which expanded in March 2008, following the collapse of
relied heavily on short-term wholesale funding. Bear Stearns, to include other types of institutions.
• Primary D ealer C redit Facility (PD C F), created in
10.6 C. A and B
March 2008, through which the Fed lent funds via
By the sum mer of 2007, the short-term wholesale fund
repos to primary dealers.
ing m arkets started to freeze, including both the A B C P
• Troubled A sset Relief Program (TARP) was introduced
m arket and the repo market.
in O ctober 2008.
10.7 C. Goldm an Sachs
10.12 D. None of the above
D. Morgan Stanley
Note that Lehman satisfied the Basel minimum regula
The last two major investm ent banks in the United tory capital requirem ents before it failed.
States, Morgan Stanley and Goldm an Sachs, were con
10.13 N IN JA Ioans refer to applicants who had "no incom e, no
verted to bank holding com panies and becam e regu
job, and no assets."
lated by the Federal Reserve.
10.14 In the originate-to-distribute business m odel, banks:
10.8 D. A and B
• Extend loans;
W hen housing prices fell, subprim e m ortgage balances
quickly began to exceed the m arket value of the homes • Securitize the loans; and
that collateralized the loans. • Sell the securities to investors.
Teaser rates were not much of a problem if a borrower 10.15 Lehman's default triggered a cascade of defaults among
could refinance the m ortgage before the reset date. But its counterparties, who could not get back their col
if the borrower could not refinance, and if interest rates lateral. Dealers which had no direct link to Lehman, but
increased, the monthly m ortgage costs could rise very were counterparties of failed direct counterparties of
quickly. Lehman, also defaulted.