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Financial Markets and Products
1. Bond Market
2. Forward
3. Futures
4. Swap
5. Option
Bond Market
1.Bond Basics
五要素
Bond Valuation Principle
Compounding Frequencies
Effective Annual Rate(EAR)
Risk-free Rates
Spot and Forward Rate
风险因子( Duration & Convexity )
Bond Basics ★★★ 计算
Coupon rate
Yield to Maturity(YTM)
要素
Maturity
(给出四个要素,用单利、复利求出第
五个要素。) Face Value ( FV )
Present Value ( PV )
Bond Valuation Principle ★★★ 计算
C1 C2 CT T
Ct
P
1 y (1 y)2
(1 y)T
t 1 (1 y)
t
Calculation
T
P C1e r *1
C2 e r *2
CT e r *t
C t e r *t
t 1
Compounding Frequencies ★★★ 计算
Simple interest is calculated on
Simple Interest
the original principal only.
Suppose we have an account where the
simple interest is added in each year and then
that money also earns interest.
Compounding Interest
Annually, semiannually, quarterly,
monthly, weekly, daily, continuously
compounding.
mn
R
FV PV 1 m
m
Calculation FV PV eRC n
mn
R
PV eRc n
PV 1 m
m
Effective Annual ★★★ 计算
Rate(EAR) n
r n ,EAR er 1
EAR 1 1
n
Calculation
n : number of compounding periods per year
( 会换算 )
r : annual rate (quoted)
Risk-free Rates ★★ 计算
Treasury Rates Treasury rates are risk-free rates in the sense that an
investor who buys a Treasury bill or Treasury bond is
certain that interest and principal payments will be made as
promised.
LIBOR A LIBOR quote by a particular bank is the rate of interest at
which the bank is prepared to make a large wholesale
deposit with other banks.
Repo Rates In a repurchase agreement, the difference between selling
price (today) and the repurchased price (tomorrow or later)
is called the repo rate.
Spot and Forward Rate ★★★ 计算
A t-period spot rate, or zero rate, denoted as
Spot Rate z(t), is the yield to maturity on a zero-coupon
bond that matures in t-years.
Interest rates corresponding to a future period
Forward rate implied by the spot curve.
Z1 F1,2
T0 T1 T2
Spot & Forward Rate
Z2
T2 T1
1 Z1
T1
1 F1,2 1 Z2
T2
F1,2 T2 T1 Z2 T2 Z1T1
e Z1T1
e e Z2 T2
F1,2
T2 T 1
Risk Metrics - Duration ★★★ 性质、计算
Metrics Property and Calculation
T
Ct T
For a zero coupon bond, the
t 1 (1 y)
t
t PV(Ct ) t
D T t 1
Macaulay duration equals to its Ct P
Macaulay t 1 (1 y)
t
maturity.
Duration T
PV(Ct ) T
For consol, the Macaulay duration is t (ωt t)
t 1 P t 1
1+1/y.
ΔP 1 DMacaulay
All else being equal, duration MD
Modified Δy P 1 y
increase for longer maturities, lower
Duration
coupons,
P and lower the yields.
DD MD P
y
Dollar
P P DV01 DV01 = MD× Bond Value ×0.0001
Duration D
E
2P0 Δy
Effective Portfolio Weighted sum of individual
Duration Duration durations
Key Rate Duration Which is the key rate equivalent of durations.
Risk Metrics - Convexity ★★★ 性质、计算
Metrics Property
A measure of the non-linear relationship between price and
yield duration of a bond to changes in interest rates, the
second derivative of the price of the bond with respect to
Convexity
interest rates (duration is the first derivative).
All else being equal, convexity increase for longer maturities,
lower coupons, and lower the yields.
D D P(y 0 Δy) P0 P0 P(y 0 Δy)
C
E
/ Δy
Effective Δy P0 Δy P0 Δy
Convexity
Portfolio
Weighted sum of individual convexity
Convexity
Price Change ★★★ 计算
1
P P0 D*P0 Δy CP0 (Δy)2
2
2.Bond Products
Treasury Bonds
Corporate bond
Mortgage Loans &Mortgage-Backed
Securities(MBS)
Treasury Bonds ★★ 性质、计算
Interest
B(n) × y/12
Components
Principal
X – B(n) × y/12
Components
Mortgage Loans – Prepayment Option ★★★ 性质、计算
Ratings Change ★★ 性质
Downgrades have a negative impact on bond
prices.
Ratings Change Impact Upgrades have a positive impact.
Bond Prices But the relationship is statistically stronger for
upgrades than downgrades.
Forward
Forward
Forward Market
Commodity Spread
Forward Valuation
Forward Rate Agreement
Central Counterparty
Other Counterparty Risk Mitigants
Forward Market ★★ 性质
Futures Forward
Difference with Exchange-Traded Over-the-Counter
Futures Market Backed by a Clearing house Trade with counterparty
Daily Settlement (Default Risk)
Underlying commodities mainly include: base
Commodity metals - copper, aluminum, lead; precious
Forward Contract metals - gold, silver, platinum; energy - WTI
分类 crude oil, Brent crude oil and so on.
0 K ST 0 K ST
Payoffs Payoff = ST – K Payoff = K – ST
Commodity Spread ★★ 性质、计算
If we can take a long position in one commodity that
is an input (e.g., oil) into another commodity that is an
Definition output (e.g., gas or heating oil), then we can take a
short position in the output commodity and the
difference is the commodity spread.
Crush spread: Soybean vs. Soybean meal and oil
Types
Crack spread: Crude oil vs. gasoline or heating oil
Forward Valuation ★★ 计算
Calculation f S0 Ke rT ; f S 0 I Ke rT ; f S 0e qT Ke rT
Forward Rate Agreement ★★★ 性质、计算
A FRA is an agreement that a certain rate will
Definition apply to a certain principal during a certain
future time period.
The buyer of an FRA locks in a borrowing rate,
and the seller locks in a lending rate. The long
benefits from an increase in rates, and the
Property
short benefits from a fall in rates.
An FRA settles in one month on three-month
LIBOR is called 1×4.
L RK R T2 T1
Settlement If receiving RK
1 R T2 T1
L R RK T2 T1
Settlement If paying RK
Calculation 1 R T2 T1
Central Counterparty ★★★ 性质
CCP interposes itself as the counterparty to each transaction,
Property
and assumes the rights and obligations of the counterparties.
Set standards for clearing members
Ensure netting of trades and the orderly close out of positions
in a member default scenario
Roles Maintain margin; Make margin calls; Carry out trade
settlement
Maintain default fund for loss mutualization
Managing the auction process
Default risk Liquidity risk
Legal risk
Model risk Operational risk
Risks Default of clearing member and its flow through effects is the
Faced most significant risk for CCP. Because of default, there may be
by CCP the default or distress of other clearing members given that
default correlation is likely to be high among OTC market
Central Clearing through CCPs ★★★ 性质
Netting Transparency
Margin Legal/Operational Efficiency
Advantages
Loss Mutualization Default Management
Liquidity (Counterparty Risk)
Failure of a CCP. Would create systemic risk in the market.
Moral hazard. CCPs may accept higher risk knowing that a
government bailout in a default scenario is likely.
Costs. Increased costs arising from tying up funds as initial
margin. (Procyclicality)
Drawbacks
Adverse selection. A large counterparty that has better
insight into risks than the CCP is likely to over-trade products
for which the CCP underestimates risk, and vice verse.
Bifurcation. Separation of trading into cleared and non-
cleared can increase cash flow volatility.
Note: Systemic risk can be both reduced and increased.
Other Counterparty Risk Mitigants ★★★ 性质
Monolines
Monolines Highly-rated insurance companies that provide financial
guarantees, or “credit wraps” to investors.
Calculation
F0 S0 e
r q T
F0 S0 I er T
T
1 rDC
Forward Spot Forward Spot e(rDC -rFC )T
1 rFC
Interest Rate Parity
Futures Products ★★★ 性质、计算
S&P 500 Futures Index × $250 (multiplier of 250)
Face value: $100,000
Any government bond has more than 15 years to
Treasury Bond maturity on the first day of the delivery month and is
Futures not callable within 15 years can be delivered.
Cheapest-to-Deliver Bond:
Cost = quoted bond price – (QFP×CF)
Face value: $1 million
Three-month
Value: Pt = 10,000 × [100 – 0.25(100 - FQt)]
Eurodollar
Futures DV01: 1 bp up move in the futures quote corresponds
to a gain of $25 per contract for long position.
Forward Rate Futures rate - 0.5σ 2 T1T2
Convexity Adjustment:
Normal and Inverted Market ★★★ 性质
Forward price is higher than the spot price.
The distant forward price is higher than the near
forward price.
Futures Price
Contango (Normal)
portfolio value
number of contracts βportfolio
value of futures contract
portfolio value
βportfolio
Stock Index futures price contract multiplier
Futures Hedging portfolio value
number of contracts β* β
value of futures contract
Basis Risk ★★★ 性质
Difference between spot price and futures price.
The change in basis is termed basis risk.
S1 Spot price
S2
Definition
F1
Futures price F2
t1 t2
Intrinsic Value: The amount that it is in the money, and zero otherwise
Time Value: The difference between the price of an option (called its
premium) and its intrinsic value is due to its time value
Early Exercise ★★★ 性质
American Put
Put-Call Parity ★★★ Max(X – S0, 0) X 性质、计算
C Ke rT p S0
p S0 c D XerT
Calculation
S X C P S Xe rT
S0 X D C P S0 XerT
Trading Strategies involving Options ★★★ 性质、计算
Covered Call
Simple Strategies
Protective Put
Trading Strategies involving Options ★★★ 性质、计算
Bull Call Bull Put
Bull Spread
Spread
Strategies
Butterfly
Spread
Spread
Strategies
Call Put
Calendar
Spread
Trading Strategies involving Options ★★★ 性质、计算
Straddle Strangle
Combination
Strategies
Strip Strap
Exotic Options ★★ 性质
Bermudan Early exercise may be restricted to certain dates.
Compound Options on options.
After a specified period of time, the holder can choose
Chooser
whether the option is a call or a put.
The holder can “shout” to the writer at one time
during its life. At the end of the life of the option, the option
Shout holder receives either the usual payoff from a European
option of the intrinsic value at the time of the shout,
whichever is greater.
Payoff depends on the
arithmetic average of the price
of the underlying asset during
the life of the option.
Average price call:
Exotic Options ★★★ 性质、计算
A knock-out option ceases to exist when the underlying
asset price reaches a certain barrier while a knock-in option
comes into existence only when the underlying asset price
reaches a barrier.
Barrier
In-out parity: If we combine one “in” option and one
“out” barrier option with the same strikes and expirations,
we get the price of a vanilla option.
Path-dependent.