Midterm Exam (22 point)

Version 2
Name and surname: ____________________

EX1 : (Point 4)

5% of the letters that are sent to a particular office arrive late.

a) Find probability that of the next 40 letters sent, exactly two will be late? (1.5 point)
b) Find probability that of the next 40 letters sent, at least three will be late? (1.5 point)
c) What type of distribution it is? (without explanation you will get 0 point) (0.5 point)
d) Find mean and variance (0.5 point)
EX2: (Point 4)

A small voting district has 101 female voters and 95 male voters. A random sample of 10 voters is drawn.

a) What type of distribution it is? (Without explanation you will get 0 point) (1 point)
b) What is the probability exactly 7 of the voters will be female? (1 Point)
c) What is probability that at least 3 of voters will be male? (2 point)
EX 3: (Point 6)

Researchers surveyed 100 students on which superpower they would most like to have. This table
displays data for the sample of students who responded to the survey:

Mal
TOTAL
Superpower e Female (Male+Female)

Fly 26 14 40
Invisibility (უხილავი) 10 46
Other 5
TOTAL 45 55 100

Fill table and answer following questions:

a) Find the probability that the student chose to fly as their superpower. (point 1)
b) Find the probability that the student was male. (point 1)
c) Find the probability that the student was male, given the student chose to fly as their
superpower. (2 point)
d) Find the probability that the student chose to fly, given the student was male (2 point)
EX4: (Point 5)

The Mean price of cars in a certain neighborhood is $ 50 00 and the standard deviation is $ 10 00.

a) Find the price range for which at least 75% of the cars will fall in. (point 1)
b) Assume that distribution is normal. How many percent of cars will fall in following interval
(3000 – 8000). (point 2)
c) Assume that distribution is not normal. How many percent of cars will fall in following
interval (3000 – 8000). (point 2). (If this is not solvable problem, than prove why it is not
possible to solve)

EX5: (Point 3)

A desk lamp produced by The Luminar Company was found to be defective (D). There are three factories
(A, B, C) where such desk lamps are manufactured. A Quality Control Manager (QCM) is responsible for
investigating the source of found defects. This is what the QCM knows about the company's desk lamp
production and the possible source of defects: 

Factory % of total production Probability of defective lamps

A 0.35 = P(A) 0.015 = P(D | A)

B 0.35 = P(B) 0.010 = P(D | B)

C 0.30 = P(C) 0.020 = P(D | C)

The QCM would like to answer the following question: If a randomly selected lamp is defective, what is
the probability that the lamp was manufactured in factory C? (point 3)

https://onlinecourses.science.psu.edu/stat414/node/43