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ADA Market Research

Market Research

Summary
This exciting network is more of a collection of philosophical principles and
computer scientists than a start-up with a product.

Cardano is developing a smart contract platform and leading the charge in


what some are calling “Blockchain 3.0”. With a more scalable and fexible
network than some of the older projects like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Even
though Cardano is still in its early stages, the complexity of the technology and
the pace at which it is progressing is extremely impressive.

All information is valid as of July 17 th, 2018. All feedback is welcome.

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The project is still in a very early stage of


Basic Statistics
development. During Q2 and Q3 in 2018,
 Crypto-asset type: Utility Token new features will be released with a new
 Max. Supply: 45,000,000,000 ADA version named Shelley, that will introduce
 Current Circulating Supply: key elements for a decentralized and
25,927,070,538 ADA secure network.
 Market Capitalization: $3.88 bn
The three subsequent phases are named
 Token Economics: Currently a
Goguen (after the American software
defationary asset with a fxed
engineer), Basho (the Japanese poet of the
supply. Infation rate (if any) to be
Edo period) and Voltaire (the famous
decided by token holders in the
French philosopher). Goguen will
future as staking rewards.
implement a virtual machine and language
 Protocol: Ouroboros Proof-of-Stake
specifcally designed for Cardano, while
Basho and Voltaire will focus on improving
the scalability of the network and
History & Development introducing a Treasury and voting system.

Even though Cardano is still in the early


Cardano is a project established by
stages of it’s roadmap it is defnitely one of
Charles Hoskinson, one of the co-founders
the most promising blockchain projects
of Ethereum and an important player in
we’ve ever seen. It is also the frst
the cryptocurrency sphere. In 2015 he
blockchain project that is being developed
created a company along with Jeremy
using a collective scientifc philosophy,
Wood, named IOHK (Input Output Hong
based on peer-reviewed scientifc research.
Kong) that is responsible for building and
A great number of its most important
developing the Cardano network.
features are still under development.
The three main stakeholders behind the
project are IOHK, The Cardano Foundation
and Emurgo, a company that supports
Development Team
commercial ventures on the Cardano
platform. The Cardano project was created by
Charles Hoskinson.
The frst version of the network, named
Byron after the famous poet, was Charles Hoskinson is
successfully launched on September 29th, an American
2017 and it was quickly introduced in technology
several important cryptocurrency entrepreneur. After
exchanges just in time to catch the studying Mathematics
dramatic price rise of the crypto industry of at the University of
late 2017. Colorado at Boulder, he started a career

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ADA Market Research

within cryptocurrency. After co-founding implemented in the blockchain using


Ethereum, the second most popular smart contracts, making the process
cryptocurrency after Bitcoin, he went on to fast and automatic, and eliminating
found IOHK, where he is currently acting as the need for a middleman.
the company’s CEO, leading the
• Official Records: the Cardano
development of the Cardano project.
network can be used to securely
Michael Parsons is store records in a transparent and
the Chairman and convenient way. Cardano is already
Executive Director of being used to ofer cryptographic
the Cardano proof of diplomas obtained in
Foundation, whose several universities. Other similar
goal is to promote applications could be enabling
the Cardano blockchain-based elections or
protocol and its ecosystem. He has more maintaining a country’s property
than 25 years of experience in the banking ledger.
industry and was an early advocate for
• Supply Chain: tracking of goods
Bitcoin, becoming one of the most
during the supply chain is a popular
relevant crypto advisors in the United
application of blockchain technology
Kingdom.
that can help thousands of
companies save vast amounts of
money in theft and fraud, as well as
Use Cases ofer much more transparency to
the customer. The tracking of
Cardano implements a complete diamonds on their journey from the
blockchain-based environment where mines to the jeweler to the end
smart contracts, decentralized applications, consumer can add some much-
and secure quick transactions are readily needed clarity to this market.
available. Virtually all applications that
• Accounting: companies and
require transferring money, storing or
organizations can use a blockchain
accessing records, or performing any kind
to manage their budgets and
of interaction between users, could make
accounts, or use smart contracts for
use of an environment like Cardano.
reconciliation of expenses.
Some of the industries that could be
• Decentralized Applications: given
disrupted by this technology are:
that Cardano should in principle be
• Financial Services: banking services considerably faster than networks
like lending, investing and like Ethereum, decentralized
transferring money can all be applications that require fast and

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secure services (e.g. social networks,


sharing economy applications
A decentralized application (dApp) is
similar to Uber or Airbnb) could fnd
analogous to a software application on
application in the network.
traditional computers and websites.
These are just some of the use cases that a Unlike these traditional solutions, dApps
fully operational, fast and decentralized run on a decentralized network formed
blockchain network could have. Eventually, by thousands of computers.
a mature blockchain could act as the back- Cardano, along with some other new
end that handles the majority of the projects represent the third generation of
services run by corporations and blockchain and aim to develop a new
governments. iteration of the technology to create more
scalable and sustainable networks, while
maintaining the privacy, security and
Technical Description governance of the most successful and
more established projects.
Ethereum and some other blockchain
projects like NEO conformed what was One thing that seperates Cardano from
named the “Blockchain 2.0”. These projects cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin or Ethereum
introduced signifcant diferences with is in its state of the art consensus
respect to the frst cryptocurrencies like algorithm. The former two use a Proof-of-
Bitcoin, with the most important one Work algorithm, which has proven to be
perhaps being the ability to deploy smart particularly costly in terms of energy
contracts, decentralized applications and consumption required for mining.
new tokens on top of the network. Cardano implements Ouroboros, a Proof-
of-Stake algorithm that does not require
any mining. Instead, blocks are generated
A smart contract is analogous to a by stakeholders, which are those users that
traditional contract between two parties, hold a certain amount of tokens. Cardano
with the diference that the enforcement claims to be the frst blockchain
of the contract is guaranteed by the implementing a provably fair Proof-of-
underlying blockchain and therefore Stake consensus algorithm.
there is no need for a central authority
or legal system to enforce it.

Smart contracts were frst proposed in


1994 by Nick Szabo and found their frst
large-scale implementation on the
Ethereum network.

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the reward system, will be deployed as


features of the Shelley version of the
In the Proof-of-Work protocol,
protocol and are now the main point of
computers in the network compete to
focus for the development team. As of
solve mathematical problems in order to
obtain rewards in the form of coins, now, the network is run by nodes
while securing the network. A downside controlled by the Cardano Foundation,
of this is the high costs in terms of IOHK, and Emurgo.
energy associated with this protocol.
Stake Pools are an important concept that
is also under development. These are
Meanwhile, in the Proof-of-Stake
basically organizations that stake their
protocol, token holders are the ones in
charge of validating transactions and tokens and get rewarded for doing so,
securing the network, by staking (locking while other users of the network delegate
up) their coins temporarily in exchange their tokens to these pools. The team is
of a reward similar to a dividend. Many analyzing in detail the reward system and
people believe this new protocol will how it will afect the number and
become the new standard for competition of stake pools, to avoid a
cryptocurrencies. Ethereum is actually situation like that of Bitcoin where a
scheduled to transition from Proof-of- handful of mining pools control all the
Work to Proof-of-Stake in the future. mining process. Stake Pools will also allow
Cardano is completely written in Haskell, a participants with a smaller principal
very fexible programming language, and in investment to join in the process of earning
fact Philip Wadler, one of the designers of coins in order to maintain the stability of
the language, is employed by IOHK to help the network.
develop the network. However Cardano is The team is following a strategy of
creating a new blockchain-based language releasing new developments one by one,
based on Haskell named Plutus. avoiding major version releases or
introducing too many new changes at
once.
Future Developments The Cardano Foundation is also securing
The construction of diferent types of strong partnerships to advance the
digital wallets (paper wallets, hardware and development of Cardano and blockchain
software wallets, as well as multi-signature technology in general. One of the most
accounts) has been the main goal of the important partnerships is one with Z/Yen, a
frst stages of the project, before deploying London-based commercial think-tank
a truly decentralized network. under the blockchain research Distributed
Futures programme.
The most important elements to achieve
decentralization, like voting, delegation or

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This programme will focus on producing left unpaid. A solution like this could help
research projects and papers proposing millions of businesses around the world to
proofs of concept based on blockchain that better manage their working capital.
could serve as new use cases for Cardano
Cardano’s funding program, Emurgo, has
and other cryptocurrencies. Z/Yen is
also invested in the project, thus showing
already working on studying the efect of
the support for this frst ICO deployed on
blockchain on world trade, insurance and
the network.
policy making, among other applications.
Traxia is not the only project moving from
Ethereum to Cardano. For instance,
several pharmaceutical companies that are
Upcoming Projects
currently using Ethereum are considering
Given that the project is still in a very early the transition. The pharmaceutical industry
stage of development and the network is is a very interesting application for
not fully operational, there are still not blockchain both for maintaining secure and
many signifcant projects built on top of immutable records and for monitoring the
Cardano. The frst Initial Coin Ofering supply chain of these very valuable goods.
(ICO) to take place on the network is
On a separate note, the Cardano team has
Traxia, which launched in March 2018.
also signed a deal with the Ethiopian
Although it is now running on Ethereum, it
government to develop blockchain-based
will be ported to Cardano once the
solutions for the agricultural industry of
Goguen update is released later in the
the country and introduce the network to
year.
possible developers.

Token Valuation Analysis


It is particularly difcult to perform an
accurate valuation analysis of Cardano in
its present state, because the network is
The project is creating a decentralized
still in a very early stage and some of the
fnance system focused on invoice
parameters defning its performance are
payments. Buyers and sellers will exchange
still unknown or may change signifcantly in
money through automated smart
the near future.
contracts, using their usual fat currency
with the cryptocurrency solution simply For instance, transaction fees now follow a
running on the back-end. This project has mixed system consisting of a fxed term
great potential given the huge amount of and a variable term that depends on the
invoices that are paid late, or sometimes transaction size. For an average

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ADA Market Research

transaction, the fees add up to about 0.16


Investments Risks
ADA or $0.025 at current prices. However,
these values could be raised or lowered in Trading cryptocurrencies can potentially be
the future depending on the performance very proftable as seen in the past, but it is
of the network and what the user base also a very challenging activity that can
decides. carry a signifcant level of risk.
Cryptocurrency markets are associated
Also, since the network does not have all
with high volatility, and Cardano is no
features fully operational yet, it is hard to
exception.
predict the actual use that the network will
have (transaction volume) at a later stage. The project is still in a relatively early stage,
A great number of successful and and the roadmap is very long, so although
established dApps and services launching the potential of the project is vast, as
on the platform would indeed increase the outlined in the previous sections, it is
utility of the network and therefore the important to consider that the short-term
price of the token. fuctuations will depend mostly on
speculation.
Since the staking system rewards users
that hold a certain amount of tokens, it can It is important to carefully assess your
be argued that a signifcant percentage of investment goals, methodology and level of
the supply will efectively be “locked in” by experience before deciding to start
these users and Stake Pools, thus limiting investing in a new market. It is also
the amount of tokens in circulation and extremely important to diversify and view
potentially increasing their value. In this cryptocurrency as an additional element of
scenario, the ADA token would experience your portfolio. Given the high risk
a greater use as a store of value, similar to associated with this type of asset, it is
Bitcoin. recommended not to allocate more than
20% of your portfolio into
For now, investors in ADA are backing a
cryptocurrencies. Given that the possibility
highly-respected and experienced team
to lose a part or even all the money
with some very big ideas.
invested exists, it is extremely important to
For these reasons, Cardano has the invest only money that you can aford to
potential to become a very successful lose.
project as it progresses through its long
In any case, all the information presented
and ambitious roadmap.
in this Market Report does not constitute
fnancial advice, and introduces no
obligation or recommendations for action.

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ADA Market Research

Jasper Lee
Resources
South East Asia Managing Director
• Cardano Roadmap JasperLee@eToro.com
• Video: Cardano Shelley Update
Guy Hirsch
• Video Review: What is Cardano?
United States Managing Director
Guyhi@etoro.com

Disclaimer George Verbitsky


Russia & CIS Managing Director
Cryptocurrencies are not regulated. You will not Georgeve@eToro.com
benefit from the protections available to clients
receiving regulated investment services. The content
Robert Francis
is intended for educational purposes only and should
Australia Managing Director
not be considered as investment advice. Your capital
is at risk. eToro's officers, directors or employees may Robertfr@eToro.com
own or have positions in investments mentioned.
Elie Edry
Any price or investment predictions, analysis, and/or
French & LatAm Regional Manager
advice contained in this report is not endorsed by the
Cardano Foundation, and is not a reflection of any Elieed@eToro.com
public or private communications from the Cardano
Foundation. Emanuela Manor
Italian Regional Manager
Emanuela@eToro.com
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