Decision Science

December 2021 Examination

Q1. Calculate the probabilities for the following statements as per the given scenario and
draw the probability tree diagram also (Note: This diagram can be prepared in MS-Paint
or manually).

A study undertaken by the Rajan Supervisor of Elections in 2002 revealed that 44% of
registered voters are ‘DharwadiYuth’, 37% are Rajmoti, and 19% are others. If two
registered voters are selected at random, what is the probability that both of them have the
same party affiliation? (10 Marks)

Ans 1.
Introduction
Probability is a statistical concept that may be used to the job diffusion process. The feature may
be utilized to predict arrangement progress or to choose new customer acquisition strategies from
a predefined displaying framework. Probability is a term that refers to the danger of achieving a
certain event that is not predetermined by a particular situation. Additionally, opportunity may be
defined as the probability of an event happening divided by the expected consequences of the
occurrence. Probability is decided for various affairs by setting every case into discrete, solitary

It is only half solved

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Q 2. 2.Calculate the correlation between pairs (recommendedbelow) of the following

variables and write interpretation for each correlation coefficient.(Note:Forthe
followingpairs,correlationcanbecalculatedusingEXCEL.) (10Marks)

RecommendedPairs:

1. Correlationbetween‘numberoffemalemigrantsforwork/employment’v/s ‘Number
ofmalemigrantsforwork/employment
2.Correlationbetween‘numberoffemalemigrants _ Education’v/s ‘Numberofmale
migrants _Education’
3.Correlationbetween‘numberoffemalemigrants _Business’v/s ‘Numberofmale
migrants _Business’
4.Correlationbetween‘numberoffemalemigrants _Marriage’v/s ‘Numberofmale
migrants _marriage’

Table:Statetostatemigrationwithreasons of migrationas percensus 2011.

Work/em Bus Educ Mar Work/em Bus Educ Mar
ploymen ines atio r ploymen ines atio r
State Females Fe Fema Fem Male Male Male Male
_name m les ales
ales
JAMMU& 4,911
KASHMI 495 1,085 43,13 22,716 1,985 1,762 1,372
R (01) 0
13,938
HIMACH 493 3,200 1,08,1 95,255 3,188 5,647 1,932
AL 53
PRADES
H (02)
Work/em Bus Educ Mar Work/em Bus Educ Mar
ploymen ines atio r ploymen ines atio r
State t
Females s
Fe n
Fema iage
Fem t Male s
Male n
Male iage
Male
m les ales
PUNJAB 72,829
(03) 6,92,4 11,29 15,13
5,468 5,757 59 5,16,724 5 10,228 9
14,435

ARH(04) 787 8,725 74 1,85,856 7,463 13,769 1,290

25,691

HAND(05) 1,733 7,717 98 2,65,536 6,530 19,304 4,913

1,05,741

(06) 6,670 8,047 022 6,77,595 5 12,805 2

NCTOF 1,19,575
DELHI(07) 12,01, 39,05 15,65
7,610 23,224 945 18,14,435 1 73,391 4
49,392

AN(08) 4,192 13,275 934 3,29,428 9,374 18,313 0

UTTAR 91,265
PRADESH 14,57 20,52, 19,47 30,90
(09) 8 12,649 928 4,35,014 3 36,835 7
BIHAR 12,127
(10) 7,99,3 15,27
2,371 2,105 73 45,028 2,959 3,258 5
SIKKIM 2,616
(11) 14,76
257 698 4 16,926 2,617 925 331
8,260

AL 1,104 599 2 41,110 8,613 928 319

PRADESH
(12)
4,420

D(13) 921 1,103 7 28,567 9,993 1,783 471

MANIPUR 419
(14)
 1,795

(15) 209 361 2,522 9,918 1,009 446 424

Work/em Bus Educ Mar Work/em Bus Educ Mar
ploymen ines atio r ploymen ines atio r
State t
Females s
Fe n
Fema iage
Fem t Male s
Male n
Male iage
Male
m les ales
TRIPURA 6,795
(16) 17,50
143 149 2 15,891 955 283 578
2,726

YA(17) 403 1,878 9 17,727 4,407 3,025 4,418

ASSAM 6,642
(18) 1,56,1 49,69
2,378 1,834 84 74,921 7 3,074 5,495
WEST 36,504
BENGAL 7,49,9 76,03 23,67
(19) 7,436 5,567 96 4,32,269 6 15,470 6
31,154

ND(20) 4,061 5,872 64 3,83,816 4 15,672 1

ODISHA 11,709
(21) 3,27,4 40,91
3,735 4,935 76 1,11,038 7 10,369 9,282
29,610

GARH(22) 1,843 3,160 47 2,69,311 3 7,196 6

MADHYA 52,026
PRADESH 12,87, 15,60 27,46
(23) 7,859 9,221 527 3,86,776 9 22,575 0
GUJARAT 75,552
(24) 18,86 6,28,4 1,23, 17,92
5 5,722 73 10,46,192 091 12,864 8
DAMAN 2,933
&DIU(25) 12,30
159 220 9 67,115 1,653 306 335
DADRA& 2,588
NAGAR 19,95
HAVELI 220 181 0 54,455 3,247 451 957
(26)
2,49,129

HTRA(27) 9 33,678 160 25,37,638 924 87,034 1

ANDHRA 49,670
PRADESH 5,33,5 37,07 24,79
(28) 7,898 10,847 44 2,31,471 9 13,104 0
Work/em Bus Educ Mar Work/em Bus Educ Mar
ploymen ines atio r ploymen ines atio r
t s n iage t s n iage
 State Females Fe Fema Fem Male Male Male Male
m les ales
1,24,179

KA(29) 3 38,944 42 6,57,819 4 63,643 7

GOA(30) 8,838
1,149 953 4 64,852 6,212 1,716 1,661
59

WEEP(31) 7 234 118 2,200 19 340 29

KERALA 24,874
(32) 1,02,2 19,70
1,219 3,195 55 1,29,875 6,970 6,758 9
TAMIL 43,823
NADU(33) 3,73,2 14,18 21,73
3,271 20,435 92 2,19,262 1 38,727 2
7,389

RRY(34) 925 2,014 34 43,572 2,566 2,908 7

1,419

N& 107 226 1 26,304 1,915 455 340

NICOBAR
ISLANDS
(35)

Ans 2.

Introduction

The association coefficient is used by specialists to determine the strength and direction of the
fast connection between two numerical additions. X and Y. For data visualization purposes, r
denotes the connection coefficient. While the term "connection" may refer to any two related
things, investigators prefer to use it in reference to two quantity components. The association
coefficient is the appropriate word for connection. Various connection metrics were developed;
Q 3:From the following uniformly distributed data scene calculate the probability w.r.t
statement.

The weekly output of a steel mill is a uniformly distributed random variable that lies
between 110 and 175 metric tons.

1. Compute the probability that the steel mill will produce more than 150 metric tons next
week.

2. Determine the probability that the steel mill will produce between 120 and 160 metric
tons

Ans 3.

Introduction

The uniform apportionment is a statistical scattering that can be applied over a wide variety of
occasions. It is based on an average of occasions that may be comparably inclined to occur.
While running out of worries that are distributed uniformly over the system, don't forget to

Conclusion

Each essential is free since the outcome of the previous toss does no longer select or affects the
development of the current toss. A binomial check has just possible results and is performed n
times. A binomial movement's limitations are n and p, where n is the endless number of stars and
p is the probability of success in every primer.

Q. 3b. Draw the histogram separately (for Person, male and female) and write the
interpretation.

The following table shows the age group-wise total number of Migrants as per census 2011.
Age Group Total number of Migrant Total number of Migrant Total number of Migrant

0-4 1,89,62,713 98,34,738 91,27,975

5-9 2,09,17,565 1,09,59,506 99,58,059
10-14 2,38,76,335 1,24,25,108 1,14,51,227
15-19 2,92,02,399 1,26,83,733 1,65,18,666
20-24 4,68,55,749 1,31,97,283 3,36,58,466
25-29 5,05,67,231 1,30,45,214 3,75,22,017
30-34 4,64,20,105 1,21,34,009 3,42,86,096
35-39 4,51,14,917 1,20,60,030 3,30,54,887
40-44 3,81,61,379 1,09,00,143 2,72,61,236
45-49 3,31,51,742 97,04,026 2,34,47,716
50-54 2,57,83,138 79,40,152 1,78,42,986
55-59 2,13,54,664 61,61,754 1,51,92,910
60-64 1,97,49,108 54,01,736 1,43,47,372
65-69 1,38,28,278 36,87,082 1,01,41,196
70-74 96,96,149 26,62,421 70,33,728
75-79 48,34,573 13,41,572 34,93,001
80+ 57,14,991 14,61,296 42,53,695

Source: D4 table, census 2011

Note: Here, Students may use EXCEL for the preparation of the Histogram.(5 Marks)

Ans 3b.

Histogram: It is a graphical representation that categorizes information elements according to

the consumer-specified levels. Although it resembles a bar graph, the histogram visualizes large
data sets by dividing them into stages or bins. A histogram groups distinct findings into columns