Project Billed Cost Ejercicio 14-26

1 3,932 $4,323,826 a. Develop a scatter plot based o

2 3,097 $3,750,964 What type of relationship, if any,
3 2,972 $3,579,570 between the two variables?
4 3,994 $5,053,149 b. Calculate the sample correlatio
5 4,906 $5,528,308 billed consulting hours and total
6 5,147 $5,631,967 c. Conduct a hypothesis test to d
7 4,003 $5,257,756 significant positive correlation be
8 4,279 $5,681,909 consulting hours and total projec
9 3,158 $4,133,012 of significance of 0.01.
10 4,123 $4,596,329
11 2,566 $3,344,851
12 3,253 $3,868,200
13 3,888 $4,865,998
14 3,177 $4,042,509
15 3,938 $5,067,679
16 3,135 $4,111,731
17 5,142 $6,554,583
18 5,091 $6,042,445
19 4,301 $5,192,769
20 2,914 $3,581,835
21 3,890 $4,745,269
22 2,869 $3,353,559
23 3,683 $5,169,469
24 4,217 $5,147,689
 jercicio 14-26
. Develop a scatter plot based on the sample data.
What type of relationship, if any, appears to exist
etween the two variables?
. Calculate the sample correlation coefficient between
illed consulting hours and total project costs.
Conduct a hypothesis test to determine if there is a
gnificant positive correlation between billed
onsulting hours and total project costs. Use a level
f significance of 0.01.
Precio de la Metros
casa $1000s cuadrados
(y) (x)
245 1400
312 1600
279 1700
308 1875
199 1100
219 1550
405 2350
324 2450
319 1425
255 1700
 Model Year 2015 Green Vehicle Guide

Air Pollution
Score
Sales
Model Displ Cyl Trans Drive Fuel Area Stnd Stnd Description Underhood ID Veh Class
ACURA ILX 2 4 SemiAuto-5 2WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FHNXV02.0JA3 small car 5
ACURA MDX 3.5 6 SemiAuto-6 4WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FHNXV03.5XA4 small SUV 5
ACURA RLX 3.5 6 SemiAuto-6 2WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FHNXV03.5XA4 midsize car 5
ACURA TLX 2.4 4 AutoMan-8 2WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FHNXJ02.42A3 small car 5
AUDI A3 1.8 4 AMS-6 2WD Gasoline FA B2 Federal Tier 2 Bin 2 FVGAV02.0APA small car 9
AUDI A3 Cabriolet 1.8 4 AMS-6 2WD Gasoline FA B2 Federal Tier 2 Bin 2 FVGAV02.0APA small car 9
AUDI A4 2 4 Man-6 4WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FVGAV02.0AUB small car 5
AUDI A6 2 4 SemiAuto-8 4WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FVGAV02.0AUB midsize car 5
AUDI A8 3 6 SemiAuto-8 4WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FVGAV03.0AUE midsize car 5
BMW 228i 2 4 Man-6 2WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FBMXJ02.0N20 small car 5
BMW 320i 2 4 Man-6 2WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FBMXJ02.0N20 small car 5
BMW 335i 3 6 Man-6 4WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FBMXJ03.0N55 small car 5
BMW 428i Coupe 2 4 Man-6 2WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FBMXJ02.0N20 small car 5
BMW 528i 2 4 SemiAuto-8 4WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FBMXJ02.0N20 midsize car 5
BMW 640i 3 6 SemiAuto-8 4WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FBMXV03.0F10 small car 5
BMW 740Li 3 6 SemiAuto-8 4WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FBMXV03.0F10 large car 5
BMW 750Li 4.4 8 SemiAuto-8 4WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FBMXV04.4N63 large car 5
standard
BUICK Enclave 3.6 6 Auto-6 4WD Gasoline FC B4 Federal Tier 2 Bin 4 FGMXT03.6151 SUV 6
BUICK Lacrosse 2.4 4 SemiAuto-6 2WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FGMXV02.4060 midsize car 5
BUICK Regal 2 4 Man-6 2WD Gasoline FC B4 Federal Tier 2 Bin 4 FGMXV02.0021 midsize car 6
CADILLAC ATS 2 4 Man-6 2WD Gasoline FC B4 Federal Tier 2 Bin 4 FGMXV02.0021 small car 6
CADILLAC CTS 2 4 SemiAuto-6 4WD Gasoline FC B4 Federal Tier 2 Bin 4 FGMXV02.0021 midsize car 6
CADILLAC XTS 3.6 6 SemiAuto-6 4WD Gasoline FC B4 Federal Tier 2 Bin 4 FGMXJ03.6165 large car 6
CHEVROLET Camaro 3.6 6 Auto-6 2WD Gasoline FC B4 Federal Tier 2 Bin 4 FGMXJ03.6165 small car 6
CHEVROLET Cruze 1.4 4 Man-6 2WD Gasoline FC B4 Federal Tier 2 Bin 4 FGMXV01.8011 midsize car 6
CHEVROLET Equinox 2.4 4 Auto-6 2WD Gasoline FC B4 Federal Tier 2 Bin 4 FGMXJ02.4199 small SUV 6
CHEVROLET Impala 2.5 4 SemiAuto-6 2WD Gasoline FA B3 Federal Tier 2 Bin 3 FGMXJ02.5150 large car 7
CHEVROLET Malibu 2 4 SemiAuto-6 2WD Gasoline FC B4 Federal Tier 2 Bin 4 FGMXV02.0021 midsize car 6
CHRYSLER 200 2.4 4 Auto-9 2WD Gasoline FC B4 Federal Tier 2 Bin 4 FCRXJ02.45P0 midsize car 6
CHRYSLER 300 3.6 6 Auto-8 2WD Gasoline FC B4 Federal Tier 2 Bin 4 FCRXV03.65P1 large car 6
DODGE Challenger 3.6 6 Auto-8 2WD Gasoline FC B4 Federal Tier 2 Bin 4 FCRXV03.65P1 midsize car 6
DODGE Charger 3.6 6 Auto-8 2WD Gasoline FC B4 Federal Tier 2 Bin 4 FCRXV03.65P1 large car 6
DODGE Dart 2 4 Man-6 2WD Gasoline FC B4 Federal Tier 2 Bin 4 FCRXV02.45P3 midsize car 6
FORD Edge 2 4 SemiAuto-6 4WD Gasoline CA L3ULEV125 California LEV-III ULEV125 FFMXT02.02JT small SUV 6

11/26/2021 02:04:48 Page 4 of 24

 Model Year 2015 Green Vehicle Guide

Air Pollution
Score
Sales
Model Displ Cyl Trans Drive Fuel Area Stnd Stnd Description Underhood ID Veh Class
FORD Escape 1.6 4 SemiAuto-6 4WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FFMXT01.62E9 small SUV 5
FORD Focus 1 3 Man-6 2WD Gasoline FC B4 Federal Tier 2 Bin 4 FFMXV01.0VD4 small car 6
FORD Fusion 1.5 4 SemiAuto-6 2WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FFMXV01.5VDG midsize car 5
FORD Mustang 2.3 4 Man-6 2WD Gasoline FA B4 Federal Tier 2 Bin 4 FFMXV02.3VJW small car 6
FORD Taurus 2 4 SemiAuto-6 2WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FFMXV02.0VE7 large car 5
HONDA Accord 2.4 4 CVT 2WD Gasoline FA B2 Federal Tier 2 Bin 2 FHNXV02.44K3 midsize car 9
HONDA Civic 1.8 4 Auto-5 2WD CNG FA B2 Federal Tier 2 Bin 2 FHNXV01.8CDT small car 9
HYUNDAI Accent 1.6 4 Man-6 2WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FKMXV01.6DBE small car 5
HYUNDAI Elantra 1.8 4 Man-6 2WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FHYXV01.81DE midsize car 5
HYUNDAI Genesis 3.8 6 Auto-8 4WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FHYXV03.81PE large car 5
LEXUS ES 350 3.5 6 SemiAuto-6 2WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FTYXV03.5BEC midsize car 5
LEXUS LS 460 4.6 8 SemiAuto-8 4WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FTYXV04.6BEA midsize car 5
MAZDA 3 2.5 4 SemiAuto-6 2WD Gasoline CA PZEV California PZEV FTKXV02.5NC1 midsize car 9
L3SULEV30/PZE California LEV-III
MAZDA 3 2 4 Man-6 2WD Gasoline CA V SULEV30/PZEV FTKXV02.0ND1 midsize car 9
MERCEDES-BENZ C300 2 4 Auto-7 2WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FMBXV02.0U2D small car 5
NISSAN Altima 3.5 6 SCV-7 2WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FNSXV03.5G7A midsize car 5
NISSAN Altima 2.5 4 CVT 2WD Gasoline CA S2 California LEV-II SULEV FNSXV02.585A midsize car 8
TOYOTA Camry 3.5 6 SemiAuto-6 2WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FTYXV03.5BEC midsize car 5
TOYOTA Camry 2.5 4 SemiAuto-6 2WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FTYXJ02.5BEL midsize car 5
TOYOTA Corolla 1.8 4 Auto-4 2WD Gasoline CA U2 California LEV-II ULEV FTYXV01.8BEC midsize car 6
VOLKSWAGEN Beetle 1.8 4 Man-5 2WD Gasoline FA B3 Federal Tier 2 Bin 3 FVGAV02.0VPD small car 7
VOLKSWAGEN Golf 2 4 AMS-6 2WD Diesel CA L3ULEV125 California LEV-III ULEV125 FVGAV02.0VAL small car 6
VOLVO S60 2 4 SemiAuto-8 2WD Gasoline CA L3SULEV30 California LEV-III SULEV30 FVVXV02.0S3T small car 8
VOLVO S80 2 4 SemiAuto-8 2WD Gasoline FA B5 Federal Tier 2 Bin 5 FVVXV02.0U3T midsize car 5

11/26/2021 02:04:48 Page 5 of 24

 Pie Sales Pie Sales Advertising
Week Week Price $
($100s) ($100s) ($100s)
1 350 1 350 5.5 3.3
2 460 2 460 7.5 3.3
3 350 3 350 8 3
4 430 4 430 8 4.5
5 350 5 350 6.8 3
6 380 6 380 7.5 4
7 430 7 430 4.5 3
8 470 8 470 6.4 3.7
9 450 9 450 7 3.5
10 490 10 490 5 4
11 340 11 340 7.2 3.5
12 300 12 300 7.9 3.2
13 440 13 440 5.9 4 Bo
14 450 14 450 5 3.5 B1
15 300 15 300 7 2.7 B2
16 391.62 16 552.31 5 5
17 381.57 17 552.31 5 5

Proyectar las ventas de 16 y 17 asumiendo los precios 7 y 6.5 suscesivamente y el mismo nivel de p

Chart Title
600

500

400

300

200

100

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17

Week Pie Sales ($100s)

 306.53 constante
- 24.98 Precio
74.13 publicad

mente y el mismo nivel de publicidad promedio de las ultimas 4 semanas

 Resumen

Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.72213429
Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.52147794
R^2 ajustado 0.44172426
Error típico 47.4634126
Observaciones 15

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF
Regresión 2 29460.0269 14730.0134 6.53860679
Residuos 12 27033.3065 2252.77554
Total 14 56493.3333

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad

b0 Intercepción 306.526193 114.253894 2.68285118 0.01993159
b1 Price $ -24.9750895 10.8321251 -2.30565002 0.03978846
b2 Advertising ($100s) 74.1309575 25.9673179 2.85477914 0.01449363

Análisis de los residuales

Observación Pronóstico Pie Sales ($100s)

Residuos
Residuos estándares
1 413.795361 -63.7953606 -1.4517891
2 363.845182 96.1548184 2.1881923
3 329.11835 20.8816504 0.47520309
4 440.314786 -10.3147858 -0.23473327
5 359.088457 -9.08845703 -0.20682574
6 415.736852 -35.7368519 -0.81326246
7 416.531163 13.4688371 0.30650992
8 420.970163 49.0298369 1.11577052
9 391.158918 58.8410821 1.33904473
10 478.174576 11.8254244 0.26911083
11 386.1639 -46.1639 -1.05055048
12 346.44205 -46.4420501 -1.05688033
13 455.696995 -15.6969951 -0.35721604
14 441.109097 8.89090309 0.20233001
15 331.854152 -31.8541519 -0.72490397
 Price $ Gráfico de los residuales
Price $ Gráfico de los residuales
150 Price $ Curva de regresión ajustada
100 150
600
Residuos
100
Gráfico de

50
probabilida
dMue
normal
stra p ercentil

500

Pie Sales ($100s)

Residuos
0 50 400 Pie Sales
-50 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5
0
7
300 7.5 8 8.5 Pronóstic
-100 200 ($100s)
-50 4 100 4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7 7.5 8 8
Price $ 0
-100
Price $ Curva de regresión ajustada 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7 7.5 8
Price $
8.5
Price $
600
Advertising
Advertising ($100s)
($100s) Curva
Gráfico de delosregresión
residuales
Pie Sales ($100s)

400
Valor crítico de F ajustada
150
Pie Sales ($100s)
Pronóstico Pie Sales
0.01200637
200
100600
Gráfico
600 de probabilidad
($100s) normal
Pie Sales ($100s)

Pie Sales ($100s)

Residuos

50400 600
0 500 Pronóstico Pie Sales
Pie Sales ($100s)

4 4.5 05 5.5 6 6.5 500 7 7.5 8 8.5 ($100s)

200 400
-50 2.6 2.8 3
Price $300 3.2400 3.4 3.6 3.8 4 4.2 4.4 4.6
0
Pie Sales
-100 2.6 2.8 32003.2 3.4 3003.6 3.8 4 4.2 4.4 4.6
Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%100 Pronósti
0 Advertising
Advertising
200 ($100s) ($100s) ($100s)
57.5883443 555.464042 57.5883443 555.464042
-48.5762627 -1.37391634 -48.5762627 -1.37391634 0 20 40 60 80 100 120
100
17.5530321 130.708883 17.5530321 130.708883 Muestra percentil
0
2.6 2.8 3 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4 4.2 4.4 4.6

Resultados de datos de probabilidad

Percentil Pie Sales ($100s) Advertising ($100

3.33333333 300
10 300 120
16.6666667 340
23.3333333 350 100
30 350
36.6666667 350 80
43.3333333 380
50 430 60
56.6666667 430
63.3333333 440 40
70 450
Residuos

76.6666667 450 20
83.3333333 460
90 470 0
96.6666667 490 2.6 2.8 3 3.2
-20

-40
 20

Resi
0
2.6 2.8 3 3.2
-20

-40

-60

-80
 Price $ Curva de regresión ajustada
los residuales
e regresión ajustada
600

Pie Sales ($100s)

500
Pronóstico Pie Sales
6.5 7 7.5 ($100s)
8 8.5

5 7 7.5 8 8.5 400

ce $
Pie Sales ($100s)

esión
duales Advertising ($100s) Curva de regresión
Pie Sales ($100s)
300
ajustada Pronóstico Pie Sales ($100
ad normal
Pie Sales ($100s)

Sales ($100s) 600 Pie Sales ($100s)

nóstico Pie Sales 400 Pronóstico Pie Sales
00s) 200 ($100s)
200
4.4 4.6
0
Pie Sales ($100s)
2.6 2.8 3 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4 4.2 4.4 4.6
Pronóstico Pie Sales
($100s) 100 Advertising ($100s)
80 100 120
til
0
8 4 4.2 4.4 4.6 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7 7.5 8 8.5

Price $

Advertising ($100s) Gráfico de los residuales

2.8 3 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4 4.2 4.4 4.6

2.8 3 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4 4.2 4.4 4.6

Advertising ($100s)
 ajustada

gresión
Pie Sales ($100s)
Pronóstico Pie Sales ($100s)

Pie Sales ($100s)

Pronóstico Pie Sales
($100s)

8.5
 Earnings/ Current Assets
Company Dividends/Share ROE
Share (Millions)
AT&T Corp $0.85 0.1334049 $2.37 $23,612.00
Agilent $0.00 -0.728754 -$4.35 $3,889.00
Alaska Air Group $0.00 0.0200237 -$1.64 $1,148.30
Albertsons $0.76 0.1033265 $1.51 $4,419.00
American Ecology $0.00 -0.236362 -$0.52 $24.48
Bank of America $3.30 0.2253022 $7.27 $736,445.00
Building Materials Holding Corp $0.21 0.073536 $1.50 $340.94
Capitol One Financial Corp $0.11 1.8749115 $5.05 $46,283.71
Clear Channel Communications $0.00 0.0736528 $1.86 $2,185.68
Coeur d'Alene Mines $0.00 0.3353893 -$0.18 $122.78
Con Agra Foods $1.09 0.1817956 $1.44 $5,144.90
Extended System $0.00 -0.16966 -$0.23 $15.45
Gannett Co $1.08 0.1437986 $4.78 $1,223.26
General Growth Properties $1.44 0.149892 $1.06 $159.16
Hewlett-Packard $0.32 0.0672654 $1.15 $40,996.00
Idacorp $1.70 0.0538922 $1.22 $233.78
Interland $0.00 -1.13901 -$6.40 $60.90
Jabil Circuit $0.00 0.0270744 $0.81 $2,093.95
Keycorp $1.24 0.1295738 $2.33 $4,316.00
Lithia Motors $0.32 0.0990371 $2.23 $636.94
Manpower $0.40 0.1050904 $2.53 $3,237.10
Micron Technology $0.00 -0.27197 -$2.07 $2,037.00
Plexus Corp $0.00 -1.836449 -$1.57 $358.38
Potlatch Corp $0.60 0.1077347 $1.58 $330.62
Qwest Communications International $0.00 -1.488189 -$1.13 $4,416.00
Sears, Roebuck and Co $0.92 0.5306983 $10.70 $18,196.00
Sysco Corp $0.60 0.3537578 $1.41 $3,851.41
US Bancorp $0.24 0.1939819 $2.12 $169,263.00
Wabtec Corp $0.04 0.0914363 $0.63 $322.09
Wal-Mart Stores $0.42 0.2075511 $2.29 $34,421.00
Washington Federal $0.84 0.1378785 $1.67 $7,258.80
Washington Group International $0.00 0.0636466 $1.50 $789.01
Washington Mutual $1.80 0.1965353 $2.96 $238,481.00
Wells Fargo & Co $1.92 0.1799298 $4.00 $336,951.00
Weyerhaeuser Co $1.60 0.0389647 $4.96 $4,116.00
Year Ending
Current Ratio
Stock Price
$20.30 17.582
$24.92 2.040
$29.24 1.129
$24.14 1.199
$8.20 2.097
$80.43 1.070
$15.53 2.815
$61.29 1.150
$46.83 1.155
$5.78 5.466
$28.12 1.714
$5.00 1.673
$98.16 1.272
$27.75 0.448
$22.97 1.539
$29.92 0.761
$9.82 1.120
$28.15 1.658 Financial Data on U.S. Companies
$29.32 0.069
$25.21 1.336 File: Company Financials.xlsx
$47.08 1.724
$13.47 2.051 Column A: Company Name
$17.17 2.420 Column B: Amount Paid in Dividends on a per share basis
$34.77 1.947 Column C: Return on Equity = Net Income / Equity
$4.32 0.796 Coumn D: Earnings Per Share
$45.49 1.322 Column E: Current Assets in Millions of Dollars
$34.80 1.232 Column F: Year Ending Stock Price
$29.78 1.303 Column G: Current Ratio = Current Assets/ Current Liabilities
$17.04 2.108
$53.85 0.920
$25.20 1.503
$33.97 1.465
$40.12 0.964
$58.89 1.163
$62.60 1.629
ends on a per share basis
et Income / Equity

ons of Dollars

nt Assets/ Current Liabilities

Visitas 0.7 0.3
578 1/3/2015 578 578
608 1/4/2015 587 599
642 1/5/2015 618.2 629.1
Suavizac
516 1/6/2015 604.2 549.93 700
591 1/7/2015 538.5 578.679
575 585 1/8/2015 586.2 576.1037
600
667 599.83333 1/9/2015 602.6 639.73111
562 592.16667 1/10/2015 635.5 585.31933
548 576.5 1/11/2015 557.8 559.1958 500
555 583 1/12/2015 550.1 556.25874
563 578.33333 1/13/2015 557.4 560.97762
520 569.16667 1/14/2015 550.1 532.29329 400
639 564.5 1/15/2015 555.7 606.98799

Valor
594 569.83333 1/16/2015 625.5 597.8964
300
486 559.5 1/17/2015 561.6 519.56892
559 560.16667 1/18/2015 507.9 547.17068
565 560.5 1/19/2015 560.8 559.6512 200
572 569.16667 1/20/2015 567.1 568.29536
583 559.83333 1/21/2015 575.3 578.58861
599 560.66667 1/22/2015 587.8 592.87658 100
525 567.16667 1/23/2015 576.8 545.36297
512 559.33333 1/24/2015 521.1 522.00889
0
625 569.33333 1/25/2015 545.9 594.10267
649 582.16667 1/26/2015 632.2 632.5308
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34
557 577.83333 1/27/2015 621.4 579.65924
Pun
558 571 1/28/2015 557.3 564.49777
546 574.5 1/29/2015 554.4 551.54933
582 586.16667 1/30/2015 556.8 572.8648
600 582 1/31/2015 587.4 591.85944
520 560.5 2/1/2015 576 541.55783
564 561.66667 2/2/2015 533.2 557.26735
597 568.16667 2/3/2015 573.9 585.0802
560 570.5 2/4/2015 585.9 567.52406
523 560.66667 2/5/2015 548.9 536.35722
518 547 2/6/2015 521.5 523.50717
562 554 2/7/2015 531.2 550.45215
593 558.83333 2/8/2015 571.3 580.23564
654 568.33333 2/9/2015 611.3 631.87069
589 573.16667 2/10/2015 634.5 601.86121
583 583.16667 2/11/2015 587.2 588.65836
518 583.16667 2/12/2015 563.5 539.19751
607 590.66667 2/13/2015 544.7 586.65925
610 593.5 2/14/2015 607.9 602.99778
580 581.16667 2/15/2015 601 586.89933
615 585.5 2/16/2015 590.5 606.5698
568 583 2/17/2015 600.9 579.57094
700
595 595.83333 2/18/2015 576.1 590.37128
541 584.83333 2/19/2015 578.8 555.81138
590 581.5 2/20/2015 555.7 579.74342 650

530 573.16667 2/21/2015 572 544.92302

546 561.66667 2/22/2015 534.8 545.67691 600
638 573.33333 2/23/2015 573.6 610.30307
602 574.5 2/24/2015 627.2 604.49092 550
579 580.83333 2/25/2015 595.1 586.64728
574 578.16667 2/26/2015 577.5 577.79418 500
557 582.66667 2/27/2015 568.9 563.23825
607 592.83333 2/28/2015 572 593.87148 450
618 589.5 3/1/2015 610.3 610.76144
541 579.33333 3/2/2015 594.9 561.92843 400
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52
562 576.5 3/3/2015 547.3 561.97853
582 577.83333 3/4/2015 568 575.99356
612 587 3/5/2015 591 601.19807
604 586.5 3/6/2015 609.6 603.15942
540 573.5 3/7/2015 584.8 558.94783
547 574.5 3/8/2015 542.1 550.58435
583 578 3/9/2015 557.8 573.2753
552 573 3/10/2015 573.7 558.38259
543 561.5 3/11/2015 549.3 547.61478
458 537.16667 3/12/2015 517.5 484.88443
631 552.33333 3/13/2015 509.9 587.16533
554 553.5 3/14/2015 607.9 563.9496
518 542.66667 3/15/2015 543.2 531.78488
589 548.83333 3/16/2015 539.3 571.83546
800
603 558.83333 3/17/2015 593.2 593.65064
595 581.66667 3/18/2015 600.6 594.59519
591 575 3/19/2015 593.8 592.07856 700

636 588.66667 3/20/2015 604.5 622.82357

559.85185 600

500

400

300

200

100

0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33
200

100

0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33
 Suavización exponencial

Real

13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 73 76

Punto de datos
5 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 73 76

13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 55 57 59 61 63 65 67 69 71 73 75 77
13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 55 57 59 61 63 65 67 69 71 73 75 77
Period Date Orders
1 1/2/2011 2403
2 4/2/2011 1654
3 7/2/2011 3458
4 10/2/2011 2706
5 1/2/2012 2464
6 4/2/2012 1696
7 7/2/2012 3545
8 10/2/2012 2774
9 1/2/2013 2525
10 4/2/2013 1738
11 7/2/2013 3631 4500
12 10/2/2013 2841
4000
13 1/2/2014 2585
3500
14 4/2/2014 1779
15 7/2/2014 3717 3000
16 10/2/2014 2908 2500
17 1/2/2015 2646 2000
18 4/2/2015 1821 1500
19 7/2/2015 3804
1000
20 10/2/2015 2975
21 1/2/2016 2707 500

22 4/2/2016 1862 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
23 7/2/2016 3890
24 10/2/2016 3042
3003.8442
3026.9151
3049.9859
3073.0568
 Production orders received by a manufacturer from
retail distribution centers

Orders
4500
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24